Technological revolution

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An axe made of iron, dating from the Swedish Iron Age, found at Gotland, Sweden: Iron--as a new material--initiated a dramatic revolution in technology, economy, society, warfare and politics. Axe of iron from Swedish Iron Age, found at Gotland, Sweden.jpg
An axe made of iron, dating from the Swedish Iron Age, found at Gotland, Sweden: Iron—as a new material—initiated a dramatic revolution in technology, economy, society, warfare and politics.

A technological revolution is a period in which one or more technologies is replaced by another novel technology in a short amount of time. It is a time of accelerated technological progress characterized by innovations whose rapid application and diffusion typically cause an abrupt change in society.

Contents

Description

The Spinning Jenny and Spinning Mule (shown) greatly increased the productivity of thread manufacturing compared to the spinning wheel. Mule-jenny.jpg
The Spinning Jenny and Spinning Mule (shown) greatly increased the productivity of thread manufacturing compared to the spinning wheel.
A Watt steam engine--the steam engine, fuelled primarily by coal, propelled the Industrial Revolution in Great Britain and the world. Maquina vapor Watt ETSIIM.jpg
A Watt steam engine—the steam engine, fuelled primarily by coal, propelled the Industrial Revolution in Great Britain and the world.
IBM Personal Computer XT in 1988--the PC was an invention that dramatically changed not only professional life, but personal life as well. Bundesarchiv B 145 Bild-F077948-0006, Jugend-Computerschule mit IBM-PC.jpg
IBM Personal Computer XT in 1988—the PC was an invention that dramatically changed not only professional life, but personal life as well.

A technological revolution may involve material or ideological changes caused by the introduction of a device or system. It may potentially impact business management, education, social interactions, finance and research methodology, and is not limited to technical aspects. It has been shown to increase productivity and efficiency. A technological revolution often significantly changes the material conditions of human existence and has been seen to reshape culture. [1]

A technological revolution can be distinguished from a random collection of technology systems by two features:

1. A strong interconnectedness and interdependence of the participating systems in their technologies and markets.

2. A potential capacity to greatly affect the rest of the economy (and eventually society). [2]

On the other hand, negative consequences have also been attributed to technological revolutions. For example, the use of coal as an energy source have negative environmental impacts, including being a contributing factor to climate change and the increase of greenhouse gases [3] in the atmosphere, and have caused technological unemployment. Joseph Schumpeter described this contradictory nature of technological revolution as creative destruction. [4] The concept of technological revolution is based on the idea that technological progress is not linear but undulatory. Technological revolution can be:

The concept of universal technological revolutions is a "contributing factor in the Neo-Schumpeterian theory of long economic waves/cycles", [5] according to Carlota Perez, Tessaleno Devezas, Daniel Šmihula and others.

History

Some examples of technological revolutions were the Industrial Revolution in the 19th century, the scientific-technical revolution about 1950–1960, the Neolithic Revolution, and the Digital Revolution. The distinction between universal technological revolution and singular revolutions have been debated. One universal technological revolution may be composed of several sectoral technological revolutions (such as in science, industry, or transport).

There are several universal technological revolutions during the modern era in Western culture: [6]

  1. Financial-agricultural revolution (1600–1740)
  2. Industrial Revolution (1760–1840)
  3. Technical Revolution or Second Industrial Revolution (1870–1920)
  4. Scientific-technical revolution (1940–1970)
  5. Information and telecommunications revolution, also known as the Digital Revolution or Third Industrial Revolution (1975–2021)
  6. Some say we’re on the brink of a Fourth Industrial Revolution, aka “The Intelligence Revolution” (2022- )

Comparable periods of well-defined technological revolutions in the pre-modern era are seen as highly speculative. [7] One such example is an attempt by Daniel Šmihulato to suggest a timeline of technological revolutions in pre-modern Europe: [8]

  1. Indo-European technological revolution (1900–1100 BC)
  2. Celtic and Greek technological revolution (700–200 BC)
  3. Germano-Slavic technological revolution (300–700 AD)
  4. Medieval technological revolution (930–1200 AD)
  5. Renaissance technological revolution (1340–1470 AD)

Structure of technological revolution

Each revolution comprises the following engines for growth:

Technological revolutions has historically been seen to focus on cost reduction. For instance, the accessbility of coal at a low cost during the Industrial Revolution allowed for iron steam engines which led to production of Iron railways, and the progression of the internet was contributed by inexpensive microelectronics for computer development.[ citation needed ] A combination of low-cost input and new infrastructures are at the core of each revolution to achieve their all pervasive impact. [9]

