2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia

Last updated

2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia
Flag of Georgia (U.S. state).svg
  2014 November 3, 2020 (first round)
January 5, 2021 (runoff)
2026  
Turnout65.4% Increase2.svg (first round)
61.5% Decrease2.svg (runoff)
  Jon Ossoff Senate Portrait 2021 (cropped).jpg David Perdue, Official Portrait, 114th Congress (cropped).jpg
Candidate Jon Ossoff David Perdue
Party Democratic Republican
First round2,374,519
47.95%
2,462,617
49.73%
Runoff 2,269,923
50.61%
2,214,979
49.39%

2020 United States Senate election in Georgia results map by county.svg
GA-2020-sen-general-districts.svg
GA Senate Regular 2020.svg
2020 United States Senate runoff election in Georgia results map by county.svg
GA-2020-sen-runoff-districts.svg
GA Senate Regular Runoff 2021.svg
Ossoff:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Perdue:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

U.S. senator before election

David Perdue
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jon Ossoff
Democratic

The 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, and on January 5, 2021 (as a runoff), to elect the Class II member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Jon Ossoff defeated incumbent Republican Senator David Perdue in the runoff election. The general election was held concurrently with the 2020 presidential election, as well as with other elections to the Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

No candidate received a majority of the vote during the general election on November 3, so the top two finishers—Perdue (49.7%) and Ossoff (47.9%)—advanced to a runoff election, held on January 5, 2021. The runoff was held concurrently with the special election for Georgia's other U.S. Senate seat (which had also advanced to a runoff), in which Republican incumbent Kelly Loeffler lost to Democratic nominee Raphael Warnock. After the general round of elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus 48 (including two independents who caucus with them). As a result, the two runoffs decided control of the Senate under the incoming Biden administration. By winning both seats, Democrats took control of the chamber, with Vice President Kamala Harris's tie-breaking vote giving them an effective majority. The extraordinarily high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide and globally. On January 6, 2021, most major news outlets projected Ossoff the winner, in the midst of the US Capitol riot. [1] [2] Perdue conceded the race on January 8. [3] [4] According to OpenSecrets, this campaign was the most expensive in U.S. Senate history, with over $468 million spent. [5] Ossoff's victory, along with Warnock's, gave the Democrats control of the Senate for the first time since 2015. Ossoff and Warnock became the first Democrats to be elected to the U.S. Senate from Georgia since Zell Miller in a 2000 special election.

Ossoff became the first Democrat elected to a full term in the Senate from Georgia since Max Cleland, who held this seat from 1997 to 2003, and the first Jewish member of the Senate from the state. [6] Ossoff became the youngest senator since Don Nickles won in 1980, and the youngest Democrat since Joe Biden won in 1972. Georgia election officials certified Ossoff's victory on January 19, 2021; he was sworn in on January 20. [7] Ossoff is the first Jewish senator from the Deep South since Benjamin F. Jonas of Louisiana, who was elected in 1878, and the first millennial United States senator. The two elections mark the first time since the 1994 United States Senate election in Tennessee and the concurrent special election that both Senate seats in a state have flipped from one party to the other in a single election cycle. This was also the first time the Democrats achieved this since West Virginia's 1958 Senate elections. With a margin of 1.2%, this election was also the closest race of the 2020 Senate election cycle.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrawn

  • James Jackson [9] [10]
  • Michael Jowers, veteran [9] [10]
  • Ervan Katari Miller, perennial candidate [9] [10]

Declined

Results

Republican primary results, June 9, 2020 [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Perdue (incumbent) 992,555 100.00%
Total votes992,555 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sarah Riggs
Amico
Jon
Ossoff
Teresa
Tomlinson
OtherUndecided
Landmark Communications [33] June 1, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%9%42%14%7% [a] 28%
Cygnal (R) [34] May 28–30, 2020510 (LV)± 4.3%8%49%16%4% [b] 24%
The Progress Campaign (D) [35] May 6–15, 20201,162 (LV)9%46%29%16% [c]
The Progress Campaign (D) [36] March 12–21, 2020913 (RV)± 4.6%18%34%21%27% [d]
University of Georgia [37] March 4–14, 2020807 (LV)± 3.4%15%31%16%39%

Head-to-head polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jon
Ossoff
Teresa
Tomlinson
Undecided
Cygnal (R) [34] May 28–30, 2020510 (LV)± 4.3%58%24%18%

Endorsements

Teresa Tomlinson

Federal officials

State officials

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Results

County results
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Ossoff
Ossoff--60-70%
Ossoff--50-60%
Ossoff--40-50%
Ossoff--30-40%
Ossoff--<30%
Ossoff/Riggs Amico tie
Ossoff/Riggs Amico tie--<30%
Tomlinson
Tomlinson--60-70%
Tomlinson--50-60%
Tomlinson--40-50%
Tomlinson--30-40%
Tomlinson--<30%
Riggs Amico
Riggs Amico--30-40%
Riggs Amico--<30%
Smith
Smith--30-40%
Smith--<30%
Knox
Knox--<30% Georgia U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2020.svg
County results
  Ossoff
  •   Ossoff—60–70%
  •   Ossoff—50–60%
  •   Ossoff—40–50%
  •   Ossoff—30–40%
  •   Ossoff—<30%
  Ossoff/Riggs Amico tie
  •   Ossoff/Riggs Amico tie—<30%
  Tomlinson
  •   Tomlinson—60-70%
  •   Tomlinson—50-60%
  •   Tomlinson—40-50%
  •   Tomlinson—30-40%
  •   Tomlinson—<30%
  Riggs Amico
  •   Riggs Amico—30-40%
  •   Riggs Amico—<30%
  Smith
  •   Smith—30-40%
  •   Smith—<30%
  Knox
  •   Knox—<30%

