East Coast Bays (New Zealand electorate)

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East Coast Bays
Single-member general constituency for the New ZealandHouse of Representatives
East Coast Bays electorate, 2014.svg
Formation1972, 2002
Region Auckland
CharacterSuburban
Term3 years
Member for East Coast Bays
STANFORD, Erica - East Coast Bays (cropped).png
Erica Stanford [1]
since 23 September 2017
Party National
Previous MP Murray McCully (National)
Party vote distribution




East Coast Bays is a New Zealand parliamentary electorate. It was first formed in 1972 and has existed apart from a break lasting two parliamentary terms. The electorate has been held by Erica Stanford of the National Party since the 2017 general election.

Contents

Population centres

Since the 1969 election, the number of electorates in the South Island was fixed at 25, with continued faster population growth in the North Island leading to an increase in the number of general electorates. There were 84 electorates for the 1969 election, [2] and the 1972 electoral redistribution saw three additional general seats created for the North Island, bringing the total number of electorates to 87. [3] Together with increased urbanisation in Christchurch and Nelson, the changes proved very disruptive to existing electorates. [3] In the South Island, three electorates were abolished, and three electorates were newly created. [4] In the North Island, five electorates were abolished, two electorates were recreated, and six electorates were newly created (including East Coast Bays). [5]

The electorate is based around the north-eastern suburbs of North Shore City in north Auckland, including Torbay, Browns Bay and Mairangi Bay. The electorate crosses State Highway One at its southern end, which includes a section of Glenfield. East Coast Bays is a wealthy electorate, with incomes above the national average and boasting some of the most expensive real estate in the country. The electorate also contains many immigrants from South Africa. Located on the North Shore of the Auckland isthmus, it is one of the safest National seats in the country.

History

East Coast Bays was an electorate in the New Zealand Parliament between 1972 and 1996, before being abolished to make way for the Albany electorate at the change to Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting. High population growth in North Auckland lead to the electorate's western fringe being removed in 2002, and with it the eponymous suburb of Albany, thus recreating East Coast Bays ahead of the 2002 election.

Although now a safe electorate for National, it was held for seven years by Social Credit MP Gary Knapp, from the 1980 by-election when he defeated future National party leader Don Brash. In the 1981, 1984 and 1987 general elections, Labour came third, with Knapp defeating Brash in 1981 and Murray McCully in 1984.

But in 1987 the declining fortunes of the Democratic Party (as Social Credit renamed itself), led to Knapp being defeated by Murray McCully, who held the electorate for National until 2017.

In December 2016, McCully announced that he would not stand for parliament in the 2017 general election, [6] and the seat of East Coast Bays was won by Erica Stanford, retaining it for the National Party.

Members of Parliament

Key

  National   Social Credit   Democrats   United Future   Green

ElectionWinner
1972 election Frank Gill 1
1975 election
1978 election
1980 by-election Gary Knapp
1981 election
1984 election
1987 election Murray McCully
1990 election
1993 election
electorate abolished, see Albany
2002 election Murray McCully
2005 election
2008 election
2011 election
2014 election
2017 election Erica Stanford
2020 election
2023 election

1 Resigned when appointed Ambassador to the United States

List MPs

Members of Parliament elected from party lists in elections where that person also unsuccessfully contested the East Coast Bays electorate. Unless otherwise stated, all MPs terms began and ended at general elections.

ElectionWinner
2002 election Paul Adams
2008 election Sue Bradford 2

2Bradford resigned from Parliament on 30 October 2009.

Election results

2023 election

2023 general election: East Coast Bays [7]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Green check.svgY Erica Stanford 27,68771.52+17.8122,50857.59+19.40
Labour Naisi Chen 7,33418.94-11.775,71614.62-25.43
ACT Michael McCook1,5844.09+0.423,7749.65+0.88
NewZeal Paul Adams 8902.294091.04+0.94
NZ Loyal Bill Dyet7101.833860.98
Green  3,4628.85+2.72
NZ First  1,5323.92+2.21
Opportunities  6461.65+0.51
Te Pāti Māori  1370.35+0.18
Legalise Cannabis  1090.27+0.05
Animal Justice  620.15
New Conservative  580.14-1.64
Freedoms NZ  510.13
DemocracyNZ  340.08
Women's Rights  320.08
New Nation  240.06
Leighton Baker Party  70.01
Informal votes505136
Total valid votes38,71039,079
National holdMajority20,35352.57+29.57

