2017 Montana's at-large congressional district special election

Last updated • 6 min readFrom Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia

2017 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
Flag of Montana.svg
  2016 May 25, 2017 2018  

Montana's at-large congressional district
  Greg Gianforte (cropped).jpg Rob Quist speaking 03 (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Greg Gianforte Rob Quist Mark Wicks
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote190,520169,21421,682
Percentage49.9%44.4%5.7%

Montana's at-large congressional district special election, 2017 results by county.svg
MT House 2017.svg
Gianforte:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Quist:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Ryan Zinke
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Gianforte
Republican

In Montana, an at-large congressional district special election was held on May 25, 2017, to determine the member of the United States House of Representatives for Montana's at-large congressional district. The election was necessitated by incumbent Republican Representative Ryan Zinke's appointment as United States Secretary of the Interior. Zinke resigned on March 1, 2017, upon his confirmation. [1]

Contents

Montana's state law required the Governor of Montana to call for a special election to be held no less than 85 and no more than 100 days after the vacancy. [2] Governor Steve Bullock declared a special election to take place on May 25, the earliest possible day he was legally allowed to choose. [1]

The Democratic, Republican, Libertarian, and Green Parties held nominating conventions to decide their nominee. [3] The day before the election, Gianforte assaulted a reporter and was charged with misdemeanor assault. [4] [5] At around 10:30pm MST, the election was called for Gianforte after 77% of the votes were counted. [6] [7]

Republican Party

The Republican Party nominated a candidate at a convention on March 6. [8]

Nominated

Eliminated at convention

Withdrawn

Declined

Results

Republican Convention
CandidateFirst ballotPct.
Greg Gianforte 150.561%
Others94.539%

Democratic Party

The Democratic Party selected a nominee at a convention on March 5. [28]

The Bozeman Daily Chronicle from February 4 to 8 conducted a straw poll of Democratic delegates. [29] Of 89 delegates that responded, Rob Quist was selected by 37, Amanda Curtis by 30, Kelly McCarthy by 13, 9 were undecided, and zero delegates selected John Meyer or other. [29]

Nominated

Eliminated at convention

Declined

Endorsements (primary)

Kelly McCarthy
Rob Quist
Dan West

Results

Democratic Convention
CandidateFirst ballotPct.Second ballotPct.Third ballotPct.Fourth ballotPct.
Rob Quist 5736%6239%7245%9057%
Amanda Curtis 3925%4830%5736%6943%
Kelly McCarthy 3824%4226%3119%Eliminated
Dan West1711%85%EliminatedEliminated
Others74%EliminatedEliminatedEliminated

Libertarian Party

The Libertarian Party Convention on March 11, 2017, was held at Eagle's Lodge in Helena, Montana. [46]

The following county affiliate parties were represented at the convention:

Officers of the Montana Libertarian Party and delegates from the assembled counties had voting rights.

Nominated

Eliminated at convention

Withdrawn

Results

Libertarian Convention [49]
CandidateFirst ballotPct.Second ballotPct.Third ballotPct.
Mark Wicks319%529%956%
Joe Paschal531%635%744%
Evan Gardner319%318%Eliminated
Rufus Peace319%318%Eliminated
Dan Nelson16%Eliminated
Chris Colvin00%Eliminated
Nathan McKenty00%Eliminated
James White00%Eliminated
None of the Above16%Eliminated

Green Party

The Green Party Convention on March 4, 2017, was held at the University of Montana's Payne Family Native American Center. [50]

Breck, along with two independent candidates, won a lawsuit in U.S. District Court against the Montana Secretary of State, ruling Montana's ballot access laws to be unconstitutional in the case of special elections. The District Court Judge ruled to change the original requirement to submit 14,268 ballot petition signatures, reducing that requirement to 400 signatures. The US Court decision failed to provide further remedy and Breck's name was not placed on the ballot despite injunctive appeals to the Ninth Circuit Court and U.S. Supreme Court. Breck subsequently endorsed Independent write-in candidate Doug Campbell who was a co-plaintiff in the suit. [51] [52] [53]

