Results of the 2015 Canadian federal election

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2015 Canadian federal election
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←  2011 19 October 2015 2019  →
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
Liberal Justin Trudeau 39.5%184+148
Conservative Stephen Harper 31.9%99−60
New Democratic Tom Mulcair 19.7%44−51
Bloc Québécois Gilles Duceppe 4.7%10+8
Green Elizabeth May 3.5%1−1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Prime Minister beforePrime Minister after
Stephen Harper 2014 (cropped).jpg Stephen Harper
Conservative 		Justin Trudeau
Liberal 		Justin Trudeau APEC 2015 (cropped).jpg

The 42nd Canadian federal election was held on October 19, 2015. The incumbent Conservative Party of Canada of Prime Minister Stephen Harper, in office since 2006, was defeated by the Liberal Party of Canada under the leadership of Justin Trudeau. The Liberals rebounded from third place in the House of Commons with 36 seats to a strong majority government with 184 of the 338 seats in the expanded Commons. The Liberals picked up 148 seats, easily the biggest numerical increase for a Canadian party since Confederation.

Contents

Summary

A polling station on election day CanadianFederalElection2015PollingStation.jpg
A polling station on election day

At 9:41pm EDT, October 19, 2015, CBC News projected that the Liberals had won at least a minority government, and that leader Justin Trudeau would become the next Prime Minister of Canada. Less than an hour later, at 10:36pm EDT, CBC News projected a Liberal majority. The New Democratic Party lost more than half the seats they had held, with Tom Mulcair becoming the first major party leader to concede defeat. The Conservatives dropped down to 99 seats to form the main opposition party, and Stephen Harper resigned as leader of the Conservative Party. The Bloc Québécois regained some ridings they had lost in the previous election, but party leader Giles Duceppe failed to regain the seat he lost back in 2011. Green Party leader Elizabeth May kept her seat. [1]

According to preliminary figures from Elections Canada, more than 68 per cent of eligible voters cast a ballot, or about 17,546,697 registered electors—a seven percentage point increase from the 2011 federal election, when turnout was just more than 61 per cent. [2]

Synopsis of results

Results by riding - 2015 Canadian federal election [a 1] [a 2] [a 3]
Riding Prov/
Terr		 2011
(Redist.)		Winning partyTurnout
[a 4] 		Votes [a 5]
Type [a 6] PartyPartyVotesShareMargin
#		Margin
%		 Lib Con NDP BQ Green IndOtherTotal [a 7]
 
