1949 Canadian federal election

1949 Canadian federal election

←  1945 June 27, 1949 1953  →
←  outgoing members elected members  →
262 seats in the House of Commons 132 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout	73.8% [1] (1.5pp)
First party Second party   Leader Louis St. Laurent George A. Drew Party Liberal Progressive Conservative Leader since August 7, 1948 October 2, 1948 Leader's seat Quebec East Carleton Last election 118 65 Seats won 191 41 Seat change 73 24 Popular vote 2,874,813 1,734,261 Percentage 49.15% 29.65% Swing 9.37pp 2.03pp   Third party Fourth party   Leader Major James Coldwell Solon Earl Low Party Co-operative Commonwealth Social Credit Leader since March 22, 1942 April 6, 1944 Leader's seat Rosetown—Biggar Peace River Last election 28 13 Seats won 13 10 Seat change 15 3 Popular vote 784,770 135,217 Percentage 13.42% 2.31% Swing 2.13pp 1.74pp
The Canadian parliament after the 1949 election
Prime Minister before election Louis St. Laurent Liberal Prime Minister after election Louis St. Laurent Liberal

The 1949 Canadian federal election was held June 27, 1949, to elect members of the House of Commons of Canada of the 21st Parliament of Canada.

The Liberal Party of Canada was re-elected with its fourth consecutive government, winning 191 seats (73 percent of the seats in the House of Commons), with just under 50 percent of the popular vote.

It was the Liberals' first election in almost thirty years not under the leadership of William Lyon Mackenzie King. King had retired in 1948, and was replaced as Liberal leader and Prime Minister by Louis St. Laurent.

It was the first federal election with Newfoundland voting, having joined Canada in March of that year. It was also the first election since 1904 in which part of the remaining parts of the Northwest Territories were granted representation, following the partitioning off of the provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan.

The Liberal Party victory won the largest majority in Canadian history to that point. As of 2025 ^[update] , it remains the third largest majority government in Canadian history, and the largest in the party's history (the Progressive Conservative Party won larger seat majorities in 1958 and 1984).

Smaller parties, such as the social democratic Co-operative Commonwealth Federation, and Social Credit, a party that advocated monetary reform, lost support to the Liberals and, to a lesser extent, the Conservatives.

Overview

Liberal Party

Despite the humiliation of losing his own seat at the previous election, Mackenzie King remained a popular Prime Minister, working to bring about Canadian citizenship as a legal right (Canadians having been previously British subjects), and the entry of Newfoundland into the confederation. Failing health ultimately forced his resignation in 1948, and his Quebec lieutenant and Secretary for External Affairs, Louis St. Laurent handily won the race to succeed him, beating out former cabinet minister James Garfield Gardiner.

The Liberals' polling numbers wavered slightly following St. Laurent's installation as Prime Minister, but they consistently remained well ahead of the Progressive Conservatives, and with the party's polling lead starting to increase again in early 1949, St. Laurent decided to capitalise and called a snap election. While the party had been governing without a stable majority since the previous election, they had generally been able to count on the support of the CCF to pass important legislation; St. Laurent's goal was to win a solid majority and remove his party's need to make concessions to the CCF on matters of confidence.

St. Laurent became the first leader of a major Canadian party to extensively campaign in person since former Conservative leader R. B. Bennett in 1930, projecting an image of himself as a congenial family man. While the campaign was relatively light on actual policy and based mostly around St. Laurent's personality, the approach paid off and saw the Liberals win the biggest parliamentary majority in the country's history until that point (and what remains the Liberals' biggest majority), with the only province where they failed to win at least a plurality of the popular vote being Alberta, where support for Social Credit remained strong; even then, the five seats won in the province by the Liberals has not been matched at any federal election since this one.

Progressive Conservatives

The Progressive Conservative Party, led by former Premier of Ontario George Drew, lost over a third of their seats. Despite the party's mild recovery at the previous election, they proved a largely ineffective opposition and remained far behind the Liberals in polls throughout the 1945-1949 parliament, largely due to in-fighting between the western faction of previous leader John Bracken, and the party's eastern establishment who favoured the installation of Drew as leader. Drew's own reluctance to step away from his role as Premier of Ontario hampered efforts to remove Bracken, and it wasn't until Drew unexpectedly lost his seat in the Ontario legislature in the 1948 provincial election and announced his intention to move into federal politics that Bracken finally resigned.

While Drew won the leadership of the Progressive Conservatives by a landslide over John Diefenbaker in October 1948, his ascension to the party leadership was overshadowed by St. Laurent's own rise to the Prime Minister's office (additionally, Drew was not an MP when he became party leader, causing him to lose a further two months on a by-election to the Carleton riding after both the CCF and Social Credit fielded candidates and actively campaigned against him, going against the usual convention of allowing Canadian party leaders to win by-elections without opposition), meaning that he struggled to make an impression in the media. Support for the party declined across the country in the election, but was felt most keenly in Drew's native Ontario, and to a lesser degree in British Columbia. The party thus failed to win even a plurality of the seat count or popular vote in even a single province or territory (although they did come a very close second in the popular vote in Prince Edward Island). Their national popular vote share actually increased by two percentage points, but most of the extra votes were in earned in Quebec, where they accomplished little due to the large majorities held by Liberal MPs.

