Illinois gubernatorial election, 2018

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Illinois gubernatorial election, 2018
Flag of Illinois.svg
  2014 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)2022 
  J.B. Pritzker Chicago Hack Night 53 (cropped) (cropped).png Bruce Rauner crop.jpg
Nominee J. B. Pritzker Bruce Rauner
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Juliana Stratton Evelyn Sanguinetti
Popular vote2,479,7461,765,751
Percentage54.5%38.8%

Illinois Governor Election Results by County, 2018.svg
County Results
Pritzker:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Rauner:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Bruce Rauner
Republican

Elected Governor

J. B. Pritzker
Democratic

The 2018 Illinois gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Illinois, concurrently with the 2018 Illinois general election. Incumbent Republican Governor Bruce Rauner ran for re-election to a second term in office, [1] but was defeated by Democratic nominee J. B. Pritzker.

Governor of Illinois head of state and of government of the U.S. state of Illinois

The Governor of Illinois is the chief executive of the State of Illinois, and the various agencies and departments over which the officer has jurisdiction, as prescribed in the state constitution. It is a directly elected position, votes being cast by popular suffrage of residents of the state. The governor is responsible for enacting laws passed by the Illinois General Assembly. Illinois is one of 14 states that does not have a gubernatorial term-limit. The governor is commander-in-chief of the state's land, air and sea forces, when they are in state service.

Republican Party (United States) Major political party in the United States

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major political parties in the United States; the other is its historic rival, the Democratic Party.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Bruce Rauner American businessman, politician, and 42nd Governor of Illinois

Bruce Vincent Rauner is an American businessman, philanthropist, and politician who served as the 42nd governor of Illinois, from 2015 to 2019. Prior to his election, he was the chairman of R8 Capital Partners and chairman of the private equity firm GTCR, based in Chicago. He was the Republican nominee in the 2014 Illinois gubernatorial election and defeated Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn by 50.3% to 46.4%. Rauner was defeated in the 2018 gubernatorial election by Democratic challenger J. B. Pritzker.

Evelyn Sanguinetti American politician

Evelyn Sanguinetti is an American lawyer and politician, who served as the 47th lieutenant governor of Illinois from 2015 to 2019. She previously served on the Wheaton City Council.

Eliminated in primary

  • Jeanne Ives, State Representative [2] [3] [4]
    Rock Island County, Illinois County in the United States

    Rock Island County is a county located in the U.S. state of Illinois, bounded on the west by the Mississippi River. According to the 2010 census, it had a population of 147,546. Its county seat is Rock Island; its largest city is neighboring Moline.

Jeanne Ives American politician

Jeanne M. Ives is an American politician and former Republican member of the Illinois House of Representatives for the 42nd district. The district includes Carol Stream, Lisle, Warrenville, Wheaton, Winfield, West Chicago, and Naperville. She ran unsuccessfully in the Republican primary in the 2018 Illinois gubernatorial election, narrowly losing to incumbent Governor Bruce Rauner.

Illinois House of Representatives lower house of the Illinois General Assembly

The Illinois House of Representatives is the lower house of the Illinois General Assembly, the bicameral legislature of the U.S. state of Illinois. The body was created by the first Illinois Constitution adopted in 1818. The House consists of 118 representatives elected from individual legislative districts for two-year terms with no limits; redistricted every 10 years, based on the 2010 U.S. census each representative represents approximately 108,734 people.

Richard Morthland is a member of the Rock Island County Board and was a Republican member of the Illinois General Assembly for a single term from 2011-2013. Morthland served on the Rock Island County Board from 2008 to 2011 and was reelected to the County Board in 2016. Morthland has a bachelor's degree from St. Ambrose University, master's degrees from Denver Seminary and Spring Arbor University, and is a doctoral student at Denver Seminary. In addition to politics, Morthland is an Assistant Professor at Black Hawk College and is a farmer on his family's farm that dates back to 1842 when it was homesteaded in Coe Township.

Withdrew

A perennial candidate is a political candidate who frequently runs for an elected office but seldom wins. The term is not generally extended to incumbent politicians who successfully defend their seats repeatedly.

Rockford, Illinois City in Illinois, United States

Rockford is a city in Winnebago County in the U.S. state of Illinois, in far northern Illinois. Located on the banks of the Rock River, Rockford is the county seat of Winnebago County. The largest city in Illinois outside of the Chicago metropolitan area, Rockford is the third-largest city in the state and the 171st most populous in the United States According to 2010 U.S. Census Data, the City of Rockford had a population of 152,871, with an outlying metropolitan area population of 348,360. The City of Rockford's population is 147,051 as of 2017, down 4.1% since 2010.