Potential future technological revolutions

Since 2000, there has been speculations of a new technological revolution which would focus on the fields of nanotechnologies, alternative fuel and energy systems, biotechnologies, genetic engineering, new materials technologies and so on. [10]

The Second Machine Age is the term adopted in a 2014 book by Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee. The industrial development plan of Germany began promoting the term Industry 4.0. In 2019, at the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos, Japan promoted another round of advancements called Society 5.0. [11] [12]

The phrase Fourth Industrial Revolution was first introduced by Klaus Schwab, the executive chairman of the World Economic Forum, in a 2015 article in Foreign Affairs. [13] Following the publication of the article, the theme of the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2016 in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland was "Mastering the Fourth Industrial Revolution". On October 10, 2016, the Forum announced the opening of its Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution in San Francisco. [14] According to Schwab, fourth era technologies includes technologies that combine hardware, software, and biology (cyber-physical systems), [15] and which will put an emphases on advances in communication and connectivity. Schwab expects this era to be marked by breakthroughs in emerging technologies in fields such as robotics, artificial intelligence, nanotechnology, quantum computing, biotechnology, the internet of things, the industrial internet of things (IIoT), decentralized consensus, fifth-generation wireless technologies (5G), 3D printing and fully autonomous vehicles. [16]

Jeremy Rifkin includes technologies like 5G, autonomous vehicles, Internet of Things, and renewable energy in the Third Industrial Revolution. [17]

Some economists do not think that technological growth will continue to the same degree it has in the past. Robert J. Gordon holds the view that today's inventions are not as radical as electricity and the internal combustion engine were. He believes that modern technology is not as innovative as others claim, and is far from creating a revolution. [18]

List of intellectual, philosophical and technological revolutions

Technological revolution can cause the production-possibility frontier to shift outward and initiate economic growth. PPF expansion.svg
Technological revolution can cause the production-possibility frontier to shift outward and initiate economic growth.
Pre-Industrialization
Industrialization

See also

Related Research Articles

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Technology</span> Use of knowledge for practical goals

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An information society is a society or subculture where the usage, creation, distribution, manipulation and integration of information is a significant activity. Its main drivers are information and communication technologies, which have resulted in rapid growth of a variety of forms of information. Proponents of this theory posit that these technologies are impacting most important forms of social organization, including education, economy, health, government, warfare, and levels of democracy. The people who are able to partake in this form of society are sometimes called either computer users or even digital citizens, defined by K. Mossberger as “Those who use the Internet regularly and effectively”. This is one of many dozen internet terms that have been identified to suggest that humans are entering a new and different phase of society.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Technological utopianism</span> Any ideology based on the premise that advances in technology could bring a utopia

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Post Fordism is a term used to describe the growth of new production methods defined by flexible production, the individualization of labor relations and fragmentation of markets into distinct segments, after the demise of Fordist production. It was widely advocated by French Marxist economists and American labor economists in the 1970s and 1980s. Definitions of the nature and scope of post-Fordism vary considerably and are a matter of debate among scholars.

Neo-feudalism or new feudalism is a theorized contemporary rebirth of policies of governance, economy, and public life, reminiscent of those which were present in many feudal societies. Such aspects include, but are not limited to: Unequal rights and legal protections for common people and for nobility, dominance of societies by a small and powerful elite, a lack of social mobility, and relations of lordship and serfdom between the elite and the people, where the former are rich and the latter poor.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">History of technology</span>

The history of technology is the history of the invention of tools and techniques and is one of the categories of world history. Technology can refer to methods ranging from as simple as stone tools to the complex genetic engineering and information technology that has emerged since the 1980s. The term technology comes from the Greek word techne, meaning art and craft, and the word logos, meaning word and speech. It was first used to describe applied arts, but it is now used to describe advancements and changes which affect the environment around us.

Technology governance means the governance, i.e., the steering between the different sectors—state, business, and NGOs—of the development of technology. It is the idea of governance within technology and its use, as well as the practices behind them. The concept is based on the notion of innovation and of techno-economic paradigm shifts according to the theories by scholars such as Joseph A. Schumpeter, Christopher Freeman, and Carlota Perez.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Carlota Perez</span> Venezuelan economist (born 1939)

Carlota Perez is a British-Venezuelan scholar specialized in technology and socio-economic development. She researches the concept of Techno-Economic Paradigm Shifts and the theory of great surges, a further development of Schumpeter's work on Kondratieff waves. In 2012 she was awarded the Silver Kondratieff Medal by the International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation and in 2021 she was awarded an Honorary Doctorate by Utrecht University.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Klaus Schwab</span> Founder and chairman of the World Economic Forum (born 1938)

