This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the snap 2024 French legislative election, which will be held in two rounds on 30 June and 7 July 2024. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission and utilize the quota method. Sample sizes listed are for registered voters, and polls are listed in reverse chronological then alphabetical order by name of institute.
The 20:00 CEST estimations made by various pollsters are not traditional exit polls, but are instead based on the level of turnout reported and first set of ballots counted at polling stations which close an hour or two earlier. [lower-alpha 1]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | EXG | NFP | DVG | ECO | ENS | DVC | DSV | DVD | LR (CNI) [lower-alpha 2] | RN and allies | REC | REG | Others | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LFI | PCF | LE | PS | LR (UXD) [lower-alpha 3] | RN | |||||||||||||||
Ministry of the Interior | 30 Jun 2024 | — | 66.71% | 1.14% | 28.21% | 1.57% | 0.57% | 21.28% | 1.22% | 0.28% | 3.60% | 6.57% | 3.96% | 29.26% | 0.75% | 0.97% | 0.63% | |||
Elabe | 30 Jun 2024 | 20:00 CEST est. | 67.5% | 1.5% | 28.5% | 1.5% | – | 22.0% | 0.5% [lower-alpha 4] | 10.5% | 33.0% | 0.5% | – | 2.0% | ||||||
Harris Interactive | 67.0% | – | 29.6% | – | 22.4% | – [lower-alpha 5] | 10.0% | 34.2% | 1.0% [lower-alpha 6] | – | 2.8% | |||||||||
Ifop | 67.0% | 1.3% | 29.1% | – | – | 21.5% | – | – | 10.0% | 34.2% | 0.6% | – | 3.3% | |||||||
Ipsos | 65.5% | 1.2% | 28.1% | 1.8% | – | 20.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 30.0% | 0.6% | – | 2.1% | ||||||
OpinionWay | 67.5% | 1.5% | 29.0% | – | – | 22.0% | – | – | 9.0% | 34.0% | 1.0% | – | 3.5% | |||||||
Harris Interactive | 27–28 Jun 2024 | 2,182 | – | 0.5% | 28% | 1% | – | 20% | 1% | 0.5% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 34% | 2% | – | 2% | |||
Ipsos | 27–28 Jun 2024 | 10,286 | 64% | 1% | 29% | 1% | – | 20% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 8% | 4% | 32% | 1% | – | 2% | ||||
Ifop | 25–28 Jun 2024 | 2,824 | 67% | 1% | 29% | 1% | – | 20.5% | 0.5% | – | 7% | 36.5% | 1.5% | – | 3% | |||||
Elabe | 26–27 Jun 2024 | 1,871 | 64% | 1% | 27.5% | 2% | – | 20% | 0.5% | 0.5% [lower-alpha 4] | 9% | 36% | 1.5% | – | 2% | |||||
Odoxa | 26–27 Jun 2024 | 1,896 | 66% | 1% | 27.5% | 1.5% | 1% | 21% | – | – | 2% | 7% | 35% | 1.5% | – | 2.5% | ||||
OpinionWay | 26–27 Jun 2024 | 1,058 | 65% | 1% | 28% | 1% | <1% | 20% | – | – | 2% | 6% | 37% | 1% | – | 4% | ||||
Cluster17 | 25–27 Jun 2024 | 2,465 | 65% | 1.5% | 29.5% | 1% | – | 20% | 1% | – | 1.5% | 7.5% | 4% | 31% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | |||
Ifop | 24–27 Jun 2024 | 2,823 | 66% | 0.5% | 29% | 1% | – | 21% | 1% | – | 6.5% | 36% | 1.5% | – | 3.5% | |||||
Harris Interactive | 25–26 Jun 2024 | 2,014 | – | 0.5% | 27% | 1% | – | 21% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 34% | 2% | – | 2.5% | |||
OpinionWay | 25–26 Jun 2024 | 1,035 | – | 1% | 28% | 1% | 1% | 20% | – | – | 2% | 7% | 36% | 2% | – | 2% | ||||
Ifop | 22–26 Jun 2024 | 2,343 | 66% | 1% | 28.5% | 1% | – | 21% | 1% | – | 6% | 36% | 1% | – | 4.5% | |||||
Ifop | 21–25 Jun 2024 | 2,335 | 64.5% | 1% | 28.5% | 0.5% | – | 21% | 1% | – | 6.5% | 36% | 1.5% | – | 4% | |||||
Cluster17 | 22–24 Jun 2024 | 2,470 | 64.5% | 1.5% | 30% | 1.5% | – | 19.5% | 1% | – | 1.5% | 7.5% | 4% | 30.5% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | |||