2020 election

2020 general election: East Coast Bays [8]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Green check.svgY Erica Stanford 20,46653.71−11.8214,65838.19−24.59
Labour Monina Hernandez11,70230.71+12.1415,37240.05+16.85
Green Dan Jones2,3706.22−0.432,3536.13+1.39
ACT Michael McCook1,3973.67+2.553,3658.77+7.77
New Conservative Matthew Webster9272.436831.78+1.51
TEA Susanna Kruger2750.721610.42
Outdoors Marius Koekemoer1720.45320.08+0.04
NZ First  6571.71−3.67
Opportunities  4361.14−0.78
Advance NZ  2370.62
Legalise Cannabis  830.22+0.05
Māori Party  650.17+0.01
ONE  370.10
Sustainable NZ  290.08
Social Credit  130.03+0.01
Vision New Zealand  110.03
Heartland  30.01
Informal votes793188
Total valid votes38,10238,383
Turnout 38,539 [9] 79.12+2.45
National holdMajority8,76423.00−23.96

2017 election

2017 general election: East Coast Bays [10]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Erica Stanford 22,73165.53+3.6122,00662.78−0.60
Labour Naisi Chen 6,44118.57+3.308,13023.20+11.05
Green Nicholas Mayne2,3066.65−3.301,6604.74−3.49
Opportunities Teresa Moore1,2893.726731.92
NZ First Ilja Ruppeldt1,2543.621,8865.38−0.58
ACT Stephen Berry 3891.123471.00−4.96
Conservative  950.27−6.43
Legalise Cannabis  580.17−0.12
Māori Party  550.16+0.12
United Future  340.10−0.11
People's Party  180.05
Outdoors  140.04
Democrats  60.02−0.03
Mana Party  50.01
Ban 1080  50.01−0.13
Internet  40.01
Informal votes277154
Total valid votes34,68735,050
National holdMajority16,29046.96+0.30

2014 election

2014 general election: East Coast Bays [11] [12]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Green check.svgY Murray McCully 19,95161.92-3.0620,89563.38+0.52
Conservative Colin Craig 4,92315.27+10.32,2106.7+2.96
Labour Greg Milner-White3,91512.15-7.734,00512.15-5.05
Green Teresa Moore3,2069.95+1.232,7128.23+0.17
Ban 1080 Tricia Cheel2290.71+0.71470.14+0.14
NZ First  1,9645.96+1.02
ACT  5801.76+0.18
Internet Mana  2220.67+0.67
Māori Party  1250.38-0.01
Legalise Cannabis  950.29-0.18
United Future  690.21-0.22
Civilian  640.06+0.06
Democrats  170.05+0.02
Independent Coalition  40.01+0.01
Focus  30.01+0.01
Informal votes32773
Total valid votes32,55733,041
National holdMajority15,03446.65+1.55

2011 election

2011 general election: East Coast Bays [13]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Green check.svgY Murray McCully 21,09464.98+6.9021,07962.86+1.45
Labour Viv Goldsmith6,45319.88+2.075,76917.20-4.44
Green Brett Stansfield2,8328.72+2.202,7048.72+2.20
Conservative Simonne Dyer1,6144.97+4.971,2543.74+3.74
ACT Toby Hutton4671.44-2.155301.58-4.08
NZ First  1,6574.94+2.11
Legalise Cannabis  1560.47+0.19
United Future  1450.43-0.31
Māori Party  1300.39-0.01
Mana  640.19+0.19
Libertarianz  240.07+0.001
Alliance  140.04+0.002
Democrats  90.03-0.01
Informal votes902160
Total valid votes32,46033,535
National holdMajority14,64145.10+4.82

Electorate (as at 26 November 2011): 47,305 [14]

