Opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine presidential election

Last updated

This article covers opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections . Opinion polling in Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, RP- Mission and Development Foundation Inc. (RPMD), OCTA Research, and other pollsters. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The front-runner is in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.

Contents

Calendar

Polling for president

Graphical summary

Opinion polls for Philippine presidential election 2022.svg

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

Fieldwork
date(s)		PollsterSample
size		MoE Abella
Ind. 		De Guzman
PLM 		Gonzales
PDSP 		Lacson
Ind. [lower-alpha 1] 		Mangondato
Katipunan 		Marcos
PFP 		Montemayor
DPP 		Moreno
Aksyon 		Pacquiao
PROMDI 		Robredo
Ind.		OthersUnd./
None		Ref.
May 9 Election results 56,097,722N/A0.210.170.171.660.5658.770.113.596.8127.94N/A
Exit pollPublicus Asia [1] 29,024———3—58—67251——
May 2–5Publicus Asia [2] 1,500±3.0%1214—54—822206 / 0—
Apr 22–30Mobilis–TruthWatch [3] [4] 2,400±2%———2—55—35321——
Apr 22–25 OCTA [5] [6] 2,400±2%—0.20.22158—8525—0.1 / 0.040.3
Apr 19–21Publicus Asia [7] 1,500±3.0%1204—57—622106 / 0—
Apr 16–21 Pulse Asia [8] 2,400±2.0%10.30.121560.14723—— / 15
Apr 14–20Laylo [9] [10] 3,000±2.0%———2—64—55210.43 / ——
Apr 18–19 MBC–DZRH [11] 7,560±1.13%0.10.20.13.60.652.90.38.25.824.3—3.9 / ——
Apr 4–15I&AC [12] 2,440±3.0%0.37510.12550.375550.12511.756.518.5—1.25 / ——
Apr 2–6 OCTA [13] 1,200±3%10.10.00140.157—9722—0.5 / 0.008—
Mar 30–Apr 6Publicus Asia [14] 1,500±3.0%1004—56—922305 / 1—
Apr 1–4 RMN–APCORE [15] 2,400±2.0%———1.8—59—8.34.220.7<15.5 / ——
April 3 Second COMELEC presidential debate
March 24Lacson resigns from Partido Reporma; Reporma switches endorsement from Lacson to Robredo
Mar 22–Apr 1Mobilis–TruthWatch [16] 2,505±3%———2—52—10430—2 / ——
Mar 15–22Laylo [17] 3,000±2.0%———2—61—9619—2 / ——
Mar 15–22RP-MDF [18] 10,000±1.0%———7—53—9228—1 / ——
March 21 PDP–Laban endorses Marcos
Mar 17–21 Pulse Asia [19] 2,400±2.0%0.10.02021560.058624—1 / 10.5
March 19 First COMELEC presidential debate
Mar 9–14Publicus Asia [20] 1,500±3.0%0.50.70.34.2—55.1—8.21.8210.17.9 / 0.3—
Mar 7–13I&AC [21] 1,800±3.0%0.510.257.750.2551.250.2510.254.520.75—3.25 / ——
Mar 12 MBC–DZRH [22] 7,566±1.13%0.20.50.24.71.249.80.39.8821.4—3.9 / ——
Mar 2–5 RMN–APCORE [23] 2,400±2.0%———3—55—1251826 / ——
February 27 CNN Philippines presidential debate
Feb 22–28RP-MDF [24] 10,000±1.0%———4—53—11525—2 / ——
Feb 18–23 Pulse Asia [25] 2,400±2.0%00.1020.4600.0110815—3 / 10.4
Feb 14–21Laylo [26] 3,000±2.0%———3—63—7717—3 / ——
Feb 12–17 OCTA [27] 1,200±3.0%———3—55—111015—5 / 0.31
Feb 11–16Publicus Asia [28] 1,500±2.6%0.50.7—3.3—52.3—8.92.722.30.18.9 / 0.5—
February 15 SMNI presidential debate
Feb 9–15I&AC [29] 1,200±3.0%0.251.13—8.750.13530.2511.25616.75—2.5 / ——

