Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones, often referred to as Mediterranean cyclones or Mediterranean hurricanes, and shortened as medicanes, are meteorological phenomena occasionally observed over the Mediterranean Sea. On a few rare occasions, some storms have been observed reaching the strength of a Category 1 hurricane, on the Saffir–Simpson scale,[1] and Cyclone Ianos in 2020 was recorded reaching Category 2 intensity.[2] The main societal hazard posed by medicanes is not usually from destructive winds, but through life-threatening torrential rains and flash floods.
The occurrence of medicanes has been described as not particularly rare.[3] Tropical-like systems were first identified in the Mediterranean basin in the 1980s, when widespread satellite coverage showing tropical-looking low pressures which formed a cyclonic eye in the center were identified.[4] Due to the dry nature of the Mediterranean region, the formation of tropical, subtropical cyclones and tropical-like cyclones is infrequent and also hard to detect, in particular with the reanalysis of past data. Depending on the search algorithms used, different long-term surveys of satellite era and pre-satellite era data came up with 67 tropical-like cyclones of tropical storm intensity or higher between 1947 and 2014,[5] and around 100recorded tropical-like storms between 1947 and 2011.[6] More consensus exists about the long term temporal and spatial distribution of tropical-like cyclones: they form predominantly over the western and central Mediterranean Sea while the area east of Crete is almost devoid of tropical-like cyclones.[5][6] The development of tropical-like cyclones can occur year-round, with activity historically peaking between the months of September and January, while the counts for the summer months of June and July are the lowest, being within the peak dry season of the Mediterranean with stable air.[5][6][7]
Meteorological classification and history
Historically, the term tropical-like cyclone was coined in the 1980s to unofficially distinguish tropical cyclones developing outside the tropics (like in the Mediterranean Basin) from those developing inside the tropics. The term tropical-like was in no way meant to indicate a hybrid cyclone exhibiting characteristics not usually seen in "true" tropical cyclones.[8] In their matured stages, Mediterranean tropical cyclones show no difference from other tropical storms.[9] Mediterranean hurricanes or medicanes are therefore not different from hurricanes elsewhere.[10]
Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones are not considered to be formally classified tropical cyclones and their region of formation is not officially monitored by any agency with meteorological tasks.[11] However, the NOAA subsidiary Satellite Analysis Branch released information related to a medicane in November2011 while it was active, which they dubbed as "Tropical Storm 01M", though they ceased services in the Mediterranean on 16December 2011 for undisclosed reasons.[12] However, in 2015, the NOAA resumed services in the Mediterranean region;[13] by 2016, the NOAA was issuing advisories on a new tropical system, Tropical Storm 90M.[14] Since 2005, ESTOFEX has been issuing bulletins that can include tropical-like cyclones, among others. No agency with meteorological tasks, however, is officially responsible for monitoring the formation and development of medicanes, as well as for their naming.
Despite all this, the whole Mediterranean Sea lies within the Greek area of responsibility with the Hellenic National Meteorological Service (HNMS) as the governing agency,[15] while France's Météo-France serves as a "preparation service" for the western part of the Mediterranean as well.[16] As the only official agency covering the whole Mediterranean Sea, HNMS publications are of particular interest for the classification of medicanes. HNMS calls the meteorological phenomenon Mediterranean tropical-like Hurricane in its annual bulletin and – by also using the respective portmanteau word medicane– makes the term medicane quasi-official.[17] In a joint article with the Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment of the University of Athens, the Hellenic National Meteorological Service outlines conditions to consider a cyclone over the Mediterranean Sea a Medicane:
The criteria applied in order to identify medicanes concern the detailed structure, the size and the lifetime of the systems using Meteosat satellite images in the infrared channel. They must have a continuous cloud cover and symmetric shape around a clearly visible cyclone eye.[5]
In the same article, a survey of 37 medicanes revealed that medicanes could have a well-defined cyclone eye at estimated maximum sustained winds between 47 and 180km/h (29 and 112mph; 25 and 97kn), with the lower end being exceptionally low for warm core cyclones.[5] Medicanes can indeed develop well-defined eyes at such low maximum sustained winds of around 48km/h (30mph; 26kn) as could be seen for a 22 October 2015 medicane near the Albanian coast.[18] This is much lower than the lower threshold for eye development in tropical systems in the Atlantic Ocean which seems to be close to 80km/h (50mph; 43kn), well below hurricane-force winds.[19]
Several notable and damaging medicanes are known to have occurred. In September 1969, a North African Mediterranean tropical cyclone produced flooding that killed nearly 600individuals, left 250,000homeless, and crippled local economies. A medicane in September1996 that developed in the Balearic Islands region spawned six tornadoes, and inundated parts of the islands. Several medicanes have also been subject to extensive study, such as those of January1982, January1995, September2006, November2011, and November2014. The January1995 storm is one of the best-studied Mediterranean tropical cyclones, with its close resemblance to tropical cyclones elsewhere and availability of observations. The medicane of September2006, meanwhile, is well-studied, due to the availability of existing observations and data.[citation needed]
Given the low profile of HNMS in forecasting and classifying tropical-like systems in the Mediterranean, a proper classification system for Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones does not exist. The HNMS criterion of a cyclonic eye for considering a system a medicane[5] is usually valid for a system at peak strength, often only hours before landfall, which is not suitable at least for forecasts and warnings.[citation needed]
Unofficially, Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD, the German meteorological service) proposed a system to forecast and classify tropical-like cyclones based on the NHC classification for the northern Atlantic Ocean.[20] To account for the broader wind field and the larger radius of maximum winds of tropical-like systems in the Mediterranean (see the section Development and characteristics below), DWD is suggesting a lower threshold of 112km/h (70mph; 60kn) for the use of the term medicane in the Mediterranean instead of 119km/h (74mph; 64kn) as suggested by the Saffir–Simpson scale for Atlantic hurricanes.[20] The DWD proposal and also US-based forecasts (NHC, NOAA, NRL etc.) use one-minute sustained winds while European-based forecasts use ten-minute sustained winds which makes a difference of roughly 14% in measurements.[21] The distinction is also of direct practical use (for example for a comparison of NOAA bulletins with EUMETSAT, ESTOFEX and HNMS bulletins). To account for the difference, the DWD proposal is shown below for both one-minute and deduced ten-minute sustained winds (see tropical cyclone scales for conversions):
maximum sustained winds
Mediterranean Tropical Depression
Mediterranean Tropical Storm
Medicane
1-minute average
≤62km/h (≤17m/s; ≤38mph; ≤33knots)
63–111km/h (18–30m/s; 39–69mph; 34–60knots)
≥112km/h (≥31m/s; ≥70mph; ≥61knots)
10-minute average
≤54km/h (≤14m/s; ≤33mph; ≤29knots)
56–98km/h (15–27m/s; 35–61mph; 30–53knots)
≥99km/h (≥28m/s; ≥62mph; ≥54knots)
Another proposal uses roughly the same scale but suggests to use the term medicane for tropical storm force cyclones and major medicane for hurricane force cyclones.[18] Both proposals would fit the observation, that half of the 37 cyclones surveyed by HNMS with a clearly observable hurricane-like eye, as the major criterion for assigning the medicane status, showed maximum sustained winds between 76–110km/h (47–68mph; 41–59kn), while another quarter of the medicanes peaked at lower wind speeds.[5]
Climatology
Visible satellite imagery of a "medicane" above the Balearic Islands on 7 October 1996
