Alliance

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Allies Day, May 1917, National Gallery of Art Childe Hassam - Allies Day.jpg
Allies Day, May 1917, National Gallery of Art
Field Marshal Bernard Montgomery decorates Soviet Marshals and generals at the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin, 12 July 1945. Allies at the Brandenburg Gate, 1945.jpg
Field Marshal Bernard Montgomery decorates Soviet Marshals and generals at the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin, 12 July 1945.

An alliance is a relationship among people, groups, or states that have joined together for mutual benefit or to achieve some common purpose, whether or not an explicit agreement has been worked out among them. [1] Members of an alliance are called allies. Alliances form in many settings, including political alliances, military alliances, and business alliances.

Contents

Examples

When spelled with a capital "A", "the Allies" usually denotes the countries who fought together against the Central Powers in World War I (the Allies of World War I), or those who fought against the Axis Powers in World War II (the Allies of World War II). [2]

In the second half of the 20th century, the Cold War was characterised by the intense rivalry between the military alliances of NATO and the Warsaw Pact, as each competed to expand and maintain their spheres of influence. [3]

More recently, the term "Allied forces" has also been used to describe the coalition of the Gulf War, as opposed to forces the Multi-National Forces in Iraq which are commonly referred to as "Coalition forces" or, as by the George W. Bush administration, "the coalition of the willing".

At the onset of the 21st century, shifts in the global order led to the formation of new alliances rooted in ideological and historical precedents, exemplified by Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS). This alliance possesses a broad and vaguely defined agenda, with its members exhibiting varying degrees of commitment to and motivations for participating in this initiative. [4] The inaugural BRICS meeting occurred in 2006. In 2023, the alliance expanded with the invitation of six new members—Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates—and was rebranded as BRICS Plus.

Effects

Scholars are divided as to the impact of alliances. Several studies find that defensive alliances deter conflict. [5] [6] [7] [8] One study questions these findings, showing that alliance commitments deterred conflict in the prenuclear era but has no statistically meaningful impact on war in the postnuclear era. [9] [10] Another study finds that while alliance commitments deter conflict between sides with a recent history of conflict, alliances tend to provoke conflicts between states without such a history. [11]

A 2000 study in the Journal of Conflict Resolution found that allies fulfill their alliance commitments approximately 75% of the time. [12] Most research suggests that democracies are more reliable allies than non-democracies. [13] [14] [15] A 2004 study did however question whether alliance commitments by democracies are more durable. [16] A 2018 study updated and extended the data from the 2000 Journal of Conflict Resolution study and found that allies only fulfill their commitments about 50% of the time from 1816 to 2003. [17] According to the study, "States honored their alliance commitments 66% of the time prior to 1945 but the compliance rate drops to 22% from 1945 to 2003. Moreover, the rates of fulfillment for defense pacts (41%) and nonaggression pacts (37%) are dramatically lower than offensive alliances (74%) and neutrality agreements (78%)." [17]

One of the most profound effects of alliances can be seen in technological innovation, due to conduits of knowledge flows that are open between allies but closed between rivals. [18]

International opinion

Map indicating international preferences for principal ally in the case a country were attacked, as of 2017. BlankMap-World-large-limited-recognition (1).png
Map indicating international preferences for principal ally in the case a country were attacked, as of 2017.

According to a 2017 poll by WIN/GIA, the United States was the most preferred ally internationally. Russia, Iran, North Korea, and China (CRINK), who preferred one another, both trailed America globally. Four countries, Bulgaria, Greece, Slovenia and Turkey, preferred Russia, despite being members of NATO. [19]

In Pakistan, 72% of respondents preferred ties to China, the largest margin of any country surveyed, while 46% of Bangladesh preferred India. A total of 22 countries indicated a preference for the United Kingdom at a rate of 10% or more, but the United States was the only country to prefer Britain over any other, at a rate of 43%. Five countries preferred France at a rate of 10% or more, led by Belgium at a rate of 25%. A single country, Iraq, expressed no preference, while three other countries, Lebanon, Palestine, and Slovenia, expressed no preference at a rate of 11% or more, although at a smaller rate than their preference for Russia on the part of Lebanon and Slovenia, and China on the part of Palestine. Kosovo reported the most unified opinion, preferring the United States at a rate of 92%, while Russia's most unified supporters were Mongolia (71%), Armenia (67%) and Serbia (56%). In total, 21 countries expressed a preference for America at a rate of 50% or more. [19]

