The 2019 Atlantic hurricane season was the fourth consecutive above-average and damaging season dating back to 2016. The season featured eighteen named storms, however, many storms were weak and short-lived, especially towards the end of the season. Six of those named storms achieved hurricane status, while three intensified into major hurricanes.[nb 1] Two storms became Category5 hurricanes, marking the fourth consecutive season with at least one Category5 hurricane, and the third consecutive season to feature at least one storm making landfall at Category 5 intensity. It was also the seventh season on record to have multiple tropical cyclones reaching Category 5 strength, which would not occur again until 2024. The season officially began on June1 and ended on November30. These dates historically describe the period each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin and are adopted by convention. However, tropical cyclogenesis is possible at any time of the year, as demonstrated by the formation of Subtropical Storm Andrea on May20, making this the fifth consecutive year in which a tropical or subtropical cyclone developed outside of the official season.[2]
The season's first hurricane, Barry, formed in mid-July in the northern Gulf of Mexico and struck Louisiana. Barry caused two deaths and produced flooding in Arkansas, Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi, with damage totaling about $600million (2019USD).[nb 2]Hurricane Dorian, the most intense tropical cyclone of the season, proved to be the costliest natural disaster in the history of the Bahamas, becoming the strongest hurricane to strike the country. Overall, Dorian caused about $5.1billion in damage and 84fatalities, mostly in the Bahamas. The 2019 season was the record fourth consecutive season to feature at least one Category 5 hurricane. Tropical Storm Fernand left flooding in Mexico, with approximately $11.3million in damage and onedeath. Hurricane Humberto produced extensive damage in Bermuda, totaling at least $25million.
Drifting over Texas, Tropical Storm Imelda resulted in a devastating flood in the eastern portions of the state, with about $5billion in damage and five fatalities. Lorenzo, which became the easternmost Category 5 Atlantic hurricane on record, caused 11deaths after sinking the French tugboat Bourbon Rhode and 8other fatalities from rough surf along the East Coast of the United States. With Dorian and Lorenzo both intensifying into Category 5 hurricanes, the season became one of seven seasons to feature multiple Category 5 hurricanes. Additionally, Tropical Storm Nestor caused a tornado outbreak across west Florida in mid-October, leaving $125million in damage, while a car crash in South Carolina killed three people. Tropical Storm Olga caused moderate damage and heavy flooding over the central Gulf Coast and generated hurricane-force wind gusts as far north as Tennessee. The storm left onedead and around $400million in damage. Hurricane Pablo became the easternmost hurricane formation on record, beating 2005's Hurricane Vince. The season concluded with Tropical Storm Sebastien, which became extratropical on November24.
Most forecasting agencies projected a near-average or slightly above season, with many expecting near-normal sea surface temperatures but expressing uncertainty about the intensity of El Niño. Ultimately, activity in regards to number of named storms exceeded all forecasts, but the number of hurricanes and major hurricanes remained within the predicted range.
Seasonal forecasts
Predictions of tropical activity in the 2019 season
* June–November only. † Most recent of several such occurrences. (See all)
Ahead of and during the hurricane season, several national meteorological services and scientific agencies forecast how many named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher on the Saffir–Simpson scale) are likely to form during a season and/or how many tropical cyclones will affect a particular country. These agencies include the Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) Consortium of University College London, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and Colorado State University (CSU). The forecasts include weekly and monthly changes in significant factors that help determine the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a particular year. Some of these forecasts also take into consideration what happened in previous seasons and the state of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). On average, an Atlantic hurricane season between 1981 and 2010 contained twelve tropical storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes, with an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of between 66 and 103units.[3] ACE is, broadly speaking, a measure of the power of a hurricane multiplied by the length of time it existed; therefore, long-lived storms and particularly strong systems result in high levels of ACE. The measure is calculated at full advisories for cyclones at tropical storm strength— storms with winds in excess of 39mph (63km/h).[20]
Pre-season outlooks
The first forecast for the year was released by TSR on December11, 2018, which predicted a slightly below-average season in 2019, with a total of 12named storms, 5hurricanes, and 2major hurricanes, due to the anticipated presence of El Niño conditions during the season.[5] CSU released their first forecast on April4, 2019, predicting a near-average season with 13named storms, 5hurricanes and 2major hurricanes, citing the persistence of the weak El Niño and slightly colder than average sea surface temperatures.[6] On April5, TSR released an updated forecast that reiterated their earlier predictions.[7]North Carolina State University released their forecast on April16, predicting slightly-above average activity with 13–16named storms, 5–7hurricanes and 2–3major hurricanes.[8] On May6, the Weather Company predicted a slightly-above average season, with 14named storms, 7hurricanes, and 3major hurricanes.[9] The UK Met Office released their forecast on May21, predicting 13named storms, 7hurricanes, 3major hurricanes, and an accumulated cyclone energy of 109units.[10] On May23, NOAA released their first prediction, calling for a near-normal season with 9–15named systems, 4–8hurricanes, and 2–4major hurricanes.[11] TSR released an updated forecast on May30, which increased the number of forecast hurricanes from 5 to 6.[12]
Mid-season outlooks
On June4, CSU updated their forecast to include a total of 14named storms, 6hurricanes, and 2major hurricanes, including Subtropical Storm Andrea. CSU noted continuing uncertainty about the intensity of the El Niño, but also increasing ocean temperatures, which were near-normal by then.[13] The University of Arizona (UA) predicted on June11 that the season would feature above-average activity – 16named storms, 8hurricanes, 3major hurricanes, and accumulated cyclone energy index of 150units.[14] On July4, the TSR released their first mid-season outlook, still retaining their numbers from the previous forecast.[15] CSU released their second mid-season outlook on July9, with the same remaining numbers from their previous forecast.[16] On August5, the CSU released their third mid-season outlook, still retaining the same numbers from their previous forecast, albeit slightly revising the numbers of hurricanes from 6 to 7.[17] TSR released their second and final mid-season outlook on August6, with the only changes of increasing the number of named storms from 12 to 13.[18] On August8, NOAA released their second prediction with increasing the chances for 10–17named storms, 5–9hurricanes, and 2–4major hurricanes, suggesting above-average activity.[19]