Endorsements

Jeanne Ives
Illinois legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Local Republican parties
  • Chicago Republican Party [19]
  • Fremont Township Republican Organization [20]
  • Lake County Republican Assembly [21]
  • Rock Island County Republican Party [22]
  • Wauconda Township Republican Club [21]
  • Wheatland Township Republican Organization [23]
  • Wheeling Township Republican Organization [24]
Organizations
Newspapers and magazines
Declined to endorse in primary
Individuals

Debates

Rauner and Ives held their first and only scheduled forum on January 29. Rauner largely ignored his opponent and focused on attacking Speaker Mike Madigan, comparing him to his likely Democratic challenger, J. B. Pritzker. Ives, on the other hand, attacked Rauner for being an ineffective governor and alienating social conservatives. [31] Rauner and Ives were invited by the University of Springfield to debate a second time, although Rauner declined the invitation. [32]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bruce
Rauner
Jeanne
Ives
Undecided
Ogden & Fry (R-Ives) March 14, 2018787± 3.5%42%35%23%
Southern Illinois University February 19–25, 2018259± 6.0%51%31%18%
We Ask America January 14–16, 20181,026± 3.1%65%21%15%
We Ask America October 25–29, 20171,064± 3.0%64%19%16%
Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC) October 12, 2017495± 4.5%59%14%28%

Results

Primary results by county:
Rauner--60-70%
Rauner--50-60%
Tie
Ives--50-60%
Ives--60-70% Illinois gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Primary results by county:
  Rauner—60–70%
  Rauner—50–60%
  Tie
  Ives—50–60%
  Ives—60–70%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bruce Rauner (incumbent)362,72151.40
Republican Jeanne Ives 342,90648.60
Total votes705,627100.00

Despite a 14% decrease in Republican Primary votes cast, Rauner increased his final result by 9%, in number of votes, from 2014. In 2018, he managed to capture a narrow majority of the votes, with 51.4%, in his victory over conservative Ives. Rauner only received 40.2% of the primary vote in 2014, in his narrow win victory over Kirk Dillard, Bill Brady, and Dan Rutherford.

Rauner did well in central Illinois compared to the Republican primary four years earlier, when he managed 30% in the downstate region and finished 2nd to Kirk Dillard. In 2018, he carried the region with 52%.

Democratic primary

Democratic candidates listed on a blank ballot Gubernatorial candidates blank Illinois primary ballot 20180310 232153.jpg
Democratic candidates listed on a blank ballot

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Running mate: Jonathan W. Todd, social worker [39]
  • Tio Hardiman, former director of CeaseFire and candidate for Governor in 2014 [40]
  • Running mate: Ra Joy, nonprofit executive [44]
  • Running mate: Dennis Cole

Removed from ballot

  • Terry Getz, corrections officer (filed on November 29, 2017, but did so without a running mate or submitting any signatures) [46]

Withdrew

  • Running mate: Alex Hirsch, political operative
  • Running mate: Tyrone Coleman, Mayor of Cairo

Declined

Endorsements

Daniel Biss
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officeholders
State Senators
State Representatives
Chicago Aldermen
Other local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Newspapers
Withdrawn endorsements
Chris Kennedy
U.S. Cabinet and Cabinet-level officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officeholders
Invididuals
Organizations
  • Iroquois County Democratic Central Committee [156]
  • Southern Illinois Democratic County Chairmen's Association [157]
Newspapers
Declined to endorse for the primary
U.S. Representatives
Orgainzations
  • Madison County Democratic Party [163]

Forums

The Illinois LGBTQ Forum: The Democratic Candidates for Governor [164] was held on December 6, 2017 and organized by Affinity Community Services, the Association of Latinos/as Motivating Action (ALMA), the Equality Illinois Institute, and Pride Action Tank. Candidates who attended included Daniel Biss, Tio Hardiman, Ameya Pawar, J. B. Pritzker, and Chris Kennedy.

