2014 Japanese general election

2014 Japanese general election

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All 475 seats in the House of Representatives 238 seats needed for a majority
Turnout	52.65% (6.67pp; Const. votes) 52.65% (6.66pp; PR votes)
First party Second party Third party   Leader Shinzō Abe Banri Kaieda Toru Hashimoto Kenji Eda Party LDP Democratic Innovation Last election 294 seats 57 seats Did not exist Seats won 291 73 41 Seat change 3 16 New Constituency vote 25,461,449 11,916,849 4,319,646  % and swing 48.10% (5.09pp) 22.51% (0.30pp) 8.16% (New) Regional vote 17,658,916 9,775,991 8,382,699  % and swing 33.11% (5.49pp) 18.33% (2.84pp) 15.72% (New)   Fourth party Fifth party   Leader Natsuo Yamaguchi Kazuo Shii Party Komeito JCP Last election 31 seats 8 seats Seats won 35 21 Seat change 4 13 Constituency vote 765,390 7,040,170  % and swing 1.45% (0.04pp) 13.30% (5.42pp) Regional vote 7,314,236 6,062,962  % and swing 13.71% (1.81pp) 11.37% (5.20pp)
districts and PR districts, shaded according to winners' vote strength
Prime Minister before election Shinzō Abe LDP Elected Prime Minister Shinzō Abe LDP

General elections were held in Japan on 14 December 2014. Voting took place in all Representatives constituencies of Japan including proportional blocks to elect the members of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the National Diet of Japan. As the cabinet resigns in the first post-election Diet session after a general House of Representatives election (Constitution, Article 70), the lower house election also led to a new election of the prime minister in the Diet, won by incumbent Shinzō Abe, and the appointment of a new cabinet (with some ministers re-appointed). The voter turnout in this election remains the lowest in Japanese history.

Background

In 2012, the Democratic Party government under Yoshihiko Noda decided to raise the Japanese consumption tax. This unpopular move allowed the Liberal Democratic Party under Shinzo Abe to regain control of the Japanese government in the 2012 Japanese general election. Abe proceeded to implement a series of economic programs known as "Abenomics" in a bid to stimulate the economy. Despite these programs, Japan entered a technical recession in mid-2014, which Abe blamed on the consumption tax hike, even though many members of the LDP supported the hike. Abe called a snap election on November 18, in part for the purpose of winning LDP backing to postpone the hike and pursue the Abenomics package. ^{[1] [2]}

The LDP government was widely expected to win the election in a landslide, and many observers viewed the snap election as a mechanism for Abe to entrench his government at a time of relative popularity. ^[3]

Under 2013 changes to the electoral law designed to reduce malapportionment, district boundaries in 17 prefectures were redrawn and five districts are eliminated without replacement (one each in Fukui, Yamanashi, Tokushima, Kōchi and Saga). The number of first-past-the-post seats is reduced to 295, the total number of seats decreases to 475. ^[4]

Opinion polls

Parties' approval ratings from 2013 to 2014

(Source: NHK)