Six tropical cyclones active across the Eastern Pacific and Atlantic basins on September19, left to right (as marked): Kiko, Mario, Lorena, Imelda, Humberto, and Jerry
The 2019Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June1.[11] The season featured twenty tropical depressions, eighteen of which became tropical or subtropical storms.[21] With eighteen named storms, the season was at the time, along with 1969, the fourth most active since records began.[22] Six of those intensified into hurricanes, with three further strengthening into major hurricanes.[21] It was the fourth consecutive Atlantic hurricane season with above average activity, which last occurred from 1998–2001. Five systems developed in the Gulf of Mexico, tying with 1957 and 2003 for highest number of tropical cyclones forming in the region in a season.[23] Factors contributing to abnormally high activity included a stronger west-African monsoon, warmer than average ocean temperatures, and low wind shear, particularly over the western Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico.[11] Overall, the Atlantic tropical cyclones of 2019 collectively resulted in 116deaths and around $11.62billion in damage.[24] The season officially ended on November30.[11]
Activity began before the official start of the season when Subtropical Storm Andrea formed on May20. This marked the fifth consecutive year with a pre-season named storm, surpassing the previous record of four between 1951 and 1954.[25] No storms formed in the month of June, but activity resumed in July when Hurricane Barry developed on July11 and Tropical Depression Three formed on July22. Thereafter, tropical cyclogenesis ceased again for nearly one month,[21] until Tropical Storm Chantal developed on August20.[26] The month of August featured two other systems, Hurricane Dorian and Tropical Storm Erin, with the former being the most intense tropical cyclone of the season.[21] Dorian peaked as a Category5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 185mph (295km/h) and a minimum barometric pressure of 910mbar (27inHg).[27] The 2019 season also marked the fourth consecutive year with at least one Category5 hurricane in the Atlantic basin, exceeding the previous record of three seasons between 2003 and 2005.[28]
September was the most active month of the season, featuring seven named storms, including Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Imelda, Jerry, Karen, and Lorenzo.[21] On September29, Lorenzo became the easternmost Category5 hurricane on record. The season became only the seventh to feature multiple Category5 hurricanes, the others being 1932, 1933, 1961, 2005, 2007, and 2017.[29] October featured above average activity, with the formation of Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, and Rebekah, though none remained a tropical or subtropical cyclone for more than three days.[21] Pablo became the easternmost hurricane on record, reaching that intensity east of the previous record-holder, Vince in 2005.[30] Aside from Rebekah persisting into November, the month featured one other system, Tropical Storm Sebastien. Activity during the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season concluded when Sebastien transitioned into an extratropical cyclone on November24.[21] The seasonal activity was reflected with an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index value of 132units.[31][32]
An upper-level trough originating in the mid-latitudes cut off into a broad upper-level low over Florida on May17. The low moved eastward over the western Atlantic during the next day as a large area of convection formed to its east. It began interacting with low-level vorticity along the western edge of a dissipating cold front on May19, with the two systems coalescing into a broad area of low pressure by 12:00UTC on May20. Convection associated with the low became better organized throughout that day as the system moved northward, with an Air Force reconnaissance later that day flight finding that the system had acquired a well-defined center of circulation, and was producing gale-force winds well away from the center. Based on the aircraft data and the structure of the system, the system became Subtropical Storm Andrea at 18:00UTC on May20 about 370mi (595km) southwest of Bermuda. However, the cyclone soon began to entrain dry air into its circulation while southwesterly wind shear increased, resulting in a rapid waning of the convection. By 12:00UTC on May21, the cyclone had degenerated into a remnant low after convection diminished. The remnant low moved east-northeastward through the following day until being absorbed by a cold front about 24hours later roughly 70mi (115km) southwest of Bermuda.[33]
A mesoscale convective vortex formed over the Central United States on July2 and moved slowly eastward, southeastward, and then southwestward, reaching the Gulf of Mexico about a week later. The low, which had a large area of deep convection, gradually organized, becoming a tropical depression around 00:00UTC on July11 roughly 190mi (305km) south of Mobile, Alabama. With an increase in convective banding on the south side of the cyclone's circulation, the system quickly intensified into Tropical Storm Barry just six hours later. The cyclone moved westward and then west-northwestward along the periphery of a low- to mid-level ridge. Barry's convective structure remained asymmetrical, with nearly all of the convection location south of the circulation due to wind shear and dry air. Around 12:00UTC on July13, Barry intensified into a hurricane and peaked with winds of 75mph (120km/h). Three hours later, Barry made landfall near Intracoastal City, Louisiana. The system weakened to a tropical storm later on July13 and to a tropical depression early on July15, before transitioning into a remnant low over Arkansas by 12:00UTC on July15. The low continued north-northeastward until degenerating into a trough over Missouri on the next day.[34]
Barry caused two fatalities: a man was killed by a rip current off the coast of the Florida Panhandle on July15, and another man was killed in Connecticut from fallen trees and wires after Barry's remnants passed through Connecticut.[35][36] In Mississippi, abnormally high tides caused minor coastal flooding in the vicinity of Biloxi. Widespread but minor wind and flood damage occurred across southern Louisiana. However, dozens of homes received extensive flood damage in Calcasieu Parish, where more than 20people were rescued from floodwaters. Over 300,000people throughout the state lost electricity. In Arkansas, the storm dropped 16.59in (421mm) of precipitation in Dierks. As a result, Barry became the rainiest tropical cyclone in the state's history.[34] Flooding damaged a number of homes, businesses, and roads in a narrow swath of southwestern Arkansas, while several roadways were closed, including a portion of Interstate 30.[37] Damage from Barry totaled roughly $600million.[34]
