Opinion polling for the 2024 Croatian parliamentary election

Last updated

In the run-up to the 2024 Croatian parliamentary election , various organisations have been carrying out monthly opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Croatia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 July 2020, to the present day.

Contents

Graphical summary

The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and three other parties in the poll average since last parliamentary elections.

LOESS curve of the polling for the 2024 Croatian Parliamentary Election. Polling for the 2024 Croatian Parliamentary Election.svg
LOESS curve of the polling for the 2024 Croatian Parliamentary Election.

Party standings

Surveys in Croatia are conducted by specialized companies in the field of public opinion polls, and their results are published in cooperation with national television or newspapers. The media that publish the results are listed in the table below according to which TV show they publish the results, with which poll company they cooperate, the size of the poll, the number of polls conducted so far and the time of publication of the results.

MediaPresentation of the resultsPolling firmPoll sizeConducted pollsTime of publication of polls
HRT Dnevnik 2 at 19:00 (CET)Promocija plus1,000-1,4001920th of the month (except in April 2022)
RTL RTL Danas at 19:00 (CET)1,30043Between 4th and 10th of the month, usually on Sunday
Nova TV Dnevnik Nove TV at 19:00 (CET)Ipsos976–99645Between 23rd and 26th of the month [a]
N1 N1 Newsroom at 16:00 (CET)Masmi1,3001One year after last general elections
Večernji list Internet publication2x1 komunikacije1,04111Between 24th and 30th of the month

Poll results published by major media are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication, name of polling firm with a link to the page of results and poll size. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then all tied parties cells would be shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party or the support percentage is less than 1.0%, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown with a dash. Table also include other elections that are held between two parliamentary elections.

