Ohio gubernatorial election, 2018

Last updated
Ohio gubernatorial election, 2018
Flag of Ohio.svg
  2014 November 6, 20182022 
  RMD-Offical-Headshot (cropped).jpg Richard Cordray official portrait (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee Mike DeWine Richard Cordray
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jon Husted Betty Sutton
Popular vote2,231,9172,067,847
Percentage50.4%46.7%

Ohio Governor Election Results by County, 2018.svg

Governor before election

John Kasich
Republican

Elected Governor

Mike DeWine
Republican

The 2018 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Ohio, concurrently with the election of Ohio's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various Ohio and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor John Kasich is term-limited and cannot seek reelection to a third consecutive term.

Ohio State of the United States of America

Ohio is a Midwestern state in the Great Lakes region of the United States. Of the fifty states, it is the 34th largest by area, the seventh most populous, and the tenth most densely populated. The state's capital and largest city is Columbus.

The three classes of United States Senators are made up of 33 or 34 Senate seats each. The purpose of the classes is to determine which Senate seats will be up for election in a given year. The three groups are staggered such that all senators in each of the groups are up for election every two years, rather than having all 100 seats up for election at once. For example, the 33 Senate seats of class 1 were up for election in 2018, the elections for the 33 seats of class 2 will take place in 2020, and the elections for the 34 seats of class 3 will be held in 2022.

United States House of Representatives lower house of the United States Congress

The United States House of Representatives is the lower chamber of the United States Congress, the Senate being the upper chamber. Together they compose the legislature of the United States.

The Republicans nominated Ohio Attorney General and former U.S. Senator Mike DeWine and the Democratic nominee is former Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Director and former Ohio Attorney General Richard Cordray. This was the second face off for DeWine and Cordray, following the 2010 election for Attorney General where DeWine won by 47.5% to 46.3%.

Ohio Attorney General attorney general for the U.S. state of Ohio

The Ohio Attorney General is the chief legal officer of the State of Ohio in the United States. The office is filled by general election, held every four years. The current Ohio Attorney General is Republican Dave Yost.

Mike DeWine Governor of Ohio

Richard Michael DeWine is an American politician serving as the 70th governor of Ohio. A member of the Republican Party, DeWine is a former United States Senator, elected in 1994 and reelected in 2000. In 2006, DeWine ran for reelection to a third term but lost to the Democratic nominee, U.S. Representative Sherrod Brown. DeWine had served as Lieutenant Governor of Ohio under George Voinovich from 1991 until 1994. In 2010, DeWine was elected Ohio Attorney General, defeating Democratic incumbent Richard Cordray, and was reelected for a second term in 2014. In the 2018 gubernatorial election, DeWine was elected Governor of Ohio, defeating Cordray in a rematch of their 2010 race.

Democratic Party (United States) Major political party in the United States

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Jon A. Husted American politician

Jon A. Husted is the 66th and current lieutenant governor of Ohio, since 2019. He was previously the 53rd Ohio Secretary of State. A member of the Republican Party, he previously represented the 6th District of the Ohio Senate from 2009 to 2011 and was a member of the Ohio House of Representatives from 2001 to 2009. From 2005 to 2009, Husted served as Speaker of the Ohio House of Representatives and remains one of the youngest people to ever become Ohio House Speaker.

Ohio Secretary of State elected statewide official in the State of Ohio

The Ohio Secretary of State is an elected statewide official in the State of Ohio. The Secretary of state is responsible for overseeing elections in the state; registering business entities and granting them the authority to do business within the state; registering secured transactions; and granting access to public documents.

Eliminated in primary

Mary Taylor (politician) American politician and businesswoman, incumbent Lieutenant Governor of Ohio, former Director of the Ohio Department of Insurance, former Auditor of Ohio

Mary Taylor is an American businesswoman and politician who served as the 65th lieutenant governor of Ohio from 2011 to 2019.

Withdrew

Jim Renacci American politician

James B. Renacci is an American accountant, businessman, and politician who served as the U.S. Representative for Ohio's 16th congressional district from 2011 to 2019. A Republican, he is a former city council president and two-term Mayor of Wadsworth, Ohio. Renacci was the unsuccessful Republican nominee in the 2018 United States Senate election in Ohio, losing to incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown.

