2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election

Last updated

2020 Conservative leadership election
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Opinion polls
Turnout65.01%
 
Erin O'Toole smile (cropped).jpg
Peter Mackay 110127-D-7203C-008 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Erin O'Toole Peter MacKay
Third round points19,271.74
(57.02%)		14,528.26
(42.98%)
Second round points11,903.69
(35.22%)		11,756.01
(34.78%)
First round points10,681.40
(31.60%)		11,328.55
(33.52%)
 
LeslynLewis-HEADSHOT1-lg.jpg
Derek Sloan Image (cropped).jpg
Candidate Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan
Third round pointsEliminatedEliminated
Second round points10,140.30
(30.00%)		Eliminated
First round points6,925.38
(20.49%)		4,864.67
(14.39%)
2020 Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Election, round 1.svg
2020 Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Election, round 2.svg
2020 Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Election, round 3.svg
Previous leader

Andrew Scheer

Elected leader

Erin O'Toole

2020 Conservative leadership election
Date23 August 2020
Convention Shaw Centre, Ottawa [1]
Resigning leader Andrew Scheer
Won by Erin O'Toole
Ballots175,192
Candidates4
Entrance Fee$300,000 (of which $100,000 is a refundable compliance deposit) [2]
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The 2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election was a leadership election held to elect a successor to Andrew Scheer, who in December 2019 announced his pending resignation as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada. [3] The election was conducted by postal ballot from mid-July to 21 August 2020, [4] with the ballots processed and results announced on 23–24 August 2020. [5] The $300,000 entrance fee made it the most expensive leadership race in the history of Canadian politics. [6]

Contents

Four candidates were running for the position: member of parliament and former veterans affairs minister Erin O'Toole, co-founder of the Conservative Party Peter MacKay, Toronto lawyer Leslyn Lewis and member of parliament Derek Sloan.

The election was originally scheduled for 27 June 2020, but on March 26, the party suspended the race due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic crisis in Canada. [7] Party officials said they would revisit their decision on May 1. [7] On April 29, it was announced that the race would proceed by postal ballot with the election itself being rescheduled from June to August. To be counted, ballots needed to be completed and received by 21 August 2020 at 5:00 p.m. EDT. [8] [4] The leadership election results were expected to be announced on 23 August, [9] but the first round results were not announced until the early morning on 24 August, due to machine malfunctions causing significant delays. MacKay led the first ballot with 33.52 per cent by a narrow margin of around 2 per cent. O'Toole subsequently led on the second ballot and won on the third ballot, becoming the new leader of the Conservative Party.

Campaign

Background

On 21 October 2019, the 2019 Canadian federal election was held. The Conservatives remained in opposition against a minority Liberal government. Under the Conservative Party's constitution, an election loss results in a leadership review at the next party convention. The following day, Scheer announced his intention to remain leader of the party. [10]

As early as 23 October, there were reports that party members were already privately voicing dissatisfaction with Scheer's leadership, and suggestions that he could face a leadership challenge at the next party convention in April. [11] By the end of the month, Conservative figures were making their criticism public, and an online petition was launched that called for Scheer to resign. [12] Former MP and cabinet minister Peter MacKay described the election as "like having a breakaway on an open net and missing the net"; he attributed the loss to Scheer's socially conservative views, which he said "hung around [his] neck like a stinking albatross" and distracted from other policies and issues. MacKay's comments additionally fuelled speculation that he was vying for the leadership. [13]

On 6 November, Scheer met with the Conservative caucus for the first time since the election, where they discussed the federal election and why the party failed to win. Scheer attributed the loss not to policy, but poor communication. During the meeting, the caucus voted against adopting the provisions of the Reform Act; as adopting them would have allowed the caucus to begin the process of ousting Scheer, his leadership was seen as safe until the April convention. [14] However, criticism did not abate; a report in the Toronto Star cited calls for Scheer's resignation from within the business community, energy sector and several high-profile party insiders. [15]

On 12 December, Scheer announced that he was stepping down as leader, pending the election of his successor. He also said he would stay on as MP for Regina—Qu'Appelle "for the near future". [16] The leadership convention was scheduled for 27 June 2020. [17]

