Demographics of Bulgaria

Last updated

Demographics of Bulgaria
Bulgaria single age population pyramid 2020.png
Bulgaria population pyramid in 2020
PopulationDecrease2.svg 6,385,492 (31st of December, 2023) [1] [2]
Fertility rateDecrease2.svg 1.56 (2023)
Age structure
0–14 yearsSteady2.svg 14.4%
15–64 yearsDecrease2.svg 63.8%
65 and overIncrease Negative.svg 21.8% (2020)
Sex ratio
At birth1.06 male(s)/female
Under 151.05 male(s)/female
15–64 years0.97 male(s)/female
65 and over0.68 male(s)/female
Nationality
Nationalitynoun: Bulgarian(s) adjective: Bulgarian
Major ethnic Bulgarian (84.8%)
Minor ethnicTurkish/ Balkan Gagauz (8.8%)
Roma (4.9%)
Other and unknown (1.5%)
Language
Official Bulgarian (85.2%)

The demography of the Republic of Bulgaria is monitored by the National Statistical Institute of Bulgaria. Demographic features of the population of Bulgaria include population density, ethnicity, education level, health of the populace, economic status, religious affiliations and others.

Contents

Bulgaria has a high Human Development Index of 0.813, ranking 51st in the world in 2018 [3] and holds the 38th position in Newsweek's rankings of the world's best countries to live in, measuring health, education, political environment and economic dynamism. [4]

Demographic history

Census population and average annual growth rate
YearPop.±% p.a.
1880 2,007,919    
1887 3,154,375+6.67%
1892 3,310,713+0.97%
1900 3,744,283+1.55%
1905 4,035,575+1.51%
1910 4,337,513+1.45%
1920 4,846,971+1.12%
1926 5,478,741+2.06%
1934 6,077,939+1.31%
1946 7,029,349+1.22%
1956 7,613,709+0.80%
1965 8,227,866+0.87%
1975 8,727,771+0.59%
1985 8,948,649+0.25%
1992 8,487,317−0.75%
2001 7,928,901−0.75%
2011 7,364,570−0.74%
2021 6,519,789−1.21%
Source: Demographic history of Bulgaria

Various estimates have put Bulgaria's medieval population at 1.1 million in 700 AD and 2.6 million in 1365. [5] At the 2011 census, the population inhabiting Bulgaria was 7,364,570 in total, but the 2021 Census calculated that the population had declined to 6.5 million. [6] [7] The peak was in 1989, the year when the borders opened after a half of a century of communist regime, when the population numbered 9,009,018.

Historical population of Bulgaria, 1812 to 2023 Historical population of Bulgaria.svg
Historical population of Bulgaria, 1812 to 2023

Note: Crude migration change (per 1000) is an extrapolation [8]

Vital statistics

Vital Statistics 1875 to 1915

The total fertility rate is the number of children born per woman. It is based on fairly good data for the entire period. Sources: Our World in Data and Gapminder Foundation. [9]

Years187518761877187818791880 [9]
Total Fertility Rate in Bulgaria5.165.054.954.844.734.62
Years1881188218831884188518861887188818891890 [9]
Total Fertility Rate in Bulgaria4.524.925.165.165.044.375.155.054.924.7
Years1891189218931894189518961897189818991900 [9]
Total Fertility Rate in Bulgaria5.244.824.695.095.455.555.75.285.455.67
Years1901190219031904190519061907190819091910 [9]
Total Fertility Rate in Bulgaria5.75.735.765.85.835.775.725.665.65.55
Years19111912191319141915 [9]
Total Fertility Rate in Bulgaria5.525.485.455.425.39

Vital statistics 1900–1915

[10] [11] [12]

Average populationLive birthsDeathsNatural changeCrude birth rate (per 1000)Crude death rate (per 1000)Natural change (per 1000)
19003,710,000157,00084,00073,00042.322.619.7
19013,740,000141,00087,00054,00037.723.314.4
19023,800,000149,00091,00058,00039.223.915.3
19033,850,000159,00088,00071,00041.322.918.4
19043,910,000167,00084,00083,00042.721.521.2
19054,000,000174,00087,00087,00043.521.821.8
19064,100,000179,00091,00088,00043.722.221.5
19074,150,000180,00092,00088,00043.422.221.2
19084,200,000169,000102,00067,00040.224.316.0
19094,280,000173,000113,00060,00040.426.414.0
19104,350,000180,000100,00080,00041.423.018.4
19114,400,000176,00094,00082,00040.021.418.6
19124,430,000185,00091,00094,00041.820.521.2
19134,200,000108,000122,000-14,00025.729.0-3.3
19144,240,000191,00088,000103,00045.020.824.3
19154,280,000172,00085,00087,00040.219.920.3

Vital statistics 1916–1940

Average populationLive birthsDeathsNatural changeCrude birth rate (per 1000)Crude death rate (per 1000)Natural change (per 1000)Total fertility rates [9]
19164,660,00099,00097,0002,00021.220.80.45.38
19174,690,00081,00099,000-18,00017.321.1-3.85.37
19184,740,000100,000152,000-52,00021.132.1-11.05.36
19194,790,000157,00097,00060,00032.820.312.55.35
19204,850,000193,000104,00089,00039.821.418.45.35
19214,890,000197,000106,00091,00040.321.718.65.27
19225,010,000203,000106,00097,00040.521.219.45.19
19235,090,000192,000108,00084,00037.721.216.55.11
19245,210,000207,000108,00099,00039.720.719.05.03
19255,310,000196,000102,00094,00036.919.217.74.94
19265,420,000203,00093,000110,00037.517.220.34.80
19275,510,000183,000112,00071,00033.220.312.94.65
19285,590,000185,00099,00086,00033.117.715.44.50
19295,670,000173,000103,00070,00030.518.212.34.36
19305,740,000180,00093,00087,00031.416.215.24.05
19315,800,000171,00098,00073,00029.516.912.63.80
19325,884,000186,00096,00090,00031.616.315.34.07
19335,961,000174,00093,00081,00029.215.613.63.76
19346,039,000181,79585,04696,74930.114.116.03.88
19356,102,000160,95189,08671,86526.414.611.83.39
19366,154,000159,14687,72371,42325.914.311.63.33
19376,196,000150,77184,67466,09724.313.710.73.12
19386,244,000142,41585,37357,04222.813.79.12.92
19396,292,000138,88384,15054,73322.113.48.72.81
19406,341,000140,56485,04655,51822.213.48.82.84

Vital statistics 1941 to present

Source: National Statistical Institute [13] [14]

