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North Carolina's 9th congressional district | |||||||||||||||||
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County results Bishop: 40–50% 50–60% McCready: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in North Carolina |
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A special election was held on September 10, 2019, to fill the vacancy in North Carolina's 9th congressional district in the United States House of Representatives for the remainder of the 116th United States Congress. The seat had been vacant since the opening of the 116th Congress, following the refusal of the North Carolina State Board of Elections to certify the results of the November 2018 election in the district due to allegations of electoral fraud. [1] Because of the allegations, the race received substantial national attention.
In the original election, Mark Harris, a Republican, led Democrat Dan McCready by 905 votes in the unofficial returns for the 2018 North Carolina's 9th congressional district election. However, allegations of fraud in the election prevented its certification. [2] After hearing evidence, including testimony from Harris himself and his own son, the board unanimously voted on February 21 to call a new election. [3] [4]
The primary was held on May 14, 2019, and the general election was held on September 10. A total of 10 Republican candidates qualified for the primary. [5] Dan McCready, the Democratic Party nominee in the 2018 election, ran again and faced no primary opposition. [6] Among Republicans, neither Harris nor Robert Pittenger, the incumbent whom Harris defeated in the 2018 primary election, filed to run. [7] [8] [9]
After winning the Republican primary by a large margin, [10] Dan Bishop narrowly won the general election, garnering 50.7% of the vote to McCready's 48.7%. [11] [12]
The 2018 congressional district election ended with Republican Mark Harris leading Democrat Dan McCready by 905 votes, the closest race in the district in over sixty years. While McCready had conceded defeat, the North Carolina Democratic Party alleged that electoral fraud had taken place, and filed affidavits with the North Carolina State Board of Elections alleging that independent contractors working on behalf of Harris had illegally collected absentee ballots (ballot harvesting). [13] [14] The North Carolina Board of Elections voted unanimously not to certify the election and later ordered an evidentiary hearing to be held. The board also opened an investigation around the activities of Leslie McCrae Dowless, a campaign operative with felony fraud and perjury convictions, who was hired by the Harris campaign. [15] Incoming Democratic Majority Leader Steny Hoyer announced that the United States House of Representatives would not seat Harris until the fraud investigation had been completed. [16]
After a delay caused by restructuring of the Board of Elections and delayed appointment of members by Republican allies of Harris, the board set hearings to begin on February 18, 2019. On that day the regulator reported that it had found evidence of "a coordinated, unlawful and substantially resourced absentee ballot scheme" that may have involved more than 1,000 ballots or ballot request forms. [17] On February 20, Harris's son, John Harris, a federal prosecutor in North Carolina, testified to the election board that he had repeatedly warned his father not to hire Dowless because Dowless appeared to have previously engaged in illegal tactics to win votes. [18]
On February 21, Harris announced that "the public's confidence in the ninth district seat general election has been undermined to an extent that a new election is warranted." The Board of Elections voted unanimously to call a special election, with a primary if necessary on May 14, to fill the vacancy. [4] This was the first House of Representatives election to require a do-over since 1974. [19] [9]
Dowless was indicted and arrested on February 27, 2019. He faced felony charges of obstruction of justice, conspiracy to commit obstruction of justice and two possession of absentee ballots charges. [20] In July 2019, the Wake County district attorney also announced charges against Lisa Britt, Ginger S. Eason, Woody D. Hester, James Singletary, Jessica Dowless and Kelly Hendrix, and additional charges against Leslie McCrae Dowless. [21]
Politicians [47]
Conservative organizations
Politicians
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Anglin | Dan Bishop | Leigh Brown | Kathie Day | Gary Dunn | Matthew Ridenhour | Stevie Rivenbark | Stony Rushing | Fern Shubert | Other | Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling [55] | April 29–30, 2019 | 592 | ± 5.1% | 3% | 31% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 17% | 4% | – | 21% |
WPA Intelligence (R) [56] [upper-alpha 1] | April 29–30, 2019 | 409 | ± 4.9% | – | 30% | 5% | – | – | 6% | 1% | 19% | 2% | 5% | 32% |
Meeting Street Research (R) [57] [upper-alpha 2] | April 22–23, 2019 | 400 | – | – | 36% | 3% | – | – | 13% | – | 18% | – | – | – |
WPA Intelligence (R) [56] [upper-alpha 1] | ~April 9, 2019 | – | – | – | 22% | 1% | – | – | 6% | 2% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 46% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Dan Bishop | 14,405 | 47.68 | |
Republican | Stony Rushing | 5,882 | 19.47 | |
Republican | Matthew Ridenhour | 5,166 | 17.10 | |
Republican | Leigh Brown | 2,672 | 8.84 | |
Republican | Stevie Rivenbark Hull | 906 | 3.00 | |
Republican | Fern Shubert | 438 | 1.45 | |
Republican | Chris Anglin | 382 | 1.26 | |
Republican | Kathie Day | 193 | 0.64 | |
Republican | Gary Dunn | 105 | 0.35 | |
Republican | Albert Lee Wiley Jr. | 62 | 0.21 | |
Total votes | 30,211 | 100 |
Federal politicians
Statewide and local politicians
Organizations
Dan McCready, the Democratic candidate, ran on a platform of cutting taxes on the middle class, ending gerrymandering, renegotiating trade deals, and reducing military interventions overseas. His platform also supports protecting Social Security and Medicare, overturning Citizens United, and granting full federal recognition to the Lumbee Tribe. [67] Republican candidate Dan Bishop is best known for his opposition to LGBT rights, particularly the drafting of North Carolina's "Bathroom Bill". [68] [69]
During the early voting period for this election, Hurricane Dorian battered the eastern coast of the United States, necessitating early voting to be halted in several counties on the Outer Banks and elsewhere on the coast until the storm had passed.
