2026 Bangladeshi general election

Last updated

2026 Bangladeshi general election
Flag of Bangladesh.svg
  2024 February 2026

300 of the 350 seats in the Jatiya Sangsad
151 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
GM Quader 2023.png
Khaleda Zia Poses for a Photo with Secretary Kerry at U.S. Embassy Dhaka (29284522026) (cropped).jpg
Syed Muhammad Rezaul Karim (2019).jpg
Leader GM Quader Khaleda Zia Rezaul Karim
Party JP(E) BNP IAB
Leader since14 July 201910 May 198425 November 2006
Last election11BoycottedBoycotted
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 140Increase2.svg 151Increase2.svg 151

 
Shafiqur Rahman.jpg
Portrait of Nahid Islam.jpg
Leader Shafiqur Rahman Nahid Islam
Party JI NCP
Leader since12 November 201928 February 2025
Last electionDeregisteredNew
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 151Increase2.svg 151

Bangladesch Wahlkreiskarte.svg
Constituency map

Incumbent Chief Adviser

Muhammad Yunus
Independent (interim)



General elections are expected to take place in Bangladesh in February 2026, following the removal of Sheikh Hasina's government during the July Revolution in August 2024. [1] The interim government, led by Muhammad Yunus, has established constitutional and election reform commissions for this purpose.

Contents

Background

The Awami League won the 2024 general elections following a record low voter turnout and a controversial election. In spite of this, they formed a government. [2] The United States Department of State stated that the election was not free and fair [3] and the United Kingdom's Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office termed the election lacking the preconditions of democracy. [4] According to The Economist , through this election, "Bangladesh effectively became a one-party state". [5]

The main opposition party, the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), demanded that the government hand over power to a neutral caretaker government before the January 2024 elections. [6] This was rejected by Hasina, who vowed that "Bangladesh will never allow an unelected government again". [7] Hasina's resistance to a caretaker government arose following the 2006–2008 political crisis, during which a caretaker government assumed military-backed control of the country and arrested a number of political leaders, including Hasina and the former Prime Minister Khaleda Zia. [8] Khaleda Zia was sentenced to prison for five years on 8 February 2018, for her involvement in the Zia Orphanage corruption case. [9] The sentence was then modified to 10 years. [10] Zia's successor as chair of the party, her son Tarique Rahman, was also found guilty of criminal conspiracy and multiple counts of murder for a grenade attack in 2004 that injured Hasina and killed 24 people. [11] He was sentenced to life in prison. As such, he was barred from running for office. [12]

In June 2024, student protests erupted throughout the country, demanding the reform of quotas in government jobs. The protests were met with brutal crackdown by law-enforcement agencies and paramilitary forces, resulting in the deaths of many students. By August, the protests intensified into large-scale mass uprising against the government which eventually culminated in Sheikh Hasina's resignation on 5 August. The following day, the 12th Sangsad was dissolved by President Mohammed Shahabuddin. [13] Khaleda Zia was released by the President of Bangladesh following Hasina's resignation. [14]

Following negotiations between student leaders and the Armed Forces, Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus was appointed as the Chief Adviser to lead an interim government with a view of leading the country to new elections. [15] The student leaders of the protest movement have also formed political groups like National Citizen Party (NCP) and are assumed to participate in the election.

Over time, serious disagreements have arisen over participation of the Awami League in the polls. BNP leader Ruhul Kabir Rizvi & Jatiya Party leader GM Quader supported the participation of Awami League in the polls. Bangladesh Army chief Waker-Uz-Zaman had reportedly stated that the participation of a 'refined' Awami League led by leaders with 'clean' image like Shirin Sharmin Chaudhury, Sheikh Fazle Noor Taposh & Saber Hossain Chowdhury is necessary to ensure that the elections are 'free, fair & inclusive'. [16] However, student agitators placed within the interim government like Mahfuj Alam bitterly opposed the participation of the Awami League in the polls. [17] NCP leader Nahid Islam also voiced his opposition to participation of the Awami League in the polls, unless its leaders are put on trial for the July massacre. He stated that any attempt to relaunch the so-called refined Awami League in the elections amounts to foreign interference. [18] Jamaat-e-Islami Amir Shafiqur Rahman has also expressed his dissent against allowing Awami League participating in the polls. [16]

