Demographics of Kenya

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Demographics of Kenya
Kenya single age population pyramid 2020.png
Population pyramid of Kenya in 2020
Population51,044,355 (2022 est.)
Growth rate2.12% (2022 est.)
Birth rate26.39 births/1,000 population
Death rate5.01 deaths/1,000 population
Life expectancy69.69 years
  male67.98 years
  female71.43 years
Fertility rate3.29 children born/woman
Infant mortality rate27.86 deaths/1,000 live births
Net migration rate-0.19 migrant(s)/1,000 population
Nationality
NationalityKenyan

The Demographics of Kenya is monitored by the Kenyan National Bureau of Statistics. Kenya is a multi-ethnic state in East Africa. Its total population was at 47,558,296 as of the 2019 census. [1]

Contents

A national census was conducted in 1999, although the results were never released. A new census was undertaken in 2009, but turned out to be controversial, as the questions about ethnic affiliation seemed inappropriate after the ethnic violence of the previous year. [2] Preliminary results of the census were published in 2010. [3]

Kenya's population was reported as 47.6 million during the 2019 census compared to 38.6 million inhabitants 2009, 30.7 million in 1999, 21.4 million in 1989, and 15.3 million in 1979. [4] This was an increase of a factor of 2.5 over 30 years, or an average growth rate of more than 3 percent per year. The population growth rate has been reported as reduced during the 2000s, and was estimated at 2.7 percent (as of 2010), resulting in an estimate of 46.5 million in 2016. [5] As of 2024 kenya has 770,255 refugees and asylum seekers [6]

Population

Census population
YearPop.±% p.a.
19629,980,563    
196910,942,705+1.32%
197915,327,061+3.43%
198921,448,636+3.42%
YearPop.±% p.a.
199928,686,607+2.95%
200938,610,097+3.02%
201947,564,296+2.11%

According to the 2022 revision of the World Population Prospects [7] [8] , the total population was 53,005,614 in 2021 compared to 6,077,000 in 1950, and around 1,700,000 in 1900. The proportion of children below the age of 15 in 2010 was 42.5%, 54.9% between the ages of 15 and 65, and 2.7% was 65 years or older. [9] Worldometers estimates the total population at 48,466,928 inhabitants, a 29th global rank. [10]

YearTotal populationPopulation percentage
aged 0–14aged 15–64aged 65+
19506 077 000
39.8%
56.3%
3.9%
19556 980 000
42.8%
53.4%
3.8%
19608 105 000
46.4%
49.9%
3.7%
19659 505 000
48.4%
48.0%
3.6%
197011 252 000
49.1%
47.5%
3.4%
197513 486 000
49.6%
47.1%
3.3%
198016 268 000
50.0%
47.1%
3.0%
198519 655 000
50.0%
47.2%
2.8%
199023 447 000
49.0%
48.3%
2.7%
199527 426 000
46.5%
50.8%
2.7%
200031 254 000
44.3%
52.9%
2.8%
200535 615 000
42.7%
54.5%
2.8%
201040 513 000
42.5%
54.9%
2.7%
201947 564 296
39.0%
57.1%
3.9%

Population by Sex and Age Group (Census 24.VIII.2009): [11]

Age GroupMaleFemaleTotal%
Total19 192 45819 417 63938 610 097100
0–43 000 4392 938 8675 939 30615.38
5–92 832 6692 765 0475 597 71614.50
10–142 565 3132 469 5425 034 85513.04
15–192 123 6532 045 8904 169 54310.80
20–241 754 1052 020 9983 775 1039.78
25–291 529 1161 672 1103 201 2268.29
30–341 257 0351 262 4712 519 5066.53
35–391 004 3611 004 2712 008 6325.20
40–44743 594732 5751 476 1693.82
45–49635 276637 4691 272 7453.30
50–54478 346477 860956 2062.48
55–59359 466352 497711 9531.84
60–64295 197298 581593 7781.54
65-69183 151207 612390 7631.01
70-74160 301179 000339 3010.88
75-7999 833118 675218 5080.57
80+159 125224 576383 7010.99
Age groupMaleFemaleTotalPercent
0–148 398 4218 173 45616 571 87742.92
15–6410 191 62710 514 32020 705 94753.63
65+602 410729 8631 332 2733.45
Unknown11 4789 60821 0860.05

