Opinion polling for the 2014 Indian general election

Last updated

In the run up to the 2014 Indian general election , various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the Jan 2013 to April 2014. Many organisations have gone on to conduct exit polls and post-poll surveys as well, which too are displayed.

Contents

Background

Opinion polls in India can be controversial. These charges include partisan manipulation. [1]

Opinion poll methodology has heavily improved and agencies like CSDS have got it absolutely correct on 16 occasions, roughly correct on 7 occasions and wrong on 4 occasions. [2]

Post-poll surveys or Exit Polls, widely published, are fundamentally different from opinion polls. [3] According to a study, post-poll surveys in the past have consistently overestimated BJP seats. [4] However, in 2014, it was the opposite and most exit polls underestimated the number of seats to be won by BJP and allies.

Opinion polls

Seats

NDTV - Hansa Research seat predictions NDTV-Hansa Research Polls for the Indian general election, 2014-Seat Predictions.png
NDTV - Hansa Research seat predictions
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
UPA NDA Left Other
Jan–Mar 2013 [5] Times Now-CVoterNo sample size provided128184––
Apr–May 2013 [6] Headlines Today-CVoter120,000209 (without Modi)
155(with Modi)		179(without Modi)
220 (with Modi)		––
May 2013 [7] ABP News-Nielsen33,408136206––
Jul 2013 [8] The Week – Hansa ResearchNo sample size provided184197–162
Jul 2013 [9] CNN-IBN and The Hindu by CSDS19,062 [10] 149–157172–180–208–224
Jul 2013 [11] Times Now-India Today-CVoter36,914134 (INC 119)156 (BJP 131)––
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,284117 (INC 102)186 (BJP 162)–240
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,792103 (INC 91)212 (BJP 188)–228
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [14] ABP News-Nielsen 64,006 [15] 101 (INC 81)226 (BJP 210)–216
Jan 2014 [16] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 18,591 [17] 107 – 127
(INC 92 – 108)		211 – 231
(BJP 192 – 210)		–205
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,000 [19] 101 (INC 89)227 (BJP 202)–215
Feb 2014 [15] ABP News-Nielsen 29,0009223629186
Feb 2014 [20] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 29,000119 – 139
(INC 94 – 110)		212 – 232
(BJP 193 – 213)		105–193
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,57112823055130
March 2014 [22] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 20,957111–123234–246 174–198
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,000 [24] 111 (INC 92)275 (BJP 226)157

Votes

NDTV - Hansa Research vote share predictions NDTV- Hansa Research Polls for the Indian general election, 2014.png
NDTV - Hansa Research vote share predictions
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
UPA NDA Left Other
December 2013 – January 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,79223%34%–43%
December 2013 – January 2014 [14] ABP News-Nielsen 64,006 [15] 23%31%5%41%
January 2014 [16] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 18,591 [17] 36% (INC 27%)28% (BJP 34%)4%32%
February 2014 [15] ABP News-Nielsen 20465%40%
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,00025.6%34.5%39.9%

Graphs

100
200
300
400
500
600
ABP News-Jan
CNN-IBN-Jan
Times Now-Feb
ABP News-Feb
CNN-IBN-Feb
NDTV-March
CNN-IBN-March
NDTV-April
  •   NDA
  •   UPA
  •   Others
50
100
150
200
250
300
ABP News-Jan
CNN-IBN-Jan
Times Now-Feb
ABP News-Feb
CNN-IBN-Feb
NDTV-March
CNN-IBN-March
NDTV-April
  •   NDA
  •   UPA
  •   Others

Statewise opinion polling

Andhra Pradesh (42)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Andhra Pradesh

   BJP +TDP Alliance - 18 seats
   YSR Congress - 9 seats
   TRS - 8 seats
   INC - 6 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP TDP YSR Congress TRS
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,2847–81313
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,7927–81313
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00062101310
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research [25] 46,57169159
March–April 2014 [26] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 13084–813–199–154–8
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research [27] 24,00061898
4–12 April 2014 [28] India Today-Cicero 13584–617–217–116–10

Arunachal Pradesh (2)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28411
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00011

Assam (14)

 
 
 

NDTV - Hansa Research March 2014 opinion poll for Assam

   INC - 12 seats
   BJP - 1 seats
  Others - 1 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP AGP AUDF BPF
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28493011
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00075011
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research [29] 46,571121000