Publication datePolling firmVotes HDZ SDP DP Most Možemo RF Centar Fokus KH HNS IDS HSS HSU HS SD OthersUndecidedLead
20 Dec 2024 Promocija plus 100026.622.92.96.89.20.81.21.01.11.51.10.90.410.816.83.7
17 Apr 2024 2024 elections 2,180,98534.325.49.68.09.10.8 [b] 2.3 [c] [d] 2.2 [e] [f] [g] [h] 8.3-8.9
25 Mar 2024 Ipsos 1,00029.819.47.97.67.0----------16.112.210.4
22 Mar 2024 SDP, Centre, GLAS, NS R, HSS and SSIP presented Rivers of Justice coalition. [1]
20 Mar 2024 Promocija plus 1,00027.721.67.77.19.01.01.21.1-1.21.11.11.1--6.1 [i] 13.06.1
17 Mar 2024 Ipsos 60427.322.67.98.78.7----------14.910.14.7
15 Mar 2024 Croatian president Zoran Milanović entered the race as SDP candidate for Prime Minister [2]
10 Mar 2024 Promocija plus 1,30026.517.97.77.97.81.01.91.0-1.11.31.41.1--7.3 [j] 16.18.6
23 Feb 2024 Ipsos 98928.713.96.97.07.6----------17.218.114.8
20 Feb 2024 Promocija plus 1,00025.217.38.58.78.1-1.21.0-1.21.11.41.1--7.517.77.9
4 Feb 2024 Promocija Plus 1,30025.616.08.49.18.91.01.51.0--1.31.1---7.3 [k] 18.89.6
27 Jan 2024 Promocija Plus 1,00025.615.87.98.18.31.11.91.6-1.21.11.31.0-1.14.418.29.8
25 Jan 2024 Ipsos 99529.113.57.66.66.7----------17.918.615.6
10 Jan 2024 Promocija Plus 1,30025.915.87.88.48.71.01.41.5-1.21.21.31.01.01.14.218.510.1
2024
22 Dec 2023 Ipsos 98728.212.98.47.56.8----1.3-2.22.8-1.38.9 [l] 19.715.3
16 Dec 2023 DHSS and DP presented coalition. [3]
10 Dec 2023 Promocija plus 1,30025.015.57.97.79.21.71.91.4-1.21.11.31.01.11.04.218.89.5
9 Dec 2023 Fokus, IDS, NS R and PGS presented coalition. [4]
24 Nov 2023 Ipsos 99029.512.67.98.17.9----1.5-1.11.6--11.8 [m] 18.016.9
20 Nov 2023 Promocija plus 1,10025.215.48.37.09.91.52.01.51.01.21.21.3-1.1-5.7 [n] 17.79.8
12 Nov 2023 Promocija plus 1,30025.315.28.47.411.01.71.81.4-1.21.01.3-1.01.15.516.710.1
25 Oct 2023 Ipsos 99329.813.47.79.28.2----1.3-1.72.3--9.8 [o] 16.616.4
20 Oct 2023 Promocija plus 1,10025.715.87.37.910.91.92.01.31.01.21.01.4---6.216.49.9
17 Oct 2023 HL, HSS and SD presented coalition. [5]
8 Oct 2023 Promocija plus 1,30025.615.67.58.211.41.81.71.0-1.1-1.4--1.27.016.510.0
25 Sep 2023 Ipsos 98829.912.46.58.99.0----1.62.01.21.4--10.2 [p] 16.917.5
20 Sep 2023 Promocija plus 1,10025.615.57.48.311.21.11.81.31.11.21.01.4---6.6 [q] 16.510.1
10 Sep 2023 Promocija plus 1,30025.415.57.88.611.01.22.31.1-1.11.01.3-1.0-5.8 [r] 16.99.9
25 Aug 2023 Ipsos 98927.911.56.58.710.4----1.12.81.72.1-1.68.8 [s] 16.916.3
6 Aug 2023 Promocija plus 1,30025.214.77.78.811.21.42.51.0--1.01.4--1.27.3 [t] 16.610.5
25 Jul 2023 Ipsos 97729.410.77.18.010.6----1.61.72.42.61.4-9.115.418.7
9 Jul 2023 Promocija plus 1,30025.516.77.58.59.71.42.81.2--1.11.5-1.3-6.1 [u] 16.78.8
8 Jul 2023 HS and Most presented the coalition. [6]
4 Jul 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,04125.015.57.58.18.81.12.11.4--1.81.63.12.11.53.417.09.5
