Proposed United States invasion of Venezuela

Last updated

Map showing the locations of the United States (in green) and Venezuela (in orange) USA Venezuela Locator4.png
Map showing the locations of the United States (in green) and Venezuela (in orange)

During the first and second presidencies of Donald Trump, the possibility of a United States–led invasion of Venezuela was discussed. [1] In 2017, during Trump's first presidency, Trump said that he was "not going to rule out a military option" to address the worsening crisis in Venezuela and the autocratic government of Nicolás Maduro, a statement which was criticized by Venezuelan Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López and Communications Minister Ernesto Villegas. Trump also had asked senior advisors about invading Venezuela, which was strongly recommended against by National Security Advisor H. R. McMaster, and the Trump administration instead opted for a campaign of sanctions and diplomatic pressure against Venezuela.

In 2019, amidst the Venezuelan presidential crisis, Trump said that American military intervention in Venezuela was "an option".

In 2020, Senator Marco Rubio had proposed an invasion of Venezuela during at least two meetings with senior White House officials months before the 2020 presidential election, but was opposed by Vice President Mike Pence and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. In November 2024, Trump appointed Rubio, who had long advocated for American military intervention in Venezuela, as his Secretary of State.

The United States surged military assets to the Caribbean in August 2025, citing the fight against drug cartels as its stated objective. On 2 September 2025, it struck a suspected drug-carrying boat with a missile and killed 11. [2] In response, Maduro mobilized the Bolivarian Militia, raising renewed concerns about the possibility of US military intervention in Venezuela.

History

First Trump presidency (2017–2021)

According to the Argentine newspaper Clarin , within the framework of the crisis in Venezuela, unnamed administration officials stated that an intervention was raised in 2017 to Donald Trump's advisors, including US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and national security advisor H. R. McMaster (who left the Trump administration from that moment on) and later to several presidents of Latin American countries including Juan Manuel Santos. [1] On both occasions, everyone present asked President Trump not to proceed with the plan. [1] On the possibility of intervention in Venezuela during the Venezuelan presidential crisis, Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemisphere Affairs, Kimberly Breier said: "Although our policy is based on a peaceful transition, we have made it very clear that all options are on the table." [3]

On 11 August 2017, President Trump said that he is "not going to rule out a military option" to confront the autocratic government of Nicolás Maduro and the deepening crisis in Venezuela. [4] Venezuela Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López called Trump's statement "an act of supreme extremism" and "an act of madness." Venezuela Communications Minister Ernesto Villegas said Trump's words amounted to "an unprecedented threat to national sovereignty". [5] President Maduro's son, Nicolás Maduro Guerra, stated during the 5th Constituent Assembly of Venezuela session that if the United States were to attack Venezuela, "the rifles would arrive in New York, Mr. Trump, we would arrive and take the White House." [6]

In July 2018, CNN wrote that a senior administration official stated that, in an August 2017 meeting about imposing diplomatic and financial sanctions on Venezuela, Trump asked senior advisers about the possibility of invading Venezuela. Then-National Security Advisor H. R. McMaster and other aides strongly advised against military action, warning that it could backfire and that regional allies opposed such measures. The official emphasized that there was "no imminent plan" for an invasion, describing Trump's remarks as thinking "out loud." Trump's comments were first reported by the Associated Press and came a day before he publicly stated that a "military option" against Venezuela remained possible. Trump later raised the issue with Latin American leaders on the sidelines of the 72nd session of the United Nations General Assembly, though they uniformly rejected the idea. The Trump administration subsequently pursued a policy of sanctions and diplomatic pressure on Venezuela while continuing to call for free and fair elections. [7]

In September 2018, the Council on Foreign Relations assessed that an American military intervention in Venezuela would "be a disaster". The CFR also assessed that the United States would need over 100,000 troops to invade the country and that, American troops would have to deal with Venezuela's destroyed infrastructure, armed militias, local drug cartels, and the blame from international observers if they are unable to rebuild the nation. [8]

In an interview on CBS News Face the Nation in January 2019, Trump said, "Well, I don't want to say that, but certainly it's something that on the – it's an option." which left the possibility that the U.S. could intervene militarily if Maduro's government continues to repress opposition and violate human rights openly. [9]