Whitney Young High School hosted the first student-run gubernatorial debate in the United States on October 4, 2017. All 7 then current candidates attended, meaning Daniel Biss, Bob Daiber, Tio Hardiman, Chris Kennedy, Alex Paterakis, Ameya Pawar, and J. B. Pritzker. [165]

The Illinois chapter of progressive advocacy organization Our Revolution sponsored a forum at the Chicago Teacher's Union headquarters on October 8, 2017. Candidates voiced similar opinions on single-payer health care, gun control, and the minimum wage, but differed on a hypothetical state deal with Amazon and relationships with powerful Illinois Speaker Mike Madigan. [166]

The Democratic candidates held their first televised debate on January 23. [167] All six candidates met again a week later on January 30. The debate was not televised but was uploaded to WSIL-TV's YouTube channel. [168]

Another debate was held on February 21, which was hosted by the University of Springfield. [32] Chris Kennedy did not attend due to a back injury, although all five other candidates participated. [169] Another major debate took place on March 1. It involved issues such as gun control, Blagojevich's tapes, sexual harassment, and relatability. [170] Another debate took place the next day in Springfield. The topics involved Madigan, sexual harassment, among other issues. The spotlight remained on the top contenders: Chris Kennedy, J.B Pritzker, and Daniel Biss. [171]

Pritzker was criticized for refusing to commit to attend the only live-television debate planned outside the Chicago media market, prompting the debate's cancellation. [172] Biss and Kennedy gathered petition signatures to encourage the debate's continuation, and Biss commented that "JB is borrowing a page from the billionaire playbook, avoiding debates and shunning reporters who ask tough questions." [173] Another debate took place on March 14, revolving around topics including Pritzker's newly reported offshore holdings, Illinois House Speaker Mike Madigan, and education. Kennedy and Biss both attacked Pritzker on the offshore businesses, Kennedy "saying it's like a job interview, and Pritzker lying to get the job", and Biss saying "Pritzker did that to avoid taxes". [174]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Daniel
Biss
Chris
Kennedy
J. B.
Pritzker
OtherUndecided
Victory Research March 13–16, 20181,204± 2.8%22%26%32%16%
We Ask America March 7–9, 20181,029± 3.1%15%16%35%1% [175] 31%
Southern Illinois University February 19–25, 2018472± 4.5%21%17%31%6% [176] 25%
Global Strategy Group (D-Pritzker) February 9–13, 2018802± 3.5%21%23%37%
ALG Research (D-Biss) February 6–11, 2018500± 4.4%24%24%32%4% [177] 16%
Victory Research February 6–7, 20181,209± 2.8%24%17%27%5% [178] 28%
Global Strategy Group (D-Pritzker) February 1, 2018801± 3.5%22%16%41%21%
32%52%16%
We Ask America January 29–30, 2018811± 3.4%17%12%30%3% [177] 38%
We Ask America October 17–18, 20171,154± 3%6%15%39%2% [179] 36%
ALG Research (D-Biss) July 20175%23%30%2% [180] 35%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Kennedy) June 26–29, 2017602± 4%44%38%18%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D-Summers) March 2–6, 2017500± 4.4%44%11%7% [181] 34%

Results

Primary results by county:
Pritzker--70-80%
Pritzker--60-70%
Pritzker--50-60%
Pritzker--40-50%
Pritzker--<40%
Biss--40-50%
Kennedy--<40%
Kennedy--40-50% Illinois gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Primary results by county:
  Pritzker—70–80%
  Pritzker—60–70%
  Pritzker—50–60%
  Pritzker—40–50%
  Pritzker—<40%
  Biss—40–50%
  Kennedy—<40%
  Kennedy—40–50%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic J. B. Pritzker 573,67945.2
Democratic Daniel Biss 337,34226.6
Democratic Chris Kennedy 308,73124.3
Democratic Tio Hardiman20,4791.6
Democratic Bob Daiber14,8141.2
Democratic Robert Marshall14,1931.1
Total votes1,269,238100.0

Pritzker won 98 of Illinois' counties. Kennedy won two, and Biss also won two.

Third parties and independents

In order to qualify as an established party in Illinois, a candidate for said party must earn at least 5% of the vote in a statewide election. This last occurred in 2006, when Rich Whitney won 10% of the vote, allowing the Illinois Green Party to achieve such status. Established party status comes with benefits. For example, candidates of an established party needs only 5,000 voter signatures on its petitions to gain ballot access. For non-established parties this number is approximately 25,000. [182] [183]

For the 2018 election, non-established parties do not need to run a full slate in order to qualify for ballot access. [184]

Conservative

Sam McCann, a longtime intraparty opponent of Bruce Rauner, resigned from the Republican Caucus to run for Governor as a member of the newly created Conservative Party. His running mate is Aaron Merreighn, a constituent with whom he has worked on legislative issues relating to veterans. [185]

