Bay of Plenty (New Zealand electorate)

Bay of Plenty electorate boundaries used since the 2014 election

Bay of Plenty is a New Zealand electoral division returning one member to the New Zealand House of Representatives. The current representative is Todd Muller of the National Party, first elected at the 2014 election. He replaced Tony Ryall, also of the National Party, who retired after representing the seat since 1996. ^[1]

Population centres

In the 1892 electoral redistribution, population shift to the North Island required the transfer of one seat from the South Island to the north. The resulting ripple effect saw every electorate established in 1890 have its boundaries altered, and eight electorates were established for the first time, including Bay of Plenty. ^[2]

The current Bay of Plenty electorate is wrapped around Tauranga city, but does not include the city. It does include Matakana Island.

Prior to the 2007 boundary review, it did not extend to the western side of Tauranga or to Matakana Island. Instead it comprised a section of the central Bay of Plenty coast, from the eastern periphery of the Tauranga urban area to outside the main populated part of Whakatane. It included the towns of Te Puke, Edgecumbe and Papamoa. Rapid population growth around Tauranga has driven considerable boundary change at each review. For the 2008 election, the eastern boundary moved far westwards to the eastern fringe of Te Puke, in the process abandoning sections of the central coast to the Rotorua and East Coast seats.

Bay of Plenty was created for the change to the mixed-member proportional (MMP) representation voting system; it was carved out of parts of the old seats of Kaimai, Tarawera and Eastern Bay of Plenty. Its original incarnation was based mostly around Whakatane and Opotiki districts, with the remaining population coming from Te Puke and parts of greater Tauranga.

History

Bay of Plenty has been a safe seat for National's Tony Ryall, who has been returned easily at every election since the seat's re-establishment in 1996. The upper central North Island is an area where New Zealand First has done well, frequently getting a higher vote share in seats in both the Bay of Plenty region and in the Waikato than it does nationally.

The earlier Bay of Plenty electorate from 1893 to 1978 was held by William Kelly 1893–1896, William Herries 1896–1908, William MacDonald 1908–1920, Kenneth Williams 1920–1935, Gordon Hultquist 1935–1941, Bill Sullivan 1941–1957, Percy Allen 1957–1975 and Duncan MacIntyre 1975–1978. Williams had the distinction of being returned unopposed in three general elections, 1922, 1925 and 1931; ^[3] in 1928 he was opposed by Alexander Moncur for Labour.

Members of Parliament

Unless otherwise stated, all MPs terms began and ended at general elections.

Key

Conservative	Liberal	Reform
Labour	National	NZ First

Election	Winner
1893 election		William Kelly
1896 election		William Herries
1899 election
1902 election
1905 election
1908 election		William MacDonald 1
1911 election
1914 election
1919 election
1920 by-election		Kenneth Williams 1
1922 election
1925 election
1928 election
1931 election
1935 election		Gordon Hultquist 2
1938 election
1941 by-election		Bill Sullivan 3
1943 election
1946 election
1949 election
1951 election
1954 election
1957 by-election		Percy Allen
1957 election
1960 election
1963 election
1966 election
1969 election
1972 election
1975 election		Duncan MacIntyre
Electorate abolished; see East Cape
1996 election		Tony Ryall
1999 election
2002 election
2005 election
2008 election
2011 election
2014 election		Todd Muller
2017 election

¹ Died in office
² Died of illness while on military service
³ Resigned during term

List MPs

Members of Parliament elected from party lists in elections where that person also unsuccessfully contested the Bay of Plenty electorate. Unless otherwise stated, all MPs terms began and ended at general elections.

Election	Winner
1996 election		Peter Brown
1999 election
2002 election
2005 election
2017 election		Angie Warren-Clark

Election results

2017 election

2017 general election: Bay of Plenty [4]
Notes:		Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote. Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list. Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent. A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.
Party		Candidate		Votes	%	±%	Party votes	%	±%
	National	Y Todd Muller		25,352	61.05	+0.36	23,164	54.62	−3.04
	Labour	Angie Warren-Clark		11,356	27.34	+8.80	10,817	25.51	+12.44
	NZ First	Lester Gray		4,060	9.78	−2.90	4,568	10.77	−3.17
	Māori	Raewyn Bennett		563	1.36	—	214	0.50	−0.07
	ACT	Bruce Carley		195	0.47	—	206	0.49	+0.24
	Green						1,708	4.03	−3.20
	Opportunities						1,349	3.18	—
	Legalise Cannabis						113	0.27	−0.07
	Conservative						106	0.25	−5.41
	Outdoors						40	0.09	—
	Ban 1080						40	0.09	−0.05
	United Future						32	0.08	−0.13
	People's Party						31	0.07	—
	Democrats						12	0.03	−0.06
	Mana						7	0.02	−0.19 [lower-alpha 1]
	Internet						3	0.01	−0.20 [lower-alpha 2]
Informal votes				423			140
Total Valid votes				41,526			42,410
Turnout				42,550	83.20 [5]	+2.55
	National hold		Majority	13,996	34.00	−8.15

