Opinion polling for the 2016 Philippine Senate election

Last updated

In most polls (surveys) for the Senate, a respondent is given the option to give up to 12 names.

Contents

Voting preferences per candidate

In this table, the people that are in the top twelve are boldfaced, while those within the margin of error are italicized.

Until filing of candidacies

Name and partyDateJun 24–Jul 2, 2014Sep 8–15, 2014Nov 14–20, 2014Mar 1–7, 2015May 30–Jun 7, 2015Sep 2–5, 2015
PollsterPulse Asia [1] Pulse Asia [2] Pulse Asia [3] Pulse Asia [4] Pulse Asia [5] SWS [6]
Sample size1,2001,2001,2001,2001,2001,200
Margin of error±3%±3%±3%±3%±3%±3%
Florencio Abad Liberal 5.05.6
Benny Abante UNA 1.9
Joseph Emilio Abaya Liberal 3.53.04.74
Persida Acosta Independent 10.17.52
Jose Rene Almendras Liberal 2.71.52.9
Rafael Alunan Independent 1.41.22.31.5
Kris Aquino Independent 7
Baby Arenas Liberal 1.53.33.1
Lito Atienza Buhay 22.122.026.725.326.6
Robert "Ace" Barbers Nacionalista 10.610.3
Herbert Bautista Liberal 32.3
Darlene Berberabe Independent 0.72.20.7
Ruffy Biazon Liberal 18.417.018.619.623.5
Abigail Binay UNA 26.8
Jejomar Binay UNA 12
Teodoro Casiño Makabayang Koalisyon ng Mamamayan 9.29.06.9
Lino Cayetano Nacionalista 32.027.731.329.736.1
Arnold Clavio Independent 7.911.48.1
Neri Colmenares Makabayang Koalisyon ng Mamamayan 2.22.62.52.54.13
Miriam Coronel-Ferrer Independent 1.1
Dingdong Dantes Independent 11.511.112.813.015.26
Randy David Independent 4.44.12.7
Rizalito David Ang Kapatiran 1
Leila de Lima Liberal 28.635.333.836.038.733
John Carlos de los Reyes Ang Kapatiran 3.9
Jose Manuel Diokno Independent 2.8
Franklin Drilon Liberal 44.742.644.944.145.942
Ace Durano Liberal 3.6
Rodrigo Duterte PDP–Laban 39.2
Edgar Erice Liberal 1.7
Leonardo Espina Independent 2
Precy Estrada Independent 16.5
Rodolfo Fariñas Nacionalista 2.92.92.36.1
Janette Garin Liberal 3
Win Gatchalian NPC 5.03.28.15.85.310
Richard J. Gordon Independent 45.145.942.935.539.729
TG Guingona Liberal 30.823.531.829.828.123
Edward Hagedorn Liberal 20.119.622.0
Mujiv Hataman Liberal 3.02.63.12.93.0
Kim Henares Independent 7.13
Ernesto Herrera Independent 8.7
Risa Hontiveros Akbayan 32.430.735.433.127.021
Lorna Kapunan Aksyon 2.1
Princess Jacel Kiram UNA 2
Panfilo Lacson Independent 47.147.152.958.367.447
Rey Langit UNA 4.33.8
Mark Lapid Aksyon 18.115.618.227.622.7
Danilo Lim Liberal 6.54.87.37.06.2
Joey Lina Independent 5.1
Jun Lozada Independent 4.34.13.9
Romulo Macalintal Independent 2.6
Jamby Madrigal Liberal 38.235.934.933.133.9
Edu Manzano Independent 11.9
Mitos Magsaysay UNA 23.220.621.518.9
Bongbong Marcos Independent 43.847.240.547.254.240
Lani Mercado Lakas 15
Alma Moreno UNA 8.8
Isko Moreno PMP 24.519.622.923.64
Sergio Osmeña III Independent 37.435.437.836.041.228
Manny Pacquiao UNA 25.631.321.929.537.630
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 54.751.549.244.746.940
Jericho Petilla Liberal 2.32.12.13.12
Gwendolyn Pimentel PDP–Laban 18.916.8
Juan Ponce Enrile, Jr. NPC 23.820.423.6
Manuel Quezon III Independent 6.4
Miro Quimbo Liberal 0.8
Amina Rasul Independent 4.64.54.84.9
Ralph Recto Liberal 52.744.145.143.947.643
Danton Remoto Ladlad 0.60.70.60.40.4
Gilbert Remulla UNA 11.011.711.38.77.4
Lani Revilla Lakas 28.421.419.019.019.1
Leni Robredo Liberal 15.220.612.49.613.123
Rufus Rodriguez CDP 5.44.84.75.22.94
Martin Romualdez Lakas 4.82.65.86.95.28
Bernadette Romulo-Puyat Independent 0.8
Roman Romulo Independent 3.34.43.23.33
Harry Roque Independent 0.50.91.21
Etta Rosales Akbayan 2.11.9
Mar Roxas Liberal 47.047.6
Joey Salceda Liberal 3.14.06.06.5
Vilma Santos Liberal 44.518
Shalani Soledad Liberal 8.98.7
Corazon Soliman Independent 11.7
Tito Sotto NPC 53.851.654.759.363.454
Lorenzo Tañada III Liberal 4.24.06.46.66.7
Gilberto Teodoro, Jr. Independent 3
"Niel Tupas" (unspecified) Liberal 3.9
Niel Tupas, Jr. Liberal 4
Francis Tolentino Independent 12.29.714.215.617.810
Reynaldo Umali Liberal 2.20.6
Luis Raymond Villafuerte NPC 2.42.1
Mark Villar Nacionalista 24
Joel Villanueva Liberal 7.45.38.39.217.212
Juan Miguel Zubiri Independent 42.241.545.540.243.932
Others0.64
Don't know0.20.10.50.40.1
Refused0.30.40.31.00.6
None1.81.03.62.10.1

