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All 40 Lok Sabha seats of Bihar | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2024 Indian general election in Bihar will be held in all 7 phases from 19 April to 1 June to elect 40 members of the 18th Lok Sabha, with the results declared on 4 June. [1] [2] [3]
Bihar, along with Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal, will be the only states where the 2024 Indian general election will be held in all 7 phases.
Poll event | Phase | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I | II | III | IV | V | VI | VII | |
Notification Date | 20 March | 28 March | 12 April | 18 April | 26 April | 29 April | 7 May |
Last Date for filing nomination | 28 March | 4 April | 19 April | 25 April | 3 May | 6 May | 14 May |
Scrutiny of nomination | 30 March | 5 April | 20 April | 26 April | 4 May | 7 May | 15 May |
Last Date for withdrawal of nomination | 02 March | 8 April | 22 April | 29 April | 6 May | 9 May | 17 May |
Date of poll | 19 April | 26 April | 7 May | 13 May | 20 May | 25 May | 1 June |
Date of counting of votes/Result | 4 June 2024 | ||||||
No. of constituencies | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
Phase | Poll Date | Constituencies [4] | Voter Turnout (%) |
---|---|---|---|
I | 19 April | Aurangabad, Gaya, Nawada, Jamui | 49.26% [5] |
II | 26 April | Kishanganj, Purnia, Katihar, Bhagalpur, Banka | |
III | 7 May | Jhanjarpur, Supaul, Araria, Madhepura, Khagaria | |
IV | 13 May | Darbhanga, Ujiarpur, Samastipur, Begusarai, Munger | |
V | 20 May | Sitamarhi, Madhubani, Muzaffarpur, Saran, Hajipur | |
VI | 25 May | Valmiki Nagar, Paschim Champaran, Purvi Champaran, Sheohar, Vaishali, Gopalganj, Siwan, Maharajganj | |
VII | 1 June | Nalanda, Patna Sahib, Pataliputra, Arrah, Buxar, Sasaram, Karakat, Jahanabad | |
Party | Flag | Symbol | Leader | Contesting Seats | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bharatiya Janata Party | Samrat Choudhary | 17 | 40 | |||
Janata Dal (United) | Nitish Kumar | 16 | ||||
Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) | Chirag Paswan | 5 | ||||
Hindustani Awam Morcha | Jitan Ram Manjhi | 1 | ||||
Rashtriya Lok Morcha | Upendra Kushwaha | 1 | ||||
Party | Flag | Symbol | Leader | Contesting Seats | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rashtriya Janata Dal | Lalu Yadav | 23 | 40 | |||
Indian National Congress | Akhilesh Prasad Singh | 9 | ||||
Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation | Shyam Chandra Chaudhary | 3 | ||||
Vikassheel Insaan Party | Mukesh Sahani | 3 | ||||
Communist Party of India (Marxist) | Lalan Chaudhary | 1 | ||||
Communist Party of India | Ram Naresh Pandey | 1 | ||||
Party | Flag | Symbol | Leader | Contesting Seats | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bahujan Samaj Party | TBD | TBD | |||
All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen | Akhtarul Iman | 11 | |||
Samata Party | |||||
Rashtriya Samaj Paksha | |||||
All India Forward Bloc | |||||
Socialist Unity Centre of India (Communist) | |||||
Loktantrik Samajwadi Party | |||||
The Indian National Congress began its Bihar section of the Bharat Jodo Nyay Yatra from Kishanganj on 28 January 2024. Congress leader Rahul Gandhi criticised chief minister Nitish Kumar for rejoining the NDA and said that the Mahagathbandhan did not need him and that it would keep fighting for social justice. [6] On 15 February, Gandhi resumed his yatra from Bihar's Aurangabad, where he promised a financial survey to assess the ground reality if his alliance comes to power. [7] The yatra resumed from Sasaram the next day, where Rashtriya Janata Dal chairperson and former state deputy CM Tejashwi Yadav joined the yatra, touring the state with Gandhi in a jeep. [8]
The Rashtriya Janata Dal began its campaign with its Jan Vishwas Yatra ("People's Trust Yatra") on 20 February 2024. RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav launched the yatra from Muzaffarpur in Bihar. The yatra will last till 1 March 2024 and will have covered 33 districts. [9] [10] In Siwan on 23 February, Yadav termed the BJP "a dustbin" which takes in other parties that have become "garbage". [11] [12] The Rashtriya Janata Dal also worked to expand its social base while holding its core Muslim-Yadav support base firmly. The majority of the candidates of Rashtriya Janata Dal on all 23 seats it contested were from Other Backward Class and Extremely Backward Castes. The party fielded 8 Yadav candidates, while the Koeri and Kurmis also got a fair share. It fielded three Koeris, Alok Kumar Mehta from Ujiarpur, Shravan Kushwaha from Nawada and Abhay Kushwaha from Aurangabad constituency. RJD also fielded six women candidates– Ritu Jaiswal (Sheohar), Anita Devi Mahto (Munger), Bima Bharati (Purnea), Archana Ravidas (Jamui), Misa Bharti (Pataliputra) and Rohini Acharya from Saran. [13]
