37.1 (Niger) 30 to 34.9 25 to 29.9 20 to 24.9 | 15 to 19.9 10 to 14.9 5 to 9.9 0 to 4.9 | -5 to -0.1 -10 to -5.1 -12.6 (Ukraine) No data |
The rate of natural increase (RNI) is the birth rate minus the death rate. It is typically expressed either as a number per 1,000 individuals in the population or as a percentage. RNI can be either positive or negative. It contrasts to total population change by ignoring net migration.
Rates are CIA World Factbook estimates of the number of births or deaths in 2024 per 1,000 people. These are also known as crude birth or death rates. The natural increase rate is calculated from the birth and death rates.
| Location | Rate per 1,000 people | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Natural increase | Crude births [1] | Crude deaths [2] | |
| 37.1 | 46.6 | 9.5 | |
| 34.9 | 39.6 | 4.7 | |
| 33.5 | 41.1 | 7.6 | |
| 32.7 | 40.3 | 7.6 | |
| 31.9 | 40 | 8.1 | |
| 31.6 | 39.2 | 7.6 | |
| 30.2 | 39.2 | 9 | |
| 28.9 | 34.6 | 5.7 | |
| 28.8 | 36 | 7.2 | |
| 28.2 | 34.1 | 5.9 | |
| 27.5 | 36.4 | 8.9 | |
| 27.5 | 32.5 | 5 | |
| 27.5 | 35.3 | 7.8 | |
| 27.3 | 34.7 | 7.4 | |
| 27 | 33.1 | 6.1 | |
| 26.9 | 36.5 | 9.6 | |
| 26.2 | 37.4 | 11.2 | |
| 25.8 | 30.9 | 5.1 | |
| 25.4 | 33.8 | 8.4 | |
| 25.3 | 30.2 | 4.9 | |
| 24.6 | 31.9 | 7.3 | |
| 24.5 | 27.8 | 3.3 | |
| 24.2 | 29.7 | 5.5 | |
| 24.1 | 32.4 | 8.3 | |
| 23.9 | 26.8 | 2.9 | |
| 23.9 | 28.7 | 4.8 | |
| 23.8 | 29.6 | 5.8 | |
| 22.7 | 28.1 | 5.4 | |
| 22.4 | 34.2 | 11.8 | |
| 22.3 | 28.8 | 6.5 | |
| 22.1 | 26.6 | 4.5 | |
| 21.8 | 30.8 | 9 | |
| 21.8 | 27.6 | 5.8 | |
| 21.7 | 27.6 | 5.9 | |
| 21.7 | 27.3 | 5.6 | |
| 21.1 | 25.8 | 4.7 | |
| 20.7 | 25.6 | 4.9 | |
| 20.7 | 26.7 | 6 | |
| 20.6 | 31.9 | 11.3 | |
| 20.2 | 27.5 | 7.3 | |
| 20.2 | 25.7 | 5.5 | |
| 20.1 | 29 | 8.9 | |
| 20 | 27.2 | 7.2 | |
| 19.8 | 26.3 | 6.5 | |
| 19.8 | 23.7 | 3.9 | |
| 19.6 | 25.5 | 5.9 | |
| 19.3 | 25 | 5.7 | |
| 18.7 | 22.2 | 3.5 | |
| 18.1 | 22 | 3.9 | |
| 17.9 | 21.1 | 3.2 | |
| 17.9 | 23.4 | 5.5 | |
| 17.7 | 21.7 | 4 | |
| 17.2 | 24.3 | 7.1 | |
| 16.9 | 21.2 | 4.3 | |
| 16.8 | 20.8 | 4 | |
| 16.8 | 20.3 | 3.5 | |
| 16.5 | 21.4 | 4.9 | |
| 15.9 | 22.1 | 6.2 | |
| 15.8 | 20.2 | 4.4 | |
| 15.4 | 20.5 | 5.1 | |
| 15.2 | 21.6 | 6.4 | |
| 15.2 | 19.5 | 4.3 | |
| 15.2 | 17.5 | 2.3 | |
| 14.8 | 21.8 | 7 | |
| 14.7 | 19.7 | 5 | |
| 14.5 | 19.9 | 5.4 | |