Bihar (40)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Bihar

   BJP+LJP Alliance - 24 seats
   INC +RJD+NCP Alliance - 12 seats
   JD(U) - 4 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC-RJD-NCP BJP-LJP JD(U) Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,284151591
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,792132241
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,000132250
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,571112351
March–April 2014 [30] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 15577–1321–292–50–3
30 March – 2 April 2014 [31] India Today-Cicero 149815–1920–240–20–1
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,000122440

Chhattisgarh (11)

 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Chhattisgarh

   BJP - 8 seats
   INC - 3 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28438
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00038
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,57129
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,00038

Goa (2)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28411
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00011

Gujarat (26)

 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Gujarat

   BJP - 22 seats
   INC - 4 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,2844220
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,7925210
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,0004220
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,5713230
March–April 2014 [32] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 9170–420–260–2
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,0004220

Haryana (10)

 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Haryana

   BJP +HJC Alliance - 6 seats
   INC - 2 seats
   INLD - 2 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP-HJC INLD AAP
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,2845410
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,0001711
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,5713700
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,0002620

Himachal Pradesh (4)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28413
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00013

Jammu and Kashmir (6)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP PDP NC Others (IND. & People's Conference)
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28411121
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00012210

Jharkhand (14)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Jharkhand

   BJP - 12 seats
   INC - 1 seats
   JMM - 1 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP JMM JVM Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28416232
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00018221
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,57146202
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,000112100

Karnataka (28)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Karnataka

   BJP - 12 seats
   INC - 14 seats
   JD(S) - 2 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP JD(S) AAP Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,2841312300
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,7921213003
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,0001411210
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,571620200
March–April 2014 [33] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 82512–187–131 – 4
(Including Others)		01 – 4
(Including JD(S))
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,0001412200

Kerala (20)

 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Kerala

   LDF - 12 seats
   UDF - 8 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
BJP LDF INC KC(M) IUML
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,284013412
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter [34] 21,792–116––
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00019712
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,5710137
(As UDF)
March–April 2014 [35] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 60704–811 – 17
(As UDF)
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,0000128
(As UDF)

Madhya Pradesh (29)

 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Madhya Pradesh

   BJP - 26 seats
   INC - 3 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP BSP Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28462300
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,79262201
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00052400
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,57142410
March–April 2014 [36] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 11211–524–2800
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,00032600

Maharashtra (48)

 
 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Maharashtra

   BJP +Shiv Sena Alliance - 37 seats
   INC +NCP Alliance - 9 seats
  Others - 2 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC NCP BJP [37] SS Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28411615142
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,7929514146
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,0008517153
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,57112333
March 2014 [38] ABP News-NielsenNot Available8519124
March–April 2014 [39] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 166216–2224–301–3
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,0009372

Manipur (2)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,284200
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,000101

Meghalaya (2)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC NPP
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28411
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00011

Mizoram (1)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28401
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00010

Nagaland (1)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
NPF Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28410
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00010

Odisha (21)

 
 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Odisha

   BJD - 13 seats
   BJP - 7 seats
   INC - 1 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP BJD Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28490120
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,79280130
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00072120
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,57131170
March–April 2014 [40] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 7960–43–710–160–2
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,00017130

Punjab (13)

 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Punjab

   BJP +SAD Alliance - 7 seats
   INC - 6 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP SAD
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,284427
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,000625
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,57185
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,00067

Rajasthan (25)

 
 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Rajasthan

   BJP - 21 seats
   INC - 3 seats
  Others - 1 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,2845191
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,7923211
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,0004210
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,5715191
March–April 2014 [41] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 8370–221–250–2
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,0003211

Sikkim (1)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP SDF
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,000001

Tamil Nadu (39)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Tamil Nadu

   AIADMK - 22 seats
   DMK Alliance - 14 seats
   BJP Alliance - 3 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP AIADMK DMK Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,284102855
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,7920–2955
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,000102756
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,5710027102
March–April 2014 [42] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 146006 – 10
(In alliance)		15–2110 – 16
(In alliance)		0
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,00003
(In alliance)		2214
(In alliance)		0
4–12 April 2014 [28] India Today-Cicero 135804 – 6
(In alliance)		20–249 – 13
(In alliance)		0–2