Average population (from 2002 population on December 31)Live birthsDeathsNatural changeCrude birth rate (per 1000)Crude death rate (per 1000)Natural change (per 1000)Total fertility rates [fn 1]
19416,715,100147,29385,01162,28221.912.79.32.80
19426,771,100153,27288,08265,19022.613.09.62.91
19436,827,600148,84088,38660,45421.813.08.92.79
19446,884,600151,01394,08256,93122.013.78.32.83
19456,942,200166,960103,59163,36924.114.99.13.09
19467,000,200179,22695,79983,42725.613.711.93.29
19477,063,700169,50194,39575,10624.013.410.73.06
19487,130,100175,77189,92785,84424.712.612.03.16
19497,195,100177,73484,67593,05924.711.812.93.17
19507,251,000182,57174,134108,43725.210.215.02.94
19517,258,200152,80377,36475,43921.110.710.42.45
19527,274,900154,01484,25469,76021.211.69.62.44
19537,346,100153,22068,05585,16520.99.311.62.41
19547,423,300149,90268,38481,51820.29.211.02.36
19557,499,400150,97867,96083,01820.19.111.12.41
19567,575,800147,91071,15376,75719.59.410.12.36
19577,651,300141,03565,80775,22818.48.69.82.26
19587,727,600138,29460,73477,56017.97.910.02.23
19597,797,800136,89273,85063,04217.59.48.12.23
19607,867,374140,08263,66576,41717.78.19.72.31
19617,943,118137,86162,56275,29917.37.89.42.29
19628,012,946134,14869,64064,50816.78.78.02.24
19638,078,145132,14366,05766,08616.38.18.12.21
19648,144,340130,95864,47966,47916.07.98.22.19
19658,204,168125,79166,97058,82115.38.17.22.09
19668,258,057123,03968,36654,67314.98.36.62.03
19678,310,226124,58274,69649,88614.99.06.02.02
19688,369,603141,46072,17669,28416.88.68.22.27
19698,434,172143,06080,18362,87716.99.57.52.27
19708,489,574138,74577,09561,65016.39.17.22.17
19718,536,395135,42282,80552,61715.89.76.22.10
19728,576,200131,31684,17447,14215.39.85.52.03
19738,620,967139,71381,47058,24316.29.46.82.15
19748,678,745149,19685,23963,95717.19.87.32.29
19758,720,742144,66889,97454,69416.610.36.32.23
19768,758,599144,92988,34856,58116.510.16.52.24
19778,804,183141,70294,36247,34016.110.75.42.21
19788,814,032136,44292,44543,99715.510.55.02.15
19798,825,940135,35894,40340,95515.310.74.62.16
19808,861,535128,19097,95030,24014.411.03.42.05
19818,891,117124,37295,44128,93114.010.73.22.00
19828,917,457124,166100,29323,87313.911.22.72.01
19838,939,738122,993102,18220,81113.711.42.32.01
19848,960,679122,303101,41920,88413.611.32.32.01
19858,960,547118,955107,48511,47013.312.01.31.97
19868,958,171120,078104,03916,03913.411.61.82.02
19878,971,359116,672107,2139,45913.011.91.11.96
19888,981,446117,440107,38510,05513.111.91.11.97
19898,876,972112,289106,9025,38712.812.20.61.90
19908,718,289105,180108,608-3,42812.112.5-0.41.82
19918,632,36795,910110,423-14,51311.212.8-1.71.66
19928,540,16489,134107,998-18,86410.512.7-2.21.55
19938,472,31384,400109,540-25,14010.012.9-3.01.46
19948,443,59179,442111,827-32,3859.413.3-3.81.37
19958,406,06771,967114,670-42,7038.613.7-5.11.23
19968,362,82672,188117,056-44,8688.714.0-5.41.23
19978,312,06864,125121,861-57,7367.714.7-6.91.09
19988,256,78665,361118,190-52,8297.914.4-6.41.11
19998,210,62472,290111,786-39,4968.813.6-4.81.23
20008,170,17273,679115,087-41,4089.014.1-5.11.27
20017,913,30068,180112,368-44,1888.514.0-5.51.24
2002 [15] 7,845,84166,499112,617-46,1188.514.4-5.91.21
20037,801,27367,359111,927-44,5688.714.4-5.71.23
20047,761,04969,886110,110-40,2249.114.3-5.21.29
20057,718,75071,075113,374-42,2999.314.8-5.51.31
20067,679,29073,978113,438-39,4609.714.9-5.21.38
20077,640,20075,349113,004-37,65510.015.0-5.01.42
20087,606,60077,712110,523-32,81110.414.8-4.41.48
20097,563,71080,956108,068-27,11210.914.5-3.61.57
20107,504,86875,513110,165-34,65210.014.6-4.61.49
20117,327,22470,846108,258-37,4129.614.7-5.11.51
20127,284,55269,121109,281-40,1609.515.0-5.51.50
20137,245,67766,578104,345-37,7679.214.4-5.21.48
20147,202,19867,585108,952-41,3679.415.1-5.71.52
2015 [16] 7,153,78465,950110,117-44,1679.215.3-6.21.53
2016 [17] 7,101,85964,984107,580-42,5969.115.1-6.01.54
2017 [18] 7,050,03463,955109,791-45,8369.015.5-6.51.56
2018 [19] 7,000,03962,197108,526-46,3298.915.4-6.61.56
2019 [20] 6,951,48261,538108,083-46,5458.815.5-6.71.58
2020 [21] 6,916,54859,086124,735-65,6498.518.0-9.51.56
2021 [22] 6,838,93758,678148,995-90,3179.022.9-13.91.58
2022 [23] 6,447,71056,596118,814-62,2189.018.4-9.41.78 [24]
20236,385,50049,79589,972-40,1777.814.0-6.21.56(e)

Current vital statistics

[25]

PeriodLive birthsDeathsNatural increase
January - December 202253,257114,130-60,873
January - December 202349,79589,972-40,177
DifferenceDecrease2.svg -3,462 (-6.50%)Decrease Positive.svg -24,158 (-21.17%)Increase2.svg -20,696

Birth rates and fertility

Historical birth and fertility rates

The first reliable data about fertility and natural interest rates in the Bulgarian lands date back to the mid-1800s.

According to Turkish statistician Kemal Karpat, Non-Muslims, Bulgarians included, in the Ottoman Empire received a remarkable boost in fertility in the early 1830s. Their average growth rate climbed up to 2% per year, compared to zero among Muslims, who suffered from demographic stagnation. [26]

The same trend continued well after Bulgaria's Liberation from Ottoman rule in 1878. [27] Until the early 1890s, Muslim birth rates in Bulgaria hesitated in the low 20s, dwarfed by rates of + 40‰ among Orthodox Christians, while natural increase rates hovered around zero. [27] The ongoing Muslim demographic crisis and the heavy migration to Turkey were the two primary reasons for the rapid decrease in Bulgaria's Muslim and Turkish population between 1880 and 1910, from 28.7% in 1880 to 13.8% in 1910 for Muslims and from 26.2% to 10.7% for Turks.

Muslim birth and natural increase rates started climbing slowly from the late 1890s but only surpassed Orthodox ones in 1924. Nevertheless, it was not the Eastern Orthodox but rather Bulgaria's Roman Catholics that had the highest birth rate during the period, though usually offset by very high mortality rates.

Average Number of Births & Deaths, Average Birth Rate, Death Rate and Rate of Natural Increase in the Principality of Bulgaria by Period and Confession [27] [28] [29]
1891–1894 Averages by Confession
ConfessionLive births per yearBirth rateDeaths per yearDeath rateRate of natural increase
NumberNumber
Eastern Orthodox 104,74940.178,16530.010.1
Muslims 14,97223.313,92421.81.5
Jews 1,03836.668424.112.5
Roman Catholics 91140.390139.80.5
Armenian Gregorians 21031.617326.25.4
Protestants 4920.53514.75.8
TOTAL121,92936.793,88328.48.3
1899–1902 Averages by Confession
Live births per year Birth rateDeaths per yearDeath rateRate of natural increase
NumberNumber
125,15141.470,60823.418.0
20,07131.215,78624.56.7
1,29538.555116.422.1
1,16340.781828.612.1
38327.729821.66.1
11926.37015.510.8
148,18239.688,08123.516.1
1904–1907 Averages by Confession
Live births per year Birth rateDeaths per yearDeath rateRate of natural increase
NumberNumber
148,07644.272,81621.822.4
23,12238.314,04123.315.0
1,28834.251813.720.5
1,32144.578526.418.1
35828.327922.16.2
18232.28515.117.1
174,34743.288,52421.921.3
1909–1912 Averages by Confession
ConfessionLive births per yearBirth rateDeaths per yearDeath rateRate of natural increase
NumberNumber
Eastern Orthodox 151,15541.582,00623.018.5
Muslims 23,89639.715,89226.413.3
Jews 1,23430.853213.317.5
Roman Catholics 1,36142.485726.715.7
Armenian Gregorians 29824.124119.64.5
Protestants 19430.110817.312.8
TOTAL178,13841.199,63623.018.1
1919–1922 Averages by Confession
Live births per year Birth rateDeaths per yearDeath rateRate of natural increase
NumberNumber
159,84339.385,29521.018.3
24,34635.216,07923.311.9
1,15826.753612.414.3
1,37240.283024.415.8
29827.525123.14.4
19835.39216.418.9
187,23338.8103,08321.317.5
1925–1928 Averages by Confession
Live births per year Birth rateDeaths per yearDeath rateRate of natural increase
NumberNumber
156,83934.382,22018.016.3
31,57540.017,45822.117.9
1,03222.251511.111.1
1,56638.887821.717.1
64625.543417.18.4
22132.810816.016.8
191,89035.0101,61318.516.5

In the 1930s and 1940s, ethnic Bulgarians completed stage 2 of their demographic transition, and crude birth rate among them fell to a mere 23.3‰ by 1946, or twice as low as the birth rate of Bulgaria's two largest minorities, Turks (40.9‰) and Roma (47.2‰). [30] At the same time, due to higher mortality, the rate of natural increase among Bulgarian Turks was almost identical to that among ethnic Bulgarians (12.1‰ vs. 11.1‰), while the rate among the Romani was twice as high (23.1‰). [30]

Present-day

A total of 64,984 live births were recorded in Bulgaria in 2016, giving the country a crude birth rate of 9.1‰. [31]

Bulgaria has a low total fertility rate of 1.58 children per woman (according to the 2021 Census). This is up significantly from the late 1990s, but still below replacement and not enough to prevent further population decline, especially with emigration. Provinces with large Roma populations (for example Sliven, Montana and Yambol) tend to have higher fertility rates (and higher death rates) compared to other areas, whereas Turkish fertility is similar to the Bulgarian majority. [32] The average number of (live births) children in 2021 was 1.47 for all women (aged 12 or more), ranging from 0.04 children for women between the ages of 12-19 to 1.92 children per women between the ages of 70-79. The distribution by ethnicity shows that only among women who identify themselves as belonging to the Roma ethnic group, the average number of children is sufficient for simple reproduction - 2.25 children, mainly because of the significantly younger age structure and low educational level of this group, followed by the Turkish ethnic group with 1.79 children and 1.41 children for women who self-identified as belonging to the Bulgarian ethnic. [33] The distribution of the average number of live births by religion changes from 1.83 children for Muslim women and 1.82 children for Protestant women, followed by 'other Christian' (1.63), Eastern Orthodox (1.43), Catholic (1.36), Jewish (1.27) and Armenian Apostolic (1.26). Women without religion had an average number of 1.40 children.

