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Turnout | 65.3% (first round) 59.7% (runoff) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Warnock: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Loeffler: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Collins: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% >90% Jackson: 30–40% 40–50% Tie: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Georgia |
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The 2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, and on January 5, 2021 (as a runoff), to elect the Class III member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Raphael Warnock defeated appointed incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler. The first round of the election was held on November 3, 2020; however, no candidate received a majority of the vote, so the top two candidates—Warnock and Loeffler—advanced to a runoff on January 5, 2021, which Warnock won narrowly.
The special election was prompted by Georgia governor Brian Kemp's appointment of Loeffler as the interim replacement for Republican Class III Senator Johnny Isakson, who resigned in December 2019. The winner of this election would serve a shortened term concluding on January 3, 2023. An election to serve a full six-year term was set for November 8, 2022.
Under Georgia law, no primary election took place for the special election; all candidates, regardless of party, were placed on the same ballot (known as a nonpartisan blanket primary, or "jungle primary"), and the election was held on November 3, 2020. Warnock received the most votes with 32.9%, and Loeffler came in second with 25.9%. No candidate received more than 50% of the vote, so the top two candidates advanced to a runoff election on January 5, 2021. [1]
The runoff was held concurrently with the regular Georgia Class II Senate election, in which Democrat Jon Ossoff defeated incumbent Republican David Perdue, also in a runoff on January 5. Following the November 3, 2020, Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats, and the Democratic caucus—46 registered Democrats and two allied independents—had 48. Because of this, the two Georgia runoffs determined the balance of the United States Senate under the incoming Biden administration. Winning both races gave the Democratic caucus 50 Senate seats, an effective majority with Democratic vice president Kamala Harris casting tie-breaking votes. The extraordinarily high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide and globally.
Major media outlets, including Decision Desk HQ , the Associated Press, The New York Times , and NBC News, called the election for Warnock in the early hours of January 6, just minutes after he declared victory. Though Loeffler vowed to challenge the results after she returned from the electoral vote certification in Washington, [2] she conceded on January 7. [3] Ossoff and Warnock became the first Democrats to be elected to the U.S. Senate from Georgia since Zell Miller in the 2000 special election. Warnock is the first Black senator from Georgia, as well as the first Black Democrat from the South elected to the Senate. Though Warnock is the first Democratic senator from this seat since the latter election, [4] hours later Ossoff was declared the winner in the regular Senate election. [5] [6] The two elections mark the first time since the 1994 United States Senate election in Tennessee and the concurrent special election that both Senate seats in a state have flipped from one party to the other in a single election cycle. This was also the first time the Democrats achieved this since West Virginia's 1958 Senate elections. The election results were certified on January 19, 2021, with the senators-elect taking office on January 20. [7] [8] [9]
On August 28, 2019, Isakson announced that he would resign from the Senate effective December 31, 2019, due to his deteriorating health. [10] This triggered a special election to fill the remainder of his term. On September 17, 2019, Georgia governor Brian Kemp launched a website inviting Georgia citizens to submit their résumés to be considered for appointment. [11] President Donald Trump advocated the appointment of Representative Doug Collins. [12] Kemp appointed Loeffler to fill the seat until the 2020 special election; she took office on January 6, 2020. [13]
Despite the large number of candidates in the special election, by October 4, 2020, the Democratic Party had largely consolidated around Warnock's candidacy and had pressured other Democratic candidates, such as Matt Lieberman, to drop out to avoid vote-splitting. [14]
While she had not been treated as a major contender, being largely ignored by pollsters, Deborah Jackson received 6.6% of the vote in the initial round of the election, being the second-best performing Democrat, and outperformed fellow Democrats such as Matt Lieberman and Ed Tarver, who pollsters had paid attention to. Al Jazeera attributed her performance, in part, to her being the first Democrat listed in the order of candidates that appeared on the ballot, and her being a familiar figure in the Democratic stronghold of DeKalb County. [15]