Harris Interactive | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 2,004 | – | 1% | 27% | 1% | – | 20% | 1% | 0.5% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 33% | 2% | – | 1.5% | |||
Ipsos | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 11,820 | 63% | 1% | 29% | 1% | – | 19.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 8% | 4% | 32% | 1.5% | – | 2% | ||||
OpinionWay | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 3,040 | 58% | 1% | 28% | 1% | <1% | 19% | – | – | 4% | 7% | 36% | 1% | – | 3% | ||||
Ifop | 20–24 Jun 2024 | 1,843 | 63.5% | 1% | 29.5% | 1% | – | 20.5% | 1% | – | 7% | 36% | 1% | – | 3% | |||||
Ifop | 19–22 Jun 2024 | 1,853 | 64% | 1.5% | 29% | 1% | – | 21% | 1% | – | 7% | 35.5% | 1% | – | 3% | |||||
Elabe | 19–21 Jun 2024 | 1,870 | 63% | 1% | 27% | 2% | – | 20% | 0.5% | 0.5% [lower-alpha 4] | 10% | 36% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | |||||
Ifop | 18–21 Jun 2024 | 2,317 | 64% | 1% | 29% | 1% | – | 21.5% | 1% | – | 6.5% | 35% | 1.5% | – | 3.5% | |||||
Harris Interactive | 19–20 Jun 2024 | 2,004 | – | 1% | 26% | 1% | – | 21% | 1% | 0.5% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 33% | 3% | – | 3.5% | |||
Ipsos | 19–20 Jun 2024 | 2,000 | 62% | 1.5% | 29.5% | 1% | – | 19.5% | 1% | 1.5% | 7% | 4% | 31.5% | 2% | – | 1.5% | ||||
Odoxa | 19–20 Jun 2024 | 1,861 | 64% | 2% | 28% | 3% | 1.5% | 19% | – | – | 1% | 7% | 33% | 3.5% | – | 2% | ||||
OpinionWay | 19–20 Jun 2024 | 1,009 | – | 1% | 28% | 1% | <1% | 22% | – | – | 3% | 6% | 35% | 1% | – | 3% | ||||
Ifop | 18–20 Jun 2024 | 1,861 | 64% | 1% | 29% | 1% | – | 22% | 1% | – | 6% | 34% | 2% | – | 4% | |||||
OpinionWay | 18–20 Jun 2024 | 1,057 | – | <1% | 27% | 2% | 1% | 20% | – | – | 2% | 7% | 35% | 2% | – | 4% | ||||
Cluster17 | 17–19 Jun 2024 | 2,654 | 60.5% | 1% | 30% | 3% | – | 19% | – | – | 2.5% | 7% | 32% | 2.5% | – | 3% | ||||
Ifop | 14–17 Jun 2024 | 1,131 | 62% | 1.5% | 28% | 3% | – | 18% | – | 0.5% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 33% | 3% | – | 2% | |||
Ifop | 13–14 Jun 2024 | 1,114 | 63% | 1% | 26% | 3.5% | – | 19% | – | 1% | 1.5% | 7% | 35% | 3% | – | 3% | ||||
OpinionWay | 12–13 Jun 2024 | 1,011 | – | 1% | 25% | 2% | 2% | 20% | – | – | 2% | 7% | 33% | 3% | – | 5% | ||||
Cluster17 | 11–13 Jun 2024 | 2,764 | 60% | 1% | 28.5% | 3% | 1.5% | 18% | 1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 7% | 29.5% | 3.5% | 1% | 2% | ||||
Elabe | 11–12 Jun 2024 | 1,422 | 57% | 1% | 28% | 5% | – | 18% | – | – | 2% | 6.5% | 31% | 4% | – | 4.5% | ||||
OpinionWay | 11–12 Jun 2024 | 1,019 | – | 1% | 25% | 3% | 1% | 19% | – | – | 1% | 9% | 32% | 4% | – | 5% | ||||
Ifop | 10–11 Jun 2024 | 1,089 | – | 1% | 25% | 5% | – | 18% | – | 0.5% | 1.5% | 9% | 35% | 4% | – | 1% | ||||
1% | 11% | 19% | 3% | – | 17% | – | <0.5% | 2% | 8% | 34% | 4% | – | 1% | |||||||
1% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 2% | – | 16% | – | 0.5% | 1% | 8% | 35% | 3.5% | – | 1% | |||||
OpinionWay | 10 Jun 2024 | 1,095 | – | 1% | 23% | 4% | 2% | 18% | – | – | 2% | 8% | 33% | 5% | – | 4% | ||||
Harris Interactive | 9–10 Jun 2024 | 2,340 | – | 3% | 22% | 9% | – | 19% | – | – | 9% | 34% | 4% | – | – | |||||
Ifop | 12–13 Dec 2023 | 1,100 | – | 1.5% | 24% | 6% | – | 19% | – | 1% | 3% | 11% | 28% | 5% | – | 1.5% | ||||
1% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 2% | – | 18% | – | 1% | 3% | 10% | 27% | 6% | – | 1% | |||||
Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,699 | – | 1% | 25.5% | 3% | – | 21.5% | – | 1.5% | 1% | 11.5% | 24.5% | 4.5% | – | 6% | ||||
Ifop | 20–21 Mar 2023 | 1,094 | – | 1% | 26% | 5% | – | 22% | – | 1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 5% | – | 2% | ||||
1% | 11% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 3% | – | 21% | – | 1% | 1% | 10% | 26% | 5% | – | 2% | |||||
Harris Interactive | 3–7 Mar 2023 | 2,108 | – | 1% | 24% | 6% | – | 24% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 22% | 4% | – | 4% | ||||
Cluster17 | 4–6 Nov 2022 | 2,096 | 56.9% | 1.5% | 24.5% | 3% | 1% [lower-alpha 7] | 25% | 0.5% | 2% | 2% | 10.5% | 20% | 5% | 1% | 4% | ||||
Ifop | 2–4 Nov 2022 | 1,396 | – | 1.5% | 25% | 4% | – | 27% | – | 0.5% | 2% | 11% | 21% | 5.5% | – | 2.5% | ||||
1.5% | 11% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 2% | – | 26% | – | 0% | 3% | 11% | 21% | 5% | – | 1.5% | |||||
Ministry of the Interior (Le Monde) | 12 Jun 2022 | — | 47.51% | 1.17% (1.19%) | 25.66% (26.16%) | 3.70% (3.30%) | 2.67% (–) | 25.75% (25.80%) | 1.25% (1.30%) | 1.13% (1.21%) | 2.33% (1.92%) | 11.29% (11.30%) | 18.68% (18.68%) | 4.24% (4.25%) | 1.28% (1.09%) | 0.85% (3.80%) |
Even though polls since the publication of the official list of candidates by the Ministry of the Interior ask about the specific candidates within each constituency, seat projections should be treated with a significant level of precaution due to their numerous sources of uncertainty which include but are not limited to:
Due to these uncertainties, certain polling institutes opt not to release seat projections alongside topline voting intention figures prior to the first round, and only publish such projections after the results of that initial voting is known. [lower-alpha 8]
These seat projections are not subject to the same regulations of the national polling committee as regular voting intention polls are. [lower-alpha 9]
The precautions above also apply to the estimations released by pollsters at 20:00 CEST on the day of the first round, though may be slightly more reliable due to asking about several second-round hypotheses based on large number of survey interviews conducted in the hours just prior to the day of the vote. As with the vote percentage estimations after the first round, seat projections produced after the second round made by various pollsters are not traditional exit polls, but are instead based on the level of turnout reported and first set of ballots counted at polling stations which close an hour or two earlier. [lower-alpha 1] At least 289 seats are needed for an absolute majority.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | NFP | DVG | ENS | DVC | DVD | LR (CNI) [lower-alpha 2] | RN and allies | DSV | Others | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LFI | PCF | LE | PS | RE | MoDem | HOR | LR (UXD) [lower-alpha 3] | RN | ||||||||||
Ministry of the Interior | 7 Jul 2024 | — | 66.63% | 180 | 12 | 159 | 6 | 27 | 39 | 17 | 125 | 0 | 12 | |||||
Elabe | 7 Jul 2024 | 20:00 CEST est. | 67.1% | 175–205 | 11–13 | 150–175 | 60–70 | 115–150 | 0–1 [lower-alpha 4] | 10–14 | ||||||||
Harris Interactive | 67.1% | 83–90 | 8–10 | 37–41 | 58–70 | 13 | 150–182 | 60–75 | 8–18 | 102–140 | – | 10–15 | ||||||
Ifop | 67.5% | 180–215 | 10 | 150–180 | – | 60–65 | 120–150 | – | 5–6 | |||||||||
