2021 New Mexico's 1st congressional district special election

Last updated

New Mexico's 1st congressional district special election
Flag of New Mexico.svg
  2020 June 1, 2021 2022  

New Mexico's 1st congressional district
  Melanie A. Stansbury (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Melanie Stansbury Mark Moores
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote79,83847,111
Percentage60.4%35.6%

2021 United States House of Representatives special election in New Mexico's 1st congressional district by county.svg
2021 United States House of Representatives special election in New Mexico's 1st congressional district by precinct.svg
Stansbury:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     90–100%
Moores:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     No votes:     

U.S. Representative before election

Deb Haaland
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Melanie Stansbury
Democratic

A special election was held on June 1, 2021, to fill the vacancy in New Mexico's 1st congressional district created by Representative Deb Haaland's resignation from the United States House of Representatives to become the Secretary of the Interior in Joe Biden's administration.

Contents

State Representatives Patricia Roybal Caballero, Georgene Louis and Melanie Stansbury and state Senator Antoinette Sedillo Lopez sought the Democratic nomination. State Senator Mark Moores, radio host Eddy Aragon and activist Elisa Martinez sought the Republican nomination.

The Democratic Party nominated Stansbury; the Republican Party nominated Moores; the Libertarian Party selected Chris Manning; former Commissioner of Public Lands Aubrey Dunn Jr. ran as an independent. Stansbury won the election with over 60% percent of the vote. [1]

Background

Representative Michelle Lujan Grisham of New Mexico's 1st congressional district announced in 2016, that she would seek the Democratic nomination for the 2018 gubernatorial election. [2] Deb Haaland, the former chair of the Democratic Party of New Mexico, ran for the seat with the Democratic nomination and won in the 2018 election. [3] She was reelected in the 2020 election. [4]

Haaland was selected by President Joe Biden to serve as Secretary of the Interior and she was approved by the United States Senate by a vote of fifty-one to forty. [5] [6] Haaland resigned from her seat on March 16, 2021, and a special election was ordered by the Secretary of State of New Mexico to be held on June 1. [7] [8] Each party's state central committee selected their candidate for the special election instead of using a primary system. [9]

Democratic committee selection

Antoinette Sedillo Lopez, a member of the New Mexico Senate who had run in the 2018 Democratic primary for the seat, and Melanie Stansbury, a member of the New Mexico House of Representatives, announced on December 21, 2020, that they would seek the Democratic nomination for the special election. [10] [11] On January 4, 2021, Georgene Louis, a member of the state house, announced that she would seek the Democratic nomination. [12] Victor Reyes, the legislator director for Governor Lujan Grisham, announced on January 8, that he would seek the Democratic nomination. [13] Patricia Roybal Caballero, a member of the state house, announced her campaign on January 27. [14]

Stansbury won the nomination after defeating Sedillo Lopez, who had placed first in the first round of voting, in the runoff. [15]

Candidates

Selected

Eliminated in second round

Eliminated in first round

Declined

Endorsements

Georgene Louis
Individuals
State legislators
Selinda Guerrero
Organizations
Victor Reyes
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Convention results

Democratic convention results [36] [15]
CandidateFirst round votesFirst round pct.Second round votesSecond round pct.
Melanie Stansbury 4321.61%10351.24%
Antoinette Sedillo Lopez 7437.19%9748.26%
Randi McGinn3417.09%Eliminated
Victor Reyes189.05%Eliminated
Selinda Guerrero136.53%Eliminated
Georgene Louis 136.53%Eliminated
Francisco Fernández21.01%Eliminated
Patricia Roybal Caballero 10.50%Eliminated
Abstained 10.50%10.50%
Total199100%201100%

Republican committee selection

State Senator Mark Moores was selected by the Republican state central committee to serve as the Republican candidate in the special election on March 27. [37] [38]

Candidates

Selected

Not selected

Withdrew before committee selection

Endorsements

Convention results

Republican convention results [46] [47]
CandidateVotesPct.
Mark Moores 4940%
Eddy Aragon3428%
Elisa Martinez2017%
Jared Vander Dussen76%
Ronnie Lucero65%
Michaela Chavez54%
Jonathan Gonzalez00%
Total121100%

Libertarian committee selection

Candidates

Selected

Independents

Aubrey Dunn Jr., who had served as the New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands as a Republican and Libertarian, filed to run as an independent for the seat on January 8, 2021. [13] Laura Olivas and Robert Ornelas ran as write-in candidates. [49]

Candidates

Declared

Certified write-in

Endorsements

Laura Olivas

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [54] Likely DJune 1, 2021
Inside Elections [55] Solid DMay 7, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [56] Likely DMay 26, 2021

Endorsements

Melanie Stansbury (D)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
Individuals
Organizations
Laura Olvias (I) (write-in)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Melanie
Stansbury (D)
Mark
Moores (R)
Aubrey
Dunn (I)
Chris
Manning (L)
Undecided
RRH Elections (R) May 18–21, 2021555 (LV)± 4.2%49%33%5%3%9%
Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Results

2021 New Mexico's 1st congressional district special election [79]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Melanie Stansbury 79,838 60.36% +2.17%
Republican Mark Moores 47,11135.62%−6.19%
Independent Aubrey Dunn Jr. 3,5342.67%N/A
Libertarian Chris Manning1,7341.31%N/A
Write-in 460.03%N/A
Total votes132,263 100.0%
Democratic hold

By county

County Melanie Stansbury
Democratic
Mark Moores
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%
Bernalillo 74,18161.40%41,98434.75%4,6413.84%32,19726.65%120,806
Sandoval 3,68659.36%2,28936.86%2353.78%1,39722.50%6,210
Santa Fe 61138.94%87555.77%835.29%−264−16.83%1,569
Torrance 94534.43%1,50354.75%29710.82%−558−20.33%2,745
Valencia 41544.58%46049.41%566.01%−45−4.83%931
Totals79,83860.36%47,11135.62%5,3144.02%32,72724.74%132,263

See also

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Official websites for candidates