Almost four times as many Georgia voters participated in the 2020 Democratic Senate primary as in the 2016 primary, when only 310,053 votes were cast. [53]

Democratic primary results, June 9, 2020 [54]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Jon Ossoff 626,819 52.82%
Democratic Teresa Tomlinson 187,41615.79%
Democratic Sarah Riggs Amico139,57411.76%
Democratic Maya Dillard-Smith105,0008.85%
Democratic James Knox49,4524.17%
Democratic Marckeith DeJesus45,9363.87%
Democratic Tricia Carpenter McCracken32,4632.74%
Total votes1,186,660 100.00%

Other candidates

Hazel in 2018 Shane Hazel at GA-07 Debate (cropped).jpg
Hazel in 2018

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Independents

Withdrawn

General election

Debates

The first debate between Hazel, Ossoff, and Perdue occurred virtually [62] on October 12. [63]

A second debate between Ossoff and Perdue, held on October 28 [e] in Savannah and aired on television station WTOC-TV, [64] was more heated and made national headlines, with Ossoff saying that Perdue had claimed "COVID-19 was no deadlier than the flu", was "looking after [his] own assets, and ... portfolio", and that Perdue voted "four times to end protections for preexisting conditions". [65] Ossoff also called Perdue a "crook" and criticized him for "attacking the health of the people that [he] represent[s]". [66] Perdue said Ossoff will "say and do anything to my friends in Georgia to mislead them about how radical and socialist" his agenda is. [67] Video of the exchange went viral. [62] [66]

The next day, October 29, Perdue said he would not attend the third and final debate, previously scheduled to be broadcast on WSB-TV on November 1; instead Perdue decided to attend a rally with President Trump in Rome on the same day [68] —"as lovely as another debate listening to Jon Ossoff lie to the people of Georgia sounds", [67] according to a Perdue spokesman.

On December 6, Ossoff debated an empty podium as Perdue declined to participate in a Georgia Public Broadcasting-held debate. [69] Ossoff criticized Perdue's absence, accusing him of skipping the event because of the negative response to his performance in the October debates.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
DDHQ [70] TossupNovember 3, 2020
FiveThirtyEight [71] TossupNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [72] TossupOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [73] TossupNovember 2, 2020
RCP [74] TossupOctober 23, 2020
The Cook Political Report [75] TossupOctober 29, 2020
Economist [76] TossupNovember 2, 2020
Politico [77] TossupNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [78] TossupOctober 30, 2020