Ipsos | 67.0% | 68–74 | 10–12 | 32–36 | 63–69 | 13–16 | 95–105 | 31–37 | 24–28 | 6–8 [lower-alpha 10] | 57–67 | 12–16 | 120–136 | – | 22–30 | |||
OpinionWay | 67.0% | 180–210 | 155–175 | 46–56 | 135–155 | – | 15–25 | |||||||||||
Cluster17 | 5 Jul 2024 | 1,401 | – | 165–195 | – | 130–160 | – | – | 30–50 | 170–210 | – | 15–30 | ||||||
Harris Interactive | 4–5 Jul 2024 | 2,951 | – | 168–198 | – | 115–145 | – | – | 32–63 | 185–215 | – | 15–30 | ||||||
Ifop | 3–5 Jul 2024 | 2,859 | 69% | 155–185 | 10–18 | 120–150 | – | 50–65 | 170–210 | – | 5–15 | |||||||
Elabe | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 2,005 | 65% | 165–190 | 120–140 | – | 35–50 | 200–230 | – | 10–12 | ||||||||
Ifop | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 1,916 | 68% | 170–200 | – | 95–125 | – | 25–45 | 210–240 | – | 15–27 | |||||||
Ipsos | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 10,101 | 68% | 58–68 | 7–9 | 29–37 | 51–61 | 14–16 | 78–94 | 23–31 | 17–23 | 6–8 [lower-alpha 10] | 57–67 | 18–24 | 157–181 | – | 8–12 | |
Odoxa | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 952 | – | 140–180 | 115–155 | – | 40–60 | 210–250 | – | 10–20 | ||||||||
OpinionWay | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 3,355 | – | 145–175 | – | 130–162 | – | 38–50 | 205–230 | – | 8–12 | |||||||
OpinionWay | 3–4 Jul 2024 | – | – | 150–180 | – | 125–155 | – | 38–50 | 205–230 | – | 8–12 | |||||||
Harris Interactive | 2–3 Jul 2024 | 3,008 | – | 159–183 | – | 110–135 | – | – | 30–50 | 190–220 | – | 17–31 | ||||||
Elabe | 30 Jun 2024 | Most recent est. | – | 120–140 | 11–12 | 90–125 | 35–45 | 255–295 | 0–1 [lower-alpha 4] | 10–14 | ||||||||
Harris Interactive | 140–190 | 70–120 | 30–50 | 30–45 | 210–260 | 0–2 [lower-alpha 11] | 10–20 | |||||||||||
Ifop | 180–200 | – | 60–90 | – | 30–50 | 240–270 | – | 13–21 | ||||||||||
Ipsos | 58–72 | 6–12 | 28–38 | 33–43 | 11–19 | 53–71 | 13–19 | 4–10 | – | 41–61 | 26–36 | 204–244 | – | 22–30 | ||||
OpinionWay | 130–170 | 65–105 | 30–50 | 250–300 | – | 24–30 | ||||||||||||
Harris Interactive | 27–28 Jun 2024 | 2,182 | – | 120–150 | – | 80–130 | – | – | 30–50 | 20–35 | 220–260 | 0–2 | 10–20 | |||||
Ifop | 25–28 Jun 2024 | 2,824 | – | 170–200 | 10–18 | 70–100 | – | 30–60 | 225–265 [lower-alpha 12] | – | 1–5 | |||||||
Elabe | 26–27 Jun 2024 | 1,871 | – | 155–175 | 85–105 | – | 30–40 | 260–295 | – | 8–10 | ||||||||
Odoxa | 26–27 Jun 2024 | 1,896 | – | 150–190 | 70–110 | – | 15–45 | 265–305 | – | – | ||||||||
Cluster17 | 25–27 Jun 2024 | 2,465 | – | 180–220 | – | 65–110 | – | – | 25–35 | 210–255 | – | 20–30 | ||||||
Ifop | 24–27 Jun 2024 | 2,823 | – | 180–210 | 5–9 | 75–110 | – | 25–50 | 220–260 [lower-alpha 13] | – | 6–10 | |||||||
Harris Interactive | 25–26 Jun 2024 | 2,014 | – | 125–155 | – | 75–125 | – | – | 30–50 | 20–35 | 230–270 | 0–2 | 10–20 | |||||
Ifop | 22–26 Jun 2024 | 2,343 | – | 180–210 | 5–9 | 75–110 | – | 23–50 | 220–260 [lower-alpha 13] | – | 5–9 | |||||||
Ifop | 21–25 Jun 2024 | 2,335 | – | 180–210 | 5–9 | 75–110 | – | 25–50 | 220–260 [lower-alpha 13] | – | 4–8 | |||||||
Cluster17 | 22–24 Jun 2024 | 2,470 | – | 180–230 | – | 65–100 | – | – | 25–40 | 210–250 | – | 20–30 | ||||||
Harris Interactive | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 2,044 | – | 150–180 | – | 85–130 | – | – | 30–50 | 15–30 | 215–245 | 0–2 | 10–20 | |||||
