There are many coincidences with the assassinations of U.S. presidents Abraham Lincoln and John F. Kennedy, and these have become a piece of American folklore. The list of coincidences appeared in the mainstream American press in 1964, a year after the assassination of John F. Kennedy, having appeared prior to that in the GOP Congressional Committee Newsletter. [1] [2] In the 1970s, Martin Gardner examined the list in an article in Scientific American (later reprinted in his 1985 book, The Magic Numbers of Dr. Matrix ), pointing out that several of the claimed coincidences were based on misinformation. [3] [4] Gardner's version of the list contained 16 items; many subsequent versions have circulated much longer lists.
A 1999 examination by Snopes found that the listed "coincidences are easily explained as the simple product of mere chance." [5] In 1992, the Skeptical Inquirer ran a "Spooky Presidential Coincidences Contest." One winner found a series of sixteen similar coincidences between Kennedy and former Mexican president Álvaro Obregón. Another winner came up with similar lists for twenty-one pairs of U.S. presidents. [6] For example, there were 13 similarities found between Thomas Jefferson and Andrew Jackson. [7]
The following are the list of "coincidences" that are commonly associated with the conspiracy, some of which are not true statements:
Some urban folklorists have postulated that the list provided a way for people to make sense of two tragic events in American history by seeking out patterns. [5] [48] Gardner and others have said that it is relatively easy to find seemingly meaningful patterns relating any two people or events. The psychological phenomenon of apophenia – defined as "the tendency to perceive order in random configurations" – has been proposed as a possible reason for the lists' enduring popularity. [4]
Most of the items listed above are true, such as the year in which Lincoln and Kennedy were each elected president, but this is not so unusual given that presidential elections are held only every four years. A few of the items are simply untrue: for example, Lincoln never had a secretary named Kennedy; Lincoln's secretaries were John Hay and John G. Nicolay. [5] However, Lincoln's footman, William H. Crook, did advise Lincoln not to go that night to Ford's Theatre. [49] [50] David Mikkelson of Snopes points out many ways in which Lincoln and Kennedy do not match, to show the superficial nature of the alleged coincidences: For example, Lincoln was born in 1809 but Kennedy in 1917. Lincoln and Kennedy were both elected in '60, but Lincoln was already in his second term when he was assassinated; Kennedy was not. Also, neither the years, months, nor dates of their assassinations match. Although both were shot on Fridays, Lincoln didn't die from his injuries until Saturday. [5]
Buddy Starcher wrote a song, "History Repeats Itself," recounting many of these coincidences and parallels between the two presidents' careers and deaths. The song became an American Top 40 hit during the spring of 1966, [51] and reached number two on the Country chart. Cab Calloway also scored a minor chart hit with the song that same year.