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The following outline is provided as an overview of and topical guide to technology:

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Technological unemployment is the loss of jobs caused by technological change. It is a key type of structural unemployment. Technological change typically includes the introduction of labour-saving "mechanical-muscle" machines or more efficient "mechanical-mind" processes (automation), and humans' role in these processes are minimized. Just as horses were gradually made obsolete as transport by the automobile and as labourer by the tractor, humans' jobs have also been affected throughout modern history. Historical examples include artisan weavers reduced to poverty after the introduction of mechanized looms. During World War II, Alan Turing's bombe machine compressed and decoded thousands of man-years worth of encrypted data in a matter of hours. A contemporary example of technological unemployment is the displacement of retail cashiers by self-service tills and cashierless stores.

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"Fourth Industrial Revolution", "4IR", or "Industry 4.0" is a buzzword and neologism describing rapid technological advancement in the 21st century. The term was popularised in 2016 by Klaus Schwab, the World Economic Forum founder and executive chairman, who says that the changes show a significant shift in industrial capitalism.

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Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages is an academic book by Carlota Perez that seeks to describe the connection between technological development and financial bubbles as seen in the emergence of long term technology trends. The model described by Carlota Perez shows repeated surges of technological development over the past three centuries with examples such as: the age of steam and railways, the age of steel and electricity, mass production and the automobile and the current information/knowledge society.

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References

  1. Klein, Maury (2008): The Technological Revolution, in The Newsletter of Foreign Policy Research Institute, Vol.13, No. 18.
  2. Perez, Carlota (2009): Technological revolutions and techno-economic paradigms., in Working Papers in Technology Governance and Economic Dynamics, Working Paper No. 20, (Norway and Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn)
  3. Akpan, Usenobong Friday; Akpan, Godwin Effiong (2012-03-01). "The Contribution of Energy Consumption to Climate Change: A Feasible Policy Direction". International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy. 2 (1): 21–33. ISSN   2146-4553.
  4. Perez, Carlota (2002). Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital. Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9781781005323. ISBN   978-1-78100-532-3.
  5. , for example, Perez, Carlota (2009): Technological revolutions and techno-economic paradigms., in Working Papers in Technology Governance and Economic Dynamics, Working Paper No. 20, (Norway and Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn)
  6. based on: Šmihula, Daniel (2011): Long waves of technological innovations, Studia politica Slovaca, 2/2011, Bratislava, ISSN   1337-8163, pp. 50-69.
  7. for example: Drucker, Peter F. (1965): The First Technological Revolution and Its Lessons.
  8. Šmihula, Daniel (2011): Long waves of technological innovations, Studia Politica Slovaca, 2/2011, Bratislava, ISSN   1337-8163, pp. 50-69
  9. Perez, C. (2010-01-01). "Technological revolutions and techno-economic paradigms" (PDF). Cambridge Journal of Economics. 34 (1): 185–202. doi:10.1093/cje/bep051. ISSN   0309-166X.
  10. Philip S. Anton, Richard Silberglitt, James Schneider (2001): The Global Technology Revolution - Bio/Nano/Materials Trends and Their Synergies with Information Technology by 2015., RAND, ISBN   0-8330-2949-5
  11. Realizing Society 5.0 (promotional paper for Japan)
  12. Modern society has reached its limits. Society 5.0 will liberate us (promotional article for Japan)
  13. Schwab, Klaus (2015-12-12). "The Fourth Industrial Revolution" . Retrieved 2019-01-15.
  14. "New Forum Center to Advance Global Cooperation on Fourth Industrial Revolution". October 10, 2016. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  15. "The Fourth Industrial Revolution: what it means and how to respond". World Economic Forum. Retrieved 2018-03-20.
  16. Schwab, Klaus. "The Fourth Industrial Revolution: what it means, how to respond". World Economic Forum. Retrieved 2017-06-29. The possibilities of billions of people connected by mobile devices, with unprecedented processing power, storage capacity, and access to knowledge, are unlimited. And these possibilities will be multiplied by emerging technology breakthroughs in fields such as artificial intelligence, robotics, the Internet of Things, autonomous vehicles, 3-D printing, nanotechnology, biotechnology, materials science, energy storage, and quantum computing.
  17. Jeremy Rifkin (2011). The Third Industrial Revolution: How Lateral Power is Transforming Energy, the Economy, and the World.
  18. Banerjee, Abhijit (2019). Good Economics for Hard Times (PDF). Public Affairs. pp. 161–162.