A tropical wave moved off the west coast of Africa on July12, producing minimal convection as it moved westward across the tropical Atlantic for several days thereafter. The wave fractured as it approached the Lesser Antilles on July18, with the northern portion turning northwestward and the southern portion continuing westward across the Caribbean Sea. The northern portion of the wave produced intermittent disorganized convection until reaching the southeastern Bahamas on July21. Early the following day, a concentrated area of deep convection developed, resulting in the formation of a tropical depression just east of Andros at 12:00UTC on July22. However, environmental conditions caused deep convection to decrease substantially shortly after formation. Although a small area of convection re-developed on July 23, it was insufficient to maintain the cyclone, and it degenerated into an open trough at 12:00UTC on July23 about 35mi (55km) east-northeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida.[38]
Numerous thunderstorms developed across South Florida on July23 in association with the tropical depression. A woman was injured by a lightning strike in Aventura by a storm.[39]
On August14, a cold front moved across the Southeastern United States, becoming nearly stationary over subsequent days. The interaction between the stalled cold front and a high-pressure system led to the formation of a low-pressure area near Savannah, Georgia, on August17. By 18:00UTC on August20, the small system gained enough organization to be declared a tropical depression about 370mi (595km) southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia. Six hours later, the depression intensified into Tropical Storm Chantal. The system failed to intensify further and soon encountered colder waters and increasing southwesterly wind shear. Instead, Chantal weakened to a tropical depression early on August22 and ultimately degenerated to a remnant low by 18:00UTC the next day. The remnant low executed a clockwise loop and dissipated three days later about 830mi (1,335km) southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.[26]
A tropical wave exited the west coast of Africa on August19 and organized as it moved westward, becoming a tropical depression early on August24 approximately 805mi (1,295km) east-southeast of Barbados. The depression quickly developed curved banding features and intensified into Tropical Storm Dorian later that day while heading west-northwestward. Dry air prevented any significant further intensification and organization for several days. Early on August27, Dorian struck Barbados as a very compact cyclone with winds of 50mph (85km/h) and then passed over Saint Lucia later that day. The mountainous terrain of Saint Lucia disrupted the storm's circulation, though a new circulation formed farther to the north. Dorian resumed organizing while moving northeastward over the Caribbean, with a partial eyewall and inner core developing by August28. The cyclone reached hurricane intensity at 15:30UTC on August28 while striking the eastern tip of Saint Croix in the U.S. Virgin Islands; another landfall occurred on Saint Thomas a few hours later. After emerging into the Atlantic on August28, Dorian eventually began moving west-northwestward due to an upper-level low moving to the south and a subtropical ridge expanding westward.[27]
Encountering very warm water temperatures, ample moisture, and low wind shear, Dorian began rapidly intensifying on August30, reaching major hurricane intensity around 18:00UTC that day. Strengthening further, the cyclone became a Category5 hurricane at 12:00UTC on September1, a few hours prior to making landfall on Elbow Cay in the Abaco Islands with winds of 185mph (295km/h); Dorian became the strongest tropical cyclone on record to strike the Bahamas. A weakening high pressure area to the north and collapsing steering currents caused Dorian to move very slowly. The cyclone struck Grand Bahama early on September2 while still a Category5 hurricane. The storm weakened due to land interaction and upwelling, falling below major hurricane late on September3. An eastward-moving, large mid-level trough forced Dorian to move north-northwestward and then northward, causing it to remain offshore Florida. The cyclone re-strengthened into a Category3 hurricane over the Gulf Stream on September5, but weakened back to a Category2 later that day. Dorian then curved northeastward and scraped the Outer Banks of North Carolina on September6 before moving ashore at Cape Hatteras with winds of 100mph (155km/h). Embedded within the mid-latitude flow, the cyclone accelerated northeastward and transitioned into an extratropical cyclone late on September7. The remnant extratropical storm struck Nova Scotia and later Newfoundland before being absorbed by an extratropical cyclone on September9.[27]
Throughout the Windward Islands, the storm produced wind gusts up to 61mph (98km/h), observed on Martinique. Approximately 4,000homes lost electricity and many streets became impassable due to flooding.[40] Mostly minor damage occurred in Barbados.[41] Some areas of the U. S. Virgin Islands reported hurricane-force winds, with Buck Island observing sustained winds of 82mph (132km/h).[27] Winds from Dorian left island-wide blackouts on Saint Thomas and Saint John, while 25,000customers lost power on Saint Croix.[42][43] In the British Virgin Islands, the storm caused flood and wind damage in the outskirts of Road Town.[44] One death occurred in Puerto Rico during preparations for the storm.[45] Gusty winds left roughly 23,000households without electricity across the island.[42] Dorian inflicted catastrophic damage in some regions of the Bahamas. Approximately 87percent of the damage nationwide occurred in the Abaco Islands, where the storm struck at peak intensity and generated winds of at least tropical storm-force for more than three days. Around 75percent of homes there were damaged to some degree.[27] Further, Dorian damaged about 90percent of infrastructure in Marsh Harbour and obliterated shanty-type homes in the town.[46][47] Grand Bahama also experienced extreme impacts,[27] with storm surge submerging at least 60percent of the island. The hurricane severely damaged or destroyed around 300homes on the island. Throughout the Bahamas, an estimated 13,000homes suffered severe damage or were completely destroyed,[48] while at least 70,000people were left homeless.[49] Dorian killed at least 70people and caused at least $3.4billion in damage, making it the costliest hurricane in the country's history.[27]
Over 160,000electrical customers in Florida lost power during the storm.[50] Dorian caused coastal flooding in some areas, especially in immediate oceanfront or riverfront sections of St. Augustine and Jacksonville.[51] Six deaths occurred in the state.[52] Strong winds in South Carolina downed numerous trees and power lines,[27] leaving more than 270,000residences and workplaces without power.[53] Coastal flooding and flash flooding impacted the Charleston and Georgetown areas. Three tornadoes in Horry County also caused damage.[54] The eastern portions of the state experienced storm surge ranging from 4 to 7ft (1.2 to 2.1m), wind gusts up to 110mph (180km/h), rainfall totals between 5 and 10in (130 and 250mm),[55] and 25tornadoes.[56]Dare County was particularly hard hit, with 1,126structures damaged.[57] The storm also destroyed 20-25percent of the state's tobacco crop.[58] Three deaths were reported in North Carolina.[59] Gusty winds and beach erosion occurred in other states along the East Coast, especially in Delaware and New Jersey. Damage in the United States totaled roughly $1.6billion.[27] In Canada, the extratropical remnants of Dorian left about 412,000customers without power in Nova Scotia and another 80,000in New Brunswick, with the former representing approximately 80percent of the province.[60] The storm damaged homes, buildings, and boats, as well as downed trees, across Canadian Maritimes, though the worst impacts occurred in Halifax, Moncton, and much of Prince Edward Island. Insured damage alone reached $78.9million.[61]