Until the campaign period

Name and partyDateOct 25 to Nov 5, 2015Nov 28, 2015Dec 4-11, 2015Dec 4-12, 2015Dec 12-14, 2015Jan 8-10, 2016Jan 24–28, 2016Feb 5–7, 2016
Pollster RMN MBC-DZRH [7] [8] Pulse Asia [9] Standard [10] SWS [11] SWS [12] Pulse Asia [13] SWS [14]
Sample size3,6077,4361,8001,5001,2001,2001,8001,200
Margin of error±2.5%±1.14%±2%±2.6%±3%±3%±2%±3%
Shariff Albani Independent 01
Aldin Ali Independent 05.0001
Rafael Alunan Independent 04.3803
Ina Ambolodto Liberal 02.5600.8
Aladon Ampatuan Independent 03.53
Tonyboy Aquino Independent 12.408.6
Levito Baligod Independent 01.90
Greco Belgica Independent 02.2900.8
Walden Bello Independent 03.1702
Sandra Cam PMP 02.3902
Melchor Chavez LM 06.000807.5
Neri Colmenares Makabayang Koalisyon ng Mamamayan 07.9409.4807.000617.1
Leila de Lima Liberal 34.9136.2746.8040.0035.003348.635
Franklin Drilon Liberal 41.2647.7455.1047.0039.004358.840
Mary Lou Estrada KBL 15.9012.00
Win Gatchalian NPC 13.7919.4636.0025.0021.001737.723
Richard J. Gordon Independent 31.4737.0757.0033.0032.003148.626
TG Guingona Liberal 21.7026.2238.6026.0028.002841.426
Rodrigo Gutang Independent 02.27
Risa Hontiveros Akbayan 29.1633.8135.7028.0026.002841.127
Dante Jimenez Independent 04.82
Lorna Kapunan Aksyon 04.6605
Princess Jacel Kiram UNA 03.9802
Panfilo Lacson Independent 49.8654.0058.5046.0046.004963.349
Razel Lagman Independent 03.50
Rey Langit UNA 06.6010.7205.0005
Mark Lapid Aksyon 24.9721.1820.9019.0019.001927.219
Dante Liban Independent 01.72
Romeo Maganto Lakas 02.8003
Edu Manzano Independent 18.9021.3822.5019.0015.001624.518
Allan Montaño UNA 04.9405.0006
Ramon Montaño Independent 04.57
Alma Moreno UNA 08.8811.0412.0013.0011.111.8
Isko Moreno PMP 14.1018.6419.2020.0030.002824.5
Getulio Napeñas UNA 03.1203
Susan Ople Nacionalista 06.3310.1206.000909.1
Sergio Osmeña III Independent 33.8837.8949.8033.0038.004254.837
Manny Pacquiao UNA 34.2136.6440.0037.0040.003746.935
Cresente Paez Independent 01.2800.6
Samuel Pagdilao Independent 03.0602
Jovito Palparan Independent 04.4503
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 43.6243.3354.5048.0056.004665.642
Jericho Petilla Liberal 06.8805.340307.4
Ralph Recto Liberal 44.3445.9858.9044.0056.004659.946
Martin Romualdez Lakas 11.7614.2021.6028.0013.001319.118
Roman Romulo Independent 06.2406
Tito Sotto NPC 57.9958.0067.9057.0059.005668.852
Francis Tolentino Independent 13.2417.7623.5012.0024.001923.719
Joel Villanueva Liberal 14.0419.2429.4017.0020.001931.122
Juan Miguel Zubiri Independent 40.1846.9755.9039.0040.003954.938
Others
Don't know08.1503
Refused
None

