Demographics of Wales

Last updated

Demographics of Wales
Wales Population pyramid estimate 2020.svg
Population pyramid of Wales in 2020
Population3,107,500
Fertility rate1.48

Demographics of Wales include the numbers in population, place of birth, age, ethnicity, religion, and number of marriages in Wales.

Contents

Historical population

Population of Wales over time Population of Wales over time.svg
Population of Wales over time
Historical population
YearPop.±%
1801 587,128    
1811 673,337+14.7%
1821 789,271+17.2%
1831 904,312+14.6%
1841 1,045,958+15.7%
1851 1,163,139+11.2%
1861 1,286,413+10.6%
1871 1,412,583+9.8%
1881 1,604,821+13.6%
1891 1,788,639+11.5%
1901 2,012,876+12.5%
1911 2,420,921+20.3%
1921 2,656,474+9.7%
1931 2,593,332−2.4%
1951 2,596,850+0.1%
1961 2,644,023+1.8%
1971 2,731,204+3.3%
1981 2,790,500+2.2%
1991 2,811,865+0.8%
2001 2,910,200+3.5%
2011 3,063,456+5.3%
2021 3,107,500+1.4%
Source: [1] [2]
YearPopulation [3] [4]
1536278,000
1620360,000
1770500,000
1801587,000
18511,163,000
19112,421,000
19212,656,000
19392,487,000
19612,644,023
19912,811,865
20113,063,456
20213,107,500

The population of Wales doubled from 587,000 in 1801 to 1,163,000 in 1851 and had reached 2,421,000 by 1911. Most of the increase came in the coal mining districts especially Glamorganshire, which grew from 71,000 in 1801 to 232,000 in 1851 and 1,122,000 in 1911. [5] Part of this increase can be attributed to the demographic transition seen in most industrialising countries during the Industrial Revolution, as death-rates dropped and birth-rates remained steady. However, there was also a large-scale migration of people into Wales during the Industrial Revolution.

Current population

The 2021 census showed Wales' population to be 3,107,500, the highest in its history. [6] In 2011, 27 per cent (837,000) of the total population of Wales were not born in Wales, [7] [8] including 636,000 people (21 per cent of the total population of Wales) who were born in England. [9] The main population and industrial areas are in south Wales, including the cities of Cardiff, Swansea and Newport and the nearby valleys, with another significant population in the north-east around Wrexham and Flintshire.

Population density of Wales in 2011 Population density map in Wales from the 2011 census.png
Population density of Wales in 2011

According to the 2001 census, 96 per cent of the population was White British, and 2.1 per cent non-white (mainly of British Asian origin). [10] Most non-white groups were concentrated in Cardiff, Newport and Swansea. Welsh Asian and African communities developed mainly through immigration after the Second World War. [11] In the early 21st century, parts of Wales saw an increased number of immigrants settle from recent EU accession countries such as Poland; [12] though a 2007 study showed a relatively low number of employed immigrant workers from the former Eastern Bloc countries in Wales compared to other regions of the United Kingdom. [13]

The 2001 UK census was criticised in Wales for not offering 'Welsh' as an option to describe respondents' national identity. [14] Partly to address this concern, the 2011 census asked the question "How would you describe your national identity?". Respondents were instructed to "tick all that apply" from a list of options that included Welsh. The outcome was that 57.5 per cent of Wales' population indicated their sole national identity to be Welsh; a further 7.1 per cent indicated it to be both Welsh and British. No Welsh national identity was indicated by 34.1 per cent. The proportion giving their sole national identity as British was 16.9 per cent, and another 9.4 per cent included British with another national identity. No British national identity was indicated by 73.7 per cent. 11.2 per cent indicated their sole national identity as English and another 2.6 per cent included English with another national identity. [15] [16] [17]

The 2011 census showed Wales to be less ethnically diverse than any region of 'England and Wales': [18] 93.2 per cent classed themselves as White British (including Welsh, English, Scottish or Northern Irish), 2.4 per cent as "Other White" (including Irish), 2.2 per cent as Asian (including Asian British), 1 per cent as Mixed, and 0.6 per cent as Black (African, Caribbean, or Black British). The lowest proportion of White British (80.3 per cent) was in Cardiff. [17] [19]