Banff—Airdrie ABMODConCon42,22863.4%24,84837.3%71.8%17,38042,2284,521–2,509––66,638
Battle River—Crowfoot ABMODConCon47,55280.9%42,04771.5%72.1%5,50547,5523,844–1,868––58,769
Bow River ABNEWConCon38,70177.4%31,86163.7%65.9%6,84038,7012,622–91954336349,988
Calgary Centre ABMODConLib28,49646.5%7501.2%70.1%28,49627,7463,412–1,347248–61,249
Calgary Confederation ABMODConCon30,66945.9%1,5862.4%73.6%29,08330,6694,770–2,146–14066,808
Calgary Forest Lawn ABMODConCon19,69448.0%4,93212.0%54.9%14,76219,6944,006–1,229–1,35641,047
Calgary Heritage ABMODConCon37,26363.8%22,09137.8%72.6%15,17237,2634,255–1,24624824658,430
Calgary Midnapore ABMODConCon42,41566.7%28,01944.1%72.6%14,39642,4154,915–1,691–14563,562
Calgary Nose Hill ABMODConCon32,76060.0%18,08933.2%66.7%14,67132,7604,836–1,384–91154,562
Calgary Rocky Ridge ABNEWConCon38,22960.4%18,19128.7%72.1%20,03838,2293,665–1,360––63,292
Calgary Shepard ABNEWConCon43,70665.9%27,32741.2%67.9%16,37943,7064,532–1,734––66,351
Calgary Signal Hill ABMODConCon37,85860.6%18,75030.0%73.3%19,10837,8583,128–1,586–83962,519
Calgary Skyview ABMODConLib20,64445.9%2,7596.1%60.7%20,64417,8853,605–8461821,83144,993
Edmonton Centre ABMODConLib19,90237.2%1,1992.2%67.0%19,90218,70313,084–1,40316325753,512
Edmonton Griesbach ABMODConCon19,15740.0%2,8485.9%59.1%10,39719,15716,309–1,129–95047,942
Edmonton Manning ABNEWConCon22,16645.2%8,65717.7%60.5%13,50922,16611,582–1,07954012549,001
Edmonton Mill Woods ABMODConLib20,42341.2%920.2%66.6%20,42320,3316,330–1,09656077749,517
Edmonton Riverbend ABMODConCon28,80549.9%11,37719.7%70.4%17,42828,8059,846–1,275–38657,740
Edmonton Strathcona ABMODNDPNDP24,44644.0%7,05112.7%71.0%11,52417,39524,446–1,27822373855,604
Edmonton West ABMODConCon26,37049.3%7,72114.4%66.2%18,64926,3706,955–1,037–44653,457
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin ABNEWConCon44,94965.8%30,28944.3%67.9%14,66044,9496,645–1,595–49568,344
Foothills ABMODConCon46,16675.7%38,01762.3%73.1%8,14946,1663,919–1,983–76960,986
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake ABMODConCon28,62560.6%15,22232.2%60.8%13,40328,6253,663–743–83247,266
Grande Prairie-Mackenzie ABMODConCon38,89572.9%31,07658.3%64.7%7,81938,8954,343–1,673–61353,343
Lakeland ABMRGConCon39,88272.8%32,38259.1%68.9%7,50039,8827,500–1,283–60154,779
Lethbridge ABMODConCon32,32156.8%20,64736.3%67.7%10,53232,32111,674–1,461–95556,943
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner ABMODConCon34,84968.8%25,76450.9%65.2%9,08534,8494,897–1,319500–50,650
Peace River—Westlock ABNEWConCon34,34269.4%27,21555.0%64.1%6,36034,3427,127–1,247–44349,519
Red Deer—Lacombe ABMODConCon43,59970.7%34,36455.7%69.4%9,23543,5997,055–1,773––61,662
Red Deer—Mountain View ABMODConCon46,24574.3%37,88960.9%70.6%8,35646,2455,233–1,621–75762,212
St. Albert—Edmonton ABMODConCon26,78345.2%13,44022.7%69.7%13,34326,7836,609–82111,652–59,208
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan ABMODConCon42,64263.9%29,02743.5%74.1%13,61542,6426,540–1,6481,56367866,686
Sturgeon River—Parkland ABNEWConCon43,22070.2%33,63454.7%70.9%9,58643,2206,166–1,875–69061,537
Yellowhead ABMODConCon37,95072.3%30,48358.0%69.3%7,46737,9504,753–1,538–81752,525
Abbotsford BCMODConCon23,22948.3%7,45215.5%69.7%15,77723,2296,593–2,416–10948,124
Burnaby North—Seymour BCCHGConLib18,93836.1%3,4016.5%70.3%18,93814,61215,537–2,76520742352,480
Burnaby South BCNEWNDPNDP16,09435.1%5471.2%60.8%15,54712,44116,094–1,306–49945,887
Cariboo—Prince George BCMODConCon19,68836.6%2,7675.1%67.8%16,92119,68813,879–1,8601,05932753,734
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—Nicola BCMODConCon24,51739.6%1,4582.4%71.0%23,05924,51711,961–2,436––61,973
Chilliwack—Hope BCMODConCon21,44542.3%4,3318.5%69.7%17,11421,4459,218–2,386–49850,661
Cloverdale—Langley City BCNEWConLib24,61745.5%5,81710.8%69.4%24,61718,8008,463–2,195––54,075
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam BCMODConLib19,93835.3%1,8553.3%66.7%19,93818,08315,400–2,076–1,01456,511
Courtenay—Alberni BCMODConNDP26,58238.1%6,8689.8%75.9%15,21219,71426,582–8,201–14069,849
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford BCMODNDPNDP22,20035.9%7,51512.2%75.7%14,68514,09122,200–10,462–34061,778
Delta BCNEWConLib27,35549.1%9,10016.3%74.5%27,35518,2558,311–1,768––55,689
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke BCMODNDPNDP23,83635.0%5,2147.7%75.0%18,62211,91223,836–13,575–13668,081
Fleetwood—Port Kells BCMODConLib22,87146.9%8,59617.6%65.2%22,87114,27510,463–1,154––48,763
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo BCMODConCon24,59535.3%3,1294.5%73.4%21,21524,59521,466–2,489––69,765
Kelowna—Lake Country BCMODConLib29,61446.2%4,1126.4%70.7%29,61425,5029,039––––64,155
Kootenay—Columbia BCMODConNDP23,52937.2%2820.4%73.0%12,31523,24723,529–4,115––63,206
Langley—Aldergrove BCMODConCon27,33345.6%5,4399.1%72.4%21,89427,3337,490–2,644–53559,896
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon BCNEWConLib16,62537.2%1,0382.3%70.4%16,62515,5879,174–2,2939145844,651
Nanaimo—Ladysmith BCNEWNDPNDP23,65133.2%6,8989.7%75.0%16,75316,63723,651–14,074–12671,241
New Westminster—Burnaby BCMODNDPNDP22,87643.5%7,62314.5%65.9%15,25310,51222,876–2,487–1,51452,642
North Island—Powell River BCMODConNDP24,34040.2%8,50014.0%74.6%15,41615,84024,340–4,940––60,536
North Okanagan—Shuswap BCMODConCon27,49039.3%6,5419.4%71.9%20,94927,49017,907–3,608––69,954
North Vancouver BCMODConLib36,45856.7%19,15729.8%75.8%36,45817,3015,015–5,3509413664,354
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge BCMODConLib17,67333.9%1,3002.5%72.0%17,67316,37315,450–2,202452–52,150
Port Moody—Coquitlam BCCHGConNDP19,70636.0%2,8185.2%68.9%16,88816,11219,706–1,878–8354,667
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies BCMODConCon27,23752.5%14,32427.6%66.5%12,91327,2378,014–2,672–1,02351,859
Richmond Centre BCMODConCon17,62244.2%1,1362.8%57.5%16,48617,6224,602–1,152––39,862
Saanich—Gulf Islands BCMODGrnGrn37,07054.4%23,81034.9%78.7%11,38013,2606,181–37,070–24968,140
Skeena—Bulkley Valley BCMODNDPNDP22,53151.1%11,59526.3%68.3%8,25710,93622,531–1,605–78044,109
South Okanagan—West Kootenay BCCHGConNDP24,82337.3%4,9527.4%72.6%18,73219,87124,823–2,792376–66,594
South Surrey—White Rock BCMODConCon24,93444.0%1,4392.5%74.0%23,49524,9345,895–1,938–36956,631
Steveston—Richmond East BCMODConLib19,48645.1%2,8566.6%60.2%19,48616,6305,248–1,587–27443,225
Surrey Centre BCMODNDPLib19,47145.1%6,47915.0%60.5%19,4718,55612,992–1,493–68643,198
Surrey—Newton BCMODNDPLib24,86956.0%13,26729.9%67.9%24,8696,97811,602–975––44,424
Vancouver Centre BCMODLibLib32,55456.1%20,93636.1%65.9%32,5549,81811,618–3,370–68858,048
Vancouver East BCORGNDPNDP29,31649.9%12,78421.8%66.2%16,5326,32229,316–5,39521692758,708
Vancouver Granville BCNEWConLib23,64343.9%9,18117.1%67.1%23,64314,02814,462–1,691––53,824
Vancouver Kingsway BCMODNDPNDP20,76345.7%8,13817.9%63.3%12,6259,53820,763–1,476–99445,396
Vancouver Quadra BCMODLibLib31,10258.7%17,41932.9%69.9%31,10213,6835,748–2,2295915152,972
Vancouver South BCMODConLib21,77348.8%6,65814.9%63.2%21,77315,1156,230–1,149–34444,611
Victoria BCORGNDPNDP30,39742.3%6,7319.4%76.2%8,4898,48030,397–23,66612473971,895
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country BCMODConLib36,30054.6%18,88928.4%73.6%36,30017,4116,554–5,907–28666,458
Brandon—Souris MBMODConCon20,66650.3%5,32813.0%67.3%15,33820,6662,576–2,526––41,106
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley MBORGConLib24,53152.0%6,12313.0%73.9%24,53118,4082,842–1,376––47,157
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski MBMODNDPNDP13,48745.0%9123.0%58.1%12,5753,09013,487–537–25529,944
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa MBMODConCon19,27646.3%7,00016.8%65.3%12,27619,2765,097–1,5923,357–41,598
Elmwood—Transcona MBMODConNDP14,70934.1%610.1%65.6%12,71314,64814,709–1,016––43,086
Kildonan—St. Paul MBMODConLib18,71742.7%1,2392.8%70.7%18,71717,4786,270–78314248543,875
Portage—Lisgar MBMODConCon25,06060.8%14,43935.1%65.4%10,62125,0602,554–1,637–1,31541,187
Provencher MBMODConCon25,08656.1%9,57721.4%67.9%15,50925,0862,371–1,779––44,745
Saint Boniface—Saint Vital MBMODConLib28,53058.4%14,52529.8%74.0%28,53014,0055,169–1,119––48,823