Tripura (2)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP CPI(M)
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,284002
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,000002

Uttar Pradesh (80)

 
 
 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Uttar Pradesh

   BJP - 74 seats
   INC - 1 seats
   BSP - 1 seats
   SP - 4 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP SP BSP Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28471725310
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,79243020242
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [43] ABP News-Nielsen64,006123514154
Jan–Feb 2014 [44] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00053420210
Feb 2014 [45] ABP News-Nielsen29,000114013142
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,571124013150
March–April 2014 [46] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 26334 – 8
42 – 50
11–1710–160–2
30 March – 3 April 2014 [31] India Today-Cicero 14986 – 10
42 – 50
15–219–130–2
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,00055114100

Uttarakhand (5)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,28405
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,00005

West Bengal (42)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for West Bengal

   AITC - 30 seats
   Left Front - 8 seats
   INC - 4 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP AITC Left Front Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,2843023160
Dec 2013 – Jan 2014 [13] India Today-CVoter21,7922023161
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,0002124141
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,571103290
March–April 2014 [47] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 14404–70–123–297–130
1 – 5 April 2014 [48] India Today-Cicero 17066–100–323–277–110–1
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,000403080

Union Territories

NCT of Delhi (7)

 
 

Latest NDTV - Hansa Research April 2014 opinion poll for Delhi

   BJP - 7 seats
   AAP - 0 seats
When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP AAP
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,284340
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,000043
March 2014 [21] NDTV- Hansa Research 46,571124
March–April 2014 [49] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 8910–13–42–3
28–29 March 2014 [50] India Today- Cicero 1,1880–25–71–2
April 2014 [23] NDTV- Hansa Research 24,000070

Other Union Territories (6)

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencySample size
INC BJP AAP Others
Aug–Oct 2013 [12] Times Now-India TV-CVoter24,2841401
Jan–Feb 2014 [18] Times Now-India TV-CVoter14,0001311

Other findings

The eight largest metropolises in India are considered important because they constitute 31 seats, larger than some regions altogether. In the previous election, the INC-led UPA won 24 of these seats, but the UPA is trailing in these areas. [51] A NDTV opinion poll in Uttar Pradesh indicated that the BJP would win its largest share of seats in the region by winning 40 of the 80 seats. BSP would get 15 seats, SP would get 13 seats, INC-RLD will get 12 seats, amongst its losses will Ajit Singh. The poll also asked those in Gujarat if Modi should run from U.P., of which 67% responded negatively, while those in U.P. said by 62% that they would like to see him run from there. [52] A survey of first time voters suggested Modi was the most popular prime ministerial candidate and Mamata Banerjee was the most popular outside the BJP or INC. [53] Latest survey by CNN-IBN-Lokniti predicts the decline (by 5%) in popularity of Narendra Modi as PM candidate. [54]

Exit polls

When conductedRefPolling organisation/agencyConstituencies
polled
UPA NDA TF Other
April/May 2014
(post-poll)		 [55] CNN-IBN-Lokniti-CSDS 287 [56] 92–102
(INC 72–82)		270–282
(BJP 230–242)		125–171
April/May 2014
(exit+post-poll)		 [57] India Today – Cicero543 [58] 110–120261–283150–162
April/May 2014
(exit+post-poll)		 [57] [59] News 24-Today's Chanakya 479 [60] 61–79
(INC 48–66)		326–354
(BJP 277–305)		122–144
Publish DateRefPolling Organisation
NDA UPA Other
12 May 2014 [57] CNN-IBN – CSDS – Lokniti27697148
[57] [58] India Today – Cicero272115

156

[57] [59] News 24 – Chanakya 34070133
[57] Times Now – ORG249148146
[57] [61] ABP News – Nielsen 27497165
[57] India TV – CVoter 289101148
14 May 2014 [62] [63] NDTV – Hansa Research279103161
[64] CNN-IBN – CSDS28097148
12 May 2014 [57] Poll of Polls283105149

Controversy

Polling agencies have been criticised by some political parties, intellectuals and political scholars.[ why? ] [65] One of the limitations in making predictions is the modelling the relationship between vote share and the number of seats. [66]

A controversy erupted when a lowly rated news channel News Express released footage of a sting operation named Operation Polly which alleged that a number of polling agencies were involved in malpractices such as juggling with the statistics and results. The sting was aimed to suggest that Polling agencies are fudging numbers. The allegation included global research Giants like Ipsos and CVoter, whose contract with the India Today group was suspended briefly.