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Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Matt Lieberman (D) | Kelly Loeffler (R) | Ed Tarver (D) | Raphael Warnock (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Landmark Communications [142] | November 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 24% | 5% | 27% | 1% | 38% | 1% [b] | 3% |
Data for Progress [143] | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3% | 21% | 8% | 26% | 3% | 41% | 1% [c] | – |
Emerson College [144] | October 29–31, 2020 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 27% [d] | 8% | 24% | 2% | 38% | 2% [e] | – |
Landmark Communications [145] | October 28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 9% | 25% | 1% | 37% | 2% [f] | 3% |
Public Policy Polling [146] | October 27–28, 2020 | 661 (V) | – | 19% | 2% | 27% | 0% | 46% | 2% [e] | 4% |
Monmouth University [147] | October 23–27, 2020 | 504 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 4% | 21% | 3% | 41% | 7% [g] | 6% |
504 (LV) [h] | 19% | – | 22% | – | 41% | – | – | |||
504 (LV) [i] | 20% | – | 22% | – | 42% | – | – | |||
Civiqs/Daily Kos [148] | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 23% | 2% | 22% | 1% | 48% | 2% [e] | 2% |
University of Georgia [149] | October 14–23, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 4% | 21% | 4% | 20% | 1% | 34% | 5% [j] | 14% |
Landmark Communications [150] | October 21, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | – | 24% | – | 33% | – | – |
Citizen Data [151] | October 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 19% | 4% | 23% | 1% | 41% | 3% | 10% |
Emerson College [152] | October 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 27% | 12% | 20% | 2% | 27% | 2% [e] | 12% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [153] | October 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 17% | 7% | 23% | 2% | 32% | 1% [k] | 18% [l] |
Opinion Insight (R) [154] [A] | October 12–15, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 18% [d] | 3% | 19% | 1% | 31% | 14% [m] | 18% [l] |
Quinnipiac University [155] | October 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 5% | 20% | 2% | 41% | 0% [n] | 9% |
SurveyUSA [156] | October 8–12, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 20% | 8% | 26% | 3% | 30% | 2% [o] | 12% |
Data for Progress [157] | October 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 22% | 10% | 22% | – | 30% | 17% [p] | – |
Public Policy Polling [158] | October 8–9, 2020 | 528 (V) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 3% | 24% | 0% | 41% | 2% [e] | 8% |
Landmark Communications [159] | October 7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 23% | 3% | 26% | 0% | 36% | 4% [q] | 8% |
University of Georgia [160] | September 27 – October 6, 2020 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 21% | 3% | 22% | 4% | 28% | 3% [r] | 19% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [161] | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 25% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 38% | 1% [s] | 7% |
Hart Research Associates (D) [162] [B] | September 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 21% | 8% [t] | 28% | 3% | 28% | – | – |
Quinnipiac University [163] | September 23–27, 2020 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 22% | 9% | 23% | 4% | 31% | 0% [n] | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [164] | September 23–26, 2020 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.49% | 16% | 16% | 25% | – | 26% | 3% [u] | 14% |
Monmouth University [165] | September 17–21, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 21% | 6% [v] | 13% |
402 (LV) [h] | 23% | 11% | 23% | 3% | 23% | 5% [w] | 12% | |||
402 (LV) [i] | 24% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 25% | 4% [x] | 12% | |||
Siena College/NYT Upshot [166] | September 16–21, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 19% | 7% | 23% | 4% | 19% | 1% [k] | 27% [l] |
University of Georgia [167] | September 11–20, 2020 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 21% | 11% | 24% | 5% | 20% | 4% [y] | 16% |
Data For Progress (D) [168] | September 14–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 22% | 14% | 21% | – | 26% | – | 17% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [169] | September 12–17, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 19% | 15% | 26% | – | 21% | 5% [z] | 15% |
GBAO Strategies (D) [170] [C] | September 14–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 19% | 11% | 29% | 5% | 25% | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates [171] [D] | August 30 – September 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 20% | 10% | 24% | 7% | 19% | 1% [aa] | 19% |
Opinion Insight (R) [172] [A] | August 30 – September 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 20% [d] | 4% | 17% | 1% | 17% | 13% [ab] | 27% |
HarrisX (D) [173] [E] | August 20–30, 2020 | 1,616 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 21% | 13% | 26% | 7% | 16% | 18% [ac] | – |
