Uxbridge and South Ruislip (UK Parliament constituency)

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Uxbridge and South Ruislip
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
UxbridgeSouthRuislip2007Constituency.svg
Boundary of Uxbridge and South Ruislip in Greater London
County Greater London
Electorate 75,042 (2023) [1]
Major settlements Uxbridge, South Ruislip, Eastcote, Hillingdon, Yiewsley
Current constituency
Created 2010
Member of Parliament Danny Beales (Labour)
SeatsOne
Created from

Uxbridge and South Ruislip is a constituency [n 1] in Greater London represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since its 2010 creation. The seat has been held by Danny Beales of the Labour Party since July 2024.

Contents

From 2015 to 2023, the seat was held by former Prime Minister (2019–2022) Boris Johnson, of the Conservative Party. Johnson won the seat in 2015 with a majority of 10,695. In 2017, as Foreign Secretary, he won a narrower majority of 5,034 votes. In 2019, as Prime Minister, he won an increased majority of 7,210. Johnson formally resigned in June 2023 after receiving a copy of the Standard Committee's report into Partygate, which recommended a recall petition. [2] The subsequent by-election was won by Conservative candidate Steve Tuckwell, who then lost the seat to Danny Beales in the 2024 general election.

An estimate by the House of Commons Library puts the "Leave" vote by the constituency in the 2016 referendum at 57.2%.

History

The Conservative Party won in 2010 and 2015 by a margin of about 25%, and since 1970 the fourteen parliamentary elections in this constituency and its predecessor (the constituency of Uxbridge) were won by the Conservatives. The 2015 result gave the seat the 149th smallest majority of the Conservative Party's 331 seats by percentage of majority. [3]

2010–2017

In 2010, for the Uxbridge-born Conservative candidate John Randall, the one-party swing in the seat was 0.1% greater than that seen nationally – enough on the newly drawn constituency boundaries to provide 48.3% of the vote, and a majority of more than 11,000 votes. In the 2010 and 2015 elections, three (of 8 and 13 candidates respectively) attained 5% or more of the vote, thus retaining their deposits.

In 2014, Boris Johnson was selected to run in the seat; he was elected in 2015 with a swing of less than 1% to Labour and 50.2% of the vote. However, the 2017 election saw a 13.6% increase in Labour's vote share, although Johnson also increased his votes, which reduced Johnson's majority to only 5,034, less than half his 2015 margin and by far the lowest for a Conservative candidate in the area since 2001.

2019 general election

Boris Johnson became Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on 24 July 2019, following the resignation of Theresa May. [4] His 2017 majority in Uxbridge and South Ruislip of 5,034 votes was the smallest of any sitting prime minister since 1924. [5] The main challenger in the seat was the Labour Party, whose 2019 candidate was Ali Milani. In April 2019, think-tank Onward classified the seat as "vulnerable" for the Conservatives, [6] while YouGov classified the seat on 27 November 2019 as "likely Conservative". [7] An article in The Independent on the same date inferred a 22.2% chance of Milani winning the seat from odds by bookmaker Paddy Power. [8] Johnson retained the seat with an increased vote share of 52.6% and an increased majority of 15%.

In 2019, two satirical candidates, Count Binface and Lord Buckethead, stood for election. Lord Buckethead is the name of a character in the 1984 movie Gremloids , and several previous UK election candidates have used the name, but Jon Harvey was prevented from standing again as Lord Buckethead after Gremloids creator Todd Durham asserted his rights over the character. Instead, Harvey stood as Count Binface and an Official Monster Raving Loony Party candidate used the name Lord Buckethead. [9] [10] On 6 December, Lord Buckethead encouraged constituents to vote for Labour candidate Ali Milani. [11] [12] Also standing was William Tobin, who aimed to receive no votes. As an expatriate who has lived abroad for 15 years, he was not able to vote in UK elections, but could stand as a candidate. Tobin stood to raise awareness of disenfranchisement of voting rights for expatriates, as well as 16- and 17-year-olds and foreign nationals who live in the UK. [13] [14] Tobin received five votes.

