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Turnout | 65.3% (first round) 59.7% (runoff) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Warnock: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Loeffler: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Collins: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% >90% Jackson: 30–40% 40–50% Tie: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Georgia |
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The 2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia was held on November 3, 2020, and on January 5, 2021 (as a runoff), to elect the Class III member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia. Democrat Raphael Warnock defeated appointed incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler. The first round of the election was held on November 3, 2020; however, no candidate received a majority of the vote, so the top two candidates—Warnock and Loeffler—advanced to a runoff on January 5, 2021, which Warnock won narrowly.
The special election was prompted by Georgia Governor Brian Kemp’s appointment of Loeffler as the interim replacement for Republican Class III Senator Johnny Isakson, who resigned in December 2019. The winner of this election would serve a shortened term concluding on January 3, 2023. An election to serve a full six-year term was set for November 8, 2022.
In accordance with Georgia law, no primary election took place for the special election; all candidates, regardless of party, were placed on the same ballot (known as a nonpartisan blanket primary, or "jungle primary"), and the election was held on November 3, 2020. Warnock received the most votes with 32.9%, and Loeffler came in second with 25.9%. As no candidate received more than 50% of the vote, the top two candidates advanced to a runoff election on January 5, 2021. [1]
The runoff was held concurrently with the regular Georgia Class II Senate election, in which Democrat Jon Ossoff defeated incumbent Republican David Perdue, also in a runoff on January 5. Following the November 3, 2020 Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus—consisting of 46 registered Democrats and two allied independents—held 48. Because of this, the two Georgia runoffs determined the balance of the United States Senate under the incoming Biden administration. Winning both races gave the Democratic caucus 50 Senate seats, an effective majority with Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris casting tie-breaking votes. The extraordinarily high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide and globally.
Major media outlets, including Decision Desk HQ , the Associated Press, The New York Times , and NBC News, called the election for Warnock in the early hours of January 6, just minutes after he apparently declared victory. Though Loeffler vowed to challenge the results after she returned from the electoral vote certification in Washington, [2] she conceded on January 7. [3] Ossoff and Warnock became the first Democrats to be elected to the U.S. Senate from Georgia since Zell Miller in the 2000 special election. Warnock is the first Black senator from Georgia, as well as the first Black Democrat from the South elected to the Senate. Though Warnock is the first Democratic senator from this seat since the latter election, [4] hours later Ossoff was declared the winner in the regular Senate election. [5] [6] The two elections mark the first time since the 1994 United States Senate election in Tennessee and the concurrent special election that both Senate seats in a state have flipped from one party to the other in a single election cycle. This was also the first time the Democrats achieved this since West Virginia's 1958 Senate elections. The election results were certified on January 19, 2021, with the senators-elect taking office on January 20. [7] [8] [9]
On August 28, 2019, Isakson announced that he would resign from the Senate effective December 31 due to his deteriorating health. [10] This triggered a special election to fill the remainder of his term. On September 17, Georgia Governor Brian Kemp launched a website inviting Georgia citizens to submit their résumés in order to be considered for appointment. [11] President Donald Trump advocated the appointment of Representative Doug Collins. [12] Kemp appointed Loeffler to fill the seat until the 2020 special election; she took office on January 6, 2020. [13]
Despite the large number of candidates in the special election, by October 4, 2020, the Democratic Party had largely consolidated around Warnock's candidacy and had pressured other Democratic candidates, such as Matt Lieberman, to drop out to avoid vote-splitting. [14]
While she had not been treated as a major contender, being largely ignored by pollsters, Deborah Jackson received 6.6% of the vote in the initial round of the election, being the second-best performing Democrat, and outperformed fellow Democrats such Matt Lieberman and Ed Tarver, who pollsters had paid attention to. Al Jazeera attributed her performance, in part, to her being the first Democrat listed in the order of candidates that appeared on the ballot, and her being a familiar figure in the Democratic stronghold of DeKalb County. [15]
