Demographics of Zambia

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Demographics of Zambia
Zambia single age population pyramid 2020.png
Population pyramid of Zambia in 2020
Population19,642,123 (2022 est.)
Growth rate2.9% (2022 est.)
Birth rate34.86 births/1,000 population
Death rate6.12 deaths/1,000 population
Life expectancy66.26 years
  male64.52 years
  female68.06 years
Fertility rate4.56 children
Infant mortality rate37.11 deaths/1,000 live births
Net migration rate0.24 migrant(s)/1,000 population
Sex ratio
Total1 male(s)/female (2022 est.)
At birth1.03 male(s)/female
Nationality
NationalityZambian
Zambia's population (1890-2021). Zambia-demography.png
Zambia's population (1890-2021).

Demographic features of the population of Zambia include population density, ethnicity, education level, health of the populace, economic status, religious affiliations and others aspects of the population.

Contents

Ethnic groups

Zambia is one of the most highly urbanised countries in sub-Saharan Africa with 44% of the population concentrated in a few urban areas along the major transport corridors, while rural areas are sparsely populated. Zambia's population comprises more than 72 Bantu-speaking ethnic groups. Some ethnic groups are small, and only two have enough people to constitute at least 10% of the population. The majority of Zambians are subsistence farmers, but the country is also fairly urbanised, with 42% of the population being city residents. The predominant religion is a blend of traditional beliefs and Christianity. [1]

Immigrants, mostly British or South African, as well as some white Zambian citizens (about 40,000), live mainly in Lusaka and in the Copperbelt in northern Zambia, where they are either employed in mines, financial and related activities or retired. Zambia also has a small but economically important Asian population, most of whom are Indians or Chinese. [2] [ citation needed ] . Zambia also has a small coloured population of mixed racial heritage, not included officially on the census since independence.

2010 census

Zambia-Ethnic-Groups.png
GroupsPercentage
African99.2%
Bemba 21%
Tonga 13.6%
Chewa 7.4%
Lozi 5.7%
Nsenga 5.3%
Tumbuka 4.4%
Ngoni 4%
Lala 3.1%
Kaonde 2.9%
Namwanga 2.8%
Lunda (North-western) 2.6%
Mambwe 2.5%
Luvale 2.2%
Lamba 2.1%
Ushi 1.9%
Lenje 1.6%
Bisa 1.6%
Mbunda 1.2%
Other13.8%
Unspecified0.4%

Source: [3]

Population

Population, fertility rate and net reproduction rate, United Nations estimates Zambia Population 1950-2021 Forecast 2022-2032 UN World Population Prospects 2022.svg
Population, fertility rate and net reproduction rate, United Nations estimates

According to the 2022 revision of the World Population Prospects [4] [5] the total population of Zambia is 19,473,125 in 2021, compared to only 2,340,000 in 1950. The proportion of children below the age of 15 in 2010 was 46.4%, 50.6% was between 15 and 65 years of age, while 3.1% was 65 years or older. [6]

Historical population
YearPop.±%
1969 4,056,955    
1980 5,661,801+39.6%
1990 7,383,097+30.4%
2000 9,855,591+33.5%
2010 13,092,666+32.8%
2022 19,693,423+50.4%
Source: [7]
Total population [8] Population aged 0–14 (%)Population aged 15–64 (%)Population aged 65+ (%)
19502 340 00044.952.32.7
19552 653 00044.752.72.6
19603 045 00044.952.62.5
19653 537 00045.252.22.6
19704 139 00046.450.92.7
19754 900 00047.050.32.7
19805 775 00047.349.92.8
19856 785 00046.650.62.8
19907 860 00045.851.42.8
19958 919 00045.351.82.9
200010 202 00045.351.82.9
200511 462 00045.951.03.0
201013 089 00046.450.63.1
201817,351,708

Population Estimates by Sex and Age Group (01.VII.2020) (Data based on the 2010 Population Census.): [9]

Age GroupMaleFemaleTotal%
Total8 852 1749 033 24817 885 422100
0–41 579 2311 554 0093 133 24017.52
5–91 357 4421 343 7762 701 21815.10
10–141 160 2561 154 4092 314 66512.94
15–19958 687954 9231 913 61010.70
20–24833 604851 4211 685 0259.42
25–29693 050727 2481 420 2987.94
30–34496 336579 9461 076 2826.02
35–39433 030493 825926 8555.18
40–44361 566362 160723 7264.05
45–49298 359283 452581 8113.25
50–54205 799193 301399 1002.23
55–59153 109160 905314 0141.76
60–64109 330123 190232 5201.30
65-6972 62479 062151 6860.85
70-7454 28868 013122 3010.68
75-7935 05644 63779 6930.45
80+50 40758 971109 3780.61
Age groupMaleFemaleTotalPercent
0–144 096 9294 052 1948 149 12345.56
15–644 542 8704 730 3719 273 24151.85
65+212 375250 683463 0582.59