Ifop | 20–24 Jun 2024 | 1,843 | – | 185–215 | 6–10 | 70–100 | – | 30–50 | 220–260 [lower-alpha 13] | – | 3–7 | |||||||
Ifop | 19–22 Jun 2024 | 1,853 | – | 180–210 | 7–11 | 75–105 | – | 40–60 | 210–250 [lower-alpha 13] | – | 3–8 | |||||||
Elabe | 19–21 Jun 2024 | 1,870 | – | 150–170 | 90–110 | – | 35–45 | 250–280 | – | 10–12 | ||||||||
Ifop | 18–21 Jun 2024 | 2,317 | – | 180–210 | 8–12 | 80–110 | – | 40–60 | 200–240 [lower-alpha 13] | – | 5–10 | |||||||
Harris Interactive | 19–20 Jun 2024 | 2,004 | – | 135–165 | – | 95–130 | – | – | 30–50 | 15–30 | 220–250 | 0–2 | 10–20 | |||||
Odoxa | 19–20 Jun 2024 | 1,861 | – | 160–210 | 70–120 | – | 10–50 | 250–300 | – | – | ||||||||
Cluster17 | 17–19 Jun 2024 | 2,654 | – | 190–240 | – | 70–100 | – | – | 20–30 | 200–250 | – | 20–30 | ||||||
Cluster17 | 11–13 Jun 2024 | 2,764 | – | 190–235 | 10–14 | 70–100 | – | – | 23–35 | 195–245 | – | 10–16 | ||||||
Elabe | 11–12 Jun 2024 | 1,422 | – | 150–190 | 90–130 | – | 30–40 | 220–270 | – | 10–20 | ||||||||
Harris-Interactive | 9–10 Jun 2024 | 2,340 | – | 115–145 | – | 125–155 | – | 40–55 | 235–265 | 0–2 | 5–20 | |||||||
Ipsos (for LR) | 8–13 Dec 2023 | 4,000 | – | 55–79 | 20–22 | 117–165 | 3 | 7–8 | 44–60 | 243–305 | – | 10–11 | ||||||
Elabe | 3–5 Apr 2023 | 1,699 | – | 150–180 | 15–20 | 130–155 | 60–75 | 150–175 | 1–2 | 12–15 | ||||||||
Harris-Interactive | 3–7 Mar 2023 | 2,108 | – | 158–168 | 234–244 | 69–79 | 91–100 | 8–14 | ||||||||||
Ministry of the Interior (Le Monde) | 19 Jun 2022 | — | 46.23% | 131 (142) | 22 (13) | 245 (246) | 4 (5) | 74 (73) | 89 (89) | 1 (1) | 11 (8) |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | NFP (any party) | NFP (depends on party) | ENS | LR (CNI) [lower-alpha 2] | RN | Abs./blank/ null vote/ don't know | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LFI | PCF | LE | PS | |||||||||
CSA | 4 Jul 2024 | 1,009 | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | 27% |
OpinionWay | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 693 | 64% | 36% | 34% | – | 30% | – | ||||
860 | 62% | 47% | – | – | 53% | – | ||||||
813 | 63% | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 48% | – | ||
Ifop | 1–2 Jul 2024 | 1,118 | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | – | – |
50% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | ||||
– | – | 48% | – | 52% | – | – | – | |||||
– | – | 53% | – | – | – | 47% | – | |||||
– | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 47% | – | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | – | 56% | 44% | – | ||||
Ipsos | 27–28 Jun 2024 | 10,286 | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | 27% |
– | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 41% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | 40% | – | – | – | 39% | 21% | ||||
OpinionWay | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 3,040 | – | 26% | 29% | – | – | 45% | ||||
33% | – | – | 40% | 27% | ||||||||
– | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 34% | 37% | ||||
Odoxa | 26–27 Jun 2024 | 1,005 | – | 25% | 9% | – | – | 38% | 28% | |||
17% | 10% | 21% | – | 34% | 18% | |||||||
OpinionWay | 17–18 Jun 2024 | 1,044 | – | 33% | – | – | 41% | 26% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | 37% | 23% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | First round vote | NFP/DVG | ENS | RN/UXD | None of these | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elabe | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 2,005 | NFP/DVG | 87% | 3% | 1% | 9% | |