A majority of Mediterranean tropical cyclones (tropical cyclogenesis) form over two separate regions. The first, more conducive for development than the other, encompasses an area of the western Mediterranean bordered by the Balearic Islands, southern France, and the shorelines of the islands of Corsica and Sardinia. The second identified region of development, in the Ionian Sea between Sicily and Greece and stretching south to Libya, is less favorable for tropical cyclogenesis. An additional two regions, in the Aegean and Adriatic seas, produce fewer medicanes, while activity is minimal in the Levantine region. The geographical distribution of Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones is markedly different from that of other cyclones, with the formation of regular cyclones centering on the Pyrenees and Atlas mountain ranges, the Gulf of Genoa, and in the Ionian Sea.[22] Although meteorological factors are most advantageous in the Adriatic and Aegean seas, the closed nature of the region's geography, bordered by land, allows little time for further evolution.[23]
The geography of mountain ranges bordering the Mediterranean are conducive for severe weather and thunderstorms, with the sloped nature of mountainous regions permitting the development of convective activity.[24] Although the geography of the Mediterranean region, as well as its dry air, typically prevent the formation of tropical cyclones, when certain meteorological circumstances arise, difficulties influenced by the region's geography are overcome.[25] The occurrence of tropical cyclones in the Mediterranean Sea is generally extremely rare, with an average of 1.57forming annually and merely 99recorded occurrences of tropical-like storms discovered between 1948 and 2011 in a modern study, with no definitive trend in activity in that period.[26] Few medicanes form during the summer season, though activity typically rises in autumn, peaks in January, and gradually decreases from February to May.[22] In the western Mediterranean region of development, approximately 0.75such systems form each year, compared with 0.32in the Ionian Sea region.[27] However, on very rare occasions, similar tropical-like storms may also develop in the Black Sea.[28]
Studies have evaluated that global warming can result in higher observed intensities of tropical cyclones as a result of deviations in the surface energy flux and atmospheric composition, which both heavily influence the development of medicanes as well. In tropical and subtropical areas, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) rose 0.2°C (0.36°F) within a 50-year period, and in the North Atlantic and Northwestern Pacifictropical cyclone basins, the potential destructiveness and energy of storms nearly doubled within the same duration, evidencing a clear correlation between global warming and tropical cyclone intensities.[29] Within a similarly recent 20-year period,[30] SSTs in the Mediterranean Sea increased by 0.6 to 1°C (1.1 to 1.8°F),[29] though no observable increase in medicane activity has been noted, as of 2013[update].[26] In 2006, a computer-driven atmospheric model evaluated the future frequency of Mediterranean cyclones between 2071 and 2100, projecting a decrease in autumn, winter, and spring cyclonic activity coinciding with a dramatic increase in formation near Cyprus, with both scenarios attributed to elevated temperatures as a result of global warming.[31] In another study, researchers found that more tropical-like storms in the Mediterranean could reach Category 1 strength by the end of the 21st century, with most of the stronger storms appearing in the autumn, though the models indicated that some storms could potentially reach Category 2 intensity.[32] Other studies, however, have been inconclusive, forecasting both increases and decreases in duration, number, and intensity.[33] Three independent studies, using different methodologies and data, evaluated that while medicane activity would likely decline with a rate depending on the climate scenario considered, a higher percentage of those that formed would be of greater strength.[34][35][36]
Development and characteristics
A Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone south of Italy, on 27 October 2005
The development of tropical or subtropical cyclones in the Mediterranean Sea can usually only occur under somewhat unusual circumstances. Low wind shear and atmospheric instability induced by incursions of cold air are often required. A majority of medicanes are also accompanied by upper-level troughs, providing energy required for intensifying atmospheric convection—thunderstorms—and heavy precipitation. The baroclinic properties of the Mediterranean region, with high temperature gradients, also provides necessary instability for the formation of tropical cyclones. Another factor, rising cool air, provides necessary moisture as well. Warm sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are mostly unnecessary, however, as most medicanes' energy are derived from warmer air temperatures. When these favorable circumstances coincide, the genesis of warm-core Mediterranean tropical cyclones, often from within existing cut-off cold-core lows, is possible in a conducive environment for formation.
Factors required for the formation of medicanes are somewhat different from that normally expected of tropical cyclones; known to emerge over regions with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) below 26°C (79°F), Mediterranean tropical cyclones often require incursions of colder air to induce atmospheric instability.[22] A majority of medicanes develop above regions of the Mediterranean with SSTs of 15 to 26°C (59 to 79°F), with the upper bound only found in the southernmost reaches of the sea. Despite the low sea surface temperatures, the instability incited by cold atmospheric air within a baroclinic zone—regions with high differences in temperature and pressure—permits the formation of medicanes, in contrast with tropical areas lacking high baroclinity, where raised SSTs are needed.[37] While significant deviations in air temperature have been noted around the time of Mediterranean tropical cyclones' formation, few anomalies in sea surface temperature coincide with their development, indicating that the formation of medicanes is primarily controlled by higher air temperatures, not by anomalous SSTs.[38] Similar to tropical cyclones, minimal wind shear—difference in wind speed and direction over a region—as well as abundant moisture and vorticity encourages the genesis of tropical cyclone-like systems in the Mediterranean Sea.[39]
Satellite image of a tropical-like cyclone on 15 December 2005
Due to the confined character of the Mediterranean and the limited capability of heat fluxes — in the case of medicanes, air-sea heat transfer — tropical cyclones with a diameter larger than 300km (190mi) cannot exist within the Mediterranean.[40] Despite being a relatively baroclinic area with high temperature gradients, the primary energy source utilized by Mediterranean tropical cyclones is derived from underlying heat sources generated by the presence of convection—thunderstorm activity—in a humid environment, similar to tropical cyclones elsewhere outside the Mediterranean Sea.[41] In comparison with other tropical cyclone basins, the Mediterranean Sea generally presents a difficult environment for development; although the potential energy necessary for development is not abnormally large, its atmosphere is characterized by its lack of moisture, impeding potential formation. The full development of a medicane often necessitates the formation of a large-scale baroclinic disturbance, transitioning late in its life cycle into a tropical cyclone-like system, nearly always under the influence of a deep, cut-off, cold-core low within the middle-to-upper troposphere, frequently resulting from abnormalities in a wide-spreading Rossby wave—massive meanders of upper-atmospheric winds.[42]
A weak and disorganized Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone on 28 January 2009
The development of medicanes often results from the vertical shift of air in the troposphere as well, resulting in a decrease in its temperature coinciding with an increase in relative humidity, creating an environment more conducive for tropical cyclone formation. This, in turn, leads to in an increase in potential energy, producing heat-induced air-sea instability. Moist air prevents the occurrence of convective downdrafts—the vertically downward movement of air—which often hinder the inception of tropical cyclones,[42] and in such a scenario, wind shear remains minimal; overall, cold-core cut-off lows serve well for the later formation of compact surface flux-influenced warm-core lows such as medicanes. The regular genesis of cold-core upper-level lows and the infrequency of Mediterranean tropical cyclones, however, indicate that additional unusual circumstances are involved the emergence of the latter. Elevated sea surface temperatures, contrasting with cold atmospheric air, encourage atmospheric instability, especially within the troposphere.[37]