Vital statistics

Registration of vital events is in Zambia not complete. The website Our World in Data prepared the following estimates based on statistics from the Population Department of the United Nations. [10]

Mid-year population (thousands)Live births (thousands)Deaths (thousands)Natural change (thousands)Crude birth rate (per 1000)Crude death rate (per 1000)Natural change (per 1000) Total fertility rate (TFR) Infant mortality (per 1000 live births) Life expectancy (in years)
19502 318  113  46  6748.619.728.86.62135.945.12
1951  2 385  116  47  6948.619.728.96.64134.945.28
1952  2 454  119  48  7248.719.429.26.68132.945.68
1953  2 525  123  48  7548.819.129.76.72130.846.14
1954  2 600  127  49  7848.918.930.16.76128.946.53
1955  2 677  132  50  8249.118.630.56.82126.946.95
1956  2 758  136  51  8549.318.430.96.87124.847.37
1957  2 843  141  52  8949.418.131.36.93122.847.75
1958  2 931  146  52  9349.617.831.86.99120.848.23
1959  3 023  151  53  9849.817.532.37.06118.848.65
1960  3 119  156  54  10249.917.332.67.12116.949.04
1961  3 219  161  55  10650.017.033.07.17115.149.45
1962  3 323  167  56  11150.116.833.37.21113.649.79
1963  3 431  172  57  11550.016.633.57.25112.150.13
1964  3 543  177  59  11850.016.733.37.27111.749.85
1965  3 658  183  59  12349.916.233.67.29110.250.56
1966  3 778  188  61  12749.716.133.67.30109.750.68
1967  3 901  194  63  13149.716.033.67.32109.450.80
1968  4 029  200  64  13649.716.033.77.33108.850.86
1969  4 159  207  66  14149.715.833.97.35107.751.15
1970  4 282  214  67  14749.815.534.27.37106.051.49
1971  4 400  219  67  15249.715.234.57.38103.652.02
1972  4 524  225  67  15849.614.834.97.39100.852.63
1973  4 653  231  67  16449.514.335.27.3997.953.30
1974  4 789  237  67  17049.313.935.37.3895.553.87
1975  4 931  244  68  17749.313.735.77.3993.754.24
1976  5 080  250  69  18249.113.435.77.3792.854.60
1977  5 233  257  70  18748.913.435.57.3392.754.71
1978  5 391  263  72  19048.613.435.27.2993.054.61
1979  5 553  269  75  19448.213.434.87.2393.354.44
1980  5 720  273  78  19647.613.534.17.1593.854.14
1981  5 897  282  80  20247.713.534.17.1094.154.05
1982  6 091  291  83  20847.813.634.27.0694.653.86
1983  6 291  301  87  21447.813.833.97.0295.553.39
1984  6 488  310  92  21847.714.233.66.9897.052.76
1985  6 686  321  98  22347.814.633.26.9299.051.90
1986  6 891  330  104  22647.815.132.86.85101.051.06
1987  7 095  338  110  22947.615.432.26.77102.950.33
1988  7 294  347  116  23147.415.831.66.68104.449.53
1989  7 491  356  122  23447.416.231.26.61105.448.70
1990  7 686  363  128  23547.116.630.56.53106.147.93
1991  7 880  372  134  23847.117.030.16.45106.647.10
1992  8 074  381  140  24147.017.229.86.36106.446.51
1993  8 271  391  144  24747.117.329.86.32105.546.21
1994  8 474  401  148  25347.117.429.86.27104.045.85
1995  8 684  410  152  25847.017.429.66.24102.445.55
1996  8 902  418  156  26246.817.529.36.18100.945.23
1997  9 133  425  160  26546.517.529.06.1299.544.95
1998  9 372  435  164  27146.317.528.86.0598.144.70
1999  9 621  445  168  27746.217.428.85.9996.444.66
2000  9 891  454  167  28745.916.929.05.9393.545.23
2001  10 192  460  164  29645.216.129.15.8689.046.02
2002  10 508  470  161  31044.715.329.55.7983.546.98
2003  10 838  481  155  32644.414.330.15.7378.148.28
2004  11 188  496  150  34644.313.530.95.7272.749.49
2005  11 565  511  146  36544.212.731.65.7167.850.66
2006  11 972  526  143  38444.011.932.15.6963.751.80
2007  12 402  538  141  39843.511.432.15.6160.852.74
2008  12 853  552  137  41543.010.732.35.5458.353.95
2009  13 318  564  132  43142.410.032.45.4555.555.30
2010  13 792  576  127  44941.89.232.65.3652.956.80
2011  14 266  587  125  46241.28.832.45.2751.657.77
2012  14 745  595  122  47340.48.332.15.1550.458.87
2013  15 235  602  119  48339.57.831.75.0348.359.88
2014  15 738  607  117  49038.67.431.24.9046.760.70
2015  16 248  614  117  49837.87.230.64.7946.361.21
2016  16 768  624  116  50837.26.930.34.7144.961.79
2017  17 298  633  118  51536.66.829.84.6144.562.12
2018  17 836  643  120  52236.06.729.34.5445.062.34
2019  18 380  652  121  53135.56.628.94.4544.262.79
2020  18 928  662  125  53735.06.628.44.3842.662.38
2021  19 473  672  136  53634.57.027.54.3140.561.22

