Opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine presidential election

Last updated

This article covers opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections . Opinion polling in Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, RP- Mission and Development Foundation Inc. (RPMD), OCTA Research, and other pollsters. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The front-runner is in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.

Contents

Calendar

Polling for president

Graphical summary

Opinion polls for Philippine presidential election 2022.svg

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

Fieldwork
date(s)
PollsterSample
size
MoE Abella
Ind.
De Guzman
PLM
Gonzales
PDSP
Lacson
Ind. [lower-alpha 1]
Mangondato
Katipunan
Marcos
PFP
Montemayor
DPP
Moreno
Aksyon
Pacquiao
PROMDI
Robredo
Ind.
OthersUnd./
None
Ref.
May 9 Election results 56,097,722N/A0.210.170.171.660.5658.770.113.596.8127.94N/A
Exit pollPublicus Asia [1] 29,02435867251
May 2–5Publicus Asia [2] 1,500±3.0%121454822206 / 0
Apr 22–30Mobilis–TruthWatch [3] [4] 2,400±2%25535321
Apr 22–25 OCTA [5] [6] 2,400±2%0.20.2215885250.1 / 0.040.3
Apr 19–21Publicus Asia [7] 1,500±3.0%120457622106 / 0
Apr 16–21 Pulse Asia [8] 2,400±2.0%10.30.121560.14723— / 15
Apr 14–20Laylo [9] [10] 3,000±2.0%26455210.43 / —
Apr 18–19 MBCDZRH [11] 7,560±1.13%0.10.20.13.60.652.90.38.25.824.33.9 / —
Apr 4–15I&AC [12] 2,440±3.0%0.37510.12550.375550.12511.756.518.51.25 / —
Apr 2–6 OCTA [13] 1,200±3%10.10.00140.15797220.5 / 0.008
Mar 30–Apr 6Publicus Asia [14] 1,500±3.0%100456922305 / 1
Apr 1–4 RMN–APCORE [15] 2,400±2.0%1.8598.34.220.7<15.5 / —
April 3 Second COMELEC presidential debate
March 24Lacson resigns from Partido Reporma; Reporma switches endorsement from Lacson to Robredo
Mar 22–Apr 1Mobilis–TruthWatch [16] 2,505±3%252104302 / —
Mar 15–22Laylo [17] 3,000±2.0%26196192 / —
Mar 15–22RP-MDF [18] 10,000±1.0%75392281 / —
March 21 PDP–Laban endorses Marcos
Mar 17–21 Pulse Asia [19] 2,400±2.0%0.10.02021560.0586241 / 10.5
March 19 First COMELEC presidential debate
Mar 9–14Publicus Asia [20] 1,500±3.0%0.50.70.34.255.18.21.8210.17.9 / 0.3
Mar 7–13I&AC [21] 1,800±3.0%0.510.257.750.2551.250.2510.254.520.753.25 / —
Mar 12 MBCDZRH [22] 7,566±1.13%0.20.50.24.71.249.80.39.8821.43.9 / —
Mar 2–5 RMN–APCORE [23] 2,400±2.0%3551251826 / —
February 27 CNN Philippines presidential debate
Feb 22–28RP-MDF [24] 10,000±1.0%453115252 / —
Feb 18–23 Pulse Asia [25] 2,400±2.0%00.1020.4600.01108153 / 10.4
Feb 14–21Laylo [26] 3,000±2.0%36377173 / —
Feb 12–17 OCTA [27] 1,200±3.0%3551110155 / 0.31
Feb 11–16Publicus Asia [28] 1,500±2.6%0.50.73.352.38.92.722.30.18.9 / 0.5
February 15 SMNI presidential debate
Feb 9–15I&AC [29] 1,200±3.0%0.251.138.750.13530.2511.25616.752.5 / —

