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Uruguayportal |
General elections will be held in Uruguay on 27 October 2024. [1] If no presidential candidate receives a majority in the first round of voting, a runoff will take place on Sunday 24 November 2024.
Incumbent President Luis Lacalle Pou, who won the 2019 elections, cannot run again as the constitution bars a president from immediate re-election. As a result, the governing National Party has to nominate a new candidate.
The President of Uruguay is elected using the two-round system, with a run-off held if no candidate receives 50% of the vote in the first round. The 30 members of the Senate are elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The vice president, elected on the same ballot as the president, becomes president of the Senate, with his vote being determinant in case of tie. [2] The 99 members of the Chamber of Representatives are elected by proportional representation in 19 multi-member constituencies based on the 19 departments. Seats are allocated using the highest averages method. [3]
The elections are held using the double simultaneous vote method, whereby voters cast a single vote for the party of their choice for all three seats of Presidency, Senate and Chamber of Representatives.
Presidential primaries will be held in April or June to select the candidates. Potential candidates include: [4] [5]
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | FA | PN | PC | CA | PERI | PG | PI | Others | Und. | Blank/Abs. | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cifra [6] | 11–22 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 45% | 32% | 7% | 3% | — | — | 1% | 12% | 13% | ||
Nómade [7] | 10–14 Apr 2024 | 1,042 | 46.5% | 32.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | — | — | 0.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | — | 13.6% |
MPC Consultores [8] | 18–23 Mar 2024 | 900 | 34% | 23% | 7% | 9% | 1% | — | 1% | 3% [lower-alpha 1] | 19% | 3% | 11% |
Cifra [9] | 7–20 Mar 2024 | 1,198 | 46% | 32% | 7% | 3% | — | — | 1% | 11% | 14% | ||
Factum [10] | 20 Feb–2 Mar 2024 | 900 | 43% | 29% | 8% | 7% | — | — | 3% | 6% | — | 4% | 14% |
Opción Consultores [11] | 14–28 Feb 2024 | 800 | 41% | 31% | 6% | 3% | 1% | — | 1% | 1% | 10% | 7% | 10% |
Equipos Consultores [12] | 15–27 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | 42% | 27% | 7% | 4% | — | — | — | 2% [lower-alpha 2] | 13% | 5% | 15% |
Cifra [13] | 1–17 Feb 2024 | 1,001 | 47% | 31% | 6% | 2% | — | 2% [lower-alpha 3] | 1% | 11% | 16% | ||
MPC Consultores [14] | 29 Jan–2 Feb 2024 | 960 | 34% | 22% | 6% | 10% | 1% | — | 2% | 3% [lower-alpha 1] | 19% | 3% | 12% |
Nómade [15] | 22 Jan–2 Feb 2024 | 839 | 40.6% | 29.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | — | — | 3.3% [lower-alpha 4] | 17.8% | 0.8% | 10.9% |
MPC Consultores [16] | 15–20 Dec 2023 | 900 | 33% | 20% | 7% | 8% | — | — | — | 4% | 24% | 4% | 13% |
Factum [17] | 17–30 Nov 2023 | 900 | 42% | 26% | 9% | 7% | — | — | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 16% |
Equipos Consultores [18] | 16–29 Nov 2023 | 1,204 | 45% | 29% | 7% | 2% | — | — | — | 2% | 12% | 3% | 16% |
Opción Consultores [19] | 4–20 Nov 2023 | 800 | 44% | 30% | 6% | 3% | 1% | — | 3% | — | 7% | 6% | 14% |
UPC [20] [21] | 10–14 Nov 2023 | 500 | 45% | 27% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 2% [lower-alpha 3] | 2% | 7% | 8% | 18% | |
Nómade [22] | 6–11 Nov 2023 | 975 | 41.6% | 23.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | — | — | 1.1% | 1.8% | 23.3% | 1.2% | 18.6% |
Cifra [23] | 17 Oct–3 Nov 2023 | 1,002 | 44% | 31% | 6% | 2% | — | 1% [lower-alpha 3] | 1% | 15% | 13% | ||