Endorsements

Mike DeWine
U.S. Presidents
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States [8] (For the General Election Only)
U.S. Vice Presidents
  • Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States [9] (For the General Election Only)
Notable individuals
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
State representatives
County parties
State parties
Organizations
Newspapers
Jim Renacci (withdrawn)
Organizations
  • Asian American GOP Coalition [42]
  • Bikers for Trump [43]
  • Citizens for Trump [43]
Notable individuals
Mary Taylor
U.S. Senators
Governors
Lieutenant Governors
Statewide Officials
Notable Individuals
State Senators
State Representatives
County Parties
Party leaders
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
DeWine
Mary
Taylor
OtherUndecided
Baldwin Wallace University April 24 – May 2, 201832352%24%25%
Remington Research Group (R-Taylor) April 10, 20181,064± 3.1%42%32%26%
Fallon Research April 4–7, 2018502± 4.4%43%26%31%
SurveyUSA March 16–20, 2018541± 5.8%50%18%31%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) February 17, 20181,152± 3.0%61%39%
35%16%15%33%
Fallon Research January 16–19, 201828654%14%32%

Results

Results by county:
DeWine--70-80%
DeWine--60-70%
DeWine--50-60%
Taylor--50-60% Ohio gubernatorial Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
  DeWine—70–80%
  DeWine—60–70%
  DeWine—50–60%
  Taylor—50–60%
Republican primary results [64]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike DeWine494,76659.8
Republican Mary Taylor332,27340.2
Total votes827,039100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Failed to qualify for ballot

  • Jon Heavey, physician [77]
  • Dave Kiefer, former Wayne County Commissioner and Republican candidate for state representative in 2016 [78]

Withdrew

Endorsements

Richard Cordray
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
State Representatives
Mayors
City Council members
County officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Notable individuals
Newspapers
Dennis Kucinich
Organizations
Governors
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
County officials
City Council Members
Notable individuals
Newspapers
Joe Schiavoni
Political organizations
Labor unions
Notable individuals
Connie Pillich (withdrawn)
Governors
  • Ed Rendell, (former) Governor of Pennsylvania and (former) Democratic National Committee Chairman
State Representatives
Mayors
Notable individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Betty Sutton (withdrawn)
U.S. Representatives
Labor unions
Nan Whaley (withdrawn)
Mayors
City Council members
County officials
Labor unions
  • Dayton Building & Construction Trades Council [121]
  • IUE-CWA - International Union of Electronic, Electrical, Salaried, Machine and Furniture Workers [146]
  • Ohio State Council of Machinists [147]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Richard
Cordray
Dennis
Kucinich
Bill
O'Neill
Connie
Pillich
Joe
Schiavoni
OtherUndecided
Baldwin Wallace University April 24 – May 2, 201833331%15%6%6%41%
Fallon Research April 4–7, 2018500± 4.4%28%13%3%5%1% [upper-alpha 1] 51%
SurveyUSA March 16–20, 2018509± 5.3%21%21%4%5%3% [upper-alpha 2] 46%
Fallon Research January 16–19, 201824823%16%3%2%4%52%

Results

Results by county:
Cordray--70-80%
Cordray--60-70%
Cordray--50-60%
Cordray--40-50%
Schiavoni--40-50%
Schiavoni--60-70% Ohio gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county:
  Cordray—70–80%
  Cordray—60–70%
  Cordray—50–60%
  Cordray—40–50%
  Schiavoni—40–50%
  Schiavoni—60–70%
Democratic primary results [64]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Richard Cordray423,26462.3
Democratic Dennis Kucinich155,69422.9
Democratic Joe Schiavoni62,3159.2
Democratic Bill O'Neill22,1963.3
Democratic Paul Ray9,3731.4
Democratic Larry Ealy6,8961.0
Total votes679,738100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominated

  • Travis Irvine, filmmaker and writer [148]
    • Running mate: Todd Grayson [149]

Withdrew

  • Bruce Jaynes, entreprenuer
  • Stephen Quinn, student

Green primary

Gadell-Newton Constance Gadell-Newton Portrait.jpg
Gadell-Newton

Candidates

Nominated

  • Constance Gadell-Newton, attorney, co-chair of the Ohio Green Party and nominee for the State House in 2016 [150]
    • Running mate: Brett R. Joseph

General election

Candidates

Endorsements

Richard Cordray (D)
Former federal officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
State Representatives
Mayors
City Council members
County officials
Notable individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Mike DeWine (R)
Federal officials
Governors
U.S. Sentaors
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
State Representatives
Notable individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Debates

The first debate was held on September 19, 2018. It featured only half of the participants in this election. As a result of this a complaint has been filed by the Ohio Libertarian party. [183] The complaint alleges that hosting the September 19 debate amounted to an illegal campaign contribution to DeWine and Cordray from UD. [184]

Host
network/sponsors
LocationDateLink(s)Possible Participants
Richard
Cordray (D)
Mike
DeWine (R)
Travis Irvine (L)Constance Gadell-Newton (G)
WHIO-TV University of DaytonSeptember 19, 2018 [185] InvitedInvitedNot InvitedNot Invited
WCMH-TV Marietta CollegeOctober 1, 2018 [186] InvitedInvitedNot InvitedNot Invited
Ohio Debate CommissionCleveland State UniversityOctober 8, 2018 [187] InvitedInvitedNot InvitedNot Invited