RJD also faced opposition from its own party members in constituencies like Nawada, where RJD's sitting legislators Vibha Devi and Prakash Veer were spotted campaigning for independent candidate Vinod Yadav, brother of former RJD legislator, Rajballabh Yadav instead of party's declared candidate Shravan Kushwaha. [14]
Polling agency | Date published | Margin of Error | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
ABP News-CVoter | April 2024 [15] | ±3-5% | 33 | 7 | 0 | NDA |
India TV-CNX | April 2024 [16] | - | 38 | 2 | 0 | NDA |
ABP News-CVoter | March 2024 [17] | ±5% | 32 | 8 | 0 | NDA |
India Today-CVoter | February 2024 [18] | ±3-5% | 32 | 8 | 0 | NDA |
Puthiya Thalaimurai-Apt | February 2024 [19] | - | 39 | 1 | 0 | NDA |
The JD(U) leaves the INDIA and joins the NDA | ||||||
ABP News-CVoter | December 2023 [20] | ±3-5% | 16-18 | 21-23 | 0-2 | INDIA |
Times Now-ETG | December 2023 [21] | ±3% | 22-24 | 15-17 | 0 | NDA |
India TV-CNX | October 2023 [22] | ±3% | 24 | 16 | 0 | NDA |
Times Now-ETG | September 2023 [23] | ±3% | 18-20 | 20-22 | 0 | INDIA |
August 2023 [24] | ±3% | 22-24 | 16-18 | 0 | NDA | |
July 2023 [25] | - | 22-24 | 16-18 | 0 | NDA | |
India TV-CNX | July 2023 [26] | - | 24 | 16 | 0 | NDA |
India Today-CVoter | August 2023 [27] | ±3-5% | 14 | 26 | 0 | INDIA |
Polling agency | Date published | Margin of Error | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
ABP News-CVoter | April 2024 [28] | ±3-5% | 50.8% | 39.9% | 9.3% | 10.9 |
ABP News-CVoter | March 2024 [17] | ±5% | 50% | 35% | 15% | 15 |
India Today-CVoter | February 2024 [18] | ±3-5% | 52% | 38% | 10% | 14 |
JD(U) joins NDA | ||||||
India Today-CVoter | August 2023 [29] | ±3-5% | 43% | 47% | 10% | 4 |
Alliance/ Parties | Popular vote | Seats | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Contested | Won | +/− | ||||
NDA | BJP | 17 | |||||||
JD(U) | 16 | ||||||||
LJP(RV) | 5 | ||||||||
HAM | 1 | ||||||||
RLM | 1 | ||||||||
Total | 40 | ||||||||
INDIA | RJD | 23 | |||||||
INC | 9 | ||||||||
CPI(ML)L | 3 | ||||||||
VIP | 3 | ||||||||
CPI(M) | 1 | ||||||||
CPI | 1 | ||||||||
Total | 40 | ||||||||
Others | |||||||||
IND | |||||||||
NOTA | |||||||||
Total | 100% | - | 40 | - | |||||
Constituency | Winner | Runner Up | Margin | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Alliance | Candidate | Votes | % | Party | Alliance | Candidate | Votes | % | |||||||
1 | Valmiki Nagar | |||||||||||||||
2 | Paschim Champaran | |||||||||||||||
3 | Purvi Champaran | |||||||||||||||
4 | Sheohar | |||||||||||||||
5 | Sitamarhi | |||||||||||||||
6 | Madhubani | |||||||||||||||
7 | Jhanjharpur | |||||||||||||||
8 | Supaul | |||||||||||||||
9 | Araria | |||||||||||||||
10 | Kishanganj | |||||||||||||||
11 | Katihar | |||||||||||||||
12 | Purnia | |||||||||||||||
13 | Madhepura | |||||||||||||||
14 | Darbhanga | |||||||||||||||
15 | Muzaffarpur | |||||||||||||||
16 | Vaishali | |||||||||||||||
17 | Gopalganj (SC) | |||||||||||||||
18 | Siwan | |||||||||||||||
19 | Maharajganj | |||||||||||||||
20 | Saran | |||||||||||||||
21 | Hajipur (SC) | |||||||||||||||
22 | Ujiarpur | |||||||||||||||
23 | Samastipur (SC) | |||||||||||||||
24 | Begusarai | |||||||||||||||
25 | Khagaria | |||||||||||||||
26 | Bhagalpur | |||||||||||||||
27 | Banka | |||||||||||||||
28 | Munger | |||||||||||||||
29 | Nalanda | |||||||||||||||
30 | Patna Sahib | |||||||||||||||
31 | Pataliputra | |||||||||||||||
32 | Arrah | |||||||||||||||
33 | Buxar | |||||||||||||||
34 | Sasaram (SC) | |||||||||||||||
35 | Karakat | |||||||||||||||
36 | Jahanabad | |||||||||||||||
37 | Aurangabad | |||||||||||||||
38 | Gaya (SC) | |||||||||||||||
39 | Nawada | |||||||||||||||
40 | Jamui (SC) | |||||||||||||||
Janata Dal (United) (lit. 'People's Party (United)'), abbreviated as JD(U), is an Indian political party with political presence mainly in eastern and north-eastern India. JD(U) is recognised as a state party in the states of Bihar, Arunachal Pradesh and Manipur. JD(U) heads the government in Bihar under Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and is also a member of the ruling government in Manipur. JD(U) won 16 seats in the 2019 Indian general election, making it the seventh largest party in the Lok Sabha.
The Rashtriya Janata Dal is an Indian political party, based in the states of Bihar, Jharkhand and Kerala. The party was founded in 1997 by Lalu Prasad Yadav.
The Lok Janshakti Party was a state political party mainly based in the state of Bihar, India. The party was formed in 2000 when Ram Vilas Paswan split from Janata Dal. The party had a considerable following amongst Dalits in Bihar. The party is factioned into two parties Lok Janshakti Party and Rashtriya Lok Janshakti Party.
Nitish Kumar is an Indian politician who has served as the 22nd chief minister of Bihar since 22 February 2015, having previously held the office from 2005 to 2014 and for a short period in 2000. He is Bihar's longest serving chief minister, and also holding the post for 9th term.
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In the run-up to the 2024 Indian general election, various media houses and polling agencies, are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.