Impact of the coronavirus pandemic

The on-going COVID-19 pandemic affected the timing of the leadership election. On 12 March, Peter MacKay, Erin O'Toole, Rick Peterson and Leslyn Lewis suspended all public campaign events, while Marilyn Gladu "assess[ed] events and activities on a daily and event-by-event basis", due to public health guidelines. [18] The next day, 13 March, Gladu, Rudy Husny and Rick Peterson called for either the race to be postponed or for entry deadlines to be pushed back. [19] On 19 March, Husny dropped out, citing an unwillingness to fundraise during a public health emergency. [20] Peterson followed on 20 March, criticizing the organizing committee's unwillingness to move the deadlines as unfair. [21]

On 26 March, the Leadership Election Organizing Committee (LEOC) postponed the race, as well as cancelling debates planned for April and pushing back the membership deadline to 15 May. The LEOC did not set a new date, and said they would revisit the decision on 1 May. [7] On 29 April, the LEOC announced the resumption of the contest, with the vote taking place entirely by mail-in ballot and without a convention. The ballot must be completed and received by 21 August. [4] No definitive date was set for when the results would be announced, but the LEOC clarified that the results would be announced "as soon as those ballots can be properly processed and examined by scrutineers while respecting any health guidelines in place at that time." [22]

Allegations of hacking

On 19 June, Erin O'Toole accused MacKay's campaign of theft of confidential campaign data and strategy including Zoom conference videos after discovering that their "systems were hacked earlier this week". [23] Later that day, O'Toole filed a formal complaint and requested that the RCMP, OPP, and Toronto Police Service investigate Peter MacKay's campaign and his senior campaign staff member Jamie Lall. [24]

On 20 June, MacKay's campaign dismissed the allegations and called them a "desperate, last ditch strategy" and "mildly amusing." [25] Lall publicly denied the allegations in a post on his personal Twitter account. [26]

On 22 June, the National Post reported that the O'Toole campaign received a confession letter from MP staff member implicating Lall and describing him as a "senior regional adviser to the Peter MacKay campaign." [27] Later in the day, the RCMP released a statement saying they have begun an investigation into O'Toole's allegations against the MacKay campaign, while Lall stated that he is "aggressively pursuing" legal action against the O'Toole campaign. [28] MacKay spokesperson Chisholm Pothier told CBC News Tuesday that the O'Toole team sent its confidential passwords and logins to more than 300 MPs and their political staff members — something Pothier said was done "negligently and with no reasonable expectation of privacy." [29] In response, O'Toole campaign manager Fred DeLorey tweeted, "this is a willful attempt at deception. There is a big diff between sending invitees a code for specific meetings and someone breaking into the private admin and stealing all of the files. The former is standard operations, the latter is a crime. That is what is being investigated." [30]

On 24 June, an ex-staff member to MP Greg McLean admitted to trying to leak Erin O'Toole's confidential video records, but says the MacKay campaign turned him down, according to Toronto Star's Alex Boutilier and Kieran Leavitt. [31] MP McLean later tweeted, "sadly, this is completely inconsistent with what was told to me and senior O'Toole officials by this young man. I know not to trust this. The police investigation will determine the truth" [32] Erin O'Toole Campaign staff member Anthony Koch also tweeted, "how do you explain the Calgary and midtown Toronto IP addresses that accessed the zoom admin account illegally multiple times over the course of a week and downloaded over 140 unique videos?" [33]

Timeline

2019

2020

Full results

Results by round [50]
Candidate1st round2nd round3rd round
Votes cast%Points allocated%Votes cast%Points allocated%Votes cast%Points allocated%
Erin O'Toole (cropped).jpg Erin O'Toole 51,25829.39%10,681.4031.60%56,90733.20%11,903.6935.22%90,63558.86%19,271.7457.02%
Peter MacKay crop (cropped).JPG Peter MacKay 52,85130.30%11,328.5533.52%54,16531.60%11,756.0134.78%63,35641.14%14,528.2642.98%
LeslynLewis-HEADSHOT1-lg.jpg Leslyn Lewis 43,01724.67%6,925.3820.49%60,31635.20%10,140.3030.00%Eliminated
Derek Sloan Image.jpg Derek Sloan 27,27815.64%4,864.6714.39%Eliminated
Total174,404100%33,800100%171,388100%33,800100%153,991100%33,800100%
Analysis of transferred votes, ranked in order of 1st preference votes
CandidateMaximum
round		Maximum
votes		Share in
maximum
round		Maximum votes
First round votesTransfer votes
Peter MacKay363,35641.14%
​​
Erin O'Toole390,63558.86%
​​
Leslyn Lewis260,31635.20%
​​
Derek Sloan127,27815.64%
​​
Eligible votes153,99188.3%
Exhausted votes2041311.7%
​​
First round (votes cast)
MacKay
 
