2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election

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Texas's 6th congressional district special election
Flag of Texas.svg
  2020 May 1, 2021 (first round) [1]
July 27, 2021 (runoff)
2022  

Texas's 6th congressional district
Turnout16.05% (first round)
7.93% (runoff) [2]
  U.S. Representative, Jake Ellzey (cropped).jpg Ron and Susan Wright 2 (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Candidate Jake Ellzey Susan WrightJana Sanchez
Party Republican Republican Democratic
First round10,865
13.85%
15,077
19.21%
10,518
13.40%
Runoff 20,837
53.27%
18,279
46.73%
Eliminated

  Brian E. Harrison.jpg 3x4.svg 3x4.svg
Candidate Brian Harrison Shawn Lassiter John Anthony Castro
Party Republican Democratic Republican
First round8,485
10.81%
6,973
8.89%
4,321
5.51%
Runoff EliminatedEliminatedEliminated

 
CandidateTammy Allison Holloway
Party Democratic
First round4,240
5.40%
Runoff Eliminated

2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election results map by county.svg
2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election runoff results map by county.svg
Ellzey:     20–30%     50–60%
Wright:      10–20%     20–30%     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Ron Wright
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jake Ellzey
Republican

The 2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election was held on May 1, 2021. The seat became vacant after incumbent Republican Ron Wright died on February 7 of COVID-19.

Contents

Ron Wright's widow, Susan Wright from Arlington, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump, [3] and Jake Ellzey (who lost the Republican primary for this seat to Ron Wright in 2018) of Waxahachie, who served as a member of the Texas House of Representatives starting on January 12, advanced to the runoff. [4] Ellzey finished ahead of Democrat Jana Lynne Sanchez of Fort Worth for the second place by just 354 votes. [5] [6] Sanchez conceded defeat to Ellzey the day after the election. [7] The district was a Republican hold due to two Republicans advancing to the runoff.

The special election was expected to be competitive, due to the district trending Democratic in recent years and its suburban nature. [8] A nonpartisan blanket primary took place, in which all candidates were listed on the same ballot. Since no candidate had received over 50 percent of the vote, the race proceeded to a runoff between the top two candidates in the first round, [9] resulting in two Republicans advancing to the runoff. [7] The runoff took place on July 27. [10] Ellzey won the runoff election, earning 53.3% to Wright's 46.7%. [11]

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Filed paperwork

Declined

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Phil Gray, property manager [15]

Independent

Declared

  • Adrian Mizher, banker [15]

Endorsements

Lydia Bean (D)
Jake Ellzey (R)

Federal Officials

Sery Kim (R)

Federal Officials

Individuals

Shawn Lassiter (D)

Organizations

Dan Rodimer (R)

Federal Officials

Jana Sanchez (D)

Organizations

Michael Wood (R)

Federal Officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Susan Wright (R)

Executive Branch Officials

Federal Officials

State Legislators

Other Individuals

Organizations

Primary

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
(D) Tammy Allison
(R) Michael Ballantine
(D) Lydia Bean
(R) John Castro
(D) Daryl Eddings
(R) Mike Egan
(R) Jake Ellzey
(L) Phil Gray
(R) Brian Harrison
(D) Matt Hinterlong
(R) Sery Kim
(D) Shawn Lassiter
(I) Adrian Mizher
(D) Patrick Moses
(R) Travis Rodermund
(R) Dan Rodimer
(D) Manuel Salazar
(D) Jana Sanchez
(R) Jennifer Sharon
(D) Brian Stephenson
(D) Chris Suprun
(R) Michael Wood
(R) Susan Wright
OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D) [56] [A] April 5–12, 2021344 (LV)± 5.0%9%13%10%10%2%16%22%2%14%
Global Strategy Group (D) [57] [B] March 11–16, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%6%8%6%4%2%1%9%18%45%
Victoria Research (D) [58] [C] March 9–12, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%5%8%1%3%3%2%17%21%3%39%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [59] Lean RMarch 19, 2021
Inside Elections [60] Lean RApril 23, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [61] Likely RApril 15, 2021

Results

Susan Wright came in first in the primary with 15,077 (19.2%) votes to Ellzey's 10,865 (13.8%) and Sanchez's 10,518 (13.4%). On Sunday, May 2, 2021, Sanchez conceded the race to Ellzey. Since no candidate received a majority, the top two candidates, Wright and Ellzey, proceeded to a runoff.