Births and deaths, Bulgaria 1900-2015 Vital statistics Bulgaria.tif
Births and deaths, Bulgaria 1900-2015


Fertility rate (1980-2010) Fertility rate of Bulgaria.GIF
Fertility rate (1980–2010)
Total fertility rate and crude birth rate by province in 2010 and from 2016 to 2022 (NSI) [34] [35]
ProvinceTFR (2010)TFR (2016)TFR (2017)TFR (2018)TFR (2019)TFR (2020)TFR (2021)TFR (2022)
Northwest Region 1.531.72 Increase2.svg1.72 Steady2.svg1.75 Decrease2.svg1.77 Increase2.svg1.75 Decrease2.svg1.73 Decrease2.svg1.92 Increase2.svg
Vidin 1.501.45 Decrease2.svg1.58 Increase2.svg1.68 Increase2.svg1.65 Decrease2.svg1.45 Decrease2.svg1.64 Increase2.svg1.83 Increase2.svg
Vratsa 1.461.77 Increase2.svg1.68 Decrease2.svg1.81 Increase2.svg1.83 Increase2.svg1.85 Increase2.svg1.76 Decrease2.svg1.84 Increase2.svg
Lovech 1.581.66 Increase2.svg1.79 Increase2.svg1.89 Increase2.svg1.84 Decrease2.svg1.91 Increase2.svg1.88 Decrease2.svg2.11 Increase2.svg
Montana 1.521.74 Increase2.svg1.65 Decrease2.svg1.67 Increase2.svg1.62 Decrease2.svg1.63 Increase2.svg1.73 Increase2.svg1.87 Increase2.svg
Pleven 1.561.80 Increase2.svg1.79 Decrease2.svg1.71 Decrease2.svg1.81 Increase2.svg1.76 Decrease2.svg1.66 Decrease2.svg1.93 Increase2.svg
North Central Region 1.321.45 Increase2.svg1.45 Steady2.svg1.45 Steady2.svg1.43 Decrease2.svg1.37 Decrease2.svg1.43 Increase2.svg1.73 Increase2.svg
Veliko Tarnovo 1.191.40 Increase2.svg1.43 Increase2.svg1.34 Decrease2.svg1.27 Decrease2.svg1.25 Decrease2.svg1.35 Increase2.svg1.69 Increase2.svg
Gabrovo 1.431.41 Decrease2.svg1.49 Increase2.svg1.58 Increase2.svg1.69 Increase2.svg1.46 Decrease2.svg1.43 Decrease2.svg1.86 Increase2.svg
Razgrad 1.371.49 Increase2.svg1.48 Decrease2.svg1.65 Increase2.svg1.60 Decrease2.svg1.50 Decrease2.svg1.53 Increase2.svg1.70 Increase2.svg
Ruse 1.341.40 Increase2.svg1.37 Decrease2.svg1.41 Increase2.svg1.30 Decrease2.svg1.34 Increase2.svg1.40 Increase2.svg1.60 Increase2.svg
Silistra 1.491.77 Increase2.svg1.71 Decrease2.svg1.55 Decrease2.svg1.76 Increase2.svg1.58 Decrease2.svg1.60 Increase2.svg2.01 Increase2.svg
Northeast Region 1.531.50 Decrease2.svg1.48 Decrease2.svg1.49 Increase2.svg1.52 Increase2.svg1.45 Decrease2.svg1.46 Increase2.svg1.75 Increase2.svg
Varna 1.571.45 Decrease2.svg1.44 Decrease2.svg1.44 Steady2.svg1.47 Increase2.svg1.49 Increase2.svg1.49 Steady2.svg1.68 Increase2.svg
Dobrich 1.441.53 Increase2.svg1.51 Decrease2.svg1.44 Decrease2.svg1.56 Increase2.svg1.44 Decrease2.svg1.37 Decrease2.svg1.78 Increase2.svg
Targovishte 1.671.59 Decrease2.svg1.57 Decrease2.svg1.63 Increase2.svg1.61 Decrease2.svg1.41 Decrease2.svg1.46 Increase2.svg1.91 Increase2.svg
Shumen 1.421.54 Increase2.svg1.45 Decrease2.svg1.53 Increase2.svg1.51 Decrease2.svg1.35 Decrease2.svg1.39 Increase2.svg1.92 Increase2.svg
Southeast Region 1.671.82 Increase2.svg1.88 Increase2.svg1.84 Decrease2.svg1.87 Increase2.svg1.82 Decrease2.svg1.82 Steady2.svg2.01 Increase2.svg
Burgas 1.541.63 Increase2.svg1.65 Increase2.svg1.61 Decrease2.svg1.69 Increase2.svg1.59 Decrease2.svg1.57 Decrease2.svg1.76 Increase2.svg
Sliven 1.952.24 Increase2.svg2.34 Increase2.svg2.27 Decrease2.svg2.35 Increase2.svg2.24 Decrease2.svg2.29 Increase2.svg2.57 Increase2.svg
Stara Zagora 1.641.73 Increase2.svg1.80 Increase2.svg1.76 Decrease2.svg1.72 Decrease2.svg1.73 Increase2.svg1.73 Steady2.svg1.84 Increase2.svg
Yambol 1.701.98 Increase2.svg2,00 Increase2.svg2.13 Increase2.svg2.06 Decrease2.svg2.08 Increase2.svg2.07 Decrease2.svg2.35 Increase2.svg
Southwest Region 1.421.36 Decrease2.svg1.38 Increase2.svg1.38 Steady2.svg1.42 Increase2.svg1.44 Increase2.svg1.47 Increase2.svg1.59 Increase2.svg
Blagoevgrad 1.461.46 Steady2.svg1.45 Decrease2.svg1.50 Increase2.svg1.62 Increase2.svg1.61 Decrease2.svg1.62 Increase2.svg1.63 Increase2.svg
Kyustendil 1.331.63 Increase2.svg1.75 Increase2.svg1.76 Increase2.svg1.95 Increase2.svg1.77 Decrease2.svg1.76 Decrease2.svg1.82 Increase2.svg
Pernik 1.351.62 Increase2.svg1.66 Increase2.svg1.73 Increase2.svg1.68 Decrease2.svg1.54 Decrease2.svg1.67 Increase2.svg1.53 Decrease2.svg
Sofia 1.451.74 Increase2.svg1.73 Decrease2.svg1.80 Increase2.svg1.91 Increase2.svg1.90 Decrease2.svg1.92 Increase2.svg1.90 Decrease2.svg
Sofia (city)1.391.27 Decrease2.svg1.29 Increase2.svg1.26 Decrease2.svg1.28 Increase2.svg1.33 Increase2.svg1.36 Increase2.svg1.51 Increase2.svg
South Central Region 1.501.61 Increase2.svg1.65 Increase2.svg1.65 Steady2.svg1.66 Increase2.svg1.59 Decrease2.svg1.59 Steady2.svg1.82 Increase2.svg
Kardzhali 1.491.64 Increase2.svg1.66 Increase2.svg1.70 Increase2.svg1.74 Increase2.svg1.49 Decrease2.svg1.31 Decrease2.svg1.78 Increase2.svg
Pazardzhik 1.581.72 Increase2.svg1.75 Increase2.svg1.85 Increase2.svg1.81 Decrease2.svg1.70 Decrease2.svg1.57 Decrease2.svg2.02 Increase2.svg
Plovdiv 1.491.56 Increase2.svg1.60 Increase2.svg1.61 Increase2.svg1.60 Decrease2.svg1.58 Decrease2.svg1.63 Increase2.svg1.82 Increase2.svg
Smolyan 1.331.45 Increase2.svg1.47 Increase2.svg1.40 Decrease2.svg1.49 Increase2.svg1.49 Steady2.svg1.48 Decrease2.svg1.33 Decrease2.svg
Haskovo 1.531.70 Increase2.svg1.75 Increase2.svg1.62 Decrease2.svg1.71 Increase2.svg1.59 Decrease2.svg1.63 Increase2.svg1.82 Increase2.svg
Bulgaria 1.491.54 Increase2.svg1.56 Increase2.svg1.56 Steady2.svg1.58 Increase2.svg1.56 Decrease2.svgIncrease2.svg 1.58Increase2.svg 1.78

Regional differences

As of 2022, the municipality of Tvarditsa has the highest crude birth rate in the country, at 18.4‰, followed by the municipalities of Yablanitsa (17.9‰) and Nikolaevo Municipality (17.2‰). All these municipalities have relatively large Romani populations.

