2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election

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2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election
Flag of Minnesota (1983-2024).svg
  2020 August 9, 2022 November 2022  

Minnesota's 1st congressional district
Turnout29.5% [1]
  Brad Finstad 117th Congress (cropped).jpeg No image.svg
Nominee Brad Finstad Jeff Ettinger
Party Republican Democratic (DFL)
Popular vote59,78855,155
Percentage50.7%46.8%

2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election results map by county.svg
2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election results by precinct.svg

U.S. Representative before election

Jim Hagedorn
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brad Finstad
Republican

The 2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election was a special election held on August 9, 2022. The seat became vacant when incumbent Republican representative Jim Hagedorn died on February 17, 2022, from kidney cancer. [2] [3]

Contents

A primary was held on May 24, 2022, with the special election being held eleven weeks later, on August 9, alongside state primaries for other races. [4] [5] [6] The special election was won by Republican Brad Finstad by a margin of 3.9%.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Former Minnesota GOP chair Jennifer Carnahan finished third in the primary. Jennifer Carnahan.png
Former Minnesota GOP chair Jennifer Carnahan finished third in the primary.

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Jennifer Carnahan

Individuals

Brad Finstad

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Jeremy Munson

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Organizations

Nels Pierson

State legislators

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jennifer
Carnahan
Brad
Finstad
Jeremy
Munson
OtherUndecided
National Journal Hotline [35] [upper-alpha 1] April 13–14, 2022287 (LV)± 5.7%37%9%20%14%20%

Results

Results by county:
Finstad--70-80%
Finstad--50-60%
Finstad--40-50%
Finstad--<40%
Munson--40-50%
Munson--50-60%
Munson--60-70%
Benda--40-50% 2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Finstad—70–80%
  Finstad—50–60%
  Finstad—40–50%
  Finstad—<40%
  Munson—40–50%
  Munson—50–60%
  Munson—60–70%
  Benda—40–50%
Republican primary results [36]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brad Finstad 13,695 38.12
Republican Jeremy Munson 13,26836.93
Republican Jennifer Carnahan 2,8878.04
Republican Matt Benda2,6297.32
Republican Nels Pierson 1,8785.22
Republican Kevin Kocina9602.67
Republican Bob Carney Jr.1930.54
Republican Roger Ungemach1510.42
Republican J. R. Ewing1420.40
Republican Ken Navitsky1270.35
Total votes35,930 100.00

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

UMN Law School professor Richard Painter finished third in the primary. Richard Painter MSNBC YouTube 2017.png
UMN Law School professor Richard Painter finished third in the primary.

Declined

Endorsements

Jeff Ettinger

State legislators

  • Kathy Brynaert, former state representative for the 19B district (2013–2015) and the 23B district (2007–2013) [21]
  • Jack Considine, former state representative for the 19B district (2015–2021) [21]
  • Gene Pelowski, state representative for the 28A district (2013–present), the 31A district (2003–2013), the 32A district (1993–2003), and the 34B district (1987–1993) [21]
  • Jeanne Poppe, former state representative for the 27B district (2005–2021) [21]
  • Dan Sparks, former state senator for the 27th district (2003–2021) [21]

Local officials

Organizations

Richard Painter

U.S. representatives

Results

Results by county:
Ettinger-->90%
Ettinger--70-80%
Ettinger--60-70%
Ettinger--50-60%
Ettinger--40-50% 2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Ettinger—>90%
  Ettinger—70–80%
  Ettinger—60–70%
  Ettinger—50–60%
  Ettinger—40–50%
Democratic (DFL) primary results [36]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic (DFL) Jeff Ettinger 12,130 64.44
Democratic (DFL) Sarah Brakebill-Hacke2,49213.24
Democratic (DFL) Richard Painter 1,7189.13
Democratic (DFL) Candice Deal-Bartell1,1586.15
Democratic (DFL) James Rainwater4462.37
Democratic (DFL) Richard DeVoe3792.01
Democratic (DFL) Warren Anderson3631.93
Democratic (DFL) George Kalberer1370.73
Total votes18,823 100.00