SurveyUSA [174] | August 6–8, 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 17% | 13% | 26% | 3% | 17% | 2% [o] | 21% |
HIT Strategies (D) [175] [F] | July 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 6% | 14% | 1% [ad] | 23% |
Monmouth University [176] | July 23–27, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | 14% | 26% | 5% | 9% | 8% [ae] | 18% |
402 (LV) [h] | 21% | 14% | 26% | 5% | 10% | 6% [af] | 17% | |||
402 (LV) [i] | 22% | 13% | 26% | 4% | 10% | 6% [af] | 19% | |||
Spry Strategies (R) [177] [G] | July 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 9% | – | – | 20% |
GBAO Strategies (D) [170] [C] | July 6–9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 26% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 16% | – | – |
Battleground Connect (R) [178] [H] | July 6–8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 26% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 10% | 2% [e] | 26% |
Gravis Marketing (R) [179] [I] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 26% | 11% | 24% | 9% | 18% | – | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [180] [J] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 20% | – | 22% |
MRG (D) [181] [K] | June 18–23, 2020 | 1,259 (LV) | – | 27% | 13% | 21% | – | 23% | 5% [ag] | 12% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [182] | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 34% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 18% | 4% [ah] | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [183] | May 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 19% | 17% | 18% | – | 9% | 11% [ai] | 26% |
Cygnal (R) [184] [L] | April 25–27, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 11% | 2% [aj] | 31% |
Battleground Connect (R) [185] [H] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.01% | 36% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 16% | 4% [ak] | 17% |
Battleground Connect (R) [186] [H] | March 24, 2020 | 1,025 (LV) [t] | – | 34% | 18% | 14% | 5% | 13% | – | 15% |
Battleground Connect (R) [186] [H] | March 21, 2020 | 1,025 (LV) [t] | – | 32% | 19% | 15% | 5% | 12% | – | 18% |
Battleground Connect (R) [186] [H] | March 12, 2020 | 1,025 (LV) [t] | – | 30% | 18% | 19% | 5% | 10% | – | 18% |
Battleground Connect (R) [186] [H] | March 7, 2020 | 1,025 (LV) [t] | – | 29% | 16% | 20% | 5% | 12% | – | 18% |
University of Georgia [187] | February 24 – March 2, 2020 | 1,117 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 21% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 6% | 8% [al] | 31% |
Battleground Connect (R) [185] [H] | February 26–27, 2020 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 28% | 5% | 20% | 3% | 13% | – | 31% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [188] [M] | February 17–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 18% | 20% | – [am] | – | 7% [an] | 21% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [189] [H] | December 16–18, 2019 | 600 (LV) | – | 32% | 42% | 11% | – | — | — | 16% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [190] | Tossup | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections [191] | Tilt R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [192] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [193] | Tossup | October 30, 2020 |
Politico [194] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP [195] | Lean R | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ [196] | Tossup | November 3, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [197] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Economist [198] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Since no candidate won a majority of the vote on November 3, the top two finishers—Loeffler and Warnock—advanced to a January 5, 2021 runoff election. [199] [200]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raphael Warnock | 1,617,035 | 32.90% | |
Republican | Kelly Loeffler (incumbent) | 1,273,214 | 25.91% | |
Republican | Doug Collins | 980,454 | 19.95% | |
Democratic | Deborah Jackson | 324,118 | 6.60% | |
Democratic | Matt Lieberman | 136,021 | 2.77% | |
Democratic | Tamara Johnson-Shealey | 106,767 | 2.17% | |
Democratic | Jamesia James | 94,406 | 1.92% | |
Republican | Derrick Grayson | 51,592 | 1.05% | |
Democratic | Joy Felicia Slade | 44,945 | 0.91% | |
Republican | Annette Davis Jackson | 44,335 | 0.90% | |
Republican | Kandiss Taylor | 40,349 | 0.82% | |
Republican | Wayne Johnson (withdrawn) | 36,176 | 0.74% | |
Libertarian | Brian Slowinski | 35,431 | 0.72% | |
Democratic | Richard Dien Winfield | 28,687 | 0.58% | |
Democratic | Ed Tarver | 26,333 | 0.54% | |
Independent | Allen Buckley | 17,954 | 0.37% | |
Green | John Fortuin | 15,293 | 0.31% | |
Independent | Al Bartell | 14,640 | 0.30% | |
Independent | Valencia Stovall | 13,318 | 0.27% | |
Independent | Michael Todd Greene | 13,293 | 0.27% | |
Total votes | 4,914,361 | 100.00% |
Loeffler won 7 out of 14 congressional districts to Warnock's 6 and Collins's 1. [202]
District | Warnock | Loeffler | Collins | Elected Representative |
---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 26.97% | 27.79% | 21.94% | Buddy Carter |