Equipos Consultores [24] | 5–18 Oct 2023 | 1,204 | 40% | 29% | 4% | 2% | 1% | — | — | 1% | 17% | 6% | 11% |
UPC [25] | 15–19 Sep 2023 | 400 | 45% | 29% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 16% |
Factum [26] | 21 Aug–6 Sep 2023 | 900 | 41% | 28% | 7% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 13% |
Cifra [27] | 17–31 Aug 2023 | 1,000 | 42% | 30% | 4% | 2% | — | — | 1% | 21% | 12% | ||
Equipos Consultores [28] | 10–23 Aug 2023 | 1,204 | 43% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 1% | — | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 2] | 15% | 3% | 17% |
Nómade [29] | 19–23 Jul 2023 | 902 | 40.6% | 25.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | — | — | 1.1% | 0.9% | 22.3% | 1.7% | 14.7% |
Cifra [30] | 15 Jun–2 Jul 2023 | 1,009 | 44% | 27% | 6% | 2% | — | 2% [lower-alpha 3] | 1% | 18% | 17% | ||
Factum [31] | 21–28 Jun 2023 | 900 | 40% | 26% | 9% | 7% | — | — | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 14% |
Equipos Consultores [32] | 2–16 Jun 2023 | 1,207 | 43% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | — | 1% | 1% | 12% | 5% | 15% |
UPC [33] | 2–6 Jun 2023 | 400 | 45% | 29% | 5% | 4% | — | — | 1% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 16% |
Opción Consultores [34] | 15–22 May 2023 | 849 | 42% | 30% | 4% | 4% | 1% | — | 1% | 1% | 11% | 6% | 12% |
Factum [35] | 24 Apr–11 May 2023 | 900 | 41% | 23% | 8% | 11% | — | — | 4% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 18% |
Cifra [36] | 20 Apr–3 May 2023 | 987 | 41% | 30% | 3% | 4% | — | 2% [lower-alpha 3] | 1% | 19% | 11% | ||
Equipos Consultores [37] | 11–24 Apr 2023 | 1,204 | 42% | 28% | 5% | 2% | — | — | 1% | — | 15% | 7% | 14% |
Nómade [38] | 3–17 Apr 2023 | 803 | 43.7% | 29.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | — | — | 2.1% | 0.8% | 12.5% | 2.3% | 14.7% |
Cifra [39] | 15–27 Feb 2023 | 1,007 | 43% | 30% | 3% | 2% | — | 2% [lower-alpha 3] | 1% | 19% | 13% | ||
Factum [40] | 11–20 Feb 2023 | 1,000 | 41% | 26% | 6% | 9% | — | — | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 15% |
Equipos Consultores [41] | Feb 2023 | – | 43% | 24% | 9% | 3% | — | 1% [lower-alpha 3] | 1% | 1% | n/a | n/a | 19% |
Nómade [42] | 3–17 Jan 2023 | 828 | 43.1% | 27.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% [lower-alpha 5] | 14.1% | 1.3% | 15.3% |
Equipos Consultores [43] | Dec 2022 | – | 44% | 23% | 6% | 4% | 1% | — | — | 1% | 16% | 5% | 21% |
Opción Consultores [44] | 2–10 Nov 2022 | – | 40% | 28% | 6% | 5% | 1% | — | 1% | 1% | 12% | 6% | 12% |
Cifra [45] | 20–31 Oct 2022 | 810 | 43% | 31% | 4% | 2% | — | 1% [lower-alpha 3] | 1% | 18% | 12% | ||
Factum [46] | 4–16 Oct 2022 | 800 | 41% | 27% | 8% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 14% |
Equipos Consultores [47] | 24 Jul–8 Oct 2022 | 1,900 | 38% | 28% | 5% | 3% | 1% | — | 1% | 2% | 20% | 5% | 10% |
Factum [48] | 3–13 Jun 2022 | 900 | 39% | 28% | 8% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 11% |
Equipos Consultores [49] | 23 Apr–7 May 2022 | 1,195 | 35% | 25% | 5% | 2% | — | — | — | 1% | 25% | 7% | 10% |
Factum [50] | 6–15 Nov 2021 | 900 | 39% | 30% | 8% | 9% | — | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 9% |
Equipos Consultores [51] | Jul–Sep 2021 | 1,500 | 35% | 30% | 4% | 3% | — | — | 1% | 1% | 19% | 7% | 5% |
Opción Consultores [52] | 13–20 May 2021 | 824 | 34% | 33% | 5% | 5% | 1% | — | 1% | 2% | 11% | 8% | 1% |
2019 election, 1st round | 27 October 2019 | – | 39.0% | 28.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | — | 3.6% | 10.4% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | FA | PN | PC | CA | PERI | PI | Lead | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orsi | Cosse | Delgado | Raffo | ||||||||