Date	LDP	DPJ	JRP	PFG	NKP	YP	PLP	JCP	SDP	GW	NRP	UP	JIP	Oth.	Und.	No Answer	Lead
5–7 December	38.1%	11.7%		0.1%	5.9%		0.3%	4.3%	0.9%		0.0%		3.7%	0.1%	26.3%	8.5%	11.8%
7–9 November	36.6%	7.9%		0.2%	2.2%	0.0%	0.0%	3.5%	0.6%				1.2%	0.1%	40.0%	7.7%	3.4%
11–13 October	40.2%	5.6%		0.1%	4.1%	0.5%	0.1%	3.3%	0.9%				1.4%	0.1%	35.0%	8.8%	5.2%
5–7 September	40.4%	5.4%	0.7%	0.1%	4.3%	0.0%	0.2%	3.3%	0.5%			0.1%		0.4%	36.9%	7.8%	3.5%
8–10 August	36.7%	6.4%	1.0%	0.3%	3.0%	0.2%	0.3%	3.2%	0.7%			0.0%		0.0%	39.4%	8.8%	2.7%
11–13 July	34.3%	4.8%	1.7%		3.6%	0.5%	0.3%	3.4%	0.9%			0.1%		0.3%	42.5%	7.6%	8.2%
6–8 June	36.9%	5.1%	1.1%		4.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.8%	0.6%			0.0%		0.1%	42.4%	6.7%	5.5%
9–11 May	41.4%	5.6%	1.1%		3.7%	0.2%	0.3%	2.4%	0.9%			0.2%		0.1%	37.2%	6.9%	4.2%
11–13 April	38.1%	7.4%	1.3%		3.4%	0.9%	0.2%	3.6%	0.6%			0.1%		0.2%	37.2%	5.2%	0.9%
7–9 March	38.7%	6.5%	1.1%		2.2%	0.8%	0.1%	3.3%	0.8%			0.4%		0.1%	40.0%	5.2%	1.3%
7–9 February	36.2%	5.8%	1.3%		3.9%	1.1%	0.3%	3.3%	1.4%			0.5%		0.2%	41.0%	5.2%	4.8%
11–13 January	40.4%	5.8%	1.6%		2.8%	0.8%	0.1%	1.6%	0.7%			0.1%		0.3%	40.3%	5.5%	0.1%
2014
6–8 December	36.7%	7.8%	2.1%		2.8%	1.2%	0.2%	3.1%	0.6%					0.0%	38.7%	6.8%	2.0%
8–10 November	41.9%	5.2%	1.8%		4.4%	1.9%	0.3%	3.3%	0.4%					0.3%	35.1%	5.6%	6.8%
12–14 October	36.1%	5.2%	2.1%		3.8%	1.2%	0.2%	4.0%	0.5%					0.3%	41.8%	4.9%	5.7%
6–8 September	40.3%	5.5%	2.2%		4.4%	2.1%	0.0%	3.2%	0.7%					0.2%	34.6%	6.8%	5.7%
9–11 August	37.9%	7.3%	4.6%		4.6%	3.2%	0.2%	3.5%	0.8%					0.9%	30.8%	6.2%	7.1%
5–7 July	42.5%	8.0%	2.7%		5.3%	3.1%	0.5%	3.7%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%			0.3%	24.5%	8.4%	18.0%
7–9 June	41.7%	5.8%	1.5%		5.1%	1.5%	0.1%	2.2%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%			0.2%	34.6%	7.0%	7.1%
10–12 May	43.4%	5.3%	2.4%		3.7%	2.3%	0.3%	2.0%	1.1%	0.0%	0.0%			0.1%	33.3%	6.1%	10.1%
5–7 April	43.6%	6.1%	2.1%		3.7%	1.3%	0.4%	2.0%	0.7%	0.0%	0.0%			0.1%	34.5%	5.6%	9.1%
8–10 March	40.1%	7.0%	3.9%		4.4%	3.1%	0.3%	2.1%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%			0.1%	31.8%	6.6%	8.3%
10–12 February	40.4%	7.0%	5.3%		3.1%	2.6%	0.3%	2.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%			0.3%	31.7%	6.3%	8.7%
12–14 January	37.8%	7.6%	6.5%		4.0%	3.7%	0.5%	2.7%	0.8%	0.0%	0.0%			0.3%	30.8%	5.4%	7.0%
2013

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

Approval (blue) and Disapproval (red) Ratings for Second and Third Abe Cabinet

Date	PM	Approval	Disapproval
5–7 December	Shinzo Abe	47%	38%
7–9 November	Shinzo Abe	44%	38%
11–13 October	Shinzo Abe	52%	34%
5–7 September	Shinzo Abe	58%	28%
8–10 August	Shinzo Abe	51%	33%
11–13 July	Shinzo Abe	47%	38%
6–8 June	Shinzo Abe	52%	32%
9–11 May	Shinzo Abe	56%	29%
11–13 April	Shinzo Abe	52%	31%
7–9 March	Shinzo Abe	51%	30%
7–9 February	Shinzo Abe	52%	33%
11–13 January	Shinzo Abe	54%	31%
2014
21–22 December [5]	Shinzo Abe	49%	34%
6–8 December	Shinzo Abe	50%	35%
8–10 November	Shinzo Abe	60%	25%
12–14 October	Shinzo Abe	58%	26%
6–8 September	Shinzo Abe	59%	23%
9–11 August	Shinzo Abe	57%	29%
5–7 July	Shinzo Abe	57%	25%
7–9 June	Shinzo Abe	62%	20%
10–12 May	Shinzo Abe	65%	18%
5–7 April	Shinzo Abe	66%	19%
23–24 March [6]	Shinzo Abe	69%	6%
9–10 March [7]	Shinzo Abe	76%	22%
8–10 March	Shinzo Abe	66%	18%
10–12 February	Shinzo Abe	64%	20%
8–10 February [8]	Shinzo Abe	71%	18%
12–14 January	Shinzo Abe	64%	22%
11–13 January [8]	Shinzo Abe	68%	24%
2013