2nd | 37.35% | 21.47% | 18.89% | Sanford Bishop |
3rd | 25.21% | 33.93% | 24.2% | Drew Ferguson |
4th | 56.07% | 10.97% | 6.91% | Hank Johnson |
5th | 63.76% | 7.61% | 4.35% | Nikema Williams |
6th | 36.27% | 27.05% | 15.88% | Lucy McBath |
7th | 31.05% | 25.34% | 17.1% | Carolyn Bourdeaux |
8th | 22.43% | 32.57% | 25.18% | Austin Scott |
9th | 13.65% | 27.58% | 45.49% | Andrew Clyde |
10th | 25.83% | 33.76% | 22.59% | Jody Hice |
11th | 27.19% | 33.79% | 20.11% | Barry Loudermilk |
12th | 25.69% | 28.68% | 22.27% | Rick W. Allen |
13th | 52.91% | 12.71% | 8.12% | David Scott |
14th | 14.3% | 39.46% | 26.99% | Marjorie Taylor Greene |
The runoff election for Isakson's former seat was on January 5, 2021. The regularly-scheduled runoff election for the Georgia U.S. Senate seat held by Republican David Perdue was also decided in a January 5 runoff. Before the Georgia runoffs in the 2020 U.S. Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus held 48. [203] Warnock declared victory on January 6, 2021. [204] If Democrats won the other Georgia runoff held on January 5, their caucus would gain control of the Senate, as the resultant 50–50 tie would be broken by Democratic vice president-elect Kamala Harris. If they lost the second race, Republicans would retain control. [205] The extremely high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide. [206] [207] [208] They were the third and fourth Senate runoff elections held in Georgia since runoffs were first mandated in 1964, after runoffs in 1992 [ citation needed ] and 2008. [209] It was also the third time that both of Georgia's Senate seats have been up for election at the same time, following double-barrel elections in 1914 and 1932.[ citation needed ] The Associated Press and other major news outlets called the race for Warnock in the early morning hours of January 6. [210] His win was attributed to heavy black voter turnout. [211]
The deadline for registration for the runoff election was December 7. [212] Absentee ballots for the runoff were sent out beginning on November 18, and in-person voting began on December 14. [213] [214]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [215] | Tossup | January 4, 2021 |
Inside Elections [216] | Tossup | December 14, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [217] | Tossup | January 5, 2021 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kelly Loeffler Republican | Raphael Warnock Democratic | Undecided [ao] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 To Win [218] | December 30, 2020 – January 4, 2021 | January 4, 2021 | 47.4% | 50.2% | 2.4% | Warnock +2.8 |
RealClearPolitics [219] | December 14, 2020 – January 4, 2021 | January 5, 2021 | 48.8% | 49.3% | 1.9% | Warnock +0.5 |
538 [220] | November 9, 2020 – January 4, 2021 | January 5, 2021 | 47.2% | 49.4% | 2.2% | Warnock +2.1 |
Average | 47.8% | 49.6% | 2.2% | Warnock +1.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler (R) | Raphael Warnock (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group (R) [221] | January 2–4, 2021 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 48% | – | 2% |
AtlasIntel [222] | January 2–4, 2021 | 857 (LV) | ± 3% | 47% | 51% | – | 2% |
InsiderAdvantage [223] | January 3, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 49% | – | 2% |
National Research Inc [224] | January 2–3, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 46% | – | 9% |
University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School [225] | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 550 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
Targoz Market Research [226] | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 713 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | – | 0% |
1,342 (RV) | 48% | 49% | – | 3% | |||
AtlasIntel [227] | December 25, 2020 – January 1, 2021 | 1,680 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 51% | – | 2% |
Gravis Marketing [228] | December 29–30, 2020 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 49% | – | 3% |
JMC Analytics and Polling [229] | December 28–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 54% | – | 1% |
Trafalgar Group (R) [230] | December 23–27, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | – | 1% |
Open Model Project [231] | December 21–27, 2020 | 1,405 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 46% | – | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage [232] | December 21–22, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 49% | – | 4% |
Mellman Group [233] | December 18–22, 2020 | 578 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 50% | – | 3% |
Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research [234] | December 14–22, 2020 | 1,027 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 43% | – | 15% |
SurveyUSA [235] | December 16–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 45% | 52% | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group (R) [236] | December 14–16, 2020 | 1,064 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | – | 2% |
Emerson College [237] | December 14–16, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 48% | – | 1% |