Population by Sex and Age Group (Census 24.VIII.2019) (The figure for both sexes includes intersex persons.): [12]

Age GroupMaleFemaleTotal%
Total23 544 37224 011 27047 557 157100
0–43 005 4962 985 4845 991 12812.60
5–93 116 1013 084 4456 200 71913.04
10–143 209 5443 136 1496 345 86413.34
15–192 686 4762 599 9055 286 53511.12
20–242 112 7772 335 0524 448 0379.35
25–291 839 2562 014 5463 853 9558.10
30–341 698 3541 871 6253 570 1337.51
35–391 347 9621 301 6242 649 6795.57
40–441 156 9321 101 8672 258 8614.75
45–49916 166869 7401 785 9573.76
50–54662 864645 4631 308 3712.75
55–59546 852571 0001 117 8782.35
60–64419 362450 447869 8371.83
65-69311 281346 756658 0521.38
70-74235 929278 507514 4531.08
75-79119 265163 799283 0710.60
80-8482 909120 944203 8560.43
85-8943 94869 635113 5870.24
90-9419 22535 86655 0950.12
95-999 76818 23328 0010.06
100+3 90510 18314 0880.03
Age groupMaleFemaleTotalPercent
0–149 331 1419 206 07818 537 71138.98
15–6413 387 00113 761 26927 149 24357.09
65+826 2301 043 9231 870 2033.93

Population by province in 2019 census

[13]

Province2019
Kenya (country total)47,564,296
Nairobi (capital city)4,397,073
Central5,482,239
Coast4,329,474
Eastern6,821,049
North Eastern2,490,073
Nyanza6,269,579
Rift Valley12,752,966
Western5,021,843

UN population projections

Numbers are in thousands. UN medium variant projections [9]

Vital statistics

United Nations estimates

Life expectancy at birth in Kenya Life expectancy by WBG -Kenya -diff.png
Life expectancy at birth in Kenya

Registration of vital events is in Kenya not complete. The Population Department of the United Nations prepared the following estimates. [14]