Nominated

General election

Campaign

During his 2017 Congressional special election campaign, Gianforte relaxed his past pledges to refuse all PAC money, and began to turn away only corporate PAC funding. His campaign began accepting contributions from political party and leadership PACs. [54]

The night before the election, Gianforte physically assaulted Ben Jacobs, a reporter from The Guardian , in front of multiple witnesses, knocking him down, punching him, and breaking his glasses. [55] Gianforte was subsequently charged with misdemeanor assault. [56] [57] The editorial boards of the Billings Gazette , the Independent Record , and the Missoulian rescinded their endorsements of Gianforte. [58]

The Gianforte campaign released a statement following the incident alleging the incident was caused by, "this aggressive behavior from a liberal journalist", a claim contradictory to the eyewitness account of the Fox News team present in the room at the time. Alicia Acuna, one of two Fox news reporters present, and the only eyewitnesses to the incident, stated that Jacobs had walked into the room, put a voice recorder up to Gianforte's face and began asking questions. She stated that Jacobs, however, showed no sign of physical aggression and did not physically engage Gianforte before being attacked by the Republican candidate. [59] [60]

On June 12, following the election, Gianforte was sentenced to community service and fined $385 after admitting the charge. [61]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [62] Lean RMay 12, 2017
Inside Elections [63] Lean RMay 25, 2017

Endorsements

Greg Gianforte
National politicians

Statewide officeholders

  • Elsie Arntzen, superintendent of public instruction of the State of Montana

Local officeholders

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Rob Quist

U.S. senators

Governors

Local politicians

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Websites

Mark Wicks
Organizations

Local officeholders

  • Jeff Krauss, former Mayor of Bozeman, Montana [105]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Greg
Gianforte (R)
Rob
Quist (D)
Mark
Wicks (L)
Thomas
Breck (G)
Undecided
Change Research [106] May 20–23, 20171,888± 2.0%49%44%7%
Gravis Marketing [107] May 22, 2017818± 3.4%49%35%8%9%
Gravis Marketing [108] May 2–4, 2017462± 4.6%45%37%5%3%10%
Gravis Marketing [108] April 27, 2017836± 3.4%52%39%6%2%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D) [109] April 25–27, 2017601± 4.0%49%43%8%
Emerson College [110] April 20–21, 2017648± 3.8%52%37%5%7%
Gravis Marketing [111] April 6, 20171,222± 2.9%50%38%3%2%7%

Results

Montana's at-large congressional district special election, 2017 [112]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Greg Gianforte 190,520 49.95% −6.24%
Democratic Rob Quist 169,21444.37%+3.82%
Libertarian Mark Wicks21,6825.68%+2.42%
Total votes381,416 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

County results [113]