Top 20 municipalities with the highest birth rate (2021) [36] [37]
MunicipalityBirth rate (‰)
Tvarditsa Municipality, Sliven Province 18.4
Yablanitsa Municipality, Lovech Province 17.9
Nikolaevo Municipality, Stara Zagora Province 17.2
Kaynardzha Municipality, Silistra Province 16.1
Ugarchin Municipality, Lovech Province 15.1
Kotel Municipality, Sliven Province 14.6
Nikola Kozlevo Municipality, Shumen Province 14.6
Lukovit Municipality, Lovech Province 13.6
Dolna Banya Municipality, Sofia Province 13.0
Bratya Daskalovi Municipality, Stara Zagora Province 12.5
Straldzha Municipality, Yambol Province 12.5
Gurkovo Municipality, Stara Zagora Province 12.4
Sadovo Municipality, Plovdiv Province 12.4
Nova Zagora Municipality, Sliven Province 12.3
Strazhitsa Municipality, Veliko Tarnovo Province 12.2
Suhindol Municipality, Veliko Tarnovo Province 12.2
Ruzhintsi Municipality, Vidin Province 12.1
Rakovski Municipality, Plovdiv Province 12.1
Devnya Municipality, Varna Province 12.0
Dimovo Municipality, Vidin Province 12.0
Top 20 municipalities with the lowest birth rate (2017) [38]
Nedelino Municipality, Smolyan Province 5.7
Hisarya Municipality, Plovdiv Province 5.6
Kocherinovo Municipality, Kyustendil Province 5.6
Devin Municipality, Smolyan Province 5.5
Gramada Municipality, Vidin Province 5.5
Svoge Municipality, Sofia Province 5.5
Godech Municipality, Sofia Province 5.4
Apriltsi Municipality, Lovech Province 5.3
Novo Selo Municipality, Vidin Province 5.0
Chepelare Municipality, Smolyan Province 4.9
Zemen Municipality, Pernik Province 4.9
Hitrino Municipality, Shumen Province 4.8
Chiprovtsi Municipality, Montana Province 4.7
Borovo Municipality, Ruse Province 4.5
Belene Municipality, Pleven Province 4.4
Tryavna Municipality, Gabrovo Province 4.2
Boynitsa Municipality, Vidin Province 4.0
Nevestino Municipality, Kyustendil Province 3.8
Banite Municipality, Smolyan Province 3.2
Georgi Damyanovo Municipality, Montana Province 3.1

On the other hand, the municipalities of Georgi Damyanovo, Banite and Nevestino have incredibly low birth rates. These municipalities are almost exclusively inhabited by ethnic Bulgarians.

Teenage pregnancy

Bulgaria has one of the highest share of teenage pregnancy in Europe. Nevertheless, this number declined rapidly between 1995 and 2010, until it stabilized at around 10%.

Number of teenage mothers in Bulgaria in the period 1990-2022 [39]
Year1990199520002005201020152017202020212022
All live births in Bulgaria105,18071,96773,67969,88675,51365,95063,95559,08658,67856,596
Mothers aged under twenty22,51816,27812,78710,6258,4116,2746,0385,9705,8615,769
Share of teenage mothersIncrease2.svg 21.4%Increase2.svg22.6%Decrease2.svg 17.4%Decrease2.svg 15.2%Decrease2.svg 11.1%Decrease2.svg 9.5%Decrease2.svg 9.4%Increase2.svg 10.1%Decrease2.svg 10.0%Increase2.svg 10.2%

The ten municipalities with the largest absolute number of teenage mothers for 2022 are: Sliven (371), Sofia (345), Plovdiv (196), Pazardzhik (130), Yambol (123), Nova Zagora (121), Burgas (108), Pleven (110), Tvarditsa (98), Stara Zagora, Varna (83) and Haskovo (81). [39]

Top ten municipalities with the highest share of mothers aged under twenty (2022) [39]
MunicipalityAll live birthsBirths to mothers aged under twenty % of all live births
Gurkovo Municipality 542546.3%
Simeonovgrad Municipality 783343.3%
Ugarchin Municipality 753242.7%
Yablanitsa Municipality 994040.4%
Tvarditsa Municipality 2439840.4%
Kaynardzha Municipality 632539.7%
Straldzha Municipality 1274737.0%
Maglizh Municipality 1013635.6%
Sredets Municipality 1184134.7%
Nova Zagora Municipality 37112132.6%

Life expectancy at birth

Life expectancy in Bulgaria since 1900 Life expectancy in Bulgaria.svg
Life expectancy in Bulgaria since 1900
Life expectancy in Bulgaria since 1960 by gender Life expectancy by WBG -Bulgaria -diff.png
Life expectancy in Bulgaria since 1960 by gender
Total population: Increase2.svg 74.83 years
Male: Increase2.svg 71.37 years
Female: Increase2.svg 78.39 years (2016-2018 est.) [1]


Average life expectancy at age 0 of the total population. [40]

PeriodLife expectancy in
Years
1950–195562.33
1955–1960Increase2.svg 66.78
1960–1965Increase2.svg 70.28
1965–1970Increase2.svg 70.91
1970–1975Increase2.svg 71.07
1975–1980Increase2.svg 71.10
1980–1985Increase2.svg 71.24
1985–1990Increase2.svg 71.39
1990–1995Decrease2.svg 71.11
1995–2000Decrease2.svg 70.97
2000–2005Increase2.svg 72.19
2005–2010Increase2.svg 73.13
2010–2015Increase2.svg 74.25
2016–2018Increase2.svg 74.83


Kardzhali Province and Sofia City have the highest life expectancy with 76.6 years for both sexes. The lowest life expectancy is recorded in the Northwestern provinces like Montana (72.7 years), Vratsa (72.8 years) and Vidin (72.9 years). [41]

Infant mortality rate

Total: Decrease Positive.svg 5.8 deaths/1,000 live births (2018) [1]
Male: Decrease Positive.svg 6.2 deaths/1,000 live births (2018)
Female: Decrease Positive.svg 5.3 deaths/1,000 live births (2018)

Projections

The following forecast for the future population is an official estimate of the National Statistical Institute of Bulgaria. [42]

YearPopulation
20256,263,384
20306,007,657
20355,801,261
20405,637,361
20455,505,143
20505,391,291
20555,287,150
20605,189,165
20655,099,550
20705,025,580
20754,971,948
20804,937,302

Demographic statistics

Demographic statistics according to the World Population Review. [43]

Demographic statistics according to the CIA World Factbook, unless otherwise indicated. [44]

