List of countries by GDP (PPP) in the nineteenth century

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These are lists of countries in the nineteenth century by their estimated real gross domestic product (GDP) in terms of purchasing power parity (PPP), the value of all final goods and services produced within a country/region in a given year. GDP dollar (international dollar) estimates here are derived from PPP estimates.

Contents

Methodology

Due to the absence of sufficient data for nearly all economies until the 20th century, earlier GDP is only roughly estimated. In a first step, economic historians try to reconstruct the GDP per capita of a given political or geographical entity from the meagre evidence. This value is then multiplied by the estimated population size, another determinant for which as a rule only little ancient data is available.

A key notion in the whole process is that of subsistence, the income level which is necessary for sustaining one's life. Since pre-industrial societies, by modern standards, were characterized by a very low degree of urbanization and a large majority of people working in the agricultural sector, economic historians prefer to express income in cereal units. To achieve comparability over space and time, these numbers are then converted into monetary units such as International Dollars, a third step which leaves a relatively wide margin of interpretation.

The formula is: GDP (PPP) = GDP per capita (PPP) × population size

It should be stressed that, historically speaking, population size is a far more important multiplier in the equation. This is because, in contrast to industrial economies, the average income ceiling of premodern agrarian societies was quite low everywhere, possibly not higher than twice the subsistence level. [1] Therefore, the total GDP as given below primarily reflects the respective historical population size, and is much less indicative of contemporary living standards than, for example, estimations of past GDP per capita.

According to 20th-century macroeconomist Paul Bairoch, a pioneer in historical economic analysis,

it is obvious that by itself the volume of total GNP has no important significance, and that the volume of GNP is not by itself the expression of the economic strength of a nation.

Rather, Bairoch advocates a formula combining GNP per capita and total GNP to provide a better measure of the economic performance of national economies. [2]

The total GDPs of the British Empire and Austro-Hungarian Empire were difficult to calculate due to lack of information from some localities in Maddison's work. There is no information to speculate the GDP of many colonies and national subdivisions. In the case of Austria-Hungary, the data given is about the modern territory of the Austria and Hungary, while the majority of the population and economy lay outside today's borders. There were data about future countries that were once part of the Empire. Using that, the Czechoslovakia's GDP was split in the rate of 2:1 to Austria and Hungary respectively because of the location of each part in the former empire and the population rate between Czech and Slovakian territories of 2:1. Data about the GDP of the territory of the future Yugoslavian kingdom in 1890s existed, so the proportion of the population among Croatia-Slavonia, Serbia and the other constituents of the future kingdom were used to deduce the GDP of each place. Information about Galician GDP was deduced using the proportion of the people it had in what would become Poland. Information about other parts were missing, so the GDP of the Austro-Hungarian Empire was actually bigger than shown, as well as the British Empire.

Lists

List by the Contours of the World Economy, 1–2030 AD (Partial forecasted estimates for 1879–1880) and Maddison Project [3] [4] [5]

RankCountryGDP
(millions of 1880 Int$)
  World at least 1,500,000
1Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  British Empire
subdivisions
351,527
2 US flag 38 stars.svg United States 211,678
3 Flag of the Qing Dynasty (1889-1912).svg Qing dynasty 205,309
4 Reichskolonialflagge.svg German Empire
subdivisions
126,172 [o 1]
5 Flag of France.svg French Empire
subdivisions
108,772 [o 2]
6 Flag of Russia.svg Russian Empire
subdivisions
108,771
7 Flag of Austria-Hungary (1867-1918).svg Austro-Hungarian Empire
subdivisions
c. 63,000
8 Flag of Italy (1861-1946) crowned.svg Italy 49,686
9 Flag of the Netherlands.svg Netherlands
subdivisions
40,386 [o 3]
10 Merchant flag of Japan (1870).svg Empire of Japan 37,016
11 Flag of Spain (1785-1873, 1875-1931).svg Spanish Empire
subdivisions
35,399 [o 4]
12Flag of Belgium (civil).svg  Belgium 20,443
13Flag of the Ottoman Empire (1844-1922).svg  Ottoman Empire 18,749
14 Union Jack of Sweden and Norway (1844-1905).svg Sweden-Norway
subdivisions
11,631
15Flag of Empire of Brazil (1822-1870).svg  Empire of Brazil 11,001
16Flag of Mexico (1823-1864, 1867-1893).svg  Mexico 10,860
17Flag of Switzerland (Pantone).svg  Switzerland 8,766
18 Tricolour Flag of Iran (1886).svg Persia 7,749
19Flag of Argentina.svg  Argentina 7,265
20 Flag Portugal (1830).svg Portuguese Empire
subdivisions
c. 7,000
21 Flag of Romania.svg Romania 6,553
22Flag of Denmark.svg  Denmark 5,462
23 Flag of Thailand 1855.svg Siam 5,229
24Flag of Chile.svg  Chile 4,781
25 Ethiopian Pennants.svg Ethiopia c. 4,000
26 Flag of Korea (1882-1910).svg Korea c. 4,000
27Flag of Morocco (1666-1915).svg  Morocco 3,182
28 Flag of Bulgaria.svg Bulgaria c. 3,000
29Flag of Colombia.svg  Colombia 2,379
30 Flag of Venezuela (1863-1905).svg Venezuela 2,172
31 Flag of Greece (1822-1978).svg Greece 2,640
32 Flag of Nepal (19th century-1962).svg Nepal 1,504
33 Flag of the Orange Free State.svg Orange Free State c. 2,000
34 State Flag of Serbia (1882-1918).svg Serbia c. 1,708
35 Flag of Peru (state).svg Peru 1,650
36Flag of Uruguay.svg  Uruguay 1,594
37 Flag of Transvaal.svg Transvaal c. 1,000
38 Flag of Bolivia (state).svg Bolivia c. 1,000
39Flag of Guatemala.svg  Guatemala c. 1,000
40Flag of Luxembourg.svg  Luxembourg c. 700
41Flag of Ecuador.svg  Ecuador 589
42 Flag of El Salvador (1875-1877).svg El Salvador c. 500
43 Flag of the Principality of Montenegro.svg Montenegro c. 500
44Flag of Honduras.svg  Honduras c. 500
45 Flag of Nicaragua (1889-1893).svg Nicaragua c. 400
46 Flag of Costa Rica (1848-1906).svg Costa Rica c. 400
47Flag of Liberia.svg  Liberia c. 300
48 Flag of Haiti (1859-1964).svg Haiti c. 250
49Flag of Monaco.svg  Monaco c. 50
50Flag of San Marino.svg  San Marino c. 30

Notes

  1. (excluding colonies)
  2. (excluding territories with uncertain GDP)
  3. (excluding territories with uncertain GDP)
  4. (excluding territories with uncertain GDP)

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References

  1. Milanovic 2006, p. 460, 468:
    In conclusion, the fact that the average incomes in the most developed agricultural economies like Augustan Rome and Basil's Byzantium were about twice or less than the subsistence minimum might indicate that the pre-industrial societies were unlikely to ever exceed that ceiling. This in turn has implications for our assessment of the average standard of living in other, non-Western, pre-industrial economies like those of China, India, pre-Columbian Americas, and Africa....A further implication of these calculations is that a realistic maximum income that could be envisaged for the pre-industrial societies might be a bit more than twice the subsistence minimum, or around $PPP 1000 (at 1990 international prices).
  2. Bairoch 1976, p. 282
  3. "Contours of the World Economy, 1–2030 AD". Angus Maddison. Retrieved 9 May 2017.[ permanent dead link ]
  4. GGDC - Maddison Project
  5. David Rumsey