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman MBMODConCon25,61751.9%10,10920.5%68.6%15,50825,6175,649–1,707–88249,363
Winnipeg Centre MBORGNDPLib18,47154.5%8,98126.5%60.0%18,4714,1899,490–1,379–35633,885
Winnipeg North MBCHGNDPLib23,40268.9%18,20953.6%58.4%23,4025,1934,543–826––33,964
Winnipeg South MBMODConLib28,09658.3%11,38723.6%74.9%28,09616,7092,404–990––48,199
Winnipeg South Centre MBMODConLib31,99359.7%16,89131.5%76.3%31,99315,1024,799–1,677––53,571
Acadie—Bathurst NBMODNDPLib25,84550.7%5,76611.3%76.8%25,8453,85220,079–1,187––50,963
Beauséjour NBMODLibLib36,53469.0%28,52553.9%79.6%36,5346,0178,009–2,376––52,936
Fredericton NBMODConLib23,01649.3%9,73620.8%75.7%23,01613,2804,622–5,804––46,722
Fundy Royal NBMODConLib19,13640.9%1,7753.8%74.6%19,13617,3618,204–1,823296–46,820
Madawaska—Restigouche NBMODConLib20,77855.7%11,10829.8%74.0%20,7786,1519,670–707––37,306
Miramichi—Grand Lake NBMODConLib17,20247.3%4,72613.0%75.8%17,20212,4765,588–1,098––36,364
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe NBMODConLib30,05457.8%18,88636.3%72.7%30,05411,1688,420–2,399––52,041
New Brunswick Southwest NBMODConLib16,65643.9%2,0315.4%73.7%16,65614,6254,768–1,877––37,926
Saint John—Rothesay NBMODConLib20,63448.8%7,71918.3%68.8%20,63412,9157,411–1,321––42,281
Tobique—Mactaquac NBMODConLib17,90946.6%3,6849.6%71.4%17,90914,2254,334–1,959––38,427
Avalon NLCHGConLib23,52855.9%16,02738.1%61.7%23,5284,6706,075–2287,5018442,086
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity NLMODLibLib28,70481.8%25,17071.7%56.5%28,7043,5342,557–297––35,092
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame NLMODLibLib26,52374.8%20,04456.5%55.4%26,5236,4792,175–271––35,448
Labrador NLORGConLib8,87871.8%7,09957.4%62.0%8,8781,7161,779––––12,373
Long Range Mountains NLMODLibLib30,88973.9%25,80461.7%58.3%30,8895,0854,739–1,111––41,824
St. John's East NLMODNDPLib20,97446.7%6461.4%67.9%20,9742,93820,328–500–14044,880
St. John's South—Mount Pearl NLMODNDPLib25,92257.9%9,45521.1%66.5%25,9222,04716,467–365––44,801
Cape Breton—Canso NSMODLibLib32,16374.4%25,91759.9%71.6%32,1636,2463,547–1,281––43,237
Central Nova NSMODConLib25,90958.5%14,49132.7%73.4%25,90911,4184,532–1,834570–44,263
Cumberland—Colchester NSMODConLib29,52763.7%17,27037.3%71.0%29,52712,2572,647–1,650251–46,332
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour NSMODNDPLib30,40758.2%17,65033.8%71.2%30,4077,33112,757–1,775––52,270
Halifax NSMODNDPLib27,43151.7%8,26915.6%72.6%27,4314,56419,162–1,745–13053,032
Halifax West NSMODLibLib34,37768.6%26,54053.0%71.3%34,3777,8375,894–1,971––50,079
Kings—Hants NSORGLibLib33,02670.7%24,34952.2%69.8%33,0268,6772,998–1,56923218446,686
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook NSMODNDPLib23,16148.0%6,54813.6%71.3%23,1617,18616,613–1,341––48,301
South Shore—St. Margarets NSMODConLib30,04556.9%18,14034.4%69.6%30,04511,9058,883–1,53425715152,775
Sydney—Victoria NSORGLibLib29,99573.2%24,64460.1%68.7%29,9954,3605,351–1,026–24240,974
West Nova NSORGConLib28,77563.0%16,85936.9%68.5%28,77511,9163,084–1,904––45,679
Ajax ONMODConLib31,45855.9%12,08421.5%66.3%31,45819,3744,630–7885756,307
Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing ONMODNDPNDP16,51639.9%2,4055.8%65.7%14,1119,82016,516–927––41,374
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill ONNEWConLib24,13247.3%1,0932.1%64.7%24,13223,0392,912–654–24350,980
Barrie—Innisfil ONMODConCon22,90146.4%4,5939.3%64.1%18,30822,9015,812–1,991–32949,341
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte ONNEWConCon21,09141.7%860.2%66.7%21,00521,0915,202–2,64818840150,535
Bay of Quinte ONMODConLib29,28150.7%9,50016.5%68.1%29,28119,7817,001–1,278372–57,713
Beaches—East York ONORGNDPLib27,45849.4%10,34518.6%72.0%27,4589,12417,113–1,43329710555,530
Brampton Centre ONNEWConLib19,27748.6%5,93215.0%60.9%19,27713,3455,993–844–17339,632
Brampton East ONCHGNDPLib23,65252.3%13,01028.8%65.7%23,65210,64210,400–512––45,206
Brampton North ONMODConLib23,29748.4%7,40915.4%65.4%23,29715,8887,946–915–12048,166
Brampton South ONNEWConLib23,68152.1%7,75217.1%62.6%23,68115,9294,843–1,011––45,464
Brampton West ONMODConLib24,25655.9%11,18825.8%60.6%24,25613,0685,400–674––43,398
Brantford—Brant ONMODConCon25,87440.9%6,45210.2%65.2%19,42225,87415,715–1,58216451563,272
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound ONORGConCon26,29746.7%4,4187.8%68.5%21,87926,2976,270–1,887––56,333
Burlington ONMODConLib32,22946.0%2,4493.5%73.2%32,22929,7806,381–1,710––70,100
Cambridge ONMODConLib23,02443.2%2,4114.5%64.1%23,02420,6137,397–1,72347410853,339
Carleton ONNEWConCon27,76246.9%1,8493.1%80.1%25,91327,7623,632–1,932––59,239
Chatham-Kent—Leamington ONMODConCon21,67741.7%2,3264.5%65.5%19,35121,6779,549–1,394––51,971
Davenport ONORGNDPLib21,94744.3%1,4412.9%67.0%21,9475,23320,506–1,53010726149,584
Don Valley East ONCHGLibLib24,04857.8%11,89328.6%65.8%24,04812,1554,307–1,078––41,588
Don Valley North ONNEWConLib23,49451.4%6,21513.6%63.1%23,49417,2793,896–1,018––45,687
Don Valley West ONMODConLib27,47253.8%8,26616.2%72.2%27,47219,2063,076–8487540951,086
Dufferin—Caledon ONORGConCon27,97746.3%4,3347.2%65.5%23,64327,9774,398–4,433––60,451
Durham ONMODConCon28,96745.1%6,0189.4%68.5%22,94928,96710,289–1,616–36464,185
Eglinton—Lawrence ONORGConLib27,27848.9%3,4906.3%71.5%27,27823,7883,505–799–42255,792
Elgin—Middlesex—London ONMODConCon28,02349.2%10,38118.2%68.5%17,64228,0238,771–1,783–71456,933
Essex ONMODConNDP25,07241.4%3,4705.7%65.7%12,63921,60225,072–1,141–7760,531
Etobicoke Centre ONMODConLib32,61252.8%9,54215.4%70.2%32,61223,0704,886–856–37861,802
Etobicoke North ONMODLibLib26,25162.4%16,57839.4%60.5%26,2519,6735,220–52416423242,064
Etobicoke—Lakeshore ONMODConLib34,63853.7%13,70621.2%69.0%34,63820,9327,030–1,507–40164,508
Flamborough—Glanbrook ONNEWConCon24,13743.5%2,4094.3%70.2%21,72824,1377,779–1,866––55,510
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell ONMODConLib34,18953.3%10,82216.9%75.1%34,18923,3675,087–1,153–37764,173
Guelph ONORGLibLib34,30349.1%15,89622.8%71.3%34,30318,4078,392–7,909–85769,868
Haldimand—Norfolk ONMODConCon24,71444.1%4,2277.5%67.7%20,48724,7147,625–1,85742388455,990
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock ONMODConCon27,71844.8%8,08413.1%67.6%19,63427,71812,012–2,470––61,834
Hamilton Centre ONMODNDPNDP18,71945.6%5,00112.2%59.4%13,7186,01818,719–1,77818666441,083
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek ONMODNDPLib19,62239.0%3,1576.3%62.8%19,62212,71516,465–1,305–22550,332
Hamilton Mountain ONMODNDPNDP18,14635.9%1,2132.4%65.6%16,93312,99118,146–1,283–1,20150,554
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas ONMODConLib29,69447.7%9,87315.9%72.5%29,69419,82110,131–2,633––62,279
Hastings—Lennox and Addington ONNEWConLib21,10442.4%2250.5%68.5%21,10420,8796,348–1,466––49,797
Humber River—Black Creek ONORGLibLib23,99566.9%16,76746.8%57.5%23,9957,2283,851–584–20135,859
Huron—Bruce ONORGConCon26,17444.9%3,0455.2%72.4%23,12926,1747,544–1,398––58,245
Kanata—Carleton ONMODConLib32,47751.3%7,64812.1%79.0%32,47724,8294,313–1,704––63,323
Kenora ONMODConLib10,91835.5%4981.6%69.7%10,9188,75110,420–501162–30,752
King—Vaughan ONNEWConLib25,90847.4%1,7383.2%63.8%25,90824,1703,571–1,037––54,686
Kingston and the Islands ONMODLibLib36,42155.4%21,49332.7%70.3%36,42114,92811,185–2,933–30565,772
Kitchener Centre ONMODConLib25,50448.8%9,63218.4%67.5%25,50415,8728,680–1,597–62752,280
Kitchener South—Hespeler ONNEWConLib20,21542.3%2,6715.6%65.9%20,21517,5447,440–1,767–86347,829
Kitchener—Conestoga ONMODConCon20,64943.3%2510.5%69.3%20,39820,6494,653–1,314–68547,699
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex ONMODConCon28,30050.2%11,70820.8%69.7%16,59228,3009,598–1,873––56,363
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston ONMODConCon27,39947.9%8,07414.1%72.3%19,32527,3998,073–2,025–41857,240
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes ONORGConCon26,73847.4%3,8506.8%71.1%22,88826,7384,722–2,088––56,436
London North Centre ONMODConLib32,42750.5%12,43719.4%69.4%32,42719,9909,423–2,286–14564,271
London West ONMODConLib31,16745.8%7,13110.5%73.3%31,16724,03610,087–1,918–81968,027