25 Jun 2023 Ipsos 99228.611.77.28.910.0-1.01.0-1.32.1-1.8--8.1 [v] 18.317.0
4 Jun 2023 Promocija plus 1,30026.216.77.18.29.42.03.01.2--1.11.7-1.3-5.9 [w] 16.29.5
27 May 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,04124.615.37.58.59.5-------3.22.22.1-27.19.3
25 May 2023 Ipsos 99230.312.66.97.39.0-1.4--1.4-1.62.31.21.37.4 [x] 17.317.7
20 May 2023 Promocija plus 1,10026.816.76.28.69.71.23.41.21.3-1.31.4-1.1-4.415.810.1
7 May 2023 Promocija plus 1,30025.916.26.68.89.21.63.21.51.2-1.11.3-1.4-5.116.99.7
28 Apr 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,04123.515.27.49.410.01.71.91.4--1.71.53.12.42.32.416.18.3
25 Apr 2023 Ipsos 98230.913.66.08.78.8-1.8--1.21.9-1.2--8.9 [y] 17.017.3
20 Apr 2023 Promocija plus 1,10026.116.06.19.09.71.83.41.3--1.01.8-1.11.05.915.810.1
9 Apr 2023 Promocija plus 1,30025.815.66.78.39.41.83.41.5--1.11.6-1.4-6.716.710.2
1 Apr 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,04123.614.87.79.29.82.01.81.2--1.6-3.32.22.33.616.98.8
24 Mar 2023 Ipsos 99130.412.46.48.47.2-2.2---1.81.22.0--8.819.218.0
20 Mar 2023 Promocija plus 1,10026.115.86.89.39.81.63.41.21.01.0-1.2--1.16.315.410.3
5 Mar 2023 Promocija plus 1,30025.715.46.89.39.81.33.21.31.21.01.01.2-1.01.14.216.510.3
25 Feb 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,04124.114.77.59.59.61.52.1---1.71.33.22.33.02.216.89.4
24 Feb 2023 Ipsos 99129.312.25.79.08.6-2.81.5-1.51.51.71.7--9.4 [z] 15.117.1
5 Feb 2023 Promocija plus 1,30025.515.06.39.19.71.43.01.4-1.01.01.41.01.11.65.116.410.5
1 Feb 2023 2x1 komunikacije 1,04125.415.37.29.39.91.52.0---1.31.23.02.13.12.616.110.1
25 Jan 2023 Ipsos 99630.011.66.38.78.0-1.1--1.42.02.32.21.31.57.1 [aa] 16.518.4
8 Jan 2023 Promocija plus 1,30026.414.86.19.110.11.33.01.41.2-1.01.2-1.01.75.416.311.6
2023
30 Dec 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,04124.714.77.09.110.01.42.1---1.3-3.12.12.24.817.510.0
23 Dec 2022 Ipsos 99030.712.36.88.07.51.6---1.82.11.51.41.1-7.517.718.4
4 Dec 2022 Promocija plus 1,30026.915.45.99.010.21.92.91.31.1-1.11.2--1.56.215.411.5
26 Nov 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,04123.514.97.09.410.31.42.0---1.3-3.12.02.54.917.78.6
25 Nov 2022 Ipsos 99029.911.75.88.38.6-1.01.5-1.93.0-1.61.6-7.617.518.2
20 Nov 2022 Promocija plus 1,40025.715.75.58.510.81.23.01.2--1.01.3--1.56.518.110.0
6 Nov 2022 Promocija plus 1,30024.716.56.19.510.01.22.21.4---1.3-1.11.37.417.38.2
29 Oct 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,04123.115.27.19.510.41.22.1---1.2-3.11.92.64.717.97.9
25 Oct 2022 Ipsos 98728.412.76.28.97.9--1.91.52.12.91.73.6--9.912.315.7
20 Oct 2022 Promocija plus 1,40024.616.25.49.311.21.22.71.31.0-1.11.5--1.65.017.98.4
9 Oct 2022 Promocija plus 1,30024.416.76.09.210.6-2.31.4---1.4--1.48.817.87.7