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

Fieldwork
date(s)
PollsterSample
size
MoE Abella
Ind.
De Guzman
PLM
Gonzales
PDSP
Lacson
Reporma
Mangondato
Katipunan
Marcos
PFP
Montemayor
DPP
Moreno
Aksyon
Pacquiao
PROMDI
Robredo
Ind.
OthersUnd./
None
Ref.
2022
Jan 28–31 SWS [30] [31] 1,200±3.0%0.040.3060.04500.11111193 / —
Jan 26–30 RMN–APCORE [32] 2,400±2.0%0.30.20.2357124176 / —
Jan 22–30RP-MDF [33] 10,000±1.0%0.34845.0216.259.7120.06
Jan 10–26Laylo [34] 15,450±0.8%3646616
Jan 19–24 Pulse Asia [35] 2,400±2.0%0.050.02040.360088162 / 11
Jan 17–23Laylo [36] 3,000±2%46477163 / —
Jan 10–16I&AC [37] [38] 2,400±3%0.2510.258511410113.5
2021
Dec 11–12 MBCDZRH [39] 7,614±1.13%0.34.949.210.48.216.26.34.5 / —
Dec 7–12 OCTA [40] 1,200±3.0%0.020.0015541210141 / 40.1
Dec 6–12I&AC [41] 1,200±3.0%0.2520.25134311161211.5 / —
Dec 6–10Publicus Asia [42] 1,500±2.6%0.53.451.97.92.320.23.98.3 / 0.9
Dec 1–6Pulse Asia [43] 2,400±2.0%0.004065388200.013 / 11
November 30 Bong Go announces his withdrawal from the presidential election.
Nov 23–29 RMN–APCORE [44] 2,400±3.0%0.170.170.083551341384 / —
Nov 16–24RP-MDF [45] 10,000±2.0%0.16.3523.9421.7515.9415.114.252.56
Nov 16–20I&AC [46] 1,200±3.0%0.250.8750.1251236.510.7516.75138.251.5 / —
November 9–15 Ronald dela Rosa withdraws; Bong Go substitutes for Grepor Belgica for president.
Nov 16–18Publicus Asia [47] 1,500±2.6%0.40.32.956.76.93.015.44.38.8 / 1.5
Oct 17–26RP-MDF [48] [49] [50] 10,000±2.0%0.817.0823.1025.3917.8818.313.414.02
Oct 20–23 SWS [51] 1,200±3.0%5471391853 / —
Oct 11–18Publicus Asia [52] 1,500±2.6%0.62.949.38.82.821.348.6 / 1.7
Sep 27–Oct 8I&AC [53] 2,400±2.5%3.251.2512.523.51819.75147.75

Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021

Fieldwork
date(s)
PollsterSample
size
MoEOthersUnd./
Ref.
2021
October 1–8Filing of certificates of candidacies
Sep 6–11 Pulse Asia [54] [55] [56] 2,400±2.0%0.142036151312980.110.37
Jul 24–31 MBCDZRH [57] 7,500±1.13%2.82.125.43.513.317.711.210108.31.62.8
Jul 13–19Publicus Asia [58] 1,500±2.6%0.30.20.820.83.30.82.917.811.33.65.113.214.311.8
Jul 12–18 OCTA [59] [60] 1,200±3.0%20528412131110105136
Jun 7–16 Pulse Asia [61] [62] 2,400±2.0%0.120.322830.34131481060.120.18
Feb 22 – Mar 3 Pulse Asia [63] [64] [65] 2,400±2.0%30.22275121312111270.30.14
Jan 26 – Feb 1 OCTA [66] 1,200±3.0%22121112135
2020
Nov 23 – Dec 2 Pulse Asia [67] [68] 2,400±2.0%0.132640.2414121014814

Polling for vice president

Graphical summary

Opinion polls for Philippine vice presidential election 2022.svg

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

Fieldwork
date(s)
PollsterSample
size
MoE Atienza
PROMDI
Bello
PLM
David
DPP
Duterte
Lakas
Lopez
WPP
Ong
Aksyon
Pangilinan
LP
Serapio
Katipunan
Sotto
NPC
OthersUnd./
None
Ref.
May 9 Election results 56,097,722N/A0.520.190.1161.530.313.5917.820.1715.76N/A
Exit pollPublicus Asia [1] 29,02467416112
May 2–5Publicus Asia [2] 1,500±3.0%1159916904 / 1
Apr 22–30Mobilis–TruthWatch [4] 2,400±2%155413243
Apr 22–25 OCTA [6] 2,400±2.0%10.03560.14160.001220.5 / 0.70.1
Apr 19–21Publicus Asia [7] 1,500±3.0%115981596 / 1
Apr 16–21 Pulse Asia [8] 2,400±2.0%0.50.40.15513160.318— / 15
Apr 14–20Laylo [9] 3,000±2.0%162412180.43 / —
Apr 18–19 MBCDZRH [69] 7,560±1.13%1.10.20.254.20.46.615.10.516.94.8 / —
Apr 4–15I&AC [12] 2,440±3.0%20.3750.550.50980.12527.52 / —
Apr 2–6 OCTA [13] 1,200±3.0%0.70.10.02570.17120230.4 / 0.0010
Mar 30–Apr 6Publicus Asia [14] 1,500±3.0%1158915116 / 1
Apr 1–4 RMN–APCORE [15] 2,400±2.0%157.34.812.817.46 / —
Mar 22–Apr 1Mobilis–TruthWatch [16] 2,505±3%150618214 / —
Mar 15–22Laylo [70] 3,000±2.0%260712172 / —
Mar 15–22RP-MDF [71] 10,000±1.0%1542735
Mar 17–21 Pulse Asia [19] 2,400±2.0%10.10.01560.35150.01202 / 10.4
March 20 COMELEC vice presidential debate
Mar 9–14Publicus Asia [20] 1,500±3.0%0.70.956.510.612.89.90.37.7 / 0.5
Mar 7–13I&AC [21] 1,800±3.0%2.50.5148.750.2510.7580.2525.252.75 / —
Mar 12 MBCDZRH [72] 7,566±1.13%1.20.30.551.80.57.714.20.717.95.1 / —
Mar 2–5 RMN–APCORE [73] 2,400±2.0%1536121927 / —
February 26 CNN Philippines vice presidential debate
Feb 22–28RP-MDF [24] 10,000±1.0%15847291 / —
Feb 18–23 Pulse Asia [25] 2,400±2.0%10.10530.16110.01243 / 10.1
Feb 14–21Laylo [74] 3,000±2.0%360411193 / —
Feb 12–17 OCTA [27] 1,200±3.0%1004307100.1334 / 12
Feb 11–16Publicus Asia [28] 1,500±3.0%1.30.253.512.613.79.20.18.6 / 0.8
Feb 9–15I&AC [37] [38] 1,200±3.0%20.554114253.5 / —