On August20, a large upper-level trough with a large area of disorganized convection formed over the southwestern Atlantic. As the trough weakened, a shortwave moved into the western side of the trough over the Gulf of Mexico, resulting in the formation of a broad area of low pressure on August22. The low drifted northwestward, moving over southeastern Florida on August24 and degenerating into a trough of low pressure. However, deep convection increased along the trough early on August26, and a new low developed, with a tropical depression forming at 12:00UTC that day about 345mi (555km) south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The depression moved southwestward in response to a mid-level high-pressure area near Florida. Initially poorly-organized due to northwesterly wind shear, the depression strengthened into Tropical Storm Erin late on August27 following the development of a large burst of convection. Erin then turned sharply northwestward as the mid-level high weakened and a subtropical ridge strengthened to its northeast. Strong upper-level winds weakened the storm to a tropical depression late on August28. Accelerating northeastward, Erin became extratropical at 12:00UTC on August29, and was absorbed by a larger extratropical low 12hours later.[62]
In Nova Scotia, precipitation from the remnants of Erin was higher than for all of July and August combined before the storm. According to the Meteorological Service of Canada, the Annapolis Valley and the Bay of Fundy region received the most precipitation with a maximum of 6.4in (162mm) at Parrsboro and 5.0in (127mm) at Greenwood. Several stations reported rates greater than 1.2in (30mm), resulting in increased runoff, causing flash floods and the wash out of roads.[63] Rain affected the southern part of New Brunswick with maximum totals of 2.2in (56mm) in Fredericton, 2.0in (50mm) in Moncton, and 1.7in (44mm) in Saint John.[64] In Prince Edward Island, accumulations reached 2.6in (66mm) in Summerside.[65] In Quebec, regions near the Gulf of St. Lawrence observed about 2.0in (50mm) of rain.[66]
Throughout the second half of August, an upper-level low progressed eastward from the southeastern United States to Bermuda, southward to Puerto Rico, and westward across Hispaniola and Cuba. A weak and broad area of low pressure formed near western Cuba on August30 and drifted slowly west across the Gulf of Mexico. Deep convection coalesced within curved bands around the center, leading to the formation of Tropical Storm Fernand around 12:00UTC on September3. Despite the influence of moderate east-southeasterly wind shear, the cyclone attained peak winds of 50mph (85km/h) by early on September4 before beginning a steady weakening trend. Fernand progressed south of a ridge over the south-central United States, making landfall about 30mi (50km) north-northeast of La Pesca, Tamaulipas, at 15:30UTC on September4. It weakened quickly once inland and dissipated over the rugged terrain of Mexico by 06:00UTC on September5.[67]
Fernand brought torrential rainfall to the Mexican states of Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, and San Luis Potosí. Fernand also dumped heavy rainfall over South Texas. In preparation for the storm, the Mexican government activated Plan DN-III-E, sending 4,000 troops to the northeastern states to assist in disaster relief. In Nuevo León, schools and public transport lines were closed on September 5 but resumed operations the next day. In some areas six months of rain fell in six hours. Landslides were reported near the state's capital, Monterrey. Homes, roads, bridges, and at least 400 schools were damaged. In García, a Venezuelan man died after he was swept away by floodwaters while attempting to clear a drain; the two people he was working with managed to escape. On September 7, governor of Nuevo León, Jaime Rodríguez Calderón, declared a state of emergency to request for state funds to address the damage. Elsewhere, in Tamaulipas, 12in (300mm) of rain fell in 48hours, leading to some localized flooding.[68][69] Damage throughout Mexico totaled approximately $11.3million.[70]
A tropical wave moved westward from Africa on August30, organizing into a tropical depression around 18:00UTC on September3 about 455mi (730km) west of the northern Capo Verde Islands. Though the nascent tropical cyclone tracked northwest in an environment of moderate southwesterly wind shear and dry mid-level air, it intensified into Tropical Storm Gabrielle six hours after genesis. Interaction with an upper-level low further compounded negative environmental factors, causing the system to lose a majority of its convection for nearly a day. As the steering regime transitioned to be dictated by a break in the subtropical ridge, Gabrielle curved west-northwest and then north. A decrease in upper-level winds led to the formation of a well-defined inner core, and Gabrielle attained peak winds of 65mph (100km/h) on September8. Thereafter, the influence of mid-latitude westerlies caused the cyclone to turn northeast and begin extratropical transition, completing it by 12:00UTC on September10 490mi (790km) northwest of the western Azores islands. The post-tropical cyclone persisted for a day before degenerating to an open trough.[71]
A tropical wave left Africa on August27 and moved steadily westward for several days. Throughout early September, the wave underwent prolonged interaction with an upper-level trough in the central and southwestern Atlantic that culminated in the formation of a tropical depression at 18:00UTC on September13 east of Eleuthera in The Bahamas. The depression intensified into Tropical Storm Humberto six hours later and tracked northwest, where steadily improving environmental conditions allowed it to become a hurricane by September16. After turning sharply northeast, the storm continued to intensify. At 00:00UTC on September18, Humberto attained peak winds of 125mph (205km/h), and the Category3 hurricane passed about 65mi (100km) northwest of Bermuda at that intensity. High wind shear and dry air caused Humberto to embark on a weakening trend thereafter, and it transitioned into an extratropical cyclone by 00:00UTC on September20 about 575mi (925km) south-southwest of Cape Race after being stripped of its convection. The extratropical low was absorbed by a larger non-tropical feature eighteen hours later.[72]