Campaign period

Name and partyDateFeb 13, 2016Feb 15–20, 2016Feb 16–27, 2016Feb 24–Mar 1, 2016Mar 30–Apr 2, 2016
Pollster MBC-DZRH [15] [16] [17] Pulse Asia [18] Pulse Asia [19] Standard [20] SWS [21]
Sample size7,5721,8005,2003,0001,500
Margin of error±1.13%±2%±1.4%±1.8%±3%
Shariff Albani Independent 03.13.02.61
Aldin Ali LM 02.62.62.51
Rafael Alunan Independent 03.23.93.12
Ina Ambolodto Liberal 02.23.42.93
Gofredo Arquiza Independent 02.51.02.21
Levito Baligod Independent 02.31.31.91
Greco Belgica Independent 02.30.91.81
Walden Bello Independent 03.32.12.81
Sandra Cam PMP 02.90.81.11
Melchor Chavez LM 08.66.48.146
Neri Colmenares Makabayang Koalisyon ng Mamamayan 12.613.511.1137
Leila de Lima Liberal 38.145.335.13031
Ray Dorona Independent 02.90.61.01
Franklin Drilon Liberal 41.252.446.53645
Larry Gadon KBL 04.61.94.13
Win Gatchalian NPC 28.341.226.13225
Richard J. Gordon Independent 33.442.634.93030
TG Guingona Liberal 24.236.728.23021
Risa Hontiveros Akbayan 31.336.233.13930
Eid Kabalu Independent 01.92.01.51
Lorna Kapunan Aksyon 04.85.03.93
Princess Jacel Kiram UNA 03.02.42.32
Panfilo Lacson Independent 53.060.244.93637
Rey Langit UNA 08.67.75.23
Mark Lapid Aksyon 20.621.520.31921
Dante Liban Independent 02.41.21.21
Romeo Maganto Lakas 03.32.83.22
Edu Manzano Independent 21.817.119.31216
Allan Montaño UNA 04.83.54.837
Ramon Montaño Independent 03.22.12.91
Alma Moreno UNA 12.811.26.777
Isko Moreno PMP 15.019.210.22516
Getulio Napeñas UNA 03.92.54.02
Susan Ople Nacionalista 08.010.27.95
Sergio Osmeña III Independent 33.643.736.32530
Manny Pacquiao UNA 37.934.833.23031
Cresente Paez Independent 02.10.70.80.4
Samuel Pagdilao Independent 03.01.82.01
Jovito Palparan Independent 03.72.82.42
Francis Pangilinan Liberal 42.254.147.24337
Jericho Petilla Liberal 03.79.17.9710
Ralph Recto Liberal 43.453.443.54330
Martin Romualdez Lakas 17.422.020.63122
Roman Romulo Independent 05.86.55.94
Dionisio Santiago Independent 04.05.36.23
Tito Sotto NPC 51.063.650.65042
Francis Tolentino Independent 18.024.020.51924
Diosdado Valeroso Independent 02.10.81.11
Joel Villanueva Liberal 27.739.128.53628
Juan Miguel Zubiri Independent 46.648.539.43731
OthersN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Don't know0.8
Refused0.1
None1.47.87