Results

Main articles: Results of the 2014 Japanese general election and List of members of the House of Representatives of Japan, 2014–2017

Constituency Cartogram

The LDP lost a small number of seats but slightly enlarged its majority coalition with Komeito. Turnout was a record low, and many voters viewed the election as a waste of time and money. DPJ president Banri Kaieda lost his seat in Tokyo while the Japanese Communist Party doubled in strength. ^{[9] [10]} The right-leaning Japan Innovation Party and Party for Future Generations lost seats. ^[11]

Party		Proportional			Constituency			Total seats	+/–
		Votes	%	Seats	Votes	%	Seats
	Liberal Democratic Party	17,658,916	33.11	68	25,461,449	48.10	223	291	–3
	Democratic Party of Japan	9,775,991	18.33	35	11,916,849	22.51	38	73	+16
	Japan Innovation Party	8,382,699	15.72	30	4,319,646	8.16	11	41	–13
	Komeito	7,314,236	13.71	26	765,390	1.45	9	35	+4
	Japanese Communist Party	6,062,962	11.37	20	7,040,170	13.30	1	21	+13
	Party for Future Generations	1,414,919	2.65	0	947,396	1.79	2	2	New
	Social Democratic Party	1,314,441	2.46	1	419,347	0.79	1	2	0
	People's Life Party	1,028,721	1.93	0	514,575	0.97	2	2	–7
	Happiness Realization Party	260,111	0.49	0				0	0
	Shiji Seitō Nashi	104,854	0.20	0				0	New
	New Renaissance Party	16,597	0.03	0				0	0
	Genzei Nippon				32,759	0.06	0	0	New
	Future Party				4,883	0.01	0	0	New
	Katsuko Inumaru and Republican Party				4,668	0.01	0	0	0
	World Economic Community Party				1,416	0.00	0	0	0
	Independents				1,511,242	2.85	8	8	+3
Total		53,334,447	100.00	180	52,939,790	100.00	295	475	–5
Valid votes		53,334,447	97.45		52,939,790	96.71
Invalid/blank votes		1,398,283	2.55		1,801,562	3.29
Total votes		54,732,730	100.00		54,741,352	100.00
Registered voters/turnout		103,962,785	52.65		103,962,784	52.65
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, CLEA

By prefecture

Prefecture	Total seats	Seats won
		LDP	DPJ	JIP	Komeito	PFG	PLP	JCP	SDP	Ind.
Aichi	15	8	6	1
Akita	3	3
Aomori	4	4
Chiba	13	11	2
Ehime	4	4
Fukui	2	2
Fukuoka	11	11
Fukushima	5	3	1	1
Gifu	5	5
Gunma	5	5
Hiroshima	7	6								1
Hokkaido	12	8	3		1
Hyōgo	12	7	1	1	2					1
Ibaraki	7	5	1							1
Ishikawa	3	3
Iwate	4	1	2				1
Kagawa	3	2	1
Kagoshima	5	4								1
Kanagawa	18	13	2	1	1					1
Kōchi	2	2
Kumamoto	5	4				1
Kyoto	6	4	2
Mie	5	3	2
Miyagi	6	5	1
Miyazaki	3	3
Nagano	5	3	1	1
Nagasaki	4	4
Nara	4	3	1
Niigata	6	5	1
Ōita	3	2	1
Okayama	5	4				1
Okinawa	4						1	1	1	1
Osaka	19	9	1	5	4
Saga	2	1	1
Saitama	15	12	2							1
Shiga	4	4
Shimane	2	2
Shizuoka	8	6	2
Tochigi	5	4	1
Tokushima	2	2
Tokyo	25	22	1	1	1
Tottori	2	2
Toyama	3	3
Wakayama	3	2	1
Yamagata	3	3
Yamaguchi	4	4
Yamanashi	2		1							1
Total	295	223	38	11	9	2	2	1	1	8