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Matt Lieberman (D) | Kelly Loeffler (R) | Ed Tarver (D) | Raphael Warnock (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Landmark Communications | November 1, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 24% | 5% | 27% | 1% | 38% | 1% [lower-alpha 2] | 3% |
Data for Progress | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3% | 21% | 8% | 26% | 3% | 41% | 1% [lower-alpha 3] | – |
Emerson College | October 29–31, 2020 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 27% [lower-alpha 4] | 8% | 24% | 2% | 38% | 2% [lower-alpha 5] | – |
Landmark Communications | October 28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 9% | 25% | 1% | 37% | 2% [lower-alpha 6] | 3% |
Public Policy Polling | October 27–28, 2020 | 661 (V) | – | 19% | 2% | 27% | 0% | 46% | 2% [lower-alpha 5] | 4% |
Monmouth University | October 23–27, 2020 | 504 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 4% | 21% | 3% | 41% | 7% [lower-alpha 7] | 6% |
504 (LV) [lower-alpha 8] | 19% | – | 22% | – | 41% | – | – | |||
504 (LV) [lower-alpha 9] | 20% | – | 22% | – | 42% | – | – | |||
Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 23% | 2% | 22% | 1% | 48% | 2% [lower-alpha 5] | 2% |
University of Georgia | October 14–23, 2020 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 4% | 21% | 4% | 20% | 1% | 34% | 5% [lower-alpha 10] | 14% |
Landmark Communications | October 21, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | – | 24% | – | 33% | – | – |
Citizen Data | October 17–20, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3% | 19% | 4% | 23% | 1% | 41% | 3% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 27% | 12% | 20% | 2% | 27% | 2% [lower-alpha 5] | 12% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 17% | 7% | 23% | 2% | 32% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 18% [lower-alpha 12] |
Opinion Insight (R) [upper-alpha 1] | October 12–15, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 18% [lower-alpha 4] | 3% | 19% | 1% | 31% | 14% [lower-alpha 13] | 18% [lower-alpha 12] |
Quinnipiac University | October 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 5% | 20% | 2% | 41% | 0% [lower-alpha 14] | 9% |
SurveyUSA | October 8–12, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 20% | 8% | 26% | 3% | 30% | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | 12% |
Data for Progress | October 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 22% | 10% | 22% | – | 30% | 17% [lower-alpha 16] | – |
Public Policy Polling | October 8–9, 2020 | 528 (V) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 3% | 24% | 0% | 41% | 2% [lower-alpha 5] | 8% |
Landmark Communications | October 7, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 23% | 3% | 26% | 0% | 36% | 4% [lower-alpha 17] | 8% |
University of Georgia | September 27 – October 6, 2020 | 1,106 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 21% | 3% | 22% | 4% | 28% | 3% [lower-alpha 18] | 19% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 25% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 38% | 1% [lower-alpha 19] | 7% |
Hart Research Associates (D) [upper-alpha 2] | September 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 21% | 8% [lower-alpha 20] | 28% | 3% | 28% | – | – |
Quinnipiac University | September 23–27, 2020 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 22% | 9% | 23% | 4% | 31% | 0% [lower-alpha 14] | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 23–26, 2020 | 789 (LV) | ± 3.49% | 16% | 16% | 25% | – | 26% | 3% [lower-alpha 21] | 14% |
Monmouth University | September 17–21, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 21% | 6% [lower-alpha 22] | 13% |
402 (LV) [lower-alpha 8] | 23% | 11% | 23% | 3% | 23% | 5% [lower-alpha 23] | 12% | |||
402 (LV) [lower-alpha 9] | 24% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 25% | 4% [lower-alpha 24] | 12% | |||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | September 16–21, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 19% | 7% | 23% | 4% | 19% | 1% [lower-alpha 11] | 27% [lower-alpha 12] |
University of Georgia | September 11–20, 2020 | 1,150 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 21% | 11% | 24% | 5% | 20% | 4% [lower-alpha 25] | 16% |
Data For Progress (D) | September 14–19, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 22% | 14% | 21% | – | 26% | – | 17% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 12–17, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 19% | 15% | 26% | – | 21% | 5% [lower-alpha 26] | 15% |
GBAO Strategies (D) [upper-alpha 3] | September 14–16, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 19% | 11% | 29% | 5% | 25% | – | – |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates [upper-alpha 4] | August 30 – September 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 20% | 10% | 24% | 7% | 19% | 1% [lower-alpha 27] | 19% |
Opinion Insight (R) [upper-alpha 1] | August 30 – September 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 20% [lower-alpha 4] | 4% | 17% | 1% | 17% | 13% [lower-alpha 28] | 27% |