2023 by-election

On 9 June 2023, Johnson announced his intention to resign, triggering the 2023 Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election. [15] The resignation occurred on 12 June 2023 [16] and the by-election took place on 20 July 2023. [17] It was won by the Tory candidate Steve Tuckwell, although with vote share reduced from 52.6% in 2019 to 45.2%.

2024 general election

The latest election was held on Thursday, 4 July 2024.

Candidates running were: Tory candidate Steve Tuckwell, Labour Party candidate Danny Beales, [18] and Liberal Democrats (UK) candidate Ian Rex-Hawkes. [19]

Boundaries

2010–2024

Uxbridge and South Ruislip (UK Parliament constituency)
Map of 2010-2024 boundaries

Most of the constituency came from that of Uxbridge, which was first established under the Redistribution of Seats Act 1885; however parts of the seat came from Ruislip-Northwood and Hayes and Harlington, both of which had been carved out of the Uxbridge seat in 1950. The 1950 changes reflected the area's growth in population since 1918, the previous national reorganisation of seats.

The boundaries of the constituency changed prior to the general election in 2010 as Parliament approved the Fifth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies. Ickenham and parts of West Ruislip were allocated to the new seat of Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner. Treating the constituency as the direct successor to the Uxbridge seat, it gained the electoral wards:

The seat comprised the following electoral wards:

Current

Uxbridge and South Ruislip from 2024 Uxbridge and South Ruislip 2023 Constituency.svg
Uxbridge and South Ruislip from 2024

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, which came into effect for the 2024 general election, the constituency is composed of the following wards of the London Borough of Hillingdon:

As a result of a new ward structure, the boundary with Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner was realigned, with the constituency gaining the Ickenham and South Harefield ward, but losing parts of the (redrawn) Eastcote and Ruislip wards.

Constituency profile

The seat is in the Outer London commuter belt, is served by seven tube stations, and includes green spaces such as the Colne Valley regional park. In contrast to neighbouring Hayes and inner western suburbs, the area is without brutalist tower blocks. The highest density of buildings is found close to historic Uxbridge town centre, a hub in a seat that is ethnically diverse and prosperous, including on its outskirts Brunel University. Most of the borough electoral wards in the area vote Conservative, except for Uxbridge South, which returns Labour councillors. Workless claimants, registered jobseekers, were in November 2012 significantly lower than the national average of 3.8%, at 2.6% of the population based on a statistical compilation by The Guardian . [22]

The constituency voted to leave the European Union in 2016 with an estimated 57.2% of votes, according to a House of Commons Library report. [23] In August 2018, an analysis of YouGov polling by Focaldata suggested support for Remain had risen from 43.6% to 51.4%. Boris Johnson, former Prime Minister and Member of Parliament for the constituency, is a prominent Eurosceptic politician and was a key figure of the Vote Leave campaign in the run-up to the Brexit referendum on 23 June 2016; which resulted in a victory for the Leave campaign when the UK electorate voted in favour of British withdrawal from the European Union. [24]

Members of Parliament

YearsMemberParty
Constituency created from Uxbridge and Ruislip-Northwood
2010 John Randall Conservative
2015 Boris Johnson Conservative
2023 by-election Steve Tuckwell Conservative
2024 Danny Beales Labour