Population
6,519,789 (Sept 2021 cens)
6,919,180 (July 2021 est.)
7,057,504 (July 2018 est.)
Ethnic groups
Bulgarian 76.9%, Turkish/Balkan Gagauz 8%, Romani 4.4%, other 0.7% (including Russian, Armenian, and Vlach), other (unknown) 10% (2011 est.)
note: Romani populations are usually underestimated in official statistics and may represent 9–11% of Bulgaria's population
Languages
Bulgarian (official) 76.8%, Balkan Gagauz 8.2%, Romani 3.8%, other 0.7%, unspecified 10.5% (2011 est.)
Religions
Eastern Orthodox 59.4%, Muslim 7.8%, other (including Catholic, Protestant, Armenian Apostolic Orthodox, and Jewish) 1.7%, none 3.7%, unspecified 27.4% (2011 est.)
Age structure
Population pyramid of Bulgaria by age and sex in 1950 Bulgariapop-1950.svg
Population pyramid of Bulgaria by age and sex in 1950
0-14 years: 14.52% (male 520,190 /female 491,506)
15-24 years: 9,4% (male 340,306 /female 312,241
25-54 years:42.87% (male 1,538,593 /female 1,448,080)
55-64: 13.15% (male 433,943 /female 482,784)
65 years and over: 20.06% (male 562,513 /female 835,065) (2020 est.)
0-14 years: 14.6% (male 530,219 /female 500,398)
15-24 years: 9.43% (male 346,588 /female 318,645)
25-54 years: 43.12% (male 1,565,770 /female 1,477,719)
55-64 years: 13.3% (male 442,083 /female 496,888)
65 years and over: 19.54% (male 557,237 /female 821,957) (2018 est.)
Median age
total: 43.7 years. Country comparison to the world: 20
male: 41.9 years
female: 45.6 years (2020 est.)
total: 43 years. Country comparison to the world: 22nd
male: 41.2 years
female: 44.9 years (2018 est.)
Birth rate
8.15 births/1,000 population (2021 est.) Country comparison to the world: 218th
8.5 births/1,000 population (2018 est.) Country comparison to the world: 215th
Population pyramid of Bulgaria in 2017 Bulgariapop.svg
Population pyramid of Bulgaria in 2017
Death rate
14.52 deaths/1,000 population (2021 est.) Country comparison to the world: 3rd
14.5 deaths/1,000 population (2018 est.) Country comparison to the world: 4th
Total fertility rate
1.49 children born/woman (2021 est.) Country comparison to the world:204th
1.47 children born/woman (2018 est.) Country comparison to the world: 201st
Net migration rate
-0.29 migrant(s)/1,000 population (2021 est.) Country compy to the world:115
Population growth rate
-0.67% (2021 est.) Country comparison to the world: 229th
Mother's mean age at first birth
27.1 years (2017 est.)
Dependency ratios
total dependency ratio: 56.6 (2020 est.)
youth dependency ratio: 23 (2020 est.)
elderly dependency ratio: 33.6 (2020 est.)
potential support ratio: 3 (2020 est.)
Urbanization
urban population: 75.7% of total population (2020)

.rate of urbanization: -0.22% annual rate of change (2015-20 est.)

potential support ratio: 3.3 (2015 est.)
Bias among ethnic groups in Bulgaria Bias in Bulgaria.jpg
Bias among ethnic groups in Bulgaria
Life expectancy at birth
total population: 75.3 years. Country comparison to the world: 122th
male: 72.08 years
female: 78.73 years (2021 est.)
Literacy

definition: age 15 and over can read and write (2015 est.)

total population: 98.4%
male: 98.7%
female: 98.1% (2015 est.)
School life expectancy (primary to tertiary education)
total: 14 years
male: 14 years
female: 14 years (2016)
Unemployment, youth ages 15–24
total: 12.7%. Country comparison to the world: 108th
male: 13.2%
female: 13.9% (2018 est.)

Sex ratio

Of the total 7,364,570 as of 2011, 3,586,571 are males and 3,777,999 are females, or there are 1,053 women for every 1,000 men.

Demographic policies

The progressive decrease of the Bulgarian population is hindering economic growth and welfare improvement, and the management measures taken to mitigate the negative consequences do not address the essence of the problem. The Government Program for the period 2017 - 2021 is the first one that aims at overturning the trend. The program also identifies the priority means for achieving this goal: measures to increase the birth rate, reduce youth emigration, and build up regulatory and institutional capacity to implement a modern immigration policy tailored to the needs of the Bulgarian business. [45] [46]

Ethnic groups

Population of Bulgaria according to ethnic group 1900–1956
Ethnic groupcensus 1900census 1905census 1910census 1920census 1926census 1934census 1946census 1956
Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%
Bulgarians [47] 2,888,21977.13,203,81079.43,518,75681.14,036,05683.34,557,70683.25,204,21785.65,903,58084.06,506,54185.5
Turks [47] 531,24014.2488,01012.1465,64110.7520,33910.7577,55210.5591,1939.7675,5009.6656,0258.6
Roma [47] 89,5492.499,0042.5122,2962.898,4512.0134,8442.5149,3852.5170,0112.4197,86512.6
Romanians 71,0631.975,7731.979,4291.857,3121.269,0801.216,5040.32,4590.03,7490.0
Greeks 66,6351.863,4871.643,2751.042,0740.910,5640.29,6010.23,6230.07,4370.1
Jews 33,6610.937,6630.940,1330.943,2090.946,5580.848,5650.844,2090.66,0270.1
Tatars 18,8840.517,9420.418,2280.44,9050.16,1910.18,1330.15,9930.1
Armenians 14,5810.414,1780.412,9320.311,5090.227,3320.525,9630.421,6370.321,9540.3
Gagauzes 10,1750.39,3290.23,6690.14,3620.1
Sarakatsani 36,1280.27,2510.23,0750.12,8660.02,0850.0
Russians 1,6850.03,2750.22,5050.29,0800.219,7060.411,9280.213,2000.210,5510.1
Macedonians [48] ------169,54422.4187,78922.5
Others15,6020.213,1990.2
Undeclared0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-
Total3,744,2834,035,5754,337,5134,846,9715,528,7416,077,9397,029,3497,613,709
1 According to x files of the state, the number of the Romani was reduced by 25,000 in 1956. [49]

2 In the 1946 and the 1956 census, the population of Pirin Macedonia was forced to list as ethnic Macedonians by the Communist government in preparation of a planned federation between the People's Republic of Bulgaria and Socialist Yugoslavia, with "United Macedonia" as the connecting piece. The deal fell through, and the policy was eventually reversed in 1958. [50] [51]

3 Note that the distinction between Sarakatsani and Greeks, and between Vlachs and both Aromanians and Romanians, is fluid. Sarakatsani were counted as Greeks in the 1900, 1920, 1926, 1934, and 1965 censuses.
Distribution of Turks according to the 2001 census TurksBG 2001.png
Distribution of Turks according to the 2001 census
Distribution of the ethnic groups by municipalities according to the 2011 census within those who answered the question (6,680,000) Ethnic composition of Bulgaria, 2011.PNG
Distribution of the ethnic groups by municipalities according to the 2011 census within those who answered the question (6,680,000)
Ethnic structure of the entire population (7,364,570) by most detailed cadastral division according to the 2011 census Bulgaria ethnic map.svg
Ethnic structure of the entire population (7,364,570) by most detailed cadastral division according to the 2011 census
Population of Bulgaria according to ethnic group 1965-2001
Ethnic groupcensus 1965census 1975census 19851census 1992 [52] census 2001 [53]
Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%
Bulgarians [47] 7,231,24387.97,930,02490.97,271,18585.76,655,21083.9
Turks [47] 780,9289.5730,7288.4800,0529.4746,6649.4
Roma [47] 148,87421.818,32320.2313,3963.7370,9084.7
Armenians 20,2820.214,5260.213,6770.210,8320.1
Russians 10,8150.117,1390.215,5950.2
"Vlachs"(Aromanians and Romanians)5,1590.110,5660.1
Sarakatsani 35,1440.14,1070.1
Ukrainians 1,8640.02,4890.0
Macedonians 9,6320.110,8030.15,0710.1
Greeks 8,2410.14,9300.13,4080.0
Jews 5,1080.13,0763,4610.01,3630.0
Romanians 2,4910.01,0880.0
Tatars 6,4300.15,9630.14,5150.11,8030.0
Gagauzes 1,4780.05400.0
Others25,1310.323,5420.312,3420.2
Undeclared008,4810.162,1080.8
Unshown00024,8070.3
Total8,227,9668,727,7718,948,6498,487,3177,932,984
1No data collected about ethnic group in 1985 census.

