2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district special election

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2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district special election
Flag of Nebraska.svg
  2020 June 28, 2022 November 2022  

Nebraska's 1st congressional district
Turnout28.44% [1]
  Mike Flood 117th Congress (cropped).jpeg Patty Pansing Brooks (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mike Flood Patty Pansing Brooks
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote61,01754,783
Percentage52.69%47.31%

2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district special election results map by county.svg
Results by county
Flood:     50–60%     60–70%     80–90%
Brooks:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Flood
Republican

The 2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district special election, which was held on June 28, 2022, was triggered when Republican representative Jeff Fortenberry resigned on March 31, having been convicted of lying to the FBI about campaign contributions. [2] [3]

Contents

Under Nebraska state law, major party nominees for special elections are selected by the party through its executive committee or party convention, with the special election scheduled by Governor Pete Ricketts within 90 days after the seat's vacancy. [4] [5] [6]

The election came under some controversy over the discovery that it would be held in the new post-2020 redistricting Nebraska's 1st congressional district. While some Nebraska officials claimed that the new map took immediate effect when signed, this was not in line with congressional rules which only recognized pre-2020 redistricting boundaries for the rest of 2022. It also caused confusion among Nebraska residents wanting to vote in the election or receive constituent services, especially as congressional funds are not allowed to be spent outside the recognized old district boundaries. [7]

Against a backdrop of the Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization ruling four days before the election which overturned the landmark Roe v. Wade case on abortion, Republican nominee Mike Flood promoted his sponsorship of a 2010 Nebraska state law which banned abortions 20 weeks after fertilization in a campaign ad. Meanwhile, Democrat Patty Pansing Brooks highlighted her support for abortion rights, criticizing the Dobbs decision as an "assault on privacy" and "a step backward in American culture", and remarked that the election was the first instance where "we can fight back at the ballot box". [8] [9]

After a campaign described by the Norfolk Daily News as "mostly positive" with "lighthearted" ads, Flood declared victory at 10:23 pm CDT, two hours after polls closed, promising to fight inflation, for which he blamed the policies of the Biden administration.

In light of the competitiveness of the election, (early results had shown Flood trailing Pansing Brooks) Nebraska Democratic Party chair Jane Kleeb released a statement that the national Democratic Party needed to invest more in rural areas considered to be "unwinnable" and that Pansing Brooks "connected with voters". [10] [11]

Flood won a full term in November 2022 in a rematch with Pansing Brooks.

Candidates

The Democratic and Republican nominees were selected by their respective party's executive committee on April 5 and April 9, respectively. Mike Flood defeated John Glen Weaver through the party's secret ballot 24 to Weaver's 5 votes. [12]

Nominees

General election

Endorsements

Mike Flood (R)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State governors
Organizations
Patty Pansing Brooks (D)
U.S. Senators
State officials
State legislators
Municipal officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [28] Solid RApril 29, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [29] Safe RMarch 30, 2022
Politico [30] Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP [31] Safe RJune 9, 2022

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports
CandidateAmount raisedAmount spentCash on hand
Mike Flood (R)$1,382,863$1,383,509$1,090
Patty Pansing Brooks (D)$1,040,022$686,027$353,996
Source: OpenSecrets [32]

Results

Pansing Brooks's vote share was boosted by a higher-than-expected turnout in Lancaster County, home to state capital Lincoln, where she served as state senator, with the second-highest turnout of all counties. [1] She also came within a five-point margin of winning the suburban Omaha county of Sarpy. Meanwhile, Flood's victory was the result of him winning more rural counties in the district. [33] Pansing Brooks's outperformance of Biden in the district, in spite of being outspent by Flood, prompted some Democratic strategists to paint the results as a moral victory in a "post-Roe" era. [9] [34] In reaction to the results, Flood acknowledged the need for him to increase his support in the Lincoln area and suburban Omaha. [9]

2022 Nebraska's 1st congressional district special election [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Mike Flood 61,017 52.69 −6.83
Democratic Patty Pansing Brooks 54,78347.31+9.64
Total votes115,800 100.00
Republican hold
By county
County Mike Flood
Republican
Patty Pansing Brooks
Democratic
MarginTotal
votes
Turnout
#%#%#%
Butler 1,18582.1225817.8892764.241,44325.63
Cass 2,75364.441,51935.561,23428.894,27222.52
Colfax 84785.3014614.7070170.6099318.93
Cuming 1,16483.6222816.3893667.241,39223.91
Dodge 3,44064.631,88335.371,55729.255,32324.17
Lancaster 31,05443.0441,10456.9610,05013.9372,15836.09
Madison 4,75984.3688215.643,87768.735,64125.79
Platte 4,37983.5286416.483,51567.045,24325.59
Polk 38782.528217.4830565.0446927.41
Sarpy (part)7,48352.656,72947.357545.3114,21215.75
Seward 1,94669.0687230.941,07438.022,81824.70
Stanton 1,62088.2421611.761,40476.481,83648.46
Totals61,01752.6954,78347.316,2345.38115,80028.44

See also

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References

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