2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election

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2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election
Flag of Florida.svg
  2020 January 11, 2022 [1] November 2022  

Florida's 20th congressional district
  Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick - 117th Congress.jpg No image.svg
Nominee Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick Jason Mariner
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote44,70710,966
Percentage79.0%19.4%

2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election results map by county.svg
County results
Cherfilus-McCormick:     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Alcee Hastings
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Democratic

The 2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election was a special election to the United States House of Representatives. The seat had been vacant since incumbent Democratic representative Alcee Hastings died on April 6, 2021, of pancreatic cancer. [2]

Contents

The special election was scheduled by Governor Ron DeSantis to be held on January 11, 2022. The primary elections were held on November 2, 2021. [1]

Democratic primary

Campaign

Following Hastings' death, 11 Democratic candidates made the primary ballot to replace him. [3]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

Declined

Debates

A two-part debate was held on September 15, 2021. [14] [15]

2022 Florida's 20th congressional district Democratic primary debates
 No.Date & timeHostModeratorLinkParticipants
Key:
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   W Withdrawn
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick Bobby DuBose Omari Hardy Dale Holness Barbara Sharief Priscilla Taylor Perry Thurston Jr.
1 [16]  October 24, 2021 WPBF Todd McDermott [17] PAPPPAP

Endorsements

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Dale Holness
Barbara Sharief

U.S. representatives

County officials

Newspapers and publications

Organizations

Perry E. Thurston Jr.

State legislators

County officials

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Sheila
Cherfilus-McCormick
Bobby
DuBose
Omari
Hardy
Dale
Holness
Barbara
Sharief
Priscilla
Taylor
Perry
Thurston
OtherUndecided
Expedition Strategies (D) [37] [upper-alpha 1] October 20–24, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%15%6%5%14%13%2%10%2% [lower-alpha 2] 32%
Data for Progress (D) [38] July 6–7, 2021314 (LV)± 5.0%6%5%10%17%14%6%8%5% [lower-alpha 3] 29%
Public Policy Polling (D) [39] [upper-alpha 2] April 2021416 (LV)± 4.8%7%13%6%11%12% [lower-alpha 4] 50%
11%7%14%14% [lower-alpha 5] 53%
15%11%15%59%

Results

Per Florida law, because the margin separating Cherfilus-McCormick and Holness was less than 0.5%, a recount was held. [35] Ballots received by November 12 from overseas were accepted. The two candidates were two votes apart as some ballots that had been cast were still in dispute. [40] On November 12, over a week after the primary, the Broward County canvassing board declared Cherfilus-McCormick the winner after a recount failed to change the vote totals. However, Holness did not immediately concede, pointing out that the board had rejected twelve overseas military ballots. He said he would confer with a lawyer to decide whether or not to challenge the results. [41] The Palm Beach County canvassing board voted to certify the election results on the same day. [42] State officials certified the results on November 16. [43]

Cherfilus-McCormick won in Palm Beach County, receiving 30% of the vote. Meanwhile, Holness won in Broward County, where he serves as county commissioner, with 29% of the vote. [4] [44]

Results by county
Cherfilus-McCormick--30-40%
Holness--20%-30% 2022 United States House of Representatives Democratic Primary in Florida's 20th congressional district by county.svg
Results by county
  Cherfilus-McCormick—30-40%
  Holness—20%-30%
Democratic primary results [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick 11,662 23.76%
Democratic Dale Holness11,65723.75%
Democratic Barbara Sharief 8,68017.69%
Democratic Perry E. Thurston Jr. 7,28214.84%
Democratic Bobby DuBose 3,4587.05%
Democratic Omari Hardy 2,9025.91%
Democratic Priscilla Taylor 1,6773.42%
Democratic Elvin Dowling6461.32%
Democratic Emmanuel Morel4540.93%
Democratic Phil Jackson3420.70%
Democratic Imran Siddiqui3160.64%
Total votes49,074 100.00%

Aftermath

Holness filed a lawsuit in Broward County Circuit Court on November 29 asking it to overturn the election results, alleging Cherfilus-McCormick to be "ineligible to hold office." The lawsuit asserts that Cherfilus-McCormick did not file proper financial paperwork and that her support for a universal basic income of $1,000 per month amounted to bribing voters. [46] [47] Holness claimed that voters had asked workers at polling places "where they collect the $1,000 from, so they expected to get $1,000." [48] Election lawyer and former state representative Juan-Carlos Planas described the lawsuit as a "Hail Mary pass" and doubted it would be successful. [46] Don James, an attorney for Holness, acknowledged that the challenge likely would not be resolved in time for the election. [49] Mail-in ballots for the special election with Cherfilus-McCormick listed as the Democratic nominee were sent out beginning on December 3. [50]