PeriodPopulation

per year

Live births per yearDeaths per yearNatural change per yearCBR*CDR*NC*TFR*IMR* Life expectancy
(in years)
19505 712 000285,000167,000118,00049.528.920.67.33162.238.90
19515 836 000299,000166,000133,00050.728.122.67.36161.239.09
19525 975 000313,000168,000146,00051.827.824.17.39159.438.95
19536 122 000328,000163,000165,00052.826.326.57.42152.240.32
19546 282 000342,000159,000183,00053.725.028.77.45145.341.69
19556 461 000356,000156,000200,00054.323.830.57.48138.942.96
19566 657 000372,000154,000219,00055.022.732.37.53132.944.12
19576 871 000388,000149,000239,00055.521.334.27.59127.345.83
19587 104 000403,000148,000255,00055.620.435.27.60122.246.88
19597 343 000414,000146,000268,00055.419.535.87.62117.547.77
19607 609 000428,000145,000283,00055.218.636.57.63113.248.68
19617 894 000446,000144,000302,00055.517.937.67.72109.449.53
19628 201 000465,000144,000321,00055.617.238.47.80106.050.22
19638 526 000482,000145,000338,00055.516.638.87.86103.150.81
19648 868 000500,000146,000354,00055.216.139.17.92100.651.33
19659 227 000521,000148,000373,00055.315.739.68.0398.751.70
19669 608 000539,000150,000388,00054.915.339.68.0697.052.10
19679 997 000555,000153,000402,00054.415.039.48.0595.552.46
196810 405 000572,000155,000417,00053.814.639.38.0494.052.78
196910 823 000589,000157,000433,00053.414.239.28.0392.453.17
197011 256 000606,000158,000447,00052.713.838.98.0290.853.58
197111 690 000625,000159,000466,00052.413.339.18.0089.154.26
197212 107 000639,000158,000481,00051.712.838.97.9887.255.01
197312 539 000652,000158,000495,00051.012.338.77.9485.355.68
197412 982 000668,000160,000507,00050.412.138.37.9183.355.63
197513 426 000685,000162,000523,00050.011.838.27.8881.255.83
197613 878 000704,000164,000540,00049.811.638.27.8479.055.90
197714 327 000722,000164,000559,00049.411.238.27.8076.756.49
197814 828 000744,000164,000580,00049.210.838.47.7574.456.94
197915 347 000766,000163,000604,00049.010.438.67.6872.157.72
198015 894 000787,000162,000626,00048.610.038.67.6070.158.50
198116 480 000816,000151,000665,00048.59.039.57.5168.261.17
198217 092 000838,000156,000683,00048.18.939.17.4066.560.95
198317 731 000860,000159,000701,00047.58.838.77.2664.961.01
198418 408 000888,000164,000724,00047.38.838.67.1263.760.80
198519 099 000913,000170,000743,00046.98.838.16.9862.860.58
198619 806 000941,000178,000763,00046.68.837.86.8562.460.22
198720 516 000966,000185,000781,00046.28.837.36.6862.460.04
198821 248 000982,000195,000788,00045.49.036.46.5162.959.54
198922 004 000998,000205,000793,00044.59.235.46.3263.959.04
199022 772 000 1,008,000216,000793,00043.59.334.26.1365.258.61
199123 553 000 1,019,000228,000791,00042.59.533.05.9466.858.01
199224 284 000 1,029,000242,000787,00041.79.831.95.7568.357.26
199325 028 000 1,044,000255,000789,00041.110.031.05.5769.456.62
199425 756 000 1,062,000266,000796,00040.610.230.45.4570.156.27
199526 512 000 1,088,000280,000809,00040.410.430.05.3770.155.62
199627 245 000 1,112,000292,000821,00040.210.529.75.3169.755.16
199727 987 000 1,139,000303,000836,00040.110.729.45.2668.754.82
199828 742 000 1,174,000313,000861,00040.210.729.55.2567.454.53
199929 533 000 1,199,000321,000878,00040.010.129.35.1865.654.50
200030 398 000 1,232,000329,000903,00039.99.929.35.1463.654.41
200131 306 000 1,271,000336,000934,00040.09.729.45.0961.354.51
200232 295 000 1,298,000339,000959,00039.69.529.35.0258.954.99
200333 265 000 1,318,000337,000981,00039.09.229.14.9156.555.60
200434 270 000 1,347,000334,000 1,013,00038.78.929.14.8354.056.36
200535 314 000 1,380,000328,000 1,052,00038.58.629.44.7851.357.34
200636 372 000 1,414,000323,000 1,091,00038.58.330.24.7548.858.22
200737 479 000 1,450,000322,000 1,128,00038.38.130.24.7246.558.87
200838 595 000 1,471,000 317,000 1,154,00037.97.930.04.6643.859.61
200939 779 000 1,476,000312,000 1,164,00037.27.629.54.5741.760.37
201040 950 000 1,471,000314,000 1,157,00036.37.428.84.4540.260.65
201142 086 000 1,461,000317,000 1,144,00035.07.327.74.2839.061.05
201243 185 000 1,451,000326,000 1,125,00033.77.226.54.1238.161.12
201344 267 000 1,440,000332,000 1,008,00032.47.225.33.9637.061.39
201445 318 000 1,436,000335,000 1,101,00031.57.124.43.8436.061.82
201546 346 000 1,452,000345,000 1,107,00030.97.123.83.7734.961.89
201647 357 000 1,457,000352,000 1,105,00030.27.223.03.6933.862.16
201748 432 000 1,458,000357,000 1,100,00029.67.122.53.6133.062.48
201849 464 000 1,460,000365,000 1,094,00029.07.221.93.5432.062.68
2019 [15] 47 564 296 1,451,000372,000 1,079,00028.27.320.93.4331.162.94
202051 460 000 1,456,000388,000 1,068,00027.87.919.83.3630.462.68
202153 219 000 1,469,000432,000 984,00027.68.119.53.3131.161.2
202254 252 000 1,483,000391,000 1,082,00027.37.220.13.2630.263.3
202355 339 000 1,500,000399,000 1,091,00027.17.219.93.2129.763.6
202427.07.219.83.17
202526.87.119.63.12
* CBR = crude birth rate (per 1000); CDR = crude death rate (per 1000); NC = natural change (per 1000); IMR = infant mortality rate per 1000 births; TFR = total fertility rate (number of children per woman)

