Moment (mathematics)

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In mathematics, the moments of a function are quantitative measures related to the shape of the function's graph. If the function represents mass, then the first moment is the center of the mass, and the second moment is the rotational inertia. If the function is a probability distribution, then the first moment is the expected value, the second central moment is the variance, the third standardized moment is the skewness, and the fourth standardized moment is the kurtosis. The mathematical concept is closely related to the concept of moment in physics.

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For a distribution of mass or probability on a bounded interval, the collection of all the moments (of all orders, from 0 to ) uniquely determines the distribution (Hausdorff moment problem). The same is not true on unbounded intervals (Hamburger moment problem).

In the mid-nineteenth century, Pafnuty Chebyshev became the first person to think systematically in terms of the moments of random variables. [1]

Significance of the moments

The n-th raw moment (i.e., moment about zero) of a distribution is defined by [2]

where

The n-th moment of a real-valued continuous function f(x) of a real variable about a value c is the integral

It is possible to define moments for random variables in a more general fashion than moments for real-valued functions — see moments in metric spaces. The moment of a function, without further explanation, usually refers to the above expression with c = 0.

For the second and higher moments, the central moment (moments about the mean, with c being the mean) are usually used rather than the moments about zero, because they provide clearer information about the distribution's shape.

Other moments may also be defined. For example, the nth inverse moment about zero is and the n-th logarithmic moment about zero is

The n-th moment about zero of a probability density function f(x) is the expected value of Xn and is called a raw moment or crude moment. [3] The moments about its mean μ are called central moments; these describe the shape of the function, independently of translation.

If f is a probability density function, then the value of the integral above is called the n-th moment of the probability distribution. More generally, if F is a cumulative probability distribution function of any probability distribution, which may not have a density function, then the n-th moment of the probability distribution is given by the Riemann–Stieltjes integral

where X is a random variable that has this cumulative distribution F, and E is the expectation operator or mean. When

the moment is said not to exist. If the n-th moment about any point exists, so does the (n − 1)-th moment (and thus, all lower-order moments) about every point.

The zeroth moment of any probability density function is 1, since the area under any probability density function must be equal to one.

Significance of moments (raw, central, normalised) and cumulants (raw, normalised), in connection with named properties of distributions
Moment
ordinal
Moment Cumulant
RawCentralStandardizedRawNormalized
1 Mean 00MeanN/A
2 Variance 1Variance1
3 Skewness Skewness
4(Non-excess or historical) kurtosis Excess kurtosis
5Hyperskewness
6Hypertailedness
7+

Mean

The first raw moment is the mean, usually denoted

Variance

The second central moment is the variance. The positive square root of the variance is the standard deviation

Standardized moments

The normalisedn-th central moment or standardised moment is the n-th central moment divided by σn; the normalised n-th central moment of the random variable X is

These normalised central moments are dimensionless quantities, which represent the distribution independently of any linear change of scale.

For an electric signal, the first moment is its DC level, and the second moment is proportional to its average power. [4] [5]

Skewness

The third central moment is the measure of the lopsidedness of the distribution; any symmetric distribution will have a third central moment, if defined, of zero. The normalised third central moment is called the skewness, often γ. A distribution that is skewed to the left (the tail of the distribution is longer on the left) will have a negative skewness. A distribution that is skewed to the right (the tail of the distribution is longer on the right), will have a positive skewness.

For distributions that are not too different from the normal distribution, the median will be somewhere near μγσ/6; the mode about μγσ/2.

Kurtosis

The fourth central moment is a measure of the heaviness of the tail of the distribution, compared to the normal distribution of the same variance. Since it is the expectation of a fourth power, the fourth central moment, where defined, is always nonnegative; and except for a point distribution, it is always strictly positive. The fourth central moment of a normal distribution is 3σ4.

The kurtosis κ is defined to be the standardized fourth central moment (Equivalently, as in the next section, excess kurtosis is the fourth cumulant divided by the square of the second cumulant.) [6] [7] If a distribution has heavy tails, the kurtosis will be high (sometimes called leptokurtic); conversely, light-tailed distributions (for example, bounded distributions such as the uniform) have low kurtosis (sometimes called platykurtic).

The kurtosis can be positive without limit, but κ must be greater than or equal to γ2 + 1; equality only holds for binary distributions. For unbounded skew distributions not too far from normal, κ tends to be somewhere in the area of γ2 and 2γ2.

The inequality can be proven by considering

where T = (Xμ)/σ. This is the expectation of a square, so it is non-negative for all a; however it is also a quadratic polynomial in a. Its discriminant must be non-positive, which gives the required relationship.

Higher moments

High-order moments are moments beyond 4th-order moments.