[188]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [189] TossupSeptember 14, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [190] TossupNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [191] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [192] TossupSeptember 14, 2018
Daily Kos [193] TossupSeptember 5, 2018
Fox News [194] [lower-alpha 1] TossupOctober 10, 2018
Politico [195] TossupOctober 9, 2018
Governing [196] TossupOctober 2, 2018
The Washington Post [197] TossupOctober 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [198] Lean DOctober 17, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
DeWine
(R)
Richard
Cordray
(D)
Travis
Irvine
(L)
Constance
Gadell-
Newton (G)
OtherUndecided
Change Research November 2–4, 201892343%48%5%1%
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 2–4, 20181,948± 2.2%42%46%7%5%
Research Co. November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%44%44%2%10%
Cygnal (R) October 30–31, 2018503± 4.4%43%43%3%2%9%
Gravis Marketing October 29–30, 2018789± 3.5%43%48%9%
Emerson College October 26–28, 2018566± 4.3%46%49%2%3%
Baldwin Wallace University October 19–27, 20181,051± 3.8%39%39%4%2%16%
41%42%17%
Suffolk University October 4–8, 2018500± 4.4%40%46%2%0%0% [upper-alpha 3] 10%
Baldwin Wallace University September 8 – October 8, 20181,017± 3.5%40%37%4%3%15%
42%39%19%
University of Akron September 10 – October 4, 20181,000± 3.0%37%36%27%
Ipsos September 13–21, 20181,074± 3.0%45%44%2%9%
Triton Polling & Research (R) September 18–20, 20181,003± 3.1%49%44%8%
Marist College September 16–20, 2018564 LV± 5.0%44%44%3%3%<1%6%
47%47%1%6%
796 RV± 4.2%42%43%4%4%1%6%
47%47%1%6%
Baldwin Wallace University September 5–15, 20181,048± 3.6%42%37%21%
Morning Consult September 2–11, 20181,592± 2.0%39%38%23%
Change Research (D-Innovation Ohio) August 31 – September 4, 2018822± 3.0%45%43%6%3%
43%43%14%
TRZ Communications (R-WTPC) June 30 – July 10, 20181,485± 3.0%42%38%3%17%
Marist College June 17–22, 2018778± 4.4%46%42%2%11%
Quinnipiac University June 7–12, 20181,082± 3.7%40%42%2%14%
Suffolk University June 6–11, 2018500± 4.4%36%43%3%2%16%
America First Action (R) May 29–31, 2018400± 4.9%45%38%10%
Fallon Research May 21–25, 2018800± 3.5%40%34%1%3% [upper-alpha 4] 22%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) May 6–7, 2018618± 3.9%39%44%17%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) April 25–26, 2018770± 3.5%38%47%14%
SurveyUSA March 16–20, 20181,408± 3.5%47%39%14%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) January 22–23, 2018585± 4.1%45%44%11%
Fallon Research January 16–19, 2018801± 3.5%49%28%23%
Luntz Global June 12, 2017500± 4.4%55%31%14%

Results

Ohio gubernatorial election, 2018
PartyCandidateVotes%±
Republican Mike DeWine 2,231,917 50.39% -13.25%
Democratic Richard Cordray 2,067,84746.68%+13.65%
Libertarian Travis Irvine79,9851.81%N/A
Green Constance Gadell-Newton49,4751.12%-2.21%
Independent Renea Turner (write-in)1850.00%N/A
Independent Richard Duncan (write-in)1320.00%N/A
Independent Rebecca Ayres (write-in)410.00%N/A
Total votes4,429,582100.0%N/A
Republican hold

Notes

  1. Paul Ray 1%, Larry Ealy 0%
  2. Paul Ray 2%, Larry Ealy 1%
  3. Richard Duncan (write-in), Rebecca Ayers (write-in), and Renea Turner (write-in) with 0%
  4. Colin Hill (I) with 3%

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  158. Tim Ryan. "The Mahoning Valley is fired up and ready to elect @RichCordray and @BettySutton the next Governor and Lt. Governor of the great state of Ohio. Hardworking families have an ally in them. It's time to end the GOP's one party rule in Columbus". Twitter.
  159. Terry McAuliffe. "There's a lot at stake this election year in Ohio. We need leaders like @RichCordray elected as governor to fight for the people. If the other candidate wins 700k people will lose access to affordable health care. That's why I'm proud to be in Ohio today to support his candidacy". Twitter.
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