Elections


Elections in the 2020s

General election 2024: Uxbridge and South Ruislip [25]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour Danny Beales 16,599 36.2 –0.8
Conservative Steve Tuckwell 16,01234.9–17.7
Reform UK Tim Wheeler6,61014.4N/A
Green Sarah Green4,3549.5+6.8
Liberal Democrats Ian Rex-Hawkes1,7523.8–2.8
TUSC Gary Harbord2230.5N/A
SDP Stephen Gardner2000.4N/A
UKIP Geoff Courtenay1640.4–0.2
Majority5871.3N/A
Turnout 45,91461.4–6.3
Registered electors 74,746
Labour gain from Conservative Swing Increase2.svg8.5
2019 notional result [26]
PartyVote %
Conservative 26,71252.6
Labour 18,77337.0
Liberal Democrats 3,3716.6
Green 1,3472.7
Others5791.2
Turnout50,78267.7
Electorate75,042
2023 Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Steve Tuckwell 13,965 45.2 –7.4
Labour Danny Beales 13,47043.6+6.0
Green Sarah Green8932.9+0.7
Reclaim Laurence Fox 7142.3N/A
Liberal Democrats Blaise Baquiche5261.7–4.6
SDP Steve Gardner2480.8N/A
Independent Kingsley Hamilton Anti-Ulez 2080.7N/A
Count Binface Count Binface 1900.6+0.5
Independent No-Ulez Leo Phaure1860.6N/A
Rejoin EU Richard Hewison1050.3N/A
Let London Live Piers Corbyn 1010.3N/A
Independent Cameron Bell910.3N/A
CPA Enomfon Ntefon780.3N/A
UKIP Rebecca Jane 610.2–0.4
Climate Ed Gemmell490.2N/A
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope 320.1–0.2
Independent 77 Joseph80.0N/A
Majority4951.6–13.4
Turnout 30,92546.1–22.4
Registered electors 67,067
Conservative hold Swing –6.7

Elections in the 2010s


General election 2019: Uxbridge and South Ruislip [28] [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Boris Johnson 25,351 52.6 +1.8
Labour Ali Milani 18,14137.6–2.4
Liberal Democrats Joanne Humphreys3,0266.3+2.4
Green Mark Keir1,0902.2+0.3
UKIP Geoffrey Courtenay2830.6–2.8
Monster Raving Loony Lord Buckethead 1250.3N/A
Independent Count Binface 690.1N/A
Independent Alfie Utting440.1N/A
[30] Yace "Interplanetary Time Lord" Yogenstein230.0N/A
Independent Norma Burke220.0N/A
[30] Bobby Smith 80.0N/A
[30] William Tobin [31] 50.0N/A
Majority7,21015.0+4.2
Turnout 48,18768.5+1.7
Registered electors 70,369
Conservative hold Swing +2.1

General election 2017: Uxbridge and South Ruislip [28] [32]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Boris Johnson 23,716 50.8 +0.6
Labour Vincent Lo18,68240.0+13.6
Liberal Democrats Rosina Robson1,8353.9–1.0
UKIP Lizzy Kemp1,5773.4–10.8
Green Mark Keir8841.9–1.3
Majority5,03410.8–13.0
Turnout 46,69466.8+3.4
Registered electors 69,936
Conservative hold Swing –6.5

General election 2015: Uxbridge and South Ruislip [33] [34] [35]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Boris Johnson 22,511 50.2 +1.9
Labour Chris Summers [36] 11,81626.4+3.0
UKIP Jack Duffin6,34614.2+11.5
Liberal Democrats Michael Cox2,2154.9–14.9
Green Graham Lee [37] 1,4143.2+2.1
TUSC Gary Harbord [38] 1800.4N/A
Independent Jenny Thompson [39] 840.2N/A
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope [40] 720.2N/A
Communities United Sabrina Moosun [39] 520.1N/A
The Eccentric Party of Great Britain (UK) Lord Toby Jug [39] 500.1N/A
Independent Michael Doherty [39] 390.1N/A
The Realists' PartyJane Lawrence [39] 180.0N/A
Independent James Jackson [39] 140.0N/A
Majority10,69523.8–1.1
Turnout 44,81163.4+0.1
Registered electors 70,631
Conservative hold Swing –0.5
General election 2010: Uxbridge and South Ruislip [41]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative John Randall* 21,758 48.3
Labour Sidharath Garg10,54223.4
Liberal Democrats Mike Cox8,99520.0
BNP Diane Neal1,3963.1
UKIP Mark Wadsworth1,2342.7
Green Mike Harling4771.1
English Democrat Roger Cooper4030.9
National Front Frank McCallister2710.6
Majority11,21624.9
Turnout 45,07663.3
Registered electors 71,160
Conservative win (new seat)
Source: BBC News [42]
*Served as an MP in the 2005–2010 Parliament

See also

Notes

  1. A county constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer).

Related Research Articles

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Parliament of the United Kingdom
Preceded by Constituency represented by the prime minister
2019–2022
Succeeded by

51°32′N0°26′W / 51.54°N 0.44°W / 51.54; -0.44