30.30%
O'Toole
 
29.39%
Lewis
 
24.67%
Sloan
 
15.64%
First round (points allocated)
MacKay
 
33.52%
O'Toole
 
31.60%
Lewis
 
20.49%
Sloan
 
14.39%
Second round (votes cast)
Lewis
 
35.20%
O'Toole
 
33.20%
MacKay
 
31.60%
Second round (points allocated)
O'Toole
 
35.22%
MacKay
 
34.78%
Lewis
 
30.00%
Third round (votes cast)
O'Toole
 
58.86%
MacKay
 
41.14%
Third round (points allocated)
O'Toole
 
57.02%
MacKay
 
42.98%

Provincial summary

2020 Conservative Party of Canada Leadership election results by province. CPCLeadership2020Province.png
2020 Conservative Party of Canada Leadership election results by province.
First round results
ProvincePeter MackayErin O'TooleLeslyn LewisDerek Sloan
Points%Points%Points%Points%
Alberta82624.30%1,08431.89%95728.16%53215.65%
British Columbia1,28130.50%1,25529.88%1,04724.93%61714.69%
Manitoba41429.57%37326.64%36025.71%25318.07%
New Brunswick53353.30%15315.30%20420.40%11011.00%
Newfoundland and Labrador28240.23%24034.24%11816.83%618.70%
Nova Scotia71064.55%14212.91%16014.55%888.00%
Ontario4,05633.52%3,41428.21%2,55721.13%2,07317.13%
Prince Edward Island20651.50%5513.75%9624.00%4310.75%
Quebec2,68534.42%3,53245.28%78110.01%80210.28%
Saskatchewan22416.01%36926.38%55439.60%25218.01%
Territories11137.00%6521.67%9030.00%3411.33%
Second round results
ProvincePeter MackayErin O'TooleLeslyn Lewis
Points%Points%Points%
Alberta86625.46%1,22936.14%1,30638.40%
British Columbia1,32931.65%1,41333.65%1,45734.70%
Manitoba43431.00%42930.64%53738.36%
New Brunswick54654.58%17717.73%27727.68%
Newfoundland and Labrador28841.21%25836.85%15421.95%
Nova Scotia72365.70%16114.59%21719.71%
Ontario424635.09%390732.23%394732.62%
Prince Edward Island20851.93%6516.37%12731.70%
Quebec276535.44%377148.34%126516.22%
Saskatchewan23716.93%42130.07%74253.00%
Territories11437.94%7324.45%11337.61%
Third round results
ProvincePeter MackayErin O'Toole
Points%Points%
Alberta1,15834.06%2,24265.94%
British Columbia1,69340.31%2,50759.69%
Manitoba57941.36%82158.64%
New Brunswick64764.70%35335.30%
Newfoundland and Labrador33247.43%36852.57%
Nova Scotia82074.55%28025.45%
Ontario5,42844.86%6,67255.14%
Prince Edward Island25062.50%15037.50%
Quebec3,08039.49%4,72060.51%
Saskatchewan39328.07%1,00771.93%
Territories14849.33%15250.67%

Debates

Debates among candidates for the 2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election [43] [44] [51] [52] [53] [54] [55]
No.DatePlaceHostLanguageParticipants
 P  Participant
 N  Non-invitee  A  Absent invitee  O  Out of race (exploring or withdrawn)		 Lewis MacKay O'Toole Sloan
117 June 2020 Toronto, Ontario Conservative Party of Canada French PPPP
218 June 2020 Toronto, Ontario Conservative Party of Canada English PPPP
324 June 2020 Webex Etobicoke—Lakeshore Conservative Association English PAPP
48 July 2020 Zoom Vancouver Centre Conservative Association English PAPP
529 July 2020 Toronto, OntarioIndependent Press Gallery of Canada (IPG) English AAPP