In 2001, a quarter of the Welsh population were born outside Wales, mainly in England; about 3 per cent were born outside the UK. The proportion born in Wales varies across the country, with the highest percentages in the south Wales valleys and the lowest in mid Wales and parts of the north-east. In both Blaenau Gwent and Merthyr Tydfil, 92 per cent were Welsh-born, compared with only 51 per cent and 56 per cent in the border counties of Flintshire and Powys. [20] Just over 1.75 million Americans report themselves to have Welsh ancestry, as did 440,965 Canadians in Canada's 2006 census. [21] [22]

The total fertility rate (TFR) in Wales was 1.90 in 2011, [23] which is below the replacement rate of 2.1. The majority of births are to unmarried women (58 per cent of births in 2011 were outside marriage). [24] About one in 10 births (10.7 per cent) in 2011 were to foreign-born mothers, compared to 5.2 per cent in 2001. [25]

 
Largest cities or towns in Wales
Rank Name Council area Pop. Rank Name Council area Pop.
Cardiff Castle and Millennium Stadium.jpg
Cardiff
Meridian Tower Swansea Skyline.jpg
Swansea
1 Cardiff City & County of Cardiff 335,14511 Caerphilly Caerphilly County Borough 41,402 Newportciviccentre.jpg
Newport
Wrexham - geograph.org.uk - 163421.jpg
Wrexham
2 Swansea City & County of Swansea 239,00012 Port Talbot Neath Port Talbot 37,276
3 Newport Newport City 128,06013 Pontypridd Rhondda Cynon Taf 30,457
4 Wrexham Wrexham County Borough 61,60314 Aberdare Rhondda Cynon Taf 29,748
5 Barry Vale of Glamorgan 54,67315 Colwyn Bay Conwy County Borough 29,405
6 Neath Neath Port Talbot 50,65816 Pontypool Torfaen 28,334
7 Cwmbran Torfaen 46,91517 Penarth Vale of Glamorgan 27,226
8 Bridgend Bridgend County Borough 46,75718 Rhyl Denbighshire 25,149
9 Llanelli Carmarthenshire 43,87819 Blackwood Caerphilly County Borough 24,042
10 Merthyr Tydfil Merthyr Tydfil 43,82020 Maesteg Bridgend County Borough 18,888
Population growth between 2011 and 2021
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Less than -3%
-0 - 3%
+0 - 5%
+5 - 10%
More than +10% Wales population growth from 2011 to 2021.svg
Population growth between 2011 and 2021
  Less than -3%
  -0 - 3%
  +0 - 5%
  +5 - 10%
  More than +10%

Vital statistics

[27]

