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Arizona's 7th congressional district | |||||||||||||||||
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Grijalva: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90%+ Butierez: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90%+ Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arizona |
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A special election was held on September 23, 2025, to fill Arizona's 7th congressional district for the remainder of the 119th United States Congress. The result was certified by the Arizona Secretary of State, Adrian Fontes, on October 14. [1]
This followed the July 15, 2025, primary election which results were certified by Fontes 16 days later on July 31.
The seat became vacant following the death of incumbent Democrat Raúl Grijalva on March 13, 2025. [2] It is considered a safely Democratic district. [3]
The election was won by former Pima County supervisor Adelita Grijalva, Raúl Grijalva's daughter. [4] Grijalva won by 39%, a significant overperformance from Kamala Harris's 22% victory in the district in the 2024 presidential election. [5]
Incumbent Congressman Raúl Grijalva was diagnosed with lung cancer on April 2, 2024, and died in office on March 13, 2025, from complications from cancer treatments at age 77. [2]
Writing for The Arizona Republic in May, Laura Gersony noted that the "leading candidates" were Daniel Hernández Jr., Adelita Grijalva, and Deja Foxx; further noting that Hernández held an initial lead in fundraising stemming from supporters of Israel and that Grijalva would likely benefit from some of the campaign infrastructure built by her father. [6] Grijalva received the endorsement of both of Arizona's U.S. Senators, Mark Kelly and Ruben Gallego, and a number of Democratic political organizations, including EMILY's List and Giffords. [7] [8] [9]
Grijalva won the Democratic primary on July 15, and faced Republican painting contractor Daniel Butierez.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Deja Foxx | Adelita Grijalva | Daniel Hernández | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D) [A] | June 26–29, 2025 | 540 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 35% | 43% | 9% | 3% [b] | 11% |
Change Research (D) [A] | May 13–16, 2025 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 10% | 41% | 16% | 2% [c] | 32% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [B] | April 7–8, 2025 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 5% | 49% | 11% | – | 35% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Foxx | Grijalva | Harris | Hernández | Malvido | |||||
1 | May 27, 2025 | KAET [50] | Ted Simons | [51] | P | P | P | P | P |
2 | June 10, 2025 | Arizona Public Media [52] | Steve Goldstein, Nohelani Graf | [53] | P | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Adelita Grijalva | 38,679 | 61.48% | |
Democratic | Deja Foxx | 14,078 | 22.38% | |
Democratic | Daniel Hernández Jr. | 8,541 | 13.58% | |
Democratic | Patrick Harris | 925 | 1.47% | |
Democratic | Jose Malvido Jr. | 687 | 1.09% | |
Total votes | 62,910 | 100.00% |
Town | Foxx | Grijalva | Harris | Hernández Jr. | Malvido Jr. | Total | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cochise | 646 | 22.17% | 1,888 | 64.79% | 35 | 1.20% | 326 | 11.19% | 19 | 0.65% | 2,914 |
Maricopa | 1,122 | 21.69% | 2,739 | 52.95% | 109 | 2.11% | 1,167 | 22.56% | 36 | 0.70% | 5,173 |
Pima | 10,880 | 23.93% | 27,923 | 61.42% | 622 | 1.37% | 5,512 | 12.12% | 525 | 1.16% | 45,462 |
Pinal | 31 | 14.90% | 120 | 57.69% | 7 | 3.37% | 45 | 21.64% | 5 | 2.40% | 208 |
Santa Cruz | 696 | 15.08% | 3,087 | 66.88% | 68 | 1.47% | 717 | 15.53% | 48 | 1.04% | 4,616 |
Yuma | 703 | 15.50% | 2,922 | 64.40% | 84 | 1.85% | 774 | 17.06% | 54 | 1.19% | 4,537 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican | Republican | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||||
Butierez | Rivas | Rodriguez | KAET [58] | Ted Simons | [59] | P | P | A |
2 | June 9,2025 | Arizona Public Media [52] | Steve Goldstein,Nohelani Graf | [60] | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Butierez | 11,121 | 60.89% | |
Republican | Jorge Rivas | 4,594 | 25.15% | |
Republican | Jimmy Rodriguez | 2,549 | 13.96% | |
Total votes | 18,264 | 100.00% |
Town | Butierez | Rivas | Rodriguez | Total | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cochise | 446 | 51.86% | 303 | 35.23% | 111 | 12.91% | 860 |
Maricopa | 824 | 46.29% | 603 | 33.88% | 353 | 19.83% | 1,780 |
Pima | 7,309 | 62.15% | 2,871 | 24.41% | 1,580 | 13.44% | 11,760 |
Pinal | 170 | 60.71% | 78 | 27.86% | 32 | 11.43% | 280 |
Santa Cruz | 936 | 68.22% | 282 | 20.55% | 154 | 11.22% | 1,372 |
Yuma | 1,434 | 64.89% | 457 | 20.68% | 319 | 14.43% | 2,210 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Green | Eduardo Quintana (write-in) | 42 | 95.45% | |
Green | Gary Swing (write-in) | 2 | 4.55% | |
Total votes | 44 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Andy Fernandez (write-in) | 19 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 19 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
No Labels | Richard Grayson (write-in) | 1 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 1 | 100.00% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [70] | Solid D | August 13,2025 |
Inside Elections [71] | Solid D | June 30,2025 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [72] | Safe D | August 14,2025 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn | ||||||
Butierez | Grijalva | |||||
1 | August 26,2025 | Arizona Public Media [73] | Nohelani Graf | [74] | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Adelita Grijalva | 70,148 | 68.92% | +5.47% | |
Republican | Daniel Butierez | 29,944 | 29.42% | −7.13% | |
Green | Eduardo Quintana | 1,118 | 1.10% | N/A | |
No Labels | Richard Grayson | 537 | 0.53% | N/A | |
Write-in | 29 | 0.03% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 101,776 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
County [75] | Adelita Grijalva Democratic | Daniel Butierez Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Cochise (part) | 3,327 | 71.06% | 1,277 | 27.27% | 78 | 1.67% | 2,050 | 43.78% | 4,682 |
Maricopa (part) | 6,221 | 67.80% | 2,800 | 30.52% | 154 | 1.68% | 3,421 | 37.29% | 9,175 |
Pima (part) | 49,992 | 70.26% | 19,982 | 28.08% | 1,180 | 1.66% | 30,010 | 42.18% | 71,154 |
Pinal (part) | 275 | 36.67% | 460 | 61.33% | 15 | 2.00% | -185 | -24.67% | 750 |
Santa Cruz | 4,912 | 69.70% | 2,047 | 29.05% | 88 | 1.25% | 2,865 | 40.66% | 7,047 |
Yuma (part) | 5,421 | 60.45% | 3,378 | 37.67% | 169 | 1.88% | 2,043 | 22.78% | 8,968 |
Totals | 70,148 | 68.92% | 29,944 | 29.42% | 1,684 | 1.66% | 40,204 | 39.50% | 101,776 |