Greg Gianforte
Republican
Rob Quist
Democratic
Mark Wicks
Libertarian
MarginTotal
CountyVotes %Votes %Votes %Votes %VotesTurnout
Beaverhead 2,23962.28%1,14431.82%2125.90%1,09530.46%3,62153.92%
Big Horn 1,19343.70%1,39451.06%1435.24%2017.36%2,74334.30%
Blaine 82141.82%97449.62%1688.56%1537.79%1,96949.56%
Broadwater 1,48165.39%63828.17%1466.45%84337.22%2,28253.52%
Carbon 2,57253.25%1,97540.89%2835.86%59712.36%4,84563.79%
Carter 44184.32%5911.28%234.40%38273.04%53254.68%
Cascade 13,42749.80%11,54642.83%1,9877.37%1,8816.98%27,14350.19%
Chouteau 1,23457.85%71733.61%1828.53%51724.24%2,14961.29%
Custer 2,20660.99%1,17532.49%2366.52%1,03128.50%3,62950.55%
Daniels 49572.79%15122.21%345.00%34450.59%68055.69%
Dawson 2,01966.74%82727.34%1795.92%1,19239.40%3,03551.26%
Deer Lodge 95528.99%2,06362.63%2768.38%1,10833.64%3,31360.64%
Fallon 70281.25%13615.74%263.01%56665.51%86843.95%
Fergus 3,00566.22%1,19626.36%3377.43%1,80939.86%4,55758.74%
Flathead 20,30257.38%13,63038.52%1,4504.10%6,67218.86%35,46251.85%
Gallatin 17,07440.88%22,90254.84%1,7874.28%5,82813.95%41,90954.69%
Garfield 48790.19%295.37%244.44%45884.81%54058.76%
Glacier 92930.20%1,97264.11%1755.69%1,04333.91%3,08539.15%
Golden Valley 28271.03%8822.17%276.80%19448.87%39765.30%
Granite 83860.07%47033.69%876.24%36826.38%1,39959.58%
Hill 2,06143.62%2,09144.25%57312.13%300.63%4,78250.25%
Jefferson 2,99756.71%1,99637.77%2925.53%1,00118.94%5,32262.49%
Judith Basin 63665.43%25526.23%818.33%38139.20%97567.66%
Lake 5,19351.37%4,46944.21%4474.42%7247.16%10,13353.10%
Lewis and Clark 11,88042.75%14,48752.13%1,4235.12%2,6079.38%27,95760.96%
Liberty 48958.49%20824.88%13916.63%28133.61%84271.17%
Lincoln 4,47165.41%2,10430.78%2603.80%2,36734.63%6,85550.03%
Madison 2,24760.53%1,23533.27%2306.20%1,01227.26%3,74159.60%
McCone 63276.70%15518.81%374.49%47757.89%83067.04%
Meagher 51666.58%19625.29%638.13%32041.29%78059.68%
Mineral 91158.85%53834.75%996.40%37324.10%1,54849.41%
Missoula 15,13732.10%30,05463.73%1,9684.17%14,91731.63%47,35656.14%
Musselshell 1,30773.72%32418.27%1428.01%98355.44%1,77958.58%
Park 3,32945.12%3,67849.85%3715.03%3494.73%7,40157.81%
Petroleum 20379.61%3814.90%145.49%16564.71%25660.24%
Phillips 1,37475.70%30416.75%1377.55%1,07058.95%1,82466.45%
Pondera 1,26758.28%73333.72%1748.00%53424.56%2,18261.99%
Powder River 57077.87%12116.53%415.60%44961.34%73256.92%
Powell 1,34463.34%62229.31%1567.35%72234.02%2,13860.24%
Prairie 40574.18%10419.05%376.78%30155.13%54662.69%
Ravalli 10,48059.76%6,22435.49%8334.75%4,25624.27%17,66057.95%
Richland 1,95873.78%60122.65%953.58%1,35751.13%2,66237.02%
Roosevelt 91644.02%1,03049.50%1356.49%1145.48%2,08735.46%
Rosebud 1,40057.64%88836.56%1415.80%51221.08%2,43548.40%
Sanders 2,90363.79%1,35329.73%2956.48%1,55034.06%4,57254.38%
Sheridan 69154.45%48338.06%957.49%20816.39%1,27652.45%
Silver Bow 3,63529.33%7,87263.52%8867.15%4,23734.19%12,49056.61%
Stillwater 2,42967.45%91425.38%2587.16%1,51542.07%3,61758.92%
Sweet Grass 1,07669.29%40325.95%744.76%67343.34%1,55358.74%
Teton 1,53658.47%88733.76%2047.77%64924.70%2,64665.19%
Toole 98961.89%44327.72%16610.39%54634.17%1,61360.50%
Treasure 21364.35%7923.87%3911.78%13440.48%33259.18%
Valley 1,90462.78%85928.32%2708.90%1,04534.45%3,03567.79%
Wheatland 46662.63%19826.61%8010.75%26836.02%74555.89%
Wibaux 27378.90%6217.92%113.18%21160.98%34846.96%
Yellowstone 29,98055.79%20,12037.44%3,6346.76%9,86018.35%54,06655.70%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

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Official campaign websites