2024 Sri Lankan presidential election

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2024 Sri Lankan presidential election
Flag of Sri Lanka.svg
  2022 20242029 
  Prime Minister of the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka, Mr. Ranil Wickremesinghe, at Hyderabad House, in New Delhi on September 15, 2015 (1).jpg Sajith Premadasa (portrait).png Anura Kumara Dissanayaka.jpg
Candidate Ranil Wickremesinghe Sajith Premadasa Anura Kumara Dissanayake
Party UNP SJB JVP
Alliance TBA SJB NPP

President before election

Ranil Wickremesinghe
UNP

Elected President

TBA
TBA

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Sri Lanka sometime between September and October 2024, according to the Constitution of Sri Lanka. Voters will elect a president for a term of five years. Incumbent president Ranil Wickremesinghe is eligible to run for re-election. [1]

Contents

Electoral system

The President of Sri Lanka is elected via limited ranked voting. Voters can express up to three ranked preferences for President. If no candidate receives over 50% of valid votes on the first count, all candidates except for the two candidates receiving the highest number of votes are eliminated. The second and third preferences of the eliminated candidates are distributed until one of the remaining two candidates receives an outright majority. [2] In practice, this system has seen little use, as each direct election going back to the first in 1981 has resulted in a candidate from one of the two major parties or alliances at the time winning in the first count. For this reason, many citizens opt to mark only one candidate, and many are wholly unaware that multiple candidates can be ranked at all. [3]

Background

The last direct presidential elections held in Sri Lanka were in 2019, where SLPP candidate Gotabaya Rajapaksa won the election in a landslide victory, defeating his main opponent Sajith Premadasa. [4] [5] Rajapaksa would eventually resign on 14 July 2022 amidst the 2022 Sri Lankan protests. [6] This triggered an indirect presidential election via Parliament a week later, to elect a successor according to the Article 40 of the Constitution. [7] Then-incumbent Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, who was appointed by Rajapaksa just two months earlier, received the most votes and was sworn in as the 9th President of Sri Lanka on 21 July 2022. [8] [9]

Article 40 of the Constitution of Sri Lanka states that "Any person so succeeding to the office of President shall hold office only for the unexpired period of the term of office of the President vacating office." [10] Accordingly, the next presidential election must be held no later than November 2024.

Sri Lankan recent election results
Dates of elections Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna
(SLPFA)
Samagi Jana Balawegaya National People's Power Tamil National Alliance United National Party Others
Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %Votes %
2019 presidential election 6,924,25552.25%418,5533.16%5,564,23941.99% [lower-roman 1] 345,4522.35%
2020 parliamentary election 6,853,69059.09%2,771,98023.90%445,9583.84%327,1682.82%249,4352.15%950,6988.20%
Sri Lankan recent election results
2019 presidential election 2020 parliamentary election
Sri Lankan Presidential Election 2019 Polling Divisions.svg
Winners of polling divisions # SLPFA # SJB # TNA # SLFP # EPDP # Other parties Wahlbezirkskarte Parlament Sri Lanka 2020.svg
Winners of polling divisions SLPFA SJB TNA SLFP EPDP Other parties
Elected members of each electoral district or municipality, gaining the highest number of votes

Candidates

Declared

CandidatePolitical office and constituencyDate declaredNotesRef.
Prime Minister of the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka, Mr. Ranil Wickremesinghe, at Hyderabad House, in New Delhi on September 15, 2015 (1).jpg
Ranil Wickremesinghe (75)
United National Party
Current President of Sri Lanka (since 2022)
Leader of the United National Party (since 1994)
Former Prime Minister of Sri Lanka (1993–1994, 2001–2004, 2015–2019, 2022)
8 April 2023Wickremesinghe has not officially declared his candidacy, even though his party has unofficially announced it. [1]
Sajith Premadasa (portrait).png
Sajith Premadasa (57)
Samagi Jana Balawegaya
Current Leader of the Opposition (since 2019)
Leader of the Samagi Jana Balawegaya (since 2020)
Colombo
16 May 2023 [11]
Speech at OneVoiceOneCountry campaign.jpg
Janaka Ratnayake (59)
Independent
Former Chairman of the Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka (2021–2023)
Chairman and CEO of Trillium Property Management & Services Limited (since 2014)
24 May 2023 [12]
Anura Kumara Dissanayaka.jpg
Anura Kumara Dissanayake (55)
National People's Power
Former Minister and Chief Opposition Whip (2015–2018)
Leader of the National People's Power (since 2015)
Leader of the Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (since 2014)
Colombo
29 August 2023 [13]