Endorsements

David Perdue (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

State officials

Organizations

Jon Ossoff (D)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

State officials

Local officials

Organizations

Unions

Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
David
Perdue

Republican
Jon
Ossoff

Democratic
Other/
Undecided
[f]
Margin
270 To Win [120] November 2, 2020November 3, 202046.2%47.4%6.4%Ossoff +1.2
Real Clear Politics [121] November 1, 2020November 3, 202046.3%47.0%6.7%Ossoff +0.7
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [g]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Jon
Ossoff (D)
Shane
Hazel (L)
Other /
Undecided
Landmark Communications [122] November 1, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%49%47%3%1% [h]
Swayable [123] October 27 – November 1, 2020407 (LV)± 6.4%49%48%3%
Data for Progress [124] October 27 – November 1, 20201,036 (LV)± 3%46%51%3%0% [i]
Emerson College [125] October 29–31, 2020749 (LV)± 3.5%49% [j] 51%3% [k]
Morning Consult [126] October 22–31, 20201,743 (LV)± 2.0%46%47%
Landmark Communications [127] October 28, 2020750 (LV)± 3.6%47%47%3%3% [l]
Public Policy Polling [128] October 27–28, 2020661 (V)44%47%3%6% [m]
Monmouth University [129] October 23–27, 2020504 (RV)± 4.4%46%49%2%2% [n]
504 (LV) [o] 47%49%
504 (LV) [p] 48%49%
Swayable [130] October 23–26, 2020342 (LV)± 7.2%49%48%3%
Civiqs/Daily Kos [131] October 23–26, 20201,041 (LV)± 3.4%46%51%2%2% [q]
YouGov/CBS [132] October 20–23, 20201,090 (LV)± 3.4%47%46%6% [r]
University of Georgia [133] October 14–23, 20201,145 (LV)± 4%45%46%4%5% [s]
Landmark Communications [134] October 21, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%50%45%
Citizen Data [135] October 17–20, 20201,000 (LV)± 3%41%47%12% [t]
Morning Consult [126] October 11–20, 20201,672 (LV)± 2.4%46%44%
Emerson College [136] October 17–19, 2020506 (LV)± 4.3%46%45%9% [u]
Siena College/NYT Upshot [137] October 13–19, 2020759 (LV)± 4.1%43%43%4%10% [v]
Opinion Insight (R) [138] [A] October 12–15, 2020801 (LV)± 3.46%45% [j] 45%8% [w]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) [139] [B] October 11–14, 2020600 (LV)43%48%6%3% [l]
Quinnipiac University [140] October 8–12, 20201,040 (LV)± 3.0%45%51%3% [x]
SurveyUSA [141] October 8–12, 2020677 (LV)± 5.7%46%43%11% [y]
Data for Progress [142] October 8–11, 2020782 (LV)± 3.5%43%44%1%10%
Morning Consult [143] October 2–11, 20201,837 (LV)± 2.3%46%42%
Public Policy Polling [144] October 8–9, 2020528 (V)± 4.3%43%44%4%9% [z]
Landmark Communications [145] October 7, 2020600 (LV)± 4%47%46%2%6% [m]
University of Georgia [146] September 27 – October 6, 20201,106 (LV)± 2.9%49%41%3%7% [aa]
Civiqs/Daily Kos [147] September 26–29, 2020969 (LV)± 3.5%46%48%3%3% [ab]
Hart Research Associates (D) [148] [C] September 24–27, 2020400 (LV)± 4.9%49%46%
Quinnipiac University [149] September 23–27, 20201,125 (LV)± 2.9%48%49%2% [ac]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [150] September 23–26, 2020789 (LV)± 3.49%42%47%12% [ad]
YouGov/CBS [151] September 22–25, 20201,164 (LV)± 3.4%47%42%10% [ae]
Monmouth University [152] September 17–21, 2020402 (RV)± 4.9%48%42%4%6% [af]
402 (LV) [o] 48%43%3%5% [s]
402 (LV) [p] 50%42%2%4% [ag]
Siena College/NYT Upshot [153] September 16–21, 2020523 (LV)± 4.9%41%38%5%16% [ah]
University of Georgia [154] September 11–20, 20201,150 (LV)± 4%47%45%4%5% [s]
Morning Consult [155] September 11–20, 20201,406 (LV)± (2% – 7%)43% [ai] 44%
Data For Progress (D) [156] September 14–19, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%43%41%2%14% [aj]
Morning Consult [157] September 8–17, 20201,402 (LV) [ak] ± (2% – 4%)43%43%
GBAO Strategies (D) [158] [D] September 14–16, 2020600 (LV)48%49%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [159] September 12–16, 2020800 (LV)± 3.46%43%43%14% [al]
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates [160] [E] August 30 – September 5, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%47%48%5% [am]
Opinion Insight/American Action Forum [161] [A] August 30 – September 2, 2020800 (LV)± 3.46%45% [j] 44%11% [an]
HarrisX (D) [162] [F] August 20–30, 20201,616 (RV)± 2.4%47%40%8%4% [ao]
Public Policy Polling [163] August 13–14, 2020530 (V)± 4.1%44%44%11% [ap]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) [164] [B] August 10–13, 2020601 (LV)± 4.0%46%48%6%
SurveyUSA [165] August 6–8, 2020623 (LV)± 5.3%44%41%14% [aq]
YouGov/CBS [166] July 28–31, 20201,101 (LV)± 3.4%45%43%13% [ar]
HIT Strategies (D) [167] [G] July 23–31, 2020400 (RV)± 4.9%39%42%19% [as]
Monmouth University [152] July 23–27, 2020402 (RV)± 4.9%49%43%1%7% [aa]
402 (LV) [o] 50%43%1%6% [m]
402 (LV) [p] 51%43%1%6% [m]
Morning Consult [168] July 17–26, 20201,337 (LV)± 3.0%45%42%12%
Spry Strategies (R) [169] [H] July 11–16, 2020700 (LV)± 3.7%46%44%10% [at]
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) [170] [B] July 9–15, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%44%45%11%
Gravis Marketing (R) [171] [I] July 2, 2020513 (LV)± 4.3%48%43%9%
Fox News [172] June 20–23, 20201,013 (RV)± 3.0%45%42%13% [au]
Public Policy Polling [173] June 12–13, 2020661 (V)± 3.4%44%45%11%
Civiqs/Daily Kos [174] May 16–18, 20201,339 (RV)± 3.1%45%47%7% [av]
The Progress Campaign (D) [35] [175] May 6–15, 20202,893 (LV)± 2.0%42%42%16%
BK Strategies (R) [176] [J] May 11–13, 2020700 (LV)± 3.7%46%41%13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [177] May 4–7, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%43%41%7%8% [aw]
Cygnal (R) [178] [179] [K] April 25–27, 2020591 (LV)± 4.0%45%39%16%
The Progress Campaign (D) [180] March 12–21, 20203,042 (RV)± 4.5%39%40%20%
Hypothetical polling