2 There are strong indications that the number of ethnic Romani in the 1965 and 1975 census was manipulated.

3 Note that the distinction between Sarakatsani and Greeks, and between Vlachs and both Aromanians and Romanians, is fluid. Sarakatsani were counted as Greeks in the 1900, 1920, 1926, 1934, and 1965 censuses.
Population of Bulgaria according to ethnic group 2011-2021
Ethnic groupcensus 2011 [47] census 2021 [54] [55]
Number%(%)1Number%(%)1
Bulgarians [47] 5,664,62476.92(85.47)5,118,49478.51(85.70)
Turks [47] 588,3187.99(8.88)508,3787.80(8.51)
Roma [47] 325,3434.42(4.91)266,7204.09(4.47)
Russians 9,9780.14(0.15)14,2180.22(0.24)
Armenians 6,5520.09(0.10)5,3060.08(0.09)
"Vlachs"3,6840.05(0.06)1,6430.03(0.03)
Sarakatsani 2,5560.03(0.04)2,0710.03(0.03)
Ukrainians 1,7890.02(0.03)3,2390.05(0.05)
Macedonians 1,6540.02(0.02)1,1430.02(0.02)
Greeks 1,3790.02(0.02)1,6250.02(0.02)
Jews 1,1620.02(0.02)1,1530.02(0.02)
Romanians 8910.01(0.01)6830.01(0.01)
Tatars 1,1290.2(0.02)
Gagauzes 400.0(0.00)
Others19,6590.27(0.30)46,79620.62(0.78)
Undeclared736,98110.00-79,5131.22-
No return/Data borrowed
from administrative sources
---467,6787.1-
Total7,364,5706,519,789
1 Percentages in parentheses are calculated only based on the number of people who answered the ethnicity question (6,680,980 for 2011 and 6,052,111 for 2021) and do not cover people whose data has been collected from administrative databases.
2Includes, among other things, 2,894 Englishmen, 865 Italians, 824 Poles, etc. etc.


The following table shows the ethnic composition of all Provinces of Bulgaria according to the 2021 census:

Ethnic Affiliation in Bulgaria by Province in 2021 [54] [56]
Province BulgarianTurkishRomaniOtherUndeclaredUnknown1, 2Total
Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%
Blagoevgrad Province 236,95181.914,0284.812,1384.211,1973.83,7681.313,9654.8292,227100.0
Burgas Province 280,38873.747,28612.414,8933.95,9921.65,8051.525,9226.8380,286100.0
Dobrich Province 109,04172.618,83512.510,1186.82,0351.41,3041.38,8135.9150,146100.0
Gabrovo Province 89,39490.94,7234.87920.87350.71,0681.11,6751.998,387100.0
Haskovo Province 154,08872.825,55512.112,5725.91,7640.82,2541.115,3327.2211,565100.0
Kardzhali Province 37,38326.583,28059.01,3541.02,1301.54,9093.512,1218.6141,177100.0
Kyustendil Province 101,73591.0560.06,5555.93290.35090.52,5522.3111,736100.0
Lovech Province 103,48488.92,7892.44,9994.34070.32,2021.92,5132.2116,394100.0
Montana Province 99,53983.01360.113,13010.93810.39840.85,7804.8119,950100.0
Pazardzhik Province 184,67780.46,7823.014,3206.24,6862.02,1891.017,1607.5229,814100.0
Pernik Province 107,45994.11280.13,5543.13880.37180.61,9251.7114,162100.0
Pleven Province 200,19788.55,3672.46,9993.19370.41,8290.810,7914.8226,120100.0
Plovdiv Province 513,24980.939,5856.226,2964.15,0040.88,1341.342,2296.7634,497100.0
Razgrad Province 38,87337.749,31847.85,8065.61,9571.91,9151.95,3635.2103,223100.0
Ruse Province 148,84576.923,95812.47,0413.62,0601.12,3151.29,2644.8193,483100.0
Shumen Province 81,90754.144,26329.211,2687.42,1181.41,8721.210,0376.6151,465100.0
Silistra Province 51,57952.834,39235.75,2445.46940.77930.85,0685.297,770100.0
Sliven Province 115,60766.913,2177.723,91813.91,8611.11,6911.016,3969.5172,690100.0
Smolyan Province 86,81890.23,0493.24830.53,5893.71,6091.77360.7396,284100.0
Sofia City1,058,55383.15,8810.513,9601.113,7661.116,0861.2166,04413.01,274,290100.0
Sofia Province 204,66288.23420.111,3804.97420.31,4590.613,4045.8231,989100.0
Stara Zagora Province 239,77080.912,1704.118,1586.12,4650.82,9291.021,0157.1296,507100.0
Targovishte Province 46,45547.334,27934.95,9806.12,8282.92,0912.16,0616.298,144100.0
Varna Province 352,88681.625,6785.99,6342.27,6641.86,1871.430,1497.0432,198100.0
Veliko Tarnovo Province 178,49186.111,3485.53,6551.81,6520.82,3141.19,9114.8207,371100.0
Vidin Province 68,14390.4650.05,0556.73450.53060.41,4942.075,408100.0
Vratsa Province 137,58790.04240.310,1326.64440.31,6291.12,5871.7152,813100.0
Yambol Province 90,73382.79940.97,1166.58360.86430.69,3718.5109,693100.0
Republic of Bulgaria5,118,49478.5508,3787.8266,7204.179,0061.279,5131.2467,6787.26,519,789100.0
1 The category pertains to citizens whose data has been collected from administrative databases.
2 The online stage of the 2021 Census was subjected to repeated DDoS attacks. [57] As a result, much fewer citizens than expected, especially in major urban areas, were able to take the online census, and the number of hired census assessors proved inadequate to ensure full census coverage in most major cities. Thus, the City of Sofia had a record-high number of no returns, 166,044, or 35.5% of the country total, despite being home to only 19.5% of the population.
3 The province with most missing returns for 2011 (21.7%), Smolyan, had record-high participation in 2021, with only 736 or 0.7% missing returns. [56]

Languages

Distribution of the mother tongues by municipalities according to the 2011 census Bulgaria ethnic map.png
Distribution of the mother tongues by municipalities according to the 2011 census
Distribution of languages of Bulgaria (2001) [58]
Bulgarian
84.5%
Turkish
9.6%
Roma (Gypsy)
4.1%
others
0.9%
undeclared
0.9%
Population of Bulgaria according to mother tongue 1880–1892
Mother
tongue
census 1880 [59] [60] census 1887 [61] census 1892 [62]
Number %Number %Number %
Bulgarian 1,345,50767.02,326,25073.72,505,32675.7
Turkish/Gagauz 527,28426.3607,33119.3569,72817.2
"Vlach"49,0702.4
Romanian 62,6281.9
Roma 37,6001.950,2911.652,1321.6
Ladino 14,0200.727,5310.8
Tatar 12,3760.616,2900.5
Greek 11,1520.658,3261.858,5181.8
Armenian 3,8376,4450.2
Serbo-Croatian 1,894
Serbian 818
German/Yiddish 1,280
German 3,620
Russian 1,123928
Albanian 530
Italian 515803
Hungarian 220
Czech 174
French 164356
Arabic 97
Polish 92
English 64
Circassian 63
Persian 58
Others4024,425
Unknown1,165
Total2,007,9193 154 3753,310,713
Territory (km2)63,75295,22395,223

The 2001 census defines an ethnic group as a "community of people, related to each other by origin and language, and close to each other by mode of life and culture"; and one's mother tongue as "the language a person speaks best and usually uses for communication in the family (household)". [63] According to the 2011 census, among the Bulgarians 99.4% indicate Bulgarian as a mother tongue, 0.3% - Turkish/Balkan gagauz, 0.1% - Roma and 0.1% others; among Turks 96.6% have pointed the Turkish/Balkan Gagauz as a mother tongue and 3.2% - Bulgarian; among the Roma 85% indicate Roma language as a mother tongue, 7.5% - Bulgarian, 6.7% - Turkish/Balkan gagauz and 0.6% - Romanian.

Religion

Bulgaria's traditional religion according to the constitution is the Orthodox Christianity, while Bulgaria is a secular state too. Since the last two censuses (2001 and 2011) provide widely divergent results, they are both shown in the table below. It is noteworthy that over a fifth of the population chose not to respond to this question in the 2011 census.

