2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election

Last updated

Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election
Flag of Louisiana.svg
←  2020 March 20, 2021 (first round)
April 24, 2021 (runoff)		 2022  →
Louisiana's 2nd congressional district
Turnout18.0% (first round) [1]
16.8% (second round) [1]
  Troy Carter.jpg No image.svg
Nominee Troy Carter Karen Carter Peterson
Party Democratic Democratic
First round34,402
36.38%		21,673
22.92%
Runoff 48,513
55.25%		39,297
44.75%
  Gary Chambers Jr mirror.png Claston Bernard at TNT - Fortuna Meeting in Kladno 15June2010 021 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Gary Chambers Claston Bernard
Party Democratic Republican
First round20,163
21.31%		9,237
9.77%
Runoff EliminatedEliminated
2021 United States House of Representatives special election in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district by parish.svg
2021 United States House of Representatives special election in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district runoff by parish.svg
Carter:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
     70–80%
Peterson:     20–30%     50–60%     60–70%
Chambers:     20–30%
Bernard:     30–40%
U.S. Representative before election

Vacant

Elected U.S. Representative

Troy Carter
Democratic

The 2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election was held on March 20, 2021, with a runoff being held on April 24, 2021.

Contents

On November 17, 2020, incumbent Democratic representative Cedric Richmond announced that he would resign from the United States House of Representatives to serve as the director of the Office of Public Liaison and as a Senior Advisor to Joe Biden. He did so on January 15, 2021, and took his new job when Biden assumed office on January 20, 2021. [2] [3] [4] When congressional seats in Louisiana become vacant, the governor has the ability to call a special election at any time. The special election to fill Louisiana's 2nd congressional district took place on March 20, and a runoff was held on April 24. [5] [6] [7] [8] Troy Carter won the runoff election on April 24, 2021 against fellow Democrat Karen Peterson. [1]

Primary candidates

Democratic Party

Of the Democratic candidates, Troy Carter, a state senator, Karen Carter Peterson, a state senator and former chair of the Louisiana Democratic Party, and Gary Chambers, an activist, were considered the frontrunners. [9] Of these candidates, Carter was considered to be moderate, while Peterson and Chambers were considered to be progressives. [9] In the jungle primary, Carter and Peterson took first and second place with 36% and 23% of the vote, while Chambers took third place with 21%. [10] Chambers' result was considered an overperformance, as he significantly outdid his polling numbers. [10] On March 29, Chambers endorsed Peterson. [11]

Declared

Republican Party

Declared

  • Chelsea Ardoin, HR professional [16]
  • Claston Bernard, decathlete [16]
  • Greg Lirette, information technology professional [19]
  • Sheldon C. Vincent Sr., retired postal worker [16]

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Mindy McConnell, principal [20]

No party affiliation

Declared

  • Belden "Noonie Man" Batiste, activist and perennial candidate [16]
  • Brandon Jolicoeur, actor [16]

Endorsements

Claston Bernard (R)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
  • Rev. Jesse Lee Peterson, podcast and talk show host, president of the Brotherhood Organization of a New Destiny (BOND)(1990–present) [26]
Organizations
Troy Carter (D)
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Gary Chambers (D)
Individuals
Karen Carter Peterson (D)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Jungle primary

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Troy
Carter
(D)		Karen
Carter
Peterson
(D)		Gary
Chambers
Jr.
(D)		Desiree
Ontiveros
(D)		OtherUndecided
Edgewater Research/My People Vote March 2–7, 2021651 (LV)± 3.8%35%24%11%–16%15%
LexthomResearch and Development, LLC February 26 – March 3, 20211,067 (LV)± 3.0%23%17%13%4%3% [lower-alpha 2] 40%
Trust the People PAC (D) [upper-alpha 1] February 21–22, 2021620 (LV)± 4.0%24%23%6%2%16% [lower-alpha 3] 29%
Silas Lee & Associates (D) [upper-alpha 2] February 12–14, 2021450 (LV)± 3.5%28%19%6%2%8% [lower-alpha 4] 38%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Troy
Carter
(D)		Cleo
Fields
(D)		Mitch
Landrieu
(D)		Helena
Moreno
(D)		Karen
Carter
Peterson
(D)		OtherUndecided
ALG Research (D) [ permanent dead link ]November 2–5, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%15%14%25%18%4%3%22%
22%17%–24%7%4%22%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [55] Solid DMarch 19, 2021
Inside Elections [56] Solid DMarch 19, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [57] Safe DMarch 18, 2021