Breezy winds and light rainfall were recorded in The Bahamas, where Dorian caused devastation two weeks prior. Humberto's large size caused choppy seas along the East Coast of the United States for several days; rip currents killed one person in Florida and a second in North Carolina. In addition, 21 water rescues were performed in St. Johns County, Florida. Tropical storm-force wind gusts, light rainfall, and minor storm surge were felt along the eastern shores of the state.[72] Extensive beach erosion and minor structural damage were reported along the northwestern coast of Puerto Rico.[73] On Bermuda, the most significant impacts were wrought by sustained winds up to 110mph (177km/h), causing widespread damage to trees, roofs, crops, and power lines. As many as 600 buildings—including L.F. Wade International Airport, Royal Naval Dockyard, and the Bermuda Weather Service—suffered damage,[74][75][76] around 28,000customers were left without power,[72] and the island's banana crop suffered a 90percent loss.[77] Overall, Bermuda reported at least $25million in damage.[72]
A tropical wave crossed Africa's western coast late on September11. It spawned an elongated area of low pressure four days later, and that feature gradually organized into a tropical depression by 06:00UTC on September17 while located about 1,100mi (1,770km) east of the Windward Islands. A strong ridge steered the system west-northwest for several days. Although moderate northeasterly wind shear initially hampered its development, the depression intensified into Tropical Storm Jerry by 06:00UTC on September18 and began rapid intensification eighteen hours later. Jerry attained hurricane strength early on September19 and reached its peak at Category2 intensity, with winds of 105mph (165km/h), early on September20; this peak was attained despite a fairly asymmetric cloud pattern. Shortly thereafter, increasing upper-level winds and dry air caused the cyclone to weaken while it curved northwest. Jerry fell to tropical storm intensity early on September21, and it degenerated to a post-tropical cyclone by 18:00UTC on September24 roughly 280mi (450km) west-southwest of Bermuda, having lost organized deep convection over its center. The remnants of Jerry passed near Bermuda before dissipating northeast of the island on September28.[78]
An upper-level low detached from a broader trough over the eastern United States in early September, moving southwestward into the eastern Gulf of Mexico by September12. A weak trough formed in the vicinity of this feature and moved toward the west, ultimately leading to the formation of a tropical depression around 12:00UTC on September17 a short distance southwest of Freeport, Texas, despite the NHC estimating a low chance of tropical cyclone development. The depression quickly intensified into Tropical Storm Imelda three hours later and peaked with maximum sustained winds of 45mph (75km/h) before striking Freeport at 17:45UTC. Imelda drifted slowly northward once inland, weakening to a tropical depression by 00:00UTC on September18 and degenerating into a trough 24hours later. The remnants of Imelda drifted over Texas and Oklahoma for several days before dissipating.[79]
Imelda brought catastrophic flooding to Southeast Texas, with a peak total of 44.29in (1,125mm) near Fannett. The storm ranks as the fifth-wettest tropical cyclone to strike the continental United States. Numerous roadways in Greater Houston and eastward became submerged, including Interstate 10, with floodwaters entering thousands of cars. In Jefferson County, flooding resulted in several hundreds of high-water rescues. Approximately 5,100homes suffered water damage in Jefferson County alone, while roughly 3,100others were damaged in Harris, Liberty, and Montgomery counties combined. An EF1 tornado in Harris County ripped off a metal roof and a few tree branches while destroying a barn. Damage from Imelda totaled close to $5billion. Heavy rainfall also extended eastward into Louisiana, though flooding impact was mostly minor. In Cameron Parish, an EF0 tornado damaged two recreational vehicles and toppled several trees. The storm caused at least five deaths, all in Texas.[79]
On September14, a tropical wave emerged into the Atlantic from the west coast of Africa. By early on September21, a low developed along the axis of the wave, resulting in an increase in deep convection. The system developed a closed center of circulation and became a tropical depression around 00:00UTC on September22 roughly 115mi (185km) east of Trinidad. About six hours later, the depression intensified into Tropical Storm Karen. The cyclone moved west-northwestward around the southwestern periphery of an Atlantic subtropical ridge and passed through the Windward Islands as a minimal tropical storm late on September22. Dry air and strong wind shear weakened Karen back to a tropical depression early on September23 as it turned northward, before re-intensifying into a tropical storm about 24hours later after encountering favorable conditions again. Late on September24, Karen struck the Puerto Rican islands of Culebra and Vieques before entering the Atlantic. Tracking north-northeastward, the cyclone eventually began interacting with a surface trough and encountered strong wind shear again. As a result, Karen weakened to a tropical depression on September27 and dissipated about six hours later approximately 345mi (555km) southeast of Bermuda.[80]
With the formation of Karen, tropical storm warnings and red alerts were issued for Trinidad and Tobago.[81] Karen brought severe flash floods to Tobago, trapping some people in their houses, as well as uprooting trees and causing several power outages.[82] Several roads were blocked due to mudslides and downed trees. In addition, seven boats in Plymouth sank after a jetty broke.[83] It was also announced that all schools would be closed on September23.[84] Swells generated by Karen in Venezuela caused flooding and power outages in Caracas and La Guaira.[85] Tropical storm watches were issued for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands in anticipation of Karen.[80] Puerto Rico governor Wanda Vázquez Garced declared a state of emergency on September23 and ordered schools and government offices to close. The Virgin Islands also closed their schools as the storm approached.[86] People who were living in flood-prone areas were asked to seek shelter.[87] The U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico experienced heavy rains, mudslides, and power outages, with more than 29,000people losing power in the latter.[86][88] Mudslides and runoff blocked several roads in Puerto Rico, especially in Barranquitas, Cayey, and Guayama.[80]
A tropical wave emerged into the Atlantic from the west coast of Africa on September22. The wave rapidly organized into a tropical depression around 00:00UTC on September23 about 320mi (515km) southwest of Dakar, Senegal. Six hours later, the depression strengthened into Tropical Storm Lorenzo. A subtropical ridge to the north initially steered the storm westward to west-northwestward. Wind shear interrupted further strengthening on September24. However, decreasing wind shear on the following day allowed rapid intensification to commence. Lorenzo attained hurricane intensity early on September25 and then reached an initial peak as a Category4 hurricane with winds of 145mph (230km/h). The system then curved northwestward due to a break in the subtropical ridge. An eyewall replacement cycle and intruding dry air caused the storm to weaken to a Category3 hurricane late on September27. The storm then curved northward across the western end of the subtropical ridge.[89]
