Ariane 6

Last updated

CNES began studies in 2010 [65] on an alternative, reusable first stage for Ariane 6, using a mix of liquid oxygen and liquid methane rather than liquid hydrogen that is used in the 2016 Ariane 6 first-stage design. The methane-powered core could use one or more engines, matching capabilities of Ariane 64 with only two boosters instead of four. As of January 2015, the economic feasibility of reusing an entire stage remained in question. Concurrent with the liquid fly-back booster research in the late 1990s and early 2000s, CNES along with Russia concluded studies[ when? ] indicating that reusing the first stage was economically unviable as manufacturing ten rockets a year was cheaper and more feasible than recovery, refurbishment and loss of performance caused by reusability. [66]

In June 2015, Airbus Defence and Space announced that Adeline, a partially reusable first stage, would become operational between 2025 and 2030 and that it would be developed as a subsequent first stage for Ariane 6. Rather than developing a way to reuse an entire first stage (like SpaceX), Airbus proposed a system where only high-value parts would be safely returned using a winged module at the bottom of the rocket stack. [65]

In August 2016, ASL gave some more details about future development plans building on the Ariane 6 design. CEO Alain Charmeau revealed that Airbus Safran were now working along two main lines: first, continuing work (at the company's own expense) on the recoverable Adeline engine-and-avionics module; and second, beginning development of a next-generation engine to be called Prometheus. This engine would have about the same thrust as the Vulcain 2 currently powering Ariane 5 but would burn methane instead of liquid hydrogen. Charmeau was non-committal about whether Prometheus (still only in the first few months of development) could be used as an expendable replacement for the Vulcain 2 in Ariane 6, or whether it was tied to the re-usable Adeline design, saying only that "We are cautious, and we prefer to speak when are sure of what we announce... But certainly this engine could very well fit with the first stage of Ariane 6 one day", a decision on whether to proceed with Prometheus in an expendable or reusable role could be made between 2025 and 2030. [67] Charmeau was not positive about reusability in 2018, stating that if Ariane had a launch schedule of ten flights per year and had a rocket that could be reused ten times, the company would only build one rocket per year, making supporting an ongoing manufacturing supply chain unviable ("I cannot tell my teams: Goodbye, see you next year!"). Ariane would need 30 launches a year to justify the cost of researching reusability, he said. [68]

In 2017, the Prometheus engine project was revealed to have the aim of reducing the engine unit cost from the €10 million of the Vulcain2 to €1 million and allowing the engine to be reused up to five times. [69] The engine development is said to be part of a broader effort – codename Ariane NEXT [70] – to reduce Ariane launch costs by a factor of two beyond improvements brought by Ariane 6. The Ariane NEXT initiative includes a reusable sounding rocket, Callisto, to test the performance of various fuels in new engine designs. [71]

The European Space Agency is exploring human-rating certification for Ariane 6, awarding Arianespace a contract to explore potential options for enabling crewed missions to be launched aboard the vehicle. [72]

Production

In a January 2019 interview, Arianespace CEO Stéphane Israël said that the company would require four more institutional launches for Ariane 6 to sign a manufacturing contract. Launch contracts would be needed for the transitional period of 2020–2023 when Ariane 5 will be phased out and gradually replaced by Ariane 6. The company would require European institutions to become an anchor customer for the launcher. In response, ESA representatives said the agency was working on shifting the 2022 launch of the Jupiter Icy Moons Explorer from Ariane 5 ECA to Ariane 64, further indicating that there are other institutional customers in Europe that must put their weight behind the project, such as the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) or the European Commission.

As of January 2019, Arianespace had sold three flights of the Ariane 6 launch vehicle. [73] One month later, they added a satellite internet constellation launch contract with OneWeb to utilize the maiden launch of Ariane 6 to help populate the large 600-satellite constellation. [74]

On 6 May 2019, Arianespace ordered the first production batch of 14 Ariane 6 rockets. [75]

In 2024, Arianespace expected that their launch tempo would increase to six in 2025, eight in 2026, and stabilize at ten per year starting in 2027. [76]

Rocket components are transported by sea from Europe to the Guiana Space Centre aboard the Canopée , a cargo vessel that uses sails to assist with its propulsion, reducing fuel use. [77] [78]

Development funding

Ariane 6
Ariane6 logo.svg
Ariane 6 on pad.jpg
Ariane 62 during testing at the Guiana Space Centre before its maiden flight
Function
Manufacturer ArianeGroup
Country of originEuropean multi-national [a]
Project cost 3.215 billion [1]
Cost per launch
  • A62: €70 million (2018 est.) [2]
  • A64: €115 million (2018 est.) [2]
Size
Height63 m (207 ft)
Diameter5.4 m (18 ft)
Mass
  • A62: 530,000 kg (1,170,000 lb)
  • A64: 860,000 kg (1,900,000 lb)
Stages2
Capacity
Payload to LEO
Mass
  • A62: 10,350 kg (22,820 lb) [3]
  • A64: 21,650 kg (47,730 lb) [3]

Ariane 6 was developed in a public-private partnership with the majority of the funding coming from various ESA government sources. As of 2015, the estimated government development cost over the then planned 6-year development phase through 2020 was €2.815 billion of government-provided funds, while €400 million was reported to be "industry's share". At the time, in a novel approach for ESA, this was to be "an arrangement in which the [Airbus Safran] company takes full control of Ariane 6 design and development and commits to a firm, fixed-price contract" [79]