with Teresa Tomlinson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [g]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Teresa
Tomlinson (D)
Other /
Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos [174] May 16–181,339 (RV)±3.1%45%44%10% [ax]
The Progress Campaign (D) [35] [175] May 6–152,893 (LV)± 2%41%40%19%
The Progress Campaign (D) [180] March 12–213,042 (RV)± 4.5%40%39%21%

with Sarah Riggs Amico

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [g]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Sarah Riggs
Amico (D)
Other /
Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos [174] May 16–181,339 (RV)±3.1%45%42%13% [ay]

with Stacey Abrams

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [g]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Stacey
Abrams (D)
Other /
Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) [180] March 12–213,042 (RV)± 4.5%41%46%12%

with Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [g]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA [181] November 15–18, 20191,303 (LV)± 3.2%40%37%23%
University of Georgia [182] October 28–30, 20191,028 (RV)35.1%21.1%43.8%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [g]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other /
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D) [183] [L] March 17–19, 2019603 (LV)± 4.0%40%42%18%

Results

First round state senate district results GA Sen 2020 by State Senate districts.svg
First round state senate district results

No candidate received a majority of the vote on November 3, so the top two finishers—incumbent Republican senator David Perdue (49.7%) and Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff (47.9%)—advanced to a runoff election held on January 5, 2021. [184] [185]

Voters whose mail-in ballots were rejected were allowed to submit corrections until 5pm on November 6. [186] [187]

2020 United States Senate election in Georgia [188]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican David Perdue (incumbent) 2,462,617 49.73% −3.16%
Democratic Jon Ossoff 2,374,519 47.95% +2.74%
Libertarian Shane T. Hazel115,0392.32%+0.42%
Total votes4,952,175 100.0%

By congressional district

Perdue won 8 of 14 congressional districts in the general election. [189]

DistrictOssoffPerdueElected
Representative
1st 42.08%55.5% Buddy Carter
2nd 54.33%43.88% Sanford Bishop
3rd 35.53%62.21% Drew Ferguson
4th 77.77%20.11% Hank Johnson
5th 84.08%13.76% Nikema Williams
6th 51.32%46.4% Lucy McBath
7th 50.55%46.78% Carolyn Bourdeaux
8th 35.65%62.3% Austin Scott
9th 21.19%76.29% Andrew Clyde
10th 37.69%60.04% Jody Hice
11th 39.42%57.87% Barry Loudermilk
12th 41.72%56.12% Rick W. Allen
13th 74.64%23.13% David Scott
14th 24.65%72.66% Marjorie Taylor Greene

Runoff

The runoff election between Perdue and Ossoff was on January 5, 2021, [190] alongside the special election for the Georgia U.S. Senate seat held by Republican Kelly Loeffler.

Following the 2020 Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus 48. [191] Since Democrats won both Georgia runoffs, their caucus gained control of the Senate, as the resultant 50–50 tie is broken by Democratic vice president Kamala Harris. If the Democrats had lost either race, Republicans would have retained control of the Senate. [192] The high political stakes caused the races to attract significant nationwide attention. [193] [194] [195] These elections are the third and fourth Senate runoff elections to be held in Georgia since runoffs were first mandated in 1964, following runoffs in 1992 and 2008. [196] It is also the third time that both of Georgia's Senate seats have been up for election at the same time, following double-barrel elections in 1914 and 1932. [197]

The deadline for registration for the runoff election was December 7, 2020. Absentee ballots for the runoff election were sent out beginning on November 18, and in-person voting began on December 14. [198] [199] Ossoff's runoff campaign largely focused around accusing Perdue of corruption as well as aggressively courting Black voters in an attempt to drive up turnout, while Perdue characterised Ossoff as a socialist and accused him of having ties to the People's Republic of China. [200] Perdue's campaign was hampered by his refusal to state that Joe Biden had won that year's presidential election, which made it exceedingly difficult for him to argue that an Ossoff victory would create a Democratic trifecta. [201]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [202] TossupJanuary 4, 2021
Inside Elections [203] TossupDecember 14, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [204] TossupJanuary 5, 2021

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2020
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Jon Ossoff (D)$156,146,537$151,814,804$4,331,733
David Perdue (R)$102,722,245$90,354,529$12,414,00
Source: Federal Election Commission [205]

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
David
Perdue

Republican
Jon
Ossoff

Democratic
Undecided
[f]
Margin
270 To Win [206] Dec 30, 2020 – January 4, 2021January 4, 202147.4%50.2%2.4%Ossoff +2.8
RealClearPolitics [207] Dec 14, 2020 – January 4, 2021January 5, 202148.8%49.3%1.9%Ossoff +0.5
538 [208] Nov 9, 2020 – January 4, 2021January 5, 202147.4%49.1%3.5%Ossoff +1.8
Average47.9%49.5%2.6%Ossoff +1.7