Candidates

Declared

Libertarian

Kash Jackson is the Libertarian nominee for Illinois governor. 2018, Libertarian nominees for governor, other statewide offices, and the General Assembly were chosen by the Libertarian Party of Illinois at a state convention on March 3, 2018. [186] The convention for 2018 candidate selection was held on March 3, 2018 in Bloomington, Illinois. [187] Jackson will appear on the ballot. [188]

Candidates

Endorsements

Kash Jackson
Notable Individuals

Unsuccessful

  • Matthew C. Scaro, entrepreneur and Libertarian activist [189]
  • Jon Stewart, retired professional wrestler, Republican candidate for the State House in 1998 and Republican candidate for IL-05 in 2009 [189] [195]

Independents

Declared

Removed from ballot

Withdrew

  • William J. Kelly, radio host and perennial candidate (subsequently ran on Constitution Party ticket, then withdrew) [5] [6]
    • Running mate: Brian Leggero, candidate for Mayor of Rockford in 2017 [7]

Constitution

Nominee

William J. Kelly was nominated for Governor and Chad Koppie, a member of the Kane County Regional Board of School Trustees, were chosen to run as the gubernatorial ticket of the Illinois Constitution Party. However, on June 5, 2018, Kelly dropped out and endorsed the third party campaign of Sam McCann. [201] [202] [203]

Withdrew

Green Party

The Green Party ran a slate of statewide candidates in 2006 and 2010, but failed to be placed on the ballot in 2014 [205] [206] and declined to run any statewide candidates in 2018. [207]

Notes

    General election

    Bruce Rauner had been rated as one of the, if not the most, vulnerable governors running for re-election in 2018 by Politico and the National Journal. [208] [209]

    Endorsements

    Bruce Rauner (R)
    U.S. Governors
    Illinois State Senators
    Illinois State Representatives
    County officials
    Local officials
    Organizations
    Newspapers
    J. B. Pritzker (D)
    Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
    U.S. Cabinet and Cabinet-level officials
    U.S. Senators
    U.S. Representatives
    Statewide officials
    State Senators
    State Representatives
    Local officials
    Individuals
    • Karamo Brown, television personality and activist [258]
    • Paul "Snow" Herkert, Chair of the Calhoun County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    • Jimmy Naville, Chair of the Greene County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    • Dennis Fisher, Chair of the Shelby County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    • Brenda Britton, Chair of the Richland County Democratic Party [247] [259]
    • John Penn, Chair of the McLean County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    • Shirley McCombs, Chair of the Menard County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    • Keith Niewohner, Chair of the Adams County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    • Phillip Matthews, Chair of the Alexander County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    • Dan Sidwell, Chair of the Bond County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    • Jack Mazzotti, Chair of the Christian County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    • Gary Johnson, Chair of the Jasper County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    • Mike Barone, Chair of the Jackson County Democratic Party [247] [248]
    Organizations
    Newspapers
    Kash Jackson (L)
    U.S. Governors
    State Representatives
    Organizations
    Individuals

    Debates

    Host
    network
    DateLink(s)Participants
    J.B.
    Pritzker (D)
    Bruce
    Rauner (R)
    Kash
    Jackson (L)
    Sam
    McCann (C)
    WMAQ-TV September 20, 2018 [285] ParticipantParticipantParticipantParticipant
    WLS-TV October 3, 2018 [286] ParticipantParticipantNon-inviteeNon-invitee
    WGEM-TV October 11, 2018 [287] [288] ParticipantParticipantNon-inviteeNon-invitee

    Predictions

    SourceRankingAs of
    The Cook Political Report [289] Likely DOctober 26, 2018
    The Washington Post [290] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
    FiveThirtyEight [291] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
    Rothenberg Political Report [292] Likely DNovember 1, 2018
    Sabato's Crystal Ball [293] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
    Real Clear Politics [294] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
    Daily Kos Elections [295] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
    Governing [296] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
    Politico [297] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
    Fox News [298] [lower-alpha 1] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
    Notes
    1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

    Fundraising

    Campaign finance reports as of June 30,2018
    Candidate (party)Total receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on hand
    J.B. Pritzker (D)$128,252,532.95$88,571,672.99$39,680,860.96
    Bruce Rauner (R)$78,725,390.39$45,101,897.60$33,623,492.79
    Sam McCann (C)$1,497,885.08$649,634.08$848,251.00
    Kash Jackson (L)$10,783.00$1,985.32$8,797.68
    Source: Federal Election Commission [299] [ not in citation given ]

