2023 Virginia's 4th congressional district special election

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2023 Virginia's 4th congressional district special election
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  2022 February 21, 2023 2024  

Virginia's 4th congressional district
  U.S. Rep. Jennifer McClellan - 118th Congress (cropped).jpg Leon Benjamin (2023) (cropped).png
Nominee Jennifer McClellan Leon Benjamin
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote82,04028,083
Percentage74.4%25.5%

2023 Congressional Special Election in Virginia's 4th District.svg
County and independent city results
McClellan:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Benjamin:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Donald McEachin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jennifer McClellan
Democratic

The 2023 Virginia's 4th congressional district special election was a special election to the U.S. House of Representatives that was held to fill Virginia's 4th congressional district for the remainder of the 118th United States Congress. The seat became vacant after incumbent Democrat Donald McEachin died on November 28, 2022, of colorectal cancer. [1] [2] State Senator Jennifer McClellan was declared the victor shortly after the polls closed, winning in a landslide against her Republican opponent.

Contents

In the United States, vacancies in the House must be filled by special elections. Under Virginia law, the governor schedules the special election and political parties handle their nominating processes themselves. On December 12, 2022, Governor Glenn Youngkin announced that the special election will take place on February 21, 2023. [3] According to the writ of election, party nominees and other prospective candidates had until December 23 to file to run in the special election. [4]

Democratic primary

The Fourth Congressional District Democratic Committee, responsible for choosing a nominee by December 23, organized an unassembled caucus, or "firehouse primary," on December 20 with a filing deadline of December 16. [5] According to the Democratic Party of Virginia, the race saw the highest turnout in a "firehouse primary" in Virginia history. [6]

The solid Democratic lean of the district meant that victory in the primary was seen as tantamount to election. Political analysts perceived the short timeline between the writ of election and the primary date as beneficial to candidates with institutional support. The major candidates in the primary were state senators Jennifer McClellan, who was considered to be the establishment favorite, and "firebrand" Joe Morrissey. Morrissey criticized the lack of polling locations in his Senate district and his campaign paid for a radio ad encouraging Republicans to vote for him. [7]

McClellan won with 85% of the vote to Morrissey's 14%. [8]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Lamont Bagby (withdrawn)
State legislators
Local officials
Jennifer McClellan
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Results

Democratic firehouse primary results [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jennifer McClellan 23,661 84.8
Democratic Joe Morrissey 3,78213.6
Democratic Tavorise Marks2170.8
Democratic Joseph Preston 1740.6
Unallocated660.2
Total votes27,900 100.0

Republican primary

The Fourth Congressional District Republican Committee, responsible for choosing a nominee by December 23, held a canvass event in Colonial Heights on December 17. [32]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

General election

Analysis

Despite already being regarded as a safe seat, McClellan still managed to widen the margin from the previous election in the district, winning with the largest percentage of votes in any federal election in the state since 2020 and the largest of any special election since 1946. Being a special election in an off year that comes with turnout downturn, McClellan won about three quarters of the total vote, while Benjamin slid to just a quarter of the vote, losing for the third time in a row. McClellan swept every county in the district except for Colonial Heights City and Prince George County.

After winning the special election, McClellan was sworn in on March 7, 2023, becoming the first black congresswoman from the Commonwealth of Virginia. [34] [35]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [36] Solid DDecember 22, 2022
Inside Elections [6] Solid DDecember 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [37] Safe DDecember 20, 2022

Results

2023 Virginia's 4th congressional district special election [38]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Jennifer McClellan 82,040 74.41% +9.49
Republican Leon Benjamin28,08325.47%−9.43
Write-in 1290.12%−0.06
Total votes110,252 100.00%
Democratic hold
By county and independent city
County Jennifer McClellan
Democratic
Leon Benjamin
Republican
Write-inMarginTotal votes
#%#%#%#%
Brunswick 1,63165.14%87234.82%10.04%75930.32%2,503
Charles City 1,11372.32%42627.68%00.00%68744.64%1,539
Colonial Heights 79032.38%1,64567.42%50.20%−855−35.04%2,440
Chesterfield 17,49465.50%9,17434.35%390.15%8,32031.18%26,707
Dinwiddie 2,00052.87%1,78147.08%20.05%2195.79%3,783
Emporia 51365.60%26934.40%00.00%24431.20%782
Greensville 1,01055.13%82144.81%10.05%18910.32%1,832
Henrico 18,65881.24%4,28218.64%260.11%14,37662.60%22,966
Hopewell 1,31362.08%80137.87%10.05%51224.21%2,115
Petersburg 3,68791.53%3318.22%100.25%3,35683.32%4,028
Prince George 2,41046.84%2,72652.98%90.17%−316−6.14%5,145
Richmond 28,99190.10%3,1529.80%340.11%25,83980.30%32,177
Southampton 49456.98%37343.02%00.00%12113.96%867
Surry 96859.72%65340.28%00.00%31519.43%1,621
Sussex 96855.44%77744.50%10.06%19110.94%1,746
Total82,04074.41%28,08325.47%1290.12%53,95748.94%110,252

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

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References

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