Results

2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Troy Carter 34,402 36.38
Democratic Karen Carter Peterson 21,673 22.92
Democratic Gary Chambers Jr. 20,16321.31
Republican Claston Bernard 9,2379.77
Republican Chelsea Ardoin3,2183.40
Republican Greg Lirette2,3492.48
Republican Sheldon C. Vincent Sr.7540.80
Democratic Desiree Ontiveros6990.74
Independent Belden Batiste5980.63
Democratic Harold John4030.43
Libertarian Mindy McConnell3230.34
Democratic J. Christopher Johnson2880.30
Democratic Jenette M. Porter2440.26
Democratic Lloyd M. Kelly1220.13
Independent Brandon Jolicoeur940.10
Total votes94,567 100.00

By parish

Parish Troy Carter
Democratic 		Karen Carter Peterson
Democratic 		Gary Chambers Jr.
Democratic 		Claston Bernard
Republican 		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%#%#%
Ascension 77633.965328.530713.439217.11627.11235.4%2,290
Assumption 37344.915218.3597.114917.99811.822126.6%831
East Baton Rouge 2,27326.23,04535.12,83232.61641.93654.22132.5%8,679
West Baton Rouge 28920.433423.629620.931822.517712.5161.1%1,414
Iberville 62223.950419.364024.658322.42589.9180.7%2,607
Jefferson 7,70239.53,28316.81,98910.22,90214.93,64718.74,41922.6%19,523
Orleans 18,36638.612,05525.312,89727.11,7983.82,5145.35,46911.5%47,630
St. Charles 1,03723.247610.63347.51,49533.41,13325.345810.2%4,475
St. James 1,23835.055315.63179.099028.043712.42487.0%3,535
St. John the Baptist 1,72648.261817.349213.744612.53018.41,10830.9%3,583
Total34,40236.3821,67322.9220,16321.329,2379.779,0929.6112,72913.46%94,567

Runoff

A runoff was held on April 24 between Troy Carter and Karen Carter Peterson. In the April 24th runoff, Carter beat Peterson 48,513, 55.2%, to 39,297, 44.8%, with 87,810 votes reported from 100% of precincts. [58]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [55] Solid DMarch 19, 2021
Inside Elections [59] Solid DApril 23, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [60] Safe DApril 15, 2021

Endorsements

Troy Carter (D)
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Karen Carter Peterson (D)
Governors
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Results

2021 Louisiana's 2nd congressional district special election runoff [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Troy Carter 48,513 55.25%
Democratic Karen Carter Peterson 39,29744.75%
Total votes87,810 100.00
Democratic hold

By parish

Parish Troy Carter
Democratic 		Karen Carter Peterson
Democratic 		MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%
Ascension 1,11347.51,22852.51155.0%2,341
Assumption 44162.626337.417825.2%704
East Baton Rouge 3,03235.45,54264.62,51029.2%8,574
West Baton Rouge 61748.665251.4352.8%1,269
Iberville 1,17348.01,27252.0994.0%2,445
Jefferson 11,19567.05,52433.05,67134.0%16,719
Orleans 24,16053.021,46747.02,6936.0%45,627
St. Charles 2,34670.398929.71,35740.6%3,335
St. James 2,35666.21,20233.81,35732.4%3,558
St. John the Baptist 2,07864.31,15635.792228.6%3,234
Totals48,51355.2539,29744.759,21610.50%87,810