This section also contains pre-runoff polls excluding all candidates except head-to-head matchups.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [g]
Margin
of error
David
Perdue (R)
Jon
Ossoff (D)
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R) [209] January 2–4, 20211,056 (LV)± 2.9%49%49%2%
AtlasIntel [210] January 2–4, 2021857 (LV)± 3%47%51%2%
InsiderAdvantage [211] January 3, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%49%49%3%
National Research Inc [212] January 2–3, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%45%46%9%
University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School [213] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021550 (LV)± 4%49%48%3%
Targoz Market Research [214] December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021713 (LV)± 3.7%50%50%0%
1,342 (RV)47%51%2%
AtlasIntel [215] December 25, 2020 – January 1, 20211,680 (LV)± 2%47%51%2%
Gravis Marketing [216] December 29–30, 20201,011 (LV)± 3.1%47%50%3%
JMC Analytics and Polling [217] December 28–29, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%45%53%2%
Trafalgar Group (R) [218] December 23–27, 20201,022 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%2%
Open Model Project [219] December 21–27, 20201,405 (LV)± 4.7%50%46%4%
InsiderAdvantage [220] December 21–22, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%49%48%3%
Mellman Group [221] December 18–22, 2020578 (LV)± 4.1%47%50%3%
Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research [222] December 14–22, 20201,027 (LV)± 4%43%42%15%
SurveyUSA [223] December 16–20, 2020600 (LV)± 5.1%46%51%3%
Trafalgar Group (R) [224] December 14–16, 20201,064 (LV)± 3.0%50%48%2%
Emerson College [225] December 14–16, 2020605 (LV)± 3.9%51%48%1%
InsiderAdvantage [226] December 14, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%49%48%3%
Wick [227] December 10–14, 20201,500 (LV)51%47%2%
RMG Research [228] December 8–14, 20201,417 (LV)± 2.6%47%49%4%
Baris/Peach State Battleground Poll [229] December 4–11, 20201,008 (LV)± 3.1%45%47%9%
Trafalgar Group (R) [230] December 8–10, 20201,018 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%2%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates [231] November 30 – December 4, 20201,250 (LV)± 3.2%46%48%6%
Trafalgar Group (R) [232] December 1–3, 20201,083 (LV)± 2.9%47%48%5%
SurveyUSA [233] November 27–30, 2020583 (LV)± 5.2%48%50%2%
RMG Research [234] November 19–24, 20201,377 (LV)± 2.6%47%48%5%
Data For Progress (D) [235] November 15–20, 20201,476 (LV)± 2.6%50%48%3%
InsiderAdvantage [236] November 16, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%49%49%2%
Remington Research Group [237] November 8–9, 20201,450 (LV)± 2.6%50%46%4%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) [139] [B] October 11–14, 2020600 (LV)45%50%5%
Data For Progress (D) [156] September 14–19, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%44%44%12%
Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [g]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [238] December 8–14, 20201,377 (LV)± 2.6%46% [az] 42%11% [ba]
Quinnipiac University [149] September 23–27, 20201,125 (LV)± 2.9%48%49%3%

Results

Ossoff won Washington and Baldwin counties in the runoff, after having lost them in the general election.

2021 United States Senate election in Georgia runoff [188]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Jon Ossoff 2,269,923 50.61% N/A
Republican David Perdue 2,214,97949.39%N/A
Total votes4,484,902 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

