Next Spanish general election

Last updated

Next Spanish general election
Flag of Spain.svg
  2023 No later than 22 August 2027

All 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies and 208 (of 266) seats in the Senate
176 seats needed for a majority in the Congress of Deputies
Opinion polls
  Alberto Nunez Feijoo 2025 (cropped).jpg Pedro Sanchez 2024 (cropped).jpg Santiago Abascal CPAC 2024 (4).jpg
Leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo Pedro Sánchez Santiago Abascal
Party PP PSOE Vox
Leader since 2 April 2022 18 June 2017 20 September 2014
Leader's seat Madrid Madrid Madrid
Last election137 seats, 33.1%121 seats, 31.7%33 seats, 12.4%
Current seats13712033
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 39 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 56 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 143

  Portrait placeholder.svg Gabriel Rufian 2022 (cropped).jpg Miriam Nogueras 2015 (cropped).jpg
Leader TBD Gabriel Rufián Míriam Nogueras
Party Sumar ERC Junts
Leader since14 October 201912 March 2021
Leader's seat Barcelona Barcelona
Last election31 seats, 12.3%7 seats, 1.9%7 seats, 1.6%
Current seats2677
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 150N/A [a] N/A [b]

Next Spanish general election map.svg
Constituencies for the Congress of Deputies

Incumbent Prime Minister

Pedro Sánchez
PSOE



A general election will be held in Spain no later than Sunday, 22 August 2027, to elect the members of the 16th Cortes Generales . All 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies will be up for election, as well as 208 of 266 seats in the Senate.

Contents

Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez and his ruling coalition—made of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) and Sumar—had been re-elected with the support of Together for Catalonia (Junts), in exchange of a controversial amnesty law for those tried and convicted for the 2017–2018 Spanish constitutional crisis and the 2019–2020 Catalan protests. [1] [2] Sánchez's third tenure was dominated by tensions with the People's Party (PP) and far-right Vox, accused of staging "lawfare" and disinformation campaigns; an unraveling international situation—with the Middle Eastern crisis, the tariff policy of the second Trump administration and the ongoing war in Ukraine—and a booming economy, albeit amid a rising cost of living. [3] [4] Several scandals affected both PSOE and PP: the Koldo case; [5] judicial probes into Sánchez's wife and Attorney General Álvaro García Ortiz; [6] alleged cash-for-favours, influence peddling, lobbying, police misconduct and deep state networks operated by the Finance and Interior ministries during the premiership of Mariano Rajoy; [7] [8] [9] and resume padding involving a large number of politicians. [10]

Overview

Electoral system

The Spanish Cortes Generales are envisaged as an imperfect bicameral system. The Congress of Deputies has greater legislative power than the Senate, having the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a prime minister and to override Senate vetoes by an absolute majority of votes. Nonetheless, the Senate possesses a few exclusive (yet limited in number) functions—such as its role in constitutional amendment—which are not subject to the Congress' override. [11] [12] Voting for each chamber of the Cortes Generales is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they are not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote. [13] [14]

For the Congress of Deputies, 348 seats are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Spain, with each being allocated an initial minimum of two seats and the remaining 248 being distributed in proportion to their populations. The two remaining seats are allocated to Ceuta and Melilla as single-member districts and elected using plurality voting. [15] [16] The use of the electoral method may result in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies. [17]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Congress multi-member constituency would be entitled the following seats (as of 12 December 2024): [c]

SeatsConstituencies
38 Madrid (+1)
32 Barcelona
16 Valencia
12 Alicante, Seville
11 Málaga
10 Murcia
8 A Coruña, Balearic Islands, Biscay, Cádiz (–1), Las Palmas
7 Asturias, Granada, Pontevedra, Zaragoza, Santa Cruz de Tenerife
6 Almería, Córdoba, Gipuzkoa, Girona, Tarragona, Toledo
5 Badajoz, Cantabria, Castellón, Ciudad Real, Huelva, Jaén, Navarre, Valladolid
4 Álava, Albacete, Burgos, Cáceres, La Rioja, León, Lleida, Lugo, Ourense, Salamanca
3 Ávila, Cuenca, Guadalajara, Huesca, Palencia, Segovia, Teruel, Zamora
2 Soria

For the Senate, 208 seats are elected using an open list partial block voting system, with electors voting for individual candidates instead of parties. In constituencies electing four seats, electors can vote for up to three candidates; in those with two or three seats, for up to two candidates; and for one candidate in single-member districts. Each of the 47 peninsular provinces is allocated four seats, whereas for insular provinces, such as the Balearic and Canary Islands, districts are the islands themselves, with the larger—Majorca, Gran Canaria and Tenerife—being allocated three seats each, and the smaller—Menorca, IbizaFormentera, Fuerteventura, La Gomera, El Hierro, Lanzarote and La Palma—one each. Ceuta and Melilla elect two seats each. Additionally, autonomous communities can appoint at least one senator each and are entitled to one additional senator per each million inhabitants. [19] [20]

The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occur after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislature's term will be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when needed, by the designated substitutes, of which the list may include up to ten. [21]