The fifth debate was turned into a fireside chat with the remaining two candidates after Leslyn Lewis released a statement sending her regrets due to a medical issue. [55] [56] Soon after Peter MacKay chose to not attend the debate. [57] [55] [58]

Rules and procedures

On 11 January 2020, the party's Leadership Election Organizing Committee released the Rules and Procedures for the 2020 Leadership document. [2] [59] It confirmed the vote would be held under instant-runoff voting, open to those who are members of the Conservative Party of Canada as of 17 April. (This date was later pushed back to 15 May.) To appear on the ballot, a member must apply to the Leadership Candidate Nomination Committee between 13 January and 27 February, with 1,000 signatures of endorsement from party members (which must span at least 30 Electoral Districts in 7 provinces), [41] a $25,000 installment of the registration fee and a completed 42-page Leadership Contestant Questionnaire, which requires them to declare they accept "the policies, principles, goals and objectives" of the Conservative Party. [60] If approved by the Committees, the applicant has until 25 March to provide the remainder of the 3,000 endorsement signatures and $200,000 registration fee. [39] In addition a $100,000 Compliance Deposit is required prior to 25 March but is returned upon completing required financial filings and adhering to Rules and Procedures document. As in the 2017 leadership election, each electoral district is given 100 points which are distributed according to weight of a candidate's vote in that electoral district, with the first candidate receiving 16,901 points wins the leadership race. [61]

Candidates

Verified candidates are authorized contestants that have paid the full $200,000 registration fee, the entire $100,000 compliance deposit, and submitted all 3,000 required signatures of endorsement by 25 March 2020. Verified candidates have secured their name on the leadership ballot. [62] [63]

Approved

Leslyn Lewis

Leslyn Lewis LeslynLewis-HEADSHOT1-lg.jpg
Leslyn Lewis
Background

Leslyn Lewis, 49, is a Toronto lawyer and the former CPC candidate for Scarborough—Rouge Park, Ontario in the 2015 election. [64] Leslyn Lewis holds a bachelor's degree from University of Toronto, two master's degrees, a law degree from Osgoode Hall Law School [65] and a PhD in International Law. [64] Leslyn Lewis is also a Vice Chair of the Ontario Trillium Foundation and Chair of the Partnership Committee. [65]

Candidacy announced: 22 January 2020 [66]
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: Leslyn Lewis
Campaign slogan: Courage • Compassion • Common Sense [67]
Campaign slogan (French): Courage • Compassion • Bon Sens [68]
Endorsements of Leslyn Lewis
MPs: (7)
Senators:
Provincial & territorial politicians: (7)
Municipal politicians: (1)
Former MPs: (8)
Former Senators:
Former provincial politicians: (2)
Former municipal politicians:
Other prominent individuals: (2)
Organizations: (1)
Media:
Total endorsements: 29

Peter MacKay

Peter MacKay Peter MacKay crop (cropped).JPG
Peter MacKay
Background

Peter MacKay, 58, was the MP for Central Nova (2004–2015), and for Pictou—Antigonish—Guysborough (1997–2004). He was Minister of Justice and Attorney General (2013–2015), Minister of National Defence (2007–2013), Minister of Foreign Affairs (2006–2007), Deputy Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada (2004–2015). He was the leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Canada (2003) at the time of the merger. Prior to entering politics, Peter MacKay worked as a Crown Attorney. [97] [98]

Candidacy announced: 15 January 2020 [99]
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: www.petermackay.ca
Campaign slogan: Unite Build Lead [100]
Campaign slogan (French): Unir Bâtir Diriger [101]
Endorsements of Peter MacKay
MPs: (47)
Senators: (15)
Provincial & territorial politicians: (42)
Municipal politicians:
Former MPs: (47)
Former Senators: (12)
Former Provincial & territorial politicians: (10)
Former municipal politicians:
Other prominent individuals: (4)
Organizations:
Media: (1)
Total endorsements: 178

Erin O'Toole

Erin O'Toole Erin O'Toole.jpg
Erin O'Toole
Background

Erin O'Toole, 51, is the MP for Durham (2012–present), the Shadow Minister of Foreign Affairs (2017–present), and the former Shadow Minister of Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness (2015–2016) and Minister of Veterans Affairs (2015). He placed third in the 2017 Conservative leadership election. Prior to entering politics, Erin O'Toole served in the Royal Canadian Air Force, where he held the rank of Captain, and was a lawyer after completing military service. [98]