In general, most medicanes maintain a radius of 70 to 200km (40 to 120mi), last between 12hours and 5days, travel between 700 and 3,000km (430 and 1,860mi), develop an eye for less than 72hours, and feature wind speeds of up to 144km/h (89mph; 78kn);[43] in addition, a majority are characterized on satellite imagery as asymmetric systems with a distinct round eye encircled by atmospheric convection.[40] Weak rotation, similar to that in most tropical cyclones, is usually noted in a medicane's early stages, increasing with intensity;[44] medicanes, however, often have less time to intensify, remaining weaker than most North Atlantic hurricanes and only persisting for the duration of a few days.[45] While the entire lifetime of a cyclone may encompass several days, most will only retain tropical characteristics for less than 24hours.[46] Circumstances sometimes permit the formation of smaller-scale medicanes, although the required conditions differ even from those needed by other medicanes. The development of abnormally small tropical cyclones in the Mediterranean usually requires upper-level atmospheric cyclones inducing cyclogenesis in the lower atmosphere, leading to the formation of warm-core lows, encouraged by favorable moisture, heat, and other environmental circumstances.[47]
Mediterranean cyclones have been compared with polar lows—cyclonic storms which typically develop in the far regions of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres—for their similarly small size and heat-related instability; however, while medicanes nearly always feature warm-core lows, polar lows are primarily cold-core. The prolonged life of medicanes and similarity to polar lows is caused primarily by origins as synoptic-scale surface lows and heat-related instability.[24] Heavy precipitation and convection within a developing Mediterranean tropical cyclone are usually incited by the approach of an upper-level trough—an elongated area of low air pressures—bringing downstream cold air, encircling an existing low-pressure system. After this occurs, however, a considerable reduction in rainfall rates occurs despite further organization,[48] coinciding with a decrease in previously high lightning activity as well.[49] Although troughs will often accompany medicanes along their track, separation eventually occurs, usually in the later part of a Mediterranean tropical cyclone's life cycle.[48] At the same time, moist air, saturated and cooled while rising into the atmosphere, then encounters the medicane, permitting further development and evolution into a tropical cyclone. Many of these characteristics are also evident in polar lows, except for the warm core characteristic.[9]
Notable medicanes and impacts
22–27 Sep 1969
Nimbus 3 visible satellite imagery of the September 1969 cyclone
An unusually severe Mediterranean tropical cyclone developed on 23September 1969 southeast of Malta, producing severe flooding.[50] Steep pressure and temperature gradients above the Atlas mountain range were evident on 19September, a result of cool sea air attempting to penetrate inland; south of the mountains, a lee depression—a low-pressure area in a mountainous region—developed. Under the influence of mountainous terrain, the low initially meandered northeastward. Following the entry of cool sea air, however, it recurved to the southeast before transitioning into a Saharan depression associated with a distinct cold front by 22September. Along the front's path, desert air moved northward while cold air drifted in the opposite direction, and in northern Libya, warm arid air clashed with the cooler levant of the Mediterranean. The organization of the disturbance improved slightly further before emerging into the Mediterranean Sea on 23September, upon which the system experienced immediate cyclogenesis,[51][52] rapidly intensifying while southeast of Malta as a cold-core cut-off low,[53] and acquiring tropical characteristics.[50] In western Africa, meanwhile, several disturbances converged toward Mauritania and Algeria, while the medicane recurved southwestward back toward the coast, losing its closed circulation and later dissipating.[53]
The cyclone produced severe flooding throughout regions of northern Africa. Malta received upward of 123mm (4.8in) of rainfall on 23September, Sfax measured 45mm (1.8in) on 24September, Tizi Ouzou collected 55mm (2.2in) on 25September, Gafsa received 79mm (3.1in) and Constantine measured 46mm (1.8in) on 26September, Cap Bengut collected 43mm (1.7in) on 27September, and Biskra received 122mm (4.8in) on 28September.[54] In Malta, a 20000-ton tanker struck a reef and split in two, while in Gafsa, Tunisia, the cyclone flooded phosphate mines, leaving over 25,000miners unemployed and costing the government over £2million per week. Thousands of camels and snakes, drowned by flood waters, were swept out to sea, and massive Roman bridges, which withstood all floods since the fall of the Roman Empire, collapsed. In all, the floods in Tunisia and Algeria killed almost 600individuals, left 250,000homeless, and severely damaged regional economies.[55] Due to communication problems, however, flood relief funds and television appeals were not set up until nearly a month later.[54]
Leucosia (24–27 Jan 1982)
Satellite imagery capturing the storm at its peak intensity at 26 January 1982
The unusual Mediterranean tropical storm of January1982, dubbed Leucosia, was first detected in waters north of Libya.[50] The storm likely reached the Atlas mountain range as a low-pressure area by 23January 1982, reinforced by an elongated, slowly-drifting trough above the Iberian Peninsula. Eventually, a closed circulation center developed by 1310UTC,[56] over parts of the Mediterranean with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) of approximately 16°C (61°F) and air temperature of 12°C (54°F).[57] A hook-shaped cloud developed within the system shortly thereafter, rotating as it elongated into a 150km (93mi)-long comma-shaped apparatus. After looping around Sicily, it drifted eastward between the island and Peloponnese, recurving on its track again,[58] exhibiting clearly curved spiral banding before shrinking slightly.[59] The cyclone reached its peak intensity at 1800UTC on the following day, maintaining an atmospheric pressure of 992mbar (29.3inHg), and was succeeded by a period of gradual weakening, with the system's pressure eventually rising to 1,009mbar (29.8inHg). The system slightly reintensified, however, for a six-hour period on 26January. Ship reports indicated winds of 93km/h (58mph; 50kn) were present in the cyclone at the time, tropical storm-force winds on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale,[56] likely near the eyewall of the cyclone, which features the highest winds in a tropical cyclone.[57]
The Global Weather Center's Cyclone Weather Center of the United States Air Force (USAF) initiated "Mediterranean Cyclone Advisories" on the cyclone at six-hour intervals starting at 1800UTC on 27January, until 0600UTC on the following day.[60] Convection was most intense in the eastern sector of the cyclone as it drifted east-northeastward. On infrared satellite imagery, the eye itself was 58.5km (36.4mi) in diameter,[57] contracting to just 28 kilometres (17mi) one day prior to making landfall.[60] The cyclone passed by Malta, Italy, and Greece before dissipating several days later, in the extreme eastern Mediterranean. Observations related to the cyclone, however, were inadequate, and although the system maintained numerous tropical characteristics, it is possible it was merely a compact but powerful extratropical cyclone exhibiting a clear eye, spiral banding, towering cumulonimbi, and high surface winds along the eyewall.[50]
27 Sep – 2 October 1983
On 27September 1983, a medicane was observed at sea between Tunisia and Sicily, looping around Sardinia and Corsica, coming ashore twice on the islands, before making landfall at Tunis early on 2October and dissipating. The development of the system was not encouraged by baroclinic instability; rather, convection was incited by abnormally high sea surface temperatures (SSTs) at the time of its formation. It also featured a definitive eye, tall cumulonimbus clouds, intense sustained winds, and a warm core. For most of its duration, it maintained a diameter of 200 to 300km (120 to 190mi), though it shrank just before landfall on Ajaccio to a diameter of 100km (62mi).[50]