Equipos Consultores [53] | 15–27 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | 44% | — | 26% | — | 5% | 9% | — | 2% | 18% |
45% | — | — | 22% | 8% | 10% | — | 3% | 23% | |||
— | 37% | 30% | — | 6% | 10% | — | 2% | 7% | |||
— | 37% | — | 21% | 10% | 11% | — | 5% | 16% | |||
Opción Consultores [54] | 14–28 Feb 2024 | 800 | 40% | — | 33% | — | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 7% |
— | 39% | 35% | — | 6% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | |||
Equipos Consultores [55] | 16–29 Nov 2023 | 1,204 | 47% | — | 29% | — | 5% | 7% | — | 3% | 18% |
46% | — | — | 24% | 8% | 8% | — | 4% | 22% | |||
— | 42% | 31% | — | 7% | 7% | — | 4% | 11% | |||
— | 42% | — | 24% | 10% | 7% | — | 5% | 18% | |||
Opción Consultores [56] | 4–20 Nov 2023 | 800 | 45% | — | 27% | — | 8% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 18% |
— | 39% | 31% | — | 6% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 8% | |||
Equipos Consultores [57] | 2–16 Jun 2023 | 1,207 | 46% | — | 26% | — | 11% | 5% | — | 4% | 20% |
46% | — | — | 20% | 13% | 7% | — | 4% | 26% | |||
— | 39% | 25% | — | 13% | 6% | — | 6% | 14% | |||
— | 41% | — | 21% | 16% | 7% | — | 5% | 20% | |||
Opción Consultores [58] | 23 May–1 Jun 2022 | 800 | 40% | — | 22% | — | 12% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 18% |
— | 39% | 23% | — | 13% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 16% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | FA | PN | PC | CA | Other | Und. | Blank/ Abs. | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orsi | Cosse | Bergara | Other FA | Delgado | Raffo | Argimón | Other PN | Bordaberry | Other PC | Manini | Other CA | ||||||
Cifra [59] | 1–17 Feb 2024 | 1,001 | 24% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 18% | 6% | — | 2% [lower-alpha 6] | — | 1% [lower-alpha 7] | 2% | — | 2% [lower-alpha 8] | 30% | — |
Cifra [60] | 17 Oct–3 Nov 2023 | 1,002 | 20% | 9% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% [lower-alpha 9] | — | 1% [lower-alpha 7] | 3% | — | 1% [lower-alpha 8] | 38% | — |
Cifra [61] | 17–31 Aug 2023 | 1,000 | 23% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | — | 3% | — | 1% [lower-alpha 8] | 37% | — |
Cifra [62] | 15 Jun–2 Jul 2023 | 1,009 | 20% | 12% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 3% | — | 2% | — | 1% [lower-alpha 8] | 35% | — |
Cifra [63] | 20 Apr–3 May 2023 | 987 | 22% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | — | 4% | — | 2% [lower-alpha 8] | 34% | — |
Nómade [38] | 3–17 Apr 2023 | 803 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% [lower-alpha 10] | 5.7% | 0.6% | — | 5.3% [lower-alpha 11] | 0.9% | — | 4.0% | — | 4.5% | 45.9% | 3.3% |
Cifra [64] | 4–14 Aug 2022 | 704 | 17.5% | 8.9% | — | 9.9% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 7.7% [lower-alpha 12] | 3.0% | — | 2.8% | — | 2.8% [lower-alpha 8] | 33.8% | — |
Opción Consultores [58] | 23 May–1 Jun 2022 | 800 | 9% | 6% | [lower-alpha 13] | 8% | 5% | [lower-alpha 14] | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% [lower-alpha 8] | 62% | — |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | FA | PN | Und. | Blank/ Abs. | Lead | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orsi | Cosse | Delgado | Raffo | ||||||
Nómade [65] | 10–14 Apr 2024 | 1,042 | 53.4% | — | 46.6% | — | — | — | 7% |
— | 48.7% | 51.3% | — | — | — | 17% | |||
Equipos Consultores [66] | 15–27 Feb 2024 | 1,400 | 48% | — | 41% | — | 7% | 4% | 7% |
52% | — | — | 35% | 8% | 5% | 17% | |||
— | 42% | 44% | — | 8% | 6% | 2% | |||
— | 42% | — | 39% | 9% | 10% | 3% |
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