26 Sep 2022 Ipsos 98628.113.25.78.68.41.8-2.0--3.2-3.3--12.513.214.9
24 Sep 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,04123.915.07.29.79.71.02.0---1.2-3.12.13.34.217.68.9
20 Sep 2022 Promocija plus 1,40025.216.75.78.710.91.22.31.41.2-1.01.5-1.01.34.017.98.5
4 Sep 2022 Promocija plus 1,30024.216.65.59.410.6-2.21.61.6--1.8--1.37.118.17.6
30 Aug 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,04125.914.86.99.29.9-1.7---1.4-2.21.93.05.717.411.1
25 Aug 2022 Ipsos 98130.113.24.09.29.0--2.51.5-2.91.52.5--7.216.416.9
7 Aug 2022 Promocija plus 1,30027.116.15.88.410.61.11.91.3---1.3--1.07.617.811.0
2 Aug 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,04126.215.56.79.110.7-1.8---1.4-1.72.23.71.919.110.7
25 Jul 2022 Ipsos 98429.113.95.18.29.9-1.61.5--1.81.92.11.1-7.0 [ab] 16.815.2
10 Jul 2022 Promocija plus 1,30027.317.55.58.411.6-2.6---1.01.1---6.618.49.8
24 Jun 2022 Ipsos 99029.312.86.39.18.91.02.2--1.92.11.92.11.1-4.3 [ac] 16.816.5
5 Jun 2022 Promocija plus 1,30026.716.65.19.212.3-2.01.11.0-1.01.7---5.617.710.1
27 May 2022 2x1 komunikacije 1,04124.916.75.19.914.3-1.1---1.4--1.3-7.417.98.2
25 May 2022 Ipsos 97630.014.15.610.210.2-1.2-1.91.81.51.63.1--6.3 [ad] 12.615.9
20 May 2022 Promocija plus 1,40026.417.74.69.112.0-2.01.1-1.01.11.6---6.317.18.7
8 May 2022 Promocija plus 1,30026.117.54.89.212.6-1.91.2-1.11.01.6---5.917.18.6
25 Apr 2022 Ipsos 98728.615.94.89.09.1-2.3-1.11.91.9-2.0--7.0 [ae] 16.412.7
24 Apr 2022 Promocija plus 1,40025.217.05.79.712.3-2.01.3-1.01.11.8---5.817.18.2
10 Apr 2022 Promocija plus 1,30025.417.14.710.312.8-1.61.2--1.01.7---6.917.38.3
25 Mar 2022 Ipsos 99028.114.05.610.110.71.02.61.21.71.3-1.31.11.4-4.016.014.1
20 Mar 2022 Promocija plus 1,40025.016.16.510.212.2-1.61.3-1.11.21.7---6.216.98.9
6 Mar 2022 Promocija plus 1,30025.217.06.310.612.5-1.41.3--1.01.6---6.716.48.2
25 Feb 2022 Ipsos 600 [af] 26.913.76.412.412.9-1.6-2.8-1.41.12.6--5.2 [ag] 13.013.2
6 Feb 2022 Promocija Plus 1,30026.217.94.311.112.9-1.31.5--1.01.2---7.415.88.3
25 Jan 2022 Ipsos 99130.413.56.08.89.41.22.31.6-1.01.8-1.2--6.016.816.9
9 Jan 2022 Promocija Plus 1,30026.116.93.712.413.31.01.41.4--1.11.2-1.3-6.315.29.2
2022
24 Dec 2021 Ipsos 98729.713.15.310.68.8-1.31.32.41.21.71.6---5.517.216.6
5 Dec 2021 Promocija plus 1,30027.116.14.98.514.2-1.21.6--1.01.1-1.5-6.116.711.0
25 Nov 2021 Ipsos 99029.513.24.89.410.3-2.6-2.31.5--1.21.2-6.317.616.3
20 Nov 2021 Promocija plus 1,40027.515.74.58.015.4-1.51.51.2-1.21.6-1.4-4.516.011.8
7 Nov 2021 Promocija plus 1,30027.416.05.08.015.9-1.21.31.1-1.01.3-1.2-5.115.511.4
25 Oct 2021 Ipsos 98130.912.24.58.211.2-2.0-1.92.01.62.0-1.7-7.2 [ah] 14.618.7
20 Oct 2021 Promocija plus 1,40027.315.94.16.816.1-1.31.51.2-1.01.5-1.3-5.416.611.2
10 Oct 2021 Promocija plus 1,30027.616.13.76.717.1-1.31.31.31.11.11.3-1.0-4.216.210.5