ENS | 2% | 83% | 0% | 15% | ||||
RN/UXD | 1% | 1% | 87% | 11% | ||||
OpinionWay | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 693 | NFP/DVG | 96% | 1% | 2% | 1% | |
ENS | 9% | 86% | 0% | 5% | ||||
LR/DVD | 5% | 18% | 60% | 17% | ||||
RN/UXD | 1% | 1% | 98% | 0% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | First round vote | NFP/DVG | RN/UXD | None of these | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elabe | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 2,005 | NFP/DVG | 86% | 3% | 11% | |
ENS | 32% | 18% | 50% | ||||
RN/UXD | 1% | 92% | 7% | ||||
OpinionWay | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 860 | NFP/DVG | 98% | 0% | 2% | |
ENS | 48% | 16% | 36% | ||||
LR/DVD | 18% | 51% | 31% | ||||
RN/UXD | 0% | 99% | 1% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | First round vote | LFI | ENS | None of these | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ifop | 1–2 Jul 2024 | 1,118 | NFP/DVG | 88% | 12% | – | |
ENS | 10% | 90% | – | ||||
LR/DVD | 23% | 77% | – | ||||
RN/UXD | 25% | 75% | – |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | First round vote | LFI | RN/UXD | None of these | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CSA | 4 Jul 2024 | 1,009 | NFP/DVG | 87% | 5% | 8% | |
ENS | 37% | 13% | 50% | ||||
LR/DVD | 15% | 38% | 47% | ||||
RN/UXD | 0% | 98% | 2% | ||||
Ifop | 1–2 Jul 2024 | 1,118 | NFP/DVG | 98% | 2% | – | |
ENS | 66% | 34% | – | ||||
LR/DVD | 41% | 59% | – | ||||
RN/UXD | 2% | 98% | – |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | First round vote | PS/LE | ENS | None of these | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ifop | 1–2 Jul 2024 | 1,118 | NFP/DVG | 94% | 6% | – | |
ENS | 14% | 86% | – | ||||
LR/DVD | 31% | 69% | – | ||||
RN/UXD | 29% | 71% | – |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | First round vote | PS/LE | RN/UXD | None of these | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ifop | 1–2 Jul 2024 | 1,118 | NFP/DVG | 95% | 5% | – | |
ENS | 77% | 23% | – | ||||
LR/DVD | 52% | 48% | – | ||||
RN/UXD | 2% | 98% | – |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | First round vote | ENS | RN/UXD | None of these | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elabe | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 2,005 | NFP/DVG | 62% | 6% | 32% | |
ENS | 81% | 8% | 11% | ||||
RN/UXD | 2% | 88% | 10% | ||||
OpinionWay | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 813 | NFP/DVG | 56% | 17% | 27% | |
ENS | 93% | 5% | 2% | ||||
LR/DVD | 56% | 40% | 4% | ||||
RN/UXD | 2% | 97% | 1% | ||||
Ifop | 1–2 Jul 2024 | 1,118 | NFP/DVG | 84% | 16% | – | |
ENS | 92% | 8% | – | ||||
LR/DVD | 57% | 43% | – | ||||
RN/UXD | 3% | 97% | – |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | First round vote | LR/DVD | RN/UXD | None of these | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elabe | 3–4 Jul 2024 | 2,005 | NFP/DVG | 57% | 5% | 38% | |
LR/DVD | 90% | 2% | 8% | ||||
RN/UXD | 1% | 87% | 12% | ||||
Ifop | 1–2 Jul 2024 | 1,118 | NFP/DVG | 87% | 13% | – | |
ENS | 90% | 10% | – | ||||
LR/DVD | 81% | 19% | – | ||||
RN/UXD | 5% | 95% | – |