Fertility and births

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) (Wanted TFR) and Crude Birth Rate (CBR) : [11] [12]

YearCBR TotalTFR (Wanted TFR) TotalCBR UrbanTFR (Wanted TFR) UrbanCBR RuralTFR (Wanted TFR) Rural
1992456.5 (5.4)445.8 (4.7)467.1 (6.2)
199645.26.08 (5.2)43.75.08 (4.1)46.16.86 (6.1)
2001-200243.35.9 (4.9)36.74.3 (3.4)47.06.9 (5.8)
200743.66.2 (5.2)36.34.3 (3.6)47.57.5 (6.3)
2013-201437.25.3 (4.5)32.23.7 (3.3)40.36.6 (5.6)
201835.34.7 (4.0)30.93.4 (2.9)38.45.8 (5.0)

Fertility data as of 2013-2014 (DHS Program): [13]

ProvinceTotal fertility ratePercentage of women age 15-49 currently pregnantMean number of children ever born to women age 40-49
Central 5.98.16.8
Copperbelt 4.07.65.5
Eastern 5.88.76.9
Luapula 6.411.46.6
Lusaka 3.77.75.1
Muchinga 6.310.37.2
Northern 6.610.47.6
North Western 6.29.26.7
Southern 6.29.26.9
Western 5.68.16.0

Fertility rate by religion

At national level, the TFR was highest among women with no religious affiliation at 6.5. Among the women with religious affiliation Protestants had the highest TFR of 6.0, followed by Muslims with 5.9 and Catholics with 5.7. [14] [15] [ citation needed ]

Religious Affiliation [16] Total fertility rate
Protestantism 6.0
Catholicism 5.7
Islam 3.2
Hinduism 2.0
Other religions5.8
Not religious 6.5
Zambia (total)5.9

Life expectancy

PeriodLife expectancy in
Years [17]
1950–195542.07
1955–1960Increase2.svg 44.13
1960–1965Increase2.svg 46.08
1965–1970Increase2.svg 47.83
1970–1975Increase2.svg 50.16
1975–1980Increase2.svg 51.47
1980–1985Decrease2.svg 50.31
1985–1990Decrease2.svg 46.74
1990–1995Decrease2.svg 43.79
1995–2000Decrease2.svg 43.53
2000–2005Increase2.svg 46.86
2005–2010Increase2.svg 52.93
2010–2015Increase2.svg 59.73

Other demographic statistics

The following demographic statistics of Zambia in 2022 are from the World Population Review. [18]

The following demographic statistics are from the CIA World Factbook, unless otherwise indicated. [19]

Population

19,642,123 (2022 est.)
16,445,079 (July 2018 est.)

Age structure

Population pyramid of Zambia in 2020 Zambia single age population pyramid 2020.png
Population pyramid of Zambia in 2020
0-14 years: 45.74% (male 4,005,134/female 3,964,969)
15-24 years: 20.03% (male 1,744,843/female 1,746,561)
25-54 years: 28.96% (male 2,539,697/female 2,506,724)
55-64 years: 3.01% (male 242,993/female 280,804)
65 years and over: 2.27% (male 173,582/female 221,316) (2020 est.)
0-14 years: 45.95% (male 3,796,548 /female 3,759,624)
15-24 years: 20% (male 1,643,364 /female 1,645,713)
25-54 years: 28.79% (male 2,384,765 /female 2,349,877)
55-64 years: 2.95% (male 225,586 /female 260,252)
65 years and over: 2.31% (male 166,224 /female 213,126) (2018 est.)

Religions

Protestant 75.3%, Roman Catholic 20.2%, other 2.7% (includes Muslim, Buddhist, Hindu, and Baha'i), none 1.8% (2010 est.)