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2009 Indian general election</span>

General elections were held in India in five phases between 16 April 2009 and 13 May 2009 to elect the members of the fifteenth Lok Sabha. With an electorate of 716 million, it was the largest democratic election in the world until being surpassed by the 2014 general election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Indian general election</span> Election to Indias National Parliament through direct election

General elections were held in India in nine phases from 7 April to 12 May 2014 to elect the members of the 16th Lok Sabha. With 834 million registered voters, they were the largest-ever elections in the world until being surpassed by the 2019 election. Around 23.1 million or 2.71% of the total eligible voters were aged 18–19 years. A total of 8,251 candidates contested the 543 elected Lok Sabha seats. The average election turnout over all nine phases was around 66.40%, the highest ever in the history of Indian general elections until 2019 election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Indian general election in Tamil Nadu</span> Elections in Tamil Nadu

The 2014 Indian general elections for Tamil Nadu's 39 seats in the 16th Lok Sabha were held on 24 April 2014. The All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam led by its general secretary J. Jayalalithaa won a spectacular victory, taking 37 of the 39 seats. The total electors in the state of Tamil Nadu for the election was 55,114,867 and 73.74% of voters exercised their right to do so. The results of the elections were declared on 16 May 2014.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Indian general election in Haryana</span>

The 2014 Indian general election polls in Haryana for 10 Lok Sabha seats will be held in a single phases on 10 April 2014. As of 11 February 2014 The total voter strength of Haryana is 15,594,427.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Indian general election in Odisha</span>

The 2014 Indian general election polls in Odisha for 21 Lok Sabha seats were held in two phases on 10 and 17 April 2014.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Indian general election in Assam</span>

The 2014 Indian general election polls in Assam for 14 Lok Sabha seats was held in three phases on 7, 12 and 24 April 2014. The total voter strength of Assam is 18,723,032.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Indian general election in Uttar Pradesh</span>

The 2014 Indian general election polls in Uttar Pradesh for 80 Lok Sabha seats was held in six phases on 10, 17, 24, 30 April and 7, 12 May 2014. The total voter strength of Uttar Pradesh was 134,351,297.

Centre for Voting Opinions and Trends in Election Research, or CVoter, is an Indian international polling agency headquartered in Delhi, India.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Indian general election in Kerala</span> Indian general election 2014

The 2014 Indian general election polls in Kerala were held for the twenty Lok Sabha seats in the state on 10 April 2014. The total voter strength of Kerala for the election was 2,42,51,937 and 73.89% of voters exercised their right to do so. The results of the elections were declared on 16 May 2014.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Indian general election in Delhi</span>

The 2014 Indian general election polls in Delhi for seven Lok Sabha seats was held in a single phase on 10 April 2014. As of 16 December 2013, the total voter strength of Delhi is 11,932,069.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Indian general election in Karnataka</span> Per-state electoral results for Indias Lok Sabha

The 2014 Indian general election polls in Karnataka for 28 Lok Sabha seats was held in a single phase on 17 April 2014. As of 14 February 2014, the total voter strength of Karnataka is 44,694,658.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Indian general election in Andhra Pradesh</span>

The 2014 Indian general election in Andhra Pradesh were held on 30 April 2014 and 7 May 2014. In Andhra Pradesh there are 25 Lok sabha constituencies and were scheduled to go for voting on 7 May 2014 and results are announced on 16 May 2014, and the new state of Telangana was carved out from Andhra Pradesh on 2 June 2014.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2019 Indian general election</span>

General elections were held in India in seven phases from 11 April to 19 May 2019 to elect the members of the 17th Lok Sabha. Votes were counted and the result was declared on 23 May. Around 912 million people were eligible to vote, and voter turnout was over 67 per cent – the highest ever, as well as the highest ever participation by women voters until 2024 Indian general election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Indian general election</span>

General elections were held in India from 19 April to 1 June 2024 in seven phases, to elect all 543 members of the Lok Sabha. Votes were counted and the result was declared on 4 June to form the 18th Lok Sabha. On 7 June 2024, Prime Minister Narendra Modi confirmed the support of 293 MPs to Droupadi Murmu, the president of India. This marked Modi's third term as prime minister and his first time heading a coalition government, with the Telugu Desam Party of Andhra Pradesh and Janata Dal (United) of Bihar emerging as two main allies.