23 Sep 2021 Ipsos 99030.813.45.28.313.6--1.11.8-1.7-1.51.4-6.2 [ai] 15.017.2
20 Sep 2021 Promocija plus 1,40027.117.13.98.516.1-1.51.7--1.41.5-1.4-5.314.510.0
5 Sep 2021 Promocija plus 1,30027.317.93.87.717.2-1.81.9--1.01.5---6.213.79.4
25 Aug 2021 Ipsos 98730.012.75.08.915.61.31.11.51.2---2.7--5.814.214.4
26 Jul 2021 Ipsos 98429.814.37.77.614.9-1.61.62.0--1.62.8--8.1 [aj] 8.014.9
11 Jul 2021 Promocija plus 1,30027.418.76.44.816.9-1.21.3-1.11.21.5---5.713.78.7
7 Jul 2021 Masmi 1,30030.915.28.47.413.51.41.11.7-------6.0 [ak] 12.115.7
25 Jun 2021 Ipsos 99130.713.46.46.812.6--1.12.4--2.61.5--7.515.017.3
6 Jun 2021 Promocija plus 1,30026.818.98.25.413.4-1.51.4-1.4-1.7---7.4 [al] 13.97.9
30 May 2021 2021 Croatian local elections - second round
25 May 2021 Ipsos 98630.515.27.36.79.4-2.21.31.41.22.81.51.3--5.513.715.3
16 May 2021 2021 Croatian local elections - first round
9 May 2021 Promocija plus 1,30026.719.68.27.19.1-1.01.0-1.21.31.6---8.6 [am] 14.67.1
23 Apr 2021 Ipsos 98629.315.16.67.78.71.71.2-3.4-1.11.01.0--6.416.814.2
20 Apr 2021 Promocija plus 1,40027.118.77.77.09.0-2.21.01.31.01.41.4---6.5 [an] 15.78.4
4 Apr 2021 Promocija plus 1,30026.819.37.97.68.21.01.31.31.51.01.21.51.0--6.1 [ao] 14.37.5
25 Mar 2021 Ipsos 99329.116.06.27.39.41.01.6-2.11.1-1.32.3--5.9 [ap] 16.613.1
20 Mar 2021 Promocija plus 1,40027.318.88.17.58.7-1.81.21.1-1.21.2---7.0 [aq] 16.18.5
7 Mar 2021 Promocija plus 1,30027.019.57.57.28.3-1.41.51.2-1.11.1---8.4 [ar] 15.87.5
25 Feb 2021 Ipsos 99030.917.26.88.09.31.32.1-1.2-1.41.4---7.113.313.7
7 Feb 2021 Promocija plus 1,30027.719.97.27.38.3-2.1-1.0-1.61.5---7.8 [as] 15.67.8
25 Jan 2021 Ipsos 98731.116.67.37.89.61.33.01.52.0-1.6-2.1--7.88.314.5
10 Jan 2021 Promocija plus 1,30028.019.66.37.48.4-2.9---1.61.3---9.0 [at] 15.58.4
2021
24 Dec 2020 Ipsos 99130.816.29.48.38.61.14.31.81.4-1.2-2.31.2-8.3 [au] 5.114.6
6 Dec 2020 Promocija plus 1,30029.220.57.98.76.4-2.2-1.7-1.71.6---6.7 [av] 13.48.7
25 Nov 2020 Ipsos 98331.517.67.57.46.51.13.6--1.41.22.11.61.7--6.310.513.9
8 Nov 2020 Promocija plus 1,30029.119.87.38.67.6-1.52.3-1.4-1.42.1---6.1 [aw] 12.89.3
26 Oct 2020 Ipsos 98332.518.78.47.36.7-3.81.4-2.1-1.41.61.5--4.79.912.8
8 Oct 2020 Promocija plus 1,30030.418.28.28.49.0-1.02.8-1.0-1.21.4---6.0 [ax] 12.412.2
25 Sep 2020 Ipsos 98933.717.17.96.28.2-2.71.8-1.1-1.51.31.0--5.711.816.6
6 Sep 2020 Promocija plus 1,30032.818.47.87.68.9-2.12.0---1.31.4---6.511.214.4
25 Aug 2020 Ipsos 98133.116.46.17.08.6-3.42.0-1.71.02.01.51.5--5.89.916.7
6 Aug 2020 Promocija plus 1,30032.918.18.68.311.0-1.32.6---1.21.3-----14.8
25 Jul 2020 Ipsos 98930.218.46.98.28.71.91.9-2.0-1.91.31.2--8.6 [ay] 8.811.8
5 Jul 2020 2020 elections 1,705,68637.324.910.97.47.04.02.31.3- [az] - [az] - [az] - [ba] - [bb] 4.9 [bc] -12.4