Religious structure of Bulgaria according to the 2011 census. Bulgaria religous map by municipalities.png
Religious structure of Bulgaria according to the 2011 census.
Muslim areas in Bulgaria according to the 2001 census Distribution of Muslims in Bulgaria per Province.svg
Muslim areas in Bulgaria according to the 2001 census
2001 [64] 2011 [6] [65]
Orthodox Christian82.6%59.4%
Muslim12.2%7.8% (7.4% Sunni; 0.4% Shia)
Catholic0.6%0.7%
Protestant0.5%0.9%
Other0.2%0.15%
None3.9%9.3%
No response-21.8%

The results of the Bulgarian 2011 Census, in which the indication of answer regarding the question for confession was optional, are as follows: [66]

GroupPopulation % of declared % of total
Orthodoxy 4,374,13576.0%59.4%
Undeclared1,606,269-21.8%
Irreligion 682,16211.8%9.3%
Islam 577,13910.0%7.8%
Protestantism 64,4761.1%0.9%
Roman Catholicism 48,9450.8%0.7%
Oriental Orthodoxy 1,7150.0%0.0%
Jews7060.0%0.0%
Others9,0230.2%0.1%
Figure of percentage-5,758,3017,364,570
Municipalities where the prevalence is Bulgarian Muslim according to the 2001 census Pomaks map.png
Municipalities where the prevalence is Bulgarian Muslim according to the 2001 census

The results of the Bulgarian 2001 Census by ethnic groups, the latest census in which the indication of identification (whether by confession or as irreligious) in the question for confession was obligatory, are as follows: [67] [68]

Ethnic groups
by confession
Total Bulgarians Turks Roma Others
Number %Number %Number %Number %Number %
Orthodoxy 6,552,75182.66,315,93894.95,4250.7180,32648.651,062
Islam 966,97812.2131,5312.0713,02495.5103,43627.918,987
Irreligion 308,1163.9151,0082.323,1463.159,66916.1
Roman Catholicism 43,8110.637,8110.62,5610.3
Protestantism 42,3080.514,5910.22,0660.324,6516.61,000
Others14,9370.24,3310.14420.1
Total population7,928,901100.06,655,210100.0746,664100.0370,908100.0100.0
Population of Bulgaria according to religion 1900 - 2021
Religioncensus 1900census 1910census 1920census 1926census 1934census 1992census 2001census 2011census 2021
Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%Number%
Orthodoxy 3,019,99980.63,643,91884.04,062,09783.84,569,07483.45,128,89084.47,274,59285.76,552,75182.64,374,13559.44,091,78062.8
Islam 643,30017.2602,07813.8690,73414.2789,29614.4821,29813.51,110,29513.0966,97812.2577,1397.8638,7089.8
Protestantism 4,5240.16,3350.15,6170.16,7350.18,3710.121,8780.242,3080.564,4761.169,8521.1
Roman Catholicism 28,5690.832,1500.734,0720.740,3470.745,7040.753,0740.643,8110.548,9450.838,7090.6
Jews33,6630.940,0670.943,2320.946,4310.848,3980.82,5800.07060.01,7360.0
Armenian Apostolic Church 13,8090.412,2590.310,8480.225,4020.523,4760.49,6720.11,7150.05,0020.1
Others3260.014,9370.29,0230.26,4510.1
Irreligion272,2643.7305,1024.7
Undeclared930.0308,1163.9408,9895.5731,84111.2
Borrowed from adm. sources308,1163.91,606,26921.8616,6819.5
Total3,744,2834,337,5134,846,9715,478,7416,077,9398,487,3177,928,9017,364,5706,519,789

Migration

Historical migration

The first censuses of the Principality of Bulgaria and the autonomous province of Eastern Rumelia in 1880 recorded 31,786 and 17,970 Bulgarian refugees from Macedonia and Ottoman Thrace, respectively, who accounted for 1.38% of the population of the Principality an 2.20% of the population of the autonomous province, respectively. [69] [70] [71] The census of the Principality also counted a total of 37,635 people, or 1.88% of the population, born in a country other than the Ottoman Empire, mostly Bulgarians from Romania, Northern Dobruja and Bessarabia. [69] By 1887, when the first joint census of the Principality and the autonomous province was conducted following their peaceful unification in 1885, the number of the refugees from the Ottoman Empire had grown to 54,462 people, or 1.73% of the population, while the rest of the foreign-born population had fallen to 31,637 people, 9,831 of whom born in the Russian Empire, 11,843 in Romania, 2,690 in Serbia and 7,273 elsewhere. [72]

According to the 1910 census, 300,000 or almost 10% of the ethnic Bulgarians were born in another Bulgarian municipality than the one they were enumerated in. The same data shows that the foreign-born ethnic Bulgarians numbered 78,000, or 2% of them, most numerous of whom were the 61,000 Ottoman-born, 9,000 Romanian-born and by less than 2,000 Austro-Hungarian, Serbian and Russian-born. [73] By the 1926 census, there had been 253,000 refugees with granted households and land or citizenship but with many more in towns of uncertain number. 35% came from Eastern Thrace, 30% came from Greek Macedonia, another 18% from Western Thrace, 8% from Dobruja, 4% from the Western Outlands, 3% from Asia Minor, and 2% from North Macedonia. They constituted 6% of the country's population. In 1940, 70,000 Bulgarians were exchanged from Northern Dobruja. The total number of refugees in 1878-1940 is estimated at between 700,000 and 1,200,000. [74] In 1950-1951, around 150,000 Turks left Bulgaria for Turkey, and again in 1989.

Current migration

According to the 2011 census Russian citizens are the most numerous foreigners - 11 991, followed by 8 444 EU citizens (UK- 2 605, Greece - 1 253, Germany- 848, Poland - 819 and Italy - 456), citizens of Ukraine - 3 064, North Macedonia - 1 091, Moldova - 893 and Serbia - 569. 22.8% of them are from Asia, mostly from Turkey. Those with dual Bulgarian and other citizenship were 22 152, or 0.3% of the population. Of them persons with Bulgarian and Russian citizenship were 5 257 (23.7%), followed by persons with Bulgarian and Turkish citizenship - 4 282 (19.3%), Bulgarian and citizenship of the USA- 1 725 (7.8%). There are at least 17,527 Refugees of the Syrian Civil War with applications in Bulgaria. In 2001-2015 185,447 people applied for Bulgarian citizenship and 116,222 were provided with. 113,647 were granted on grounds of proven Bulgarian ancestry, including 59,968 North Macedonia citizens. 29,218 were Moldovan citizens, 5930 Ukrainians, 5374 Serbians, 5194 Russians, 3840 Israeli, 2192 Albanians, 692 Turks and others. [75] In 2016, 12,880 foreigners were naturalized, including 6196 Macedonians. [76]

Permanent foreign residents in Bulgaria by broad geographic region of origin in 2011 and 2021 [77] [7]
Nationality20112021
Number%Number%
Flag of Bulgaria.svg Bulgarians7,327,84799.50%6,459,24899.07%
Foreigners36,7230.50%60,5410.93%
Flag of Europe.svg EU-278,4440.11%10,5490.16%
Other European18,4130.15%35,9010.55%
Africa4290.01%9400.01%
Central and South America3380.00%5180.01%
North America5880.01%7760.01%
Asia8,4030.11%10,4660.16%
Oceania620.00%880.00%
Stateless460.00%1,3030.02%
Total7,364,5706,519,789
Ten most common resident nationalities in 2011 and 2021 [77] [7]
Nationality20112021
Number%Number%
Flag of Russia.svg  Russian Federation 11,91132.84%17,46528.85%
Flag of Ukraine.svg  Ukraine 3,0648.45%6,16310.18%
Flag of Turkey.svg  Turkey 2,7417.56%3,0174.99%
Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  United Kingdom 2,6057.09%4,4847.41%
Flag of Greece.svg  Greece 1,2533.41%1,6312.69%
Flag of Armenia.svg  Armenia 1,1673.22%1,0481.73%
Flag of North Macedonia.svg  North Macedonia 1,0913.01%1,5762.60%
Flag of Germany.svg  Germany 8482.31%1,7972.97%
Flag of the People's Republic of China.svg  China 7492.04%1,6832.78%
Flag of Syria.svg  Syria 7292.00%2,6154.32%
Total36,72360,541

Population by country of birth: [78]

2011201320152019 [79]
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Bulgaria.svg  Bulgaria 7,290,6667,188,2737,077,3896,951,482
Total foreign-born78,62196,113123,803168,516
Flag of Russia.svg  Russia 18,72519,53324,41631,679
Flag of Turkey.svg  Turkey 3,9556,2279,28411,702
Flag of Syria.svg  Syria 1,2501,2988,31814,080
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Greece.svg  Greece 4,9287,3777,1668,563
Flag of Ukraine.svg  Ukraine 5,8776,0847,03910,115
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Germany.svg  Germany 2,0833,6385,5339,334
Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  UK 3,0425,0666,7389,992
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Spain.svg  Spain 1,5584,0655,2407,098
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Romania.svg  Romania 6,0455,3804,6124,556
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Italy.svg  Italy 1,0822,2612,8303,790
Flag of North Macedonia.svg  North Macedonia 2,4262,3842,7423,595
Flag of the United States.svg  USA 1,1802,0232,4313,153
Flag of Moldova.svg  Moldova 1,8931,9962,3632,990
Flag of Serbia.svg  Serbia 2,3062,2462,3182,879
Flag of Azerbaijan.svg  Azerbaijan 2,1521,8711,8862,103
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of France.svg  France 5621,2551,7812,614
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Poland.svg  Poland 1,1961,4431,6482,043
Flag of Armenia.svg  Armenia 1,4721,4221,5651,840
Flag of Kazakhstan.svg  Kazakhstan 9701,0671,5152,101
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Belgium (civil).svg  Belgium 4101,0091,4812,199
Flag of the People's Republic of China.svg  China 8609291,2361,447
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of the Czech Republic.svg  Czech Republic 9241,0281,1861,514
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Austria.svg  Austria 1,512
Flag of Albania.svg  Albania 1,1341,0781,1301,348
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of the Netherlands.svg  Netherlands 2987351,0401,522
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Cyprus.svg  Cyprus 2446791,0081,372
Unknown1441661,006