On December 6, Cherfilus-McCormick's attorneys filed a lengthy brief in response to the lawsuit that disputed its claims, calling it "a desperate attempt to overturn the will of the voters." In response to the allegation of bribery, the brief points out that promising monetary benefits to voters is common, comparing Cherfilus-McCormick's support for a universal basic income to "a chicken in every pot and a car in every garage," a slogan used by former president Herbert Hoover in his 1928 presidential campaign. The brief also claims that Holness's complaint was filed too late and is thus invalid, and asks the judge to dismiss it and order Holness to pay Cherfilus-McCormick's legal fees. [51] Ultimately, Holness's challenge fell flat, as no judge took up the case. [52]

Republican primary

Campaign

Two Republicans made the primary ballot, businessman Jason Mariner and Greg Musselwhite, who had been the Republican nominee for the seat in 2020. The two men cut different appearances on the campaign trail, with Mariner presenting himself in a clean-cut fashion while Musselwhite campaigned in a more folksy manner. [53] A substantial part of Mariner's campaign was based around his turning his life around after previously being imprisoned twice on various felony charges. [54] [55] Musselwhite attacked Mariner for his prior felony convictions, claiming in a later-deleted Facebook post that voters had a choice between "the correctional officer or the inmate". [53]

Mariner ran as an "America First conservative", [56] promoting false claims that the results of the 2020 presidential election were illegitimate, as well as making statements in support of the rioters at the 2021 U.S. Capitol attack and the Confederate Flag, which he defended as a "battle flag that was later co-opted by racist groups". [57]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Jason Mariner, businessman [4]

Eliminated in primary

  • Gregory "Greg" Musselwhite, welding inspector and nominee for this district in 2020 [4]

Disqualified

Endorsements

Jason Mariner

U.S. representatives

State officials

Newspapers and publications

Individuals

Results

Results by county
Mariner--50-60% 2022 United States House of Representatives Republican Primary in Florida's 20th congressional district by county.svg
Results by county
  Mariner—50–60%
Republican primary results [45]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jason Mariner 3,500 57.8%
Republican Gregory Musselwhite2,55242.2%
Total votes6,052 100.0%

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Declared

Independents

Declared

Disqualified

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [64] Solid DOctober 15, 2021
Inside Elections [65] Solid DJanuary 10, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [66] Safe DMay 20, 2021

Endorsements

Endorsements in bold were made after the primary elections.

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D)

State officials

County officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Jason Mariner (R)

U.S. representatives

State officials

Individuals

Declined to endorse

Newspapers and publications

Results

As expected by election prognosticators, Cherfilus-McCormick won the election by a landslide, winning 79% of the popular vote. [76] In spite of this, Mariner refused to concede, threatening to file a lawsuit to dispute the results. [76]

2022 Florida's 20th congressional district special election [77]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick 44,707 78.96% +0.29
Republican Jason Mariner10,96619.37%–1.95
Libertarian Mike ter Maat 3950.70%N/A
Independent Jim Flynn2650.47%N/A
Independent Lenny Serratore2620.46%N/A
Write-in Shelley Fain220.04%N/A
Total votes56,617 100.0%
Democratic hold
By county
County Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
Democratic
Jason Mariner
Republican
Mike ter Maat
Libertarian
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%#%
Broward (part)32,86782.746,22815.682520.633750.9426,63967.0639,722
Palm Beach (part)11,84070.084,73828.041430.851741.037,10242.0416,895
Totals44,70778.9610,96619.373950.705490.9733,74159.5956,617

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Jackson with 2%; Dowling, Morel, and Siddiqui with 0%
  3. "Another candidate" with 5%; Matt Boswell and Emmanuel Morel with 0%
  4. Bobby Powell with 9%; Shevrin Jones with 3%
  5. Bobby Powell with 10%; Shevrin Jones with 4%

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was commissioned by Pro-Israel America, which did not endorse any candidate.
  2. This poll was commissioned by a Democratic consultant expected to work in the race.

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  74. "Clear choice in state HD 88 race; not in U.S. District 20". www.palmbeachpost.com. The Palm Beach Post. December 22, 2021. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
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