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Elections in California |
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The 2024 California's 30th congressional district election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the United States representative for California's 30th congressional district, concurrently with elections for the other U.S. House districts in California and the rest of the country, as well as the 2024 U.S. Senate race in California, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election was held on March 5, 2024, concurrently with the Super Tuesday presidential primaries. The 30th district is primarily based in Los Angeles and includes the neighborhoods of Atwater Village, East Hollywood, Echo Park, Elysian Valley, Hollywood, Hollywood Hills, Larchmont Village, Los Feliz, Mid-Wilshire, Miracle Mile, Shadow Hills, Silver Lake, Sunland-Tujunga, Universal City, and West Hollywood. It also encompasses Burbank, Glendale, and Pasadena. [1]
The incumbent is Democrat Adam Schiff, who was re-elected with 72.1% of the vote in 2022 against another Democrat. He is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate. A moderate Democrat who unseated incumbent Republican James Rogan in 2000, Schiff's profile rose significantly during the presidency of Donald Trump, owing to Schiff's role as a lead impeachment manager in the first impeachment of Donald Trump, his service on the January 6 Committee, and his frequent appearances on MSNBC. [2] [3]
A wide field of candidates is running to succeed Schiff, including 11 Democrats, 1 Republican, and 1 independent. The candidates leading in fundraising are former Los Angeles City Attorney Mike Feuer, state senator Anthony Portantino, Los Angeles school board member Nick Melvoin, state assemblywoman Laura Friedman, actor Ben Savage, and West Hollywood mayor Sepi Shyne. All six declared their candidacies soon after Schiff announced his Senate campaign, as did software developer Joshua Bocanegra and Silver Lake neighborhood councilor Maebe A. Girl, who was Schiff's opponent in the 2022 general election. More recent entrants into the race include former State Department senior advisor Jirair Ratevosian, Miss Universe Iraq 2017 Sarah Idan, and former Department of Energy special assistant Steve Dunwoody.
The 30th district is considered to be a deeply blue urban district and, as a result, safe for the Democrats. Joe Biden won it with over 72% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election. [4]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Mike Feuer (D) | Laura Friedman (D) | Nick Melvoin (D) | Anthony Portantino (D) | Jirair Ratevosian (D) | Ben Savage (D) | Sepi Shyne (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. Term Limits/RMG Research Group | September 8–11, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 4% | 16% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 12% [lower-alpha 2] | 58% |
Campaign finance reports as of February 14, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Francisco Arreaga (D) | $4,142 | $3,289 | $852 |
Steve Dunwoody (D) | $25,990 [lower-alpha 3] | $24,894 | $1,096 |
Mike Feuer (D) | $1,377,880 | $1,116,181 | $261,699 |
Laura Friedman (D) | $1,087,029 | $853,560 | $233,469 |
Maebe A. Girl (D) | $109,514 | $97,719 | $13,993 |
Nick Melvoin (D) | $1,438,780 | $1,008,900 | $429,879 |
Courtney Najera (D) | $2,566 | $2,025 | $540 |
Anthony Portantino (D) | $1,621,817 [lower-alpha 4] | $1,042,341 | $579,476 |
Jirair Ratevosian (D) | $298,509 | $240,291 | $58,217 |
Ben Savage (D) | $1,373,820 [lower-alpha 5] | $1,013,920 | $359,544 |
Sepi Shyne (D) | $388,758 | $327,409 | $61,349 |
Alex Balekian (R) [lower-alpha 6] | $107,852 [lower-alpha 7] | $100,696 | $27,422 |
Emilio Martinez (R) | $1,830 [lower-alpha 8] | $1,805 | $0 |
Joshua Bocanegra (NPP) | $7,786 | $3,730 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission [67] |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | ||||||||||||||
Arreaga | Balekian | Dunwoody | Feuer | Friedman | Girl | Melvoin | Portantino | Ratevosian | Shyne | |||||
1 [68] | February 14, 2024 | Ebell of Los Angeles | Elex Michaelson | YouTube | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Laura Friedman | 46,278 | 30.1 | |
Republican | Alex Balekian | 26,801 | 17.4 | |
Democratic | Anthony Portantino | 20,434 | 13.3 | |
Democratic | Mike Feuer | 18,858 | 12.3 | |
Democratic | Maebe A. Girl | 15,761 | 10.2 | |
Republican | Emilio Martinez | 6,768 | 4.4 | |
Democratic | Ben Savage | 6,133 | 4.0 | |
Democratic | Nick Melvoin | 4,122 | 2.7 | |
Democratic | Jirair Ratevosian | 2,887 | 1.9 | |
Democratic | Sepi Shyne | 2,124 | 1.4 | |
Democratic | Courtney Najera | 1,164 | 0.8 | |
No party preference | Joshua Bocanegra | 777 | 0.5 | |
Democratic | Steve Dunwoody | 722 | 0.5 | |
Democratic | Francesco Arreaga | 531 | 0.3 | |
Democratic | Sal Genovese | 440 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 153,805 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [71] | Solid D | February 2, 2023 |
Inside Elections [72] | Solid D | March 10, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [73] | Safe D | February 23, 2023 |
Elections Daily [74] | Safe D | June 8, 2023 |
CNalysis [75] | Solid D | November 16, 2023 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Laura Friedman | ||||
Republican | Alex Balekian | ||||
Total votes |
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Schiff, a moderate Democrat, has built a reputation as being one of former President Trump's greatest foes.
Her campaign is picking up steam and was endorsed by LA City Councilmember Eunisses Hernandez last week, one of just two campaigns to get an LA City Councilmember's endorsement.
I'm currently endorsing Marianne Williamson [. . .] She's endorsed my campaign as well
Former Rep. Barney Frank, an outspoken fixture on Capitol Hill for three decades, has endorsed Jirair Ratevosian in the race for CA-30
Jirair Ratevosian is the best choice to represent the Asian American, Pacific Islander, and Native Hawaiian communities in Los Angeles