Foreigners by nationality:

20112015
Total36,72365,622
Flag of Russia.svg  Russia 11,99117,943
Flag of Turkey.svg  Turkey 2,7418,157
Flag of Syria.svg  Syria 7297,508
Flag of Ukraine.svg  Ukraine 3,0643,874
Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  UK 2,6053,693
Unknown2,538
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Greece.svg  Greece 1,2532,094
Stateless1,875
Flag of North Macedonia.svg  North Macedonia 1,0911,289
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Germany.svg  Germany 8481,266
Flag of Armenia.svg  Armenia 1,1671,175
Flag of the People's Republic of China.svg  China 7491,147
Flag of Moldova.svg  Moldova 8931,018
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Poland.svg  Poland 819978
Flag of the United States.svg  USA 876
Flag of Europe.svg Flag of Italy.svg  Italy 456815
Flag of Serbia.svg  Serbia 569813
Flag of Iraq.svg  Iraq 706806
Flag of Kazakhstan.svg  Kazakhstan 712

Age structure

0–14 years: Decrease2.svg 13.2%
15–65 years: Increase2.svg 68.3%
65 years and over: Increase Negative.svg 18.5% (Census 2011) [6]

At the 2011 census, the largest cohort of those self-identified as Romani was the 0–9 years cohort, which accounted for 20.8% of all Romani. The same age cohort accounted for 10.2% of the Turks and 7.2% of the Bulgarians. [80] At the 2021 census, the 0–9 years cohort amongst the Romani was second largest after the 10–19 years one and represented 17.0% of all Romani. [81] The corresponding percentages for ethnic Bulgarians and ethnic Turks stood at 7.7% and 8.8%, respectively.

Ethnicity of children aged 0–9 (2011 census) [80] [82]

   Bulgarians (62.0%)
   Romani (10.2%)
   Turks (9.0%)
  Other (0.5%)
  Undeclared (3.4%)
  Data borrowed from adm. databases (14.9%)

Ethnicity of children aged 0–9 (2021 census) [81]

   Bulgarians (66.4%)
   Romani (7.7%)
   Turks (7.5%)
  Other (0.7%)
  Undeclared (2.0%)
  Data borrowed from adm. databases (15.6%)
Ethnicity of children aged 0–9 per province (% from the declared)
Province EthnicityEthnicityEthnicity
BulgarianTurkishRoma
Bulgaria 72.9% 10.6% 12.0%
Blagoevgrad Province 80.9%7.3%7.8%
Burgas Province 68.5%16.2%9.7%
Dobrich Province 56.9%17.1%18.9%
Gabrovo Province 85.0%8.2%3.8%
Haskovo Province 62.7%16.5%16.7%
Kardzhali Province 23.8%67.8%2.7%
Kyustendil Province 79.4%0.0%16.1%
Lovech Province 78.0%3.6%14.8%
Montana Province 66.8%0.1%29.0%
Pazardzhik Province 67.3%8.7%16.7%
Pernik Province 90.3%0.1%7.5%
Pleven Province 78.5%4.4%13.5%
Plovdiv Province 74.1%9.3%11.9%
Razgrad Province 33.9%50.0%10.2%
Ruse Province 72.2%15.1%8.9%
Shumen Province 45.5%31.5%17.6%
Silistra Province 38.2%43.1%14.4%
Sliven Province 55.0%11.6%28.3%
Smolyan Province 87.6%5.0%1.9%
Sofia City92.2%0.5%3.6%
Sofia Province 77.1%0.2%18.8%
Stara Zagora Province 68.3%7.3%19.9%
Targovishte Province 39.6%38.0%15.5%
Varna Province 79.2%8.9%7.0%
Veliko Tarnovo Province 79.9%11.0%4.4%
Vidin Province 74.3%0.1%20.6%
Vratsa Province 80.3%0.4%15.6%
Yambol Province 62.4%5.8%26.7%
Source (2011 census): [47]

Bulgarian children constitute the majority of all children in 23 out of 28 provinces. They constitute more than ninety percent of all children in two provinces: Sofia (city) (92%) and Pernik Province (90%).

Turkish children constitute the majority in Kardzhali Province (68% of self-declared) and Razgrad Province (50% of self-declared); they also constitute the largest group of all children in Silistra Province (43%).

Roma children constitute 12% of all children in Bulgaria and more than a quarter in three provinces: Montana (29%), Sliven (28%) and Yambol (27%).

Bulgaria is ageing rapidly, especially in some remote rural areas.

Age Structure (2011)
Under working age (0 – 17)Working age (18 – 64)Above working age (65 and over)
1 172 208 (16.0%)4 789 967 (65.1%)1 389 059 (18.9%)
Age Structure (2017) [83]
Under working age (0 – 17)Working age (18 – 64)Above working age (65 and over)
1 065 993 (15.1%)4 248 503 (60.3%)1 735 538 (24.6%)

The ageing of the population leads to an increase of the median age. The median age is 43.6 as of 2017, up from 40.4 years in 2001. [84]

Education

Cocencms202-2 (L).png
Map of Romani students in schools in Bulgaria
Cocencms202-2 (R).png
Chart of completed degrees by ethnic groups in Bulgaria

Over 98% of the population is literate, the males being more literate than the females.

According to the 2011 census, about 112,778 people aged nine or more are illiterate. There are considerable differences in the share of illiterate persons amongst the three main ethnic groups. Amongst the Bulgarian ethnic group the share of illiterate is 0.5%, amongst the Turkish - 4.7% and amongst the Roma ethnic group - 11.8%. [85] About 81 thousand people aged seven or more never visited school. [86]

Unemployment

Chart of unemployment and poverty rate by ethnic groups Bulgaria socio-economic map.jpg
Chart of unemployment and poverty rate by ethnic groups

The number of unemployed people declined from 207000 people (or around 6.2% of the population) in 2017 [87] to 156 657 in November 2023. The unemployment rate stood at 4.3 per cent in November 2023 accoring to Eurostat. [88]

Most unemployed people are aged 15 to 24 years old.

The unemployment rate in rural areas (around 10.0%) is nearly two times higher than the unemployment rate in urban areas (approximately 5.1%).

Vidin Province has the highest unemployment rate with almost one fifth of its labour force being unemployed. The provinces of Shumen (15.9%), Silistra (12.5%) and Targovishte (12.4%) have also very high unemployment rates.

Other statistics

Home ownership

According to Eurostat, 82.3% per cent of the population live in privately owned and owner-occupied homes, ranking it as 12th highest in ownership globally. [89] It is down from a recent peak of 87.6% in 2008, and has been steadily falling since. [89]

Internet penetration

The number of Internet users has increased rapidly since 2000—from 430,000 their number grew to 1.55 million in 2004, and 3.4 million (48 per cent penetration rate) in 2010. [90] Bulgaria has the third-fastest average Broadband Internet speed in the world after South Korea and Romania with an average speed of 1,611 kbit/s. [91] [92]

Mobile phone adoption

Currently there are three active mobile phone operators—Mtel, Telenor and Vivacom, Mtel is the largest one with 5.2 million users as of 2010, [93] Telenor has 3,9 million as of 2007 and Vivacom over 1 million[ citation needed ].

HIV

Bulgaria's HIV rate is among the lowest in the world, being 0.1% or 3,800 infected as of 2009.[ citation needed ]

Urbanization

Most Bulgarians (72.5 per cent) reside in urban areas. Approximately one-sixth of them live in Sofia, which has a population exceeding 1,200,000 people.

Urban population: Increase2.svg 5,338,261 or 72.5% of total population (Census 2011) [6]
Rural: 2,026,309 or 27.5%
Rate of urbanization: -0.3% annual rate of change (2005–10 est.)

See also

Notes

  1. In fertility rates, 2.1 and above is a stable population and has been marked blue, 2 and below leads to an aging population and the result is that the population decreases.

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