A petition demanding a ban on the Awami League & its associates of the Grand Alliance filed by the student agitators [19] had been turned down by the Appellate Division. [20] On 9 April 2025, the NCP, the Jamaat-e-Islami & other Islamist organisations like the Hefazat-e-Islam staged a protest in front of the Jamuna guesthouse, the temporary residence of the Chief Adviser, demanding a ban on the Awami League. [21] On the following day, the interim government banned Awami League and all of its activities in cyberspace and elsewhere, under the Anti-Terrorism Act. The ban would last until the International Crimes Tribunal completes the trial of the party and its leaders. [22] [23]

Electoral system

The 350 members of the Jatiya Sangsad consist of 300 directly elected seats using first-past-the-post voting (FPTP) in single-member constituencies, and an additional 50 seats reserved for women. The reserved seats are elected proportionally by the elected members. Each parliament sits for a five-year term. [24]

Campaign

Major campaign issues

Unemployment

Unemployment has been a major problem for the Bangladeshi economy, especially affecting the youth. According to a Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics report, Bangladesh's overall youth unemployment rate stood at 4.48% in 2024, which was 4.15% in 2023. [25] [26] In 2024, 87% of the unemployeds were educated, and 21% of them were graduates, showing the lack of job growth needed to accommodate the increasing workforce. [27] A 2024 study found that 55% of the Bangladeshi youth wished to leave the country due to the rising unemployment rate. [28] Unemployment was one of the core factor behind the July Revolution of 2024. [29]

Corruption

Corruption remains a major issue in the country. Bangladesh ranked 151st out of 180 countries in the Transparency International's Corruption Perception Index in 2024, sliping from 149 in 2023. [30] The issue of corruption took a central stage in election campaigns, with parties like Jamaat-e-Islami regularly spoke against corruption. [31]

Extortionism

Extortionism in the country grew unprecedentedly in the aftermath of the July Revolution. [32] The parties like BNP and NCP (along with it's affiliates SAD, JNC and BaGChhaS) faced heavy criticism for involvement with extortion. [33] The BNP particularly faced backlash for it's leaders involvement in various extortion scandals. [34]

Electoral and legislative reforms

Proportional representation (PR) emerged as a key issue among political parties in the election campaigns. The existing first-past-the-post (FPTP) electoral system has been criticised as disproportional [35] [36] [37] and a key driver of political deadlock in the country. [37] Some of the leading minor parties, including National Citizen Party, Jamaat-e-Islami, Islami Andolan Bangladesh, Communist Party of Bangladesh, Gono Odhikar Parishad, Amar Bangladesh Party etc., had been in staunch opposition to the system and in support of PR, where the BNP remains a supporter of FPTP. [38] [39] [40] [41] According to BNP leader Ruhul Kabir Rizvi, proportional representation may push the country towards autocracy and will "close the opportunity for leadership development at the local level". [42]

A Shushashoner Jonno Nagorik (ShuJonN) opinion poll conducted on 1,373 person between May and July 2025 found that 71% people in the country support PR in the proposed upper house of the Jatiya Sangsad. [43]

Party campaigns

Bangladesh Nationalist Party

For the first time, since the 1991 general election, the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) has decided to participate the elections on its own, without being in formal/informal alliance with the Jamaat-e-Islami. In August 2024, BNP general secretary Mirza Fakhrul Islam Alamgir confirmed the conclusion of its alliance with the Jamaat-e-Islami. [44] Although, rumours about a restrengthening of BNP-Jamaat alliance resurfaced following Khaleda Zia being visited by the Jamaat leader Shafiqur Rahman in London in April 2025, [45] BNP politicians reiterated the conclusion of alliance between the two. [46]