By PR block

PR block	Total seats	Seats won
		LDP	DPJ	JIP	Komeito	JCP	SDP
Chūgoku	11	5	2	1	2	1
Hokkaido	8	3	2	1	1	1
Hokuriku–Shinetsu	11	5	3	1	1	1
Kinki	29	9	4	8	4	4
Kyushu	21	8	3	3	4	2	1
Northern Kanto	20	8	4	3	3	2
Shikoku	6	3	1	1	1
Southern Kanto	22	8	4	4	3	3
Tohoku	14	5	4	2	2	1
Tokai	21	8	5	3	3	2
Tokyo	17	6	3	3	2	3
Total	180	68	35	30	26	20	1

Notable losses

The most high-profile LDP candidate to lose re-election is Agriculture Minister Koya Nishikawa, who lost by 199 votes (0.2%) to former Governor of Tochigi Akio Fukuda. ^[12] He was questioned in October after allegedly receiving financial support from a fraudulent company. ^[13]

Amongst the DPJ members to lose their seats were party leader Banri Kaieda. ^[14] Party for Future Generations leader Shintaro Ishihara was also unsuccessful in his attempt to win a seat after receiving a low position on his party's representative ballot. ^[14]

Former leader of the now-dissolved Your Party and six-term representative for Tochigi-3rd district Yoshimi Watanabe was also defeated. ^[15]

The JCP gained its first single-seat constituency seat since the 1996 election. Amidst a growing anti-base movement in Okinawa, JCP candidate Seiken Akamine unseated LDP incumbent Kōnosuke Kokuba in a night marked with a nationwide JCP surge. ^[16]

Aftermath

In November 2015 the Grand Bench of the Supreme Court ruled that the inequality in vote weight due to malapportionment was still in an unconstitutional state (iken jōtai); however, as in previous such rulings, it dismissed the demand to invalidate the election. ^{[17] [18]}

References

1. Wakatabe, Masazumi. "Election With A Cause: Why Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe Must Call General Election Now". Forbes . Retrieved 2016-07-14.
2. McCurry, Justin (2014-11-18). "Japan calls snap election". the Guardian. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
3. Boyd, John. "Japan's unwanted election: Why now?". www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
4. Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications: 衆議院小選挙区の区割りの改定等について
5. "Approval rating for Abe Cabinet falls below 50% for 1st time since inauguration: Mainichi poll (in English)". Mainichi Shimbun. 24 December 2013. Archived from the original on 6 January 2014. Retrieved 5 January 2014.
6. "【産経・ＦＮＮ合同世論調査】安倍内閣支持６９・６％に上昇 鳩山内閣発足時を超える". MSN産経ニュース. Archived from the original on 2013-03-03. Retrieved 2013-03-24.
7. TBS/JNN
8. 内閣支持率７１％、２回連続上昇...読売世論調査
9. "Abe coalition secures big Japan election win with record low turnout". Reuters. 2014-12-15. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
10. "Japan election: Voters back Shinzo Abe as PM wins new term - BBC News". BBC News. 14 December 2014. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
11. "Romping home". The Economist. ISSN   0013-0613 . Retrieved 2016-07-14.
12. NHK(Japan Broadcasting Corporation). "NHK2014衆院選".
13. "Sukyandaru: Shinzo Abe's plan to raise the profile of women in his cabinet is in tatters". The Economist . 25 October 2014.
14. "Abe tightens grip on power as ruling coalition wins 325 seats in Lower House election". The Japan Times. 15 December 2014.
15. "Ex-Your Party leader Watanabe, ex-Tokyo Gov. Ishihara to lose seats". mainichi.jp. Archived from the original on 2014-12-15.
16. Aoki, Mizuho (15 December 2014). "Resurgent JCP has night to remember". Japan Times . Retrieved 11 December 2017.
17. 14年衆院選、１票の格差は「違憲状態」　最高裁大法廷 Nihon Keizai Shimbun, 25 November 2015
18. Supreme Court says December election ‘in state of unconstitutionality,’ but won't nullify results The Japan Times, 25 November 2015

External links

Media related to Japanese general election, 2014 at Wikimedia Commons