Demographic and Health Surveys

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) (Wanted Fertility Rate) and Crude Birth Rate (CBR): [16]

YearTotalUrbanRural
CBRTFRCBRTFRCBRTFR
19778.1
19847.7
19896.74.57.1
199335.85.40 (3.4)35.13.44 (2.5)35.95.80 (3.7)
199834.64.70 (3.5)33.63.12 (2.6)34.75.16 (3.8)
200337.54.9 (3.6)35.33.3 (2.6)38.15.4 (3.9)
2008–2009 (census)34,84.6 (3.4)32.52.9 (2.5)35.35.2 (3.7)
201430.53.9 (3.0)31.03.1 (2.6)30.34.5 (3.4)
202227.73.4 (2.9)30.12.7 (2.5)26.64.0 (3.3)

Fertility data as of 2014 (DHS Program): [17]

RegionTotal fertility ratePercentage of women age 15–49 currently pregnantMean number of children ever born to women age 40–49
Coast 4.36.65.5
North Eastern 6.412.07.1
Eastern 3.44.64.7
Central 2.84.83.7
Rift Valley 4.57.05.5
Western 4.76.76.1
Nyanza 4.35.95.8
Nairobi 2.76.83.1

Ethnic groups

Kenya has a very diverse population that includes most major ethnic, racial and linguistic groups found in Africa. Bantu, Cushitic and Nilotic populations together constitute around 99% of the nation's inhabitants. [18] People from Asian or European heritage living in Kenya are estimated at around 0.3% of the population. [19]

Bantus are the single largest population division in Kenya. Most Bantu are farmers. Some of the prominent Bantu groups in Kenya include the Kikuyu, the Kamba, the Luhya, the Kisii, the Meru, and the Mijikenda.

In Kenya's last colonial census of 1962, population groups residing in the territory included European, African and Asian individuals. [20] According to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, Kenya had a population of 47,564,296 by 2019. The largest native ethnic groups were the Kikuyu (8,148,668), Luhya (6,820,000), Kalenjin (6,358,113), Luo (5,066,966), Kamba (4,663,910), Somalis (2,780,502), Kisii (2,703,235), Mijikenda (2,488,691), Meru (1,975,869), Maasai (1,189,522), and Turkana (1,016,174). Foreign-rooted populations included Asians (90,527), Europeans (42,868) with Kenyan citizenship, 26,753 without, and Kenyan Arabs (59,021). [21] The number of ethnic categories and sub-categories recorded in the census has changed significantly over time, expanding from 42 in 1969 to more than 120 in 2019. [22]

Bantu peoples

Bantus are the single largest population division in Kenya. The term Bantu denotes widely dispersed but related peoples that speak south-central Niger–Congo languages. Originally from Cameroon-Nigeria border regions, Bantus began a millennium-long series of migrations referred to as the Bantu expansion that first brought them south into East Africa about 2,000 years ago.