2008 election

2008 general election: East Coast Bays [15]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Green check.svgY Murray McCully 20,15158.09+11.0621,68161.40+9.13
Labour Viv Goldsmith6,17717.81-9.317,64221.64-10.13
Family Party Paul Adams [note 1] 3,57010.29-5.585051.43
Green Sue Bradford 2,2636.52+3.011,4394.08+0.59
ACT Tim Kronfeld1,2463.59+2.122,0005.66+3.09
NZ First Dail Jones 7302.10-0.471,0012.83-1.94
No Commercial Airport at Whenuapai Toby Hutton2830.82
United Future Ian McInnes2150.62-0.492630.74-1.65
Libertarianz Elah Zamora560.16250.07+0.03
Progressive  2140.61-0.30
Bill and Ben  1490.42
Māori Party  1410.40+0.14
Legalise Cannabis  980.28+0.08
Kiwi  900.25
Alliance  140.04-0.00
Pacific  140.04
Democrats  130.04-0.00
Workers Party  80.02
RONZ  70.02+0.00
RAM  50.01
Informal votes28191
Total valid votes34,69135,309
National holdMajority13,97440.28+20.38
  1. Paul Adams contested the 2005 election as an Independent: the "±% electoral votes" figure here compares Adams' percentage of electoral votes for the Family Party in 2008 with the 2005 percentage as an Independent.

2005 election

2005 general election: East Coast Bays [16]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Green check.svgY Murray McCully 17,21347.02+7.9319,43752.27+27.44
Labour Hamish McCracken9,92727.12-7.0311,81331.77-2.04
Independent Paul Adams 5,80915.87
Green Jeanette Elley1,2873.52-1.921,2973.49-8.48
NZ First Anne Martin9422.571,7754.77-5.20
ACT Andrew Stone5371.47-4.959562.39-2.80
United Future Steven Dromgool4051.11-8.148902.39-7.23
Progressive Fiona Beazley2530.69-0.953380.91-0.36
Māori Party Rahuia Kapa1190.33950.26
Democrats Patrick Fahey730.20140.04
Destiny John Steemson390.113701.00
Legalise Cannabis  740.20-0.19
Christian Heritage  440.12-0.93
Direct Democracy  280.08
Alliance  150.04-0.86
Libertarianz  140.04
RONZ  70.02
99 MP  60.02
Family Rights  60.02
One NZ  50.01-0.23
Informal votes324100
Total valid votes36,60437,184
National holdMajority7,28619.90+14.96

2002 election

2002 general election: East Coast Bays [17]
Notes:

Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote.
Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list.
Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent.
A Green check.svgY or Red x.svgN denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.

PartyCandidateVotes%±%Party votes%±%
National Green check.svgY Murray McCully 12,13439.097,87624.83
Labour Hamish McCracken10,60034.1510,72233.81
United Future Paul Adams 2,8729.253,0529.62
ACT Julie Pepper1,9936.421,6465.19
Green Jeanette Elley1,6885.443,79611.97
One NZ Alan McCulloch 5281.70750.24
Progressive Jill Henry5081.644031.27
Christian Heritage Ian Cummings3991.293341.05
Alliance Fiona McLaren3161.022870.90
NZ First  3,1639.97
ORNZ  2270.72
Legalise Cannabis  1230.39
NMP  60.02
Mana Māori  40.01
Informal votes39275
Total valid votes31,03831,714
National win new seatMajority1,5344.94

1993 election

1993 general election: East Coast Bays [18]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
National Murray McCully 10,209 46.74 −0.83
Alliance Heather-Ann McConachy5,69326.06
Labour Gordon Duncan3,25314.89
NZ First Anne Martin2,23210.21
Christian Heritage Dennis Knox3471.58
Natural Law Miranda Adams1070.48
Majority4,51620.67−2.32
Turnout 21,84186.74−1.31
Registered electors 25,179

1990 election

1990 general election: East Coast Bays [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
National Murray McCully 10,791 47.57 +7.12
Democrats Gary Knapp 5,57524.58−14.45
Labour Vivienne Halligan3,43315.13
Green Dianne Gatward2,40610.60
NewLabour John Alfred Watson4301.89
Social Credit Sonia Lee Stewart450.19
Majority5,21622.99+21.57
Turnout 22,68088.05+1.89
Registered electors 25,758