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period

Fieldwork
date(s)
PollsterSample
size
MoE Atienza
PROMDI
Bello
PLM
David
DPP
Duterte
Lakas
Lopez
WPP
Ong
Aksyon
Pangilinan
LP
Serapio
Katipunan
Sotto
NPC
OthersUnd./
None
Ref.
2022
Jan 28–31 SWS [31] [75] 1,200±3.0%20.30.44417100.2333 / —
Jan 26–30 RMN–APCORE [76] 2,400±2.0%1.90.145.37.69.9265 / —
Jan 22–30RP-MDF [33] 10,000±1.0%1.6252.053.606.2235.95
Jan 10–26Laylo [77] 15,450±0.8%160591914 / —
Jan 19–24 Pulse Asia [35] 2,400±2.0%10.020.02500.15110.1291 / 11
January 21The Cusi faction of PDP–Laban endorses Duterte
Jan 10–16I&AC [37] [38] 2,400±3.0%31.55469252.5 / —
2021
Dec 11–12 MBCDZRH [78] 7,614±1.13%2.20.950.58.410.220.77.2 / —
Dec 7–12 OCTA [40] 1,200±3.0%10.075049332 / 10
Dec 6–12I&AC [41] 1,200±3.0%513648442 / —
Dec 6–10Publicus Asia [42] 1,500±2.6%1.50.754.811.29.7110.19.5 / 1.5
Dec 1–6Pulse Asia [43] 2,400±2.0%10.0145612313 / 21
Nov 23–29 RMN–APCORE [79] 2,400±3.0%20.0848911255 / —
Nov 16–24RPMD [80] 10,000±2.0%2.1144.886.9611.3433.21.5
Nov 16–20I&AC [46] 1,200±3.0%31301011432 / —
Nov 16–18Publicus Asia [47] 1,500±2.6%1.30.454.48.9910.10.313.7 / 1.9
November 9–13 Sara Duterte resigns from HNP; swears in as chairperson of Lakas, substitutes Lyle Fernando Uy to run for vice president.
Oct 17–26RPMD [48] [49] [50] 10,000±2.0%2.1533.118.9411.1326.8714.922.88
Oct 20–23 SWS [51] 1,200±3.0%3251313442 / —
Oct 11–18Publicus Asia [52] 1,500±2.6%2.61912.317.325.616.9 / 6.3
Sep 27–Oct 8I&AC [53] 2,400±2.5%8.58184421.5

Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021

Fieldwork
date(s)
PollsterSample
size
Margin
of error
OthersUnd./
Ref.
2021
Sep 6–11 Pulse Asia [55] [54] [81] 2,400±2.0%261147121274250.5220.15
Jul 24–31 MBCDZRH [57] 7,500±1.13%1.5515.610.55.34.910.810.56.510.89.30.62.54.1
Jul 12–18 OCTA [59] [60] 1,200±3.0%1011854911610702197
Jun 7–16 Pulse Asia [61] [62] 2,400±2.0%0.3380.2180.0375101494101220.16
Feb 22 – Mar 3 Pulse Asia [63] [64] [65] 2,400±2.0%3711579111615110.530.14
Jan 26 – Feb 1 OCTA [66] 1,20014111110
2020
Nov 23 – Dec 2 Pulse Asia [67] [68] 2,400±2.0%252166911171114214

Footnotes

  1. Originally ran under Partido para sa Demokratikong Reporma; resigned from the party mid-way through the campaign. Still labeled as a Reporma candidate on the official ballots.

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