Most Bantu are farmers. Some of the prominent Bantu groups in Kenya include the Kikuyu, the Kamba, the Luhya, the Kisii, the Meru, and the Mijikenda. The Swahili people are descended from Wangozi Bantu peoples that intermarried with Arab immigrants. [23] [24]

The Kikuyu, who are one of the biggest tribes in Kenya, seem to have assimilated a significant number of Cushitic speakers. Evidence from their Y DNA shows that 18% of Kikuyu carry the E1b1b Y DNA. [25]

Nilotic peoples

A Maasai Kenyan man 2.jpg
A Maasai

Nilotes are the second-largest group of peoples in Kenya. They speak Nilo-Saharan languages and went south into East Africa from Western Asia and North Africa by way of South Sudan. [23] Most Nilotes in Kenya are historically pastoralists. The Nilotes are divided into the river lake Nilotes and the highland nilotes. These divisions are related to where they occupied after they relocated to Kenya. Where the Luo are affiliated with the river lake occupancy as they can be found near Lake Victoria. The Kalenjin along others are affiliated with the highland occupancy as they are found around the highland areas of the country. The most prominent of these groups include the Luo, the Maasai, the Samburu, the Iteso, the Turkana, and the Kalenjin. [23] Similar to the Bantu, some Nilotic systems of governance (such as Ibinda of the Nandi [26] ) bear similarities with those of their Cushitic neighbors (such as the Gada system [27] of the Oromo). [28]

Cushitic people

The Cushitic people form a small minority of Kenya's population. They speak languages belonging to the Afroasiatic family and originally came from Ethiopia and Somalia. However, some large ethnic Somali clans are native to the area that used be known as NFD in Kenya. These people are not from Somalia but share the same ethnicity as the majority in Somalia. Most of them are herdsmen and have almost entirely adopted Islam. [29] Cushites are concentrated in the northernmost North Eastern Province, which borders Somalia. [30]

The Cushitic people are divided into two groups: the Southern Cushites and the Eastern Cushites.

An entrepreneurial community, they established themselves in the business sector, particularly in Eastleigh, Nairobi. [34]

Indians

Asians living in Kenya are descended from South Asian migrants. Significant Asian migration to Kenya began between 1896 and 1901 when some 32,000 indentured labourers were recruited from British India to build the Kenya-Uganda Railway. [35] The majority of Kenyan Asians hail from the Gujarat and Punjab regions. [36] The community grew significantly during the colonial period, and in the 1962 census Asians made up a third of the population of Nairobi and consisted of 176,613 people across the country. [36]

Since Kenyan independence large numbers have emigrated due to racism-related tensions with the Bantu and Nilotic majority. Most Asians are concentrated in the manufacturing sector. [30] According to the 2019 Census, Kenyan Asians number 47,555 people, while Asians without Kenyan citizenship number 42,972 individuals. [21] In 2017, Kenyans of Asian Heritage were officially recognised as the 44th tribe of Kenya. [37]

Europeans

Europeans in Kenya are primarily the descendants of British migrants during the colonial period. There is also a significant expat population of Europeans living in Kenya. Economically, all Europeans in Kenya belong to the middle- and upper-middle-class. Nowadays, only a small minority of them are landowners (livestock and game ranchers, horticulturists and farmers), with the majority working in the tertiary sector: in air transport, finance, import, and hospitality. Apart from isolated individuals such as anthropologist and conservationist Richard Leakey, F.R.S., who died in 2022, Kenyan-Europeans have completely retreated from Kenyan politics, and are no longer represented in public service and parastatals, from which the last remaining staff from colonial times retired in the 1970s. [38] According to the 2019 Census, Kenyan Europeans number 42,868 people, while Europeans without Kenyan citizenship number 26,753 individuals. 0.3% of the population of Kenya is either from Asia or Europe. [21]

Arabs

Arabs form a small but historically important minority ethnic group in Kenya. They are principally concentrated along the coast in cities such as Mombasa, Malindi, Lamu, and Nairobi. A Muslim community, they primarily came from Oman and Hadhramaut in Yemen, and are engaged in trade. Arabs are locally referred to as Washihiri or, less commonly, as simply Shihiri in the Bantu Swahili language, Kenya's lingua franca. [30] According to the 2019 Census, Kenyan Arabs number 59,021 people. [21]

Languages

Lord's Prayer in Swahili, a Bantu language that alongside English serves as a lingua franca for many in Kenya. Swahili-pn.jpg
Lord's Prayer in Swahili, a Bantu language that alongside English serves as a lingua franca for many in Kenya.