2014 election

2014 general election: Bay of Plenty [6] [7]
Notes:		Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote. Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list. Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent. A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.
Party		Candidate		Votes	%	±%	Party votes	%	±%
	National	Todd Muller		21,735	60.69	−6.79	21,096	57.66	−0.14
	Labour	Clare Wilson		6,639	18.54	+1.60	4,783	13.07	−0.69
	NZ First	Ray Dolman		4,542	12.68	+2.14	5,100	13.94	+1.31
	Conservative	Deborah Cunliffe		1,322	3.69	−0.03	2,072	5.66	+1.54
	Independent Coalition	Brendan Horan		1,281	3.58	+3.58	104	0.28	+0.28
	Democrats	Tracy Livingston		160	0.45	+0.45	33	0.09	+0.05
	United Future	Ben Rickard		135	0.38	−0.23	78	0.21	−0.37
	Green						2,645	7.23	−1.48
	Māori						207	0.57	−0.02
	Internet Mana						187	0.51	+0.51
	Legalise Cannabis						126	0.34	−0.17
	ACT						90	0.25	−0.91
	Ban 1080						50	0.14	+0.14
	Civilian						10	0.03	+0.03
	Focus						6	0.02	+0.02
Informal votes				378			88
Total Valid votes				36,192			36,675
Turnout				36,641	80.02 [8]	+2.03
	National hold		Majority	15,096	42.15	−8.78

2011 election

2011 general election: Bay of Plenty [9]
Notes:		Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote. Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list. Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent. A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.
Party		Candidate		Votes	%	±%	Party votes	%	±%
	National	Y Tony Ryall		23,710	67.48	+2.61	20,853	57.80	-0.89
	Labour	Carol Devoy-Heena		5,950	16.94	+0.86	4,965	13.76	-6.43
	NZ First	Ray Dolman		3,704	10.54	-0.79	4,469	12.39	+4.13
	Conservative	Peter Redman		1,306	3.72	+3.72	1,485	4.12	+4.12
	Mana	Sharon Stevens		251	0.71	+0.71	91	0.25	+0.25
	United Future	Brian Carter		213	0.61	+0.11	207	0.57	-0.13
	Green						3,142	8.71	+3.84
	ACT						418	1.16	-1.75
	Māori						213	0.59	-0.11
	Legalise Cannabis						183	0.51	+0.14
	Libertarianz						29	0.08	+0.01
	Democrats						13	0.04	-0.01
	Alliance						9	0.02	-0.03
Informal votes				879			226
Total Valid votes				35,134			36,077
	National hold		Majority	17,760	50.55	+1.75

Electorate (as at 26 November 2011): 46,546 ^[10]

2008 election

2008 general election: Bay of Plenty [11]
Notes:		Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote. Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list. Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent. A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.
Party		Candidate		Votes	%	±%	Party votes	%	±%
	National	Y Tony Ryall		23,402	64.88	+6.65	21,526	58.70	+9.57
	Labour	Carol Devoy-Heena		5,798	16.07	-4.38	7,404	20.19	-7.89
	NZ First	Peter Brown		4,087	11.33	-2.30	3,030	8.26	-3.79
	Kiwi	Tony Christiansen		2,258	6.26	–	734	2.00	–
	ACT	Francis Denz		346	0.96	–	1,067	2.91	+2.00
	United Future	Brian Carter		180	0.50	-1.47	258	0.70	-3.19
	Green						1,787	4.87	+1.55
	Māori						258	0.70	+0.08
	Progressive						175	0.48	-0.39
	Bill and Ben						144	0.39	–
	Legalise Cannabis						135	0.37	+0.20
	Family Party						60	0.16	–
	Libertarianz						25	0.07	+0.04
	Alliance						21	0.06	+0.05
	Democrats						18	0.05	+0.01
	Pacific						17	0.05	–
	RAM						9	0.02	–
	RONZ						3	0.01	-0.00
	Workers Party						3	0.01	–
Informal votes				325			118
Total Valid votes				36,071			36,674
	National hold		Majority	17,604	48.80	+11.03