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami

National Citizen Party

The NCP published their "Manifesto of New Bangladesh" on 3 August 2025 at Central Shaheed Minar, Dhaka. Although not a formal electoral manifesto, it outlined their party policies & agenda if they form government. The manifesto promises a new constitution, state recognition of the July Revolution and massacre, minimization of the role of black money in politics, introduction of "whistleblower protection law" and "Village Parliament", dissolution of the RAB, introduction of universal healthcare, increased state funding on STEM education, artificial intelligence and biotechnology research, increase of women reserved seats in the Jatiya Sangsad to 100, recognition of houseworks in the GDP, establishment of a "Permanent Labor Commission", green technology, strong foreign & defence policy and bilateral solutions to the issues like deaths along the Bangladesh–India border, water sharing of transboundary rivers and Rohingya refugee crisis. [47]

The NCP's campaign is heavily concentrated on constituent assembly election and new constitution, which was decided in a party meeting on 13–14 August. Their unofficial slogans include "This time people, want constituent assembly election" and "Solution to Bangladesh, a new constitution". [48]

Timeline

Poll EventSchedule
Official declaration from the chief adviser5 August 2025
Declaration of the scheduleTBD
Application deadline for candidatesTBD
Scrutiny of nominationTBD
Last Date for Withdrawal of nominationTBD
Symbol allocationTBD
Start of campaign periodTBD
End of campaign periodTBD
Date of PollTBD
Date of Counting of VotesTBD
Date of reserved seats PollTBD

Official declaration from the chief adviser

In a televised address to the nation, Chief Adviser Muhammad Yunus declared the general election would be held on any day of the first half of April 2026. [49] The BNP and Jatiya Party opposed holding elections in mid-2026, and demanded that the date be moved forward to December 2025, citing Kalbaisakhi storms and Ramadan. [50] Later on 5 August, Yunus said in a televised broadcast that he would write to the Election Commission to request the election be held in February 2026 before the Ramadan, which will begin as early as 17 February. [51] [52]

Parties and alliances

Grand Alliance

Party [53] SymbolFlagLeaderContesting Seats
Workers Party of Bangladesh Workers Party of Bangladesh Flag.jpg Rashed Khan Menon TBD
Ganatantri Party Pigeon silhouette 4874.svg Ganatantri Party Flag.png Arosh AliTBD
Jatiya Party (Manju) Nepalese Election Symbol Bicycle.svg Jatiya Party Manju.jpg Anwar Hossain Manju TBD
Bangladesh Tarikat Federation Tariqat-Federation.jpg Syed Najibul Bashar Maizbhandari TBD
Communist Party of Bangladesh (Marxist–Leninist) Communist party of Bangladesh (Marxist-Leninist).png Dilip Barua TBD

Democratic United Front

Party [54] [55] SymbolFlagLeaderContesting Seats
Communist Party of Bangladesh Bangladesh Communist Party logo.png baaNlaadesh kmiunistt paarttir ptaakaa.svg Mohammad Shah AlamTBD
Jatiya Samajtantrik Dal jaasder ptaakaa.svg Hasanul Haque Inu TBD
Gano Forum Flag1gmsina.jpg Kamal Hossain TBD
Bangladesh Jatiya Samajtantrik Dal Sharif Nurul AmbiaTBD
Socialist Party of Bangladesh Symbol of Socialist Party of Bangladesh.png Bazlur Rashid FirozTBD
Oikya National Awami Party TBD
Socialist Party of Bangladesh (Marxist) Mubinul Haider ChowdhuryTBD
Revolutionary Communist League of Bangladesh Mosharraf Hossain NannuTBD
Parbatya Chattagram Jana Samhati Samiti Flag of the Parbatya Chattagram Jana Samhati Samiti.svg Shantu Larma TBD
Ganosanhati Andolan maathaal.png gnnsNhti aandolner ptaakaa.jpg Zonayed Saki TBD
Rastro Songskar Andolon Hasnat QuaiyumTBD
Jatiya Samajtantrik Dal (Rab) Five Pointed Star Solid.svg A. S. M. Abdur Rab TBD
Revolutionary Workers Party of Bangladesh South Asian Communist Banner.svg Khandaker Ali AbbasTBD

