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Virginia's 11th congressional district | |||||||||||
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Elections in Virginia |
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A special election to determine the member of the United States House of Representatives for Virginia's 11th congressional district will be held on September 9, 2025. The seat became vacant following the death of Democrat Gerry Connolly on May 21, 2025.
Incumbent representative Gerry Connolly died of esophageal cancer on May 21, 2025. [1] Connolly had previously announced that he would not seek re-election in 2026. [2] He was first elected in 2008, and had announced his cancer diagnosis shortly after being re-elected in 2024. [3] In the United States, vacancies in the House must be filled by special elections. Under Virginia law, the governor schedules the special election and political parties handle their nominating processes themselves. Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin called a special election to be held on September 9, 2025. The deadline for candidates to file a candidacy was July 11, 2025. [4]
Based primarily in Fairfax County, this suburban district is widely regarded by political analysts to be a safely Democratic seat. The last time a Republican was elected to this district was in 2006, when Tom Davis was re‑elected. As of 2025, the seat has remained under Democratic control ever since, and Connolly won it by 67% to 33% in 2024. [5]
Opponents of James Walkinshaw, including Stella Pekarsky and Irene Shin, have alleged that the primary election was biased in favor of Walkinshaw, pointing to the short timeline for the election and the party's choice not to use ranked-choice voting in the primary. [6] Pekarsky, Shin, and other candidates have expressed frustration with delays in the party releasing voting locations and other information. Other candidates have shared concerns that party volunteers have publicly displayed a preference for Walkinshaw while working on behalf of the party. [7]
Fairfax County Democratic Committee chair Aaron Yohai denied Shin and Pekarsky’s claims, blaming Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin for scheduling the election so soon, which he said caused the delays in information. [8] Walkinshaw told Virginia Scope the complaints were candidates "trying to work the refs." [9]
On June 24, Connolly's social media accounts posted messages of support for Walkinshaw, causing shock and controversy on social media. [10]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Joshua Aisen | Candice Bennett | Dan Lee | Leopoldo Martínez Nucete | Stella Pekarsky | Amy Roma | Irene Shin | James Walkinshaw | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lake Research Partners (D) [39] [A] | June 5–9, 2025 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 6% | 41% | 36% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||||||||
Bennett | Branstetter | Lee | Martinez | Papanu | Pekarsky | Punnoose | Roma | Shin | Walkinshaw | |||||
1 | June 24, 2025 | WinDem [40] | Suhas Subramanyam | [41] | P | A | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | James Walkinshaw | 22,403 | 59.64% | |
Democratic | Irene Shin | 5,368 | 14.29% | |
Democratic | Stella Pekarsky | 5,043 | 13.43% | |
Democratic | Amy Roma | 2,697 | 7.18% | |
Democratic | Dan Lee | 710 | 1.89% | |
Democratic | Leopoldo Martínez Nucete | 498 | 1.33% | |
Democratic | Amy Papanu | 396 | 1.05% | |
Democratic | Priya Punnoose | 232 | 0.62% | |
Democratic | Candice Bennett | 190 | 0.51% | |
Democratic | Ross William Branstetter IV | 25 | 0.07% | |
Total votes | 37,562 | 100.00% |
The Republicans held a canvass to determine their nominee on June 28 at Fairfax High School, rather than run a full primary. [43]
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||||
Headrick | Lipsman | Purves | Rand | Van Meter | Whitson | Wong | |||||
1 | June 22, 2025 | WMAL-FM [51] | Vince Coglianese | [52] | A | P | A | P | P | P | P |
2 | June 23, 2025 | WMAL-FM [53] | Larry O'Connor | [54] | A | P | P | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Stewart Whitson | 1,019 | 39.18% | |
Republican | Karina Lipsman | 620 | 23.84% | |
Republican | Mike Van Meter | 586 | 22.53% | |
Republican | Lucas Rand | 198 | 7.61% | |
Republican | Sam Wong | 99 | 3.81% | |
Republican | Nathan Headrick | 40 | 1.54% | |
Republican | Arthur Purves | 39 | 1.49% | |
Total votes | 2,601 | 100.00% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |
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P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||
James Walkinshaw | Stewart Whitson | |||||
1 | July 28, 2025 | Reston Citizens Association [57] | Lynne Mulston | [58] | P | P |
2 | August 18, 2025 | League of Women Voters of the Fairfax Area [59] | Catherine White | [60] | P | P |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [63] | Solid D | August 13, 2025 |
Inside Elections [64] | Solid D | June 30, 2025 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [65] | Safe D | August 14, 2025 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | James Walkinshaw | |||
Republican | Stewart Whitson | |||
Write-in | ||||
Total votes | 100.0 |
Partisan clients
A singular canvass event will be held on June 28 at Fairfax High School, gathering all voters in one location to select a nominee, Virginia's 11th Congressional District Republican Committee announced last week.