2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election [62]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Susan Wright 15,077 19.21
Republican Jake Ellzey 10,865 13.85
Democratic Jana Sanchez10,51813.40
Republican Brian Harrison 8,48510.81
Democratic Shawn Lassiter6,9738.89
Republican John Anthony Castro4,3215.51
Democratic Tammy Allison Holloway4,2405.40
Democratic Lydia Bean 2,9233.72
Republican Michael Wood2,5093.20
Republican Michael Ballantine2,2252.84
Republican Dan Rodimer 2,0882.66
Democratic Daryl J. Eddings Sr.1,6542.11
Republican Mike Egan1,5441.97
Democratic Patrick Moses1,1891.52
Democratic Manuel R. Salazar III1,1201.43
Republican Sery Kim8891.13
Republican Travis Rodermund4600.59
Independent Adrian Mizher3510.45
Democratic Brian K. Stephenson2710.35
Libertarian Phil Gray2650.34
Democratic Matthew Hinterlong2520.32
Republican Jennifer Garcia Sharon1500.19
Democratic Chris Suprun1020.13
Total votes78,471 100.00

Runoff

A runoff was held on July 27 between Susan Wright and Jake Ellzey. In the campaign prior to the runoff, Wright relied heavily on Trump's endorsement in order to further her candidacy, but was considered to have run a poor campaign. [63] The Club for Growth spent heavily in the runoff, buying US$1.2 million in advertisements that supported Wright and attacked Ellzey. [63] The heavily negative tone taken by the Club for Growth ads towards Ellzey frustrated many Republican officials, some of whom backed Ellzey in protest. [63] Ellzey's campaign also engaged in strategies that were suspected as being designed to appeal to Democrats, with him declaring himself a "champion of public education" in text messages to Democratic-leaning potential voters, as well as noting that Wright was endorsed by former president Donald Trump. [63] Defending Main Street, a Super PAC that was supporting Ellzey, targeted Democrats with advertisements, but Ellzey himself denied that he was specifically targeting Democrats, instead claiming that his statements were designed to be bipartisan. [63]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [64] Solid RJuly 9, 2021
Inside Elections [65] Solid RJune 18, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball [66] Safe RJuly 21, 2021

Endorsements

Jake Ellzey (R)

Executive Branch Officials

U.S. Representatives

Newspapers

Susan Wright (R)

Executive Branch Officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State Legislators

Other Individuals

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Wright (R)
Jake
Ellzey (R)
Undecided
American Viewpoint (R) [77] [D] July 19–21, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%44%34%12%
American Viewpoint (R) [78] [D] June 1–3, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%49%34%11%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white; Susan Wright vs. Jana Sanchez

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Wright (R)
Jana
Sanchez (D)
Undecided
Data for Progress (D) [56] [A] April 5–12, 2021344 (LV)± 5.0%53%43%5%

Results

2021 Texas' 6th congressional district special election runoff [79]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jake Ellzey 20,837 53.27
Republican Susan Wright 18,27946.73
Total votes39,116 100.00
Republican hold

By county

County [2] Jake Ellzey
Republican
Susan Wright
Republican
MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%
Ellis 6,78456.68%5,18543.32%1,59913.36%11,969
Navarro 1,39843.87%1,78956.13%-391-12.27%3,187
Tarrant (part)12,65552.82%11,30547.18%1,3505.63%23,960
Totals20,83753.27%18,27946.73%2,5586.54%39,116

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Way to Lead, Way To Win, and Boot Texas Republicans
  2. This poll was sponsored by Lydia Bean's campaign
  3. This poll was sponsored by Jana Sanchez's campaign
  4. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Wright's campaign

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  77. American Viewpoint (R)
  78. American Viewpoint (R)
  79. "Texas Election Results" . Retrieved July 27, 2021.

Official websites of candidates