Coalition standings

Poll results published by major national televisions are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading coalition's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two coalitions with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a coalition, the coalition's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
  Exit poll

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! OthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 Final Result 34.425.49.68.09.113.5-9.0
25 Mar 2024 IPSOS 28.622.68.97.47.4--6.0
20 Mar 2024 Promocija Plus 29.125.27.17.17.7--3.9
13 Mar 2024 Promocija Plus 26.821.68.28.48.8--5.2

Seat projections (without Diaspora)

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! IDS F NPS Lead
17 Apr 2024 Final Result 584214111021216
17 Apr 2024 IPSOS 19:00 UTC+2 594313111021116
11−14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 6044139831216
11−14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 60411591121119
22 Mar−11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 584991182219
6−10 Apr 2024 Promocija Plus 6044149921116

Per electoral district

1st Electoral district

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F OthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 27.724.49.37.419.93.47.9-3.3
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 28.521.56.55.214.8---7.0
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 26.221.26.45.418.63.6-10.75.0
10 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 26.822.36.75.213.52.9--4.5
22 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 27.029.56.87.810.03.0-12.02.5
Seat projections
Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 5411301
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 5411301
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 5411301
10 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 5411301
22 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 551120Tie

2nd Electoral district

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F OthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 35.324.811.19.18.62.88.3-10.5
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 32.621.58.37.07.33.8--11.1
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 30.219.812.510.78.43.0-10.610.4
10 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 31.420.69.07.47.52.6--10.8
7 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 35.525.05.89.06.55.83.68.810.5
Seat projections
Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 6421102
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 7411103
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 6322102
10 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 6421102
7 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 6411112

3rd Electoral district

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F NPS OthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 27.636.85.13.86.20.912.27.4-9.2
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 28.834.94.74.66.7-7.32.57.36.1
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 25.035.95.0-4.4-10.0--10.9
6 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 25.235.25.64.24.5-9.33.512.710.0
28 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 26.040.02.85.35.51.56.03.510.014.0
Seat projections
Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F NPS Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 56001021
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 57001012
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 47100023
6 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 57100012
28 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 47011013

4th Electoral district

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! OthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 41.825.213.16.05.58.4-16.6
13 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 37.921.912.25.05.2--16.0
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 37.322.013.06.75.22.510.515.3
6 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 36.122.612.25.05.1-2.013.5
2 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 36.526.812.38.33.03.39.39.7
Seat projections
Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 742103
13 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 742013
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 742103
6 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 742013
2 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 652101

5th Electoral district

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! UZOthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 42.819.617.48.53.62.16.0-23.2
13 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 37.319.515.05.43.53.9--17.8
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 39.316.919.25.74.2-2.58.722.4
7 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 36.420.115.95.82.33.87.312.216.3
4 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 44.316.516.09.32.8-4.17.027.8
Seat projections
Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 733104
13 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 733104
13 Apr 2024 IPSOS 733104
7 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 733104
4 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 733104

6th Electoral district

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F OthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 24.823.88.79.518.17.87.3-1.0
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 27.121.08.04.914.24.8--6.1
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 22.821.56.47.518.96.8-11.81.3
9 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 26.822.24.48.712.04.5--4.6
25 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 27.325.34.87.014.85.3-11.82.0
Seat projections
Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 441131Tie
14 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 5411211
14 Apr 2024 IPSOS 441131Tie
9 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 5411211
25 Mar 2024 2x1 komunikacije 550121Tie

7th Electoral district

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F OthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 41.325.48.66.66.91.69.6-15.9
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 33.421.68.74.95.2---11.8
12 Apr 2024 IPSOS 32.721.211.25.04.7-13.112.111.5
10 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 38.823.86.05.35.0--7.315.0
9 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 32.622.09.44.95.42.6-14.010.5
Seat projections
Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 7411103
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 6421102
12 Apr 2024 IPSOS 7421003
10 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 7411103
9 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 6421102