Notes

Additional candidates and polling key
  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Claston Bernard (R) with 3%
  3. ↑ "Republican candidates" with 11% and "Another candidate" with 5%
  4. ↑ Chelsea Ardoin (R), Belden Batiste (I), Harold John (D), J. Christopher Johnson (D), Brandon Jolicoeur (NPP), Jenette Porter (D), Lloyd Kelly (D), Greg Lirette (R), Mindy McConnell (L) and Sheldon Vincent (R) combined with 6%; Claston Bernard (R) with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Trust the People PAC, an anti-Troy Carter super PAC.
  2. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Troy Carter's campaign.

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "U. S. Representative – 2nd Congressional District". Louisiana Secretary of State. March 20, 2021. Archived from the original on May 18, 2019. Retrieved March 21, 2021.
  2. ↑ Murphy, Paul (November 16, 2020). "Cedric Richmond will be Senior Advisor to the President; to resign House seat before inauguration". WWL-TV . Archived from the original on November 20, 2020. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  3. ↑ WBRZ. "La. Congressman Cedric Richmond will resign US House to join Biden White House". WBRZ. Archived from the original on December 30, 2020. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  4. ↑ Mucha, Sarah; Krieg, Gregory; Merica, Dan; Sullivan, Kate. "Former Black caucus chair Cedric Richmond to leave Congress and join Biden White House". CNN. Archived from the original on November 17, 2020. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  5. ↑ "Executive Proclamation Number 3" (PDF). louisiana.gov. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 21, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2021.
  6. ↑ Stole, Bryn. "Cedric Richmond to leave Congress for role in Biden White House, sources say". NOLA.com. Archived from the original on November 16, 2020. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  7. ↑ Roberts, Amanda. "VIDEO: Rep. Cedric Richmond announces he is leaving Congress for role at White House". Archived from the original on November 17, 2020. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
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  11. ↑ Bridges, Tyler (March 29, 2021). "No. 3 finisher Gary Chambers endorses Karen Carter Peterson in congressional runoff". The Advocate . Archived from the original on March 29, 2021. Retrieved March 29, 2021.
  12. ↑ Hilburn, Greg [@GregHilburn1] (November 18, 2020). "Democratic State Sen. Troy Carter tells me he will 'absolutely' run for outgoing Congressman @RepRichmond's seat and hopes to have his support @TROYSEE #lalege #lagov" (Tweet). Retrieved December 24, 2020– via Twitter.
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  20. ↑ "Mindy McConnell for Congress". Archived from the original on February 4, 2021. Retrieved February 5, 2021.
  21. ↑ RDO News (February 19, 2021). "Claston Bernard Endorsed by RDO for Congress. Vote March 20!". RDO News. Archived from the original on March 12, 2021. Retrieved March 14, 2021.
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  44. 1 2 "3.24 Grassroots Fundraiser with Congresswoman Katie Porter". mobilize.us. Archived from the original on March 23, 2021. Retrieved March 23, 2021.
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  50. 1 2 "LCV ACTION FUND ENDORSES KAREN CARTER PETERSON FOR CONGRESS". League of Conservation Voters. Archived from the original on April 11, 2021. Retrieved April 11, 2021.
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  53. 1 2 "Our Candidates". Progressive Change Campaign Committee . Archived from the original on February 1, 2020. Retrieved April 11, 2021.
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  55. 1 2 Dave Wasserman (March 19, 2021). "Race to Replace Wright in TX-06 Heats Up" . Retrieved December 7, 2021.
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  57. ↑ Coleman, J. Miles (March 18, 2021). "How Mid-Decade Redistrictings Saved the Democratic House Majority". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on March 19, 2021. Retrieved March 20, 2021.