Average populationLive birthsDeathsNatural changeCrude birth rate (per 1000)Crude death rate (per 1000)Natural change (per 1000)Fertility rates
194039,31935,5853,73413.912.61.31.84
194139,88635,8374,04913.712.31.41.82
194243,13031,36011,77015.411.24.22.03
194343,27031,49611,77416.011.64.42.11
194446,73030,98715,74317.511.65.92.33
194541,51531,8929,62315.712.13.62.12
194647,56631,54716,01919.012.36.72.55
194751,16333,29117,87220.413.37.12.75
194847,17530,09517,08017.711.36.42.46
194944,33732,10912,22816.612.04.62.35
195042,77633,2959,48115.412.92.52.26
195141,27036,0055,26515.213.31.92.21
195241,38831,00510,38315.111.33.82.23
195341,52831,39210,13615.312.42.92.31
195440,25632,8227,70415.012.32.72.28
195538,87633,9384,93814.812.72.12.25
195640,91532,4388,47715.512.03.52.41
195741,64532,6968,94915.912.33.62.43
195842,46032,6429,81816.212.24.02.50
195942,26232,13410,12816.312.14.22.56
196044,14732,71511,43217.012.34.72.68
196144,92333,70511,21817.412.94.52.75
196245,38233,78111,60117.813.04.82.83
196347,03834,76312,27518.013.24.82.95
196447,50232,74614,75618.312.36.02.99
196546,29233,06213,23017.912.45.52.91
196644,86634,64310,22317.512.84.72.81
196743,70633,16010,54617.012.24.82.73
196844,20734,8929,31516.712.93.82.62
196943,08235,9537,12916.213.52.72.53
197042,48734,9987,48915.812.83.02.47
19712,740,00043,05634,8178,23915.712.53.02.45
19722,755,00039,95536,0003,95514.513.11.42.24
19732,772,00037,59735,8261,77113.612.90.72.08
19742,785,00036,20635,63457213.012.80.21.97
19752,795,00033,97235,610-1,63812.212.7-0.51.87
19762,799,00033,73836,345-2,60711.913.0-1.11.79
19772,800,00031,76535,205-3,44011.312.6-1.31.72
19782,804,00033,30835,963-2,66511.912.8-0.91.79
19792,810,00036,17436,0878712.912.80.11.91
19802,815,00037,35735,1492,20813.312.50.81.95
19812,813,00035,84235,01582712.712.40.31.87
19822,804,00035,72035,15256812.712.50.21.86
19832,803,00035,49435,24225212.712.60.11.83
19842,800,00035,86133,6522,20912.812.00.81.83
19852,803,00036,77135,5361,23513.112.70.41.86
19862,811,00037,03834,7122,32613.212.30.91.86
19872,822,00037,81633,9193,89713.412.01.41.88
19882,841,00038,82433,9814,84213.712.01.71.91
19892,855,00038,01935,1342,88513.312.31.01.86
19902,861,00038,86633,9634,90313.611.91.71.91
19912,873,00038,07934,1363,94313.311.91.41.88
19922,877,00037,52333,7923,73113.011.71.31.87
19932,883,00036,57835,82675212.712.40.31.84
19942,887,00035,36633,8241,54212.211.70.51.79
19952,888,00034,47735,306-82911.912.2-0.31.77
19962,891,00034,89434,8029212.112.00.11.81
19972,895,00034,52034,886-36611.912.1-0.21.81
19982,899,00033,43833,905-46711.511.7-0.21.78
19992,900,00032,11134,929-2,81811.112.0-0.91.72
20002,907,00031,30433,501-2,19710.811.5-0.71.68
20012,910,00030,61633,249-2,63310.511.4-0.91.66
20022,923,00030,20533,314-3,10810.311.4-1.11.64
20032,937,00031,40033,810-2,41010.711.5-0.81.71
20042,957,00032,32532,317810.910.90.01.76
20052,969,00032,59332,16243111.010.80.21.78
20062,985,00033,62831,0832,54511.310.41.11.82
20073,006,00034,41432,1482,26611.410.70.71.86
20083,026,00035,65032,0663,58411.810.61.21.91
20093,039,00034,93731,0663,87111.510.21.31.87
20103,050,00035,95231,1974,75511.810.21.61.92
20113,063,00035,59830,4265,17211.69.91.71.90
20123,074,00035,23831,5023,73611.510.21.31.88
20133,082,00033,74732,1381,60910.910.40.51.80
20143,092,00033,54431,4392,10510.810.20.61.78
20153,099,00033,27933,1988110.710.70.01.77
20163,113,00032,93633,047–11110.610.6–0.01.74
20173,125,00032,17633,248−1,07210.410.6−0.21.69
20183,139,00031,27434,406–3,13210.011.0–1.01.63
20193,153,00029,70432,900-3,1969.410.4-1.01.54
20203,170,00028,63837,399-8,7619.011.8-2.81.47
2021(c)3,107,50028,78136,141-7,3609.311.6-2.31.51
20223,131,64028,29635,688-7,3929.111.4-2.31.46
202336,041

(c) = Census results.

Current vital statistics

[28]

PeriodLive birthsDeathsNatural increase
January - February 20237,196
January - February 20246,643
DifferenceDecrease Positive.svg -553 (-7.68%)

Place of birth

According to the 2011 census 2.2 million (73%) of the usual residents were born in Wales, a reduction of two percent since 2001. In 2001, 590,000 (20%) of the population of Wales was born in England. By 2011, the proportion of English-born citizens of Wales had increased by one percent to 21%. In 2011, 27% (837,000) of the total population of Wales were born outside Wales, and of these immigrants 636,000 (76%) were born in England. [29]