HarrisX (D) [upper-alpha 5] | August 20–30, 2020 | 1,616 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 21% | 13% | 26% | 7% | 16% | 18% [lower-alpha 29] | – |
SurveyUSA | August 6–8, 2020 | 623 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 17% | 13% | 26% | 3% | 17% | 2% [lower-alpha 15] | 21% |
HIT Strategies (D) [upper-alpha 6] | July 23–31, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 18% | 14% | 22% | 6% | 14% | 1% [lower-alpha 30] | 23% |
Monmouth University | July 23–27, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 20% | 14% | 26% | 5% | 9% | 8% [lower-alpha 31] | 18% |
402 (LV) [lower-alpha 8] | 21% | 14% | 26% | 5% | 10% | 6% [lower-alpha 32] | 17% | |||
402 (LV) [lower-alpha 9] | 22% | 13% | 26% | 4% | 10% | 6% [lower-alpha 32] | 19% | |||
Spry Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 7] | July 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 9% | – | – | 20% |
GBAO Strategies (D) [upper-alpha 3] | July 6–9, 2020 | 600 (LV) | – | 26% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 16% | – | – |
Battleground Connect (R) [upper-alpha 8] | July 6–8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 26% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 10% | 2% [lower-alpha 5] | 26% |
Gravis Marketing (R) [upper-alpha 9] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 26% | 11% | 24% | 9% | 18% | – | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 10] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 20% | – | 22% |
MRG (D) [upper-alpha 11] | June 18–23, 2020 | 1,259 (LV) | – | 27% | 13% | 21% | – | 23% | 5% [lower-alpha 33] | 12% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 34% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 18% | 4% [lower-alpha 34] | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 4–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 19% | 17% | 18% | – | 9% | 11% [lower-alpha 35] | 26% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 12] | April 25–27, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 11% | 2% [lower-alpha 36] | 31% |
Battleground Connect (R) [upper-alpha 8] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.01% | 36% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 16% | 4% [lower-alpha 37] | 17% |
Battleground Connect (R) [upper-alpha 8] | March 24, 2020 | 1,025 (LV) [lower-alpha 20] | – | 34% | 18% | 14% | 5% | 13% | – | 15% |
Battleground Connect (R) [upper-alpha 8] | March 21, 2020 | 1,025 (LV) [lower-alpha 20] | – | 32% | 19% | 15% | 5% | 12% | – | 18% |
Battleground Connect (R) [upper-alpha 8] | March 12, 2020 | 1,025 (LV) [lower-alpha 20] | – | 30% | 18% | 19% | 5% | 10% | – | 18% |
Battleground Connect (R) [upper-alpha 8] | March 7, 2020 | 1,025 (LV) [lower-alpha 20] | – | 29% | 16% | 20% | 5% | 12% | – | 18% |
University of Georgia | February 24 – March 2, 2020 | 1,117 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 21% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 6% | 8% [lower-alpha 38] | 31% |
Battleground Connect (R) [upper-alpha 8] | February 26–27, 2020 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 28% | 5% | 20% | 3% | 13% | – | 31% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 13] | February 17–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 18% | 20% | – [lower-alpha 39] | – | 7% [lower-alpha 40] | 21% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 8] | December 16–18, 2019 | 600 (LV) | – | 32% | 42% | 11% | – | — | — | 16% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [142] | Tossup | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections [143] | Tilt R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [144] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [145] | Tossup | October 30, 2020 |
Politico [146] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP [147] | Lean R | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ [148] | Tossup | November 3, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight [149] | Lean D (flip) | November 2, 2020 |
Economist [150] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Since no candidate won a majority of the vote on November 3, the top two finishers—Loeffler and Warnock—advanced to a January 5, 2021 runoff election. [151] [152]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raphael Warnock | 1,617,035 | 32.90% | |
Republican | Kelly Loeffler (incumbent) | 1,273,214 | 25.91% | |
Republican | Doug Collins | 980,454 | 19.95% | |
Democratic | Deborah Jackson | 324,118 | 6.60% | |
Democratic | Matt Lieberman | 136,021 | 2.77% | |
Democratic | Tamara Johnson-Shealey | 106,767 | 2.17% | |
Democratic | Jamesia James | 94,406 | 1.92% | |
Republican | Derrick Grayson | 51,592 | 1.05% | |
Democratic | Joy Felicia Slade | 44,945 | 0.91% | |
Republican | Annette Davis Jackson | 44,335 | 0.90% | |
Republican | Kandiss Taylor | 40,349 | 0.82% | |
Republican | Wayne Johnson (withdrawn) | 36,176 | 0.74% | |
Libertarian | Brian Slowinski | 35,431 | 0.72% | |
Democratic | Richard Dien Winfield | 28,687 | 0.58% | |
Democratic | Ed Tarver | 26,333 | 0.54% | |
Independent | Allen Buckley | 17,954 | 0.37% | |
Green | John Fortuin | 15,293 | 0.31% | |
Independent | Al Bartell | 14,640 | 0.30% | |
Independent | Valencia Stovall | 13,318 | 0.27% | |
Independent | Michael Todd Greene | 13,293 | 0.27% | |
