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McClain-Delaney: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Parrott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Maryland |
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The 2024 Maryland's 6th congressional district election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the United States representative for Maryland's 6th congressional district, concurrently with elections for the other U.S. House districts in Maryland and the rest of the country, as well as the 2024 U.S. Senate race in Maryland, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election was held on May 14, 2024. The 6th district is based in western Maryland and the northwest District of Columbia exurbs and outer suburbs. It takes in all of Allegany, Frederick, Garrett, and Washington counties, as well as portions of Montgomery County. Cities in the district include Cumberland, Frederick, Gaithersburg, Germantown, and Hagerstown. [1]
The incumbent is Democrat David Trone, who was re-elected with 54.7% of the vote in 2022. Trone was first elected in 2018, when Democratic incumbent John Delaney retired to focus on his 2020 presidential campaign. Trone is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate to succeed retiring incumbent Democrat Ben Cardin. A wide field of candidates have filed for the race to replace Trone, with over 15 in all. Maryland Matters remarked that both Democrats and Republicans would need to find a candidate with a wide appeal, as the 6th district is largely split between suburban and rural areas. [2] The Washington Post further noted that Democrats outnumber registered Republicans by seven percentage points in the district. [3]
The 6th district is considered the most competitive congressional district in the state of Maryland, despite being a moderately blue largely suburban district with a more sparsely populated rural component. While Republicans typically run up large margins in the state's Western Panhandle (Washington, Allegany, and Garrett counties), the district has a slight Democratic lean due to the more heavily populated, strongly Democratic Montgomery County, and the former Republican stronghold of Frederick County, which has trended towards the Democrats in recent elections. Republicans last won the district in 2010, when long-serving Republican Roscoe Bartlett was elected to his final term; he lost re-election to Delaney in 2012 after the district became significantly more favorable to the Democratic Party during redistricting. [2] Democrat Joe Biden won the district with 53.9% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election. [4]
This district was listed on both the National Republican Congressional Committee's Young Guns program [5] and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Red-to-Blue program. [6] McClain-Delaney won the general election on November 5, 2024, defeating Parrott with 53.05% of the vote. [7]
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||||||
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P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||||||||
Gluck | Jain | Lopez | Martinez | McClain- Delaney | Sayles | Vogel | West | Wilks | Others | |||||
1 [62] | Feb 19, 2024 | Washington County Democratic Central Committee | Kalim Johnson | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P [a] | |
2 | Mar 6, 2024 | Montgomery County UpCounty Democrats | Andrew Saundry | YouTube | P | N | N | P | P | N | N | P | N | – |
3 | Mar 13, 2024 | Jewish Democratic Council of America | Halie Soifer | YouTube | A | P | A | A | P | P | P | A | A | P [b] |
4 [63] | Mar 20, 2024 | Montgomery County UpCounty Democrats | Andrew Saundry | YouTube | N | P | N | N | N | P | P | N | P | P [c] |
5 [64] | Mar 24, 2024 | Frederick County Democratic Central Committee | Bob Kresslein | N/A | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | – |
6 [65] | Mar 28, 2024 | Garrett County Democratic Central Committee | Lillia Rose | P | P | A | P | P | P | P | P | A | – | |
7 [66] | Apr 6, 2024 | Washington County NAACP | Eddie Peters | P | P | P | A | P | P | P | P | P | P [d] | |
8 [67] | Apr 11, 2024 Apr 16, 2024 Apr 23, 2024 | Frederick County League of Women Voters | Betty Mayfield Michael Powell | YouTube I YouTube II YouTube III | P | P | P | A | P | P | P | A | A | P [e] |
9 [34] | Apr 21, 2024 | Association of Black Democrats of Montgomery County Latino Democratic Club of Montgomery County | Cheyanne Daniels | P | P | P | A | A | P | P | A | A | P [f] | |
10 [68] | Apr 28, 2024 | Montgomery County Women's Democratic Club | Brian Karem | YouTube | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | A | A | P [g] |
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
George Gluck (D) | $10,291 | $10,783 | $408 |
Ashwani Jain (D) | $105,164 [h] | $109,695 | $0 |
Lesley Lopez (D) | $193,446 | $189,956 | $3,490 |
Tekesha Martinez (D) | $628,572 [i] | $424,360 | $70,061 |
April McClain-Delaney (D) | $2,974,706 [j] | $2,757,607 | $217,099 |
Laurie-Anne Sayles (D) | $77,074 | $74,773 | $2,301 |
Joe Vogel (D) | $792,054 | $744,766 | $47,288 |
Destiny Drake West (D) | $15,880 | $16,092 | $64 |
Altimont Wilks (D) | $3,375 | $3,170 | $205 |
Peter Choharis (D) | $109,293 [k] | $69,612 | $39,681 |
Geoffrey Grammer (D) | $551,059 [l] | $550,661 | $0 |
Joel Martin Rubin (D) | $133,133 | $133,133 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [69] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | Geoffrey Grammer | Lesley Lopez | Tekesha Martinez | April McClain- Delaney | Joel Martin Rubin | Joe Vogel | Other | Undecided |