Celeno (14–17 Jan 1995)
Celeno at 14:00 UTC on 16January, shortly after tropical cyclogenesis
Among numerous documented medicanes, the cyclone of January1995, which was dubbed Celeno,[61] is generally considered to be the best-documented instance in the 20th century. The storm emerged from the Libyan coast and moved toward the Ionian shoreline of Greece on 13January as a compact low-pressure area. The medicane maintained winds reaching up to 108km/h (67mph; 58kn) as it traversed the Ionian Sea,[62] while the German research ship Meteor recorded winds of 135km/h (84mph; 73kn).[63] Upon the low's approach near Greece, it began to envelop an area of atmospheric convection; meanwhile, in the middle troposphere, a trough extended from Russia to the Mediterranean, bringing with it extremely cold temperatures.[64] Two low-pressure areas were present along the path of the trough, with one situated above Ukraine and the other above the central Mediterranean, likely associated with a low-level cyclone over western Greece. Upon weakening and dissipation on 14January, a second low, the system which would evolve into the Mediterranean tropical cyclone, developed in its place on 15January.[63]
At the time of formation, high clouds indicated the presence of intense convection,[63] and the cyclone featured an axisymmetric cloud structure, with a distinct, cloud-free eye and rainbands spiraling around the disturbance as a whole.[65] Soon thereafter, the parent low separated from the medicane entirely and continued eastward,[64] meandering toward the Aegean Sea and Turkey.[62] Initially remaining stationary between Greece and Sicily with a minimum atmospheric pressure of 1,002mbar (29.6inHg), the newly formed system began to drift southwest-to-south in the following days, influenced by northeasterly flow incited by the initial low, now far to the east, and a high-pressure area above central and eastern Europe.[64] The system's atmospheric pressure increased throughout 15January due to the fact it was embedded within a large-scale environment, with its rising pressure due to the general prevalence of higher air pressures throughout the region, and was not a sign of weakening.[65]
Initial wind speeds within the young medicane were generally low, with sustained winds of merely 28 to 46km/h (17 to 29mph; 15 to 25kn), with the highest recorded value associated with the disturbance being 63km/h (39mph) at 0000UTC on 16January, slightly below the threshold for tropical storm on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale. Its structure now consisted of a distinct eye encircled by counterclockwise-rotating cumulonimbi with cloud top temperatures colder than −50°C (−58°F), evidencing deep convection and a regular feature observed in most tropical cyclones.[66] At 1200 UTC on 16 January, a ship recorded winds blowing east-southeast of about 50 knots (93km/h) south-southwest about 50km (31mi) north-northeast of the cyclone's center.[67] Intense convection continued to follow the entire path of the system as it traversed the Mediterranean, and the cyclone made landfall in northern Libya at approximately 1800UTC on 17January, rapidly weakening after coming ashore.[64] As it moved inland, a minimum atmospheric pressure of 1,012mbar (29.9inHg) was recorded, accompanied by wind speeds of 93km/h (58mph; 50kn) as it slowed down after passing through the Gulf of Sidra.[68] Although the system retained its strong convection for several more hours, the cyclone's cloud tops began to warm, evidencing lower clouds, before losing tropical characteristics entirely on 17January.[69] Offshore ship reports recorded that the medicane produced intense winds, copious rainfall, and abnormally warm temperatures.[70]
11–13 Sep 1996
Three notable medicanes developed in 1996. The first, in mid-September1996, was a typical Mediterranean tropical cyclone that developed in the Balearic Islands region.[71] At the time of the cyclone's formation, a powerful Atlantic cold front and a warm front associated with a large-scale low, producing northeasterly winds over the Iberian peninsula, extended eastward into the Mediterranean, while abundant moisture gathered in the lower troposphere over the Balearic channel.[72] On the morning of 12September, a disturbance developed off of Valencia, Spain, dropping heavy rainfall on the coast even without coming ashore. An eye developed shortly thereafter as the system rapidly traversed across Majorca and Sardinia in its eastward trek. It made landfall upon the coast of southern Italy on the evening of 13September with a minimum atmospheric pressure of 990mbar (29inHg), dissipating shortly after coming ashore,[73] with a diameter of about 150km (93mi).[47]
At Valencia and other regions of eastern Spain, the storm generated heavy precipitation, while six tornadoes touched down over the Balearic Islands. While approaching the coast of the Balearic Islands, the warm-core low induced a pressure drop of 11mbar (0.32inHg) at Palma, Majorca in advance of the tropical cyclone's landfall. Medicanes as small as the one that formed in September1996 are atypical, and often require circumstances different even from those required for regular Mediterranean tropical cyclone formation.[47] Warm low-level advection–transfer of heat through air or sea–caused by a large-scale low over the western Mediterranean was a primary factor in the rise of strong convection.[24] The presence of a mid- to upper-level cut-off cold-core low, a method of formation typical to medicanes, was also key to the development of intense thunderstorms within the cyclone. In addition, interaction between a northeastward-drifting trough, the medicane, and the large-scale also permitted the formation of tornadoes within thunderstorms generated by the cyclone after making landfall.[74]
4–6 Oct 1996
The second major Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone of 1996, while west of Italy on 7October
The second of the three recorded Mediterranean tropical cyclones in 1996 formed between Sicily and Tunisia on 4October, making landfall on both Sicily and southern Italy. The medicane generated major flooding in Sicily. In Calabria, wind gusts of up to 108km/h (67mph; 58kn) were reported in addition to severe inundation.[50]
Cornelia (6–11 Oct 1996)
The last major Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone of 1996, near Italy
The third major Mediterranean tropical cyclone of that year formed north of Algeria, and strengthened while sweeping between the Balearic Islands and Sardinia, with an eye-like feature prominent on satellite. The storm was unofficially named Cornelia.[75] The eye of the storm was distorted and disappeared after transiting over southern Sardinia throughout the evening of 8October, with the system weakening as a whole. On the morning of October9, a smaller eye emerged as the system passed over the Tyrrhenian Sea, gradually strengthening, with reports 100km (62mi) from the storm's center reporting winds of 90km/h (56mph; 49kn). Extreme damage was reported in the Aeolian Islands after the tropical cyclone passed north of Sicily, though the system dissipated while turning southward over Calabria. Overall, the lowest estimated atmospheric pressure in the third medicane was 998mbar (29.5inHg).[76] Both October systems featured distinctive spiral bands, intense convection, high sustained winds, and abundant precipitation.[50]
Querida (25–27 Sep 2006)
The Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone of 26 September 2006
A short-lived medicane, named Querida by the Free University of Berlin, developed near the end of September2006, along the coast of Italy. The origins of the medicane can be traced to the alpine Atlas mountain range on the evening of 25September,[71] likely forming as a normal lee cyclone.[77] At 0600UTC on 26September, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model analyses indicated the existence of two low-pressure areas along the shoreline of Italy, one on the west coast, sweeping eastward across the Tyrrhenian Sea, while the other, slightly more intense, low was located over the Ionian Sea.[78] As the latter low approached the Strait of Sicily, it met an eastward-moving convection-producing cold front, resulting in significant intensification, while the system simultaneously reduced in size.[77] It then achieved a minimum atmospheric pressure of approximately 986mbar (29.1inHg) after transiting north-northeastward across the 40km (25mi)-wide Salentine peninsula in the course of roughly 30minutes at 0915UTC the same day.[78]