Total votes | 4,914,361 | 100.00% |
Loeffer won 7 out of 14 congressional districts to Warnock's 6 and Collins's 1. [154]
District | Warnock | Loeffler | Collins | Elected Representative |
---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 26.97% | 27.79% | 21.94% | Buddy Carter |
2nd | 37.35% | 21.47% | 18.89% | Sanford Bishop |
3rd | 25.21% | 33.93% | 24.2% | Drew Ferguson |
4th | 56.07% | 10.97% | 6.91% | Hank Johnson |
5th | 63.76% | 7.61% | 4.35% | Nikema Williams |
6th | 36.27% | 27.05% | 15.88% | Lucy McBath |
7th | 31.05% | 25.34% | 17.1% | Carolyn Bourdeaux |
8th | 22.43% | 32.57% | 25.18% | Austin Scott |
9th | 13.65% | 27.58% | 45.49% | Andrew Clyde |
10th | 25.83% | 33.76% | 22.59% | Jody Hice |
11th | 27.19% | 33.79% | 20.11% | Barry Loudermilk |
12th | 25.69% | 28.68% | 22.27% | Rick W. Allen |
13th | 52.91% | 12.71% | 8.12% | David Scott |
14th | 14.3% | 39.46% | 26.99% | Marjorie Taylor Greene |
The runoff election for Isakson's former seat was on January 5, 2021. The regularly-scheduled runoff election for the Georgia U.S. Senate seat held by Republican David Perdue was also decided in a January 5 runoff. Before the Georgia runoffs in the 2020 U.S. Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus held 48. [155] Warnock declared victory on January 6, 2021. [156] If Democrats won the other Georgia runoff held on January 5, their caucus would gain control of the Senate, as the resultant 50–50 tie would be broken by Democratic vice president-elect Kamala Harris. If they lost the second race, Republicans would retain control. [157] The extremely high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide. [158] [159] [160] They were the third and fourth Senate runoff elections held in Georgia since runoffs were first mandated in 1964, after runoffs in 1992 [ citation needed ] and 2008. [161] It was also the third time that both of Georgia's Senate seats have been up for election at the same time, following double-barrel elections in 1914 and 1932.[ citation needed ] The Associated Press and other major news outlets called the race for Warnock in the early morning hours of January 6. [162] His win was attributed to heavy black voter turnout. [163]
The deadline for registration for the runoff election was December 7. [164] Absentee ballots for the runoff were sent out beginning on November 18, and in-person voting began on December 14. [165] [166]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [167] | Tossup | January 4, 2021 |
Inside Elections [168] | Tossup | December 14, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [169] | Tossup | January 5, 2021 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kelly Loeffler Republican | Raphael Warnock Democratic | Undecided [lower-alpha 41] | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 To Win | December 30, 2020 – January 4, 2021 | January 4, 2021 | 47.4% | 50.2% | 2.4% | Warnock +2.8 |
RealClearPolitics | December 14, 2020 – January 4, 2021 | January 5, 2021 | 48.8% | 49.3% | 1.9% | Warnock +0.5 |
538 | November 9, 2020 – January 4, 2021 | January 5, 2021 | 47.2% | 49.4% | 2.2% | Warnock +2.1 |
Average | 47.8% | 49.6% | 2.2% | Warnock +1.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler (R) | Raphael Warnock (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group (R) | January 2–4, 2021 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 48% | – | 2% |
AtlasIntel | January 2–4, 2021 | 857 (LV) | ± 3% | 47% | 51% | – | 2% |
InsiderAdvantage Archived January 4, 2021, at the Wayback Machine | January 3, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 49% | – | 2% |
National Research Inc | January 2–3, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 46% | – | 9% |
University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 550 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
Targoz Market Research | December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021 | 713 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | – | 0% |
1,342 (RV) | 48% | 49% | – | 3% | |||
AtlasIntel | December 25, 2020 – January 1, 2021 | 1,680 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 51% | – | 2% |
Gravis Marketing | December 29–30, 2020 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 49% | – | 3% |
JMC Analytics and Polling | December 28–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 54% | – | 1% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | December 23–27, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | – | 1% |
Open Model Project | December 21–27, 2020 | 1,405 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 46% | – | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage Archived December 25, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | December 21–22, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 49% | – | 4% |
Mellman Group | December 18–22, 2020 | 578 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 50% | – | 3% |
Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research | December 14–22, 2020 | 1,027 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% | 43% | – | 15% |