London—Fanshawe ONMODNDPNDP20,68437.8%3,4706.3%63.0%17,21414,89120,684–1,604352–54,745
Markham—Stouffville ONMODConLib29,41649.2%3,8516.4%68.2%29,41625,5653,647–1,145––59,773
Markham—Thornhill ONNEWLibLib23,87855.7%10,02923.4%60.8%23,87813,8494,595–535––42,857
Markham—Unionville ONMODConCon24,60549.4%3,0096.0%60.4%21,59624,6052,528–1,110––49,839
Milton ONNEWConCon22,37845.4%2,4384.9%68.5%19,94022,3785,366–1,131–49349,308
Mississauga Centre ONNEWConLib28,37254.7%10,94121.1%62.3%28,37217,4314,920–1,129––51,852
Mississauga East—Cooksville ONMODConLib28,15454.2%9,80118.9%63.1%28,15418,3534,481–766–16351,917
Mississauga—Erin Mills ONMODConLib27,52049.7%5,80410.5%66.9%27,52021,7165,206–905––55,347
Mississauga—Lakeshore ONMODConLib28,27947.7%3,8446.5%68.7%28,27924,4354,735–1,397–42759,273
Mississauga—Malton ONMODConLib26,16559.1%14,46432.7%59.1%26,16511,7015,450–737203–44,256
Mississauga—Streetsville ONMODConLib26,79247.8%4,1717.4%67.4%26,79222,6215,040–1,293–25355,999
Nepean ONMODConLib34,01752.4%10,57516.3%77.5%34,01723,4425,324–1,5135514164,888
Newmarket—Aurora ONMODConLib25,50845.2%1,4512.6%68.1%25,50824,0574,806–1,331–76256,464
Niagara Centre ONMODNDPLib19,51335.7%2,2954.2%65.6%19,51316,24817,218–1,316–38754,682
Niagara Falls ONORGConCon27,23542.1%4,9177.6%63.0%22,31827,23513,525–1,633––64,711
Niagara West ONMODConCon24,73248.8%8,15116.1%73.3%16,58124,7325,802–1,511–2,03150,657
Nickel Belt ONMODNDPLib21,02142.8%2,4655.0%67.1%21,0218,22118,556–1,217–9849,113
Nipissing—Timiskaming ONMODLibLib25,35751.9%11,03222.6%68.3%25,35714,3257,936–1,257––48,875
Northumberland—Peterborough South ONMODConLib27,04342.5%1,8783.0%71.3%27,04325,1659,411–1,990––63,609
Oakville ONORGConLib31,95649.4%4,4596.9%73.4%31,95627,4973,830–1,420––64,703
Oakville North—Burlington ONMODConLib28,41546.7%2,0733.4%71.2%28,41526,3424,405–968–66660,796
Orléans ONMODConLib46,54259.7%22,72129.1%80.6%46,54223,8216,215–1,410––77,988
Oshawa ONMODConCon23,16238.2%3,8236.3%63.2%16,58823,16219,339–1,522–7560,686
Ottawa Centre ONMODNDPLib32,21142.7%3,1134.1%80.0%32,21110,94329,098–2,246–1,00275,500
Ottawa South ONMODLibLib38,83160.1%23,12035.8%73.6%38,83115,7117,480–1,888–73964,649
Ottawa West—Nepean ONMODConLib35,19955.9%16,30625.9%74.8%35,19918,8936,195–1,772–85462,913
Ottawa—Vanier ONMODLibLib36,47457.6%24,28038.3%73.6%36,47412,10912,194–1,947–63163,355
Oxford ONMODConCon25,96645.7%7,66713.5%67.9%18,29925,9669,406–2,004–1,17556,850
Parkdale—High Park ONORGNDPLib24,62342.0%1,0571.8%73.3%24,6237,64123,566–1,7439390158,567
Parry Sound-Muskoka ONORGConCon22,20643.3%2,2694.4%67.6%19,93722,2065,183–3,704–24951,279
Perth Wellington ONORGConCon22,25542.9%2,7755.4%68.0%19,48022,2557,756–1,34721979451,851
Peterborough—Kawartha ONMODConLib29,15943.8%5,8248.8%71.6%29,15923,33512,437–1,480–13166,542
Pickering—Uxbridge ONMODConLib29,75750.3%7,16612.1%69.0%29,75722,5915,446–1,365––59,159
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke ONORGConCon26,19545.8%7,52913.2%72.7%18,66626,1954,893–1,1056,300–57,159
Richmond Hill ONMODConLib23,03246.9%1,7573.6%61.1%23,03221,2753,950–856––49,113
St. Catharines ONMODConLib24,87043.2%3,2335.6%67.7%24,87021,6379,511–1,488–8557,591
Sarnia—Lambton ONORGConCon22,56538.8%4,4637.7%71.8%15,85322,56518,102–1,605––58,125
Sault Ste. Marie ONMODConLib19,58244.8%5,96713.6%68.3%19,58213,6159,543–934–8343,757
Scarborough Centre ONMODConLib22,75350.5%8,04817.9%63.2%22,75314,7055,227–960–1,38445,029
Scarborough North ONMODNDPLib18,90448.2%8,16720.8%60.0%18,90410,7378,648–579–32039,188
Scarborough Southwest ONMODNDPLib25,58652.5%14,01228.7%66.7%25,58610,34711,574–1,259––48,766
Scarborough—Agincourt ONMODLibLib21,58751.9%5,78513.9%59.4%21,58715,8023,263–570–33441,556
Scarborough-Guildwood ONMODLibLib25,16760.0%14,05933.5%64.6%25,16711,1084,720–60617514141,917
Scarborough—Rouge Park ONNEWLibLib29,91360.2%16,32632.9%68.0%29,91313,5875,145–1,010––49,655
Simcoe North ONMODConCon24,83643.5%2,1183.7%65.9%22,71824,8366,037–2,54361831957,071
Simcoe—Grey ONMODConCon30,61246.6%5,2608.0%67.3%25,35230,6126,332–2,923–52865,747
Spadina—Fort York ONMODNDPLib30,14154.7%15,09427.4%69.3%30,1418,67315,047–1,137–15055,148
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry ONORGConCon27,09151.1%6,63912.5%67.2%20,45227,0914,332–1,191––53,066
Sudbury ONMODNDPLib23,53447.4%9,74119.6%68.2%23,53410,47313,793–1,50921810249,629
Thornhill ONMODConCon31,91158.6%13,51624.8%67.1%18,39531,9112,814–627–74454,491
Thunder Bay—Rainy River ONMODNDPLib18,52344.0%6,04014.4%66.3%18,5238,87612,483–2,201––42,083
Thunder Bay—Superior North ONMODNDPLib20,06945.0%9,73021.8%68.7%20,0697,77510,339–6,155270–44,608
Timmins-James Bay ONMODNDPNDP15,97442.9%3,0348.1%61.1%12,9407,60515,974–752––37,271
Toronto Centre ONMODLibLib29,29757.9%15,83031.3%69.3%29,2976,16713,467–1,31514720950,602
Toronto—Danforth ONORGNDPLib23,53142.3%1,2062.2%71.1%23,5315,47822,325–2,618–1,62955,581
Toronto—St. Paul's ONMODLibLib31,48155.3%16,10528.3%72.5%31,48115,3768,386–1,729––56,972
University—Rosedale ONNEWNDPLib27,84949.8%11,86121.2%72.8%27,8499,79015,988–1,641–65755,925
Vaughan—Woodbridge ONMODConLib23,04148.7%2,2954.9%63.9%23,04120,7462,198–597–71647,298
Waterloo ONMODConLib29,75249.7%10,43417.4%73.2%29,75219,3188,928–1,713–13859,849
Wellington—Halton Hills ONORGConCon32,48250.9%9,20314.4%71.0%23,27932,4825,321–2,547–18363,812
Whitby ONMODConLib29,00345.0%1,8492.9%70.0%29,00327,1546,677–1,403279–64,516
Willowdale ONMODConLib24,51953.4%7,52916.4%60.6%24,51916,9903,203–1,025216–45,953
Windsor West ONMODNDPNDP24,08551.3%12,24326.1%54.8%11,8429,73424,085–1,083–16146,905
Windsor—Tecumseh ONMODNDPNDP23,21543.5%8,55916.0%61.1%14,17714,65623,215–1,047–24953,344
York Centre ONMODConLib20,13146.9%1,2382.9%65.7%20,13118,8933,148–772––42,944
York South—Weston ONORGNDPLib20,09346.0%6,81215.6%61.1%20,0938,39913,281–892–1,04143,706
York—Simcoe ONMODConCon24,05850.2%5,97512.5%63.3%18,08324,0584,255–1,483––47,879
Cardigan PEORGLibLib14,62165.0%10,98948.9%78.2%14,6213,6322,503–1,434–29522,485
Charlottetown PEORGLibLib11,91056.3%7,01333.1%75.6%11,9103,1364,897–1,222––21,165
Egmont PEORGConLib10,52149.3%4,33620.3%77.0%10,5216,1854,097–559––21,362
Malpeque PEORGLibLib13,95062.1%10,00344.5%78.9%13,9503,9472,509–2,066––22,472
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou QCMODNDPNDP12,77837.0%1,6844.9%55.2%11,0943,21112,7786,398779–25834,518
Abitibi—Témiscamingue QCMODNDPNDP20,63641.5%5,90311.9%60.8%14,7333,42520,6369,651859–42549,729
Ahuntsic-Cartierville QCCHGLibLib26,02646.8%9,34216.8%67.5%26,0264,05116,6847,3461,175–28555,567
Alfred-Pellan QCMODNDPLib24,55744.5%11,33220.5%71.1%24,5576,25913,2259,8361,089203–55,169
Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation QCMODNDPLib22,09343.3%9,44318.5%65.5%22,0935,68012,6509,5251,118––51,066
Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia QCMODBQLib14,37839.5%6,73718.5%60.4%14,3782,2287,3407,641365–4,40436,356
Beauce QCMODConCon32,91058.9%20,46836.6%66.0%12,44232,9105,4434,144943––55,882
Beauport—Côte-de-Beaupré—Île d’Orléans—Charlevoix QCMODNDPCon16,90333.5%3,3476.6%67.0%13,55616,9039,3069,650859–18250,456
Beauport—Limoilou QCMODNDPCon15,46130.6%2,5805.1%65.4%12,85415,46112,8817,4671,220–67550,558
Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel QCORGBQBQ20,87140.0%8,20515.7%67.5%12,6665,95511,53120,8711,182––52,205
Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis QCMODConCon31,87250.9%18,91130.2%68.4%12,96131,8728,5167,2172,032––62,598
Beloeil—Chambly QCMODNDPNDP20,64131.1%1,1471.7%73.9%19,4946,17320,64118,3871,498–24566,438
Berthier—Maskinongé QCMODNDPNDP22,94242.2%8,90516.4%66.6%11,0325,54822,94214,037847––54,406
Bourassa QCMODLibLib22,23454.1%15,18536.9%59.1%22,2343,8196,1447,04988666932841,129
Brome—Missisquoi QCMODNDPLib25,74443.9%11,36119.4%69.8%25,7446,72414,38310,2521,377–19558,675
Brossard—Saint-Lambert QCMODNDPLib28,81850.3%14,74325.7%69.0%28,8187,21514,0756,0711,081––57,260
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles QCMODNDPCon24,60842.2%11,08319.0%69.7%13,52524,60811,6907,1771,256––58,256
Châteauguay—Lacolle QCMODNDPLib20,24539.1%7,63014.7%69.2%20,2455,80511,98612,615982–14951,782