Co-Operative Commonwealth Federation

After something of a breakthrough in the previous federal election, the CCF struggled to keep up its momentum. Their polling numbers peaked in late 1948 when they came close to moving into second place ahead of the Progressive Conservatives, thanks to party leader Major James Coldwell being able to portray an image of experience compared to the new Liberal and Progressive Conservative leaders, but this increase ebbed away after the turn of the year, once St. Laurent and Drew had been able to establish themselves as leaders of their respective parties.

Despite hopes to exploit renewed western alienation that might be generated by the leaders of the two main parties respectively being from Quebec and Ontario, the CCF were largely unable to capitalise and ended up losing over half their parliamentary caucus. In particular, they were decimated in their political base of Saskatchewan, losing all but five of their seats to the Liberals despite coming a close second in the popular vote, and the relative popularity of Tommy Douglas' provincial CCF government. The only saving grace was that the CCF at least remained the main challengers to the Liberals in the west, coming away with 11 seats west of Ontario compared to 10 and 7 respectively for the Socreds and Progressive Conservatives.

Social Credit Party

For the fourth successive election, Social Credit would only succeed in electing MPs in Alberta, where they continued to control the legislative assembly under Premier Ernest Manning. While their vote and seat count also declined, they held up better than the CCF's did, in part because the resignation of Bracken as Conservative leader and the ensuing abandonment of his western populist policies caused some Progressive Conservative supporters to switch their support to the Socreds, stemming losses to the Liberals. The party thus lost three seats to the Liberals, but remained a comfortable first in the province, making them the only party other than the Liberals to win the most seats and/or votes in a province during this election.

Opinion polling

Evolution of voting intentions at national level

Polling firm	Last day of survey	Source	LPC	PC	CCF	SC	BP	Other	Undecided	ME	Sample
Election 1949	June 27, 1949		49.15	29.65	13.42	2.31	—	5.47
Gallup	June 1949	[2]	49	29	15	—	—	6	22	—	—
Gallup	May 1949	[3]	49	29	16	—	—	6	18	—	—
Gallup	April 1949	[4]	42	32	17	5	—	4	22	—	—
Gallup	January 1949	[2]	40	33	18	—	—	9	23	—	—
Gallup	October 1948	[5]	39	27	21	7	—	6	—	—	—
Gallup	August 1948	[5]	41	28	20	6	—	5	—	—	—
Gallup	June 1948	[6]	41	28	19	6	—	6	—	—	—
Gallup	February 1948	[6]	43	28	15	7	—	7	—	—	—
Gallup	January 1948	[6]	42	28	16	6	—	8	26 [2]	—	—
Gallup	October 1947	[6]	43	28	16	6	—	7	—	—	—
Gallup	July 1947	[7]	42	27	16	6	—	9	—	—	—
Bloc populaire dissolved (July 6, 1947)
Gallup	May 1947	[7]	43	26	16	6	—	9	—	—	—
Gallup	February 1947	[8]	41	27	18	7	4	3	—	—	—
Gallup	December 1946	[8]	41	26	18	6	5	4	—	—	—
Gallup	September 1946	[9]	41	27	17	5	—	10	—	—	—
Gallup	May 1946	[9]	44	26	16	4	—	10	—	—	—
Gallup	January 1946	[9]	45	24	16	4	—	10	—	—	—
Gallup	November 1945	[9]	44	26	17	4	—	9	—	—	—
Election 1945	June 11, 1945		39.78	27.62	15.55	4.05	3.29	9.71

National results

Party		Party leader	# of candidates	Seats			Popular vote
				1945	Elected	% Change	#	%	Change
	Liberal	Louis St. Laurent	258	117	191	+63.2%	2,874,813	49.15%	+9.37pp
	Progressive Conservative	George Drew	249	65	41	-21.5%	1,734,261	29.65%	+2.03pp
	Co-operative Commonwealth	M.J. Coldwell	180	28	13	-53.6%	784,770	13.42%	-2.13pp
	Social Credit	Solon Low	28	13	10	-23.1%	135,217	2.31%	-1.74pp
	Independent		28	6	4	-33.3%	119,827	2.05%	-2.84pp
	Union of Electors	Réal Caouette	56	-	-	-	86,087	1.47%	+1.46pp
	Labor–Progressive	Tim Buck	17	1	-	-100%	32,623	0.56%	-1.58pp
	Independent Liberal		15	8	1	-87.5%	30,407	0.52%	-1.27pp
	Liberal-Labour		2	-	1		11,730	0.20%	+0.19pp
	Liberal–Progressive		1	1	1	-	9,192	0.16%	+0.04pp
	Independent PC		6	1	-	-100%	8,195	0.14%	-0.14pp
	Farmer-Labour		1	-	-	-	6,161	0.11%	-0.07pp
	National Unity	Adrien Arcand	1	*	-	*	5,590	0.10%	*
	Nationalist		1	*	-	*	4,994	0.09%	*
	Independent Social Credit		2	*	-	*	4,598	0.08%	*
	Labour		2	-	-	-	415	0.01%	x
	Socialist Labour		1	*	-	*	271	x	*
Total			848	245	262	+7.8%	5,849,151	100%
Sources: http://www.elections.ca -- History of Federal Ridings since 1867 Archived 2008-12-04 at the Wayback Machine