By county

By county
County [188] Jon Ossoff
Democratic
David Perdue
Republican
MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%
Appling 1,59821.955,68378.05-4,085-56.107,281
Atkinson 72027.221,92572.78-1,205-45.562,645
Bacon 55913.543,56986.46-3,010-72.924,128
Baker 63043.7880956.22-179-12.441,439
Baldwin 8,51551.787,93148.225843.5516,446
Banks 83611.226,61288.78-5,776-77.557,448
Barrow 9,27628.9322,78971.07-13,513-42.1432,065
Bartow 10,73524.9832,23975.02-21,504-50.0442,974
Ben Hill 2,18238.193,53161.81-1,349-23.615,713
Berrien 1,14117.085,53882.92-4,397-65.836,679
Bibb 39,71762.5823,74837.4215,96925.1663,465
Bleckley 1,19023.293,92076.71-2,730-53.425,110
Brantley 6159.296,00390.71-5,388-81.416,618
Brooks 2,45639.513,76060.49-1,304-20.986,216
Bryan 6,02032.3412,59667.66-6,576-35.3218,616
Bulloch 9,83237.6116,31162.39-6,479-24.7826,143
Burke 4,68649.374,80650.63-120-1.269,492
Butts 3,00429.437,20570.57-4,201-41.1510,209
Calhoun 1,20259.2182840.7937418.422,030
Camden 6,85634.5013,01565.50-6,159-30.9919,871
Candler 1,13428.972,78171.03-1,647-42.073,915
Carroll 14,59030.9432,57369.06-17,983-38.1347,163
Catoosa 6,00921.6421,75778.36-15,748-56.7227,766
Charlton 96624.702,94575.30-1,979-50.603,911
Chatham 72,30959.6448,93740.3623,37219.28121,246
Chattahoochee 60645.8471654.16-110-8.321,322
Chattooga 1,67320.336,55879.67-4,885-59.358,231
Cherokee 37,59629.4090,27670.60-52,680-41.20127,872
Clarke 32,90171.2013,31128.8019,59042.3946,212
Clay 72855.5358344.4714511.061,311
Clayton 91,01588.4311,90711.5779,10876.86102,922
Clinch 61525.061,83974.94-1,224-49.882,454
Cobb 201,00956.04157,65343.9643,35612.09358,662
Coffee 4,05830.719,15469.29-5,096-38.5713,212
Colquitt 3,71426.4310,33973.57-6,625-47.1414,053
Columbia 26,49736.7245,66763.28-19,170-26.5672,164
Cook 1,89430.514,31369.49-2,419-38.976,207
Coweta 21,52731.9945,77668.01-24,249-36.0367,303
Crawford 1,48627.703,87972.30-2,393-44.605,365
Crisp 2,68137.584,45462.42-1,773-24.857,135
Dade 1,13117.795,22782.21-4,096-64.426,358
Dawson 2,23015.5012,15984.50-9,929-69.014,389
Decatur 4,12741.085,91958.92-1,792-17.8410,046
DeKalb 291,66783.4957,67416.51233,99366.98349,341
Dodge 2,01128.025,16571.98-3,154-43.957,176
Dooly 1,80248.181,93851.82-136-3.643,740
Dougherty 22,74570.889,34629.1213,39941.7532,091
Douglas 40,39864.7721,97035.2318,42829.5562,368
Early 2,18247.962,36852.04-186-4.094,550
Echols 13010.951,05789.05-927-78.101,187
Effingham 7,14725.6820,68074.32-13,533-48.6327,827
Elbert 2,49331.115,52168.89-3,028-37.788,014
Emanuel 2,54730.495,80769.51-3,260-39.028,354
Evans 1,19832.062,53967.94-1,341-35.883,737
Fannin 2,37817.6811,07082.32-8,692-64.6313,448
Fayette 30,93845.9036,46354.10-5,525-8.2067,401
Floyd 10,67629.8325,10870.17-14,432-40.3335,784
Forsyth 36,93632.0678,26367.94-41,327-35.87115,199
Franklin 1,34514.637,84985.37-6,504-70.749,194
Fulton 350,34271.68138,41728.32211,92543.36488,759
Gilmer 2,66417.9712,16382.03-9,499-64.0714,827
Glascock 1349.821,23090.18-1,096-80.351,364
Glynn 13,97637.3223,47662.68-9,500-25.3737,452
Gordon 3,88119.0716,47180.93-12,590-61.8620,352
Grady 3,09933.226,22966.78-3,130-33.559,328
Greene 3,70334.876,91765.13-3,214-30.2610,620
Gwinnett 222,34660.11147,56339.8974,78320.22369,909
Habersham 3,16017.5314,87182.47-11,711-64.9518,031
Hall 21,88327.6957,15772.31-35,274-44.6379,040
Hancock 2,77572.341,06127.661,71444.683,836
Haralson 1,61013.2410,55386.76-8,943-73.5312,163
Harris 4,98627.2713,29772.73-8,311-45.4618,283
Hart 2,86925.608,33674.40-5,467-48.7911,205
Heard 78016.683,89583.32-3,115-66.634,675
Henry 68,23562.3841,14537.6227,09024.77109,380
Houston 29,60844.6036,77955.40-7,171-10.8066,387
Irwin 87724.252,73975.75-1,862-51.493,616
Jackson 6,78520.8325,79379.17-19,008-58.3532,578
Jasper 1,65424.325,14675.68-3,492-51.356,800
Jeff Davis 94718.624,13981.38-3,192-62.765,086
Jefferson 3,75254.173,17445.835788.356,926
Jenkins 1,17337.641,94362.36-770-24.713,116
Johnson 1,04429.222,52970.78-1,485-41.563,573
Jones 4,51733.888,81566.12-4,298-32.2413,332
Lamar 2,39530.05,58870.0-3,193-40.07,983
Lanier 90529.852,12770.15-1,222-40.303,032
Laurens 7,38936.5012,85563.50-5,466-27.020,244
Lee 4,22528.3710,66571.63-6,440-43.2514,890
Liberty 11,83064.596,48535.415,34529.1818,315
Lincoln 1,31131.092,90668.91-1,595-37.824,217
Long 1,79538.742,83861.26-1,043-22.514,633
Lowndes 17,36943.6022,46456.40-5,095-12.7939,833
Lumpkin 2,82020.5910,87779.41-8,057-58.8213,697
Macon 2,66462.491,59937.511,06524.984,263
Madison 3,07423.2910,12576.71-7,051-53.4213,199
Marion 1,21737.851,99862.15-781-24.293,215
McDuffie 3,73340.425,50259.58-1,769-19.169,235
McIntosh 2,39940.403,53959.60-1,140-19.205,938
Meriwether 4,01240.755,83359.25-1,821-18.509,845
Miller 65026.531,80073.47-1,150-46.942,450
Mitchell 3,54645.144,30954.86-763-9.717,855
Monroe 4,02728.5410,08471.46-6,057-42.9214,111
Montgomery 88425.122,63574.88-1,751-49.763,519
Morgan 3,09728.607,73071.40-4,633-42.7910,827
Murray 2,03615.6610,96384.34-8,927-68.6712,999
Muscogee 44,87562.7626,62637.2418,24925.5271,501
Newton 28,17757.7420,62042.267,55715.4948,797
Oconee 7,32231.1016,22068.90-8,898-37.8023,542
Oglethorpe 2,23730.974,98569.03-2,748-38.057,222
Paulding 27,08336.6246,87263.38-19,789-26.7673,955
Peach 5,33548.275,71751.73-382-3.4611,052
Pickens 2,54816.8212,60183.18-10,053-66.3615,149
Pierce 95612.066,97287.94-6,016-75.887,928
Pike 1,37214.248,26685.76-6,894-71.539,638
Polk 3,30522.2511,54677.75-8,241-55.4914,851
Pulaski 1,11830.362,56469.64-1,446-39.273,682
Putnam 3,16029.167,67670.84-4,516-41.6810,836
Quitman 46345.8054854.20-85-8.411,011
Rabun 1,78921.286,61878.72-4,829-57.448,407
Randolph 1,67256.451,29043.5538212.902,962
Richmond 53,56869.3623,66030.6429,90838.7377,228
Rockdale 29,46372.3811,24427.6218,21944.7640,707
Schley 43521.141,62378.86-1,188-57.732,058
Screven 2,40840.703,50959.30-1,101-18.615,917
Seminole 1,14732.792,35167.21-1,204-34.423,498
Spalding 10,96640.7315,95759.27-4,991-18.5426,923
Stephens 2,05820.507,97979.50-5,921-58.9910,037
Stewart 1,11561.8868738.1242823.751,802
Sumter 5,84752.795,23047.216175.5711,077
Talbot 1,94561.031,24238.9770322.063,187
Taliaferro 51360.7133239.2918121.42845
Tattnall 1,87225.945,34474.06-3,472-48.127,216
Taylor 1,35038.932,11861.07-768-22.153,468
Telfair 1,34835.062,49764.94-1,149-29.883,845
Terrell 2,25654.701,86845.303889.414,124
Thomas 7,64739.7811,57760.22-3,930-20.4419,224
Tift 4,72632.809,68167.20-4,955-34.3914,407
Toombs 2,51126.756,87773.25-4,366-46.519,388
Towns 1,39419.265,84280.74-4,448-61.477,236
Treutlen 84731.301,85968.70-1,012-37.402,706
Troup 10,50439.9515,78860.05-5,284-20.1026,292
Turner 1,30538.272,10561.73-800-23.463,410
Twiggs 1,87647.702,05752.30-181-4.603,933
Union 2,57018.1211,61381.88-9,043-63.7614,183
Upson 3,83334.307,34265.70-3,509-31.4011,175
Walker 4,89120.2519,26879.75-14,377-59.5124,159
Walton 11,58325.4633,90874.54-22,325-49.0845,491
Ware 3,70430.368,49869.64-4,794-39.2912,202
Warren 1,38756.241,07943.7630812.492,466
Washington 4,36851.214,16148.792072.438,529
Wayne 2,48822.198,72477.81-6,236-55.6211,212
Webster 55444.1870055.82-146-11.641,254
Wheeler 62731.211,38268.79-755-37.582,009
White 2,22216.7211,07183.28-8,849-66.5713,293
Whitfield 9,24529.1222,50170.88-13,256-41.7631,746
Wilcox 76326.792,08573.21-1,322-46.422,848
Wilkes 1,94943.032,58056.97-631-13.934,529
Wilkinson 1,96045.512,34754.49-387-8.994,307
Worth 2,22926.916,05373.09-3,824-46.178,282
Totals2,269,92350.612,214,97949.3954,9441.234,484,902