| 14.2 | 22 | 7.8 | |
| 13.9 | 19.1 | 5.2 | |
| 13.9 | 21.2 | 7.3 | |
| 13.7 | 20.2 | 6.5 | |
| 13.6 | 19.8 | 6.2 | |
| 13.6 | 17.8 | 4.2 | |
| 13.4 | 18.8 | 5.4 | |
| 12.9 | 22.3 | 9.4 | |
| 12.8 | 19.7 | 6.9 | |
| 12.7 | 18.7 | 6 | |
| 12.7 | 17.7 | 5 | |
| 12.5 | 18.2 | 5.7 | |
| 12.2 | 17.9 | 5.7 | |
| 12.1 | 22.9 | 10.8 | |
| 12 | 18.1 | 6.1 | |
| 11.9 | 15.8 | 3.9 | |
| 11.8 | 17.3 | 5.5 | |
| 11.7 | 17.4 | 5.7 | |
| 11.4 | 17 | 5.6 | |
| 11.3 | 16.4 | 5.1 | |
| 11.2 | 17.1 | 5.9 | |
| 11 | 17.6 | 6.6 | |
| 11 | 15.9 | 4.9 | |
| 10.8 | 16.8 | 6 | |
| 10.8 | 15.1 | 4.3 | |
| 10.8 | 17.7 | 6.9 | |
| 10.7 | 19.6 | 8.9 | |
| 10.5 | 17.7 | 7.2 | |
| 10.2 | 17.3 | 7.1 | |
| 10.2 | 16.8 | 6.6 | |
| 10.2 | 16.7 | 6.5 | |
| 10.1 | 13.6 | 3.5 | |
| 10 | 15.7 | 5.7 | |
| 9.7 | 16.7 | 7 | |
| 9.4 | 15.9 | 6.5 | |
| 9.4 | 15.3 | 5.9 | |
| 9.4 | 13 | 3.6 | |
| 9.4 | 15.7 | 6.3 | |
| 9.4 | 12.2 | 2.8 | |
| 9.2 | 14.9 | 5.7 | |
| 9.1 | 14.9 | 5.8 | |
| 9.1 | 13.9 | 4.8 | |
| 9.1 | 17.2 | 8.1 | |
| 9 | 14.3 | 5.3 | |
| 9 | 10.7 | 1.7 | |
| 8.5 | 14.9 | 6.4 | |
| 8.4 | 15.7 | 7.3 | |
| 8.4 | 14.2 | 5.8 | |
| 8.2 | 14.9 | 6.7 | |
| 8.1 | 15.6 | 7.5 | |
| 8 | 14.8 | 6.8 | |
| 7.9 | 15.2 | 7.3 | |
| 7.8 | 14.3 | 6.5 | |
| 7.8 | 13.8 | 6 | |
| 7.8 | 9.2 | 1.4 | |
| 7.7 | 13.8 | 6.1 | |
| 7.5 | 13.1 | 5.6 | |
| 7.2 | 14.4 | 7.2 | |
| 7.2 | 13 | 5.8 | |
| 7.1 | 11.8 | 4.7 | |
| 7.1 | 16.2 | 9.1 | |
| 7.1 | 13.5 | 6.4 | |
| 7 | 14.5 | 7.5 | |
| 7 | 12.6 | 5.6 | |
| 6.9 | 14.9 | 8 | |
| 6.3 | 14.9 | 8.6 | |
| 6.2 | 13.2 | 7 | |
| 6 | 12.6 | 6.6 | |
| 5.9 | 11.9 | 6 | |
| 5.8 | 12.4 | 6.6 | |
| 5.8 | 11.8 | 6 | |
| 5.8 | 16.7 | 10.9 | |
| 5.8 | 12.2 | 6.4 | |
| 5.7 | 12.6 | 6.9 | |
| 5.5 | 10.8 | 5.3 | |
| 5.4 | 11.5 | 6.1 | |
| 5.4 | 10.9 | 5.5 | |
| 5.4 | 12.2 | 6.8 | |
| 5.2 | 13.3 | 8.1 | |
| 5 | 13.7 | 8.7 | |
| 4.9 | 13.3 | 8.4 | |
| 4.9 | 12.3 | 7.4 | |
| 4.8 | 11.8 | 7 | |
| 4.8 | 11.2 | 6.4 | |
| 4.5 | 8.8 | 4.3 | |
| 4.5 | 11.6 | 7.1 | |
| 4.4 | 11.8 | 7.4 | |
| 4.4 | 12.2 | 7.8 | |
| 4.3 | 13.5 | 9.2 | |
| 4.2 | 11.9 | 7.7 | |
| 4 | 13.2 | 9.2 | |
| 4 | 12.9 | 8.9 | |
| 3.7 | 12.2 | 8.5 | |
| 3.7 | 11.1 | 7.4 | |
| 3.7 | 8.6 | 4.9 | |
| 3.5 | 12.6 | 9.1 | |
| 3.2 | 11.6 | 8.4 | |
| 3.2 | 10.2 | 7 | |
| 3.1 | 11.4 | 8.3 | |
| 2.8 | 11.6 | 8.8 | |
| 2.7 | 12.1 | 9.4 | |
| 2.6 | 10.7 | 8.1 | |
| 2.5 | 10.2 | 7.7 | |