Because the configuration of the second round, if any, is contingent on the level of turnout in the first round, only the top-placed candidate is highlighted in first-round polls below.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Alain Langouet LO | Olivier Salerno NFP–LFI | Graig Monetti ENS–HOR | Lalla Chama Ben Moulay ÉAC | Virgile Vanier-Guérin LR (CNI) | Éric Ciotti LR (UXD) | Jean-Claude Wahid Spach DG | Maxime Bovis SE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ministry of the Interior | 30 Jun 2024 | — | 0.62% | 26.62% | 22.79% | 2.81% | 5.78% | 41.04% | 0.27% | 0.07% |
Ifop | 25–27 Jun 2024 | 543 | 0.5% | 26% | 22% | 3% | 5.5% | 42% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Olivier Salerno NFP–LFI | Graig Monetti ENS–HOR | Éric Ciotti LR (UXD) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ministry of the Interior | 7 Jul 2024 | — | 32.13% | 22.73% | 45.14% |
Ifop | 25–27 Jun 2024 | 543 | 27% | 27% | 46% |
40% | – | 60% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Élisabeth Borne ENS–RE | Nicolas Calbrix RN |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ministry of the Interior | 7 Jul 2024 | — | 56.36% | 43.64% |
Ifop | 2–3 Jul 2024 | 611 | 54% | 46% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Bernadette Gasc LO | Xavier Czapla NFP–LFI | Jérôme Cahuzac DVG | Guillaume Lepers LR (CNI) | Annick Cousin RN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ministry of the Interior | 30 Jun 2024 | — | 1.01% | 18.36% | 14.56% | 24.99% | 41.08% |
Ifop | 24–26 Jun 2024 | 561 | 1% | 19% | 23% | 19% | 38% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Xavier Czapla NFP–LFI | Jérôme Cahuzac DVG | Guillaume Lepers LR (CNI) | Annick Cousin RN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ministry of the Interior | 7 Jul 2024 | — | – | – | 54.13% | 45.87% |
Ifop | 24–26 Jun 2024 | 561 | 22% | 31% | – | 47% |
– | 49% | – | 51% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Christophe Charlon LO | Leslie Mortreux NFP–REV | Gérald Darmanin ENS–RE | Jérôme Garcia LR | Bastien Verbrugghe RN | Gustave Viguie-Desplaces REC | Marcelin Brazon Résistons! |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ministry of the Interior | 30 Jun 2024 | — | 1.10% | 24.83% | 36.03% | 2.98% | 34.31% | 0.51% | 0.25% |
Ifop | 18–20 Jun 2024 | 602 | 1.5% | 24% | 42% | 2.5% | 28% | 1% | 1% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Leslie Mortreux NFP–REV | Gérald Darmanin ENS–RE | Bastien Verbrugghe RN |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ministry of the Interior | 7 Jul 2024 | — | – | 61.37% | 38.63% |
Ifop | 18–20 Jun 2024 | 602 | – | 65% | 35% |
27% | 44% | 29% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Aurélie Jochaud LO | Elsa Caudron NPA | Yannick Duterte PRCF | Sabrina Ali Benali NFP–LFI | Alexis Corbière LFI diss. | Éric Verhaeghe AC | Pauline Breteau ENS–HOR | Antoine Toche DVD | Françoise Trova RN | Sébastien Atlani SE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ministry of the Interior | 30 Jun 2024 | — | 0.63% | 0.30% | 0.33% | 36.38% | 40.19% | 0.95% | 10.06% | 1.31% | 9.69% | 0.14% |
Ifop | 25–26 Jun 2024 | 550 | 1% | 0% | 1% | 35% | 40% | 1.5% | 10% | 1.5% | 10% | 0% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Sabrina Ali Benali NFP–LFI | Alexis Corbière LFI diss. |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ministry of the Interior | 7 Jul 2024 | — | 42.84% | 57.16% |
Ifop | 25–26 Jun 2024 | 550 | 46% | 54% |
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