Quasi-extinction

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Quasi-extinction refers to the state in which a species or population has declined to critically low numbers, making its recovery highly unlikely, even though a small number of individuals may still persist. This concept is often used in conservation biology to identify species at extreme risk of extinction and to guide management strategies aimed at preventing complete extinction. Quasi-extinction is typically characterized by an inability of the population to sustain itself due to genetic, demographic, or environmental factors. [1] [2] [3] [4]

Extinction threshold

The quasi-extinction threshold, or sometimes called the quasi-extinction risk is the population size below which a species is considered to be at extreme risk of quasi-extinction. [5] This threshold varies by species and is influenced by several factors, including reproductive rates, habitat requirements, and genetic diversity. It is often used in population viability analyses (PVA) to model the likelihood of a species declining to levels where recovery becomes nearly impossible. [6] [7]

Related Research Articles

Small populations can behave differently from larger populations. They are often the result of population bottlenecks from larger populations, leading to loss of heterozygosity and reduced genetic diversity and loss or fixation of alleles and shifts in allele frequencies. A small population is then more susceptible to demographic and genetic stochastic events, which can impact the long-term survival of the population. Therefore, small populations are often considered at risk of endangerment or extinction, and are often of conservation concern.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Population bottleneck</span> Effects of a sharp reduction in numbers on the diversity and robustness of a population

A population bottleneck or genetic bottleneck is a sharp reduction in the size of a population due to environmental events such as famines, earthquakes, floods, fires, disease, and droughts; or human activities such as genocide, speciocide, widespread violence or intentional culling. Such events can reduce the variation in the gene pool of a population; thereafter, a smaller population, with a smaller genetic diversity, remains to pass on genes to future generations of offspring. Genetic diversity remains lower, increasing only when gene flow from another population occurs or very slowly increasing with time as random mutations occur. This results in a reduction in the robustness of the population and in its ability to adapt to and survive selecting environmental changes, such as climate change or a shift in available resources. Alternatively, if survivors of the bottleneck are the individuals with the greatest genetic fitness, the frequency of the fitter genes within the gene pool is increased, while the pool itself is reduced.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Decline in amphibian populations</span> Ongoing mass extinction of amphibian species worldwide

Since the 1980s, decreases in amphibian populations, including population decline and localized mass extinctions, have been observed in locations all over the world. This type of biodiversity loss is known as one of the most critical threats to global biodiversity. The possible causes include habitat destruction and modification, diseases, exploitation, pollution, pesticide use, introduced species, and ultraviolet-B radiation (UV-B). However, many of the causes of amphibian declines are still poorly understood, and the topic is currently a subject of ongoing research.

Population viability analysis (PVA) is a species-specific method of risk assessment frequently used in conservation biology. It is traditionally defined as the process that determines the probability that a population will go extinct within a given number of years. More recently, PVA has been described as a marriage of ecology and statistics that brings together species characteristics and environmental variability to forecast population health and extinction risk. Each PVA is individually developed for a target population or species, and consequently, each PVA is unique. The larger goal in mind when conducting a PVA is to ensure that the population of a species is self-sustaining over the long term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Metapopulation</span> Group of separated yet interacting ecological populations

A metapopulation consists of a group of spatially separated populations of the same species which interact at some level. The term metapopulation was coined by Richard Levins in 1969 to describe a model of population dynamics of insect pests in agricultural fields, but the idea has been most broadly applied to species in naturally or artificially fragmented habitats. In Levins' own words, it consists of "a population of populations".

The Allee effect is a phenomenon in biology characterized by a correlation between population size or density and the mean individual fitness of a population or species.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Minimum viable population</span> Smallest size a biological population can exist without facing extinction

Minimum viable population (MVP) is a lower bound on the population of a species, such that it can survive in the wild. This term is commonly used in the fields of biology, ecology, and conservation biology. MVP refers to the smallest possible size at which a biological population can exist without facing extinction from natural disasters or demographic, environmental, or genetic stochasticity. The term "population" is defined as a group of interbreeding individuals in similar geographic area that undergo negligible gene flow with other groups of the species. Typically, MVP is used to refer to a wild population, but can also be used for ex situ conservation.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Conservation genetics</span> Interdisciplinary study of extinction avoidance

Conservation genetics is an interdisciplinary subfield of population genetics that aims to understand the dynamics of genes in a population for the purpose of natural resource management, conservation of genetic diversity, and the prevention of species extinction. Scientists involved in conservation genetics come from a variety of fields including population genetics, research in natural resource management, molecular ecology, molecular biology, evolutionary biology, and systematics. The genetic diversity within species is one of the three fundamental components of biodiversity, so it is an important consideration in the wider field of conservation biology.