Withdrew

Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna
Sri Lanka Freedom Party

Opinion polls

Nationwide

DatePolling firm Dissanayake
NPP
Premadasa
SJB
Wickremesinghe
UNP
SLPP LeadMargin
of error
Sample
size
February 2024 Institute for Health Policy 53%34%6%7%19%±1–4%16,234
January 2024 Institute for Health Policy 50%36%7%7%14%±1–4%15,590
December 2023 Institute for Health Policy 50%33%9%8%17%±1–4%14,941
October 2023 Institute for Health Policy 51%30%13%6%21%±1–4%13,935
September 2023 Institute for Health Policy 46%29%17%8%17%±1–3%13,431
August 2023 Institute for Health Policy 38%35%18%9%3%±1–3%12,848
July 2023 Institute for Health Policy 39%33%19%9%6%±1–3%12,269
June 2023 Institute for Health Policy 40%35%15%9%5%±1–3%11,926
May 2023 Institute for Health Policy 38%34%18%10%4%±1–4%11,897
April 2023 Institute for Health Policy 45%37%13%6%8%±1–4%11,367
March 2023 Institute for Health Policy 48%37%11%4%11%±1–5%10,601

Favourability ratings

January 2024

In IHP SLOTS polling in January 2024, all major party candidates continued to have negative favourability ratings. The net favourability rating of NPP/JVP candidate Anura Kumara Dissanayaka increased by 12 points to -10 whilst the favourability ratings of SJB candidate Sajith Premadasa and incumbent President Ranil Wickremesinghe each decreased by 9 points to -53 and -77 respectively. [18]

Notes

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Ranil Wickremesinghe</span> President of Sri Lanka since 2022

Ranil Wickremesinghe is a Sri Lankan politician who is the 9th and current President of Sri Lanka. He also holds several ministerial positions, including the Minister of Finance, Minister of Defence, Minister of Technology and Minister of Women, Child Affairs and Social Empowerment.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">United National Party</span> Political party in Sri Lanka

The United National Party is a centre-right political party in Sri Lanka. The UNP has served as the country's ruling party, or as part of its governing coalition, for 38 of the country's 74 years of independence, including the periods 1947–1956, 1965–1970, 1977–1994, 2001–2004 and 2015–2019. The party also controlled the executive presidency from its formation in 1978 until 1994 and back in 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mahinda Rajapaksa</span> President of Sri Lanka from 2005 to 2015

Mahinda Rajapaksa is a Sri Lankan politician. He served as the President of Sri Lanka from 2005 to 2015; the Prime Minister of Sri Lanka from 2004 to 2005, 2018, and 2019 to 2022; the Leader of the Opposition from 2002 to 2004 and 2018 to 2019, and the Minister of Finance from 2005 to 2015 and 2019 to 2021. He has been a Member of Parliament (MP) for Kurunegala since 2015.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">United National Front (Sri Lanka)</span> Political party in Sri Lanka

The United National Front (UNF) later the United National Front for Good Governance (UNFGG) was a political alliance in Sri Lanka led by the United National Party.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Sajith Premadasa</span> Sri Lankan politician

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Dullas Alahapperuma</span> Sri Lankan politician (born 1959)

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">New Democratic Front (Sri Lanka)</span> Political party in Sri Lanka

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna</span> Political party in Sri Lanka

The Sri Lanka People's Front, commonly known by its Sinhalese name Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP), is a political party in Sri Lanka. Previously a minor political party known as the Sri Lanka National Front (SLNF) and Our Sri Lanka Freedom Front (OSLFF), it was relaunched in 2016 as the SLPP and became the home for members of the United People's Freedom Alliance loyal to its former leader Mahinda Rajapaksa.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Sri Lankan constitutional crisis</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2019 Sri Lankan presidential election</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Samagi Jana Balawegaya</span> Political party in Sri Lanka

The Samagi Jana Balawegaya is a political alliance led by Leader of the Opposition Sajith Premadasa. It is the largest opposition party in the Parliament of Sri Lanka since 2020.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Sri Lankan presidential election</span> Indirect election held in Sri Lanka

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Sri Lankan political crisis</span> Ongoing political crisis in Sri Lanka

The 2022 Sri Lankan political crisis was a political crisis in Sri Lanka due to the power struggle between President Gotabaya Rajapaksa and the people of Sri Lanka. It was fueled by the anti-government protests and demonstrations by the public due to the economic crisis in the country. The anti-government sentiment across various parts of Sri Lanka has triggered a state of political instability that is unprecedented in the nation's history.

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Freedom People's Congress</span> Political party in Sri Lanka

The Freedom People's Congress is a political party in Sri Lanka founded by Dullas Alahapperuma, G. L. Peiris and several other former Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna MPs in 2022.

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