Candidate

Nominee

Results

Legal Marijuana Now primary results [36]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Legal Marijuana Now Richard B. Reisdorf 363 100.00
Total votes363 100.00

Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Haroun McClellan, attorney and contracts manager [38]

Results

Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary results [36]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Grassroots—LC Haroun McClellan 194 100.00
Total votes194 100.00

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [47] Likely RJuly 19, 2022
Inside Elections [48] Solid RApril 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Safe RFebruary 23, 2022

Endorsements

Brad Finstad (R)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Jeff Ettinger (DFL)

State officials

State legislators

  • Kathy Brynaert, former state representative for the 19B district (2013–2015) and the 23B district (2007–2013) [21]
  • Jack Considine, former state representative for the 19B district (2015–2021) [21]
  • Gene Pelowski, state representative for the 28A district (2013–present), the 31A district (2003–2013), the 32A district (1993–2003), and the 34B district (1987–1993) [21]
  • Jeanne Poppe, former state representative for the 27B district (2005–2021) [21]
  • Dan Sparks, former state senator for the 27th district (2003–2021) [21]

Local officials

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Brad
Finstad (R)
Jeff
Ettinger (DFL)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA [52] July 26–30, 2022544 (LV)± 4.7%46%38%7%8%
Expedition Strategies (D) [53] [upper-alpha 2] June 6–9, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%48%47%5%

Results

2022 Minnesota's 1st congressional district special election [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Brad Finstad 59,788 50.71% +2.12%
Democratic (DFL) Jeff Ettinger 55,15546.78%+1.26%
Legal Marijuana Now Richard Reisdorf1,5361.30%N/A
Grassroots—LC Haroun McClellan8650.73%−5.08%
Write-in 5480.46%+0.40%
Total votes117,892 100.0%
Republican hold
By county
County Brad Finstad
Republican
Jeff Ettinger
DFL
Richard Reisdorf
LMN
Haroun McClellan
G–LC
MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%
Blue Earth 4,28442.685,50154.811671.66850.85−1,217−12.1310,037
Brown 3,69269.091,57929.55480.90250.472,11339.545,344
Cottonwood (part)32279.907518.6151.2410.2524761.29403
Dodge 2,01162.881,13835.58270.84220.6987327.303,198
Faribault 1,45565.9971832.56190.86130.5973733.422,205
Fillmore 2,53755.311,97242.99410.89370.8156512.324,587
Freeborn 3,74657.192,61539.921231.88661.011,13117.276,550
Houston 1,74954.061,42744.11361.11230.713229.953,235
Jackson 1,11769.3846628.94211.3060.3765140.431,610
Le Sueur 2,92960.291,76036.231122.31571.171,16924.064,858
Martin 2,14369.2489728.98300.97250.811,24640.263,095
Mower 2,83742.463,73155.84630.94510.76−894−13.386,682
Nicollet 2,99546.013,35651.55991.52600.92−361−5.556,510
Nobles 1,37770.0454727.82251.27170.8683042.221,966
Olmsted 13,55040.5319,28757.703891.162030.61−5,737−17.1633,429
Rice (part)3,15059.501,96737.161122.12651.231,13821.505,294
Rock 96067.2345231.6590.6370.4950835.571,428
Steele 3,10456.982,25141.32601.10330.6185315.665,448
Waseca 1,77162.8999535.33351.24150.5377627.562,816
Watonwan 1,25566.5160231.90191.01110.5865334.611,887
Winona 3,30844.304,00553.641091.46450.60−697−9.337,467
Totals60,29251.0755,34146.881,5491.318670.734,9514.19118,049

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. Poll sponsored by Carnahan's campaign
  2. This poll was sponsored by Ettinger's campaign

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References

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  53. Expedition Strategies (D)

Official campaign websites