Genetic viability is the ability of the genes present to allow a cell, organism or population to survive and reproduce. The term is generally used to mean the chance or ability of a population to avoid the problems of inbreeding. Less commonly genetic viability can also be used in respect to a single cell or on an individual level.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Captive breeding</span> Of wild organisms, by humans

Captive breeding, also known as captive propagation, is the process of keeping plants or animals in controlled environments, such as wildlife reserves, zoos, botanic gardens, and other conservation facilities. It is sometimes employed to help species that are being threatened by the effects of human activities such as climate change, habitat loss, fragmentation, overhunting or fishing, pollution, predation, disease, and parasitism.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Latitudinal gradients in species diversity</span> Global increase in species richness from polar regions to tropics

Species richness, or biodiversity, increases from the poles to the tropics for a wide variety of terrestrial and marine organisms, often referred to as the latitudinal diversity gradient. The latitudinal diversity gradient is one of the most widely recognized patterns in ecology. It has been observed to varying degrees in Earth's past. A parallel trend has been found with elevation, though this is less well-studied.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Species translocation</span> Human relocation of plants or animals

Translocation is the human action of moving an organism from one area and releasing it in another. In terms of wildlife conservation, its objective is to improve the conservation status of the translocated organism or to restore the function and processes of the ecosystem the organism is entering.

Extinction threshold is a term used in conservation biology to explain the point at which a species, population or metapopulation, experiences an abrupt change in density or number because of an important parameter, such as habitat loss. It is at this critical value below which a species, population, or metapopulation, will go extinct, though this may take a long time for species just below the critical value, a phenomenon known as extinction debt.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mesopredator release hypothesis</span> Ecological theory

The mesopredator release hypothesis is an ecological theory used to describe the interrelated population dynamics between apex predators and mesopredators within an ecosystem, such that a collapsing population of the former results in dramatically increased populations of the latter. This hypothesis describes the phenomenon of trophic cascade in specific terrestrial communities.

In conservation biology, latent extinction risk is a measure of the potential for a species to become threatened.

A genetic isolate is a population of organisms that has little to no genetic mixing with other organisms of the same species due to geographic isolation or other factors that prevent reproduction. Genetic isolates form new species through an evolutionary process known as speciation. All modern species diversity is a product of genetic isolates and evolution.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Effects of climate change on plant biodiversity</span>

There is an ongoing decline in plant biodiversity, just like there is ongoing biodiversity loss for many other life forms. One of the causes for this decline is climate change. Environmental conditions play a key role in defining the function and geographic distributions of plants. Therefore, when environmental conditions change, this can result in changes to biodiversity. The effects of climate change on plant biodiversity can be predicted by using various models, for example bioclimatic models.

In ecology, extinction debt is the future extinction of species due to events in the past. The phrases dead clade walking and survival without recovery express the same idea.

Genetic rescue is seen as a mitigation strategy designed to restore genetic diversity and reduce extinction risks in small, isolated and frequently inbred populations. It is largely implemented through translocation, a type of demographic rescue and technical migration that adds individuals to a population to prevent its potential extinction. This demographic rescue may be similar to genetic rescue, as each increase population size and/or fitness. This overlap in meaning has led some researchers to consider a more detailed definition for each type of rescue that details 'assessment and documentation of pre- and post-translocation genetic ancestry'. Not every example of genetic rescue is clearly successful and the current definition of genetic rescue does not mandate that the process result in a 'successful' outcome. Despite an ambiguous definition, genetic rescue is viewed positively, with many perceived successes.

References

  1. Engen, S.; Saether, B. E. (2000-08-21). "Predicting the time to quasi-extinction for populations far below their carrying capacity". Journal of Theoretical Biology. 205 (4): 649–658. doi:10.1006/jtbi.2000.2094. ISSN   0022-5193. PMID   10931759.
  2. Block, G. L.; Allen, L. J. (March 2000). "Population extinction and quasi-stationary behavior in stochastic density-dependent structured models". Bulletin of Mathematical Biology. 62 (2): 199–228. doi:10.1006/bulm.1999.0147. ISSN   0092-8240. PMID   10824427.
  3. Engelson, Andrew (2021-12-16). "What does 'quasi-extinction' actually mean?". Columbia Insight. Retrieved 2024-12-16.
  4. Legendre, Stéphane; Schoener, Thomas; Clobert, Jean; Spiller, David (August 2008). "How Is Extinction Risk Related to Population‐Size Variability over Time? A Family of Models for Species with Repeated Extinction and Immigration". The American Naturalist. 172 (2): 282–298. doi:10.1086/589454. ISSN   0003-0147.
  5. Morris, W. F.; Doak, D. F. (22 June 2002). Quantitative conservation biology: Theory and practice of population viability analysis. Sunderland, Massachusetts, USA: Sinauer Associates. ISBN   9780878935468.
  6. Holmes, Elizabeth Eli; Sabo, John L.; Viscido, Steven Vincent; Fagan, William Fredric (December 2007). "A statistical approach to quasi-extinction forecasting". Ecology Letters. 10 (12): 1182–1198. doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01105.x. ISSN   1461-0248. PMID   17803676.
  7. Ludwig, Donald (1996). "Uncertainty and the Assessment of Extinction Probabilities". Ecological Applications. 6 (4): 1067–1076. doi:10.2307/2269591. ISSN   1939-5582.