Wind gusts surpassing 144km/h (89mph; 78kn) were recorded as it passed over Salento due to a steep pressure gradient associated with it, confirmed by regional radar observations denoting the presence of a clear eye.[78] The high winds inflicted moderate damages throughout the peninsula, though specific damage is unknown.[71] Around 1000UTC,[78] both radar and satellite recorded the system's entry into the Adriatic Sea and its gradual northwestward curve back toward the Italian coast. By 1700UTC, the cyclone made landfall in northern Apulia while maintaining its intensity, with a minimum atmospheric pressure at 988mbar (29.2inHg). The cyclone weakened while drifting further inland over the Italian mainland, eventually dissipating as it curved west-southwestward. A later study in 2008 evaluated that the cyclone possessed numerous characteristics seen in tropical cyclones elsewhere, with a spiral appearance, eye-like apparatus, rapid atmospheric pressure decreases in advance of landfall, and intense sustained winds, concentrated near the storm's eyewall;[79][80] the apparent eye-like structure in the cyclone, however, was ill-defined.[70] Since then, the medicane has been the subject of significant study as a result of the availability of scientific observations and reports related to the cyclone.[78] In particular, the sensitivity of this cyclone to sea-surface temperatures,[81] initial conditions, the model,[82] and the parameterization schemes used in the simulations were analyzed.[83] The relevance of different instability indices for the diagnosis and the prediction of these events were also studied.[84]
Tropical Storm Rolf at peak intensity on 8 November 2011
In November2011, the first officially designated Mediterranean tropical cyclone by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) formed, christened as Tropical Storm 01M by the Satellite Analysis Branch,[85] and given the name Rolf by the Free University of Berlin (FU Berlin),[12][86][87][88] despite the fact that no agency is officially responsible for monitoring tropical cyclone activity in the Mediterranean.[11] On 4November 2011, a frontal system associated with another low-pressure area monitored by FU Berlin, designated Quinn, spawned a second low-pressure system inland near Marseille, which was subsequently named Rolf by the university. An upper-level trough on the European mainland stalled as it approached the Pyrenees, before approaching and interacting with the low known as Rolf. Heavy rainfall consequently fell over regions of southern France and northwestern Italy, resulting in widespread landslides and flooding. On 5November, Rolf slowed while stationed above the Massif Central, maintaining a pressure of 1,000mbar (30inHg). A stationary front, stationed between Madrid and Lisbon, approached Rolf the same day, with the cold front later encountering and becoming associated with Rolf, which would continue for a couple of days.[86]
On 6November, the cyclone drifted toward the Mediterranean from the southern shoreline of France, with the storm's frontal structure shrinking to 150km (93mi) in length. Slightly weakening, Rolf neared the Balearic Islands on 7November, associating with two fronts producing heavy rain throughout Europe, before separating entirely and transitioning into a cut-off low.[86] On the same day, the NOAA began monitoring the system, designating it as 01M, marking the first time that the agency officially monitored a Medicane. A distinct eye-like feature developed while spiral banding and intense convection became evident. At its highest, the Dvorak technique classified the system as T3.0. Convection then gradually decreased, and a misalignment of the mid- and upper-level centers was noted. The cyclone made landfall on 9 November near Hyères in France.[89] The system continued to rapidly weaken on 9November, before advisories on the system were discontinued later that day,[12] and FU Berlin followed suit by 10November, removing the name Rolf from its weather maps and declaring the storm's dissipation.[86] The deep warm core of this cyclone persisted for a longer time compared to most of the other documented tropical-like cyclones in the Mediterranean.[49]
At peak intensity, the storm's maximum sustained wind speed reached 83km/h (52mph; 45kn), with a minimum pressure of 991mbar (29.3inHg).[89] During a nine-day period, from 1–9 November, Storm Quinn and Rolf dropped prolific amounts of rainfall across southwestern Europe, the vast majority of which came from Rolf, with a maximum total of 605mm (23.8in) of rain recorded in southern France.[90][89] The storm caused at least $1.25 billion (2011 USD) in damages in Italy and France.[91] The sum of fatalities totaled 12 people from Italy and France.[89][91]
On 6 November 2014, the low-level circulation centre of Qendresa formed near Kerkennah Islands.[92] As the system was moving north-northeastwards and combining with an upper-level low from Tunisia early on 7 November, the system occluded quickly and intensified dramatically with an eye-like feature, thanks to favourable conditions. Qendresa directly hit Malta when it had lost its fronts with a more well-defined eye, with ten-minute sustained winds at 110.9km/h (68.9mph; 59.9kn) and the gust at 153.7km/h (95.5mph; 83.0kn).[93] The central pressure was presumed to be 978hPa (28.9inHg). Interacting with Sicily, the cyclone turned northeastwards and started to make an anticlockwise loop. On 8 November, Qendresa crossed Syracuse in the morning and then significantly weakened.[92] Turning southeastwards then moving eastwards,[94] Qendresa moved over Crete, before dissipating over the island on 11 November.[95]
90M/"Trixi" (28–31 Oct 2016)
90M on 31 October 2016
Early on 28 October 2016, 56km/h (35mph) an extratropical cyclone began to develop to the south of Calabria, in the Ionian sea. The system quickly intensified, attaining wind speeds of 80km/h (50mph) as it slowly moved to the west, causing high waves and minor damage to cars near the Maltese city of Valletta,[96] weakening the following day and beginning to move eastwards. However, later that day, it began to re-intensify and underwent a tropical transition. At 12:00UTC on 30 October, the system showed 10-minute sustained winds of 104km/h (64mph; 56kn).[97] It became a tropical storm on 31 October. After passing over Crete, the storm began to quickly weaken, with the storm degenerating into an extratropical low on 1 November.[98] Tropical Storm 90M[98] was also nicknamed "Medicane Trixi" by some media outlets in Europe during its duration.[97]
No fatalities or rainfall statistics have been reported for this system that was over open waters for most of the time.[citation needed]
On 11 November 2017, the remnant of Tropical Storm Rina from the Atlantic contributed to the formation of a new extratropical cyclone, west of the British Isles, which later absorbed Rina on the next day. On 12 November, the new storm was named Numa by the Free University of Berlin. On 14 November 2017, Extratropical Cyclone Numa emerged into the Adriatic Sea. On the following day, while crossing Italy, Numa began to undergo a subtropical transition, though the system was still extratropical by 16 November.[99] The storm began to impact Greece as a strong storm on 16 November. Some computer models forecast that Numa could transition into a warm-core subtropical or tropical cyclone within the next few days.[100] On 17 November, Numa completely lost its frontal system.[101] On the afternoon of the same day, Météo France tweeted that Numa had attained the status of a subtropical Mediterranean depression.[102]During the next several hours, Numa continued to strengthen, before reaching its peak intensity on 18 November, as a strong subtropical storm.[citation needed] According to ESTOFEX, Numa showed numerous 83-kilometre-per-hour (52mph; 45kn) flags of 10-minute sustained winds in satellite data.[103] Between 18:00 UTC on 17 November and 5:00 UTC on 18 November, Numa acquired evident tropical characteristics, and began to display a hurricane-like structure.[104] ESTOFEX again reported 83km/h (52mph; 45kn). Later on the same day, Numa made landfall in Greece with a station at Kefalonia reporting peak winds of 110km/h (69mph; 60kn) at 998hPa (29.5inHg). The cyclone rapidly weakened into a low-pressure area, before emerging into the Aegean Sea on 19 November.[105] On 20 November, Numa was absorbed into another extratropical storm approaching from the north.[106]