Seats won

In this table, the first figure are seat totals within the top twelve; if a party has any of its members within the margin of error of the twelfth-placed candidate, it is denoted by the second figure inside the parenthesis. Parties that won the majority (7 or more) of the seats contested are boldfaced; those which had the plurality of seats are italicized.

PollsterDate(s) administeredSample
size
Margin of
error
AKB Lakas LP NP NPC PDP UNA Others Ind.
2013 election May 13, 201340.1 millionNA001310322
Pulse Asia [1] Jun 24–Jul 2, 20141,200±3%10 (1)5 (2)1 (1)10202 (1)
Pulse Asia [2] Sep 8–15, 20141,200±3%0 (1)061102 (1)02 (1)
Pulse Asia [3] Nov 14–20, 20141,200±3%104 (1)1 (1)10203
Pulse Asia [4] Mar 1–7, 20151,200±3%104 (1)1 (1)102 (1)03
Pulse Asia [5] May 30–Jun 5, 20151,200±3%003 (1)1 (1)11303
SWS [6] Sep 2–5, 20151,200±3%003210303
MBC-DZRH [7] [8] Nov 28, 20157,436±1.14%
Pulse Asia [9] Dec 4–11, 20151,800±2%
Standard [10] Dec 4–13, 20151,500±2.6%
SWS [11] Dec 12–14, 20151,200±3%
SWS [12] Jan 8–10, 20161,200±3%
Pulse Asia [13] Jan 24–28, 20161,800±2%

Senate composition

In this table, the first figure are seat totals within the top twelve; if a party has any of its members within the margin of error of the twelfth-placed candidate, it is denoted by the second figure inside the parenthesis. Parties that won the majority (13 or more) of the seats contested are boldfaced; those which had the plurality of seats are italicized.

PollsterDate(s) administeredSample
size
Margin of
error
AKB Lakas LP NP NPC PDP UNA Others Ind.
2013 election May 13, 201340.1 millionNA024521523
Pulse Asia [1] Jun 24–Jul 2, 20141,200±3%10 (1)6 (2)4 (1)20524 (1)
Pulse Asia [2] Sep 8–15, 20141,200±3%0 (1)074205 (1)24 (1)
Pulse Asia [3] Nov 14–20, 20141,200±3%104 (1)4 (1)20525
Pulse Asia [4] Mar 1–7, 20151,200±3%105 (1)4 (1)205 (1)25
Pulse Asia [5] May 30–Jun 5, 20151,200±3%004 (1)3 (1)21625
SWS [6] Sep 2–5, 20151,200±3%004520625
MBC-DZRH [7] [8] Nov 28, 20157,436±1.14%
Pulse Asia [9] Dec 4–11, 20151,800±2%
Standard [10] Dec 4–13, 20151,500±2.6%
SWS [11] Dec 12–14, 20151,200±3%
SWS [12] Jan 8–10, 20161,200±3%
Pulse Asia [13] Jan 24–28, 20161,800±2%

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