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord QCMODNDPLib13,61931.1%6001.4%66.7%13,6197,27013,0198,990907––43,805
Compton—Stanstead QCMODNDPLib20,58236.9%5,2829.5%68.8%20,5826,97815,30011,5511,085–31555,811
Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle QCMODNDPLib29,97454.9%18,20533.3%64.4%29,9746,04911,7695,3381,245230–54,605
Drummond QCORGNDPNDP15,83330.5%2,0403.9%65.2%13,7939,22115,83311,8621,270––51,979
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine QCCHGBQLib15,34538.7%2,4606.2%60.8%15,3452,39812,8858,289400–30039,617
Gatineau QCMODNDPLib31,07653.8%15,72427.2%69.1%31,0764,73315,3525,4559421489457,800
Hochelaga QCMODNDPNDP16,03430.9%5001.0%63.5%15,5343,55516,03414,3891,654–73851,904
Honoré-Mercier QCMODNDPLib29,21156.5%20,73340.1%66.2%29,2116,2268,4786,680814–24951,658
Hull—Aylmer QCMODNDPLib28,47851.4%11,00619.9%70.4%28,4784,27817,4723,6251,03516039255,440
Joliette QCMODNDPBQ18,87533.3%2,8805.1%67.0%15,9955,70514,56618,8751,335–21356,689
Jonquière QCMODNDPNDP14,03929.2%3390.7%67.0%13,7008,12414,03911,202656–38248,103
La Pointe-de-l'Île QCMODNDPBQ18,54533.6%2,7685.0%66.2%15,7774,40814,77718,5451,130–49355,226
La Prairie QCNEWNDPLib20,99336.5%5,88610.2%71.0%20,9936,85913,17415,1071,235–20457,572
Lac-Saint-Jean QCMODConCon18,39333.3%2,6584.8%65.8%10,19318,39315,73510,152806––55,279
Lac-Saint-Louis QCMODLibLib39,96564.1%29,10846.7%72.9%39,96510,8577,9971,6811,812––62,312
LaSalle—Émard—Verdun QCMODNDPLib23,60343.9%8,03714.9%64.8%23,6033,71315,5669,1641,717––53,763
Laurentides—Labelle QCORGNDPLib20,27732.1%1,4852.4%66.3%20,2776,20916,64418,7921,251––63,173
Laurier—Sainte-Marie QCMODNDPNDP20,92938.3%5,2309.6%65.0%12,9382,24220,92915,6991,90416080954,681
Laval—Les Îles QCMODNDPLib25,85747.7%15,14727.9%66.6%25,8579,81110,7106,731921–17554,205
Lévis—Lotbinière QCMODConCon31,35750.1%17,79528.4%72.8%13,56231,3579,2467,1631,124–13662,588
Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne QCMODNDPLib18,30135.4%4,3278.4%62.8%18,3014,96112,46813,9741,510–49351,707
Longueuil—Saint-Hubert QCMODNDPNDP18,17131.2%7031.2%68.8%17,4685,08718,17115,8731,447–15358,199
Louis-Hébert QCMODNDPLib21,51634.8%4,7277.7%76.6%21,51616,78912,8508,9001,561–12861,744
Louis-Saint-Laurent QCMODNDPCon32,63750.5%18,78529.0%70.9%13,85232,63710,2966,6881,210––64,683
Manicouagan QCMODNDPBQ17,33841.3%4,99511.9%56.7%12,3434,3177,35917,338673––42,030
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin QCMODNDPLib22,32340.9%9,49617.4%72.4%22,3236,49812,82711,8201,057––54,525
Mégantic—L'Érable QCMODConCon16,74935.4%3,4417.3%67.3%13,30816,74910,3865,8381,006––47,287
Mirabel QCNEWNDPBQ18,71031.5%8371.4%68.9%15,5146,02017,87318,7101,301––59,418
Montarville QCMODNDPLib18,84832.5%2,3884.1%77.7%18,8486,28414,29616,4601,388–64157,917
Montcalm QCMODNDPBQ19,40536.6%4,9219.3%64.7%14,4845,09312,43119,405976–62053,009
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup QCORGNDPCon14,27429.0%2720.6%63.6%14,00214,27411,9187,939823–28749,243
Mount Royal QCMODLibLib24,18750.3%5,98612.%65.1%24,18718,2013,884908747–12448,051
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount QCMODLibLib29,75557.7%18,52635.9%65.0%29,7557,41411,2291,2821,58115118151,593
Outremont QCMODNDPNDP19,24244.1%4,64510.6%61.9%14,5974,15919,2423,6681,575–37843,619
Papineau QCMODLibLib26,39152.0%13,25926.1%65.0%26,3912,39013,1326,1821,44376846550,770
Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères QCMODNDPBQ17,00728.6%2130.4%76.3%16,7946,07914,45417,0075,056––59,390
Pierrefonds—Dollard QCORGNDPLib34,31958.7%22,62538.7%69.0%34,31911,6949,584–2,043––58,505
Pontiac QCMODNDPLib34,15454.5%20,06432.0%71.8%34,1548,71614,0904,3371,089–23962,625
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier QCORGNDPCon27,29044.0%13,60421.9%71.1%13,32227,29013,6866,6651,096––62,059
Québec QCMODNDPLib15,56628.9%1,0001.9%68.7%15,56611,73714,56610,1531,570–27553,867
Repentigny QCMODNDPBQ22,61834.7%4,8207.4%72.1%17,7987,05315,16722,6181,242–1,33365,211
Richmond—Arthabaska QCMODBQCon18,50531.6%4,0426.9%69.3%14,46318,50514,21310,068984–38458,617
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques QCORGNDPNDP19,37443.1%6,78015.1%64.7%12,5943,36319,3748,673669–27344,946
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles QCMODNDPLib18,78732.4%1,6762.9%72.3%18,7876,09917,11114,7551,136158–58,046
Rivière-du-Nord QCMODNDPBQ18,15732.0%1,0801.9%64.4%14,9334,79317,07718,1571,436–26156,657
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie QCMODNDPNDP28,67249.2%16,38928.1%69.7%12,0682,51028,67212,2831,783–1,01958,335
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot QCORGNDPNDP15,57828.7%5981.1%68.6%14,9809,09815,57813,2001,243270–54,369
Saint-Jean QCORGNDPLib20,02233.2%2,4674.1%69.6%20,0226,54917,55514,9791,281––60,386
Saint-Laurent QCMODLibLib24,83261.6%16,96542.1%58.9%24,8327,8674,6461,879977–12940,330
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel QCMODLibLib28,82664.7%22,21549.9%58.9%28,8264,9576,6113,204805–12844,531
Saint-Maurice—Champlain QCMODNDPLib24,47541.5%12,23020.7%65.1%24,4759,59212,24511,2951,144–19658,947
Salaberry—Suroît QCMODNDPNDP18,72630.4 %7711.3%67.5%17,9556,13218,72617,45286721918461,535
Shefford QCMODNDPLib22,95739.0%9,01215.3%68.0%22,9577,52913,94513,0921,397––58,920
Sherbrooke QCMODNDPNDP21,41037.4%4,3397.6%66.3%17,0715,39121,41011,7171,14330326557,300
Terrebonne QCMODNDPBQ19,23833.0%2,9225.0%70.5%16,3166,61514,92819,2381,016–17158,284
Thérèse-De Blainville QCNEWNDPLib18,28132.5%3,0435.4%72.1%18,2817,00014,02215,2381,352–35556,248
Trois-Rivières QCMODNDPNDP19,19331.8%9691.6%67.2%18,22411,23119,19310,2491,032–36060,289
Vaudreuil—Soulanges QCMODNDPLib30,55046.6%15,92324.3%73.0%30,5509,85814,6279,8581,445––65,528
Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Sœurs QCMODNDPLib25,49150.8%13,73427.4%59.0%25,4915,94811,7574,3072,398–26350,164
Vimy QCMODNDPLib25,08246.2%13,69125.2%64.1%25,0827,26211,3919,0681,280–26054,343
Battlefords—Lloydminster SKMODConCon20,54761.0%14,61743.4%66.5%5,55020,5475,930–5751,076–33,678
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek SKMODConCon26,00464.7%18,50546.1%71.8%5,77426,0047,499–902––40,179
Cypress Hills—Grasslands SKMODConCon25,05069.2%19,66954.3%71.4%5,38125,0504,783–993––36,207
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River SKMODConNDP10,31934.2%820.3%64.7%10,2379,10510,319–552––30,213
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan SKMODConCon23,27355.5%13,29531.7%72.2%7,54523,2739,978–961–20841,965
Prince Albert SKMODConCon19,67349.8%8,42921.3%68.5%7,83219,67311,244–761––39,510
Regina—Lewvan SKCHGNDPNDP16,84335.2%1320.3%74.6%13,14316,71116,843–839–29847,834
Regina—Qu'Appelle SKMODConCon16,48644.7%5,34214.5%68.3%8,40116,48611,144–852––36,883
Regina—Wascana SKMODLibLib23,55255.1%10,62124.9%74.6%23,55212,9315,362–878––42,723
Saskatoon West SKCHGNDPNDP14,92139.6%2,5206.7%66.4%9,23412,40114,921–658–50137,715
Saskatoon—Grasswood SKMODConCon19,16641.6%5,25711.4%77.5%12,16519,16613,909–846––46,086
Saskatoon—University SKMODConCon18,59241.5%4,47710.0%76.9%11,28718,59214,115–686–9344,773
Souris—Moose Mountain SKMODConCon26,31570.1%21,18456.5%71.1%5,07626,3155,131–994––37,516
Yorkton—Melville SKMODConCon21,68359.2%14,28739.0%67.4%6,50421,6837,396–1,030––36,613
Northwest Territories TerrORGNDPLib9,17248.3%3,38917.9%63.4%9,1723,4815,783–537––18,973
Nunavut TerrORGConLib5,61947.1%2,44820.5%59.4%5,6192,9563,171–182––11,928
Yukon TerrORGConLib10,88753.7%5,95929.4%75.8%10,8874,9283,943–533––20,291
  = application for judicial recount dismissed
  = judicial recount terminated
  = results as certified by a judge
  1. ↑ "Voting results by electoral district". elections.ca. Retrieved May 5, 2022.
  2. ↑ "List of candidates by electoral district and individual results". elections.ca. Retrieved May 5, 2022.
  3. ↑ "Report on the 42nd general election of October 19, 2015: 2.4 Concluding the Election". elections.ca. February 3, 2016.
  4. ↑ including spoilt ballots
  5. ↑ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  6. ↑ Effect of redistribution: NEW - new riding; MRG - merger of ridings; ORG - boundaries unchanged; CHG - boundaries and 1st place results changed; MOD - only boundaries changed
  7. ↑ valid ballots