Candidacy announced: 25 January 2020 [255] [256]
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: www.erinotoole.ca
Campaign slogan: True Blue Leadership [257]
Campaign slogan (French): Un Vrai Bleu [258]
Endorsements of Erin O'Toole
MPs: (38)
Senators: (3)
Provincial & territorial politicians: (44)
Municipal politicians: (1)
Former MPs: (4)
Former Senators: (1)
Former provincial politicians: (1)
Former municipal politicians: (1)

Other prominent individuals: (4)

Organizations:
Media:
Total endorsements: 97

Derek Sloan

Derek Sloan Derek Sloan Image.jpg
Derek Sloan
Background

Derek Sloan, 39, is the MP for Hastings—Lennox and Addington (2019–present). Prior to entering politics, Derek Sloan worked as a lawyer in private practice. [329] [330] [331]

Candidacy announced: 22 January 2020 [332]
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: www.dereksloan.ca
Campaign slogan: Conservative. Without Apology [333]
Campaign slogan (French): Conservateur Sans Se Dérober [334]
Endorsements of Derek Sloan
MPs:
Senators:
Provincial politicians:
Municipal politicians:
Former MPs: (2)
Former Senators:
Former provincial politicians:
Former municipal politicians:
Other prominent individuals: (2)
Organizations: (2)
Total endorsements: 6

Withdrew or failed to qualify

Failed to qualify as authorized contestants

Approved applicants who failed to pass the second qualification stage that required 2,000 signatures and the submission of the full $100,000 compliance fee and at least $50,000 of the entrance fee by 25 March 2020 or who disqualified between Stage 1 and Stage 2. [340]

Marilyn Gladu
Marilyn Gladu Marilyn Gladu.png
Marilyn Gladu
Background

Marilyn Gladu, 57, is the MP for Sarnia—Lambton (2015–present), and was the Shadow Minister of Health (2017–2020), [341] Shadow Minister of Science (2015–2017). Prior to entering politics, she was an engineer for Dow Chemical. [342] [343]

Candidacy announced: 9 January 2020 [344]
Candidacy suspended: 25 March 2020 [345]
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: https://www.marilyngladu.ca Archived 21 September 2021 at the Wayback Machine
Rudy Husny
Background

Rudy Husny is Director of Stakeholder Relations in the Office of the Leader of the Official Opposition and candidate in Outremont in 2011 and 2015. [346] [347]

Candidacy announced: 8 February 2020 [348] [349]
Candidacy suspended: 19 March 2020 [350]

Withdrew due to tight election timeline and rules. Husny cited the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic crisis as his stated reason for suspending his campaign, saying it is just not right to ask people for money during a public health emergency. [350]

Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website:
Jim Karahalios
Background

Jim Karahalios is a corporate lawyer and founder of activist groups "Axe The Carbon Tax" and "Take Back Our PC Party". He sued the Ontario PC party after narrowly losing an election in November 2018 for party president, but the case has not yet been tried. He is accusing the Ontario PC party of ballot stuffing in that election. [351]

Karahalios obtained the required 3,000 verified signatures and collected $300,000 for the entrance fee, but CPC officers refused to put his name on the ballot. The exact reasons for Karahalios's disqualification were not released. [352] Karahalios contested the disqualification in court. [353] [22] On 20 May 2020, the Ontario Superior Court of Justice reinstated his candidacy. [354] [355] The judge's decision was made on the basis that the subcommittee which disqualified Karahalios did not have the authority to do so. The day after Karahalios was reinstated as a candidate, he was disqualified by the leadership election organizing committee (LEOC), a body which the judge stated had the authority to disqualify candidates. [356]

Candidacy announced: 28 January 2020 [357]
Disqualified: 20 March 2020
Reinstated by court: 20 May 2020
Disqualified: 21 May 2020
Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: Jim Karahalios for Conservative Party Leader Archived 28 January 2020 at the Wayback Machine
Endorsements of Jim Karahalios
Organizations: Campaign Life Coalition [358]
Rick Peterson
Rick Peterson Rick-Peterson (portrait).jpg
Rick Peterson
Background

Rick Peterson, 68, is a venture capitalist, party fundraiser, principal of Peterson Capital, and a former candidate for leadership of the British Columbia Conservative Party. He was a member of the Progressive Conservatives at the time of the merger. He ran and placed 12th in the 2017 Conservative leadership election. [359] [360]