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic [239]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican [240]

By congressional district

Despite losing the statewide runoff, Perdue held onto the 8 congressional districts he had previously won in the general election. [241]

DistrictOssoffPerdueElected
Representative
1st 44.27%55.73% Buddy Carter
2nd 57.13%42.87% Sanford Bishop
3rd 37.7%62.3% Drew Ferguson
4th 81.06%18.94% Hank Johnson
5th 86.71%13.29% Nikema Williams
6th 52.59%47.41% Lucy McBath
7th 53.41%46.59% Carolyn Bourdeaux
8th 37.74%62.26% Austin Scott
9th 22.57%77.43% Andrew Clyde
10th 40.01%59.99% Jody Hice
11th 41.22%58.78% Barry Loudermilk
12th 43.92%56.08% Rick W. Allen
13th 78.21%21.79% David Scott
14th 26.39%73.61% Marjorie Taylor Greene

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 The American Action Forum is a 501 organisation which usually supports Republican candidates.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Ossoff's campaign.
  3. Poll sponsored by The Human Rights Campaign, which endorsed Biden before this poll's sampling period.
  4. Poll sponsored by Warnock's campaign for the 2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia.
  5. Poll sponsored by AARP.
  6. Poll sponsored by Matt Lieberman's campaign.
  7. This poll's sponsor, DFER, primarily supports Democratic candidates.
  8. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
  9. Poll is sponsored by OANN, a far-right political talkshow.
  10. This poll was sponsored by the Republican State Leadership Committee.
  11. Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus.
  12. Poll sponsored by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.