Results of 2017 poll by WIN/GIA.
Most preferred ally in case of military threat [19] [20]
figures of United States lower than 30%, Russia (<14%), of United Kingdom (<10%), France (<6%), none (<12%) and China (<10%) may be hidden
Country polledRussiaUnited StatesUnited KingdomChinaIndiaFrancenone
Flag of Mongolia.svg  Mongolia
71%
Flag of Armenia.svg  Armenia
67%
Flag of Serbia.svg  Serbia
56%
16%
Flag of Greece.svg  Greece
48%
Flag of the People's Republic of China.svg  China
47%
Flag of Bulgaria.svg  Bulgaria
42%
17%
4%
Flag of Ukraine.svg  Ukraine
33%
35%
11%
Flag of Slovenia.svg  Slovenia
30%
8%
15%
Flag of Latvia.svg  Latvia
27%
11%
14%
Flag of Lebanon.svg  Lebanon
25%
15%
23%
Flag of Turkey.svg  Turkey
23%
9%
31%
Flag of North Macedonia.svg  North Macedonia
23%
33%
17%
Flag of Mexico.svg  Mexico
22%
42%
11%
9%
Flag of Peru.svg  Peru
21%
44%
14%
Flag of Iran.svg  Iran
20%
30%
Flag of Bosnia and Herzegovina.svg  Bosnia and Herzegovina
19%
12%
43%
Flag of Vietnam.svg  Vietnam
18%
Flag of India.svg  India
16%
50%
Flag of Finland.svg  Finland
15%
37%
16%
Flag of Romania.svg  Romania
15%
51%
7%
Flag of South Africa.svg  South Africa
15%
45%
21%
Flag of Albania.svg  Albania
14%
66%
10%
Flag of Kosovo.svg  Kosovo
92%
Flag of South Korea.svg  South Korea
49%
10%
32%
Flag of Papua New Guinea.svg  Papua New Guinea
70%
13%
Flag of Israel.svg  Israel
68%
10%
Flag of the Philippines.svg  Philippines
67%
16%
Flag of Japan.svg  Japan
64%
Flag of Canada (Pantone).svg  Canada
62%
12%
Flag of Ghana.svg  Ghana
62%
10%
Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  United Kingdom
58%
8%
Flag of Ecuador.svg  Ecuador
58%
Flag of Lithuania.svg  Lithuania
58%
10%
Flag of Paraguay.svg  Paraguay
57%
Flag of Brazil.svg  Brazil
55%
10%
Flag of France.svg  France
54%
13%
Flag of Spain.svg  Spain
52%
12%
Flag of Denmark.svg  Denmark
52%
23%
Flag of Fiji.svg  Fiji
52%
15%
12%
Flag of Norway.svg  Norway
51%
23%
Flag of Australia (converted).svg  Australia
49%
16%
Flag of Poland.svg  Poland
49%
10%
Flag of Germany.svg  Germany
41%
19%
Flag of Italy.svg  Italy
41%
11%
Flag of Nigeria.svg  Nigeria
41%
Flag of Portugal (official).svg  Portugal
40%
21%
Flag of the Taliban.svg  Afghanistan
39%
22%
17%
Flag of Iceland.svg  Iceland
38%
27%
Flag of Thailand.svg  Thailand
38%
11%
29%
Flag of Argentina.svg  Argentina
36%
13%
22%
Flag of Ireland.svg  Ireland
34%
25%
Flag of Indonesia.svg  Indonesia
32%
10%
21%
Flag of the Czech Republic.svg  Czech Republic
32%
15%
6%
Flag of Sweden.svg  Sweden
31%
29%
6%
Flag of Estonia.svg  Estonia
31%
16%
Flag of Belgium (civil).svg  Belgium
30%
12%
25%
Flag of Austria.svg  Austria
16%
Flag of the Democratic Republic of the Congo.svg  DR Congo
16%
8%
Flag of Palestine.svg  Palestine
17%
8%
12%
Flag of the United States.svg  United States
43%
7%
Flag of Iraq.svg  Iraq
6%
27%
Flag of Pakistan.svg  Pakistan
72%
Flag of Bangladesh.svg  Bangladesh
16%
46%
Flag of Russia.svg  Russia
44%
4%