2005 election

2005 general election: Bay of Plenty [12]
Notes:		Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote. Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list. Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent. A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.
Party		Candidate		Votes	%	±%	Party votes	%	±%
	National	Y Tony Ryall		20,941	57.82		17,934	48.95
	Labour	Pauline Scott		7,357	20.31		10,252	27.98
	NZ First	Peter Brown		4,903	13.54		4,399	12.01
	Green	Ian Stephens		1,181	3.26		1,213	3.31
	United Future	Jeff Leigh		707	1.95		1,421	3.88
	Destiny	Roberta Maxwell		317	0.88		279	0.76
	Māori	Te Orohi Paul		314	0.87		226	0.62
	Progressive	Ronnie Stewart-Ward		217	0.60	–	316	0.86
	Direct Democracy	Mike Robertson		27	0.07		10	0.03
	ACT						332	0.91
	Legalise Cannabis						63	0.17
	Christian Heritage						20	0.05
	Democrats						13	0.04
	Libertarianz						12	0.03
	Family Rights						6	0.02
	RONZ						4	0.0
	99 MP						3	0.01
	Alliance						3	0.01
	One NZ						2	0.01
Informal votes				129			255
Total Valid votes				36,219			36,637
	National hold		Majority	13,584	37.51

2002 election

2002 general election: Bay of Plenty [13]
Notes:		Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote. Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list. Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent. A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.
Party		Candidate		Votes	%	±%	Party votes	%	±%
	National	Y Tony Ryall		12,975	42.95		7,130	23.29
	NZ First	Peter Brown		7,378	24.42		6,896	22.53
	Labour	Mei Matere Taare		6,494	21.49		9,457	30.89
	United Future	John Cassidy		1,231	4.07		2,506	8.19
	Green	Te Ruruanga Te Keeti		1,098	3.63		1,691	5.52
	Christian Heritage	Richard Holland		416	1.38		350	1.14
	ACT	Graham Douglas Steenson		371	1.23		1,451	4.74
	Progressive	John Neill		249	0.82		239	0.78
	ORNZ						569	1.86
	Christian Heritage						350	1.14
	Alliance						162	0.53
	Legalise Cannabis						122	0.40
	One NZ						15	0.05
	Mana Māori						13	0.04
	NMP						3	0.01
Informal votes				214			86
Total Valid votes				30,212			30,611
	National hold		Majority	5,597	18.53

1999 election

1999 general election: Bay of Plenty [14] [15]
Notes:		Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote. Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list. Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent. A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.
Party		Candidate		Votes	%	±%	Party votes	%	±%
	National	Y Tony Ryall		15,781	46.00		11,350	32.91
	Labour	Terry Hughes		8,679	25.30		11,342	32.89
	NZ First	Peter Brown		4,185	12.20		3,178	9.22
	Green	Margaret Collins		1,815	5.29		1,847	5.36
	Alliance	John Neill		1,338	3.90		1,769	5.13
	Future NZ	Judy Turner		1,161	3.38		1,210	3.51
	Christian Heritage	Joyce Stevens		659	1.92		795	2.31
	ACT	Lynne Cook		520	1.52		2,138	6.20
	Te Tawharau	Willie Coates		100	0.29
	Natural Law	Meike van Batenburg		70	0.20		28	0.08
	Legalise Cannabis						255	0.74
	United NZ						181	0.52
	Libertarianz						139	0.40
	One NZ						72	0.21
	Mana Māori						57	0.17
	McGillicuddy Serious						50	0.14
	Animals First						41	0.12
	NMP						8	0.02
	Freedom Movement						6	0.02
	People's Choice Party						6	0.02
	Mauri Pacific						5	0.01
	South Island						4	0.01
	Republican						3	0.01
Informal votes				448			272
Total Valid votes				34,308			34,484
	National hold		Majority	7,102

1996 election

1996 general election: Bay of Plenty [16] [17] [18]
Notes:		Blue background denotes the winner of the electorate vote. Pink background denotes a candidate elected from their party list. Yellow background denotes an electorate win by a list member, or other incumbent. A Y or N denotes status of any incumbent, win or lose respectively.
Party		Candidate		Votes	%	±%	Party votes	%	±%
	National	Tony Ryall		13,923	42.63		11,387	34.73
	NZ First	Peter Brown		8,770	26.85		7,237	22.07
	Labour	Julie Tucker		5,354	16.39		7,016	21.40
	Alliance	Jim Bennett		2,609	7.99		2,732	8.33
	Christian Coalition	Judy Turner		1,253	3.84		1,884	5.75
	ACT	Reg Turner		359	1.10		1,513	4.61
	McGillicuddy Serious	Mark Servian		225	0.69		108	0.33
	Te Tawharau	Rangitukehu David Paul		78	0.24		42	0.13
	Natural Law	Lew Cormack		67	0.21		44	0.13
	Progressive Greens	Graeme Leech		24	0.07		65	0.20
	Legalise Cannabis						446	1.36
	United NZ						169	0.52
	Animals First						51	0.16
	Superannuitants & Youth						33	0.10
	Mana Māori						19	0.06
	Green Society						17	0.05
	Conservatives						12	0.04
	Libertarianz						10	0.03
	Advance New Zealand						4	0.01
	Asia Pacific United						1	0.00
	Ethnic Minority Party						1	0.00
Informal votes				246			117
Total Valid votes				32,662			32,791
	National win new seat		Majority	5,153	15.78