Candidacy announced: 22 January 2020 [361]
Candidacy suspended: 20 March 2020 [21] [345]

Withdrew due to tight election timeline and rules. Peterson also cited the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic crisis as his stated reason for suspending his campaign. Endorsed Peter MacKay. [21]

Date registered with Elections Canada:
Campaign website: rickcpc.ca
Endorsements of Rick Peterson
Senators:
Former provincial politicians:
Other prominent individuals:

Failed to qualify as approved applicants

Declared candidates who failed to pass the first qualification stage by obtaining at least 1,000 signatures, submit at least $25,000 of the entrance fee by 27 February 2020 and/or pass the vetting process. [340]

Richard Décarie
Background

Richard Décarie, 64, was the Deputy Chief of Staff to then-Opposition Leader Stephen Harper and Chief of Staff & Senior Advisor to then-Premier Jean Charest. [365] [366]

Candidacy announced: 30 January 2020 [366]
Notes
Décarie advocated for social conservative values. [366]  "I think 'LGBTQ' is a Liberal term. I don't talk about people that way, I talk about persons, and I think we all need the full respect for being a human being." [367] When asked by an interviewer whether "being gay" was a "choice" or not, Décarie said that it was. This answer lead to calls by Kory Teneycke, a former senior aide to both Stephen Harper and Doug Ford, that he be barred from running. [60] Décarie acquired the required number of signatures and paid the deposit but was disqualified by the party following his interview with the nomination committee. [368] Endorsed Derek Sloan. [336]
Clayton Knutzon
Background

Clayton Knutzon is a former Freedom Conservative Party candidate in Alberta. [369] [357]

Candidacy announced: 22 December 2019 [357]
Bobby Singh
Background

Bobby Singh is a Toronto businessman and the former CPC candidate for Scarborough—Rouge Park, Ontario in the 2019 election. [370] [371] Endorsed Peter MacKay.

Candidacy announced: 15 January 2020 [66]
Irvin Studin
Background

Irvin Studin is a senior fellow at the University of Toronto's Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, a Rhodes Scholar, former professional soccer player with the Toronto Lynx, and served in the Privy Council Office between 2002 and 2006. [372]

Candidacy announced: 25 February 2020 [372]

Withdrawn prior to 27 February 2020

Bryan Brulotte
Background

CEO and chair of employment firm MaxSys Staffing and Consulting (1993–present), deputy chief of staff to Paul Dick (1993), Progressive Conservative candidate for Lanark-Carleton in 2000. [373]

Candidacy announced: 16 December 2019 [373] [374]
Candidacy suspended: 14 January 2020 [375]
Campaign Website: www.bryanbrulotte.ca
Notes

Withdrew following the release of the leadership election rules. Endorsed Peter MacKay. [375]

Aron Seal

Aron Seal, a former policy advisor to Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Director of Policy for Tony Clement and Jim Flaherty. [361] [376] [377] [378]

Candidacy announced: 22 October 2019
Candidacy suspended: 25 February 2020 [378]
Campaign website: www.millennialconservative.ca
Notes

Withdrew saying that new signature requirements and deadlines were "designed to keep outsider candidates out". Endorsed Rudy Husny. [378]

Declined

Fundraising

2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election - Donors [345] [415] [416] [417]
Period Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan
Q1
3,3554,1742,9412,478
Q2
6,3697,5108,4132,754
Total
9,72411,68411,3545,232
2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election - Fundraising [345] [415] [416] [418]
Period Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan
Q1
$1,045,851$784,997$447,646$410,263
Q2
$1,160,000$1,250,000$996,000$329,000
Total
$2,205,851$2,034,997$1,443,646$739,263
2020 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election - Most Donated to Candidate by Province [415] [419] [420]
Period Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan
Q1
 New Brunswick
Newfoundland and Labrador
Nova Scotia
Manitoba
Quebec 		Alberta
British Columbia
Ontario 		Prince Edward Island
Saskatchewan
The territories
Q2
 Manitoba
New Brunswick
Newfoundland and Labrador
Nova Scotia
The territories		 Alberta
Quebec
Ontario 		British Columbia
Prince Edward Island
Saskatchewan
Total
TBDTBDTBDTBD