Result overview

↓
1849944101
LiberalConservativeNew DemocraticBQG

Summary analysis

PartyVotesSeats
Liberal 6,930,136
39.5%
Increase2.svg 20.6%
184 / 338 (54%)
Conservative 5,600,496
31.9%
Decrease2.svg 7.7%
99 / 338 (29%)
New Democratic 3,461,262
19.7%
Decrease2.svg 10.9%
44 / 338 (13%)
Bloc Québécois 818,652
4.7%
Decrease2.svg 1.2%
10 / 338 (3%)
Green 605,864
3.4%
Decrease2.svg 0.5%
1 / 338 (0.3%)
The disproportionality of parliament in the 2015 election was 12.02 according to the Gallagher Index, mainly in the Liberals' favour. 2015 Canadian General Election Gallagher Index.svg
The disproportionality of parliament in the 2015 election was 12.02 according to the Gallagher Index, mainly in the Liberals' favour.
Elections to the 42nd Parliament of Canada – seats won/lost by party, 2011–2015
Party2011 (redistributed)Gain from (loss to)2015
LibConNDPBQGrn
Liberal 3688582184
Conservative 188(88)6(8)199
New Democratic 109(58)8(6)(9)44
Bloc Québécois 4(2)(1)910
Green 11
Total338–(148)96(7)73(8)3(9)–338
Party candidates in 2nd place [3]
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
LibConNDPBQGrnInd
Liberal 1116481184
Conservative 811899
New Democratic 29113144
Bloc Québécois 8210
Green 11
Total118123841111338
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results [3]
PartiesSeats
█  Liberal █  Conservative 192
█  Liberal █  New Democratic 93
█  Conservative █  New Democratic 29
█  Liberal █  Bloc Québécois 16
█  New Democratic █  Bloc Québécois 5
█  Liberal █  Independent 1
█  Conservative █  Green 1
█  New Democratic █  Green 1
Total338
Seats won, by share of vote going to winning candidate [4]
Party in 1st place>50%45-49.9%40-44.9%35-39.9%<35%Total
Liberal 8748261310184
Conservative 4224208599
New Democratic 3412141144
Bloc Québécois 21710
Green 11
Total13376603633338

Detailed analysis

Turnout

The election was notable for seeing voter turnout rise across all ages and sexes, and especially significant for the rise in younger voters. In particular, there was an increase of 1.2 million voters among those under the age of 35. [5]

Voter turnout by age and sex, %, 2015 vs 2011 [6] [7]
Age20152011∆%
TotalMaleFemaleTotalMaleFemaleTotalMaleFemale
Canada66.164.168.058.557.359.6Increase2.svg7.6Increase2.svg4.5Increase2.svg8.4
18 to 24 years57.153.860.538.836.940.9Increase2.svg18.3Increase2.svg16.9Increase2.svg19.6
1st time voters58.354.961.940.538.442.8Increase2.svg17.7Increase2.svg16.4Increase2.svg19.1
Not 1st time55.152.058.337.836.039.8Increase2.svg17.3Increase2.svg16.0Increase2.svg18.5
25 to 34 years57.454.360.545.142.547.7Increase2.svg12.3Increase2.svg11.8Increase2.svg12.8
35 to 44 years61.958.765.154.551.547.5Increase2.svg7.4Increase2.svg4.2Increase2.svg17.6
45 to 54 years66.663.669.664.562.166.9Increase2.svg2.1Increase2.svg1.5Increase2.svg2.7
55 to 64 years73.771.476.071.570.772.2Increase2.svg2.3Increase2.svg0.7Increase2.svg3.8
65 to 74 years78.879.078.675.177.473.1Increase2.svg3.7Increase2.svg1.6Increase2.svg5.5
75 years and over67.474.162.860.369.554.2Increase2.svg7.1Increase2.svg4.6Increase2.svg8.6

Geographic voting distributions

Party summaries

Liberals

In the previous election, the Liberals were cut down to 34 seats, the fewest they had ever won in their history. It was the first time since the nation's founding that the Liberals had not been either in government or the Official Opposition. They picked up one additional seat in a by-election and one via a floor-crossing.