See also

References

  1. "Define Alliance". Dictionary.com.
  2. "Definition of THE ALLIES". www.merriam-webster.com. 2025-07-16. Retrieved 2025-07-19.
  3. "Cold War | Dates, Definition, Timeline, Summary, Era, & Facts | Britannica". www.britannica.com. 2025-07-09. Retrieved 2025-07-19.
  4. Do Vale, Helder Ferreira, et al. "Member Countries' Level of Commitment to BRICS: Measurements and Propositions." Changing the Global Political Economy: BRICS Countries and Alternative Relations Strategies, edited by Ayfer Gedikli, et al., IGI Global, 2025, pp. 49–92. https://doi.org/10.4018/979-8-3693-7393-4.ch002
  5. Fang, Songying; Johnson, Jesse C.; Leeds, Brett Ashley (2014-10-01). "To Concede or to Resist? The Restraining Effect of Military Alliances". International Organization. 68 (4): 775–809. doi:10.1017/S0020818314000137. ISSN   0020-8183. S2CID   49250140.
  6. Leeds, Brett Ashley; Johnson, Jesse C. (2016-11-10). "Theory, Data, and Deterrence: A Response to Kenwick, Vasquez, and Powers" . The Journal of Politics. 79: 335–340. doi:10.1086/687285. ISSN   0022-3816. S2CID   55385304.
  7. Johnson, Jesse C.; Leeds, Brett Ashley (2011-01-01). "Defense Pacts: A Prescription for Peace?1". Foreign Policy Analysis. 7 (1): 45–65. doi:10.1111/j.1743-8594.2010.00122.x. ISSN   1743-8594.
  8. Leeds, Brett Ashley (2003-07-01). "Do Alliances Deter Aggression? The Influence of Military Alliances on the Initiation of Militarized Interstate Disputes". American Journal of Political Science. 47 (3): 427–439. doi:10.1111/1540-5907.00031. ISSN   1540-5907.
  9. Kenwick, Michael R.; Vasquez, John A.; Powers, Matthew A. (2015-10-01). "Do Alliances Really Deter?". The Journal of Politics. 77 (4): 943–954. doi:10.1086/681958. ISSN   0022-3816. S2CID   9921552.
  10. Kenwick, Michael R.; Vasquez, John A. (2016-11-10). "Defense Pacts and Deterrence: Caveat Emptor". The Journal of Politics. 79: 329–334. doi:10.1086/686700. ISSN   0022-3816. S2CID   157263860.
  11. Morrow, James D. (2016-11-10). "When Do Defensive Alliances Provoke Rather than Deter?". The Journal of Politics. 79: 341–345. doi:10.1086/686973. ISSN   0022-3816. S2CID   157788422.
  12. Leeds, Brett Ashley (2003-01-01). "Alliance Reliability in Times of War: Explaining State Decisions to Violate Treaties". International Organization. 57 (4): 801–827. doi:10.1017/s0020818303574057. JSTOR   3594847. S2CID   154260997.
  13. "Analysis | Allies can't rely on America like they used to. And not just because of Trump". Washington Post. Retrieved 2017-05-31.
  14. Gaubatz, Kurt Taylor (1996-01-01). "Democratic states and commitment in international relations". International Organization. 50 (1): 109–139. doi:10.1017/S0020818300001685. ISSN   1531-5088. S2CID   154562172.
  15. Leeds, Brett Ashley; Mattes, Michaela; Vogel, Jeremy S. (2009-04-01). "Interests, Institutions, and the Reliability of International Commitments". American Journal of Political Science. 53 (2): 461–476. doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00381.x. ISSN   1540-5907.
  16. Gartzke, Erik; Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede (2004-10-01). "Why Democracies May Actually Be Less Reliable Allies". American Journal of Political Science. 48 (4): 775–795. doi:10.1111/j.0092-5853.2004.00101.x. ISSN   1540-5907.
  17. 1 2 Berkemeier, Molly; Fuhrmann, Matthew (2018). "Reassessing the fulfillment of alliance commitments in war". Research & Politics. 5 (2): 205316801877969. doi: 10.1177/2053168018779697 .
  18. Schmid, Jon; Brummer, Matthew; Taylor, Mark Zachary (2017). "Innovation and Alliances". Review of Policy Research. 34 (5): 588–616. doi:10.1111/ropr.12244. ISSN   1541-1338.
  19. 1 2 3 "Four NATO Nations Would Pick Russia to Defend Them If Threatened" . Bloomberg.com. 17 February 2017.
  20. "42% от българите искат Русия да ги защитава, 17% - САЩ". www.24chasa.bg.

Bibliography