After completing the eyewall replacement cycle, Lorenzo underwent a second bout of rapid intensification. At 03:00UTC on September29, the cyclone peaked as a Category5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 160mph (260km/h). This made Lorenzo the easternmost Category 5 Atlantic hurricane on record. After reaching peak intensity, Lorenzo began weakening due to upwelling and rapidly increasing southwesterly wind shear. Lorenzo dropped below major hurricane intensity at 18:00UTC on September29, only 15hours after its peak intensity. Lorenzo then slowly weakened and its windfield expanded as the storm began an extratropical transition while passing northwest of the Azores. The storm became fully extratropical at 12:00UTC on October2 roughly 240mi (385km) north of Graciosa. On October3 and October4, the system impacted the British Isles before dissipating entirely.[89]
The French tugboatBourbon Rhode sank on September26 near the storm's center with 14crew members. Three people were rescued due to search and rescue operations, while four bodies were found; the other seven people were presumed to have drowned. Although the storm remained more than 2,000mi (3,220km) offshore the United States, swells and rip currents resulted in eight deaths, with one in Florida, four in North Carolina, two in New York, and one in Rhode Island. In the Azores, Lorenzo caused the worst impacts on Corvo and Flores, with both islands reporting many downed trees and power lines. On the latter, the storm destroyed the commercial port at Lajes Field. Corvo recorded sustained winds of 74mph (119km/h) and gusts reaching 101mph (163km/h). Rough seas resulted in the evacuations of about 100people from their homes throughout the Azores, with waves approaching streets and homes in the city of Horta. In Ireland, the remnants of Lorenzo produced wind gusts up to 66mph (105km/h) at the Mace Head Atmospheric Research Station. Downed trees and power lines left roughly 20,000customers without electricity throughout Ireland.[89]
A potent nor'easter, which originated from the tail-end of a cold front across the southwestern Atlantic on October6, detached from the frontal boundary and attained maximum 1-minute winds of 65mph (100km/h) by October10. Deep convection formed north of the low's center, leading to the formation of Subtropical Storm Melissa by 06:00UTC on October11 about 205mi (330km) south-southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts. Although the system's peak winds decreased over the next day, the radius of tropical storm-force winds contracted significantly while thunderstorm activity became concentrated over the center. This marked Melissa's transition into a tropical storm by 12:00UTC on October12. As the system moved east-northeast, it lost its associated convection under the influence of moderate westerly shear and colder water temperatures early on October14. Melissa soon merged with a nearby front and became extratropical by 12:00UTC about 370mi (595km) south of Cape Race. The post-tropical low degenerated into a trough a few hours later.[90]
The nor'easter and subsequent (sub)tropical storm caused heavy surf and storm surge along the coast of the Mid-Atlantic States. In Maryland, flooding from increased high tides from the storm forced street closures in Crisfield and Salisbury.[91] In Delaware, waves from the storm caused beach erosion and flooded streets in Bethany Beach while homes and streets were flooded in Dewey Beach.[92][93] Waves from the storm caused coastal flooding in various parts of the Jersey Shore, including Long Beach Island and Atlantic City. The flooding forced the cancellation of the first day of the LBI International Kite Festival.[94] Rainfall accumulations from the system peaked at 3.43in (87mm) in Nantucket, Massachusetts. Parts of southeastern Massachusetts experienced sustained tropical-storm-force winds, with a peak sustained wind of 49mph (80km/h) and a peak gust of 66mph (106km/h) recorded at Wellfleet.[90]
A vigorous late-season tropical wave, accompanied by a broad area of low pressure and a large mass of deep convection, moved off the west coast of Africa on October 13. The broad low separated from the parent wave, moving slowly northwestward as the wave continued westward across the tropical Atlantic. Thunderstorm activity associated with the low became better organized early the following day, resulting in the formation of a tropical depression at 12:00UTC on October14 roughly 345mi (555km) southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. As the depression moved northwestward toward the Cape Verde islands, it encountered a hostile environment of high wind shear and abundant dry air, which prevented further strengthening. The depression quickly became poorly organized, and it degenerated into a broad area of low pressure by 06:00UTC on October16. The remnant low continued northwestward, producing intermittent convection until its dissipation late on October17.[95]
A tropical wave exited the west coast of Africa on October3. Convection increased slightly as the wave entered the eastern Caribbean on October8. Another increase in convection occurred as the wave crossed Central America, partially due to interaction with the Central American gyre. The wave split, with the southern portion becoming Tropical Storm Priscilla in the eastern Pacific basin and the northern portion reaching the Bay of Campeche. A gale-force low formed over the Gulf of Mexico on October17, which became Tropical Storm Nestor late on October18. With sustained winds already at 60mph (95km/h), the storm moved rapidly northeastward toward the Florida Panhandle. However, an approaching mid- to upper-level trough and associated frontal system caused Nestor to become elongated and left little convection near the center. As a result, Nestor became extratropical around 12:00UTC on October19. About five hours later, the extratropical storm made landfall near St. Vincent Island. The remnants of Nestor continued northeastward across the Southeastern United States before dissipating offshore the Delmarva Peninsula on October21.[96]
Rainfall and storm surge from Nestor caused coastal flooding and flash flooding across the Florida Panhandle and the state's gulf coast. Freshwater flooding inundated several roads in the St. Petersburg area. However, tornadoes also caused significant damage,[96] with the storm spawning four in the state.[97] The strongest was rated EF2 and remained on the ground for roughly 30minutes for a distance of about 11.45mi (18.43km)—an uncommonly long track for the region—through western Polk County, from the Lakeland Linder International Airport to northwest Polk County. The tornado caused modest damage to homes, overturned a semi-truck on Interstate 4, and ripped off a large portion of a roof of a middle school.[98] In Pinellas County, an EF0 tornado damaged several mobile parks and downed trees in Seminole.[99] An EF1 tornado briefly touched down in northwest Cape Coral, causing damage to 18homes and vehicles.[100] The fourth tornado, rated EF0, caused no damage in Brevard County.[101] Two other tornadoes were confirmed in Georgia and South Carolina as well. Heavy rains from Nestor caused a car crash in South Carolina, which killed three people and left five injured. The storm inflicted approximately $125million in damage throughout the United States.[96]