Birth rate

34.86 births/1,000 population (2022 est.) Country comparison to the world: 17th
41.1 births/1,000 population (2018 est.) Country comparison to the world: 6th

Death rate

6.12 deaths/1,000 population (2022 est.) Country comparison to the world: 152nd
12 deaths/1,000 population (2018 est.)

Total fertility rate

4.49 children born/woman (2023 est.) Country comparison to the world: 18th
4.56 children born/woman (2022 est.) Country comparison to the world: 18th
5.58 children born/woman (2018 est.) Country comparison to the world: 8th

Population growth rate

2.9% (2022 est.) Country comparison to the world: 12th
2.91% (2018 est.) Country comparison to the world: 10th

Median age

total: 16.9 years. Country comparison to the world: 220th
male: 16.7 years
female: 17 years (2020 est.)
total: 16.8 years. Country comparison to the world: 222nd
male: 16.7 years
female: 16.9 years (2018 est.)
total: 17.2 years
male: 17.1 years
female: 17.3 years (2010 est.)
total: 16.5 years
male: 16.4 years
female: 16.6 years (2002 est.)

Mother's mean age at first birth

19.2 years (2018 est.)
note: median age at first birth among women 20-49

Net migration rate

0.24 migrant(s)/1,000 population (2022 est.) Country comparison to the world: 77th

Contraceptive prevalence rate

49.6% (2018)
49% (2013/14)

Dependency ratios

total dependency ratio: 91.9 (2015 est.)
youth dependency ratio: 87.1 (2015 est.)
elderly dependency ratio: 4.8 (2015 est.)
potential support ratio: 20.8 (2015 est.)

Population distribution

one of the highest levels of urbanization in Africa; high density in the central area, particularly around the cities of Lusaka, Ndola, Kitwe, and Mufulira

Urbanization

urban population: 45.8% of total population (2022)
rate of urbanization: 4.15% annual rate of change (2020-25 est.)
urban population: 43.5% of total population (2018)
rate of urbanization: 4.23% annual rate of change (2015-20 est.)

Major infectious diseases

degree of risk: very high (2020)
food or waterborne diseases: bacterial and protozoal diarrhea, hepatitis A, and typhoid fever
vectorborne diseases: malaria and dengue fever
water contact diseases: schistosomiasis
animal contact diseases: rabies

Sex ratio

at birth: 1.03 male(s)/female
under 15 years: 1.01 male(s)/female
15-64 years: 1.01 male(s)/female
65 years and over: 0.68 male(s)/female
total population: 1 male(s)/female (2010 est.)

Life expectancy at birth

total population: 66.26 years. Country comparison to the world: 197th
male: 64.52 years
female: 68.06 years (2022 est.)
total population: 53 years
male: 51.4 years
female: 54.7 years (2018 est.)
total population: 52.7 years
male: 51.1 years
female: 54.4 years (2017 est.)
total population:37.24 years
male:37.08 years
female:37.41 years (2000 est.)

Education expenditures

4.5% of GDP (2019) Country comparison to the world: 85th

Nationality

noun:Zambian(s)
adjective:Zambian

Demographic profile

Zambia's youthful population consists primarily of Bantu-speaking people representing nearly 70 different ethnicities. Zambia's high fertility rate continues to drive rapid population growth, averaging almost 3 percent annually between 2000 and 2010. The country's total fertility rate has fallen by less than 1.5 children per woman during the last 30 years and still averages among the world's highest, almost 6 children per woman, largely because of the country's lack of access to family planning services, education for girls, and employment for women. Zambia also exhibits wide fertility disparities based on rural or urban location, education, and income. Poor, uneducated women from rural areas are more likely to marry young, to give birth early, and to have more children, viewing children as a sign of prestige and recognizing that not all of their children will live to adulthood. [19]

Languages

Bemba 33.4%, Nyanja 14.7%, Tonga 11.4%, Lozi 5.5%, Chewa 4.5%, Nsenga 2.9%, Tumbuka 2.5%, Lunda (North Western) 1.9%, Kaonde 1.8%, Lala 1.8%, Lamba 1.8%, English (official) 1.7%, Luvale 1.5%, Mambwe 1.3%, Namwanga 1.2%, Lenje 1.1%, Bisa 1%, other 9.7%, unspecified 0.2% (2010 est.)
note: Zambia is said to have over 70 languages, although many of these may be considered dialects; all of Zambia's major languages are members of the Bantu family [20]

Literacy

definition: age 15 and over can read and write

total population: 86.7%
male: 90.6%
female: 83.1% (2018)
total population: 63.4%
male: 70.9%
female: 56% (2015 est.)

Unemployment, youth ages 15-24

total: 30.1%
male: 32.1%
female: 27.6% (2019 est.)
total: 15.2%
male: 14.6%
female: 15.8% (2012 est.)

See also

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