Map showing the percentage of the population born in England according to the 2011 census. Born In England 2011 Census Wales.png
Map showing the percentage of the population born in England according to the 2011 census.
Country of birth2001 [30] 2011 [31]
Number%Number%
Flag of Wales (1959-present).svg  Wales 2,188,75475.39%2,226,00572.66%
Flag of England.svg  England 589,82820.32%636,26620.77%
Flag of Scotland.svg  Scotland 24,3890.84%24,3460.79%
Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  Northern Ireland 7,8510.27%8,2530.27%
Flag of the United Kingdom.svg  UK not otherwise specified7150.02%
Flag of Ireland.svg  Republic of Ireland 12,7180.44%12,1750.40%
Other Flag of Europe.svg  European Union Member Countries23,6940.82%55,3601.81%
Other Flag of Europe.svg  European Union Member Countries (joined pre 2001)26,3430.86%
Other Flag of Europe.svg  European Union Member Countries (joined post 2001)29,0170.95%
Other countries55,8511.92%100,3363.28%
Total2,903,085100.00%3,063,456100.00%

Below are the 5 largest foreign-born groups in Wales according to 2014 ONS estimates. [32]

Country of birthEstimated population
201320142015
Flag of Poland.svg  Poland 20,00022,00023,000
Flag of Ireland.svg  Republic of Ireland 11,00012,00010,000
Flag of India.svg  India 10,00012,00013,000
Flag of Germany.svg  Germany 11,00011,00011,000
Flag of South Africa.svg  South Africa 7,0006,0006,000
Population pyramid from 2001 to 2020 Wales population pyramid from 2001 to 2020.gif
Population pyramid from 2001 to 2020

Age

Population pyramid in 2020 Wales Population pyramid estimate 2020.svg
Population pyramid in 2020

According to the 2011 census, some 563,000 of the population were aged 65 and over, an increase of 56,700 or one percent since 2001. As in 2001, six per cent (178,000) of the population in Wales were children under five, an increase of 11,300. [31]

Ages attained
(years)
Population % of total
0–4178,3015.82
5–9163,0795.32
10–14177,7485.80
15–19199,1206.50
20–24211,9246.92
25–29185,7286.06
30–34174,6945.70
35–39183,0455.98
40–44213,1556.96
45–49213,1557.20
50–54201,5996.58
55–59186,9236.10
60–64204,8856.69
65–69166,0075.42
70–74134,5434.39
75–79108,2023.53
80–8479,2322.59
85–8949,3601.61
90+25,2000.82
Source: 2011 Census: Usual resident population by five-year age group and sex, local authorities in the United Kingdom, Accessed 23 December 2012

National identity

2011

A question on national identity was asked in the 2011 census: "What do you feel is your national identity?" Respondents could identify themselves as having one or more national identity.

An analysis of the 2011 data by Manchester University's Centre on Dynamics of Ethnicity revealed that: [33]

The remainder chose other national identities. (Percentiles are majoritively shown.) The Welsh-Caribbean population were the most likely to respond as "Welsh Only", at 59% of 11,099 citizens.

2018

A 2018 poll, commissioned by the BBC and carried out by YouGov, found that almost eight in 10 (79%) people in Wales identified strongly as British; while six in 10 (62%) identified strongly as Welsh. [34] [35]

2020

A 2020 YouGov poll asking a sample of 1110 people "Which, if any, of the following best describes the way you think of yourself?" found the following responses:

Summary

Total Welsh at all: 69%

Total at least more Welsh than British: 38%

Total at least more British than Welsh: 26% [36]

Ethnicity

[37]

Ethnic demography of Wales from 1981 - 2011 Ethnic demography of Wales from 1981 - 2021.gif
Ethnic demography of Wales from 1981 - 2011
Ethnic makeup of Wales in single year age groups in 2021 Ethnic makeup of Wales in single year age groups in 2021.svg
Ethnic makeup of Wales in single year age groups in 2021
Population pyramid of Wales by ethnicity in 2021 Population pyramid of Wales by ethnicity in 2021.svg
Population pyramid of Wales by ethnicity in 2021

According to the 2011 census, 2.2 million (73%) of usual residents of Wales were born there, two percent less than in 2001. The change can be attributed to both international and internal migration. In 2001, 590,000 (20%) of the population of Wales was born in England. In 2011, this had increased by one percent. [31] Nearly 418,000 people identified themselves as Welsh in 2001. The 1991, 2001 and 2011 census estimated the following ethnic groups:

Ethnic demography of Wales Flag of Wales.svg
Ethnic groupYear
1981 estimations [38] 1991 [39] [40] 2001 [41] 2011 [42] 2021 [43]
Population%Population%Population %Population %Population %
White: Total2,788,53399.1%2,793,52298.5%2,841,50597.9%2,928,253

95.6%

2,915,84894.2%
White: British 2,786,60596.0%2,855,45093.2%2,814,42790.9%
White: Irish 20,8410.7%17,6890.6%14,0860.5%13,2140.4%
White: Irish Traveller/White Gypsy [note 1] 2,7850.1%3,5500.1%
White: Roma1,8430.1%
White: Other 37,2111.3%55,9321.8%82,9942.7%
Asian or Asian British: Total24,3990.9%31,7151.1%70,128

2.3%

89,0283%
Asian or Asian British: Indian 6,3840.2%8,2610.3%17,2560.6%21,0700.7%
Asian or Asian British: Pakistani 5,7170.2%8,2870.3%12,2290.4%17,5340.6%
Asian or Asian British: Bangladeshi 3,8200.1%5,4360.2%10,6870.3%15,3140.5%
Asian or Asian British: Chinese [note 2] 4,8010.2%6,2670.2%13,6380.4%14,4540.5%
Asian or Asian British: Asian Other 3,6770.1%3,4640.1%16,3180.5%20,6560.7%
Black or Black British: Total9,4920.3%7,0690.2%18,276

0.6%

27,5540.8%
Black or Black British: African 2,6710.1%3,7270.1%11,8870.4%19,9070.6%
Black or Black British: Caribbean 3,3480.1%2,5970.1%3,8090.1%3,7000.1%
Black or Black British: Other 3,4730.1%745<0.1%2,5800.1%3,9470.1%
British Mixed: Total17,6610.7%31,521

1.0%

48,5981.6%
Mixed: White and Caribbean 5,9960.2%11,0990.4%13,7320.4%
Mixed: White and African 2,4130.1%4,4240.1%8,0680.3%
Mixed: White and Asian 5,0010.2%9,0190.3%14,0350.5%
Mixed: Other Mixed 4,2510.2%6,9790.2%12,7630.4%
Other: Total7,6600.3%5,1350.2%15,278

0.5%

26,4660.9%
Other: Arab [note 3] 9,6150.3%11,6410.4%
Other: Any other ethnic group7,6600.3%5,1350.2%5,6630.2%14,8250.5%
Ethnic minority: Total24,4670.9%41,5511.5%61,5802.1%135,2034.4%191,6465.8%
Total:2,813,000100%2,835,073100%2,903,085100%3,063,456

100%

3,107,494100%

Notes for table above

  1. New category created for the 2011 census
  2. In 2001, listed under the 'Chinese or other ethnic group' heading.
  3. New category created for the 2011 census
Source: Census 2001 Key Statistics - Urban area summary results for local authorities KS06 Ethnic group, Retrieved 18 June 2013
Source: Census 2011: Ethnic group, unitary authorities in Wales, Accessed 23 December 2012

Ethnicity of school pupils

White British school children in Wales White British school children in Wales.svg
White British school children in Wales
Ethnicity of school pupils within Wales
Ethnic groupSchool year [44]
200820162022
Population%Population%Population%
White: Total383,82093.8%362,29092.2365,23190.3%
White: British 376,87092.1%351,14589.4%350,84286.7%
White: Irish Traveller/White Gypsy 5859961,1830.3%
White: Other 636510,14913,2063.3%
Asian or Asian British: Total7,8451.9%9,9052.5%10,5202.6%
Asian or Asian British: Indian 13452,0562,6410.7%
Asian or Asian British: Pakistani 22253,0093,2850.8%
Asian or Asian British: Bangladeshi 23003,1883,3040.8%
Asian or Asian British: Chinese 8657209390.2%
Asian or Asian British: Asian Other 11109321,2900.3%
Black or Black British: Total2,1400.5%3,3550.9%4,4461.1%
Black or Black British: Caribbean 200194198
Black or Black British: African 15952,7433,7110.9%
Black or Black British: Other 3454185370.1%
British Mixed: Total6,7151.6%10,5922.7%14,7753.7%
Mixed: White and Caribbean 17502,3142,7540.7%
Mixed: White and African 7301,3982,1980.5%
Mixed: White and Asian 16052,3513,0110.7%
Mixed: Other Mixed 26304,5296,8121.7%
Other: Total25300.6%4,6391.2%6,0591.5%
Other: Any other ethnic group25300.6%6,0591.5%
Unknown or not stated62451.5%2,0810.5%2,5110.6%
Total:409,295100%392,862100%404,481100%