Voter samples and additional candidates

  1. "Another candidate" with 7.2%
  2. Knox with 1.5%; DeJesus and Smith with 1%; McCracken with 0.3%
  3. Listed as "other/undecided"
  4. Includes undecided
  5. Initially scheduled for October 19. [62]
  6. 1 2 Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  8. Undecided with 1%
  9. "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
  10. 1 2 3 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  11. "Someone else" with 3%
  12. 1 2 Undecided with 3%
  13. 1 2 3 4 Undecided with 6%
  14. "Other candidate" and "No one" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  15. 1 2 3 With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  16. 1 2 3 With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
  17. "Someone else" and Undecided with 1%
  18. "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 4%
  19. 1 2 3 Undecided with 5%
  20. "Other" with 5%; Undecided with 8%
  21. "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 6%
  22. "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 8%
  23. "Someone else" and did/would not vote with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
  24. "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  25. "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 8%
  26. Undecided with 9%
  27. 1 2 Undecided with 7%
  28. "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  29. "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
  30. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 9%
  31. "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 8%
  32. "Other" and "No one" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
  33. Undecided with 4%
  34. "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 16%
  35. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  36. Undecided with 14%
  37. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  38. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 3%; Undecided with 11%
  39. Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  40. Would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 9%
  41. Would not vote with 4%
  42. Undecided with 11%
  43. "Some other candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 10%
  44. "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 10%
  45. "Third party candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 14%
  46. "Another candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 6%
  47. Undecided with 8%; "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  48. "Someone else" with 4%; Undecided with 3%
  49. "Undecided" with 8%
  50. "Someone else" with 6%; Undecided with 4%
  51. "Someone else" with 8%; Undecided with 5%
  52. "It is more important for Republicans to have control of the Senate" as opposed to "It is more important for Democrats to have control of the Senate" with 46%
  53. "It does not matter which party has control of the Senate" with 7%; Undecided with 4%

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The 2020 Georgia Public Service Commission election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect two members to the Georgia Public Service Commission, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as both a regular and special election to the U.S. Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. While Republican incumbent appointee Jason Shaw defeated Democrat Robert Bryant for District 1, Republican incumbent Lauren "Bubba" McDonald was forced to a runoff against Democrat Daniel Blackman for District 4. While the runoff was initially scheduled for December 3, it was moved by Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to the January 5, 2021 runoff, alongside the runoff elections for both Senate seats.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Georgia state elections</span>

Several elections took place in the U.S. state of Georgia in 2022. The general election was held on November 8, 2022. A runoff election for one of Georgia's seats in the United States Senate was held on December 6, 2022. The runoff was scheduled because none of the candidates for Senate received 50% of the statewide vote in the general election. In addition to the Senate seat, all of Georgia's seats in the United States House of Representatives were up for election. Also up for election were all of Georgia's executive officers and legislative seats, as well as one seat on the Georgia Public Service Commission. The Republican Party decisively won every single statewide office in Georgia except for the Federal Senate race which narrowly went Democratic in 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Georgia Secretary of State election</span>

The 2022 Georgia Secretary of State election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the Secretary of State of Georgia. Incumbent Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger won re-election to a second term. Raffensperger emerged as a major national figure in early January, 2021 when he faced significant pressure from then-President Donald Trump to overturn the 2020 presidential election in Georgia. Trump had been taped in a phone call asking Raffensperger to "find 11,780 votes," the exact number needed for Trump to carry the state. The party primary elections took place on May 24, with runoffs scheduled for June 21.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Georgia lieutenant gubernatorial election</span>

The 2022 Georgia lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Georgia. It coincided with various other statewide elections, including for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and Governor of Georgia. Georgia is one of 21 states that elects its lieutenant governor separately from its governor.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Georgia Attorney General election</span>

The 2022 Georgia Attorney General election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the Attorney General of Georgia. Incumbent Republican attorney general Christopher M. Carr was appointed to the office on November 1, 2016, following the resignation of Sam Olens to become the president of Kennesaw State University. Carr ran for a second full term in office. Carr won re-election over state senator Jen Jordan by a margin of 5.3 points.

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  206. 270 To Win
  207. RealClearPolitics
  208. 538
  209. Trafalgar Group (R)
  210. AtlasIntel
  211. InsiderAdvantage
  212. National Research Inc
  213. University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School
  214. Targoz Market Research
  215. AtlasIntel
  216. Gravis Marketing
  217. JMC Analytics and Polling
  218. Trafalgar Group (R)
  219. Open Model Project
  220. InsiderAdvantage
  221. Mellman Group
  222. Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research
  223. SurveyUSA
  224. Trafalgar Group (R)
  225. Emerson College
  226. InsiderAdvantage
  227. Wick
  228. RMG Research
  229. Baris/Peach State Battleground Poll
  230. Trafalgar Group (R)
  231. Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates
  232. Trafalgar Group (R)
  233. SurveyUSA
  234. RMG Research
  235. Data For Progress (D)
  236. InsiderAdvantage
  237. Remington Research Group
  238. RMG Research/PoliticalIQ
  239. Election results from CNN
  240. "Georgia Election Results". The New York Times. January 5, 2021. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved October 3, 2021.
  241. "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012". m.dailykos.com/. Retrieved December 18, 2020.

Further reading

Official campaign websites