Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2014

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Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2014
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2010 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2018  
  Asa Hutchinson.jpg Mike Ross Official (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Asa Hutchinson Mike Ross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote470,429352,115
Percentage55.4%41.5%

Arkansas Governor Election Results by County, 2014.svg
County results

Hutchinson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Contents

Ross:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%

Governor before election

Mike Beebe
Democratic

Elected Governor

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

The 2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with the election to Arkansas's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

The three classes of United States Senators are made up of 33 or 34 Senate seats each. The purpose of the classes is to determine which Senate seats will be up for election in a given year. The three groups are staggered so that senators in one of the groups are up for election every two years, rather than having all 100 seats up for election at once. For example, the 33 Senate seats of class 1 were up for election in 2018, the elections for the 33 seats of class 2 will take place in 2020, and the elections for the 34 seats of class 3 will be held in 2022.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Mike Beebe was not eligible to run for re-election due to term limits established by the Arkansas Constitution. Arkansas is one of eight states that limits its Governors to two terms for life. [1] The Democrats nominated former U.S. Representative Mike Ross and the Republicans nominated former DEA Administrator, former U.S. Representative and 2006 nominee Asa Hutchinson. Hutchinson defeated Ross and two minor party candidates in the general election.

Democratic Party (United States) political party in the United States

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party. The Democrats' dominant worldview was once social conservatism and economic liberalism while populism was its leading characteristic in the rural South. In 1912, Theodore Roosevelt ran as a third-party candidate in the Progressive Party, beginning a switch of political platforms between the Democratic and Republican Party over the coming decades, and leading to Woodrow Wilson being elected as the first fiscally progressive Democrat. Since Franklin D. Roosevelt and his New Deal coalition in the 1930s, the Democratic Party has also promoted a social liberal platform, supporting social justice.

Mike Beebe Arkansas Attorney General, Governor

Mickey Dale Beebe is an American politician and attorney who served as the 45th Governor of Arkansas from 2007 to 2015.

Term limits in the United States

Term limits in the United States apply to many offices at both the federal and state level, and date back to the American Revolution.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Lynette "Doc" Bryant, activist [2]
  • Mike Ross, former U.S. Representative [3]
Mike Ross (politician) American businessman and politician

Michael Avery Ross is an American businessman and politician. He is a member of the Democratic Party who was his party's 2014 nominee for Governor of Arkansas. He also served as the U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 4th congressional district from 2001 to 2013. He was also a member of the Arkansas Senate from 1991 to 2001, member of the Nevada County Quorum Court from 1983 to 1985, and is a former small business owner.

Withdrew

Bill Halter American politician, activist

William A. Halter is an American politician best known for being the 14th Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas. A member of the Democratic Party, he was elected to succeed the late Republican Winthrop Paul Rockefeller in 2006, defeating Republican challenger Jim Holt.

The Lieutenant Governor of Arkansas presides over the Arkansas Senate with a tie-breaking vote, serves as governor when the governor is out of state, and serves as governor if the governor is impeached, removed from office, dies or is otherwise unable to discharge the office's duties. The lieutenant governor position is elected separately from the governor.

Declined

Shane Broadway is a former Speaker of the Arkansas House of Representatives and former director of the Arkansas Department of Higher Education. He is currently the Vice-President for Governmental Relations at Arkansas State University in Jonesboro. He is a member of the Democratic Party.

John Burkhalter Arkansas businessman and politician

John Collins Burkhalter is a businessman and Democratic politician from North Little Rock, Arkansas.

Conner Eldridge American lawyer

William Conner Eldridge Jr. is the former United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas. He is a member of the Democratic Party and was that party's nominee for the 2016 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas.

Endorsements

Mike Ross

National political figures

Bill Clinton 42nd president of the United States

William Jefferson Clinton, commonly known as Bill Clinton, is an American politician who served as the 42nd president of the United States from 1993 to 2001. Prior to the presidency, he was the governor of Arkansas from 1979 to 1981, and again from 1983 to 1992, and the attorney general of Arkansas from 1977 to 1979. A member of the Democratic Party, Clinton was ideologically a New Democrat and many of his policies reflected a centrist "Third Way" political philosophy.

President of the United States Head of state and of government of the United States

President of the United States (POTUS) is the title for the head of state and head of government of the United States of America. The president directs the executive branch of the federal government and is the commander-in-chief of the United States Armed Forces.

Arkansas political figures

Business leaders

  • Abraham Carpenter, Jr., owner and operator of Carpenter's Produce [19]
  • Jim Gaston, owner of Gaston's White River Resort, former Arkansas Business Executive of the Year and emeritus member of the Arkansas Parks & Tourism Commission [19]

Organizations

  • Arkansas Professional Fire Fighters Association [19]
  • Arkansas Timber Producers Association [19]
  • Central South Carpenters Regional Council [19]
  • Laborers International Union of North America [19]
  • Laborers Local 107 [19]
  • Laborers Local 1282 [19]
  • Southern States Millwright Regional Council [19]
  • Southwest Laborers District Council [19]

Polling

Results

Democratic primary results [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mike Ross129,43784.41
Democratic Lynette "Doc" Bryant23,90615.59
Total votes153,343100

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Curtis Coleman

National politicians

Elected legislators

Local elected leaders

Organizations

  • Miller County Patriots [46]