    Polling

    Poll sourceDate(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin
    of error
    Bruce
    Rauner (R)
    J. B.
    Pritzker (D)
    Kash
    Jackson (L)
    Sam
    McCann (C)
    OtherUndecided
    Victory Research November 1–3, 20181,208± 2.8%33%49%5%8%6%
    Ipsos September 27 – October 5, 2018968± 4.0%30%50%3%6%2%8%
    Victory Research September 27 – October 2, 20181,208± 2.8%32%47%6%7%8%
    Southern Illinois University September 24–29, 2018715± 3.7%27%49%4%4%17%
    ALG Research (D-Forward Illinois) September 21–25, 20181,007± 3.1%32%48%3%4%
    Research America Inc. September 5–13, 20181,024± 3.1%27%44%4%6%0%14%
    Marist College August 12–16, 2018734± 4.4%30%46%6%4%2%13%
    University of Illinois Springfield July 3 – August 15, 2018717± 3.7%23%35%15%23%
    Victory Research August 12–14, 20181,208± 2.8%30%41%2%9%18%
    Baselice & Associates (C-McCann) July 25–29, 2018800± 3.5%29%42%6%11%1%10%
    Illinois Public Opinion (D) July 12, 2018423± 5.0%26%39%1%10%23%
    Victory Research June 26–28, 20181,208± 2.8%30%45%2%5%18%
    We Ask America June 9–11, 2018600± 4.0%27%36%26%11%
    Victory Research May 22–24, 20181,208± 2.8%32%47%
    Victory Research April 18–21, 20181,208± 2.8%31%49%19%
    Ogden & Fry March 23, 2018667± 3.9%28%46%26%
    Southern Illinois University February 19–25, 20181,001± 3.0%35%50%15%
    Public Policy Polling (D-Biss) February 5–6, 2018600± 3.3%35%48%17%
    Ogden & Fry (R-Liberty Principles PAC) October 2, 2017517± 4.4%30%47%23%

    Results

    Illinois gubernatorial election, 2018 [300]
    PartyCandidateVotes%±
    Democratic J. B. Pritzker 2,479,746 54.53% +8.18%
    Republican Bruce Rauner (incumbent)1,765,75138.83%-11.44%
    Conservative Sam McCann192,5274.23%N/A
    Libertarian Kash Jackson109,5182.40%-0.95%
    n/a Write-ins1150.01%-0.02%
    Total votes4,547,657100.0%N/A
    Democratic gain from Republican

    See also

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    References

    1. 1 2 Contreras, Daisy; Driscoll, Jaclyn (August 16, 2018). "Republicans Tout Unity After Divisive Primary, Challenging General Election Ahead". NPR Illinois. Retrieved 2018-08-18.
    2. Hinz, Greg. "Did Rauner just uncork a challenge from the right?", Crain's Chicago Business , September 29, 2017. Retrieved September 29, 2017.
    3. Miller, Rich (October 28, 2017). "It's an Ives-Morthland ticket". Capitol Fax . Retrieved October 28, 2017.
    4. Pearson, Rick; Geiger, Kim; Garcia, Monique (December 5, 2017). "Rauner Faces War on Two Fronts as Republican Challenger Ives Attacks". Chicago Tribune . Retrieved January 23, 2018.
    5. 1 2 3 "Kelly Taps Ray Tranchant For Running Mate Against Rauner" (Press release). Chicago: Friends of William J. Kelly. 2017-09-05. Retrieved 2017-10-05.
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    230. JB Pritzker. "I ended the day joined by Rep. @Foster4Congress, @SenatorHolmes, State Reps @RepKifowit and @lindachapalavia at a rally in Aurora with the labor community". Twitter.
    231. Robin Kelly. "I was thrilled that @JBPritzker joined my friend @repalriley and me in Park Forest this afternoon. We had a great discussion with residents of Garden House about the issues impacting them.#Twill #ILGov #BlueWave". Twitter.
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    237. Terry McAuliffe. "In Chicago today to campaign for my good friends @JBPritzker and @JulianaforLG, Illinois' next Gov and Lt Gov. Loved joining @ChicagoVote roundtable with local voting right advocates to talk about the work we've done in Va to restore disenfranchised citizens right to vote". Twitter.
    238. Justin Fairfax. "From #Virginia to #Illinois with a #BlueWave! See you tomorrow in Chicago, @JulianaforLG! #DemLGs #WeRiseTogether @DemocraticLGs". Twitter.
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