InsiderAdvantage [238] | December 14, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
Wick [239] | December 10–14, 2020 | 1,500 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | – | 2% |
RMG Research [240] | December 8–14, 2020 | 1,417 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 49% | – | 4% |
Baris/Peach State Battleground Poll [241] | December 4–11, 2020 | 1,008 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 48% | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group (R) [242] | December 8–10, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates [243] | November 30 – December 4, 2020 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | – | 7% |
Trafalgar Group (R) [244] | December 1–3, 2020 | 1,083 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA [245] | November 27–30, 2020 | 583 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 45% | 52% | – | 2% |
RMG Research [246] | November 19–24, 2020 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 48% | – | 6% |
Data for Progress [247] | November 15–20, 2020 | 1,476 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 50% | – | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage [248] | November 16, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | – | 3% |
VCreek/AMG (R) [249] [ap] [N] | November 10, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 50% | 46% | – | 5% |
Remington Research Group [250] | November 8–9, 2020 | 1,450 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
Monmouth University [147] | October 23–27, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 51% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [148] | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 37% | 51% | 9% [aq] | 2% |
Emerson College [152] | October 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 47% | – | 12% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [153] | October 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | – | 14% [l] |
Quinnipiac University [155] | October 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 52% | 0% [n] | 4% |
Data for Progress [157] | October 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 44% | – | 16% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [161] | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 49% | 8% [ar] | 4% |
Gravis Marketing (R) [179] [I] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 37% | – | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [180] [J] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 43% | – | 17% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [182] | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 45% | 18% [as] | 6% |
Battleground Connect (R) [251] [H] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 41% | – | 19% |
The Progress Campaign (D) [252] | March 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 38% | 38% | – | 24% |
Loeffler vs. Collins
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler | Doug Collins | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing (R) [179] [I] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 28% | 34% | 37% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [253] | December 12–13, 2019 | 711 (LV) [at] | — | 16% | 56% | 27% |
Loeffler vs. Lieberman
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler (R) | Matt Lieberman (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress [157] | October 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 41% | – | 17% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [161] | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 39% | 17% [au] | 5% |
Gravis Marketing (R) [179] [I] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [182] | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 44% | 18% [as] | 6% |
Loeffler vs. Tarver
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler (R) | Ed Tarver (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs/Daily Kos [182] | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 43% | 20% [av] | 6% |
Collins vs. Lieberman
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Matt Lieberman (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs/Daily Kos [161] | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 38% | 13% [aw] | 5% |
Gravis Marketing (R) [179] [I] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 37% | – | 16% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [182] | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 44% | 7% [ax] | 5% |
Collins vs. Tarver
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Ed Tarver (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs/Daily Kos [182] | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 42% | 8% [ar] | 5% |
Collins vs. Warnock
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Raphael Warnock (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University [147] | October 23–27, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 52% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [148] | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 51% | 5% [ay] | 2% |