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Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group [70] [A] | May 6–7, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | – | 37% | – | 24% | 17% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling [71] [B] | April 25–26, 2024 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | 4% | 8% | 24% | – | 24% | 4% | 36% |
GBAO [72] [C] | March 14–17, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 17% | – | 10% | 4% | 48% |
RMG Research [73] [D] | November 14–17, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 74% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | April McClain-Delaney | 22,985 | 40.4 | |
Democratic | Joe Vogel | 14,940 | 26.3 | |
Democratic | Ashwani Jain | 4,750 | 8.3 | |
Democratic | Tekesha Martinez | 3,992 | 7.0 | |
Democratic | Lesley Lopez | 2,600 | 4.6 | |
Democratic | Laurie-Anne Sayles | 1,845 | 3.2 | |
Democratic | Destiny Drake West | 1,086 | 1.9 | |
Democratic | Mohammad Mozumder | 1,005 | 1.7 | |
Democratic | Joel Martin Rubin (withdrawn) | 820 | 1.4 | |
Democratic | Peter Choharis (withdrawn) | 818 | 1.4 | |
Democratic | Geoffrey Grammer (withdrawn) | 651 | 1.1 | |
Democratic | George Gluck | 437 | 0.8 | |
Democratic | Kiambo White | 401 | 0.7 | |
Democratic | Stephen McDow (withdrawn) | 246 | 0.4 | |
Democratic | Altimont Wilks | 179 | 0.3 | |
Democratic | Adrian Petrus | 166 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 56,921 | 100.0 |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||||
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P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn O Not yet entered race | ||||||||||||
Heath Barnes | Dan Cox | Chris Hyser | Neil Parrott | Todd Puglisi | Mariela Roca | Tom Royals | Brenda Thiam | |||||
1 [85] | Sept 20, 2023 | Upper Montgomery Republican Women's Club | David Bossie | YouTube | P | O | P | O | P | P | P | P |
2 [86] | Feb 12, 2024 | Frederick County Conservative Club | Matthew Foldi Jonathan Jenkins | N/A | W | P | P | O | W | A | P | P |
3 [87] | Feb 15, 2024 | Legislative District 15 Republican Club | Dan Cuda [88] | N/A | W | P | P | P | W | P | P | P |
4 [89] | Feb 17, 2024 | Garrett County Republican Central Committee Garrett County Republican Women's Club | Dirk Haire | YouTube | W | P | P | P | W | P | P | P |
5 [66] | Apr 6, 2024 | Washington County NAACP | Eddie Peters | W | A | P | A | W | A | A | P | |
6 [67] | Apr 18, 2024 | Frederick County League of Women Voters | Betty Mayfield | YouTube | W | A | P | A | W | P | A | P |
Italics indicate a withdrawn candidate.
Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Dan Cox (R) | $160,715 [o] | $160,684 | $30 |
Chris Hyser (R) | $167,256 [p] | $43,353 | $123,902 |
Neil Parrott (R) | $630,004 | $465,867 | $222,395 |
Mariela Roca (R) | $289,671 | $283,146 | $6,551 |
Tom Royals (R) | $558,497 | $553,752 | $4,745 |
Brenda Thiam (R) | $49,520 [q] | $35,474 | $14,046 |
Heath Barnes (R) | $34,373 | $34,373 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [69] |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Neil Parrott | 22,604 | 45.9 | |
Republican | Dan Cox | 14,797 | 30.1 | |
Republican | Mariela Roca | 6,071 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Tom Royals | 2,060 | 4.2 | |
Republican | Chris Hyser | 1,625 | 3.3 | |
Republican | Brenda Thiam | 1,607 | 3.3 | |
Republican | Todd Puglisi (withdrawn) | 446 | 0.9 | |
Total votes | 49,210 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [91] | Lean D | November 1, 2024 |
Inside Elections [92] | Lean D | October 31, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [93] | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
Elections Daily [94] | Safe D | October 5, 2023 |
CNalysis [95] | Very Likely D | November 16, 2023 |
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No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||||||
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P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||||||||
McClain-Delaney | Parrott | |||||||||||||
1 [127] | Oct 6, 2024 | Frederick County League of Women Voters Hood College | Sara Malec | YouTube | P | P | ||||||||
2 [128] | Oct 15, 2024 | WJLA-TV | Scott Thuman | Video | A | P | ||||||||
3 [129] | Oct 16, 2024 | Washington County Chamber of Commerce | Richard Willson | YouTube | P | P | ||||||||
4 [130] | Oct 29, 2024 Oct 31, 2024 | JCRC of Greater Washington | Deborah Miller | YouTube I YouTube II | P | P |
Campaign finance reports as of November 25, 2024 | |||
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Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
April McClain-Delaney (D) | $5,937,425 [r] | $5,844,391 | $93,034 |
Neil Parrott (R) | $1,056,387 | $1,083,843 | $2,914 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [69] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [m] | Margin of error | April McClain- Delaney (D) | Neil Parrott (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DecipherAi (R) [131] [E] | October 14–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | – | 14% |
Gonzales Research [132] | August 24–31, 2024 | 317 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 39% | 41% | – | 20% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [133] [E] | August 6–11, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 40% | 4% | 13% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | April McClain-Delaney | 199,788 | 53.05% | −1.67% | |
Republican | Neil Parrott | 175,974 | 46.72% | +1.57% | |
Write-in | 862 | 0.23% | +0.10% | ||
Total votes | 376,624 | 100.00% | |||
Democratic hold |
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: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)Soellner noted, adding that Parrott has secured major endorsements, including from the entire GOP House leadership
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