8th Electoral district

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! IDS RF UZOthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 21.333.44.05.710.215.92.82.04.7-12.1
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 18.929.84.15.74.413.14.4---10.9
12 Apr 2024 IPSOS 17.626.15.34.59.413.03.1-6.914.18.5
11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 19.531.04.86.57.013.04.51.5-10.511.5
7 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 18.230.83.55.05.212.14.13.83.513.811.9
Seat projections
Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! IDS Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 4601122
12 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 4601032
12 Apr 2024 IPSOS 4510221
11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 4601122
7 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 4601122

9th Electoral district

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! OthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 39.719.410.612.14.413.8-20.3
11 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 36.219.57.67.44.0--17.3
11 Apr 2024 IPSOS 37.515.910.38.33.1--21.6
11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 36.823.04.810.33.5-9.013.8
8 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 37.818.16.18.04.012.014.019.7
Seat projections
Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 732204
11 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 841104
11 Apr 2024 IPSOS 832105
11 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 750202
8 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 841104

10th Electoral district

Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F OthersUndecidedLead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 37.025.510.811.55.30.59.4-11.5
11 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 33.721.79.110.44.4---12.0
11 Apr 2024 IPSOS 32.723.28.28.95.5--10.09.5
8 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 34.019.59.010.94.0--13.214.5
5 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 38.827.85.59.83.32.5-9.011.0
Seat projections
Date of publicationPolling Firm HDZ SDP DP M M ! F Lead
17 Apr 2024 2024 election 6422002
11 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 7412003
11 Apr 2024 IPSOS 7411103
8 Apr 2024 Promocija plus 7412003
5 Apr 2024 2x1 komunikacije 7511002

Polling for prime minister

On 24 December 2023, Dnevnik.hr of Nova TV, started publishing polling about voters preference on the next prime minister.

Publication datePolling firmVotes Plenković Milanović Grbin PenavaGrmoja Raspudić BenčićVanđelićNobodyNo responseOthersUndecidedLead
25 Mar 2024 Ipsos 1,00031.723.5--8.3-9.9---14.99.08.2
17 Mar 2024 Ipsos 60430.032.0--8.0-12.03.015.02.0
15 Mar 2024 Croatian president Zoran Milanović entered the race as SDP candidate for Prime Minister [2]
24 Feb 2024 Ipsos 67927.0-6.37.4--10.10.83.424.520.516.9
26 Jan 2024 Ipsos 99520.4-6.06.7--8.2--19.632.612.2
2024
24 Dec 2023 Ipsos 67426.5-7.011.2-4.99.90.34.415.120.715.3