| 2.1 | 10.3 | 8.2 | |
| 2 | 10.4 | 8.4 | |
| 1.9 | 11.1 | 9.2 | |
| 1.9 | 10.5 | 8.6 | |
| 1.9 | 9.9 | 8 | |
| 1.8 | 10 | 8.2 | |
| 1.7 | 11.3 | 9.6 | |
| 1.6 | 10.8 | 9.2 | |
| 1.6 | 10.9 | 9.3 | |
| 1.6 | 10.1 | 8.5 | |
| 1.3 | 10.8 | 9.5 | |
| 1.1 | 10.7 | 9.6 | |
| 1 | 9.3 | 8.3 | |
| 0.9 | 10.9 | 10 | |
| 0.9 | 10.6 | 9.7 | |
| 0.9 | 10.5 | 9.6 | |
| 0.8 | 9.8 | 9 | |
| 0.6 | 10.9 | 10.3 | |
| 0.6 | 10.2 | 9.6 | |
| 0.6 | 9.4 | 8.8 | |
| 0.5 | 9.7 | 9.2 | |
| 0.4 | 9.9 | 9.5 | |
| 0.2 | 10.4 | 10.2 | |
| 0.1 | 9 | 8.9 | |
| -0.2 | 9.3 | 9.5 | |
| -0.2 | 10.2 | 10.4 | |
| -0.4 | 7 | 7.4 | |
| -0.5 | 7.6 | 8.1 | |
| -0.6 | 9.3 | 9.9 | |
| -0.8 | 7.3 | 8.1 | |
| -1.2 | 10 | 11.2 | |
| -1.2 | 6.9 | 8.1 | |
| -1.3 | 12 | 13.3 | |
| -2.1 | 8.2 | 10.3 | |
| -2.2 | 9.8 | 12 | |
| -2.4 | 7.8 | 10.2 | |
| -2.5 | 8 | 10.5 | |
| -2.9 | 8 | 10.9 | |
| -2.9 | 7.1 | 10 | |
| -3.1 | 8.9 | 12 | |
| -3.8 | 8.4 | 12.2 | |
| -4.1 | 7.1 | 11.2 | |
| -4.6 | 8.5 | 13.1 | |
| -4.6 | 7.4 | 12 | |
| -4.6 | 6.5 | 11.1 | |
| -5 | 8.3 | 13.3 | |
| -5 | 8.2 | 13.2 | |
| -5 | 6.9 | 11.9 | |
| -5.3 | 6.4 | 11.7 | |
| -5.4 | 9.1 | 14.5 | |
| -5.6 | 8.4 | 14 | |
| -5.8 | 8.4 | 14.2 | |
| -6.1 | 8.8 | 14.9 | |
| -6.1 | 8.5 | 14.6 | |
| -6.3 | 8.9 | 15.2 | |
| -6.3 | 7.9 | 14.2 | |
| -6.4 | 8.3 | 14.7 | |
| -12.6 | 6 | 18.6 | |
The table below assembles history and projections for the major regions shown. The numbers show total births minus total deaths per 1,000 population for the region for each time period. The first four columns show actual rate of natural increase. The remaining columns show projections using the medium fertility variant. All numbers are from the UN Population Division. [3]
| Region | 1950– | 1970– | 1990– | 2010– | 2015– | 2025– | 2035– | 2045– |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World | +17.8 | +19.5 | +15.2 | +11.9 | +10.9 | +8.7 | +7.0 | +5.6 |
| Africa | +21.5 | +27.4 | +26.1 | +26.4 | +25.3 | +22.8 | +20.6 | +18.1 |
| Asia | +19.3 | +22.8 | +16.4 | +10.7 | +9.3 | +6.3 | +3.8 | +1.8 |
| Europe | +10.3 | +5.5 | +0.3 | −0.1 | −0.7 | −2.1 | −2.8 | −3.2 |
| Latin America & The Caribbean | +27.1 | +25.8 | +19.0 | +11.9 | +10.4 | +7.5 | +4.9 | +2.8 |
| Northern America | +14.9 | +6.4 | +6.6 | +4.2 | +4.2 | +3.5 | +2.0 | +1.1 |
| Oceania | +15.7 | +14.5 | +12.2 | +10.5 | +9.7 | +8.0 | +6.4 | +5.3 |