In April 2020, just one week after U.S. federal prosecutors indicted Maduro on narcoterrorism charges, President Trump announced at a White House press conference that the U.S. was deploying Navy destroyers, surveillance aircraft, and additional military personnel to the Caribbean near Venezuela. [10] The operation was presented as part of an anti-drug crackdown aimed at countering what Trump called a “growing threat” from cartels seeking to exploit the COVID-19 pandemic. Defense Secretary Mark Esper supported the move, stating that drug traffickers and “corrupt actors, like the illegitimate Maduro regime,” relied on narcotics profits to maintain power, while emphasizing that the Venezuelan people continued to suffer under Maduro’s rule. [11]

In May 2020, Trump said in a conversation with the television network Fox News that "If we ever did anything with Venezuela", in that case "it would be called invasion ", explaining: "if I wanted to go into Venezuela I wouldn't make a secret about it", and "I wouldn't send a small, little group, no, no, no. It would be called an army." [12] In June 2020, John Bolton, National Security advisor at the time, published in a book that Trump said that invading Venezuela would be "cool" because it is "really part of the United States". [13]

In August 2020, an Argentine online paper wrote that Senator Marco Rubio had suggested a U.S. invasion of Venezuela during at least two meetings with senior White House officials, aiming to secure President Trump's Latino vote in Florida ahead of the 2020 presidential election. However, Vice President Mike Pence and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo opposed the proposal, rejecting the use of military force. This disagreement was among the reasons John Bolton resigned as National Security Advisor. [14]

Interregnum (2021–2025)

In February 2022, upon orders of President Maduro, the National Assembly of Venezuela approved the opening of an investigation against Trump and former Argentine President Mauricio Macri over leaked documents that suggested that, in 2019, Macri compromised the Argentine Armed Forces in military exercises aimed to an alleged military intervention in Venezuela. [15]

In May 2022, during an interview with CBS’s 60 Minutes, former United States Secretary of Defense Mark Esper told host Norah O’Donnell that President Trump had considered taking military action against Venezuela, as well as launching strikes on Iran, and imposing a naval blockade on Cuba. Esper stated that he opposed such proposals, describing them as “dangerous things,” and said he worked to prevent them. The remarks came shortly before the release of his memoir A Sacred Oath. [16] [17]

In January 2023, former United States Secretary of State Mike Pompeo published his memoir Never Give an Inch: Fighting for the America I Love. In the book, Pompeo claimed that during the first Trump administration, the United States adopted a series of aggressive measures aimed at influencing Venezuelan politics. These included applying economic pressure during the 2018 presidential election, attempting to persuade Maduro to step down, acknowledging the diplomatic status of businessman Alex Saab, and even discussing the possibility of a military intervention. Following these revelations, the National Assembly of Venezuela announced the launch of an investigation into Pompeo’s claims. Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez, Foreign Minister Yván Gil, and Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López each issued statements condemning the actions described, presenting them as confirmation of long-standing accusations of foreign interference and of support for opposition groups seeking to overthrow the government through non-democratic means. [18]

In May 2023, Gustavo Petro, president of Colombia, declared that Trump had made a proposal to then-president Iván Duque to invade Venezuela through Colombia, but that his advisors had stopped him. [19]

In June 2023, Trump said at a press conference in North Carolina, "When I left, Venezuela was about to collapse. We would have taken over it, we would have kept all that oil." [20]

Second Trump presidency (2025–present)

In November 2024, President-elect Trump nominated Senator Marco Rubio to serve as Secretary of State in his second administration. Rubio has long advocated for an interventionist U.S. response to the crisis in Venezuela during his time in the Senate, stating that "all options should remain on the table to remove Maduro from power and restore democracy in Venezuela," while recognizing Edmundo González as the rightful winner of the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election. [9]

In JulyAugust 2025, the United States targeted drug cartels, designated the Venezuelan Cartel of the Suns as a terrorist organization, and doubled the reward on Maduro to $50 million. [21] Attorney General Pam Bondi described Maduro as one of the "world's most notorious narco-traffickers" and a "threat to national security." [22]

On 18 August 2025, the United States deployed three warships along with around 4,000 sailors and U.S. Marines to the coast of Venezuela with the stated goal of opposing drug cartels. [23] [24] [25]

PBS News wrote on 29 August 2025 that Trump was using the "military to thwart cartels he blames for the flow of fentanyl and other illicit drugs into American communities and for perpetuating violence in some U.S. cities", and that the "U.S. government has not signaled any planned land incursion ... and analysts and current and former government officials see no possibility of an invasion in Venezuela." [26] Maduro responded to the deployment by mobilizing over four million soldiers of the Bolivarian Militia across Venezuela, [24] [26] while saying that the country was at "maximum preparedness" for a possible American attack. [27] By 5 September 2025, Maduro claimed that 8 million Venezuelans had been mobilized. [28]