In the run up to the Indian general election, 2019, various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the Jan 2018 to April 2019. Many organisations have gone on to conduct exit polls and post-poll surveys as well, which too are displayed.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Indian general election in Gujarat</span> Election to constitute the 18th Lok Sabha in 2024

The 2024 Indian general election was held in Gujarat on 7 May 2024 to elect 26 members of the 18th Lok Sabha. The result of the election was announced on 4 June 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Indian general election in Maharashtra</span> Election to elect members of the 18th Lok Sabha in Maharashtra

The 2024 Indian general election in Maharashtra was held in five phases between 19 April and 20 May 2024 to elect 48 members of the 18th Lok Sabha. The result of the election was announced on 4 June 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Indian general election in West Bengal</span> Indian political election in West Bengal

The 2024 Indian general election was held in West Bengal in seven phases between 19 April and 1 June 2024 to elect 42 members of the 18th Lok Sabha. The result of the election was announced on 4 June 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Indian general election in Rajasthan</span> Election to constitute the 18th Lok Sabha in 2024 in Rajasthan

The 2024 Indian general election was held in Rajasthan in two phases on 19 April and 26 April 2024 to elect 25 members of the 18th Lok Sabha. Bye-poll for Bagidora Assembly constituency is to be held with this election. The result of the election was announced on 4 June 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Opinion polling for the 2024 Indian general election</span> Surveys and polls for 2024 Indian general election

In the run-up to the 2024 Indian general election, various media houses and polling agencies, carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