On October22, a baroclinic low developed over the central Atlantic. The low soon generated gale-force winds, while vorticity centers formed by the following day. The easternmost center became dominant, with convection developing around it by early on October25. As a result, the low became Subtropical Storm Pablo approximately 405mi (650km) west-southwest of the western Azores. Pablo moved east-northeastward and acquired tropical characteristics, becoming a tropical storm late on October25 after developing central dense overcast and anticyclonic outflow. An eye-like feature also briefly appeared on satellite imagery around this time. The system then curved east-southeastward early on October26, before turning east-northeastward later that day and then northeastward by October27. After passing just southeast of the Azores, the storm intensified further and developed more convection and a small eye. Pablo reached hurricane intensity on October27 and peaked with maximum sustained winds of 80mph (130km/h). Pablo reached hurricane intensity at 18.8°W,[102] farther east than any other Atlantic hurricane, beating Hurricane Vince's record of 18.9°W.[30] Pablo then weakened due to cold sea surface temperatures, falling to tropical storm intensity early on October28. The storm then became extratropical after merging with a cold front about 720mi (1,160km) north-northeast of the Azores, before dissipating completely on October29.[102]
A well-organized tropical wave crossed the west coast of Africa on October8 and entered the Atlantic Ocean. The wave headed westward with intermittent convection, reaching the Caribbean on October17 and Central America by October22. After reaching the Gulf of Mexico, a low-pressure formed on October24. After scatterometer data and satellite imagery indicated the presence of a closed circulation, the system developed into Tropical Storm Olga at 12:00UTC the following day roughly 390mi (630km) south-southwest of Lake Charles, Louisiana. Olga moved north-northeastward and peaked with winds of 45mph (75km/h). However, the storm transitioned into an extratropical cyclone by 00:00UTC on October26 after becoming embedded within a cold front. The remnants of the cyclone struck central Louisiana about seven hours later and continued across the Eastern United States and into Ontario, where they dissipated on October28.[103]
In Louisiana, the remnants of Olga produced sustained winds of 55mph (89km/h) and gusts up to 72mph (116km/h), the former observed in Baton Rouge and the latter in Mendeville.[103] Gusty winds resulted in 132,000customers losing electricity.[104] Louisiana also reported up to 10.24in (260mm) of precipitation near Ponchatoula, with lesser amounts elsewhere in the state. Hurricane-force wind gusts impacted parts of Mississippi,[103] where the remnants of Olga damaged or destroyed 772homes, 26businesses, and 27roads; Tupelo was particularly hard hit. At least 154,000power outages occurred in Mississippi.[105] One person died in Newton County when a tree struck him while he while cleaning-up debris.[106] In Tennessee, a wide swath of winds up to 96mph (154km/h) caused almost 65,000power outages,[107][108] forcing school closures for up to two weeks in several counties.[108] Falling trees resulted in one death in Adamsville. Total damage along the path of the cyclone was estimated at $400million.[103]
On October27, a large extratropical cyclone formed about 460mi (760km) south of Cape Race. Moving eastward, the cyclone quickly gained hurricane-force winds, before weakening as it turned north and west in a large counterclockwise loop, making another smaller loop on its way. A smaller low-pressure area formed on near the center of the original extratropical cyclone on October29, possessing a small wind field more characteristic of a tropical cyclone. Deep convection formed around the center of the new low on October30 due to increased atmospheric instability despite sea surface temperatures of only 70°F (21°C), leading to the development of Subtropical Storm Rebekah at 12:00UTC. The system was designated as a subtropical storm due to a lack of both separation with the parent upper-level low and significant outflow, which are common characteristic of tropical cyclones. At this time, Rebekah possessed sustained winds of 50mph (85km/h), representing the system's peak intensity. On October31, Rebekah turned to the east then east-northeast, entering a region of low relative humidity, increasing wind shear, and even colder sea surface temperatures. The system rapidly weakened as a result of these unfavorable environmental factors. Rebekah became extratropical once again on November1 at 06:00UTC and dissipated later that day about 115mi (185km) north of the Azores.[109]
In late November, a series of mid- to upper-level troughs progressed across the central subtropical Atlantic, giving way to a large area of disturbed weather. Enhanced by a convectively-coupled kelvin wave, the disturbance coalesced over the next few days and was designated as Tropical Storm Sebastien around 06:00UTC on November19 to the northeast of the Leeward Islands. The system, initially moving west-northwest, curved toward the east-northeast ahead of an approaching upper-level trough. At the same time, Sebastien gradually intensified despite an impinging cold front and moderate wind shear. The cyclone attained peak winds of 70mph (110km/h) early on November23, when it exhibited a mid-level eye feature. Significantly colder waters and strong shear soon took their toll on Sebastien, causing it to become an extratropical cyclone by 00:00UTC on November25. The post-tropical cyclone continued northeast, crossing southwestern Ireland before turning southeast into the Irish Sea and across western England by November27. The low dissipated just west of London around 18:00UTC that day.[110]
The following list of names was used for named storms that formed in the North Atlantic in 2019.[111] This was the same list used in the 2013 season, with the exception of the name Imelda, which replaced Ingrid.[112]Nestor, and Rebekah were also used as a storm name for the first time in 2019; they were the replacements of Noel in 2007 and Roxanne in 1995.
On March 17, 2021, during the joint 42nd and 43rd Sessions of the RA IV Hurricane Committee, the World Meteorological Organization retired the name Dorian from its rotating name lists due to the catastrophic damage it caused, and it will not be used again in the North Atlantic basin. Dorian was replaced with Dexter, which will first appear on the 2025 season list.[113][114][115] Originally, any names retired from the 2019 list were to have been announced in the spring of 2020, but this was delayed to the following year due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[116][117]
Season effects
This is a table of all of the tropical cyclones that formed in the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. It includes their name, duration, peak classification and intensities, areas affected, damage, and death totals. Deaths in parentheses are additional and indirect (an example of an indirect death would be a traffic accident), but were still related to that storm. Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a wave, or a low, and all of the damage figures are in 2019 USD.
↑ All damage figures are in 2019 USD, unless otherwise noted
↑ Melissa reached its peak intensity of 65 mph (100 km/h) and 994 mbar as a subtropical storm but later became fully tropical.