Numa hit Greece at a time when the soil was already heavily soaked from other storm systems that did arrive before Numa. The area was forecast to receive up to more than 400mm (16in) of additional rains in an 48 hours period starting with 16 November.[100] No rainfall forecasts or measurements are known for the following days while Numa was still battering Greece. Numa resulted in 21 reported deaths.[107] At least 1,500 homes were flooded, and residents had to evacuate their homes. The storm caused an estimated US$100 million in damages in Europe and was the deadliest weather event Greece had experienced since 1977.[108][109]
A first outlook about the possible development of a shallow warm-core cyclone in the Mediterranean was issued by ESTOFEX on 25September 2018, and a second extended outlook was issued on 26September 2018.[110][111] On 27September 2018, an extratropical storm developed in the eastern Mediterranean Sea.[112] Water temperatures of around 27°C (81°F) supported the storm's transition into a hybrid cyclone, with a warm thermal core in the center. The storm moved northeastward toward Greece, gradually intensifying and developing characteristics of a tropical cyclone. On September29, the storm made landfall at peak intensity in the Peloponnese, west of Kalamata, where a minimum central pressure of 989.3mbar (29.21inHg) was reported.[113] ESTOFEX reported on Zorbas as "Mediterranean Cyclone 2018M02", with the same pressure of 989mbar (29.2inHg) at Kalamata, further estimating the minimum central pressure of the cyclone to be 987mbar (29.1inHg), with one-minute maximum sustained winds of 120km/h (75mph; 65kn) and a Dvorak number of T4.0, which all translate into marginal Category 1 hurricane characteristics for the cyclone.[114]
It is unknown who named the system Zorbas, but the name is officially recognized for a medicane by the Deutscher Wetterdienst.[115] Early on 1 October, Zorbas emerged into the Aegean Sea, while accelerating northeastward.[116] On 2 October, Zorbas moved over northwestern Turkey and dissipated.[117] A cold wake was observed in the Mediterranean Sea, with sea surface temperatures dropping 3–4°C (5–7°F) along the track of Zorbas due to strong upwelling.[118]
During its formative stages, the storm caused flash flooding in Tunisia and Libya,[119] with around 200mm (7.9in) of rainfall observed. The floods killed five people in Tunisia, while also damaging homes, roads, and fields. The Tunisian government pledged financial assistance to residents whose homes were damaged.[120][121] In advance of the storm's landfall in Greece, the Hellenic National Meteorological Office issued a severe warning. Several flights were canceled, and schools were closed.[119] The offshore islands of Strofades and Rhodes reported gale-force winds during the storm's passage. A private weather station in Voutsaras measured wind gusts of 105km/h (65mph; 56kn). The storm spawned a waterspout that moved onshore.[113] Gale-force winds in Athens knocked down trees and power lines. A fallen tree destroyed the roof of a school in western Athens.[119] Dozens of roads were closed due to flooding.[122] In Ioannina, the storm damaged the minaret on the top of the Aslan Pasha Mosque, which dates to 1614.[123] From 29 to 30 September, Zorbas produced flash flooding in Greece and parts of western Turkey, with the storm dropping as much as 200mm (7.9in) in Greece and spawning multiple waterspouts. Three people were reporting missing in Greece after the flash floods; one person was found dead, but the other two individuals remained missing, as of 3 October.[124] Zorbas was estimated to have caused millions of dollars (2018 USD) in damages.[125]
On 14 September 2020, a low-pressure area began to develop over the Gulf of Sidra, quickly developing in the coming hours while slowly moving northwest with a wind speed of around 50km/h (31mph; 27kn). By 15 September, it had intensified to 65km/h (40mph; 35kn) with a minimum pressure of 1010 hPa, with further development predicted over the coming days. The cyclone had strong potential to become tropical over the next several days due to warm sea temperatures of 27 to 28°C (81 to 82°F) in the region. Weather models predicted that it would likely hit the west coast of Greece on 17 or 18 September. Ianos gradually intensified over the Mediterranean Sea, acquiring an eye-like feature. Ianos made landfall on Greece at peak intensity on 03:00 UTC on 18 September, with winds peaking near 160km/h (99mph; 86kn) and a minimum central pressure estimated at 984.3hPa (29.07inHg), equivalent to a minimal Category 2 hurricane.[2][126]
Greece assigned the system the name "Ianos" (Ιανός),[127] sometimes anglicized to "Janus",[128] while the German weather service used the name "Udine";[129] the Turkish used "Tulpar", and the Italians "Cassilda".[130] As Ianos passed to the south of Italy on 16 September, it produced heavy rain across the southern part of the country and in Sicily. As much as 35mm (1.4in) of rain was reported in Reggio Calabria, more than the city's normal monthly rainfall.[128]
Ianos left four dead people and one missing, in addition to strong tides in Ionian islands such as Kefalonia, Zakynthos, Ithaca and Lefkada, and 120km/h (75mph; 65kn) winds at Karditsa which brought down trees and power lines, and caused landslides.[131][132]
Around 22 October 2021, an area of organized thunderstorms formed near the Balearic Islands, with the disturbance becoming more organized and developing an area of low pressure around 24 October.[133] The low started to form a low level center the next day and moved around the Tyrrhenian Sea, and around 28 October, the low became better organized, prompting forecast offices in Europe to name it.
Heavy rain from the cyclone and its precursor caused heavy rainfall and flooding in Tunisia, Algeria, Southern Italy, and Malta, killing seven people in total.[136][137][138][139] The storm caused over US$245 million (€219 million) in damages.[136]
On 5 November, the Spanish Meteorological Agency (AEMET) started tracking a low near the Balearic Islands and named it Blas.[140] An orange alert was issued for these islands, for coastal impacts and rain. The north of Catalonia was declared an Orange Zone, as strong winds blew inland from the Spanish Navarre and Aragon.[141]Météo-France also issued a yellow alert for Aude and Pyrénées-Orientales for wind, as well as Corsica for rain.[141] As the system stalled between Sardinia and the Balearic Islands on 8 November, AEMET predicted a strengthening trend for the next two days and maintained its alerts.[142] At 00:00 UTC on 11 November, the system came very close to the Balearic Islands again.[143][144] On 13 November, the storm developed a spiral structure similar to those of tropical cyclones,[145] while shedding its frontal structure.[146] After striking the islands again, the storm then slowly weakened while drifting back southeastward.[146] On 14 November, the cyclone turned northward, moving over Sardinia and Corsica, before curving back southwestward on 15 November and moving over Sardinia again, while restrengthening in the process.[147][148] On 16 November, Blas turned eastward once again, passing just south of Sardinia and moving towards Italy, before dissipating over the Tyrrhenian Sea on 18 November.[149][150][151][152]
On 6 November, gusts of 75km/h (47mph; 40kn) were recorded at Es Mercadal and 95km/h (59mph; 51kn) at the lighthouse of Capdepera in the Balearic Islands where waves of 8m (26ft) hit the coast.[153][154][141][155]Menorca was cut off from the world after the closure of the ports of Mahón and Ciutadella.[141][156] On 9 and 10 November, Blas brought high winds and heavy rain again to the Balearic Islands, causing at least 36 incidents, mostly flooding, landslides and blackouts. A crew member had to be rescued after his sailboat's mast broke, leaving the boat adrift 80km (50mi) west of Sóller.[157] On 6 November, a waterspout was reported in Melilla, a Spanish enclave on the coast of Morocco.[141] In France, gusts of 140km/h (87mph; 76kn) were recorded on 7 November at Cap Béar, as well as 111km/h (69mph; 60kn) in Leucate and 100km/h (62mph; 54kn) in Lézignan-Corbières.[158] The storm caused severe weather on the Algerian coast, with exceptional rainfall. On 9 November, a building collapsed in Algiers, following torrential rains on the city, causing the deaths of three people.[159] On 11 November, the heavy rain falling on Algiers caused another landslide to strike houses in the Raïs Hamidou neighborhood, causing the deaths of three other people.[160] From 8 to 11 November, convective bands associated with the storm caused 3 deaths in Sicily,[161] bringing the total death toll to nine people. Damage from the storm has not yet been assessed.