During the first quarter Marilyn Gladu raised $94,734, Rick Peterson raised $35,598 and Rudy Husny raised $28,941. They withdrew from the leadership race during the first quarter. [345] Jim Karahalios raised $294,522 from 1,700 donors, but was disqualified. [345]

Some numbers for the second quarter (April to the end of June 2020) were obtained by The Globe and Mail and confirmed with the campaigns. The Conservative Party has not confirmed any numbers for the second quarter. Finalized numbers must be submitted to Elections Canada at the end of July and should be available some time after. [416]

Opinion polling

After candidate registration deadline

Conservative Party members

Polling firm/linkLast date of pollingSample sizeMargin of error Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan UndecidedNotes
Mainstreet/iPolitics 14-15 August 20205,267± 1.3%41%32%16%11%
Mainstreet/iPolitics Archived 31 May 2020 at the Wayback Machine 20-21 May 20207,958± 1.1%39%31%10%6%14%
Mainstreet/iPolitics Archived 12 May 2020 at the Wayback Machine 12 May 20206,624± 2.62%40%34%9%5%13%

Conservative Party supporters

Polling firm/linkLast date of pollingSample sizeMargin of error Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan UndecidedNotes
Maru/Blue 28 July 20201,828± 2.6%55%23%11%11%--
Léger 21 June 2020351± 2.51%30%10%8%5%47%
Abacus Data Archived 21 May 2020 at the Wayback Machine 21 May 20201,800± 2.3%69%31%------Did not include Lewis and Sloan.

All Canadians

Polling firm/linkLast date of pollingSample sizeMargin of error Peter MacKay Erin O'Toole Leslyn Lewis Derek Sloan UndecidedNotes
Maru/Blue 28 July 20201,514± 2.9%51%25%16%8%--
Léger 21 June 20201,521± 2.51%18%5%4%2%70%
Abacus Data Archived 21 May 2020 at the Wayback Machine 21 May 20201,800± 2.3%61%39%------Did not include Lewis and Sloan.

Before candidate registration deadline

Conservative Party supporters

Polling firm/linkLast date of pollingSample sizeMargin of error
Other
Undecided
Notes
Léger 4 March 2020382± 2.5%----38%------------9%------6%47%--
Léger Archived 26 September 2020 at the Wayback Machine 1 February 2020402± 2.53%----42%------6%----4%------3%45%Gladu 2%

Décarie 1%

Léger 7 January 2020392± 2.49%18%18%12%6%4%4%3%2%2%1%1%1%1%--29%--
EKOS Research 17 December 2019340± 5.3%27.8%12.3%14.6%4.0%–0.9%*8.0%0.0%*1.6%0.9%2.4%–0.0%*19.8%*7.6%*Includes

write-ins

All Canadians

Polling firm/linkLast date of pollingSample sizeMargin of error
Other
Undecided
Notes
Léger 4 March 20201,540± 2.5%--25%----------------------14%63%O'Toole 4%

Peterson 2%

Gladu 2%

Décarie 2%

Lewis 1%

Sloan 1%

Karahalios 1%

Husny 1%

Léger Archived 26 September 2020 at the Wayback Machine 1 February 20201,501± 2.53%--28%------4%--------------8%60%O'Toole 3%

Gladu 3%

Décarie 2%

Léger 7 January 20201,557± 2.49%10%7%–4%9%1%–2%–3%–––12%51%–
EKOS Research 17 December 20191,543± 2.5%19.3%11.8%8.0%6.3%5.2%3.5%0.3%*0.5%*–2.1%0.2%*3.9%0.4%*17.0%22.9%*Write ins
Angus Reid 11 December 20194,516± 1.0%27%21%9%––9%8%8%7%7%6%5%5%–0%Respondents could pick up to 3 choices