Eligibility

Spanish citizens of age and with the legal capacity to vote can run for election, provided that they are not sentenced to imprisonment by a final court ruling nor convicted, even if by a non-final ruling, to forfeiture of eligibility or to specific disqualification or suspension from public office under particular offences: rebellion, terrorism or other crimes against the state. Other causes of ineligibility are imposed on the following officials: [22] [23]

Additionally, a number of territorial-level officers in the aforementioned categories are barred from running, during their tenure of office, in constituencies within the whole or part of their respective area of jurisdiction. [22] [23] Disqualification provisions extend to any employee of a foreign state and to members of regional governments, as well as the impossibility of running simultaneously as candidate for both the Congress and Senate. [24]

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties, federations or coalitions that have not obtained a mandate in either chamber of the Cortes at the preceding election are required to secure the signature of at least 0.1 percent of electors in the aforementioned constituencies. [25] Amendments to the electoral law in 2024 increased requirements for a balanced composition of men and women in the lists of candidates, so that candidates of either sex are ordered in an alternative manner. [26]

A special, simplified process is provided for election re-runs, including a shortening of deadlines, electoral campaigning, the lifting of signature requirements if these had been already met for the immediately previous election and the possibility of maintaining lists and coalitions without needing to go through pre-election procedures again. [27]

Election date

The term of each chamber of the Cortes Generales—the Congress and the Senate—expires four years from the date of their previous election, unless they are dissolved earlier. [28] The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official State Gazette (BOE), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. [29] The previous election was held on 23 July 2023, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 23 July 2027. The election decree must be published in the BOE no later than 29 June 2027, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Cortes Generales on Sunday, 22 August 2027.

The prime minister has the prerogative to propose the monarch to dissolve both chambers at any given time—either jointly or separately—and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no state of emergency is in force and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. [30] Additionally, both chambers are to be dissolved and a new election called if an investiture process fails to elect a prime minister within a two-month period from the first ballot. [31] Barred this exception, there is no constitutional requirement for simultaneous elections to the Congress and the Senate. Still, as of 2025, there has been no precedent of separate elections taking place under the 1978 Constitution.

Parliamentary composition

The tables below show the composition of the parliamentary groups in both chambers. [32] [33]

Parties and candidates

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious resultGov.Ref.
CongressSenate
Vote %SeatsVote %Seats
PP
List
Alberto Nunez Feijoo 2025 (cropped).jpg Alberto Núñez Feijóo Conservatism
Christian democracy
33.1%13734.5%120Dark Red x.svg
PSOE Pedro Sanchez 2024 (cropped).jpg Pedro Sánchez Social democracy 31.7%12132.2%72Check-green.svg [37]
Vox
List
Santiago Abascal CPAC 2024 (4).jpg Santiago Abascal Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
12.4%3310.6%0Dark Red x.svg
Sumar
List
Portrait placeholder.svg TBD Progressivism
Green politics
Democratic socialism
12.3%3111.1%0Check-green.svg [38]
IU
List
Antonio Maillo 2015b (cropped).jpg Antonio Maíllo Socialism
Communism
Check-green.svg [39]
Podemos
List
Irene Montero 2020 (portrait).jpg Irene Montero Left-wing populism
Democratic socialism
Dark Red x.svg [40]
[41]
ERC Gabriel Rufian 2022 (cropped).jpg Gabriel Rufián Catalan independence
Left-wing nationalism
Social democracy
1.9%7 [f] Dark Red x.svg
Junts Miriam Nogueras 2015 (cropped).jpg Míriam Nogueras Catalan independence
Sovereigntism
Populism
1.6%71.8%1Dark Red x.svg
EH Bildu
List
Mertxe Aizpurua 2023 (cropped).jpg Mertxe Aizpurua Basque independence
Abertzale left
Socialism
1.4%6 [f] Dark Red x.svg
EAJ/PNV
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Maribel Vaquero Basque nationalism
Christian democracy
1.1%51.3%4Dark Red x.svg [42]
BNG Nestor Rego 2016 (cropped).jpg Néstor Rego Galician nationalism
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism
0.6%10.8%0Dark Red x.svg
CCa
List
Cristina Valido 2023 (cropped).jpg Cristina Valido Regionalism
Canarian nationalism
Centrism
0.5%10.3%0Dark Red x.svg
UPN Alberto Catalan 2023 (cropped).jpg Alberto Catalán Regionalism
Conservatism
Christian democracy
0.2%10.3%1Dark Red x.svg
ERC–
EH Bildu
Portrait placeholder.svg Mirella Cortès Gès Left-wing nationalism 4.2%7Dark Red x.svg
EFS Portrait placeholder.svg Juanjo Ferrer Progressivism 0.0%1Dark Red x.svg
ASG Portrait placeholder.svg Fabián Chinea Insularism
Social democracy
0.0%1Dark Red x.svg
AHI Portrait placeholder.svg Javier Armas Insularism
Canarian nationalism
Centrism
0.0%1Dark Red x.svg

Opinion polls

OpinionPollingSpainGeneralElectionNext.svg
Local regression trend line of poll results from 23 July 2023 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Notes

  1. ERC does not field candidates outside of Catalonia (48 seats) and therefore cannot obtain a majority in parliament.
  2. Junts does not field candidates outside of Catalonia (48 seats) and therefore cannot obtain a majority in parliament.
  3. This seat allocation has been manually calculated by applying the electoral rules set out in the law, on the basis of the latest official population figures provided by the Spanish government as of 2025. As such, it should be deemed as a provisional, non-binding estimation. The definitive allocation will be determined by the election decree at the time of the parliament's dissolution. [18]
  4. 1 2 Part of the Compromís alliance.
  5. José Luis Ábalos, former PSOE legislator. [35]
  6. 1 2 ERC and EH Bildu joined the Left for Independence alliance ahead of the 2023 Senate election.