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

Fieldwork
date(s)		PollsterSample
size		MoE Abella
Ind. 		De Guzman
PLM 		Gonzales
PDSP 		Lacson
Reporma 		Mangondato
Katipunan 		Marcos
PFP 		Montemayor
DPP 		Moreno
Aksyon 		Pacquiao
PROMDI 		Robredo
Ind.		OthersUnd./
None		Ref.
2022
Jan 28–31 SWS [30] [31] 1,200±3.0%0.040.3060.04500.1111119—3 / ——
Jan 26–30 RMN–APCORE [32] 2,400±2.0%0.30.20.23—57—12417—6 / ——
Jan 22–30RP-MDF [33] 10,000±1.0%0.34——8—45.02—16.259.7120.06———
Jan 10–26Laylo [34] 15,450±0.8%———3—64—6616———
Jan 19–24 Pulse Asia [35] 2,400±2.0%0.050.02040.36008816—2 / 11
Jan 17–23Laylo [36] 3,000±2%———4—64—7716—3 / ——
Jan 10–16I&AC [37] [38] 2,400±3%0.2510.258—51—141011—3.5—
2021
Dec 11–12 MBC–DZRH [39] 7,614±1.13%—0.3—4.9—49.2—10.48.216.26.34.5 / ——
Dec 7–12 OCTA [40] 1,200±3.0%0.020.001—5—54—121014—1 / 40.1
Dec 6–12I&AC [41] 1,200±3.0%0.2520.2513—43—11161211.5 / ——
Dec 6–10Publicus Asia [42] 1,500±2.6%0.5——3.4—51.9—7.92.320.23.98.3 / 0.9—
Dec 1–6Pulse Asia [43] 2,400±2.0%—0.00406—53—88200.013 / 11
November 30 Bong Go announces his withdrawal from the presidential election.
Nov 23–29 RMN–APCORE [44] 2,400±3.0%0.170.170.083—55—1341384 / ——
Nov 16–24RP-MDF [45] 10,000±2.0%0.1——6.35—23.94—21.7515.9415.114.252.56
Nov 16–20I&AC [46] 1,200±3.0%0.250.8750.12512—36.5—10.7516.75138.251.5 / ——
November 9–15 Ronald dela Rosa withdraws; Bong Go substitutes for Grepor Belgica for president.
Nov 16–18Publicus Asia [47] 1,500±2.6%0.40.3—2.9—56.7—6.93.015.44.38.8 / 1.5—
Oct 17–26RP-MDF [48] [49] [50] 10,000±2.0%0.81——7.08—23.10—25.3917.8818.313.414.02
Oct 20–23 SWS [51] 1,200±3.0%———5—47—1391853 / ——
Oct 11–18Publicus Asia [52] 1,500±2.6%0.6——2.9—49.3—8.82.821.348.6 / 1.7—
Sep 27–Oct 8I&AC [53] 2,400±2.5%—3.251.2512.5—23.5—1819.75147.75——

Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021

Fieldwork
date(s)		PollsterSample
size		MoEOthersUnd./
Ref.
2021
October 1–8Filing of certificates of candidacies
Sep 6–11 Pulse Asia [54] [55] [56] 2,400±2.0%—0.1——4203—6151312980.110.37
Jul 24–31 MBC–DZRH [57] 7,500±1.13%——2.8—2.125.43.513.317.711.210108.3—1.6—2.8
Jul 13–19Publicus Asia [58] 1,500±2.6%——0.30.20.820.83.30.82.917.811.33.65.113.21—4.311.8
Jul 12–18 OCTA [59] [60] 1,200±3.0%——20528412131110105—136
Jun 7–16 Pulse Asia [61] [62] 2,400±2.0%0.1—20.322830.34131481060.120.18
Feb 22 – Mar 3 Pulse Asia [63] [64] [65] 2,400±2.0%——30.22275121312111270.3—0.14
Jan 26 – Feb 1 OCTA [66] 1,200±3.0%—————22———121112135————
2020
Nov 23 – Dec 2 Pulse Asia [67] [68] 2,400±2.0%———0.132640.24141210148——14