Nonaligned parties

PartySymbolFlagLeaderContesting Seats
Jatiya Party (Ershad) Symbol of Jatiya Party.jpg Jatiya Party-JaPa flag.png Ghulam Muhammed Quader TBD
Bangladesh Nationalist Party Bangladesh Nationalist Party election symbol Black & White.svg Flag of the Bangladesh Nationalist Party.svg Khaleda Zia TBD
Islami Andolan Bangladesh Symbol of Islami Andolan Bangladesh.svg Iab flag 2025.svg Syed Rezaul Karim TBD
Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami Daripalla.png Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami Flag Emblem.svg Shafiqur Rahman TBD
National Citizen Party Nahid Islam TBD
Bangladesh Jatiya Party Cowcart (politics).png Andaleeve Rahman TBD
Liberal Democratic Party Liberal Democratic Party (Bangladesh) Emblem Flag.svg Oli Ahmad TBD
Zaker Party Ameer Faisal MujaddediTBD
Trinomool BNP Flag of the Trinomool Bangladesh National Party.svg Antara Selima HudaTBD
Krishak Sramik Janata League Symbol of Krishak Sramik Janata League.svg KSJL Flag.svg Abdul Kader Siddique TBD
Bikalpa Dhara Bangladesh biklpdhaaraa baaNlaadesher ptaakaa.svg Mahi B. Chowdhury TBD
Bangladesh Kalyan Party VK icons wrist watch outline 28.svg Syed Muhammad Ibrahim TBD

Opinion polls

Vote share projections
Polling
agency
Fieldwork
dates
Date
published
Sample
size
Margin
of error
AL JP(E) BNP IAB Jamaat NCP OthersIndependentsNoneDecided, will not discloseUndecided"Can't say"/
No answer
Lead (pp)
BRAC [56] 1 – 20 July 202511 Aug 20255,4897.3%0.3%12%10.4%2.8%2.5%14.4%48.5%1.6
SANEM [57] 20 — 31 May 20257 Jul 20252,003 [a] ± 2%14.51%3.64%37.45%21.72%15.3%4.99% [b] 3.39%16.73
All activities of Awami League banned on 10 May 2025
Innovision Consulting 19 Feb — 3 Mar 20258 Mar 202510,696± 0.8%5.7%0.4%17%1.1%12.9%2.1% [c] 1.4%21.3%29.4%8.6%4.1
Formation of National Citizen Party (NCP) by the student leaders on 28 February 2025
BRAC 15 — 31 Oct 202412 Dec 20244,158± 1.55%9%1%16%11%2% [d] 9% [e] 2%38%13%5
Innovision Consulting 29 Aug — 8 Sep 202410 Sep 20245,115 (field)± 1.4%5%1%21%3%14%10%1%3%2%34%4%7
3,581 (online)± 1.67%10%0%10%1%25%35%1%3%3%11%0%10
Average7.5%0.5%15.5%2%19.5%22.5%1%3%2.5%22.5%2%3
2018 general election [f] 74.96%5.22%11.73%1.47%N/A1.76%N/AN/AN/A63.23

Misinformations

A BBC Bangla report found that artificial intelligence generated misinformations and videos may impact the general election. Started by the Jamaat-e-Islami supporters, it quickly spread among the BNP and the NCP supporters, which shows fake campaign and voter base of the respective party. According to Dhaka University professor Saiful Alam Chowdhury, such "information disorder" risks post-election riots like Brazil in Bangladesh. [58]

See also

Notes

  1. The survey was conducted only on people between the ages of 15 to 35.
  2. 4.44% for "Other Islamist parties", and 0.55% for "Others".
  3. NCP was not formed during the survey. Respondents were asked if they are going to support student led party.
  4. In a separate question, 40% of the respondents said that they'll vote for a student-led platform if its launched, while 44% said they will not endorse it. Among the rest 9% were undecided and 8% did not give any answer.
  5. 3% for "other Islamic groups", 2% for "a new political party formed by politicians", and 4% for "others".
  6. Widely considered to be rigged.

References

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