SurveyUSA | December 16–20, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 45% | 52% | – | 3% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | December 14–16, 2020 | 1,064 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | – | 2% |
Emerson College | December 14–16, 2020 | 605 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 48% | – | 1% |
InsiderAdvantage Archived December 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | December 14, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
Wick Archived December 18, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | December 10–14, 2020 | 1,500 (LV) | – | 50% | 48% | – | 2% |
RMG Research Archived December 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | December 8–14, 2020 | 1,417 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 49% | – | 4% |
Baris/Peach State Battleground Poll | December 4–11, 2020 | 1,008 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 48% | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | December 8–10, 2020 | 1,018 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | – | 3% |
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates | November 30 – December 4, 2020 | 1,250 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | – | 7% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | December 1–3, 2020 | 1,083 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA | November 27–30, 2020 | 583 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 45% | 52% | – | 2% |
RMG Research Archived December 4, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | November 19–24, 2020 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 48% | – | 6% |
Data for Progress | November 15–20, 2020 | 1,476 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 50% | – | 4% |
InsiderAdvantage Archived November 18, 2020, at the Wayback Machine | November 16, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 49% | – | 3% |
VCreek/AMG (R) Archived November 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [lower-alpha 42] [upper-alpha 14] | November 10, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 50% | 46% | – | 5% |
Remington Research Group | November 8–9, 2020 | 1,450 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
Monmouth University | October 23–27, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 51% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 37% | 51% | 9% [lower-alpha 43] | 2% |
Emerson College | October 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 47% | – | 12% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | – | 14% [lower-alpha 12] |
Quinnipiac University | October 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 52% | 0% [lower-alpha 14] | 4% |
Data for Progress | October 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 44% | – | 16% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 49% | 8% [lower-alpha 44] | 4% |
Gravis Marketing (R) [upper-alpha 9] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 37% | – | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 10] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 43% | – | 17% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 45% | 18% [lower-alpha 45] | 6% |
Battleground Connect (R) [upper-alpha 8] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 41% | – | 19% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | March 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 38% | 38% | – | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler | Doug Collins | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gravis Marketing (R) [upper-alpha 9] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 28% | 34% | 37% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | December 12–13, 2019 | 711 (LV) [lower-alpha 46] | — | 16% | 56% | 27% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler (R) | Matt Lieberman (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress | October 8–11, 2020 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 41% | – | 17% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 39% | 17% [lower-alpha 47] | 5% |
Gravis Marketing (R) [upper-alpha 9] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 44% | 18% [lower-alpha 45] | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler (R) | Ed Tarver (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 32% | 43% | 20% [lower-alpha 48] | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Matt Lieberman (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs/Daily Kos | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 38% | 13% [lower-alpha 49] | 5% |
Gravis Marketing (R) [upper-alpha 9] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 37% | – | 16% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 44% | 7% [lower-alpha 50] | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Ed Tarver (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 42% | 8% [lower-alpha 44] | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Raphael Warnock (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | October 23–27, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 52% | – | – |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 23–26, 2020 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 51% | 5% [lower-alpha 51] | 2% |