Polling for vice president

Graphical summary

Opinion polls for Philippine vice presidential election 2022.svg

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

Fieldwork
date(s)		PollsterSample
size		MoE Atienza
PROMDI 		Bello
PLM 		David
DPP 		Duterte
Lakas 		Lopez
WPP 		Ong
Aksyon 		Pangilinan
LP 		Serapio
Katipunan 		Sotto
NPC 		OthersUnd./
None		Ref.
May 9 Election results 56,097,722N/A0.520.190.1161.530.313.5917.820.1715.76N/A
Exit pollPublicus Asia [1] 29,024———67—416—112——
May 2–5Publicus Asia [2] 1,500±3.0%11—59—916—904 / 1—
Apr 22–30Mobilis–TruthWatch [4] 2,400±2%1——55—413—243——
Apr 22–25 OCTA [6] 2,400±2.0%10.03—560.14160.00122—0.5 / 0.70.1
Apr 19–21Publicus Asia [7] 1,500±3.0%11—59—815—9—6 / 1—
Apr 16–21 Pulse Asia [8] 2,400±2.0%0.50.40.15513160.318—— / 15
Apr 14–20Laylo [9] 3,000±2.0%1——62—412—180.43 / ——
Apr 18–19 MBC–DZRH [69] 7,560±1.13%1.10.20.254.20.46.615.10.516.9—4.8 / ——
Apr 4–15I&AC [12] 2,440±3.0%20.3750.550.50980.12527.5—2 / ——
Apr 2–6 OCTA [13] 1,200±3.0%0.70.10.02570.1712023—0.4 / 0.0010
Mar 30–Apr 6Publicus Asia [14] 1,500±3.0%11—58—915—11—6 / 1—
Apr 1–4 RMN–APCORE [15] 2,400±2.0%1——57.3—4.812.8—17.4—6 / ——
Mar 22–Apr 1Mobilis–TruthWatch [16] 2,505±3%1——50—618—21—4 / ——
Mar 15–22Laylo [70] 3,000±2.0%2——60—712—17—2 / ——
Mar 15–22RP-MDF [71] 10,000±1.0%1——54—27—35———
Mar 17–21 Pulse Asia [19] 2,400±2.0%10.10.01560.35150.0120—2 / 10.4
March 20 COMELEC vice presidential debate
Mar 9–14Publicus Asia [20] 1,500±3.0%0.70.9—56.5—10.612.8—9.90.37.7 / 0.5—
Mar 7–13I&AC [21] 1,800±3.0%2.50.5148.750.2510.7580.2525.25—2.75 / ——
Mar 12 MBC–DZRH [72] 7,566±1.13%1.20.30.551.80.57.714.20.717.9—5.1 / ——
Mar 2–5 RMN–APCORE [73] 2,400±2.0%1——53—612—1927 / ——
February 26 CNN Philippines vice presidential debate
Feb 22–28RP-MDF [24] 10,000±1.0%1——58—47—29—1 / ——
Feb 18–23 Pulse Asia [25] 2,400±2.0%10.10530.16110.0124—3 / 10.1
Feb 14–21Laylo [74] 3,000±2.0%3——60—411—19—3 / ——
Feb 12–17 OCTA [27] 1,200±3.0%1004307100.133—4 / 12
Feb 11–16Publicus Asia [28] 1,500±3.0%1.30.2—53.5—12.613.7—9.20.18.6 / 0.8—
Feb 9–15I&AC [37] [38] 1,200±3.0%20.5—54—114—25—3.5 / ——