While the Liberals had been expected to regain much of what they had lost in 2011, they tallied the second-best performance in their history; the 184 seats was bettered only by the 191 they won in 1949. It was also the most seats that a party had won since the Progressive Conservatives won a record 211 in 1984.

The Liberal victory came mainly on the strength of a solid performance in the eastern part of the country. They took every seat in Atlantic Canada and Toronto, and won all but one seat in Ottawa. Most notably, they won 40 of Quebec's 78 seats, mostly on the strength of taking all but five seats in Montreal. It was the first time since 1980 that the Liberals had won the most seats in Quebec.

After going into the election with only four seats west of Ontario, the Liberals had their best showing in Western Canada in more than two decades. They not only took all but one seat in Winnipeg and all but two seats in Vancouver, but won seats in Alberta for the first time since 2004. Notably, they won two seats in Calgary; they had won only three seats there in their entire history prior to 2015, with their last win dating back to 1968. They were the only party to win seats in every province.

Conservatives

The Conservatives lost 60 seats to become the Official Opposition. They held their own in their heartlands of rural western Canada and central Ontario, and managed a respectable showing in southwestern Ontario and the more rural areas of eastern Ontario. However, they suffered heavy losses in urban southern Ontario, a region which had swung heavily to them in 2011. They lost all of their seats in Toronto itself and all but three in the 905 region. They also lost all of their seats in Winnipeg and Vancouver, as well as Atlantic Canada. It is the first time in decades that there are no centre-right MPs east of Quebec. They did, however, manage to make some gains in francophone areas of Quebec, mostly at the expense of the NDP.

Several members of Harper's cabinet were defeated, including Bernard Valcourt, Leona Aglukkaq, Gail Shea, Chris Alexander, Joe Oliver and Julian Fantino among others.

New Democrats

The NDP, the Official Opposition in the previous parliament, fell to third place with 44 seats, losing more than half of their caucus. For the most part, their support bled over to the Liberals, though they lost a few areas of francophone Quebec to the Conservatives and Bloc.

Bloc Québecois

The Bloc made a modest recovery after being nearly decimated in 2011, rebounding to 10 seats. However, Gilles Duceppe, who had been the longest-serving party leader in Canada at the time of his defeat in 2011, failed to win back his old seat of Laurier—Sainte-Marie. The party also received a smaller share of the popular vote than in the last election. As such, their gains could be attributable to NDP-Liberal vote splitting in francophone ridings more than a surge in popular support.

Contributing factors to party success

The parties had varying degrees of success by region and by socioeconomic factors. An analysis by The Globe and Mail shortly after the election was held revealed significant differences: [8]

Party support arising from certain key factors by region in the Canadian general election (2015), as a proportion of the ridings won
RegionIncome (Median household)Unemployment rateVisible minority population
<$35,810$35,810–$141,720>$141,720Low (4%–6%)High (9%–22%)Low (<2.41%)High (>26.8%)
Atlantic
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Quebec
50%
27%
14%
9%
46%
14%
21%
18%
83%
17%
44%
16%
24%
16%
71%
21%
4%
4%
28%
25%
31%
17%
92%
8%
Ontario
67%
33%
64%
6%
30%
69%
2%
29%
56%
3%
42%
72%
13%
15%
37%
11%
53%
91%
2%
7%
Prairies
33%
33%
33%
23%
10%
68%
12%
4%
84%
18%
7%
75%
67%
33%
22%
78%
40%
60%
British Columbia
25%
50%
25%
41%
33%
22%
4%
57%
14%
29%
53%
26%
16%
5%
27%
47%
27%
N/A
65%
29%
6%
The North
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%

Results by province

Party name BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PE NL YT NT NU Total
     Liberal Seats:174178040101147111184
Vote:35.224.623.944.644.835.751.661.958.364.553.648.347.239.5
     Conservative Seats:10291053312–––––––99
Vote:30.059.548.537.335.016.725.317.919.310.324.018.024.831.9
     New Democratic Party Seats:14132816–––––––44
Vote:25.911.625.113.816.625.418.316.416.021.019.530.826.519.7
     Bloc Québécois Seats:–––––10–––––––10
Vote:–––––19.3–––––––4.7
     Green Seats:1––––––––––––1
Vote:8.22.52.13.22.92.34.63.46.01.12.92.81.53.4
     Independent and no affiliation Vote:0.10.80.20.60.20.10.10.3–2.9–––0.2
Total seats4234141412178101147111338

10 closest ridings

Electoral district1st-place candidate2nd-place candidateWon byConfirmed on recount [9]
Elmwood—Transcona MB Daniel Blaikie Lawrence Toet 61 votes
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River SK Georgina Jolibois Lawrence Joseph71 votesGreen check.svg
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte ON Alex Nuttall Brian Tamblyn86 votesGreen check.svg
Edmonton Mill Woods AB Amarjeet Sohi Tim Uppal 92 votesGreen check.svg
Regina—Lewvan SK Erin Weir Trent Fraser132 votes
Hastings—Lennox and Addington ON Mike Bossio Daryl Kramp 225 votes
Kitchener—Conestoga ON Harold Albrecht Tim Louis251 votes
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup QC Bernard Généreux Marie-Josée Normand272 votesGreen check.svg
Kootenay—Columbia BC Wayne Stetski David Wilks 282 votes
Jonquière QC Karine Trudel Marc Pettersen339 votes

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

Significant vote tallies for independent and minor party candidates
RidingCandidateVotesPlaced
Avalon NL█ No Affiliation Scott Andrews 7,5012nd
Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia QC█  Strength in Democracy Jean-François Fortin 4,2294th
Battlefords—Lloydminster SK█  Independent Doug Anguish 1,0764th
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam BC█  Libertarian Lewis Clarke Dahlby1,0145th
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa MB█  Independent Inky Mark 3,3574th
New Westminster—Burnaby BC█  Libertarian Rex Brocki1,3685th
Niagara West ON█  Christian Heritage Harold Jonker1,2345th
Oxford ON█  Christian Heritage Melody Ann Aldred1,1755th
Portage—Lisgar MB█  Christian Heritage Jerome Dondo [a 1] 1,3155th
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke ON█  Independent Hector Clouthier 6,3003rd
Repentigny QC█  Strength in Democracy Johnathan Cloutier1,3335th
St. Albert—Edmonton AB█  Independent Brent Rathgeber 11,6523rd
Scarborough Centre ON█  Libertarian Katerina Androutsos1,3844th
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan AB█  Independent James Ford [a 2] 1,5635th
Toronto—Danforth ON█  Progressive Canadian John Richardson1,2755th
York South—Weston ON█  Libertarian Stephen Lepone1,0414th
  1. ↑ President of the CHP
  2. ↑ Had placed 2nd in the previous two elections in the former riding of Edmonton—Sherwood Park

Retiring & defeated incumbents

Notional gains

As a result of the 2012 federal electoral redistribution, thirty new ridings were added and many riding boundaries were changed, so several incumbent MPs who ran chose to do so in new ridings. The following table identifies the subsequent nominees in their old ridings and who they lost to.