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report [70] | Tossup | September 6, 2019 |
Inside Elections [71] | Tossup | September 4, 2019 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [72] | Tossup | September 5, 2019 |
Federal politicians [47]
Statewide and local politicians
Individuals
Organizations
Federal politicians
Statewide and local politicians
Organizations
Individuals
Newspapers & news websites
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dan Bishop (R) | Dan McCready (D) | Other | Undecided |
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co/efficient [138] | September 5–6, 2019 | 1,175 LV | ± 3.9% | 45% | 48% | – | 7% |
44% | 44% | 5% [lower-alpha 1] | 7% | ||||
GAJ Solutions (R) [139] [upper-alpha 3] | August 26–28, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 3% [lower-alpha 2] | 5% |
Harper Polling/Clarity Campaign Labs [140] [upper-alpha 4] | August 26–28, 2019 | 551 LV | ± 4.2% | 42% | 46% | 3% [lower-alpha 2] | 8% |
ALG Research (D) [141] [upper-alpha 5] | July 15–18, 2019 | 450 LV | ± 4.6% | 46% | 46% | – | 8% |
Atlantic Media & Research (R) [142] [upper-alpha 6] | May 20–30, 2019 | 358 LV | ± 5.2% | 39% | 41% | 3% [lower-alpha 3] | 16.8% |
JMC Analytics [143] | May 21–24, 2019 | 350 LV | ± 5.2% | 46% | 42% | 2% [lower-alpha 4] | 10% |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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with Mark Harris
with generic Republican and Dan McCready
with generic Republican and generic Democrat
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Campaign finance reports as of August 21, 2019 | |||
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Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Dan McCready (D) | $4,950,881.11 | $4,470,374.25 | $818,345.51 |
Dan Bishop (R) | $1,954,334.64 | $1,761,558.40 | $192,776.24 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [146] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Republican | Dan Bishop | 96,573 | 50.69 | +1.44 | |
Democratic | Dan McCready | 92,785 | 48.70 | −0.23 | |
Libertarian | Jeff Scott | 773 | 0.41 | −1.40 | |
Green | Allen Smith | 375 | 0.20 | N/A | |
Total votes | 190,506 | 100.00 | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Dan Bishop Republican | Dan McCready Democrat | Jeff Scott Libertarian | Allen Smith Green | Total | |||||
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County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
Anson | 2,381 | 42.67% | 3,173 | 56.86% | 15 | 0.27% | 11 | 0.20% | 5,580 |
Bladen | 3,496 | 59.32% | 2,371 | 40.23% | 15 | 0.25% | 11 | 0.19% | 5,893 |
Cumberland | 7,498 | 49.85% | 7,471 | 49.67% | 42 | 0.28% | 31 | 0.21% | 15,042 |
Mecklenburg | 28,862 | 43.42% | 37,193 | 55.96% | 272 | 0.41% | 140 | 0.21% | 66,467 |
Richmond | 4,727 | 51.96% | 4,309 | 47.37% | 39 | 0.43% | 22 | 0.24% | 9,097 |
Robeson | 10,378 | 49.08% | 10,669 | 50.45% | 58 | 0.27% | 41 | 0.19% | 21,146 |
Scotland | 2,816 | 43.29% | 3,655 | 56.19% | 21 | 0.32% | 13 | 0.20% | 6,505 |
Union | 36,415 | 59.92% | 23,944 | 39.40% | 311 | 0.51% | 106 | 0.17% | 60,776 |
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North Carolina's 9th congressional district is a congressional district in south-central North Carolina. The district's current boundaries were redrawn in February 2016 after a U.S. District Court overturned the existing boundaries because of politically directed gerrymandering that suppressed minority representation. The new congressional district consists of Union, Chatham, Anson, Richmond, Scotland, and Robeson counties; a southeast portion of Mecklenburg County; and parts of Cumberland, Moore and Bladen counties.
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James Daniel Bishop is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative for North Carolina's 8th congressional district since 2019, when the district was numbered “9”. As a Republican, his district includes south-central Mecklenburg, Union, Anson, Richmond, Scotland, Robeson, Hoke, and southern Moore Counties. He served in the North Carolina House of Representatives from 2015 to 2017 and the Mecklenburg County Commission from 2005 to 2009. He served in the North Carolina State Senate from 2017 to 2019.
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Official campaign websites