Emerson College [152] | October 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 48% | – | 6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot [153] | October 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | – | 14% [l] |
Quinnipiac University [155] | October 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 54% | 0% [n] | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [161] | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | 4% [ah] | 4% |
Gravis Marketing (R) [179] [I] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 38% | – | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [180] [J] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 41% | – | 17% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos [182] | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | 6% [az] | 5% |
The Progress Campaign (D) [254] | May 6–15, 2020 | 2,893 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 43% | 41% | – | 16% [ba] |
Battleground Connect (R) [251] [H] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | – | 15% |
The Progress Campaign (D) [252] | March 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 39% | – | 20% |
Loeffler vs. Broun
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler | Paul Broun | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [253] | December 12–13, 2019 | 711 (LV) [at] | — | 27% | 14% | 59% |
Collins vs. Abrams
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Stacey Abrams (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Progress Campaign (D) [252] | March 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
Loeffler vs. generic opponent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler | Someone else | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [253] | December 12–13, 2019 | 711 (LV) [at] | — | 26% | 30% | 44% |
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [a] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ [255] | December 8–14, 2020 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 46% [bb] | 42% | 11% [bc] |
Quinnipiac University [163] | September 23–27, 2020 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raphael Warnock | 2,289,113 | 51.04% | N/A | |
Republican | Kelly Loeffler (incumbent) | 2,195,841 | 48.96% | N/A | |
Total votes | 4,484,954 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic [258]
|
Despite losing the statewide runoff, Loeffler won eight of 14 congressional districts. [202]
District | Warnock | Loeffler | Elected Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 44.34% | 55.66% | Buddy Carter |
2nd | 57.29% | 42.71% | Sanford Bishop |
3rd | 38.1% | 61.9% | Drew Ferguson |
4th | 81.42% | 18.58% | Hank Johnson |
5th | 87.37% | 12.63% | Nikema Williams |
6th | 53.65% | 46.35% | Lucy McBath |
7th | 53.99% | 46.01% | Carolyn Bourdeaux |
8th | 37.89% | 62.11% | Austin Scott |
9th | 22.94% | 77.06% | Andrew Clyde |
10th | 40.4% | 59.6% | Jody Hice |
11th | 41.99% | 58.01% | Barry Loudermilk |
12th | 44.05% | 55.95% | Rick W. Allen |
13th | 78.55% | 21.45% | David Scott |
14th | 26.54% | 73.46% | Marjorie Taylor Greene |
Republicans filed two federal and one state lawsuit in December to restrict the January 5 vote. On December 17, Judge Eleanor L. Ross found that plaintiffs lacked standing based on possible future harm to toss out a consent decree regarding signatures on absentee ballot applications. Judge James Randal Hall threw out another case that tried to block the use of drop boxes for absentee ballots. A third lawsuit, to restrict the use of drop boxes, was heard in state court on December 24. [259] [ citation needed ]
On December 18, a federal judge threw out a Republican lawsuit alleging that out-of-state residents were voting in the runoff election, as Republican attorney Bill Price had recommended. [260] Another lawsuit was filed against the use of voting machines manufactured by Dominion Voting Systems, alleging that election officials are handling mail-in absentee ballots improperly and illegally. [261]
Judge Leslie Abrams Gardner, sister of Democratic politician Stacey Abrams, of the United States District Court for the Middle District of Georgia rejected the attempted purge of 4,000 voters in Muscogee County and Ben Hill County, Georgia, on December 29. The ruling means the voters were able to participate in the January 5 runoff election. [262] The ruling was amended to allow provisional voting to prevent election-day challenges. [263]
Partisan clients
Voter samples and additional candidates
Miscellaneous
The 2014 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Georgia, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states, to the United States House of Representatives, and to various other state and local offices.
David Alfred Perdue Jr. is an American politician and businessman who served as a United States senator for Georgia from 2015 to 2021. A member of the Republican Party, Perdue was an unsuccessful candidate for Governor of Georgia in 2022.
The 2016 United States Senate election in Georgia was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary election for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on May 24, 2016.