On 2 September 2025, a U.S. military vessel sank a boat allegedly carrying drugs from Venezuela during a high-seas interdiction, killing 11 people. [29] [30]

On 4 September 2025, two F-16 fighter jets of the Venezuelan Air Force flew over the destroyer USS Jason Dunham while in international waters. According to statements by United States Department of Defense, the action by Venezuelan aircraft is described as a "show of force" and "highly provocative move". [31] [32] The following day, President Trump warned that Venezuelan aircraft would be "shot down" if they interfered with U.S. operations. Speaking to reporters at the Oval Office, he said US military commanders had the authority to respond as they deemed necessary should Venezuelan planes fly over Navy ships again, adding, "If they put us in a dangerous position, they’ll be shot down." [33] [34]

On 5 September 2025, Trump ordered the deployment of 10 F-35 fighter jets to Puerto Rico, while ruling out the possibility of a regime change after reporters asked about Maduro's claim that the US was pursuing "regime change through military threat." [35] CNN later reported that President Trump was considering a range of options for military strikes against drug cartels operating on Venezuelan soil, including potential targets inside the country, as part of a broader strategy aimed at weakening Maduro, according to multiple sources briefed on the administration's plans. [36] In response, Maduro warned that if the US attacks Venezuela, then the country would enter a stage of "armed struggle" led by the Venezuelan people. [37]

On 9 September 2025, when asked about the possibility of removing Maduro from power, Trump responded, "We'll see what happens". [38]