References

  1. ↑ "In India’s National Election, Don’t Trust the Polls, Jonah Force Hill, February 24, 2014". TheDiplomat.com. Feb 2014.
  2. ↑ "Power and Limitations of Opinion Polls: My Experiences".
  3. ↑ "What exit polls are really about".
  4. ↑ "Lok Sabha elections 2014: Why exit polls often get it wrong". The Economic Times. 13 May 2014.
  5. ↑ "2014 Lok Sabha polls: Big losses to UPA, no gain for NDA, survey finds". The Times of India . 17 April 2013. Archived from the original on 20 April 2013. Retrieved 11 June 2013.
  6. ↑ "Narendra Modi is NDA's trump card for 2014 Lok Sabha polls, reveals Headlines Today C-Voter survey". Indiatoday.intoday.in. 21 May 2013. Retrieved 31 July 2013.
  7. ↑ This Content Has been removed from Internet And was seen AT "http://www.newsbullet.in/india/34-more/42023-upa-set-for-a-crushing-defeatsurvey Archived 8 June 2013 at the Wayback Machine ". The Site which was earlier named as newsbullet.in has been changed to abplive.in with no previous content.
  8. ↑ "Lok Sabha polls 2014: Narendra Modi top choice for PM, beats Rahul Gandhi, says survey". Indian Express. 4 July 2013. Retrieved 31 July 2013.
  9. ↑ "Poll tracker". CNN-IBN. 26 July 2013. Archived from the original on 28 July 2013. Retrieved 26 July 2013.
  10. ↑ "Survey Methodology". The Hindu . Chennai, India. 22 July 2013. Retrieved 25 July 2013.
  11. ↑ "2014 Poll survey projects NDA making significant gains". economic times. 29 July 2013. Retrieved 29 July 2013.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "Congress 102, BJP 162; UPA 117, NDA 186: C-Voter Poll". Outlook. Archived from the original on 16 October 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2013.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 "NDA may win over 200 seats as Modi's popularity soars further: India Today Mood of the Nation opinion poll : North, News – India Today". India Today. Retrieved 23 January 2013.
  14. 1 2 "ABP News nationwide opinion poll: NDA clear winner with 226, UPA stuck at 101". Abpnews. Archived from the original on 29 January 2014. Retrieved 25 January 2013.
  15. 1 2 3 4 "Modi-led NDA way ahead than UPA, to win 236 seats in LS polls 2014: ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll". Abp news. 22 February 2014. Archived from the original on 13 April 2014. Retrieved 22 February 2014.
  16. 1 2 "Poll tracker: NDA to get 211–231, UPA distant second with 107–127". IBNLIVE. Archived from the original on 26 January 2014. Retrieved 24 January 2013.
  17. 1 2 "Methodology of Lokniti-IBN Tracker Round II". Lokniti. Archived from the original on 29 January 2014. Retrieved 24 January 2013.
  18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 "India TV-C Voter projection: Big gains for BJP in UP, Bihar; NDA may be 45 short of magic mark". Indiatv. Retrieved 13 February 2013.
  19. ↑ "#WhoWillFormGovt: National Poll Projection – 1". Timesnow. Archived from the original on 22 February 2014. Retrieved 13 February 2013.
  20. ↑ "NDA close to halfway mark with 212–232, needs more allies". IBNLive. 7 March 2014. Archived from the original on 7 March 2014. Retrieved 7 March 2014.
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "The Final Word – India's biggest opinion poll". NDTV. 14 March 2014. Retrieved 14 March 2014.
  22. ↑ "Modi-powered NDA may get 234–246 seats, UPA 111–123". IBNLive. 4 April 2014. Archived from the original on 7 April 2014. Retrieved 4 April 2014.
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "The Final Word – India's biggest opinion poll". NDTV. 14 April 2014. Retrieved 15 April 2014.
  24. ↑ "The Final Word – India's biggest opinion poll". NDTV. 14 April 2014. Retrieved 15 April 2014.
  25. ↑ The poll was conducted separately for Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. 1 seat was given to others in Telangana. Moreover, BJP and TDP were taken to be a coalition
  26. ↑ "Andhra poll tracker: TDP to get 18–20 seats, YSRCP 1–2, Congress 3–4". CNN-IBN. 1 April 2014. Archived from the original on 4 April 2014. Retrieved 2 April 2014.
  27. ↑ The poll was conducted separately for Andhra Pradesh and Telangana.
  28. 1 2 "Modi powered BJP breaches southern fortress". India Today. 20 April 2014. Retrieved 20 April 2014.
  29. ↑ The poll gave one seat to others.
  30. ↑ "Bihar tracker: BJP-LJP to bag 21–29, RJD-Cong-NCP 7–13, JDU 2–5 seats". CNN-IBN. 1 April 2014. Archived from the original on 4 April 2014. Retrieved 1 April 2014.
  31. 1 2 "Modi wave to take 42–50 seats in UP; 20–24 in Bihar: India Today Group-Cicero poll". India Today. 11 April 2014. Retrieved 13 April 2014.