See also

Notes

    Related Research Articles

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    153. ↑ MacKay, Peter (1 May 2020). "Honoured to receive the support of Senator Fabian Manning". Twitter . Retrieved 12 May 2020.
    154. ↑ Patterson, Dennis. "Hon, Dennis Patterson Senator (Nunavut) and 5th Premier of the Northwest Territories". Twitter. @PeterMacKay. Retrieved 12 May 2020.
    155. ↑ MacKay, Peter (7 May 2020). "Welcome to #TeamMacKay Senator Rose-May Poirier!". Twitter . Retrieved 7 May 2020.
    156. ↑ Wells, David (25 January 2020). "I known ⁦@PeterMacKay⁩ for 15 years and have seen him work tirelessly and effectively for our country".
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    163. ↑ Downey, Doug. "Hon. Doug Downey MPP, Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte (Ontario)". Twitter. @PeterMacKay. Retrieved 30 June 2020.
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    167. ↑ Kanapathi, Logan. "Logan Kanapathi MPP, Markham—Thornhill (Ontario)". Twitter. @PeterMacKay. Retrieved 30 June 2020.
    168. ↑ Kramp, Daryl. "Daryl Kramp MPP, Hastings—Lennox and Addington". Twitter. @PeterMacKay. Retrieved 13 May 2020.
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    171. ↑ Mitas, Christina. "He is the right choice to lead our party". Twitter. @Christina_Mitas. Retrieved 18 June 2020.
    172. ↑ MPP, Christina Mitas (21 March 2020). "Proud to support him!".
    173. ↑ "Course à la direction du PCC: Caroline Mulroney appuiera Peter MacKay". 22 January 2020.
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    177. ↑ MacKay, Peter. "John Rustad MLA, Nechako Lakes (British Columbia)". Twitter. @PeterMacKay. Retrieved 1 August 2020.
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    179. ↑ MacKay, Peter. "Hon. Prabmeet Sarkaria MPP, Brampton South (Ontario)". Twitter. @PeterMacKay. Retrieved 5 August 2020.
    180. ↑ Skelly, Donna. "Donna Skelly MPP, Flamborough—Glanbrook (Ontario)". Twitter. @PeterMacKay. Retrieved 30 June 2020.
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    265. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (8 June 2020). "Welcome/Bienvenue à @EricDuncanSDSG!".
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    289. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (1 May 2020). "Welcome/Bienvenue, @GeraldSorokaMP!".
    290. ↑ Stanton, Bruce (14 February 2020). "2 de 2: Il mérite notre appuie, c'est ce dont nous avons besoin à travers le Canada afin d'élire un gouvernement Conservateur".
    291. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (5 May 2020). "Welcome/Bienvenue @WSteinley_SP!".
    292. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (1 May 2020). "Welcome/Bievenue, @DavidSweetMP!".
    293. ↑ Tochor, Corey. "Welcome/Bienvenue @ctochor !". Twitter. @ErinOTooleMP.
    294. ↑ O'Toole, Erin. "Welcome/Bienvenue @takovanpopta !". Twitter. @ErinOTooleMP.
    295. ↑ Vidal, Gary (6 March 2020). "Happy to be part of the growing team. #momentum #CPC".
    296. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (1 May 2020). "Welcome/Bienvenue, @BradleyVis!".
    297. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (1 May 2020). "Welcome/Bienvenue, Senator Housakos!".
    298. ↑ Seidman, Judith. "Bienvenue/welcome @JudithSeidman". Twitter. @ErinOTooleMP.
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    300. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (19 July 2020). "Welcome, @Aris_Babikian!".
    301. ↑ Barrett, Toby. "Welcome to Team O'Toole Toby Barrett MPP for Haldimand—Norfolk". Twitter. @ErinOTooleMP. Retrieved 9 July 2020.
    302. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (9 July 2020). "Welcome, @PBethlenfalvy!".
    303. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Bonk, Steven. "Welcome to Team O'Toole". Twitter. @ErinOTooleMP. Retrieved 14 May 2020.
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    305. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (9 July 2020). "Welcome, @lornecoe!".
    306. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (7 July 2020). "Proud to have Christine Elliott on Team O'Toole. Are you with me?". Facebook . Retrieved 6 March 2020.
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    309. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (9 July 2020). "Welcome, @AmyFeePC!".
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    313. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (9 July 2020). "Welcome, @RickNichollsCKL!".
    314. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (9 July 2020). "Welcome, @lparkpc!".
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    318. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (9 July 2020). "Welcome, @LisaThompsonMPP!".
    319. ↑ O'Toole, Erin (9 July 2020). "Welcome, @billwalkermpp!".
    320. ↑ Harris, Michael (22 January 2020). "Thanks @ErinOTooleMP for stopping in Waterloo Region to meet with local Conservatives".
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