Kenya's various ethnic groups typically speak their mother tongues within their own communities. The two official languages, English and Swahili, serve as the main lingua franca between the various ethnic groups. English is widely spoken in commerce, schooling and government. [39] Peri-urban and rural dwellers are less multilingual, with many in rural areas speaking only their native languages. [40]

According to Ethnologue , there are a total of 69 languages spoken in Kenya. Most belong to two broad language families: Niger-Congo (Bantu branch) and Nilo-Saharan (Nilotic branch), which are spoken by the country's Bantu and Nilotic populations, respectively. The Cushitic and Arab ethnic minorities speak languages belonging to the separate Afro-Asiatic family, with the Indian and European residents speaking languages from the Indo-European family. [41]

Religion

Pew Research Center (2020) [42]
religionpercent
Christianity
84.5%
Islam
10.5%
None
2.3%
Traditionalists
1.5%
Other
1.1%
Unspecified
0.1%

CIA World Factbook estimate: [5]

%

See also

References

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  2. Kenya begins contentious census BBC News, 24 August 2009.
  3. Kenya defends tribal census figures BBC News, 31 August 2010.
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  5. 1 2 "CIA World Fact Book – Kenya". CIA – The World Fact Book. Retrieved 7 November 2017.
  6. "Kenya refugees". 2024.
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  10. "Kenya Population (2017, 2018) – Worldometers". Worldometers.info. Retrieved 7 November 2017.
  11. "UNSD — Demographic and Social Statistics".
  12. "UNSD — Demographic and Social Statistics".
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  14. "World Population Prospects - Population Division - United Nations". population.un.org. Retrieved 13 July 2022.
  15. "2019 Kenya Population and Housing Census Results - Kenya National Bureau of Statistics". 4 November 2019.
  16. "MEASURE DHS: Demographic and Health Surveys". Microdata.worldbank.org. Retrieved 7 November 2017.
  17. "Demographic and Health Survey 2014" (PDF). Dhsprograms.com. Retrieved 7 November 2017.
  18. Asongu, J. J.; Marr, Marvee (2007). Doing Business Abroad: A Handbook for Expatriates. Greenview Publishing Co. pp. 12 & 112. ISBN   978-0-9797976-3-7.
  19. "Kenya National Bureau of Statistics - Kenya's Top Data Site". 23 December 2021. Retrieved 13 October 2024.
  20. "Kenya Population Census 1962, Appendix 1" (PDF). Kenya National Bureau of Statistics. Government of Kenya. Retrieved 31 July 2017.
  21. 1 2 3 4 "2019 Kenya Population and Housing Census Volume IV: Distribution of Population by Socio-Economic Characteristics". Kenya National Bureau of Statistics. Retrieved 24 March 2020.
  22. Balaton-Chrimes, Samantha (2020). "Who are Kenya's 42(+) tribes? The census and the political utility of magical uncertainty". Journal of Eastern African Studies. 15: 43–62. doi: 10.1080/17531055.2020.1863642 . ISSN   1753-1055. S2CID   231681524.
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  25. Henn, Brenna M.; Gignoux, Christopher; Lin, Alice A.; Oefner, Peter J.; Shen, Peidong; Scozzari, Rosaria; Cruciani, Fulvio; Tishkoff, Sarah A.; Mountain, Joanna L.; Underhill, Peter A. (5 August 2008). "Y-chromosomal evidence of a pastoralist migration through Tanzania to southern Africa". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 105 (31): 10693–10698. Bibcode:2008PNAS..10510693H. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0801184105 . PMC   2504844 . PMID   18678889.
  26. WOODWARD, P. (1 April 1999). "Conflict, Age and Power in North East Africa: Age systems in transition". African Affairs. 98 (391): 286–287. doi:10.1093/oxfordjournals.afraf.a008035.
  27. Abdurahman, Abdulahi (1 May 2019). "The Gada system and the Oromo's (Ethiopia) culture of peace". Skhid. 2 (160): 45–51. doi: 10.21847/1728-9343.2019.2(160).164984 .
  28. Robert O. Collins, The southern Sudan in historical perspective, (Transaction Publishers: 2006), p.9-10.
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