Storm Daniel was named by the Hellenic National Meteorological Service on 4 September and was expected to bring heavy rainfall and heavy winds in Greece, especially in Greece's Thessaly region. On 5 September, the city of Volos was flooded extensively. The village of Zagora recorded 754mm of rain in 24 hours, a record for Greece.[162] The total rainfall reached 1,096mm.[163] As of 10 September, sixteen people are confirmed to have died in Greece, seven people are confirmed dead in Turkey, and four people are confirmed to have lost their lives in Bulgaria.[164][165][166] Extensive flooding occurred in the plain of Thessaly, in Palamas, Karditsa and the city of Larisa and hundreds civilians were rescued.[167] The flood water covered a region of about 720 square kilometers.[168] In the Halkidiki region, several seaside villages such as Ierissos experienced damage due to the heavy wind. In the seaside village of Toroni in Halkidiki a canoeing woman got swept away by the wind but was later found. The torrential rainfall was a result of a cut-off low. Early on 9 September, the system showed signs of subtropical transition. Later on that same day, it developed a warm core while an ASCAT pass recorded sustained winds of 45 knots before making landfall near Benghazi, Libya. In Libya, the storm caused flooding in Marj, and the failure of two dams[169] in Derna, and the Jabal al Akhdar district, as well as Benghazi, Susa, and Misrata. The resultant flooding and heavy rain caused the deaths of at least 5,900 people in the country, making it, by a very wide margin, the deadliest Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone on record, prompting a state of emergency to be declared by Libyan authorities.[170]
Other tropical-like cyclones
Medicane Hannelore on 21 January 2023.
Numerous other Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones have occurred, but few have been as well-documented as the cyclones in 1969, 1982, 1983, 1995, 1996, 2006, 2011, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2020, 2021, and 2023. These less-known system and their dates are given below.
A study in 2000 revealed five notable and well-developed medicanes.[50] A follow-up study in 2013 revealed several additional storms with their formation days and also additional information on medicanes.[171] A third study, conducted in 2007, revealed additional storms with their formation days.[172] A fourth study from 2013 presented several other cyclones and their days of development.[46] A survey made by EUMETSAT resulted in many more cyclones.[173]
There have been 100 recognized tropical-like cyclones in the Mediterranean Sea between 1947 and 2021 from the databases of the Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, University of Athens, and METEOSAT.[6][5] By steady accrual of reported and recognized occurrences of tropical-like cyclones (medicanes), the number count reached at least 89 by 15 November 2021. Unlike most northern hemisphere cyclone seasons, Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone activity peaks between the months of September and January.
List of storms, by month
Month
Number of recorded storms in the Mediterranean Sea
January
10
February
5
March
5
April
2
May
2
June
1
July
1
August
5
September
19
October
18
November
10
December
13
Total
89
The numbers do not necessarily mean that all occurrences of medicanes have been fetched in particular before the end of the 1980s. With the development (and constant improvement) of satellite-based observations, the number count of clearly identified medicanes increased from the 1980s onward. There might be an additional impact from climate change in the frequency of the observed medicanes, but this is not deducible from the data.[citation needed]
List of storms, by decade
Decade
Number of recorded storms in the Mediterranean Sea
1940s
2
1950s
0
1960s
1
1970s
2
1980s
7
1990s
15
2000s
27
2010s
20
2020s
8
Deadly storms
The following is a list of all medicanes that caused deaths.
On a number of occasions, tropical-like storms similar to the tropical-like cyclones observed in the Mediterranean have formed in the Black Sea, including storms on 21 March 2002, 7–11 August 2002,[28] and 25–29 September 2005.[183] The 25–29 September 2005 cyclone is particularly well-documented and investigated.[184]
The 2001 Atlantic hurricane season was a fairly active Atlantic hurricane season that produced 17 tropical cyclones, 15 named storms, nine hurricanes, and four major hurricanes. The season officially lasted from June 1, 2001, to November 30, 2001, dates which by convention limit the period of each year when tropical cyclones tend to form in the Atlantic Ocean basin. The season began with Tropical Storm Allison on June 4, and ended with Hurricane Olga, which dissipated on December 6.
The 1960 Atlantic hurricane season was the least active season since 1952. The season officially began on June 15, and lasted until November 15. These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin. The first system, an unnamed storm, developed in the Bay of Campeche on June 22. It brought severe local flooding to southeastern Texas and was considered the worst disaster in some towns since a Hurricane in 1945. The unnamed storm moved across the United States for almost a week before dissipating on June 29. In July, Hurricane Abby resulted in minor damage in the Leeward Islands, before impacting a few Central American counties — the remnants of the storm would go on to form Hurricane Celeste in the East Pacific. Later that month, Tropical Storm Brenda caused flooding across much of the East Coast of the United States. The next storm, Hurricane Cleo, caused no known impact, despite its close proximity to land.
The 1969 Atlantic hurricane season was the most active Atlantic hurricane season since the 1933 season, and was the final year of the most recent positive Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) era. The hurricane season officially began on June 1, and lasted until November 30. Altogether, 12 tropical cyclones reached hurricane strength, the highest number on record at the time; a mark not surpassed until 2005. The season was above-average despite an El Niño, which typically suppresses activity in the Atlantic Ocean, while increasing tropical cyclone activity in the Pacific Ocean. Activity began with a tropical depression that caused extensive flooding in Cuba and Jamaica in early June. On July 25, Tropical Storm Anna developed, the first named storm of the season. Later in the season, Tropical Depression Twenty-Nine caused severe local flooding in the Florida Panhandle and southwestern Georgia in September.
The 1912 Atlantic hurricane season was an average hurricane season that featured the first recorded November major hurricane. There were eleven tropical cyclones, seven of which became tropical storms; four of those strengthened into hurricanes, and one reached major hurricane intensity. The season's first cyclone developed on April 4, while the final dissipated on November 21. The season's most intense and most devastating tropical cyclone was the final storm, known as the Jamaica hurricane. It produced heavy rainfall on Jamaica, leading to at least 100 fatalities and about $1.5 million (1912 USD) in damage. The storm was also blamed for five deaths in Cuba.
Traditionally, areas of tropical cyclone formation are divided into seven basins. These include the north Atlantic Ocean, the eastern and western parts of the northern Pacific Ocean, the southwestern Pacific, the southwestern and southeastern Indian Oceans, and the northern Indian Ocean. The western Pacific is the most active and the north Indian the least active. An average of 86 tropical cyclones of tropical storm intensity form annually worldwide, with 47 reaching hurricane/typhoon strength, and 20 becoming intense tropical cyclones, super typhoons, or major hurricanes.
The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season was the second in a group of three very active Atlantic hurricane seasons, each with 19 named storms, tied with 1887, 1995, 2010, and 2012. The above-average activity was mostly due to a La Niña that persisted during the previous year. Of the season's 19 tropical storms, only seven strengthened into hurricanes, and four of those became major hurricanes: Irene, Katia, Ophelia, and Rina. The season officially began on June 1 and ended on November 30, dates which conventionally delimit the period during each year in which most tropical cyclones develop in the Atlantic Ocean. However, the first tropical storm of the season, Arlene, did not develop until nearly a month later. The final system, Tropical Storm Sean, dissipated over the open Atlantic on November 11.
The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season was a well below-average hurricane season in terms of named storms while the number of hurricanes and major hurricanes, were overall average. It produced nine tropical cyclones, eight of which became named storms; six storms became hurricanes and two intensified further into major hurricanes. The season officially began on June 1, and ended on November 30. These dates historically describe the period each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin. The first storm of the season, Arthur, developed on July 1, while the final storm, Hanna, dissipated on October 28, about a month prior to the end of the season.
The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season was a devastating and extremely active Atlantic hurricane season that became the costliest on record, with a damage total of at least $294.92 billion (USD). The season featured 17 named storms, 10 hurricanes, and 6 major hurricanes. Most of the season's damage was due to hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria. Another notable hurricane, Nate, was the worst natural disaster in Costa Rican history. These four storm names were retired following the season due to the number of deaths and amount of damage they caused. Collectively, the tropical cyclones were responsible for at least 3,364 deaths. The season also had the highest accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) since 2005 with an approximate index of 224 units, with a record three hurricanes each generating an ACE of over 40: Irma, Jose, and Maria. This season featured two Category 5 hurricanes, and the only season other than 2007 with two hurricanes making landfall at that intensity. The season's ten hurricanes occurred one after the other, the greatest number of consecutive hurricanes in the satellite era, and tied for the highest number of consecutive hurricanes ever observed in the Atlantic basin.