  58. ↑ Louisiana 2nd District U.S. House special election results Archived April 12, 2021, at the Wayback Machine , Washington Post , April 25, 2021.
  59. ↑ "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. April 23, 2021. Archived from the original on April 23, 2021. Retrieved December 9, 2021.
  60. ↑ Kondik, Kyle (April 15, 2021). "The Mini-Midterms: Five Takeaways from Six Decades of House Special Elections". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on April 15, 2021. Retrieved April 15, 2021.
  61. 1 2 3 Pager, Tyler (March 17, 2021). "Cedric Richmond endorsement before joining White House roils Louisiana race". The Washington Post . Archived from the original on March 17, 2021. Retrieved April 14, 2021.
  62. 1 2 Shaw, Donald (April 13, 2021). "Both Dems Running to Represent 'Cancer Alley' Take Fossil Fuel Donations After Promising Not To". SLUDGE . Archived from the original on April 14, 2021. Retrieved April 14, 2021.
  63. ↑ Bridges, Tyler (March 23, 2021). "Karen Carter Peterson wants three debates in runoff; 'Bring it,' replies Troy Carter". NOLA.com . Archived from the original on April 17, 2021. Retrieved April 17, 2021.
  64. ↑ "New Orleans City Council President Helena Moreno backs Sen. Troy Carter in congressional race". The Advocate . March 6, 2021. Archived from the original on April 14, 2021. Retrieved April 14, 2021.
  65. ↑ "Troy Carter receives two important endorsements in the race to replace Cedric Richmond". nola.com. February 22, 2021. Archived from the original on February 23, 2021. Retrieved February 24, 2021.
  66. ↑ Bridges, Tyler (April 1, 2021). "Progressive vote up for grabs? DA Jason Williams endorses Troy Carter in congressional race". Archived from the original on April 13, 2021. Retrieved April 13, 2021.
  67. ↑ "Endorsed Candidates". Forum for Equality PAC. Archived from the original on April 15, 2021. Retrieved March 6, 2021.
  68. ↑ "Gov. Howard Dean Endorses Sen. Karen Carter Peterson for Congress". YouTube. Archived from the original on April 11, 2021. Retrieved April 14, 2021.
  69. ↑ "Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District special election, 2021". Ballotpedia . Archived from the original on March 6, 2021. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  70. ↑ Reisman, Nick (April 13, 2021). "Rep. Mondaire Jones launches political action committee". Spectrum Local News. Archived from the original on April 14, 2021. Retrieved April 14, 2021.
  71. ↑ "'Karen Carter Peterson Needs Our Support!' Joint Fundraising Page with Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney". Archived from the original on April 25, 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2021.
  72. ↑ Carolyn B. Maloney [@CarolynBMaloney] (April 24, 2021). "Today is Election Day in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District! Good luck to my dear friend @TeamKCP who has shown time and time again the values, integrity, and know-how that are key to holding elected office" (Tweet). Retrieved April 25, 2021– via Twitter.
  73. ↑ Bridges, Tyler (April 21, 2021). "Troy Carter, Karen Carter Peterson agree in debate – and attack each other". Nola.com. Archived from the original on April 22, 2021. Retrieved April 22, 2021.
  74. ↑ Joseph, LeBron (April 7, 2021). "Mayor Latoya Cantrell endorses Carter Peterson in congressional race". WGNO . Archived from the original on April 8, 2021. Retrieved April 8, 2021.
  75. 1 2 "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorse Karen Carter Peterson in LA-02". April 13, 2021. Archived from the original on April 14, 2021. Retrieved April 14, 2021.
  76. ↑ "PEACE ACTION ENDORSES PETERSON AND TURNER". Peace Action . March 10, 2021. Archived from the original on April 24, 2021. Retrieved April 24, 2021.
  77. ↑ Stets, Dave; Gravatt, Matt (March 23, 2021). "Sierra Club Endorses Karen Carter Peterson for Congress". Sierra Club. Archived from the original on March 23, 2021. Retrieved March 23, 2021.
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