Electoral District, with 2011 redistributed resultIncumbent at dissolution and subsequent nomineeNew MP
Alberta  Edmonton Mill Woods   Mike Lake Tim Uppal   Amarjeet Sohi
British Columbia  Burnaby North—Seymour   Kennedy Stewart Carol Baird Ellan   Terry Beech
  North Island—Powell River   John Duncan Laura Smith  Rachel Blaney
  Steveston—Richmond East   Kerry-Lynne Findlay Kenny Chiu  Joe Peschisolido
Ontario  Bay of Quinte   Daryl Kramp Jodie Jenkins  Neil Ellis
  Brampton East   Bal Gosal Naval Bajaj  Raj Grewal
  Brampton West   Kyle Seeback Ninder Thind  Kamal Khera
  Don Valley East   Joe Daniel Maureen Harquail  Yasmin Ratansi
  Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas   David Sweet Vincent Samuel  Filomena Tassi
  Nepean   Pierre Poilievre Andy Wang  Chandra Arya
  Oakville North—Burlington   Lisa Raitt Effie Triantafilopoulos  Pam Damoff
  Richmond Hill   Costas Menegakis Michael Parsa  Majid Jowhari
Quebec  Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation   Mylène Freeman Chantal Crête  Stéphane Lauzon
  Marc-Aurèle-Fortin   Alain Giguère Marie-Josée Lemieux  Yves Robillard
  Repentigny   Jean-François Larose Johnathan Cloutier  Monique Pauzé
Saskatchewan  Regina—Lewvan   Tom Lukiwski Trent Fraser  Erin Weir
  Saskatoon West   Kelly Block Randy Donauer  Sheri Benson

Effects of redistribution

As a result of the 2012 federal electoral redistribution, 31 new ridings were added and two ridings were merged. Boundary changes in eleven other ridings had the effect of revising the first-place ranking from what had occurred in 2011.

Net effect of 2012 redistribution
Effect#
New ridings31
Merged riding1
No change in boundaries44
Modified boundaries - change in 1st place11
Modified boundaries - no change in standing251
Total338

New and merged seats

The following table identifies what party would have held the redistributed ridings based on 2011 results for the new ridings, and the subsequent MPs who were elected.

PartyElectoral DistrictNew MP
Conservative
Alberta Bow River   Martin Shields
Calgary Rocky Ridge   Pat Kelly
Calgary Shepard   Tom Kmiec
Edmonton Manning   Ziad Aboultaif
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin   Mike Lake
Peace River—Westlock   Arnold Viersen
Sturgeon River—Parkland   Rona Ambrose
British Columbia Cloverdale—Langley City   John Aldag
Delta   Carla Qualtrough
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon   Jati Sidhu
Vancouver Granville   Jody Wilson-Raybould
Ontario Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill   Leona Alleslev
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte   Alex Nuttall
Brampton Centre   Ramesh Sangha
Brampton South   Sonia Sidhu
Carleton   Pierre Poilievre
Don Valley North   Geng Tan
Flamborough—Glanbrook   David Sweet
Hastings—Lennox and Addington   Mike Bossio
King—Vaughan   Deb Schulte
Kitchener South—Hespeler   Marwan Tabbara
Milton   Lisa Raitt
Mississauga Centre   Omar Alghabra
NDP
British Columbia Burnaby South   Kennedy Stewart
Nanaimo—Ladysmith   Sheila Malcolmson
Ontario University—Rosedale   Chrystia Freeland
Quebec La Prairie   Jean-Claude Poissant
Mirabel   Simon Marcil
Thérèse-De Blainville   Ramez Ayoub
Liberal Ontario Scarborough—Rouge Park   Gary Anandasangaree
Markham—Thornhill   John McCallum

In Alberta, Vegreville—Wainwright and Westlock—St. Paul were merged to form Lakeland.

PartyElectoral DistrictNew MP
Conservative Alberta Lakeland   Shannon Stubbs
Seats won/lost by party (new and merged seats)
Party2011 (redistributed)Gain from (loss to)2015
LibConNDPBQGrn
Liberal 212317
Conservative 24(12)12
New Democratic 6(3)(1)2
Bloc Québécois –11
Green ––
Total32–(15)12–4––(1)–32

Reclassified seats

Reclassified ridings (where redistribution adjusted 1st place ranking)
Province2011Redist.RidingNew MP
British Columbia█  New Democratic █  Conservative Burnaby North—Seymour   Terry Beech
█  New Democratic █  Conservative Port Moody—Coquitlam   Fin Donnelly*
█  New Democratic █  Conservative South Okanagan—West Kootenay   Richard Cannings
Saskatchewan█  Conservative █  New Democratic Regina—Lewvan   Erin Weir
█  Conservative █  New Democratic Saskatoon West   Sheri Benson
Manitoba█  Liberal █  New Democratic Winnipeg North   Kevin Lamoureux*
Ontario█  Conservative █  New Democratic Brampton East   Raj Grewal
█  Conservative █  Liberal Don Valley East   Yasmin Ratansi
Quebec█  Bloc Québécois █  Liberal Ahuntsic-Cartierville   Mélanie Joly
█  New Democratic █  Bloc Québécois Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine   Diane Lebouthillier
Newfoundland and Labrador█  Liberal █  Conservative Avalon   Ken McDonald

* - Incumbent

Seats won/lost by party (reclassified seats)
Party2011 (redistributed)Gain from (loss to)2015
LibConNDPBQGrn
Liberal 22217
Conservative 4(2)(2)–
New Democratic 4(2)24
Bloc Québécois 1(1)–
Green ––
Total11–(5)4–2(2)1––11

Ridings with unchanged boundaries

There were 44 ridings whose boundaries were not changed as a result of the redistribution. [10] Their election results were as follows:

PartyElectoral DistrictNew MP
  Conservative Manitoba Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley   Doug Eyolfson
Newfoundland and Labrador Labrador   Yvonne Jones*
Nova Scotia West Nova   Colin Fraser
Ontario Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound   Larry Miller*
Dufferin—Caledon   David Tilson*
Eglinton—Lawrence   Marco Mendicino
Huron—Bruce   Ben Lobb*
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes   Gord Brown*
Niagara Falls   Rob Nicholson*
Oakville   John Oliver
Parry Sound-Muskoka   Tony Clement*
Perth Wellington   John Nater
(federal electoral district)|Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke   Cheryl Gallant*
Sarnia—Lambton   Marilyn Gladu
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry   Guy Lauzon*
Wellington—Halton Hills   Michael Chong*
Prince Edward Island Egmont   Bobby Morrissey
Territories Nunavut   Hunter Tootoo
Yukon   Larry Bagnell
  NDP British Columbia Vancouver East   Jenny Kwan
Victoria   Murray Rankin*
Manitoba Winnipeg Centre   Robert-Falcon Ouellette
Ontario Beaches—East York   Nathaniel Erskine-Smith
Davenport   Julie Dzerowicz
Parkdale—High Park   Arif Virani
Toronto—Danforth   Julie Dabrusin
York South—Weston   Ahmed Hussen
Quebec Drummond   François Choquette*
Laurentides—Labelle   David Graham
Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup   Bernard Généreux
Pierrefonds—Dollard   Frank Baylis
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier   Joël Godin
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques   Guy Caron*
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot   Brigitte Sansoucy
Saint-Jean   Saint-Jean
Territories Northwest Territories   Michael McLeod
  Liberal Nova Scotia Kings—Hants   Scott Brison*
Sydney—Victoria   Mark Eyking*
Ontario Guelph   Lloyd Longfield
Humber River—Black Creek   Judy Sgro*
Prince Edward Island Cardigan   Lawrence MacAulay*
Charlottetown   Sean Casey*
Malpeque   Wayne Easter*
  Bloc Québécois Quebec Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel   Louis Plamondon*

* - Incumbent

Seats won/lost by party (ridings with unchanged boundaries)
Party2011 (redistributed)Gain from (loss to)2015
LibConNDPBQGrn
Liberal 781025
Conservative 19(8)213
New Democratic 17(10)(2)5
Bloc Québécois 11
Green ––
Total44–(18)8(2)12––––44

Notes

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    References

    1. ↑ "Canada Election 2015 Live Results CBC". CBC.ca.
    2. ↑ "Voter turnout spikes after long, unpredictable campaign". cbc.ca. October 20, 2015.
    3. 1 2 Daniel Schwartz (October 21, 2015). "Going deeper into Canada's 2015 federal election results". CBC News.
    4. ↑ Antony Green (October 21, 2015). "Canada 2015 - Would Preferential Voting Have Made a Difference?". blogs.abc.net.au. Australian Broadcasting Corporation.
    5. ↑ Clark, Campbell (June 15, 2016). "After 'a seismic shift' in voting, it's time to fill in the political trenches". The Globe and Mail .
    6. ↑ "Voter Turnout by Age Group" (PDF). Elections Canada. 2016.
    7. ↑ "Voter turnout by sex and age" (PDF). Elections Canada. 2016.
    8. ↑ Eric Andrew-Gee (October 21, 2015). "How Canadians voted". The Globe and Mail . pp. A8–A9.
    9. ↑ "Summary table of judicial recounts". elections.ca. 2015.
    10. ↑ "List of unchanged federal electoral districts". elections.ca. Retrieved April 23, 2022.
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