As with variance, skewness, and kurtosis, these are higher-order statistics, involving non-linear combinations of the data, and can be used for description or estimation of further shape parameters. The higher the moment, the harder it is to estimate, in the sense that larger samples are required in order to obtain estimates of similar quality. This is due to the excess degrees of freedom consumed by the higher orders. Further, they can be subtle to interpret, often being most easily understood in terms of lower order moments – compare the higher-order derivatives of jerk and jounce in physics. For example, just as the 4th-order moment (kurtosis) can be interpreted as "relative importance of tails as compared to shoulders in contribution to dispersion" (for a given amount of dispersion, higher kurtosis corresponds to thicker tails, while lower kurtosis corresponds to broader shoulders), the 5th-order moment can be interpreted as measuring "relative importance of tails as compared to center (mode and shoulders) in contribution to skewness" (for a given amount of skewness, higher 5th moment corresponds to higher skewness in the tail portions and little skewness of mode, while lower 5th moment corresponds to more skewness in shoulders).

Mixed moments

Mixed moments are moments involving multiple variables.

The value is called the moment of order (moments are also defined for non-integral ). The moments of the joint distribution of random variables are defined similarly. For any integers , the mathematical expectation is called a mixed moment of order , and is called a central mixed moment of order . The mixed moment is called the covariance and is one of the basic characteristics of dependency between random variables.

Some examples are covariance, coskewness and cokurtosis. While there is a unique covariance, there are multiple co-skewnesses and co-kurtoses.

Properties of moments

Transformation of center

Since

where is the binomial coefficient, it follows that the moments about b can be calculated from the moments about a by:

The moment of a convolution of function

The moment of a convolution reads

where denotes the -th moment of the function given in the brackets. This identity follows by the convolution theorem for moment generating function and applying the chain rule for differentiating a product.

Cumulants

The first raw moment and the second and third unnormalized central moments are additive in the sense that if X and Y are independent random variables then

(These can also hold for variables that satisfy weaker conditions than independence. The first always holds; if the second holds, the variables are called uncorrelated).

In fact, these are the first three cumulants and all cumulants share this additivity property.

Sample moments

For all k, the k-th raw moment of a population can be estimated using the k-th raw sample moment

applied to a sample X1, ..., Xn drawn from the population.

It can be shown that the expected value of the raw sample moment is equal to the k-th raw moment of the population, if that moment exists, for any sample size n. It is thus an unbiased estimator. This contrasts with the situation for central moments, whose computation uses up a degree of freedom by using the sample mean. So for example an unbiased estimate of the population variance (the second central moment) is given by

in which the previous denominator n has been replaced by the degrees of freedom n − 1, and in which refers to the sample mean. This estimate of the population moment is greater than the unadjusted observed sample moment by a factor of and it is referred to as the "adjusted sample variance" or sometimes simply the "sample variance".

Problem of moments

Problems of determining a probability distribution from its sequence of moments are called problem of moments. Such problems were first discussed by P.L. Chebyshev (1874) [8] in connection with research on limit theorems. In order that the probability distribution of a random variable be uniquely defined by its moments it is sufficient, for example, that Carleman's condition be satisfied:

A similar result even holds for moments of random vectors. The problem of moments seeks characterizations of sequences that are sequences of moments of some function f, all moments of which are finite, and for each integer let

where is finite. Then there is a sequence that weakly converges to a distribution function having as its moments. If the moments determine uniquely, then the sequence weakly converges to .

Partial moments

Partial moments are sometimes referred to as "one-sided moments." The n-th order lower and upper partial moments with respect to a reference point r may be expressed as

If the integral function do not converge, the partial moment does not exist.

Partial moments are normalized by being raised to the power 1/n. The upside potential ratio may be expressed as a ratio of a first-order upper partial moment to a normalized second-order lower partial moment. They have been used in the definition of some financial metrics, such as the Sortino ratio, as they focus purely on upside or downside.

Central moments in metric spaces

Let (M, d) be a metric space, and let B(M) be the Borel σ-algebra on M, the σ-algebra generated by the d-open subsets of M. (For technical reasons, it is also convenient to assume that M is a separable space with respect to the metric d.) Let 1 ≤ p ≤ ∞.

The p-th central moment of a measure μ on the measurable space (M, B(M)) about a given point x0M is defined to be

μ is said to have finite p-th central moment if the p-th central moment of μ about x0 is finite for some x0M.

This terminology for measures carries over to random variables in the usual way: if (Ω, Σ, P) is a probability space and X : Ω → M is a random variable, then the p-th central moment of X about x0M is defined to be

and X has finite p-th central moment if the p-th central moment of X about x0 is finite for some x0M.

See also

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References

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  3. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2009-05-28. Retrieved 2009-06-24.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) Raw Moments at Math-world
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  7. Ballanda, Kevin P.; MacGillivray, H. L. (1988). "Kurtosis: A Critical Review". The American Statistician. American Statistical Association. 42 (2): 111–119. doi:10.2307/2684482. JSTOR   2684482.
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Further reading