1957 by-election

1957 Bay of Plenty by-election ^[19]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	National	Percy Allen	5,290	53.99
	Labour	Thomas Godfrey Santon	4,091	41.75
	Liberal	Reginald Joseph Pedley	417	4.26
Majority			1,199	12.24
Informal votes			35	0.36
Turnout			9,233	72.15
Registered electors			13,628
	National hold		Swing

1941 by-election

1941 Bay of Plenty by-election ^[20]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	National	Bill Sullivan	4,675	60.72
	Labour	Charles Mills	3,024	39.27
Informal votes			136	1.76
Majority			1,651	21.44
Turnout			7,699

1938 election

1938 general election: Bay of Plenty ^[21]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Labour	Gordon Hultquist	4,964	50.54	+7.43
	National	Bill Sullivan	4,795	48.81
Informal votes			65	0.65	-0.10
Majority			169	1.72	-5.08
Turnout			9,821	92.51	-2.91
Registered electors			10,616

1935 election

1935 general election: Bay of Plenty ^[22]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Labour	Gordon Hultquist	3,519	43.11
	United	John Tom Merry	2,964	36.31
	Democrat	Harry Harker	1,678	20.56
Informal votes			62	0.75
Majority			555	6.80
Turnout			8,161	89.60
Registered electors			9,108

1920 by-election

1920 Bay of Plenty by-election ^[23]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Reform	Kenneth Williams	2,381	57.93
	Liberal	Frederick John Lysnar	1,729	42.07
Majority			652	15.86
Turnout			4,110

1908 election

1908 general election: Bay of Plenty, first ballot ^[24]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Liberal	William MacDonald	2,413	46.65
	Conservative	James Gow	1,970	37.27
	Independent	David Lundon	902	17.06
Majority			443	8.38
Turnout			5,285	77.99
Registered electors			6,776

1908 general election: Bay of Plenty, second ballot ^[25]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Liberal	William MacDonald	2,650	54.59
	Conservative	James Gow	2,204	45.40
Majority			446	9.18
Turnout			4854	71.63
Registered electors			6,776

1905 election

1905 general election: Bay of Plenty ^[26]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	William Herries	3,251	51.23	+2.84
	Independent	Joseph Foster	3,040	47.91
Majority			211	3.32	-6.26
Turnout			6,345	82.40	+6.29
Registered electors			7,700

1902 election

1902 general election: Bay of Plenty ^[27]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	William Herries	2,110	48.39	-4.87
	Liberal	David Lundon	1,434	32.88	-13.68
	Independent	Charles Jordan	429	9.83
	Independent	J. E. Taylor	387	8.87
Majority			676	9.58	+3.07
Turnout			4,360	76.11	-6.67
Registered electors			5,728

1899 election

1899 general election: Bay of Plenty ^[28]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	William Herries	2,110	53.26	+1.10
	Liberal	David Lundon [29]	1,852	46.74
Majority			258	6.51	+2.21
Turnout			3,962	82.78	+5.09
Registered electors			4,786

1896 election

1896 general election: Bay of Plenty ^[30]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	William Herries	1,600	52.15
	Liberal	William Kelly	1,468	47.85	+6.86
Majority			132	4.30	+3.64
Turnout			3,068	77.69	+9.64
Registered electors			3,949

1893 election

1893 general election: Bay of Plenty ^{[31] [32] [33]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Liberal	William Kelly	1,162	40.99
	Conservative	Henry Burton	953	33.62
	Liberal	Charles Jordan	583	20.56
	Independent	George Vesey Stewart	116	4.09
	Independent	Thomas Mace Humphreys	19	0.67
	Liberal	William Fraser	2	0.07
Majority			209	7.37
Turnout			2,835	68.05
Registered electors			4,166

Notes

1. 2017 Mana Party swing is relative to the votes for Internet-Mana in 2014; it shared a party list with the Internet Party in the 2014 election.
2. 2017 Internet Party swing is relative to the votes for Internet-Mana in 2014; it shared a party list with Mana Party in the 2014 election.