Notes

  1. ↑ Ipsos polls are published on 25th of month when it is a weekday which is not a (non-working) public holiday and on a nearby working day otherwise. One exception was the first poll after the election, which was published on 25th of July 2020, which was a Saturday.
  2. ↑ part of Rivers of justice coalition
  3. ↑ part of DP-led coalition
  4. ↑ part of HDZ-led coalition
  5. ↑ part of Rivers of justice coalition
  6. ↑ part of HDZ-led coalition
  7. ↑ part of Most-led coalition
  8. ↑ part of Our Croatia coalition
  9. ↑ incl. 1.3% for OiP
  10. ↑ incl. 1.2% for OiP
  11. ↑ incl. 1.1% for OiP
  12. ↑ incl. 2.4% for OiP and 1.0% HSP
  13. ↑ incl. 2.4% for OiP and 1.8% BUZ
  14. ↑ incl. 1.0% for OiP
  15. ↑ incl. 1.2% for HSLS and 1.2% for OiP
  16. ↑ incl. 2.1% for OiP
  17. ↑ incl. 1.0% for OiP
  18. ↑ incl. 1.0% for OiP
  19. ↑ incl. 1.6% for OiP
  20. ↑ incl. 1.1% for OiP and 1.1% for AP
  21. ↑ incl. 1.1% for AP
  22. ↑ incl. 1.1% for OiP and 1.1% for UZ
  23. ↑ incl. 1.1% for AP
  24. ↑ incl. 1.2% for OiP and 1.1% for HSP
  25. ↑ incl. 1.3% for BUZ
  26. ↑ incl. 1.6% for SU
  27. ↑ incl. 1.2% for HSLS and 1.1% for SU
  28. ↑ incl. 1.2% for HDS
  29. ↑ incl. 1.0% for Blok
  30. ↑ incl. 1.6% for SDSS
  31. ↑ incl. 1.0% for HSLS
  32. ↑ Given certain events at the beginning of the month, Ipsos conducted a second survey on a smaller sample than usual
  33. ↑ incl. 1.0% for NS R
  34. ↑ incl. 1.2% for HDS
  35. ↑ incl. 1.0% for GLAS
  36. ↑ incl. 1.2% for NS R
  37. ↑ incl. 1.3% for NL Matija Posavec, 1.2% for BM 365 and 1.1% for NS R
  38. ↑ incl. 1.2% for BM365
  39. ↑ incl. 1.6% for BM365
  40. ↑ incl. 1.4% for BM365 and 1.0% for NS R
  41. ↑ incl. 1.2% for BM365 and 1.0% for NS R
  42. ↑ incl. 1.0% for SIP
  43. ↑ incl. 1.5% for BM365
  44. ↑ incl. 2.1% for BM365 and 1.2% for NS R
  45. ↑ incl. 1.3% for BM365
  46. ↑ incl. 1.2% for BM365
  47. ↑ incl. 1.3% for SIP
  48. ↑ incl. 1.0% for BM365
  49. ↑ incl. 1.0% for BM365
  50. ↑ incl. 1.0% for BM365
  51. ↑ incl. 1.4% for BM365 and 1.0% for NS R
  52. 1 2 3 with SDP
  53. ↑ with DP
  54. ↑ part of SDP until split in the party
  55. ↑ incl. 1.0% for NS R and 0.6% for BM365

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References

  1. ↑ Filipović, Luka (22 March 2024). "Predstavljena koalicija 'Rijeke pravde': Borimo se za Hrvatsku bez korupcije" [The 'River of Justice' coalition presented: We are fighting for a corruption-free Croatia]. tportal.hr (in Croatian). Retrieved 22 March 2024.
  2. 1 2 "Milanović ide na izbore sa SDP-om: Bit će kandidat za premijera" [Milanović is going to the elections with SDP: He will be a candidate for prime minister]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 15 March 2024. Retrieved 15 March 2024.
  3. ↑ "Penava: Bez obnove hrvatskog sela nema demografske obnove i nema hrvatske budućnosti" [Penava: Without the restoration of the Croatian villagr, there is no demographic restoration and no Croatian future]. Narod.hr (in Croatian). 16 December 2023. Retrieved 18 December 2023.
  4. ↑ "Sklopljena predizborna koalicija: "Manjinska bi vlada bila jako zdrava za Hrvatsku jer je previše bahatluka"" [The pre-election coalition was concluded: "A minority government would be very healthy for Croatia because there is too much arrogance"]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 9 December 2023. Retrieved 9 December 2023.
  5. ↑ "Laburisti se pridružili savezu "Naša Hrvatska": "Ovo je samo nastavak suradnje i povjerenja"" [Labor joined the "Our Croatia" alliance: "This is just a continuation of cooperation and trust"]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 17 October 2023. Retrieved 7 January 2024.
  6. ↑ "Tko će s kim na izbore? Most i Suverenisti si pružili ruke i poručili: "Mi smo druga najjača opcija u državi"" [Who will go to the elections with whom? The Bridge and Sovereigns held out their hands and said: "We are the second strongest option in the country."]. Dnevnik.hr (in Croatian). 8 July 2023. Retrieved 10 July 2023.
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