See also

References

  1. 1 2 3 Goodman, Joshua; Colvin, Jill (6 August 2018). "El día que Donald Trump sugirió a sus asesores invadir Venezuela". Clarín (in Spanish).
  2. Mark Cancian and Chris Park, "Going to War with the Cartels: The Military Implications," Center for Strategic and International Studies, September 8, 2025, https://www.csis.org/analysis/going-war-cartels-military-implications
  3. Pardo, Pablo (4 February 2019). "¿Cómo sería una invasión de Estados Unidos en Venezuela?". El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 9 October 2023.
  4. "Trump won't 'rule out a military option' in Venezuela". The Washington Post . 11 August 2017. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  5. "Trump's Threat to Invade Venezuela Boosts Embattled Leader Maduro". Slate . 12 August 2017. Retrieved 12 August 2017.
  6. Uzcátegui, Ruth (12 August 2017). "Nicolás Maduro Guerra sobre intervención de Trump: Llegaríamos a tomar la Casa Blanca". Diario Panorama (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 13 August 2017. Retrieved 13 August 2017.
  7. Diamond, Jeremy (5 July 2018). "Trump asked advisers about invading Venezuela in 2017". CNN . Retrieved 25 August 2025.
  8. O'Neil, Shannon K. (18 September 2018). "A U.S. Military Intervention in Venezuela Would be a Disaster". Council on Foreign Relations .
  9. 1 2 Maldonado, Mauricio (12 November 2024). "How would Marco Rubio as secretary of state affect Nicolas Maduro's rule in Venezuela?". CBS News . Retrieved 27 January 2025.
  10. Goodman, Joshua (2 April 2020). "Trump: US to deploy anti-drug Navy ships near Venezuela". Militarytimes.com. Sightline Media Group. Associated Press . Retrieved 16 September 2025.
  11. Spetalnick, Matt; Stewart, Phil (2 April 2020). "Trump doubles U.S. military assets in Caribbean, bolstering drug fight after Maduro indictment". Reuters . Retrieved 16 September 2025.
  12. "Trump: si decido actuar en Venezuela será con una 'invasión'". Deutsche Welle (in Spanish). 8 May 2020.
  13. "Trump dijo que invadir Venezuela sería 'genial', según su exasesor de seguridad nacional". Reuters (in Spanish). 17 June 2020.
  14. Merlo, Milton (24 August 2020). "Marco Rubio agita al War Room de Trump: pide invadir Venezuela para asegurar los votos de Florida". La Política Online (in Spanish). Buenos Aires, Argentina. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
  15. Taglioni, Augusto (16 February 2022). "Maduro ordenó investigar el supuesto intento de intervención militar de Macri y Trump" [Maduro ordered an investigation into the alleged attempt of a military intervention by Macri and Trump]. La Política Online (in Spanish). Retrieved 23 June 2025.
  16. O'Donnell, Norah (9 May 2022). "Former defense secretary Mark Esper: President Trump suggested shooting protesters, missile strikes in Mexico". CBS News . Retrieved 16 September 2025.
  17. Teh, Cheryl (9 May 2022). "Mark Esper says he prevented 'dangerous things' like military action against Venezuela and a blockade of Cuba while serving under Trump". Business Insider . Retrieved 16 September 2025.
  18. "Venezuela to investigate plans of invasion revealed by Mike Pompeo in latest book". CubaSi. 28 January 2023. Retrieved 16 September 2025.
  19. López, Oscar Mauricio (3 May 2023). "Gustavo Petro confirmó que 'En el gobierno de Trump se habló de invadir a Venezuela a través de Colombia". Infobae (in Spanish).
  20. "Donald Trump generó polémica al hablar sobre Venezuela: 'Nos hubiéramos quedado con todo ese petróleo'". La Nación (in Spanish). 12 June 2023.
  21. "Venezuela's Maduro says "no way" U.S. can invade after Washington deploys warships to region". CBS News. 29 August 2025. Retrieved 1 September 2025.
  22. Casiano, Louis (7 August 2025). "AG Bondi offers $50M for arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro". Fox News . Retrieved 8 August 2025.
  23. Holland, Steve (18 August 2025). "US deploys warships near Venezuela to combat drug threats, sources say". Reuters . Retrieved 21 August 2025.
  24. 1 2 Jeyaretnam, Miranda (20 August 2025). "4,000 Troops and 4,500,000 Militiamen: What to Know About the U.S.-Venezuela Standoff". TIME .
  25. Regina Garcia Cano; Konstantin Toropin (29 August 2025). "US warships in South America and the reaction in Venezuela". Navy Times. Associated Press.
  26. 1 2 Garcia Cano, Regina; Toropin, Konstantin (29 August 2025). "Why is the U.S. deploying war ships to South America? 4 things to know". PBS . Retrieved 1 September 2025.
  27. Garcia Cano, Regina; Arraez, Juan (1 September 2025). "Maduro says Venezuela ready to respond to US military presence in the Caribbean". AP News. Retrieved 2 September 2025.
  28. "Maduro Rallies 8 Million Venezuelans to Fight U.S." Newsweek . 5 September 2025. Retrieved 15 September 2025.
  29. Madhani, Aamer; Toropin, Konstantin; Garcia Cano, Regina (2 September 2025). "Trump says US strike on vessel in Caribbean targeted Venezuela's Tren de Aragua gang, killed 11". AP News. Retrieved 2 September 2025.
  30. Delgado, Antonio María; Goodin, Emily (2 September 2025). "Trump says U.S. destroyed drug boat from Venezuela: 'A lot of drugs on that boat'". Miami Herald. Retrieved 2 September 2025.
  31. LaPorta, James; D'Agata, Charlie (4 September 2025). "Venezuelan fighter jets flew over U.S. Navy ship in "show of force"". CBS News. Retrieved 5 September 2025.
  32. Stewart, Phil; Singh, Kanishka (5 September 2025). "Venezuelan military aircraft fly near US warship in 'provocative move', Pentagon says". Reuters. Retrieved 5 September 2025.
  33. Slayton, Nicholas (5 September 2025). "US sending F-35s to Puerto Rico as military buildup in the Caribbean continues". Task & Purpose . Retrieved 6 September 2025.
  34. Commander, Anna (5 September 2025). "Trump Warns Venezuelan Planes Will Be 'Shot Down' if US Put in Danger". Newsweek . Retrieved 6 September 2025.
  35. Holland, Steve; Stewart, Phil; Hunnicutt, Trevor (6 September 2025). "Trump plays down possible regime change in Venezuela; US deploys stealth fighter jets". Reuters . Retrieved 6 September 2025.
  36. Cohen, Zachary; Atwood, Kylie; Holmes, Kristen; Treene, Alayna (5 September 2025). "Trump weighs strikes targeting cartels inside Venezuela, part of wider pressure campaign on Maduro, sources say". CNN . Retrieved 6 September 2025.
  37. Tomslee, Don (6 September 2025). "Another war in the making: Trump orders shoot-down of Venezuelan jets as F-35s deployed to Caribbean". Times of India . Retrieved 6 September 2025.
  38. "Donald Trump on Maduro being ousted in Venezuela: "We'll see"". www.msn.com. 15 September 2025. Retrieved 15 September 2025.