Emerson College | October 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 48% | – | 6% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 13–19, 2020 | 759 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | – | 14% [lower-alpha 12] |
Quinnipiac University | October 8–12, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 54% | 0% [lower-alpha 14] | 4% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | September 26–29, 2020 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | 4% [lower-alpha 34] | 4% |
Gravis Marketing (R) [upper-alpha 9] | July 2, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 38% | – | 15% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 10] | June 25–26, 2020 | 734 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 41% | – | 17% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | 6% [lower-alpha 52] | 5% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | May 6–15, 2020 | 2,893 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 43% | 41% | – | 16% [lower-alpha 53] |
Battleground Connect (R) [upper-alpha 8] | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | – | 15% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | March 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 39% | – | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler | Paul Broun | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | December 12–13, 2019 | 711 (LV) [lower-alpha 46] | — | 27% | 14% | 59% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Doug Collins (R) | Stacey Abrams (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Progress Campaign (D) | March 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kelly Loeffler | Someone else | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | December 12–13, 2019 | 711 (LV) [lower-alpha 46] | — | 26% | 30% | 44% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Archived January 28, 2021, at the Wayback Machine | December 8–14, 2020 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 46% [lower-alpha 54] | 42% | 11% [lower-alpha 55] |
Quinnipiac University | September 23–27, 2020 | 1,125 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Raphael Warnock | 2,289,113 | 51.04% | N/A | |
Republican | Kelly Loeffler (incumbent) | 2,195,841 | 48.96% | N/A | |
Total votes | 4,484,954 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
By county | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic [172]
|
Despite losing, Loeffler won 8 of 14 congressional districts. [173]
District | Warnock | Loeffler | Elected Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 44.34% | 55.66% | Buddy Carter |
2nd | 57.29% | 42.71% | Sanford Bishop |
3rd | 38.1% | 61.9% | Drew Ferguson |
4th | 81.42% | 18.58% | Hank Johnson |
5th | 87.37% | 12.63% | Nikema Williams |
6th | 53.65% | 46.35% | Lucy McBath |
7th | 53.99% | 46.01% | Carolyn Bourdeaux |
8th | 37.89% | 62.11% | Austin Scott |
9th | 22.94% | 77.06% | Andrew Clyde |
10th | 40.4% | 59.6% | Jody Hice |
11th | 41.99% | 58.01% | Barry Loudermilk |
12th | 44.05% | 55.95% | Rick W. Allen |
13th | 78.55% | 21.45% | David Scott |
14th | 26.54% | 73.46% | Marjorie Taylor Greene |
Republicans filed two federal and one state lawsuit in December to restrict the January 5 vote. On December 17, Judge Eleanor L. Ross found that plaintiffs lacked standing based on possible future harm to toss out a consent decree regarding signatures on absentee ballot applications. Judge James Randal Hall threw out another case which tried to block the use of drop boxes for absentee ballots. A third lawsuit, to restrict the use of drop boxes, was heard in state court on December 24. [174] [ citation needed ]
On December 18, a federal judge threw out a Republican lawsuit alleging that out-of-state residents were voting in the runoff election, as Republican attorney Bill Price has recommended. [175] Another lawsuit was filed against the use of voting machines manufactured by Dominion Voting Systems, alleging that election officials are handling mail-in absentee ballots improperly and illegally. [176]
Judge Leslie Abrams Gardner, sister of Democratic politician Stacey Abrams, of the United States District Court for the Middle District of Georgia rejected the attempted purge of 4,000 voters in Muscogee County and Ben Hill County, Georgia, on December 29. The ruling means the voters were able to participate in the January 5 runoff election. [177] The ruling was amended to allow provisional voting to prevent election-day challenges. [178]
Elections in Georgia are held to fill various state and federal seats. Regular elections are held every even year. The positions being decided each year varies, as the terms of office varies. The State Senate, State House and U.S. House will typically be up for election, as all of those positions have two-year terms. Special elections are held to fill vacated offices. Georgia is one of seven states that require a run-off election if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in a primary election. Uniquely, Georgia requires a run-off election for state and congressional offices if no candidate wins a majority of the vote in a general election; only Louisiana has a similar requirement, but it operates under a different election system.