Related Research Articles
The 1998 Atlantic hurricane season was a catastrophic and deadly Atlantic hurricane season, which had the highest number of storm-related fatalities in over 218 years and some of the costliest ever at the time. The season had above average activity, due to the dissipation of an El Niño event and transition to La Niña conditions. It officially began on June 1 and ended on November 30, dates which conventionally delimit the period during which most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic Ocean. The season had a rather slow start, with no tropical cyclones forming in June. The first tropical cyclone, Tropical Storm Alex, developed on July 27, and the season's final storm, Hurricane Nicole, became extratropical on December 1.
The 1968 Atlantic hurricane season was a below average hurricane season during which only nine nameable storms developed. The season officially began on June 1 and lasted until November 30, dates which conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin. Of the named storms, five strengthened into hurricanes; none however intensified into a major hurricane. Only four other seasons since the start of the satellite era—1972, 1986, 1994, and 2013—did not feature a major hurricane. The first system, Hurricane Abby, developed in the northwestern Caribbean on June 1. Abby moved northward and struck Cuba, bringing heavy rainfall and flooding to western portions of the island. Making landfall in Florida on June 4, Abby caused flooding and spawned four tornadoes, but left behind little damage. Overall, the hurricane resulted in six deaths and about $450,000 (1968 USD) in damage. In late June, Tropical Storm Candy brought minor flooding and spawned several tornadoes across portions of the Southern United States. Overall damage from the cyclone reached approximately $2.7 million. 1968 featured two simultaneously active tropical storms during the month of June, a phenomenon that would not occur again until 2023.
The 1974 Atlantic hurricane season was a destructive and deadly hurricane season. In terms of overall activity, it was near average, with eleven named storms forming, of which four became hurricanes. Two of those four became major hurricanes, which are Category 3 or higher systems on the Saffir–Simpson scale. The season officially began on June 1 and lasted until November 30. These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic Ocean.
The 1944 Atlantic hurricane season featured the first instance of upper-tropospheric observations from radiosonde – a telemetry device used to record weather data in the atmosphere – being incorporated into tropical cyclone track forecasting for a fully developed hurricane. The season officially began on June 15, 1944, and ended on November 15, 1944. These dates describe the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin. The season's first cyclone developed on July 13, while the final system became an extratropical cyclone by November 13. The season was fairly active season, with 14 tropical storms, 8 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. In real-time, forecasters at the Weather Bureau tracked eleven tropical storms, but later analysis uncovered evidence of three previously unclassified tropical storms.
The 1937 Atlantic hurricane season was a below-average hurricane season, featuring eleven tropical storms; of these, four became hurricanes. One hurricane reached major hurricane intensity, equivalent to a Category 3 or higher on the modern Saffir–Simpson scale. The United States Weather Bureau defined the season as officially lasting from June 16 to October 16. Tropical cyclones that did not approach populated areas or shipping lanes, especially if they were relatively weak and of short duration, may have remained undetected. Because technologies such as satellite monitoring were not available until the 1960s, historical data on tropical cyclones from this period are often not reliable. As a result of a reanalysis project which analyzed the season in 2012, a tropical storm and a hurricane were added to the Atlantic hurricane database (HURDAT). The official intensities and tracks of all storms were also revised by the reanalysis. The year's first storm formed on July 29 in the Gulf of Mexico, and the final system, a hurricane, dissipated over open ocean on October 21.
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The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season was the second in a group of three very active Atlantic hurricane seasons, each with 19 named storms, tied with 1887, 1995, 2010, and 2012. The above-average activity was mostly due to a La Niña that persisted during the previous year. Of the season's 19 tropical storms, only seven strengthened into hurricanes, and four of those became major hurricanes: Irene, Katia, Ophelia, and Rina. The season officially began on June 1 and ended on November 30, dates which conventionally delimit the period during each year in which most tropical cyclones develop in the Atlantic Ocean. However, the first tropical storm of the season, Arlene, did not develop until nearly a month later. The final system, Tropical Storm Sean, dissipated over the open Atlantic on November 11.
The 2010 Atlantic hurricane season was the first of three consecutive very active Atlantic hurricane seasons, each with 19 named storms. This above average activity included 12 hurricanes, equaling the number that formed in 1969. Only the 2020 and 2005 seasons have had more, at 14 and 15 hurricanes respectively. Despite the high number of hurricanes, not one hurricane hit the United States, making the season the only season with 10 or more hurricanes without a United States landfall. The overall tropical cyclone count in the Atlantic exceeded that in the West Pacific for only the second time on record. The season officially began on June 1 and ended on November 30, dates that conventionally delimit the period during each year when tropical cyclone formation is most likely. The first cyclone, Alex intensified into the first June hurricane since Allison in 1995. The month of September featured eight named storms. October featured five hurricanes, including Tomas, which became the latest on record in a calendar year to move through the Windward Islands. Activity was represented with an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) value of 165 units, which was the eleventh highest value on record at the time. The activity in 2010 was heightened due to a very strong La Niña, which also led to an inactive Pacific hurricane season.
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Hurricane Pablo was a late-season tropical cyclone that became the farthest east-forming hurricane in the North Atlantic tropical cyclone basin on record, beating the previous record set by Hurricane Vince in 2005. The seventeenth tropical/subtropical cyclone, sixteenth named storm and sixth hurricane of the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season, Pablo originated from a baroclinic cyclone a few hundred miles west of the Azores Islands. The precursor cyclone formed on October 22, traveling eastward towards the island chain. The system initially had multiple centers of circulation, but they consolidated into one small low-pressure system embedded within the larger extratropical storm. On October 25, the embedded cyclone developed into a subtropical cyclone, receiving the name Pablo. The cyclone continued eastwards, transitioning into a fully tropical storm later that day. Pablo quickly intensified between October 26 and 27, forming an eye and spiral rainbands. At 12:00 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) on October 27, Pablo intensified into a Category 1 hurricane. The storm continued to strengthen, reaching its peak intensity of 80 mph (130 km/h) and a minimum central pressure of 977 mbar (28.9 inHg) at 18:00 UTC on the same day. The storm quickly weakened the next day, becoming extratropical again, and dissipated on October 29.
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