1987 election

1987 general election: East Coast Bays [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
National Murray McCully 8,833 40.45 +4.62
Democrats Gary Knapp 8,52239.03−5.71
Labour Wayne Sellwood4,41120.20
Independent J C Braithwaite680.31
Majority3111.42
Turnout 21,83489.94−3.46
Registered electors 24,276

1984 election

1984 general election: East Coast Bays [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Social Credit Gary Knapp 10,146 44.74 −0.16
National Murray McCully 8,12635.83
Labour Michael Smythe2,0819.17
NZ Party David Phillips2,0358.97
Independent Mark Smits170.07
Majority2,0208.90+5.96
Turnout 22,67593.40+1.26
Registered electors 24,276

1981 election

1981 general election: East Coast Bays [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Social Credit Gary Knapp 11,568 44.90 +1.59
National Don Brash 10,81041.96+3.76
Labour Neville Creighton3,33512.94
Independent Eric Smith490.19
Majority7582.94−2.17
Turnout 25,76292.14+28.50
Registered electors 27,957

1980 by-election

1980 East Coast Bays by-election [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Social Credit Gary Knapp 8,061 43.31 +23.33
National Don Brash 7,11038.20
Labour Wyn Hoadley 3,29617.71
Values Janet Moore1440.77
Majority9515.11
Turnout 18,61163.64−12.95
Registered electors 29,243
Social Credit gain from National Swing

1978 election

1978 general election: East Coast Bays [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
National Frank Gill 7,675 34.48 −20.96
Labour Colleen Hicks6,10927.45
Social Credit Gary Knapp 4,44819.98
Independent National David Phillips3,68416.55
Values Eric Smith3391.52
Majority1,5667.03−17.31
Turnout 22,25576.59−8.01
Registered electors 29,055

1975 election

1975 general election: East Coast Bays [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
National Frank Gill 12,739 55.44 +6.80
Labour Rex Stanton7,14531.09
Values John Bartram1,8398.00
Social Credit Noel Edward Lord1,2535.45
Majority5,59424.34+18.72
Turnout 22,97684.60−2.59
Registered electors 27,157

1972 election

1972 general election: East Coast Bays [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
National Frank Gill 8,460 48.64
Labour Brian Pauling7,48143.01
Social Credit Betty Ross1,3577.80
New Democratic Kay Edgecumbe930.53
Majority9795.62
Turnout 17,39187.19
Registered electors 19,946

Notes

  1. New Zealand Electoral Commission. "East Coast Bays - Official Result". Electoral Commission . Retrieved 27 February 2025.
  2. McRobie 1989, p. 111.
  3. 1 2 McRobie 1989, p. 115.
  4. McRobie 1989, pp. 112, 116.
  5. McRobie 1989, pp. 111, 115.
  6. "Murray McCully says he won't stand again in next election". The New Zealand Herald . 15 December 2016. Retrieved 27 September 2017.
  7. New Zealand Electoral Commission. "East Coast Bays - Official Result". Electoral Commission . Retrieved 15 November 2023.
  8. "East Coast Bays - Official Result (2020)". Electoral Commission . Retrieved 3 January 2021.
  9. "Party Votes and Turnout by Electorate (2020)". Electoral Commission . Retrieved 3 January 2021.
  10. "Official Count Results -- East Coast Bays (2017)". Electoral Commission. 7 October 2017. Retrieved 12 October 2017.
  11. New Zealand Electoral Commission. "Official Count Results - East Coast Bays". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
  12. "New Zealand Parliament - East Coast Bays Electorate Profile". Parliament.nz. 26 June 2015. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
  13. New Zealand Electoral Commission. "Official Count Results - East Coast Bays". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
  14. "Enrolment statistics". Electoral Commission. 26 November 2011. Archived from the original on 10 November 2011. Retrieved 28 November 2011.
  15. Archived 11 December 2008 at the Wayback Machine
  16. "Official Count Results - East Coast Bays". Electionresults.org.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
  17. "Official Count Results - East Coast Bays". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
  18. Part 1: Votes recorded at each polling place (Technical report). New Zealand Chief Electoral Office. 1993. p. 19.
  19. Part 1: Votes recorded at each polling place (Technical report). New Zealand Chief Electoral Office. 1990. p. 29.
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Norton 1988, p. 218.

References