  32. ↑ "Gujarat poll tracker: BJP on a roll, to win 20–26 seats, Congress 0–4". CNN-IBN. 2 April 2014. Archived from the original on 5 April 2014. Retrieved 2 April 2014.
  33. ↑ "Karnataka tracker: Congress to win 12–18 seats, BJP 7–13, others 1–4". CNN-IBN. 1 April 2014. Archived from the original on 4 April 2014. Retrieved 2 April 2014.
  34. ↑ 3 seats given to others
  35. ↑ "Kerala poll tracker: UDF ahead with 11–17 seats, LDF 4–8". CNN-IBN. 1 April 2014. Archived from the original on 3 April 2014. Retrieved 2 April 2014.
  36. ↑ "MP poll tracker: Landslide for BJP with 24–28 seats, Congress 1–5". CNN-IBN. 2 April 2014. Archived from the original on 5 April 2014. Retrieved 2 April 2014.
  37. ↑ With Republican Party of India (Athvale) and Shiv Sena as National Democratic Alliance-NDA
  38. ↑ "BJP-Shiv Sena clear winner in Maharashtra: ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll". abplive.in/. ABP News. 28 March 2014. Retrieved 28 March 2014.
  39. ↑ "Maharashtra poll tracker: BJP-SS-RPI 24–30 seats, Congress-NCP 16–22". CNN-IBN. 2 April 2014. Archived from the original on 5 April 2014. Retrieved 2 April 2014.
  40. ↑ "Odisha tracker: Naveen's BJD to win 10–16 seats, BJP 3–7, Congress 0–4". CNN-IBN. 1 April 2014. Archived from the original on 4 April 2014. Retrieved 1 April 2014.
  41. ↑ "Rajasthan tracker: BJP to win 21–25 seats, Cong routed, may get 0–2". CNN-IBN. 3 April 2014. Archived from the original on 6 April 2014. Retrieved 4 April 2014.
  42. ↑ "Tamil Nadu tracker: AIADMK 15–21 seats, DMK 10–16, BJP alliance 6–10". CNN-IBN. 1 April 2014. Archived from the original on 4 April 2014. Retrieved 2 April 2014.
  43. ↑ ABP NEWS (25 January 2014). "ABP News nationwide opinion poll: UPA leading in south India, NDA in east" – via YouTube.
  44. ↑ "India TV C voter projection big gains for BJP". 13 February 2014.
  45. ↑ "ABP News – Nielsen Opinion Poll BJP sweep in UP-SP-BSP hit".
  46. ↑ "UP tracker: BJP may win 42–50 seats, SP 11–17, BSP 10–16, Cong-RLD 4–8". CNN-IBN. 3 April 2014. Archived from the original on 6 April 2014. Retrieved 4 April 2014.
  47. ↑ "West Bengal tracker: TMC 23–29 seats, Left 7–13, Congress 4–7, BJP 0–1". CNN-IBN. 1 April 2014. Archived from the original on 3 April 2014. Retrieved 1 April 2014.
  48. ↑ "Trinamool Congress set to bag up to 27 of 42 Lok Sabha seats in West Bengal, says India Today-Cicero poll". India Today. 13 April 2014. Retrieved 14 April 2014.
  49. ↑ "Delhi tracker: BJP takes lead, to win 3–4 seats, AAP 2–3, Congress 0–1". CNN-IBN. 3 April 2014. Archived from the original on 6 April 2014. Retrieved 3 April 2014.
  50. ↑ "India Today Group-Cicero opinion poll: BJP set to completely rout Congress in Delhi's seven Lok Sabha seats". India Today. 2 April 2014. Retrieved 6 April 2014.
  51. ↑ "Why India's Big Cities Are Important For Elections 2014". IndiaSpend. 21 February 2014. Retrieved 25 February 2014.
  52. ↑ "NDTV Opinion Poll: Uttar Pradesh with Narendra Modi, big dent for Mulayam Singh Yadav".
  53. ↑ "First time voters want Narendra Modi as PM, suggests India Today-CVoter Youth Survey". Indiatoday.intoday.in. 19 September 2013. Retrieved 25 December 2013.
  54. ↑ "Modi's popularity dips but NDA still leading: Survey". Times of India. 7 March 2014. Retrieved 7 March 2014.
  55. ↑ "Post-poll survey: Modi-led NDA may get 270–282 seats, UPA 92–102". IBNLive. 12 May 2014. Archived from the original on 15 May 2014. Retrieved 12 May 2014.
  56. ↑ What exit polls are really about? The Hindu BusinessLine
  57. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Lok Sabha Exit Polls India Today
  58. 1 2 India Today Group-Cicero post-poll result: Modi set to be India's next PM India Today
  59. 1 2 Lok Sabha 2014 – Exit Poll Archived 15 May 2014 at the Wayback Machine Today's Chanakya
  60. ↑ Methodology – 2014 General Elections Archived 15 May 2014 at the Wayback Machine , TODAY'S CHANAKYA
  61. ↑ ABP NEWS – NIELSEN EXIT POLL 2014 Archived 15 May 2014 at the Wayback Machine ABP News
  62. ↑ "Lok Sabha Exit and Post Poll – Methodology". NDTV India. 14 May 2014. Retrieved 15 May 2014.
  63. ↑ "Watch NDTV Exit Poll: BJP and Allies Cross Half-Way Mark, Congress in Double Digits". NDTV India. 14 May 2014. Retrieved 15 May 2014.
  64. ↑ Post-poll survey: Modi propels BJP-led NDA to power with 274–286 seats, CNN-IBN
  65. ↑ Shashidhar, Karthik (30 August 2013). "Opinion".
  66. ↑ Why India's pollsters can't figure it out, Rukmini Shrinivasan, TNN, Jun 9, 2013
This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.