References

  1. "Spanish elections: Uncertainty hangs over future government". Euronews. 24 July 2023. Retrieved 24 July 2023.
  2. Monrosi, José Enrique; Ortiz, Alberto (16 November 2023). "Pedro Sánchez es investido presidente del Gobierno con más apoyos que en 2020". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 November 2023.
  3. Hedgecoe, Guy (10 February 2025). "How Spain's economy became the envy of Europe". Segovia: BBC News. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  4. Pons, Corina; Aguado, Jesús (21 February 2025). "Spain's booming economy brings cold comfort for some". Reuters. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  5. Blackburn, Gavin (12 June 2025). "Spain's PM Pedro Sánchez apologises after top aide implicated in corruption scandal". Euronews. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  6. Hedgecoe, Guy (20 June 2025). "Spain's embattled PM Sánchez defies clamour for resignation". Madrid: BBC News. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  7. Hedgecoe, Guy (1 July 2025). "Feijóo's now-or-never moment to lead Spain". Politico. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  8. Burgen, Stephen (18 July 2025). "Spain's People's party hit by alleged multimillion cash-for-favours scandal". The Guardian. Barcelona. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  9. Águeda, Pedro (5 March 2025). "Rajoy y el PP niegan su guerra sucia pese a diez años de grabaciones, documentos y una sentencia del Supremo". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  10. Rocha, Carlos (2 August 2025). "Las dimisiones por los currículums 'fake' sitúan una sombra de sospecha sobre la clase política". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Retrieved 2 August 2025.
  11. Constitution (1978) , art. 66.
  12. "Sinopsis artículo 66" (in Spanish). Congress of Deputies . Retrieved 12 September 2020, summarizing Constitution (1978) , art. 66.
  13. LOREG (1985) , arts. 2–3.
  14. Carreras de Odriozola & Tafunell Sambola 2005, p. 1077.
  15. Constitution (1978) , art. 68.
  16. LOREG (1985) , arts. 162–164.
  17. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  18. "Real Decreto 1210/2024, de 28 de noviembre, por el que se declaran oficiales las cifras de población resultantes de la revisión del Padrón municipal referidas al 1 de enero de 2024". Official State Gazette (in Spanish). Retrieved 23 December 2024.
  19. Constitution (1978) , art. 69.
  20. LOREG (1985) , arts. 162 & 165–166.
  21. LOREG (1985) , arts. 46 & 48.
  22. 1 2 Constitution (1978) , art. 70.
  23. 1 2 LOREG (1985) , art. 6.
  24. LOREG (1985) , art. 154.
  25. LOREG (1985) , arts. 44 & 169.
  26. LOREG (1985) , art. 44 bis.
  27. LOREG (1985) , add. prov. 7.
  28. Constitution (1978) , art. 68–69.
  29. LOREG (1985) , art. 42.
  30. Constitution (1978) , arts. 115–116.
  31. Constitution (1978) , art. 99.
  32. "Grupos Parlamentarios en el Congreso de los Diputados y el Senado". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 29 October 2022.
  33. "Composición del Senado 1977-2025". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 29 October 2022.
  34. "Grupos parlamentarios". Congress of Deputies (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 August 2023.
  35. "El exministro José Luis Ábalos mantendrá su escaño en el Congreso" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. 27 February 2024. Retrieved 27 February 2024.
  36. "Grupos Parlamentarios desde 1977". Senate of Spain (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 July 2020.
  37. "Pedro Sánchez confirma que se presentará a las elecciones generales de 2027" (in Spanish). Demócrata. Agencias. 25 June 2025. Retrieved 26 June 2025.
  38. "Yolanda Díaz dimite como líder de Sumar tras los resultados de las europeas". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 10 June 2024. Retrieved 11 June 2024.
  39. Martiarena, Asier (24 April 2025). "IU lanza su envite: o se alcanza la unidad de la izquierda o irá por su cuenta a las elecciones". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 24 April 2025.
  40. "Los cinco diputados de Podemos abandonan el grupo parlamentario de Sumar y se unen al grupo mixto" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. 5 December 2023. Retrieved 5 December 2023.
  41. Órfão, Alberto (6 April 2025). "Ione Belarra oficializa la candidatura de Irene Montero a las generales". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 April 2025.
  42. Goyoaga, Ander (31 March 2025). "Maribel Vaquero será la portavoz del PNV en el Congreso, en sustitución de Aitor Esteban". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Bilbao. Retrieved 31 March 2025.

Bibliography