Notes:

* The party did not nominate candidates in the previous election.

x - less than 0.005% of the popular vote

Vote and seat summaries

Popular vote Liberal   49.15% PC   29.65% CCF   13.42% Social Credit   2.31% Labor-Progressive   0.56% Others   4.91%

Seat totals Liberal   72.90% PC   15.64% CCF   4.96% Social Credit   3.81% Others   2.67%

Results by province

Party name			BC	AB	SK	MB	ON	QC	NB	NS	PE	NL	Terr	Total
	Liberal	Seats:	11	5	14	11	55	68	8	10	3	5	1	191
		Popular Vote:	36.7	33.8	43.4	45.1	45.1	60.4	53.8	52.7	49.2	71.9	49.0	49.1
	Progressive Conservative	Seats:	3	2	1	1	25	2	2	2	1	2	-	41
		Vote:	27.9	16.8	14.4	22.0	37.4	24.5	39.4	37.5	48.4	27.9		29.7
	Co-operative Commonwealth	Seats:	3	-	5	3	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	13
		Vote:	31.5	10.0	40.9	25.9	15.2	1.1	4.2	9.9	2.4	0.2	17.0	13.4
	Social Credit	Seats:	-	10	-		-							10
		Vote:	0.5	37.4	0.9		0.2							2.3
	Independent	Seats:	1			-	-	3	-					4
		Vote:	2.6			2.1	0.1	6.1	0.2				34.0	2.1
	Independent Liberal	Seats:					1	-	-					1
		Vote:					0.3	1.3	1.4					0.5
	Liberal-Labour	Seats:					1	-						1
		Vote:					0.6	xx						0.2
	Liberal-Progressive	Seats:				1								1
		Vote:				2.9								0.2
Total Seats			18	17	20	16	83	73	10	13	4	7	1	262
Parties that won no seats:
	Union of Electors	Vote:					0.1	5.1	1.0					1.5
	Labor–Progressive	Vote:	0.8	0.7	0.4	2.0	0.7	0.3						0.6
	Independent PC	Vote:					xx	0.5						0.1
	Farmer-Labour	Vote:					0.3							0.1
	National Unity	Vote:						0.4						0.1
	Nationalist	Vote:						0.3						0.1
	Independent Social Credit	Vote:		1.4										0.1
	Labour	Vote:					xx	xx						xx
	Socialist Labour	Vote:					xx							xx

• xx - less than 0.05% of the popular vote

See also

• Canada portal
• Politics portal

• List of Canadian federal general elections
• List of political parties in Canada
• 21st Canadian Parliament

References

1. "Voter Turnout at Federal Elections and Referendums". Elections Canada. Retrieved March 10, 2019.
2. "Survey gives Liberals margin over others". The Calgary Gazette. June 18, 1949. p. 22.
3. "Drew versus the pollsters". The Leader-Post. June 20, 1949. p. 6.
4. "Canada's election watched for socialistic trends". The Schenectady Gazette. June 4, 1949. p. 8.
5. "Liberal support falls below '45 vote level". The Calgary Gazette. October 16, 1948. p. 2.
6. "CCF gaining support at liberals' expense". The Ottawa Citizen. June 30, 1948. p. 1.
7. "Party strength in Canada stays virtually unchanged". The Windsor Star. October 4, 1947. p. 16.
8. "Few changes noted in political set-up". The Calgary Herald. March 1, 1947. p. 16.
9. "No Notable Shift in Party Support". The Evening Citizen. March 1, 1947. p. 1.

Further reading

• LeDuc, Lawrence; Pammett, Jon H.; McKenzie, Judith L.; Turcotte, André (2010). Dynasties and Interludes: Past and Present in Canadian Electoral Politics . Toronto: Dundurn Press. ISBN   978-1-55488-886-3.
• Beck, James Murray (1968). Pendulum of Power; Canada's Federal Elections . Scarborough: Prentice-Hall of Canada. ISBN   978-0-13-655670-1.