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

Fieldwork
date(s)		PollsterSample
size		MoE Atienza
PROMDI 		Bello
PLM 		David
DPP 		Duterte
Lakas 		Lopez
WPP 		Ong
Aksyon 		Pangilinan
LP 		Serapio
Katipunan 		Sotto
NPC 		OthersUnd./
None		Ref.
2022
Jan 28–31 SWS [31] [75] 1,200±3.0%20.30.44417100.233—3 / ——
Jan 26–30 RMN–APCORE [76] 2,400±2.0%1.90.1—45.3—7.69.9—26—5 / ——
Jan 22–30RP-MDF [33] 10,000±1.0%1.62——52.05—3.606.22—35.95———
Jan 10–26Laylo [77] 15,450±0.8%1——60—59—1914 / ——
Jan 19–24 Pulse Asia [35] 2,400±2.0%10.020.02500.15110.129—1 / 11
January 21The Cusi faction of PDP–Laban endorses Duterte
Jan 10–16I&AC [37] [38] 2,400±3.0%31.5—54—69—25—2.5 / ——
2021
Dec 11–12 MBC–DZRH [78] 7,614±1.13%2.20.9—50.5—8.410.2—20.7—7.2 / ——
Dec 7–12 OCTA [40] 1,200±3.0%10.07—50—49—33—2 / 10
Dec 6–12I&AC [41] 1,200±3.0%51—36—48—44—2 / ——
Dec 6–10Publicus Asia [42] 1,500±2.6%1.50.7—54.8—11.29.7—110.19.5 / 1.5—
Dec 1–6Pulse Asia [43] 2,400±2.0%10.01—45—612—31—3 / 21
Nov 23–29 RMN–APCORE [79] 2,400±3.0%20.08—48—911—25—5 / ——
Nov 16–24RPMD [80] 10,000±2.0%2.11——44.88—6.9611.34—33.2—1.5
Nov 16–20I&AC [46] 1,200±3.0%31—30—1011—43—2 / ——
Nov 16–18Publicus Asia [47] 1,500±2.6%1.30.4—54.4—8.99—10.10.313.7 / 1.9—
November 9–13 Sara Duterte resigns from HNP; swears in as chairperson of Lakas, substitutes Lyle Fernando Uy to run for vice president.
Oct 17–26RPMD [48] [49] [50] 10,000±2.0%2.15——33.11—8.9411.13—26.8714.922.88
Oct 20–23 SWS [51] 1,200±3.0%3——25—1313—44—2 / ——
Oct 11–18Publicus Asia [52] 1,500±2.6%2.6————1912.3—17.325.616.9 / 6.3—
Sep 27–Oct 8I&AC [53] 2,400±2.5%8.5————818—4421.5——

Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021

Fieldwork
date(s)		PollsterSample
size		Margin
of error		OthersUnd./
Ref.
2021
Sep 6–11 Pulse Asia [55] [54] [81] 2,400±2.0%—26114——712127—4250.5220.15
Jul 24–31 MBC–DZRH [57] 7,500±1.13%—1.55—15.610.55.34.910.810.56.510.8—9.30.6—2.54.1—
Jul 12–18 OCTA [59] [60] 1,200±3.0%——10118—54911610—702197
Jun 7–16 Pulse Asia [61] [62] 2,400±2.0%0.3380.2180.037510149—4101220.16
Feb 22 – Mar 3 Pulse Asia [63] [64] [65] 2,400±2.0%—371—1579111615——110.5—30.14
Jan 26 – Feb 1 OCTA [66] 1,200——————14———111110———————
2020
Nov 23 – Dec 2 Pulse Asia [67] [68] 2,400±2.0%—252—1669111711——14——214

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Originally ran under Partido para sa Demokratikong Reporma; resigned from the party mid-way through the campaign. Still labeled as a Reporma candidate on the official ballots.

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