The 2014 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Georgia, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states, to the United States House of Representatives, and to various other state and local offices.
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Thomas Jonathan Ossoff is an American politician serving as the senior United States senator from Georgia since 2021. A member of the Democratic Party, Ossoff was previously a documentary filmmaker and investigative journalist.
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The 2018 Georgia Secretary of State election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Secretary of State of Georgia. It was held concurrently with the 2018 gubernatorial election, as well as elections for the United States Senate and elections for the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Republican Incumbent Secretary of State Brian Kemp chose not to run for re-election and instead ran successfully for governor. Since no candidate received the requisite 50 percent of the vote, the top two candidates, Democrat John Barrow and Republican Brad Raffensperger proceeded to a runoff on December 4, 2018.
The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the state of Georgia. Incumbent Democratic senator Raphael Warnock won his first full term in office, defeating Republican former football player Herschel Walker. Under Georgia's two-round system, Warnock was re-elected in a runoff election on December 6 after neither candidate received over 50% of the vote on November 8.
The 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022 to elect the governor of Georgia. Incumbent Republican governor Brian Kemp won re-election to a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Stacey Abrams in a rematch. Abrams conceded on election night. The primary occurred on May 24, 2022. Kemp was sworn in for a second term on January 9, 2023.
Kelly Lynn Loeffler is an American businesswoman and politician who served as a United States senator from Georgia from 2020 to 2021. Loeffler was chief executive officer (CEO) of Bakkt, a subsidiary of commodity and financial service provider Intercontinental Exchange, of which her husband, Jeffrey Sprecher, is CEO. She is a former co-owner of the Atlanta Dream of the Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA). Loeffler is a member of the Republican Party.
Raphael Gamaliel Warnock is an American Baptist pastor and politician serving as the junior United States senator from Georgia since 2021. A member of the Democratic Party, Warnock has been the senior pastor of Atlanta's Ebenezer Baptist Church since 2005.
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Georgia were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Georgia, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the Georgia gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.
Several elections took place in the U.S state of Georgia in 2020. The general election was held on November 3, 2020, and the runoff on January 5, 2021. A combined partisan primary for president and all other offices on the ballot was held on June 9, 2020, with a primary runoff held on August 11.
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The 2020 Georgia Public Service Commission election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect two members to the Georgia Public Service Commission, concurrently with the presidential election as well as both a regular and special election to the U.S. Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. While Republican incumbent appointee Jason Shaw defeated Democrat Robert Bryant for District 1, Republican incumbent Lauren "Bubba" McDonald was forced to a runoff against Democrat Daniel Blackman for District 4. While the runoff was initially scheduled for December 3, it was moved by Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to the January 5, 2021 runoff, alongside the runoff elections for both Senate seats.
Several elections took place in the U.S. state of Georgia in 2022. The general election was held on November 8, 2022. A runoff election for one of Georgia's seats in the United States Senate was held on December 6, 2022. The runoff was scheduled because none of the candidates for Senate received 50% of the statewide vote in the general election. In addition to the Senate seat, all of Georgia's seats in the United States House of Representatives were up for election. Also up for election were all of Georgia's executive officers and legislative seats, as well as one seat on the Georgia Public Service Commission. The Republican Party decisively won every single statewide office in Georgia except for the Federal Senate race which narrowly went Democratic in 2022.
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: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)Check if you have been purged from the Georgia voter rolls