By the time the ESA Council approved the project in November 2016, the ESA had already paid out €688 million to Airbus Safran [80] and the ESA Industrial Policy Committee released €1.7 billion of additional funds on 8 November 2016. [81]

In January 2020, two EU institutions, the European Investment Bank and the European Commission, loaned €100 million to Arianespace, drawing from the Horizon 2020 and Investment Plan for Europe corporate investment programmes. The 10-year loan's repayment is tied to the financial success of the Ariane 6 project. [82] [ needs update ]

Launch history

List of launches

Planned launches

Date
Time (UTC)
TypePayloadOrbitCustomers
August 2025Ariane 62
VA264 [91]
MetOp-SG-A1 [92] SSO EUMETSAT
2025 [93] Ariane 62 Galileo FOC FM 29, 30 MEO ESA
Q4 2025 [94] [95] Ariane 64 Project Kuiper (30+ satellites) LEO Kuiper Systems
First Ariane 64 launch and first Ariane launch for Project Kuiper
2H 2025 [96] Ariane 62
Sentinel-1D SSO ESA
2026 [97] [93] Ariane 62 Galileo FOC FM 28, 31 MEO ESA
2026 [97] [93] Ariane 62 Galileo FOC FM 33, 34 MEO ESA
Q2 2026 [98] Ariane 64 Intelsat 45 GTO Intelsat
June-August 2026 [99] Ariane 62 MetOp-SG-B1 [92] SSO EUMETSAT
Q3 2026 [100] Ariane 64 [101] MTG-I2 [102] GTO EUMETSAT
Q4 2026 [103] Ariane 64Multi-Launch Service (MLS) #1 rideshare mission GTO TBA
2026 [104] Ariane 6 Galileo G2 1, 2 MEO ESA
2026 [105] [106] Ariane 64 Intelsat 41, 44 GTO Intelsat
Q4 2026 [107] [108] Ariane 62 [109] PLATO Sun–Earth L2 ESA
2026 [110] [111] Ariane 64Uhura-1 (Node-1) [112] GTO Skyloom
Q4 2027 [103] Ariane 64MLS #2 rideshare mission GTO TBA
2027 [113] [114] Ariane 64 Optus-11 GTO Optus
2027 [115] Ariane 64 Earth Return Orbiter Areocentric ESA
2027 [104] Ariane 6 Galileo G2 3, 4 MEO ESA
2027 [116] Ariane 6 Hellas Sat 5 GTO Hellas Sat
Q4 2028 [103] Ariane 64MLS #3 rideshare mission GTO TBA
Q3 2029 [103] Ariane 64MLS #4 rideshare mission GTO TBA
2029 [117] Ariane 62 ARIEL, Comet Interceptor Sun–Earth L2 ESA
2031 [118] Ariane 64 Argonaut Mission 1 TLI ESA
2035 [119] Ariane 64 [120] Athena Sun–Earth L2,
Halo orbit
ESA
2035 [121] Ariane 6 LISA Heliocentric ESA
TBD [122] Ariane 6417 more launches of Project Kuiper (35–40 satellites) [123] LEO Kuiper Systems
TBD [124] Ariane 62 Electra GTO SES S.A. / ESA
TBD [124] Ariane 62 Eutelsat ×3 GTO Eutelsat

Criticism

The Ariane 6 programme has faced substantial criticism for its cost per launch and lack of reusability. When the programme was approved by the European Space Agency (ESA) in 2012, the programme was intended to produce a modernised successor to the Ariane 5 with a focus on cost optimisation. However, over the course of its more than a decade-long development, the project experienced delays and cost overruns. [125] Initially expected to be 50% cheaper than its predecessor, the Ariane 6 now has projected launch prices exceeding €100 million per mission — above the original estimates of €70 million for the A62 and €90 million for the A64. [126] The cost per launch has limited the rocket's appeal to commercial clients outside of Europe. [127]

A major criticism of the Ariane 6 stems from its reliance on expendable technology at a time when competitors have demonstrated the economic advantages of reusability. For example, SpaceX iteratively developed its Falcon 9 rocket, nearly doubling its payload capacity and making it partially reusable, lowering the company's costs to launch. [128] Some industry experts argued that the decision to forego reusability rendered the Ariane 6 "already obsolete" before it even entered service. [125]

European officials, however, have defended the Ariane 6, citing the strategic need for independent access to space. They point to geopolitical disruptions, such as losing access to Russian Soyuz-ST rockets, as evidence of the necessity for a self-reliant European capability. Officials have also justified the rocket’s lack of reusability by arguing that the relatively low number of planned launches would make such a feature economically unviable. [129] [130]

To support the programme, ESA's member states have agreed to subsidise the Ariane 6 with up to €340 million annually from its 16th to its 42nd flight, expected to occur by 2031. [131] In exchange, governments will receive an 11% discount on launches. [129] [132]

Notes and references

Notes

  1. The lead manufacturer is from France, but the rocket has significant contributions from companies based in Germany, Italy, Spain, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland and Sweden.

References

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