References

1. "Tony Ryall to retire". Stuff NZ (Fairfax). 27 February 2014. Retrieved 27 February 2014.
2. McRobie 1989, pp. 59f.
3. Bassett 1982, pp. 66f.
4. New Zealand Electoral Commission. "Bay of Plenty - Official Result". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 October 2017.
5. "Party Votes and Turnout by Electorate". Electoral Commission . Retrieved 27 January 2018.
6. New Zealand Electoral Commission. "Official Count Results – Bay of Plenty". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
7. "New Zealand Parliament – Bay of Plenty: Electoral Profile". Parliament.nz. 26 June 2015. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
8. "2014 General Election Voter Turnout Statistics – Bay of Plenty". Electoral Commission. 21 January 2016. Retrieved 21 January 2016.
9. New Zealand Electoral Commission. "Official Count Results – Bay of Plenty". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
10. "Enrolment statistics". Electoral Commission. 26 November 2011. Retrieved 12 December 2011.
11. "Official Count Results – Bay of Plenty". Electionresults.govt.nz. 22 November 2008. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
12. "Official Count Results – Bay of Plenty". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
13. "Official Count Results – Bay of Plenty". Electionresults.govt.nz. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
14. "Official Count Results (1999) – Electoral Votes for registered parties by electorate". NZ Electoral Commission. Retrieved 23 September 2017.
15. "Official Count Results (1999) – Candidate Vote Details". NZ Electoral Commission. Retrieved 23 September 2017.
16. "Electorate Candidate and Party Votes Recorded at Each Polling Place – Bay of Plenty, 1996" (PDF). Retrieved 22 June 2013.
17. "Part III – Party Lists of Successful Registered Parties" (PDF). Electoral Commission. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 February 2013. Retrieved 22 June 2013.
18. "Part III – Party Lists of unsuccessful Registered Parties" (PDF). Electoral Commission. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 February 2013. Retrieved 22 June 2013.
19. Norton 1988, p. 200.
20. Declaration of Result of Poll. Bay of Plenty Beacon. 4. 5 January 1942. p. 1. Retrieved 23 December 2015.
21. "The General Election, 1938". National Library. 1939. pp. 1–6. Retrieved 8 February 2012.
22. The General Election, 1935. National Library. 1936. pp. 1–35. Retrieved 3 August 2013.
23. "Final Return". Grey River Argus. 1 October 1920. p. 3. Retrieved 11 December 2018.
24. AtoJs 1908 election 1909, p. 07.
25. AtoJs 1908 election 1909, p. 19.
26. "THE GENERAL ELECTION, 1905". Atojs.natlib.govt.nz. Retrieved 28 August 2014.
27. "THE GENERAL ELECTION, 1902". Atojs.natlib.govt.nz. Retrieved 28 August 2014.
28. "The General Election, 1899". Wellington: Appendix to the Journals of the House of Representatives. 19 June 1900. p. 1. Retrieved 1 November 2012.
29. "The Electoral District of Bay of Plenty". Bay Of Plenty Times. XXIV (3932). 1 December 1899. p. 2. Retrieved 8 February 2014.
30. "The General Election". Auckland Star . XXVII (305). 23 December 1896. p. 6. Retrieved 8 January 2014.
31. The General Election, 1893. Government Printer. 1894. p. 1. Retrieved 19 November 2013.
32. "The General Election". Otago Daily Times . 28 November 1893. p. 6. Retrieved 28 November 2013.
33. "Public Notice". Bay of Plenty Times . 20 November 1893. p. 5. Retrieved 28 November 2013.

Bibliography

• The General Election, 1908. National Library. 1909. Retrieved 4 December 2014.
• Bassett, Michael (1982). Three Party Politics in New Zealand 1911–1931. Auckland: Historical Publications. ISBN   0-86870-006-1.
• McRobie, Alan (1989). Electoral Atlas of New Zealand. Wellington: GP Books. ISBN   0-477-01384-8.
• Norton, Clifford (1988). New Zealand parliamentary election results, 1946–1987. Wellington: Victoria University of Wellington Department of Political Science. ISBN   0-475-11200-8.
• Wilson, James Oakley (1985) [First published in 1913]. New Zealand Parliamentary Record, 1840–1984 (4th ed.). Wellington: V.R. Ward, Govt. Printer. OCLC   154283103.

External links

• Holders of Bay of Plenty seat, from 1893 to 1941
• Electorate Profile, current
• Electorate Profile, 2005. Parliamentary Library