The 2020–21 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, and on January 5, 2021, to elect the Class II member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Jon Ossoff defeated incumbent Republican Senator David Perdue in the runoff election. The general election was held concurrently with the 2020 presidential election, as well as with other elections to the Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
A special election to determine the member of the United States House of Representatives for Georgia's 6th congressional district was held on April 18, 2017, with a runoff held two months later on June 20. Republican Karen Handel narrowly defeated Democrat Jon Ossoff in the runoff vote, 51.8% to 48.2%. Handel succeeded Tom Price, who resigned from the seat following his confirmation as United States Secretary of Health and Human Services in the Trump administration. The runoff election was necessary when no individual candidate earned the majority of votes in the election on April 18. Ossoff received 48.1% of the vote in the first round, followed by Handel with 19.8%.
Thomas Jonathan Ossoff is an American politician serving as the senior United States senator from Georgia since 2021. A member of the Democratic Party, Ossoff was previously a documentary filmmaker and investigative journalist.
The 2018 Georgia lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the lieutenant governor of Georgia, concurrently with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2018 Georgia Secretary of State election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Secretary of State of Georgia. It was held concurrently with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as elections for the United States Senate and elections for the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Republican Incumbent Secretary of State Brian Kemp chose not to run for re-election and instead ran successfully for governor. Since no candidate received the requisite 50 percent of the vote, the top two candidates, Democrat John Barrow and Republican Brad Raffensperger proceeded to a runoff on December 4, 2018.
The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Georgia. Incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock won his first full term in office, defeating Republican former football player Herschel Walker. Under Georgia's two-round system, Warnock was re-elected in a runoff election on December 6 after neither candidate received over 50% of the vote on November 8. Warnock's win was the only statewide victory for Democrats in Georgia in 2022.
The 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Georgia. Incumbent Republican Governor Brian Kemp won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in a rematch. Abrams conceded on election night. The primary occurred on May 24, 2022. Kemp was sworn in for a second term on January 9, 2023.
Kelly Lynn Loeffler is an American businesswoman and politician who served as a United States senator from Georgia from 2020 to 2021. Loeffler was nominated as Administrator of the Small Business Administration on December 5, 2024 by President-elect Trump.
Raphael Gamaliel Warnock is an American Baptist pastor and politician serving as the junior United States senator from Georgia since 2021. A member of the Democratic Party, Warnock has been the senior pastor of Atlanta's Ebenezer Baptist Church since 2005.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Georgia, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Georgia gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.
Several elections took place in the U.S state of Georgia in 2020. The general election was held on November 3, 2020, and the runoff on January 5, 2021. A combined partisan primary for president and all other offices on the ballot was held on June 9, 2020, with a primary runoff held on August 11.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Georgia will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Georgia. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff, who was first elected in 2021 is running for re-election to a second term in office. Republican U.S. Representative Buddy Carter has publicly expressed interest in running. Other potential Republican candidates include Burt Jones, Kelly Loeffler, Brad Raffensperger, Marjorie Taylor Greene, and Governor Brian Kemp, who will be term-limited in 2026. Along with Michigan, this will be one of two Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in 2026 in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2024 presidential election.
The 2020 Georgia Public Service Commission election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect two members to the Georgia Public Service Commission, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as both a regular and special election to the U.S. Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. While Republican incumbent appointee Jason Shaw defeated Democrat Robert Bryant for District 1, Republican incumbent Lauren "Bubba" McDonald was forced to a runoff against Democrat Daniel Blackman for District 4. While the runoff was initially scheduled for December 3, it was moved by Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to the January 5, 2021 runoff, alongside the runoff elections for both Senate seats.
Several elections took place in the U.S. state of Georgia in 2022. The general election was held on November 8, 2022. A runoff election for one of Georgia's seats in the United States Senate was held on December 6, 2022. The runoff was scheduled because none of the candidates for Senate received 50% of the statewide vote in the general election. In addition to the Senate seat, all of Georgia's seats in the United States House of Representatives were up for election. Also up for election were all of Georgia's executive officers and legislative seats, as well as one seat on the Georgia Public Service Commission. The Republican Party decisively won every single statewide office in Georgia except for the Federal Senate race which narrowly went Democratic in 2022.
The 2022 Georgia lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Georgia. It coincided with various other statewide elections, including for U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and Governor of Georgia. Georgia is one of 21 states that elects its lieutenant governor separately from its governor.
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: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)Check if you have been purged from the Georgia voter rolls
Official campaign websites