The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season was the third in a consecutive series of above-average and damaging Atlantic hurricane seasons, featuring 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes, which caused a total of over $50 billion in damages and at least 172 deaths. More than 98% of the total damage was caused by two hurricanes. The season officially began on June 1, 2018, and ended on November 30, 2018. These dates historically describe the period in each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin and are adopted by convention. However, subtropical or tropical cyclogenesis is possible at any time of the year, as demonstrated by the formation of Tropical Storm Alberto on May 25, making this the fourth consecutive year in which a storm developed before the official start of the season. The season concluded with Oscar transitioning into an extratropical cyclone on October 31, almost a month before the official end.
Tropical Storm Rolf, also known as Tropical Storm 01M, was an unusual Mediterranean tropical storm that brought flooding to Italy, France, Spain, and Switzerland in November 2011. Rolf originated from an extratropical system near western France on 4 November. Despite the generally unfavorable conditions in the Mediterranean Sea, Rolf transitioned into a subtropical depression on 7 November, before becoming a tropical storm later that day. On 8 November, Rolf reached its peak intensity, with 1-minute sustained winds peaking at 85 km/h (53 mph) and a minimum central pressure of 991 mb (29.3 inHg). During the next day, the storm made landfall on the island of Île du Levant, in France, and soon afterward, near Hyères in southeastern France. Following its second landfall, Rolf quickly weakened and dissipated on 10 November. Rolf was the first tropical cyclone ever to be officially monitored by the NOAA in the Mediterranean Sea.
Cyclone Qendresa, also known as Medicane Qendresa, was one of the most intense Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones on record, which struck Malta and the Italian island of Sicily in 2014. The storm formed on 5 November and rapidly intensified two days later, reaching peak intensity on 7 November, due to a cold-core low aloft. Qendresa directly hit Malta in the afternoon and then crossed the eastern coast of Sicily on 8 November. Later, the cyclone weakened significantly and dissipated over Crete on 11 November. Academic sources indicate that Qendresa transitioned into a subtropical cyclone, prior to reaching peak intensity. Qendresa caused three fatalities, and at least $250 million in damages in Italy.
Cyclone Julia brought heavy flooding and hurricane conditions to parts of Europe, the Mediterranean region, and North Africa in February 2012. The second tropical or subtropical cyclone, second named storm, and the strongest storm of the 2011–12 Mediterranean hurricane season, Julia originated from an extratropical system that split off from its parent storm, in the western Mediterranean Sea on February 2. Despite the unfavorable conditions in the Mediterranean Sea, Julia strengthened into a powerful subtropical cyclone, with winds peaking at 61 mph (98 km/h), and a minimum pressure of 982 mbar (29.0 inHg) on February 6. On February 7, the storm made landfall on the Peloponnesian Peninsula, and eventually dissipated over Turkey. Cyclone Julia caused at least $6.4 million in damages, and resulted in at least 12 deaths. The storm also worsened the effects of the Early 2012 European cold wave across Europe and North Africa.
Cyclone Numa, also known as Medicane Numa, was a Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone with the properties of a subtropical cyclone. Numa formed on 11 November 2017 west of the British Isles, out of the extratropical remnants of Tropical Storm Rina, the seventeenth named storm of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season. Subsequently, on 17 November, Numa acquired subtropical characteristics before reaching peak intensity on 18 November, becoming a rare "medicane". After making landfall in Greece on 18 November, Numa rapidly weakened, and was later absorbed into another extratropical storm on 20 November. The flooding triggered by Numa became the worst weather event Greece had experienced since 1977, and the storm caused an estimated $100 million in damages in Europe.
The 2019 Pacific hurricane season was an above average season which produced nineteen named storms, most of which were rather weak and short-lived. Only seven hurricanes formed, the fewest since 2010. The season officially began on May 15 in the East Pacific Ocean, and on June 1 in the Central Pacific; they both ended on November 30. These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Pacific basin. This season was one of the latest-starting Pacific hurricane seasons on record, with the first tropical cyclone, Hurricane Alvin, forming on June 25. The final system, Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E, dissipated on November 18.
Cyclone Ianos, also known as Medicane Ianos, was a rare medicane that impacted the eastern Mediterranean on 17 and 18 September 2020, especially Greece. Ianos developed from an area of low pressure over the Gulf of Sidra that quickly began tropical cyclogenesis while moving over warm waters. After receiving various names from different meteorological centers, the storm, dubbed Ianos by the METEO unit of the National Observatory of Athens, rapidly intensified while moving northeastward. After scraping Italy, the storm went on to strike Malta and Crete with tropical storm-force winds. Despite land interaction, the small cyclone reached its peak intensity of 159 km/h (99 mph) with wind gusts up to 195 km/h (121 mph) on 18 September, equivalent to a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir–Simpson scale, immediately before making landfall in southwestern Greece. After landfall, Ianos turned back out to sea and moved south-southeastward, before dissipating on 21 September.
Cyclone Zorbas, or Medicane Zorbas, was the first officially documented Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone, or medicane, since Cyclone Numa in 2017. Zorbas originated as an extratropical cyclone in the eastern Mediterranean Sea. Warm sea surface temperatures allowed the system to quickly deepen and transition into a tropical cyclone. Zorbas intensified as it headed northward towards Greece, finally reaching its peak intensity with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h (75 mph) and a minimum central pressure of 987 mbar (29.15 inHg) on September 29.
During 1996, tropical cyclones formed within seven different tropical cyclone basins, located within various parts of the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans. During the year, a total of 139 tropical cyclones formed in bodies of water known as tropical cyclone basins. 90 of them were named by various weather agencies when they attained maximum sustained winds of 35 knots. The strongest tropical cyclone of the year was Cyclone Daniella, peaking with a pressure of 915 hPa (27.02 inHg) in the open waters of the Indian Ocean. Hurricane Fran and Typhoon Herb tie for the costliest storm of the year, both with a damage cost of $5 billion. The deadliest tropical cyclone of the year was the 1996 Andhra Pradesh cyclone, which was blamed for over 1,000 fatalities as it directly affected the state of Andhra Pradesh in India. Five Category 5 tropical cyclones were formed in 1996. The accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index for the 1996, as calculated by Colorado State University was 960 units.
Cyclone Apollo, also known as Medicane Nearchus, was a powerful Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone that affected many countries on the Mediterranean coast, especially Italy, in 2021. The storm killed 7 people total, due to flooding from the cyclone, in the countries of Tunisia, Algeria, Malta, and Italy, where the worst of the effects have been felt, especially on the island of Sicily. Damage estimates by the Aon Benfield were set at more than $245 million.
1 2 Lagouvardos, K.; Karagiannidis, A.; Dafis, S.; Kalimeris, A.; Kotroni, V. (28 September 2021). "Ianos - A hurricane in the Mediterranean". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 102 (9). American Meteorological Society: E1621–E1636. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0274.1 (inactive 2 December 2024). S2CID244187015.{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: DOI inactive as of December 2024 (link)
1 2 3 "2011 Tropical Bulletin Archive". National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service. 30 December 2011. Archived from the original on 19 March 2021. Retrieved 23 February 2014.
↑ Anthony Brunain (11 November 2011). "Tempête Rolf novembre 2011"[Storm Rolf November 2011]. Meteo06.fr (in French). Meteo 06. Archived from the original on 29 November 2020. Retrieved 26 December 2020.
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