Religion

Religion2001 [45] 2011 [46] 2021 [47]
Number%Number%Number%
No religion 537,93518.5982,99732.11,446,39846.5
Christianity 2,087,24271.91,763,29957.61,354,77343.6
Islam 21,7390.745,9501.566,9472.2
Hinduism 5,4390.210,4340.312,2420.4
Buddhism 5,4070.29,1170.310,0750.3
Sikhism 2,0150.12,9620.14,0480.1
Judaism 2,2560.12,0640.12,0440.1
Other religion [48] 6,9090.212,7050.415,9260.5
Religion not stated234,1438.1233,9287.6195,0416.3
Total population2,903,085100.03,063,456100.03,107,494100.0

Language

The 2011 census collected information about English and Welsh language proficiency. In 2011, 2.9 million (97%) of residents, age three and over, spoke English or Welsh. In a further 18,000 households, at least one adult spoke English or Welsh. In 22,000 households, no resident spoke either language. There were 562,000 (19%) residents, over age three, proficient in at least speaking the Welsh language. This was a reduction of approximately 2 per cent compared to 2001, though the method of analysis differed between the two censuses. There was also a 2% increase in those, over three years of age, who had no Welsh language skills. [31]

The proportion of respondents in the 2011 census who said they could speak Welsh. Welsh speakers in the 2011 census.png
The proportion of respondents in the 2011 census who said they could speak Welsh.
Welsh language skills2001 number (,000)2001%2011 number (,000)2011%change (,000)change %
No skills in Welsh2,00871.62,16873.31601.7
Can speak, read and write Welsh45816.343114.6-27-1.7
Can understand spoken Welsh only1384.91585.3190.4
Can speak but cannot read or write Welsh792.8802.71-0.1
Other combination of skills in Welsh843.0732.5-10-0.5
Can speak and read but cannot write Welsh381.4461.570.1
Source: 2011 Census: KS207WA Welsh language skills, unitary authorities in Wales, Accessed 23 December 2012

The most common main languages spoken in Wales according to the 2011 census are shown below. [51]

LanguageUsual residents aged 3+Proportion
English or Welsh 2,871,40597.14%
Polish 17,0010.58%
Arabic 6,8000.23%
Bengali (with Sylheti and Chatgaya)5,2070.18%
Tagalog/Filipino 2,7490.09%
Portuguese 2,4510.08%
Urdu 2,3500.08%
French 2,0730.07%
German 2,0500.07%
Italian 1,6940.06%
Other42,0611.42%

Marriage and civil partnership

In 2011 those who were married were still the largest marriage / civil partnership status group in Wales for residents aged 16 and over though since 2001 this group has decreased by 37,000 (over 5%). In contrast, single people (i.e. those who have never married or been part of a same sex partnership), have increased by 190,000 (6%) in the ten-year period. Civil partnerships, which were given legal status in 2005, appear for the first time in the census results. The number of widows, widowers and surviving partners is 20,000 lower than in 2001. The final groups, relating to separation and divorce / legal dissolution of civil partnerships, have both seen an increase in both numerical and relative terms since 2001. [31]

Status2001 number (,000)2001%2011 number (,000)2011%
Married 1,20452.01,16746.6
Single 65028.184033.5
Divorced / legally dissolved2018.72429.7
Widowed or surviving partner2189.41987.9
Separated 441.9552.2
Civil partnership n/an/a50.2

Table key

Source: 2011 Census: KS103EW Marital and civil partnership status, unitary authorities in Wales, Accessed 23 December 2012

Military staff and veterans

Out of the armed services, the Army has the largest presence in Wales, with over 1,400 personnel based there. As of 2019, there were 3,230 military and civilian personnel based in Wales. [52]

In the 2021 census, around 115,000 people in Wales reported that they had previously served in the armed forces, around 4.5% of usual residents in Wales aged 16 years or older. [53]

Miscellaneous data

See also

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