Organization leaders

  • Bishop Robert E. Smith, Sr., founder of Total Outreach for Christ Ministries, Inc. and Word of Outreach Christian Center [47]
  • Timothy Stephenson, founder of the EAST Initiative [48]
Asa Hutchinson

Federal legislators

State legislators

Local elected officials

  • Jerry Taylor, Democratic former state senator, state representative, and mayor of Pine Bluff [51]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Curtis
Coleman
Asa
Hutchinson
Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 29, 20141,516± 2.5%20%70%10%
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014342± 5.3%23%62%15%

Results

Republican primary results [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Asa Hutchinson130,75272.95
Republican Curtis Coleman48,47327.05
Total votes179,225100

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [54] Lean RNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [55] Likely RNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [56] Lean RNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [57] Lean RNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Ross (D)
Asa
Hutchinson (R)
OtherUndecided
Opinion Research Associates October 30–November 1, 2014400± 5%43%39%5%< [58] 14%
Public Policy Polling October 30–November 1, 20141,092± 3%41%51%4% [59] 4%
44%53%3%
Rasmussen Reports October 27–29, 2014967± 3%43%50%3%4%
Issues & Answers Network October 21–27, 2014568± 4.1%39%50%11%
Opinion Research Associates October 25–26, 2014401± 5%44%42%2% [60] 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20141,567± 4%38%47%0%15%
NBC News/Marist October 19–23, 2014621± 3.9%44%47%4% [61] 5%
971± 3.1%44%43%5% [62] 8%
Hendrix Poll October 15–16, 20142,075± 2.2%41%49%4.5%5.5%
Rasmussen Reports October 13–15, 2014940± 3%47%49%1%3%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014707± 3.5%37%46%5% [63] 12%
Opinion Research Associates October 1–5, 2014400± 5%45%41%3%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 20141,991± 2%38%49%1%12%
Rasmussen Reports September 24–25, 2014750± 4%42%46%4%8%
Suffolk September 20–23, 2014500± 4.4%41.4%42.6%5% [64] 11%
Public Policy Polling September 18–21, 20141,453± 2.6%38%44%5% [65] 13%
40%46%14%
Gravis Marketing September 8–11, 2014902± 4%42%46%2% [66] 10%
Answers Unlimited September 7–9, 2014600± 3.5%44%44%4% [59] 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 20141,572± 3%38%45%1%15%
NBC News/Marist September 2–4, 2014639 LV± 3.9%39%48%6% [67] 7%
1,068 RV± 3%39%46%7% [68] 8%
Rasmussen Reports August 25–26, 2014750± 4%46%44%3%7%
Opinion Research Associates August 6–14, 2014414± 4.9%44%44%3% [69] 9%
Public Policy Polling August 1–3, 20141,066± 3%38%43%7% [70] 12%
40%46%14%
Talk Business/Hendrix College July 22–25, 20141,780± 2.3%41%46%5.5% [71] 7.5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 20141,616± 3.5%45%48%2%4%
Gravis Marketing July 7–8, 2014987± 3%46%49%5% [66]
Public Opinion Strategies May 27–29, 2014500± 4.39%42%48%10%
Rasmussen Reports May 27–28, 2014750± 4%41%48%4%6%
NBC News/Marist April 30–May 4, 2014876± 3.3%42%49%2%7%
Public Policy Polling April 25–27, 2014840± 3.4%38%46%16%
New York Times/Kaiser Family April 8–15, 2014857± ?40%41%4%16%
Opinion Research Associates April 1–8, 2014400± 5%45%39%17%
Talk Business/Hendrix College April 3–4, 20141,068± 3%44%43%5% [65] 8%
Impact Management Group February 10, 20141,202± 2.83%42%42%17%
Rasmussen Reports February 4–5, 2014500± 4.5%44%41%3%12%
Public Policy Polling December 13–15, 20131,004± 3.1%43%44%14%
Impact Management Group October 24, 2013911± 3.2%37%40%23%
University of Arkansas October 10–17, 2013800± 3.5%30%32%38%
Talk Business/Hendrix College October 8, 2013603± 4.%37%41%22%
Harper Polling August 4–5, 2013587± 4.04%38%46%16%
Talk Business/Hendrix College February 20, 2013675± 3.8%38%43%19%

Results

Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2014 [74]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Asa Hutchinson 470,42955.44
Democratic Mike Ross 352,11541.49
Libertarian Frank Gilbert16,3191.92
Green Josh Drake9,7291.15
Majority118,31413.94%
Total votes848,592100
Republican gain from Democratic

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Asa Hutchinson 46th Governor of Arkansas

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References

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  19. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 "Complete List of Endorsements". Mike Ross. Archived from the original on 2013-09-25. Retrieved 2013-09-22.
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  40. "Representative John Payton Endorses Curtis Coleman". Coleman For Arkansas. Retrieved 24 September 2013.
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  46. "Miller County Patriots Endorse Coleman for Governor". Coleman For Arkansas. Retrieved 24 September 2013.
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  58. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  59. 1 2 Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  60. Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  61. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  62. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  63. Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other 1%
  64. Josh Drake (G) 1.8%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3.2%
  65. 1 2 Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  66. 1 2 Frank Gilbert (L)
  67. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other <1%
  68. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%, Other <1%
  69. Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 1%
  70. Josh Drake (G) 4%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  71. Josh Drake (G) 2.5%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  72. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4.5%
  73. Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%
  74. "November 4, 2014 General election and nonpartisan runoff election Official results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 23, 2014.
Official campaign websites (Archived)